411 REFERENCE · Wikipedia
2008 United States presidential election in Maryland
Reference material by Wikipedia contributors. This retains its source identity and is not 411 news reporting.
none
2008 United States presidential election
October 2022
October 2022
2008 United States presidential election in Maryland Maryland presidential no 2004 United States presidential election in Maryland 2004 2012 United States presidential election in Maryland 2012 November 4, 2008 77.63%2008 Presidential General Statewide https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2008/turnout/general/2008_Presidential_General_Statewide.html Maryland State Board of Elections x200px Obama portrait crop.jpg Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States) Illinois Joe Biden 10 1,629,467 61.92% John McCain official portrait 2009 (cropped).jpg John McCain Republican Party (United States) Arizona Sarah Palin 0 959,862 36.47% 375px County results 375px Congressional district results
Obama
#B9D7FF 40–50%
#86b6f2 50–60%
#4389e3 60–70%
#1666cb 70–80%
#0645b4 80–90%
McCain
#f2b3be 40–50%
#e27f90 50–60%
#cc2f4a 60–70% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States)
The 2008 United States presidential election in Maryland took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 10 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
Maryland was won by Democratic nominee Barack Obama by a 25.4% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Obama would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state. Maryland has voted for the Democratic presidential candidate of every election since 1992. In 2008, Obama easily captured the state's 10 electoral votes in a landslide victory, winning 61.92% of the popular vote to Republican John McCain's 36.47%.
Primaries
2008 Maryland Democratic presidential primary
2008 Maryland Republican presidential primary
Campaign
Predictions
There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:
+SourceRankingD.C. Political Report2009-01-01 D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html 2021-08-23 usurped https://web.archive.org/web/20090101161206/http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html 2009-01-01Likely DCook Political Report2015-05-05 Presidential http://cookpolitical.com/presidential 2021-08-23 https://web.archive.org/web/20150505003043/http://cookpolitical.com/presidential 2015-05-05Solid DThe Takeaway2009-04-22 Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/ 2021-08-23 https://web.archive.org/web/20090422070127/http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/ 2009-04-22Solid DElectoral-vote.comElectoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily https://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Dec31.html 2021-08-23 electoral-vote.comSolid DWashington PostBased on TakeawaySolid DPoliticoPOLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com https://www.politico.com/convention/swingstate.html 2016-09-22 www.politico.comSolid DRealClearPolitics http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20080605003612/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5 2008-06-05 RealClearPolitics - Electoral MapSolid DFiveThirtyEightSolid DCQ PoliticsCQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008 http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08/ dead https://web.archive.org/web/20090614004022/http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08 June 14, 2009 December 20, 2009 CQ PoliticsSolid DThe New York TimesNagourney Adam Zeleny Jeff Carter Shan 2008-11-04 The Electoral Map: Key States The New York Times http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/whos-ahead/key-states/map.html?scp=1&sq=electoral%20college%20map&st=cse May 26, 2010Solid DCNN2008-10-31 October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs CNN http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/ May 26, 2010 June 19, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100619013250/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/ deadSafe DNPRSolid DMSNBCSolid DFox NewsApril 27, 2010 Winning The Electoral College Fox News http://www.foxnews.com/oreilly/winning-the-electoral-college/Likely DAssociated Pressroadto270 http://hosted.ap.org/specials/interactives/campaign_plus/roadto270/ 2016-09-22 hosted.ap.org December 8, 2008 https://web.archive.org/web/20081208002123/http://hosted.ap.org/specials/interactives/campaign_plus/roadto270/ deadLikely DRasmussen ReportsElection 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update 2016-09-22 www.rasmussenreports.comSafe D
Polling
Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election#Maryland Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Maryland
Obama won every single pre-election poll, each by a double-digit margin of victory and at least 51% of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Obama leading 54% to 38%.Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
Fundraising
John McCain raised a total of $3,439,120 in the state. Barack Obama raised $19,091,136.http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=MD&cand_id=P00000001 Presidential Campaign Finance 2009-08-20 https://web.archive.org/web/20090324085747/http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=MD&cand_id=P00000001 2009-03-24 dead
Advertising and visits
Obama spent $257,582 while McCain spent nothing.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/map/ad.spending/ CNN Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com 2010-05-26 Both tickets visited the state once.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/map/candidate.visits/ CNN Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com 2010-05-26
Analysis
June 2011
thumb|right|Voting taking place at a Maryland polling station
Maryland has supported the Democratic nominee in each of the last five presidential elections by an average margin of 15.4%. In 1980, it was 1 of only 6 states to vote for Democrat Jimmy Carter over Republican Ronald Reagan. It has only supported a Republican six times since Franklin D. Roosevelt – 1948 and the Republican landslides of 1952, 1956, 1972, 1984 and 1988.
