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2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
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2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana Montana presidential no 2012 United States House of Representatives election in Montana 2012 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana 2016 November 4, 2014 File:Ryan Zinke official congressional photo (crop).jpg 150x150px Ryan Zinke Republican Party (United States) 203,871 55.41% 3x4.svg John Lewis Democratic Party (United States) 148,690 40.41% 2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana results map by county.svg County resultsZinke: #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80% #c21b18 80–90%Lewis: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% U.S. Representative Steve Daines Republican Party (United States) Ryan Zinke Republican Party (United States)
thumb|Montana's at-large congressional district
The 2014 congressional election in Montana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. Between 1993 and 2023, Montana had one at-large seat in the House.
Incumbent Republican Congressman Steve Daines was first elected in 2012. Instead of running for re-election, he successfully ran for the U.S. Senate election in 2014.https://www.politico.com/story/2013/11/steve-daines-senate-bid-montana-99386.html?hp=r7 Steve Daines to announce Senate bid November 5, 2013 November 5, 2013 Manu Raju POLITICO Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the elected will serve in the 114th United States Congress from January 3, 2015, until January 3, 2017.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Elsie Arntzen, state representativehttp://www.greatfallstribune.com/viewart/20140125/NEWS01/301250003/Conservative-state-senator-run-U-S-House Conservative state senator to run for U.S. House Great Falls Tribune January 25, 2014 February 5, 2014August 2026 InternetArchiveBot
Matt Rosendale, state senatorhttp://helenair.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/rosendale-launches-house-race/article_d5865152-35e0-11e3-94ca-0019bb2963f4.html Rosendale launches House race Independent Record Johnson Charles S. October 15, 2013 October 21, 2013
Corey Stapleton, former state senator and candidate for governor in 2012http://atr.rollcall.com/montana-senate-field-now-cleared-for-daines-mtsen/ Montana Senate Field Now Cleared for Daines #MTSEN Roll Call Trygstad Kyle September 3, 2013 October 21, 2013 April 19, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140419212941/http://atr.rollcall.com/montana-senate-field-now-cleared-for-daines-mtsen/ dead
Drew Turiano, real estate investor and candidate for Secretary of State of Montana in 2012http://missoulian.com/news/state-and-regional/helena-man-becomes-th-republican-in-u-s-house-race/article_ec2c59cc-53ec-11e3-94a4-001a4bcf887a.html Helena man becomes 5th Republican in U.S. House Missoulian Johnson Charles S. November 22, 2013 December 5, 2013
Ryan Zinke, former state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2012http://missoulian.com/news/local/whitefish-s-zinke-announces-gop-candidacy-for-u-s-house/article_06cec10c-3a8e-11e3-9210-001a4bcf887a.html Whitefish's Zinke announces GOP candidacy for U.S. House Missoulian Lutey Tom October 21, 2013 October 21, 2013
Withdrew
Brad Johnson, former Secretary of State of Montana (running for Montana Public Service Commission)http://helenair.com/news/local/former-gop-secretary-of-state-brad-johnson-to-run-for/article_d0797238-8974-11e3-8251-001a4bcf887a.html/ Former GOP Secretary of State Brad Johnson to run for PSC Helenair January 30, 2014
Declined
Steve Daines, incumbent U.S. Representative (running for the U.S. Senate)Steve Daines Announces 2014 Senate Run http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/11/06/steve-daines-2014_n_4228123.html Huffington Post 6 November 2013
Champ Edmunds, state representative (running for the U.S. Senate)http://mediatrackers.org/montana/2013/12/04/champ-edmunds-will-challenge-daines-montana-gop-senate-primary Champ Edmunds Will Challenge Daines in Montana GOP Senate Primary Ron Catlett December 4, 2013 December 5, 2013 Mediatrackers https://web.archive.org/web/20140326231836/http://mediatrackers.org/montana/2013/12/04/champ-edmunds-will-challenge-daines-montana-gop-senate-primary March 26, 2014 usurped
Denny Rehberg, former U.S. Representative, former lieutenant governor and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2012Rehberg will not run in 2014 http://www.kxlf.com/news/rehberg-will-not-run-in-2014/ MTN News 13 January 2014 14 January 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140115064110/http://www.kxlf.com/news/rehberg-will-not-run-in-2014/ 15 January 2014 dead
Scott Reichner, state representative Formerly 'all in' House candidate now won't run http://billingsgazette.com/news/state-and-regional/montana/formerly-all-in-house-candidate-now-won-t-run/article_b28cce7a-85fd-53f0-aec1-76fd03f086e7.html/ Billings Gazette 3 October 2013
Jon Sonju, state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2012
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror BradJohnson MatthewRosendale CoreyStapleton RyanZinke Other UndecidedPPPPPP November 15–17, 2013 469 ±4.5% 20% 9% 32% 9% — 31%
