2004 United States presidential election in Alabama

none June 2025 September 2023 2004 United States presidential election 2004 United States presidential election in Alabama Alabama presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Alabama 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Alabama 2008 72.50%Comprehensive Voter Turnout 1986-2020 https://www.sos.alabama.gov/sites/default/files/election-data/2021-05/Comprehensive%20Voter%20Turnout%201986-2020.pdf Alabama Secretary of State November 2, 2004 x200px File:George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 9 1,176,394 62.46% John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 0 693,933 36.84% 300px County results 300px Congressional district results 1 Bush #e27f90 50–60% #cc2f4a 60–70% #d40000 70–80% #aa0000 80–90% Kerry #b9d7ff 40–50% #86b6f2 50–60% #4389e3 60–70% #1666cb 70–80% #0645B4 80–90% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) The 2004 United States presidential election in Alabama took place on November 2, 2004. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Alabama was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 25.62% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this was a state Bush would win, or otherwise a red state. On election day, it trended Republican sharply, by a swing margin of 10.70% from the 2000 election, the strongest such swing in the nation. Bush won with over 60% of the vote, a first since 1984, and carried most of the counties and congressional districts. Historically, Alabama is a very reliable Republican state that a Democratic presidential nominee has not won since 1976, when Southern governor of Georgia Jimmy Carter ran and swept the Deep South. Primaries 2004 Alabama Democratic presidential primary Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm Archived copy dcpoliticalreport.com 13 January 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm 21 November 2010 usurped +SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportSolid RAssociated PressSolid RCNNLikely RCook Political ReportSolid RNewsweekSolid RNew York TimesSolid RRasmussen ReportsLikely RResearch 2000Solid RWashington PostLikely RWashington TimesSolid RZogby InternationalLikely RWashington DispatchLikely R Polling Statewide opinion polling for the 2004 United States presidential election#Alabama Statewide opinion polling for the 2004 United States presidential election: Alabama Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each by a double-digit margin of victory. The final three polls averaged Bush leading 58% to 38%.https://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=1 Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections Uselectionatlas.org October 8, 2014 Fundraising Bush raised $3,092,923.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Campaignmoney.com October 8, 2014 Kerry raised $514,589.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President Campaignmoney.com October 8, 2014 Advertising and visits Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ CNN.com Specials Cnn.com October 8, 2014http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html CNN.com Specials Cnn.com October 8, 2014 Analysis Bush easily won every poll taken in the state prior to the election. Kerry won a small section of counties in the middle of the state, including winning Alabama's 7th congressional district. In 2000, the state voted for Bush 56%–41% by fifteen points; this year it voted for him by 25 points. With the exception of Oklahoma in 2004, the state was also Bush's best performance in the South, with not even Texas, Bush's home state, voting as red as Alabama. In a year that saw the highest turnout rate amongst eligible voters since 1968, Alabama was the only