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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
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February 2026
September 2023
2008 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire New Hampshire legislative no 2006 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire 2006 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire 2010 All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives November 4, 2008 Democratic Party (United States) 2 2 364,767 54.08% 2.07% Republican Party (United States) 0 0 294,560 43.67% 3.42%
Democratic
#B9D7FF 40–50%
#86b6f2 50–60%
#4389e3 60–70%
#1666cb 70–80%
#0645B4 80–90%
#002b84 90–100%
Republican
#F2B3BE 40–50%
#e27f90 50–60%
#cc2f4a 60–70%
#D40000 70–80%
Tie
#D2B1D9 40–50% x245px District results x245px County results x245px Municipality results
The 2008 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would represent the state of New Hampshire in the United States House of Representatives during the 111th Congress from January 3, 2009, until January 3, 2011. Both seats were held by Democratic incumbents before the election, which coincided with the 2008 presidential election, as well as the state's senatorial and gubernatorial elections.
The primary election was held on September 9, 2008. Republicans selected Former Representative Jeb Bradley and newspaper columnist and radio show host Jennifer Horn to challenge incumbent Representatives Carol Shea-Porter and Paul Hodes. Although CQ Politics had forecast the First Congressional District to be at risk for a change of party control, both incumbents were re-elected.
Overview
United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire, 2008Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives Clerk of the United States House of Representatives Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 4, 2008 https://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2008election.pdf 40PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/– Democratic 364,767 54.08% 2 - Republican 294,560 43.67% 0 - Libertarian 15,221 2.26% 0 - Totals 674,548 100.00% 2 -
Match-up summary
District Incumbent 2010 Status Democratic Republican Libertarian 1Carol Shea-Porter Re-electionCarol Shea-Porter Jeb Bradley Robert Kingsbury 2Paul Hodes Re-electionPaul Hodes Jennifer Horn Chester L. Lapointe, II
District 1
thumb|Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter (D)
thumb|Former Congressman Jeb Bradley (R)
New Hampshire's 1st congressional district
This district covers the southeastern and eastern portions of New Hampshire, consisting of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. It includes all of Carroll and Strafford counties, almost all of Rockingham county, a small portion of Hillsborough County, and one town in Merrimack County.
Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter defeated Republican nominee Jeb Bradley and Libertarian Robert Kingsbury. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'No Clear Favorite'; The Rothenberg Political Report ranked the race as 'Pure Toss-Up'; and The Cook Political Report listed the race as a 'Democratic Toss-Up'.
Shea-Porter squeaked into Congress by a 51% to 49% margin against incumbent Republican Bradley in one of the greatest upsets of the 2006 election cycle. In January 2007, Bradley announced his intent to seek a rematch in 2008. He faced and defeated Former Assistant Attorney General and Department of Health and Human Services commissioner John Stephen in a close Republican primary. Shea-Porter did not face a primary challenge. George W. Bush narrowly won this district with 51% to 49% for John Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=R+0).
Republican primary
2008 New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Republican primary election
Republican Party (United States)
Jeb Bradley
18,559
51.04%
Republican Party (United States)
John Stephen
16,766
46.11%
Republican Party (United States)
Geoff Michael
534
1.47%
Republican Party (United States)
Dave Jarvis
414
1.14%
Independent (politician)
Other
89*
0.24%
36,362
100%
This includes 46 votes for incumbent Democratic Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter.
General Election
Opinion Polling
Source Date Democrat: Carol Shea-Porter Republican: Jeb Bradley UndecidedConcord Monitor/Research 2000Concord Monitor/Research 2000 September 22–24, 2008 44% 43%WMUR Granite State PollWMUR Granite State Poll September 14–21, 2008 42% 45% 12%Granite State PollGranite State Poll July 11–20, 2008 40% 46% 14%Granite State PollGranite State Poll April 25–30, 2008 39% 45% 13%
The University of New Hampshire's Granite State Poll conducted in July found that incumbent Representative Carol Shea-Porter had a +3% net favorability rating in the district (35% favorable, 32% unfavorable, 9% neutral, and 24% did not know enough about her) while Former Representative Jeb Bradley had a net favorability rating of +21% (48% favorable, 27% unfavorable, 8% neutral, and 17% did not know enough about him). The majority of Republicans supported Bradley, Democrats supported Shea-Porter, and Independents were leaning toward Bradley (40% to 26%). Shea-Porter led among women (46% to 36%) and Bradley led among men (56% to 34%).