Maryland is often among the Democratic nominees' best states. In 1992, Bill Clinton fared better in Maryland than any other state except his home state of Arkansas. In 1996, Maryland was Clinton's sixth best, in 2000 Maryland ranked fourth for Al Gore and in 2004 John Kerry showed his fifth best performance in Maryland.
Republican presidential candidates typically win more counties by running up huge margins in western Maryland and the Eastern Shore. However, they are usually swamped by the heavily Democratic Baltimore-Washington, D.C. axis, which casts almost 75% of the state's vote. The state's four largest county-level jurisdictions – Montgomery, Prince George's and Baltimore counties and the City of Baltimore — are strongly Democratic. These areas, which contain 1.5 million voters combined, make it extremely difficult for a Republican to win Maryland. Even in bad years for Democrats, a Republican usually has to run the table in the rest of the state and win either Montgomery, Prince George's or Baltimore counties to have a realistic chance of carrying the state. In 1984, for instance, Ronald Reagan only carried Maryland by crushing Walter Mondale in Baltimore County and narrowly winning Montgomery. In 1988, George H. W. Bush ran up a 42,300-vote margin in Baltimore County over Michael Dukakis – almost 85% of his statewide margin of 49,800 votes.
The 2008 election was no exception. Barack Obama won the state's 10 electoral votes in 2008 with 61.92% of the vote to John McCain's 36.47%. Obama carried Montgomery, Prince George's, Baltimore County and Baltimore City with 71.6%, 88.9%, 56.2 and 87.2% of the vote, respectively. Obama's combined 550,000-vote margin in these four areas would have been enough to carry the state. While McCain won more counties, the only large county he won was Anne Arundel County, home to the state capital, Annapolis. In this election, Maryland voted 18.17% to the left of the nation at-large.Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ 2023-03-31 uselectionatlas.org
In 2008, Democrats picked up a U.S. House an open seat in Maryland's 1st Congressional District as Democrat Frank M. Kratovil, Jr. defeated Republican Andy Harris by less than a 1% margin of victory.
Results
2008 United States presidential election in Marylandhttp://www.elections.state.md.us/elections/2008/results/general/index.html Maryland State Board of Elections 2008-12-12PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 1,629,467 61.92% 10 Republican John McCain Sarah Palin 959,862 36.47% 0 Independent Ralph Nader Matt Gonzalez 14,713 0.56% 0 Libertarian Bob Barr Wayne Allyn Root 9,842 0.44% 0 Independent Write-in candidates 9,063 0.34% 0 Green Cynthia McKinney Rosa Clemente 4,747 0.18% 0 Constitution Chuck Baldwin Darrell Castle 3,760 0.14% 0 America's Independent Alan Keyes (write-in) Brian Rohrbough 103 0.00% 0 Unaffiliated Donald Kenneth Allen (write-in) Christopher Borcik 17 0.00% 0 Independent Blaine Taylor (write-in) n/a 12 0.00% 0 Socialist USA Brian Moore (write-in) Stewart Alexander 10 0.00% 0 Totals 2,631,596 100.00% 10 Voter turnout (Voting age population) 62.4%
By county
CountyBarack ObamaDemocraticJohn McCainRepublicanVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal votes castMaryland State Board of Elections; 2008 Presidential General Election Official Results President and Vice President of the United States # % # % # % # % Allegany 10,693 35.95% 18,405 61.88% 644 2.17% -7,712 -25.93% 29,742 Anne Arundel 125,015 48.15% 129,682 49.95% 4,922 1.90% -4,667 -1.80% 259,619 Baltimore 214,151 56.22% 158,714 41.66% 8,073 2.12% 55,437 14.55% 380,938 Baltimore City 214,385 87.16% 28,681 11.66% 2,902 1.18% 185,704 75.50% 245,968 Calvert 20,299 46.07% 23,095 52.42% 663 1.50% -2,796 -6.35% 44,057 Caroline 4,971 37.61% 8,015 60.64% 232 1.76% -3,044 -23.03% 13,218 Carroll 28,060 33.11% 54,503 64.30% 2,197 2.59% -26,443 -31.20% 84,760 Cecil 17,665 41.57% 