2015 Cantabrian regional election

Election in the Spanish region of Cantabria 2015 Cantabrian regional election Cantabria parliamentary no 2011 Cantabrian regional election 2011 2019 Cantabrian regional election 2019 All 35 seats in the Parliament of Cantabria 18 #Opinion polls 499,596 10px 0.9% 330,868 (66.2%)10px 1.2 pp 24 May 2015 170x170px Ignacio Diego People's Party of Cantabria 13 November 2004 20 seats, 46.1% 13 10px 7 105,944 32.6% 10px 13.5 pp 170x170px Miguel Ángel Revilla Regionalist Party of Cantabria 1983 12 seats, 29.1% 12 10px 0 97,185 29.9% 10px 0.8 pp 170x170px Eva Díaz Tezanos Socialist Party of Cantabria 31 March 2012 7 seats, 16.4% 5 10px 2 45,653 14.0% 10px 2.4 pp 170x170px José Ramón Blanco Podemos (Spanish political party) 14 February 2015 Did not contest 3 10px 3 28,895 8.9% New party 170x170px Rubén Gómez C's EB6109 9 April 2015 Did not contest 2 10px 2 22,552 6.9% New party President Ignacio Diego People's Party of Cantabria Miguel Ángel Revilla Regionalist Party of Cantabria The 2015 Cantabrian regional election was held on 24 May 2015 to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community of Cantabria. All 35 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain. Overview Electoral system The Parliament of Cantabria was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Cantabria, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Cantabrian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Autonomous Community.Statute of Autonomy of Cantabria of 1981 Organic Law 8 es 30 December 1981 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-635&tn=1&p=20100717 18 September 2017 Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Cantabria and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Cantabrians abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (es Voto rogado).Reig Pellicer Naiara 16 December 2015 http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html https://web.archive.org/web/20160415142104/http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html usurped April 15, 2016 Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote cafebabel.co.uk 17 July 2017 The 35 members of the Parliament of Cantabria were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally.Parliament of Cantabria Elections Law of 1987 Law 5 es 27 March 1987 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1987-8958&tn=1&p=20120601 18 September 2017 The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in Cantabria. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985 Organic Law 5 es 19 June 1985 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20150331 28 December 2016https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/LOREG_ENG Representation of the people Institutional Act www.juntaelectoralcentral.es Central Electoral Commission 16 June 2017 Election date The term of the Parliament of Cantabria expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Parliament were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, setting the election date for the Parliament on 24 May 2015. The President of the Autonomous Community had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Cantabria and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected lawmakers serving the remainder of its original four-year term. Opinion polls The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 18 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Cantabria (20 until 1 June 2012). Color key: #FFEAEA Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls 1px solid #AAAAAA Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 28px|link=People's Party of Cantabria|PP PRC 25px|link=Socialist Party of Cantabria|PSOE 27px|link=United Left of Cantabria|IU 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's Lead 2015 regional election 24 May 2015 66.2 32.675% Verdana 13 29.975% Verdana 12 14.075% Verdana 5 2.575% Verdana 0 0.775% Verdana 0 8.975% Verdana 3 6.975% Verdana 2 2.7 GAD3/Antena 3Encuestas y resultados - elecciones autonómicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015 http://www.slideshare.net/GAD3_com/con-150405-comparativa-encuestas-resultados-antena-3-48692251 es GAD3 28 May 2015 11–22 May 2015???75% Verdana 15/16?75% Verdana 9/10?75% Verdana 5/6 – –?75% Verdana 0/2?75% Verdana 3/4? GAD3/ABCDiego y Revilla, en busca de alianzas https://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2015/05/20/024.html es ABC 20 May 2015Rajoy cree un éxito ser el más votado aunque pierda plazas simbólicas https://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2015/05/17/023.html es ABC 17 May 2015 17 May 2015?? 37.575% Verdana 14/15 22.375% Verdana 8/9 15.775% Verdana 6 – – 7.475% Verdana 2/3 10.375% Verdana 4 15.2 NC Report/La RazónEl PP mantendría sin apoyos Castilla y León, Castilla-La Mancha, Murcia y La Rioja https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-mantendria-sin-apoyos-castilla-y-leon-castilla-la-mancha-murcia-y-la-rioja-ML9739680 es La Razón 17 May 2015Cantabria: Ignacio Diego dependerá del PRC o de los socialistas para gobernar https://www.larazon.es/espana/cantabria-ignacio-diego-dependera-del-prc-o-de-los-socialistas-para-gobernar-XL9739145 es La Razón 17 May 2015Cantabria. Encuesta mayo 2015 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_3083189_20150517015237.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20160304085534/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_3083189_20150517015237.pdf dead 4 March 2016 es La Razón 17 May 2015 17 May 2015 400? 36.275% Verdana 13 24.275% Verdana 9 15.375% Verdana 5 2.875% Verdana 0 0.775% Verdana 0 10.275% Verdana 3 8.975% Verdana 3 12.0 Ikerfel/El Diario MontañésEn Cantabria no habrá gobernabilidad sin pactos https://cadenaser.com/ser/2015/05/18/politica/1431943343_532106.html es Cadena SER 17 May 2015CANTABRIA, Mayo 2015. Sondeo Ikerfel https://www.electografica.com/2015/05/cantabria-mayo-2015-sondeo-ikerfel.html es Electográfica 17 May 2015 5–9 May 2015 2,000? 34.775% Verdana 13/14 21.875% Verdana 8/9 15.775% Verdana 6 4.075% Verdana 0 1.475% Verdana 0 8.875% Verdana 3 11.975% Verdana 4/5 12.9 PPEl PP maneja una nueva encuesta electoral http://populartvcantabria.com/2015/05/01/el-pp-maneja-una-nueva-encuesta-electoral/ es Popular TV Cantabria 1 May 2015 1 May 2015???75% Verdana 15/17?75% Verdana 7/9?75% Verdana 5/7 – –?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 3? CISPreelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2015. Comunidad Autónoma de Cantabria (Estudio nº 3070. Marzo-Abril 2015) http://datos.cis.es/pdf/Es3070mar_A.pdf es CIS 7 May 2015El PP se echa a la calle para recuperar a las clases medias https://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2015/05/08/pagina-17/95357635/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 8 May 2015 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 799? 33.275% Verdana 13/14 22.475% Verdana 8/9 16.375% Verdana 6 3.075% Verdana 0 1.675% Verdana 0 9.575% Verdana 3 10.375% Verdana 4 10.8 NC Report/La RazónEl PP seguirá siendo el más votado en las CC AA pese a la caída en apoyos https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-seguira-siendo-el-mas-votado-en-las-cc-aa-pese-a-la-caida-en-apoyos-CM9493271 es La Razón 20 April 2015Cantabria: La gobernabilidad en juego en una cámara que reduce su aforo https://www.larazon.es/espana/cantabria-la-gobernabilidad-en-juego-en-una-camara-que-reduce-su-aforo-HN9492810 es La Razón 20 April 2015Cantabria. Encuesta marzo 2015 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_2946098_20150420022935.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20150427111121/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_2946098_20150420022935.pdf dead 27 April 2015 es La Razón 20 April 2015 17–26 Mar 2015 400? 