In September, the fall Granite State Poll found that Shea-Porter's net favorability had increased to +13% (44% favorable, 31% unfavorable, 5% neutral, and 20% did not know enough about her), while Bradley's favorability has fallen to +7% (36% favorable, 29% unfavorable, 14% neutral, and 21% did not know enough about him). The majority of Republicans supported Bradley, Democrats supported Shea-Porter, and Independents were leaning toward Bradley (44% to 38%). Shea-Porter continued to lead among women (50% to 39%) and Bradley maintained his lead among men (52% to 32%).
Predictions
SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report2008 Competitive House Race Chart http://www.cookpolitical.com/charts/house/competitive_2008-11-04_13-32-49.php House: Race Ratings The Cook Political Report 6 November 2006 20 November 2023 https://web.archive.org/web/20081106112035/http://www.cookpolitical.com/charts/house/competitive_2008-11-04_13-32-49.php 6 November 2008Tossup November 6, 2008 Rothenberg2008 House Ratings https://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com/2008/11/2008-house-ratings.html House Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report 2 November 2006 20 November 2023 https://web.archive.org/web/20081106133426/http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com/2008/11/2008-house-ratings.html 6 November 2008Tilt D November 2, 2008 Sabato's Crystal Ball2008 House http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2008/house/ Sabato's Crystal Ball 6 November 2008 20 November 2023 https://web.archive.org/web/20081106144620/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2008/house/ 6 November 2008Lean D November 6, 2008 Real Clear PoliticsBattle for the House of Representatives http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/house/battle_for_the_house_of_representatives.html realclearpolitics.com Real Clear Politics 9 December 2023 https://web.archive.org/web/20081217170047/http://www.realclearpolitics.com:80/epolls/2008/house/battle_for_the_house_of_representatives.html 17 December 2008 7 November 2008Tossup November 7, 2008 CQ PoliticsRace Ratings Chart: House http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-house cqpolitics.com Congressional Quarterly Inc 20 November 2023 https://web.archive.org/web/20081106054801/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-house 6 November 2008Tossup November 6, 2008
Results
2008 New Hampshire 1st Congressional District General Election
Democratic Party (United States)
Carol Shea-Porter (Incumbent)
176,435
51.73%
+0.4%
Republican Party (United States)
Jeb Bradley
156,338
45.84%
-2.76%
Libertarian Party (United States)
Robert Kingsbury
8,100
2.37%
+2.37%
341,071
100.00%
Democratic Party (US)
Republican Party (US)
Current Candidate Websites
Carol Shea-Porter (D) of Strafford - Incumbent (campaign website)
Jeb Bradley (R) of Wolfeboro (campaign website https://web.archive.org/web/20080807124531/http://www.jebforcongress.com/ 2008-08-07 )
Bob Kingsbury (L) of Laconia (campaign website)
Former Candidate Websites
John Stephen (R) of Manchester (campaign website)
Geoff Michael (R) of Merrimack (campaign website)
Dave Jarvis (R) of Hooksett (campaign websiteAugust 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes )
Peter Bearse (I) of Fremont (campaign website)
District 2
New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district
2008 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election New Hampshire presidential no 2006 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 2 2006 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 2 2010 x150px
File:Congressman Paul Hodes.JPG Paul Hodes Democratic Party (United States) 188,332 56.4% 3x4.svg Jennifer Horn Republican Party (United States) 138,222 41.4% 2008 NH-02 election results.svg 240px Municipality results Hodes: #b4c7ec 40–50% #8da9e2 50–60% #678cd7 60–70% #4170cd 70–80% #3358a2 80–90% #244079 >90% Horn: #f1b4b2 40–50% #ed8783 50–60% #e55651 60–70% #d02923 70–80% Tie: #D2B1D9 40–50% #808080 No Votes U.S. Representative Paul Hodes Democratic Party (United States) Paul Hodes Democratic Party (United States)
This district consists of the western and northern portions of the state, including all of Cheshire, Coos, Grafton, and Sullivan counties as well as almost all of Merrimack and Hillsborough counties plus three towns in Rockingham county and two towns in Belknap County.