23,855 56.14% 974 2.29% -6,190 -14.57% 42,494 Charles 43,635 62.22% 25,732 36.69% 760 1.08% 17,903 25.53% 70,127 Dorchester 6,912 45.25% 8,168 53.48% 194 1.27% -1,256 -8.22% 15,274 Frederick 54,013 48.58% 55,170 49.62% 2,003 1.80% -1,157 -1.04% 111,186 Garrett 3,736 29.02% 8,903 69.17% 233 1.81% -5,167 -40.14% 12,872 Harford 48,552 39.38% 71,751 58.19% 2,992 2.43% -23,199 -18.82% 123,295 Howard 87,120 59.99% 55,393 38.14% 2,720 1.87% 31,727 21.85% 145,233 Kent 4,953 49.43% 4,905 48.95% 162 1.62% 48 0.48% 10,020 Montgomery 314,444 71.58% 118,608 27.00% 6,209 1.41% 195,836 44.58% 439,261 Prince George's 332,396 88.87% 38,833 10.38% 2,797 0.75% 293,563 78.49% 374,026 Queen Anne's 8,575 35.66% 15,087 62.74% 383 1.59% -6,512 -27.08% 24,045 Somerset 4,779 48.16% 5,037 50.76% 108 1.09% -258 -2.60% 9,924 St. Mary's 19,023 42.84% 24,705 55.63% 681 1.53% -5,682 -12.79% 44,409 Talbot 9,035 44.45% 10,995 54.09% 298 1.47% -1,960 -9.64% 20,328 Washington 26,245 42.61% 34,169 55.47% 1,186 1.93% -7,924 -12.86% 61,600 Wicomico 19,436 46.44% 21,849 52.20% 569 1.36% -2,413 -5.77% 41,854 Worcester 11,374 41.59% 15,607 57.07% 365 1.33% -4,233 -15.48% 27,346Totals1,629,46761.92%959,86236.47%42,2671.61%669,60525.45%2,631,596
right 300px Swing by county Legend #00a1c8 Democratic — +>15% #00bdec Democratic — +12.5–15% #09ceff Democratic — +10–12.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5–10% #77e3ff Democratic — +5–7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5–5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0–2.5% 300px Trend relative to the state by county Legend #09ceff Democratic — +10–12.5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5–7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5–5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0–2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0–2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5–5% #ff8080 Republican — +5–7.5% #ff2a2a Republican — +10–12.5% 300px County flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
#0671b0 Flip
Republican
#f48882 Hold
County that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Kent (largest borough: Chestertown)
By congressional district
Barack Obama carried six of Maryland's eight congressional districts. McCain carried two congressional districts, including one that was won by a Democrat.
District Obama McCain RepresentativeMaryland 1 1st39.81%58.26%Wayne Gilchrest (110th Congress)Frank Kratovil (111th Congress)Maryland 2 2nd59.84% 38.25%Dutch RuppersbergerMaryland 3 3rd58.78% 39.23%John SarbanesMaryland 4 4th85.06%14.16%Albert Wynn (110th Congress)Donna Edwards (111th Congress)Maryland 5 5th65.44% 33.30%Steny HoyerMaryland 6 6th 40.19% 57.65%Roscoe BartlettMaryland 7 7th78.79% 19.89%Elijah CummingsMaryland 8 8th73.88% 24.70%Chris Van Hollen
Electors
List of 2008 United States presidential electors
Technically the voters of Maryland cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Maryland is allocated 10 electors because it has 8 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 10 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 10 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm Electoral College 2008-11-01 California Secretary of State dead https://web.archive.org/web/20081030041546/http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm October 30, 2008 An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 10 were pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden:2008 Presidential Electors https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2008/2008_electors.html 2021-05-22 elections.maryland.gov
Gene M. Ransom III
Delores Kelley
Guy Guzzone
Nathaniel Exum
Chris Reynolds
Bobby Fouche
Elizabeth Bobo
Michael Barnes
Susan Lee
Rainier Harvey, Sr.
See also
United States presidential elections in Maryland
2008 United States presidential election
2008 United States elections
References
Maryland
2008
Presidential