35.975% Verdana 13/14 20.175% Verdana 7/8 15.175% Verdana 5/6 2.775% Verdana 0 1.175% Verdana 0 12.775% Verdana 3/4 10.175% Verdana 3/4 15.8 Ikerfel/El Diario MontañésPP perdería mayoría absoluta y lograrían escaños Podemos y C's, según sondeo https://www.eldiariomontanes.es/agencias/cantabria/201503/15/perderia-mayoria-absoluta-lograrian-338231.html es El Diario Montañés 15 March 2015CANTABRIA, Marzo 2015. Sondeo Ikerfel https://www.electografica.com/2015/03/cantabria-marzo-2015-sondeo-ikerfel.html es Electográfica 15 March 2015 23 Feb–3 Mar 2015 1,800? 34.875% Verdana 13/14 17.675% Verdana 6/7 15.375% Verdana 5/6 4.175% Verdana 0 – 13.175% Verdana 5 12.575% Verdana 4/5 17.2 PPCANTABRIA, Enero 2015. Sondeos internos https://www.electografica.com/2015/02/cantabria-enero-2015-sondeos-internos.html es Electográfica 2 February 2015 2 Feb 2015???75% Verdana 14/16?75% Verdana 8/10?75% Verdana 5/6 – –?75% Verdana 5/6 –? PPCANTABRIA, Octubre 2014. Sondeo interno PP https://www.electografica.com/2014/11/cantabria-octubre-2014-sondeo-interno-pp.html es Electográfica 10 November 2014 10 Nov 2014???75% Verdana 16?75% Verdana 9?75% Verdana 5 – –?75% Verdana 5 –? SyM ConsultingBCM Cantabria. Tercera oleada. Noviembre 2014. Elecciones autonómicas 2015 https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/530420417543274498 es SyM Consulting 6 November 2014Estimación tercera oleada Cantabria. Noviembre 2014 https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B1xujoHCEAAt2Cs.jpg:large es SyM Consulting 6 November 2014CANTABRIA, Noviembre 2014. SyM Consulting https://www.electografica.com/2014/11/cantabria-noviembre-2014-sym-consulting.html es Electográfica 6 November 2014 1–5 Nov 2014 508 69.9 36.875% Verdana 14 12.675% Verdana 4/6 21.875% Verdana 8 6.075% Verdana 2/3 5.975% Verdana 2 13.475% Verdana 5 – 15.0 Llorente & CuencaEl reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015 http://www.desarrollando-ideas.com/publico/141104_dmasi_Informe_especial_reparto_poder_territorial_2015.pdf es desarrollando-ideas.com 31 October 2014 31 Oct 2014???75% Verdana 13/15?75% Verdana 9/10?75% Verdana 4?75% Verdana 1/2?75% Verdana 0/1?75% Verdana 4/5 –? 2014 EP election 25 May 2014 44.1 34.775% Verdana (15) – 24.375% Verdana (10) 9.075% Verdana (3) 8.275% Verdana (3) 9.275% Verdana (4) 3.075% Verdana (0) 10.4 SyM ConsultingBCM Cantabria Febrero 2014. Segunda oleada sondeo electoral. Elecciones autonómicas 2015 y europeas https://www.sociored.net/barometro/?p=1031 es SyM Consulting 13 February 2014Estimación segunda oleada Cantabria. Febrero 2014 http://www.sociored.net/barometro/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/Estimaci%C3%B3n-Auton%C3%B3micas.Cantabria-Febrero-2014.pdf es SyM Consulting 13 February 2014 6–9 Feb 2014 516 70.7 36.975% Verdana 14 27.775% Verdana 10/11 16.875% Verdana 6 7.775% Verdana 2/3 6.375% Verdana 2 – – 9.2 NC Report/La RazónEl PP ganaría de nuevo en 9 de 13 autonomías http://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-ganaria-de-nuevo-en-9-de-13-autonomias-LJ4391184 https://web.archive.org/web/20160303192445/http://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-ganaria-de-nuevo-en-9-de-13-autonomias-LJ4391184 dead 3 March 2016 es La Razón 18 November 2013Encuesta autonómicas NC Report noviembre 2013 http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video%285843%29.pdf es La Razón 18 November 2013 15 March 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20160303195841/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video(5843).pdf 3 March 2016 dead 15 Oct–12 Nov 2013?? 39.675% Verdana 15/16 30.675% Verdana 11/12 16.775% Verdana 6/7?75% Verdana 2 – – – 9.0 SyM ConsultingBCM Cantabria. Primera oleada sondeo electoral. Septiembre 2013. Elecciones autonómicas 2015 https://www.sociored.net/barometro/?p=890 es SyM Consulting 8 October 2013Estimación primera oleada Cantabria. Septiembre 2013 http://www.sociored.net/barometro/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Estimaci%C3%B3n-Auton%C3%B3micas.Cantabria-Septiembre-2013.jpg es SyM Consulting 8 October 2013 24–27 Sep 2013 450 77.2 36.775% Verdana 14/16 24.375% Verdana 9/10 17.275% Verdana 5/6 7.775% Verdana 2/3?75% Verdana 2/3 – – 12.4 NC Report/La RazónEl