Democratic incumbent Paul Hodes defeated Republican nominee Jennifer Horn and Libertarian Chester L. Lapointe, II. CQ Politics forecasted the race as 'Democrat Favored'. In 2006, Democrat Hodes upended Republican incumbent Charlie Bass with a 53% to 45% victory. In 2008 Jennifer Horn, a radio talk show host,mediainfo.comAugust 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes won the Republican primary against former Congressional Aide Grant Bosse, State Senator Bob Clegg, businessman Jim Steiner and Alfred L'Eplattenier.Brooks, Scott Horn tops 3 foes in Republican race https://web.archive.org/web/20110522194318/http://www.unionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Horn+tops+3+foes+in+Republican+race&articleId=b7ade4ce-bbb6-4781-b82a-d32fa4cc4e8d May 22, 2011 New Hampshire Union Leader, September 10, 2008 John Kerry narrowly won the district with 52% of the vote in 2004 (CPVI=D+3).
Republican primary
2008 New Hampshire 2nd Congressional District Republican primary election
Republican Party (United States)
Jennifer Horn
12,667
40.29%
Republican Party (United States)
Bob Clegg
10,731
34.13%
Republican Party (United States)
Jim Steiner
4,561
14.51%
Republican Party (United States)
Grant Bosse
2,944
9.36%
Republican Party (United States)
Alfred L'Eplattenier
540
1.72%
31,443
100%
97% of precincts reporting (9/10/08).
General Election
Predictions
SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportSafe D November 6, 2008 RothenbergSafe D November 2, 2008 Sabato's Crystal BallLean D November 6, 2008 Real Clear PoliticsSafe D November 7, 2008 CQ PoliticsLikely D November 6, 2008
2008 New Hampshire 2nd Congressional District General Election
Democratic Party (United States)
Paul Hodes (Incumbent)
188,332
56.4%
+3.4%
Republican Party (United States)
Jennifer Horn
138,222
41.4%
-3.6%
Libertarian Party (United States)
Chester L. Lapointe, II
7,121
2.1%
+0.1%
333,675
100.00%
Democratic Party (US)
Republican Party (US)
Current candidates
Paul Hodes (D) - Incumbent (campaign website)
Jennifer Horn (R) (campaign website https://web.archive.org/web/20080804115522/http://www.jenniferhorn.org/? August 4, 2008 )
Chester L. Lapointe, II (L) (campaign website)
Former candidates
Grant Bosse (R) (campaign website)
Robert Clegg, Jr. (R) (campaign website https://web.archive.org/web/20080914122204/http://www.cleggforcongress.com/ September 14, 2008 )
Jim Steiner (R) (campaign website)
Alfred L'Eplattenier (R) (campaign website)
Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
References
30em
External links
Election Division from the New Hampshire Secretary of State
U.S. Congress candidates for New Hampshire https://web.archive.org/web/20080919215838/http://www.votesmart.org/election_congress_state.php?state_id=NH&go33.x=6&go33.y=8 September 19, 2008 at Project Vote Smart
New Hampshire U.S. House Races from 2008 Race Tracker
Campaign contributions for New Hampshire congressional races from OpenSecrets
District 1 campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
District 2 campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
Politics https://web.archive.org/web/20071019130736/http://www.unionleader.com/channel.aspx/Politics?channel=483ae2ee-1a2c-4acb-a4d0-af74b0d4b553 October 19, 2007 from New Hampshire Union Leader
Race rankings
District 1 race ranking and details from CQ Politics
District 2 race ranking and details from CQ Politics
2008 Competitive House Race Chart from The Cook Political Report
2008 House Ratings from Rothenberg Political Report, October 14, 2008
2008
New Hampshire
United States House of Representatives