411 REFERENCE · Wikibooks
Transportation Deployment Casebook/2018/Another Type of Technology Here
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Introduction
Technology
Market
Life Cycle Analysis
Birth Phase
Policies
Environmental policy
Growth Phase (2011-2017)
Maturity Phase (2018 - future)
Quantitative
Where:
· S(t) is the status measure (mileage for each year)
· t is time in year
· t0 is the inflection time (year in which ½ k is achieved)
· K is the saturation status level
· b is a coefficient
K and b are to be estimated through the regression analysis
In addition, the equation 1 is derived into a linear form to estimate the value K, b and t0. The equations are shown are follow.
y = bX + c (2)
Finding the value of K and b
S - curve
Reference