state in the country in which Kerry received less votes than Al Gore statewide (1,669 less votes). In every other state across the country both Bush and Kerry received more votes statewide for their parties than in the previous election in 2000.Faler Brian 2005-01-15 Election Turnout in 2004 Was Highest Since 1968 https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/2005/01/15/election-turnout-in-2004-was-highest-since-1968/8ff91650-23a2-4c3b-8276-db91263425c4/ 2026-06-23 The Washington Post en-US 0190-8286 CNN exit polls showed that almost 70% of male voters voted for Bush as did 99% of registered Republicans (which made up 48% of the population). 43% of the state describe themselves as evangelical Christians, and 88% of them voted for Bush. 62% of the state approved of Bush, and 60% approved of the decision to go to war in Iraq. 82% of white men and 79% of white women voted for Bush. Finally, 70% of voters over the age of 60 voted for Bush. Alabama was racially divided: Alabama Whites voted 80%–19% for Bush while Blacks voted 91%-9% for Kerry.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/AL/P/00/epolls.0.html CNN.com Election 2004 Cnn.com October 8, 2014 2024 11 As of the 2024 presidential election, Bush is the last Republican to carry Jefferson County (home of Birmingham, the state's largest city) in a presidential election. Majority-black Marengo County wouldn't vote Republican again until 2024. Results 2004 United States presidential election in Alabama https://web.archive.org/web/20090513011625/http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf May 13, 2009 PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 1,176,394 62.46% 9 Democratic John Kerry 693,933 36.84% 0 Independent Ralph Nader 6,701 0.36% 0 Independent Michael Badnarik 3,529 0.19% 0 Independent Michael Peroutka 1,994 0.11% 0 Write Ins 898 0.05% 0 Totals 1,883,449 100.00% 9 Voter turnout (voting-age population) 55.5% By county CountyGeorge W. BushRepublicanJohn KerryDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Autauga15,19675.67%4,75823.69%1270.63%10,43851.98%20,081Baldwin52,97176.42%15,59922.50%7501.09%37,37253.92%69,320Barbour5,89954.74%4,83244.84%460.43%1,0679.90%10,777Bibb5,47272.00%2,08927.49%390.51%3,38344.51%7,600Blount17,38680.85%3,93818.31%1800.84%13,44862.54%21,504Bullock1,49431.67%3,21068.05%130.28%-1,716-36.38%4,717Butler4,97959.16%3,41340.55%240.29%1,56618.61%8,416Calhoun29,81465.89%15,08333.33%3520.78%14,73132.56%45,249Chambers7,62258.49%5,34741.03%630.48%2,27517.46%13,032Cherokee5,92365.45%3,04033.59%860.96%2,88331.86%9,049Chilton12,82976.85%3,77822.63%860.52%9,05154.22%16,693Choctaw3,89753.92%3,30345.70%270.37%5948.22%7,227Clarke6,73059.07%4,62740.61%370.32%2,10318.46%11,394Clay4,62470.32%1,89328.79%590.90%2,73141.53%6,576Cleburne4,37075.37%1,39123.99%370.63%2,97951.38%5,798Coffee13,01973.90%4,48025.43%1170.66%8,53948.47%17,616Colbert13,18855.10%10,59844.28%1490.62%2,59010.82%23,935Conecuh3,27154.33%2,71945.16%310.51%5529.17%6,021Coosa2,90558.09%2,05541.09%410.82%85017.00%5,001Covington11,11976.02%3,42323.40%850.58%7,69652.62%14,627Crenshaw3,77768.67%1,69830.87%250.46%2,07937.80%5,500Cullman26,81876.21%8,04522.86%3280.93%18,77353.35%35,191Dale13,62174.71%4,48424.60%1260.69%9,13750.11%18,231Dallas7,33539.49%11,17560.17%630.34%-3,840-20.68%18,573DeKalb16,90469.94%7,09229.34%1730.72%9,81240.60%24,169Elmore22,05676.90%6,47122.56%1530.53%15,58554.34%28,680Escambia8,51368.68%3,81430.77%680.55%4,69937.91%12,395Etowah26,99963.26%15,32835.91%3530.83%11,67127.35%42,680Fayette5,53469.16%2,40830.09%600.74%3,12639.07%8,002Franklin7,69062.68%4,51436.79%650.53%3,17625.89%12,269Geneva8,34279.30%2,11320.09%650.62%6,22959.21%10,520Greene95820.18%3,76479.28%260.54%-2,806-59.10%4,748Hale3,28141.30%4,63158.29%330.42%-1,350