PP mantiene el poder autonómico https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-pp-mantiene-el-poder-autonomico-AF2250507 es La Razón 13 May 2013Perderían la mayoría absoluta en Madrid, Cantabria y Valencia http://www.larazon.es/detalle_normal/noticias/2250038/espana/perderian-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-madrid-canta es La Razón 13 May 2013El PP ganaría en la mayoría de las autonomías (La Razón) http://www.electometro.es/2013/05/el-pp-ganaria-en-la-mayoria-de-las-autonomias-la-razon/ https://web.archive.org/web/20160304052841/http://www.electometro.es/2013/05/el-pp-ganaria-en-la-mayoria-de-las-autonomias-la-razon/ dead 4 March 2016 es Electómetro 13 May 2013 15 Apr–10 May 2013 200? 39.875% Verdana 15/16 30.875% Verdana 11/12 16.275% Verdana 6/7 6.175% Verdana 2 – – – 9.0 2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 71.6 52.275% Verdana (23) 12.575% Verdana (5) 25.275% Verdana (11) 3.675% Verdana (0) 3.675% Verdana (0) – – 27.0 2011 regional election 22 May 2011 69.8 46.175% Verdana 20 29.175% Verdana 12 16.475% Verdana 7 3.3*75% Verdana 0 1.775% Verdana 0 – – 17.0 (*) Results for Social and Ecologist Left. Results + ← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Parliament of Cantabria election results → center|325px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− People's Party (PP) 105,944 32.58 −13.51 13 −7 Regionalist Party of Cantabria (PRC) 97,185 29.89 +0.77 12 ±0 Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 45,653 14.04 −2.32 5 −2 We Can (Podemos) 28,895 8.89 New 3 +3 Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 22,552 6.94 New 2 +2 United Left (IU)1 8,246 2.54 −0.78 0 ±0 Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 2,380 0.73 −0.99 0 ±0 Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 1,965 0.60 New 0 ±0 For Cantabria Yes (Sí) 1,852 0.57 New 0 ±0 Equo (Equo) 1,592 0.49 New 0 ±0 Let's Win Cantabria (Ganemos) 1,417 0.44 New 0 ±0 Vox (Vox) 1,119 0.34 New 0 ±0 Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 562 0.17 −0.16 0 ±0 Engine and Sports Alternative (AMD) 495 0.15 −0.12 0 ±0 Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 251 0.08 −0.07 0 ±0 Blank ballots 5,025 1.55 −0.61 Total 325,133 35 −4 Valid votes 325,133 98.27 −0.03 Invalid votes 5,735 1.73 +0.03 Votes cast / turnout 330,868 66.23 −3.56 Abstentions 168,728 33.77 +3.56 Registered voters 499,596 Sourceshttps://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/CANTABRIA_2015_Resultados.pdf Parliament of Cantabria election results, 24 May 2015 17 July 2015 es www.juntaelectoralcentral.es Electoral Commission of Cantabria 28 September 2017https://www.historiaelectoral.com/acantabria.html Elecciones al Parlamento de Cantabria (1983 - 2019) es Historia Electoral.com 28 September 2017 left Footnotes: 1 United Left results are compared to Social and Ecologist Left totals in the 2011 election. Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px PP People's Party of Cantabria 32.58 PRC Regionalist Party of Cantabria 29.89 PSOE Socialist Party of Cantabria 14.04 Podemos Podemos (Spanish political party) 8.89 C's Citizens (Spanish political party) 6.94 IU United Left of Cantabria 2.54 Others #777777 3.58 Blank ballots #DDDDDD 1.55 Seats #ddd 550px 500px PP People's Party of Cantabria 37.14 PRC Regionalist Party of Cantabria 34.29 PSOE Socialist Party of Cantabria 14.29 Podemos Podemos (Spanish political party) 8.57 C's Citizens (Spanish political party) 5.71 Aftermath Third government of Miguel Ángel Revilla InvestitureMiguel Ángel Revilla (PRC) Ballot → 1 July 2015 3 July 2015 Required majority → 18 out of 35 15 Simple 15 Yes • PRC (12) • PSOE (5) 17 35 green 125px 17 35 green 125px No • PP (13) • C's (2) 15 35 red 125px 15 35 red 125px Abstentions • Podemos (3) 3 35 gray 125px 3 35 gray 125px Absentees 0 35 black 125px 0 35 black 125px Sources References Opinion poll sources "p" Other Category:2015 in Cantabria Cantabria Category:Regional elections in Cantabria Category:May 2015 in Spain