-16.99%7,945Henry4,88166.31%2,45233.31%280.38%2,42933.00%7,361Houston26,87474.24%9,14425.26%1830.50%17,73048.98%36,201Jackson11,53456.76%8,63542.49%1520.75%2,89914.27%20,321Jefferson158,68054.16%132,28645.15%2,0010.68%26,3949.01%292,967Lamar4,89471.08%1,95628.41%350.51%2,93842.67%6,885Lauderdale22,16159.72%14,62839.42%3180.86%7,53320.30%37,107Lawrence7,73055.21%6,15543.96%1160.82%1,57511.25%14,001Lee27,97262.70%16,22736.38%4110.92%11,74526.32%44,610Limestone19,70267.77%9,12631.39%2450.84%10,57636.38%29,073Lowndes1,78629.66%4,23370.30%20.03%-2,447-40.64%6,021Macon1,57016.69%7,80082.92%370.39%-6,230-66.23%9,407Madison77,17358.88%52,64440.17%1,2450.95%24,52918.71%131,062Marengo5,25550.91%5,03748.80%300.29%2182.11%10,322Marion8,98369.77%3,80829.58%840.65%5,17540.19%12,875Marshall22,78372.35%8,45226.84%2560.81%14,33145.51%31,491Mobile92,01458.69%63,73240.65%1,0250.65%28,28218.04%156,771Monroe5,83161.16%3,66638.45%370.39%2,16522.71%9,534Montgomery44,09749.19%45,16050.37%3930.44%-1,063-1.18%89,650Morgan32,47769.09%14,13130.06%3990.85%18,34639.03%47,007Perry1,73831.47%3,76768.21%180.33%-2,029-36.74%5,523Pickens5,17056.61%3,91542.87%470.51%1,25513.74%9,132Pike7,48362.97%4,33436.47%660.56%3,14926.50%11,883Randolph6,12768.07%2,81731.30%570.63%3,31036.77%9,001Russell8,33749.60%8,37549.82%970.57%-38-0.22%16,809Shelby63,43580.39%14,85018.82%6210.79%48,58561.57%78,906St. Clair23,50080.59%5,45618.71%2050.70%18,04461.88%29,161Sumter1,88029.22%4,52770.37%260.40%-2,647-41.15%6,433Talladega18,33161.31%11,37438.04%1930.65%6,95723.27%29,898Tallapoosa12,39269.03%5,45130.36%1090.61%6,94138.67%17,952Tuscaloosa42,87761.40%26,44737.87%5060.73%16,43023.53%69,830Walker19,16767.57%9,01631.78%1840.65%10,15135.79%28,367Washington5,06061.36%3,14538.14%420.51%1,91523.22%8,247Wilcox1,83432.28%3,83867.55%100.18%-2,004-35.27%5,682Winston8,13078.00%2,23621.45%570.55%5,89456.55%10,423Totals1,176,39462.46%693,93336.84%13,1220.70%482,46125.62%1,883,449 Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Barbour (Largest city: Eufaula) Choctaw (Largest city: Butler) Colbert (Largest city: Muscle Shoals) Conecuh (Largest city: Evergreen) Jackson (Largest city: Scottsboro) Lawrence (Largest city: Moulton) Marengo (Largest city: Linden) right 250px Swing by county Legend #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 250px Trend by county Legend #09ceff Democratic — +10-12.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 250px County flips Legend Democratic #92c5de Hold Republican #f48882 Hold #ca0120 Flip By congressional district Bush won six of seven congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat. District Bush Kerry RepresentativeAlabama 1 1st100px 64% 35%Jo BonnerAlabama 2 2nd100px 67% 33%Terry Everett Alabama 3 3rd100px 58% 41%Mike D. RogersAlabama 4 4th100px 71% 28%Robert AderholtAlabama 5 5th100px 60% 39%Bud Cramer Alabama 6 6th100px 78% 22%Spencer BachusAlabama 7 7th100px 35% 64%Artur Davishttps://swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ Swing State Project December 15, 2008 Swingstateproject.com October 8, 2014 Electors List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of Alabama cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Alabama is allocated 9 electors because it has 7 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney. https://web.archive.org/web/20090326201846/http://www.sos.state.al.us/downloads/election/2004/general/electors-bush.pdf March 26, 2009 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections Uselectionatlas.org October 8, 2014 Beth Chapman Marty Connors Martha Hosey Will Sellers Mike Hubbard Floyd Lawson Elbert Peters Bettye Fine Collins Martha Stokes See also United States presidential elections in Alabama References Alabama 2004 Category:2004 Alabama elections