Primary results
Republican primary resultshttp://sos.mt.gov/elections/2014/2014-Primary-Official-Statewide-Canvass.pdf 2014 Statewide Montana Primary Election Canvas Montana Secretary of State July 23, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140728143746/http://sos.mt.gov/Elections/2014/2014-Primary-Official-Statewide-Canvass.pdf July 28, 2014 dead mdy-all
Ryan Zinke Republican Party (United States) 43,766 33.25
Corey Stapleton Republican Party (United States) 38,591 29.32
Matt Rosendale Republican Party (United States) 37,965 28.84
Elsie Arntzen Republican Party (United States) 9,011 6.85
Drew Turiano Republican Party (United States) 2,290 1.74
131,623 100
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
John Driscoll, former Public Service Commissioner, former Speaker of the Montana House of Representatives and nominee for the seat in 2008 http://billingsgazette.com/news/state-and-regional/montana/former-democratic-lawmaker-john-driscoll-to-run-for-u-s/article_f1a4e956-3909-534f-8779-721efe4bcf14.html Former Democratic lawmaker John Driscoll to run for U.S. House Billings Gazette Johnson Charles S. March 7, 2014 March 9, 2014
John Lewis, former state director for U.S. Senator Max Baucus Democrat John Lewis files to run for state's U.S. House seat http://missoulian.com/news/local/democrat-john-lewis-files-to-run-for-state-s-u/article_2ce9d2e8-0e86-11e3-9f36-001a4bcf887a.html/ The Missoulian 26 August 2013
Withdrew
Melinda Gopher, writer and candidate for the seat in 2010 Pat Williams challenges trio of Senate candidates http://www.kaj18.com/news/pat-williams-challenges-trio-of-senate-candidates/ KAJ18.com 18 December 2013 19 December 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20131219193359/http://www.kaj18.com/news/pat-williams-challenges-trio-of-senate-candidates/ 19 December 2013 dead
Declined
Pam Bucy, Montana Commissioner of Labor and Industry and nominee for Attorney General of Montana in 2012http://mtstreetfighter.com/democrats-who-might-run-for-the-u-s-house/ Speculation: Democrats For U.S. House May 26, 2013 August 7, 2013 Montana Street Fighter
Shane Colton, attorney and former commissioner of the Montana Department of Fish, Wildlife and Parks
Amanda Curtis, state representativehttp://www.ravallirepublic.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/article_1ec3f200-2e09-11e3-9c0f-001a4bcf887a.html U.S. House race hinges on Daines' decision Ravalli Republic 2013-10-05 2013-10-05
John Engen, Mayor of Missoulahttp://www.kpax.com/news/missoula-mayor-engen-ready-for-next-term/ Missoula Mayor Engen ready for next term KPAX.com 2013-11-06 2013-11-08September 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes
Kim Gillan, state senator and nominee for the seat in 2012http://mtstreetfighter.com/race-for-u-s-house-in-mt-could-be-worth-watching/ Race For U.S. House In MT Could Be Worth Watching July 22, 2013 August 7, 2013 Montana Street Fighter http://www.greatfallstribune.com/article/20131204/NEWS01/312040021/ Former Montana legislator Gillan named HHS regional head Rulon Herman Malia December 4, 2013 December 11, 2013 Great Falls TribuneAugust 2026 InternetArchiveBot
Denise Juneau, Montana Superintendent of Public Instructionhttp://missoulian.com/news/state-and-regional/montana/juneau-latest-montana-dem-to-reject-us-senate-run/article_2692edb8-4c51-5242-93e5-bf6f2b160d90.html Juneau latest Montana Dem to reject US Senate run Missoulian 2013-08-05 2013-08-07August 2026 InternetArchiveBot
Jesse Laslovich, former state senator, Chief Legal Counsel to Montana State Auditor Monica Lindeen and candidate for Attorney General of Montana in 2012
Monica Lindeen, Montana State Auditor Democrat Lindeen says no to run for U.S. Senate seat http://missoulian.com/news/local/democrat-lindeen-says-no-to-run-for-u-s-senate/article_cb741e2a-ee40-11e2-b030-001a4bcf887a.html?comment_form=true The Missoulian July 16, 2013
Kendall Van Dyk, state senatorhttp://missoulian.com/news/state-and-regional/montana-democrats-start-search-for-senate-candidate/article_9da04450-ed92-11e2-87dd-001a4bcf887a.html Growing number of Montana Democrats consider U.S. Senate run missoulian.com July 15, 2013
John Walsh, United States Senator former Lieutenant Governor of Montana and former Adjutant General of the Montana National Guard (running for the U.S. Senate) Montana Lt. Gov. John Walsh (D) to run for Senate https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2013/10/03/montana-lt-gov-john-walsh-d-to-run-for-senate/ The Washington Post 3 October 2013
Carol Williams, former Majority Leader of the Montana State Senate
John Patrick Williams, former U.S. RepresentativeTrygstad Kyle Ex-Congressman Says No to Montana Senate Bid http://atr.rollcall.com/ex-congressman-says-no-to-montana-senate-bid/ Roll Call 13 August 2013 August 13, 2013 August 16, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20130816135703/http://atr.rollcall.com/ex-congressman-says-no-to-montana-senate-bid/ dead
Whitney Williams, former director of operations for Hillary Clinton
Franke Wilmer, state representative After spending the past several weeks speaking... https://www.facebook.com/FrankeForCongress/posts/507483559334659 Facebook September 9, 2013
Endorsements
John Lewis Max Baucus, former U.S. Senator (D-MT)http://www.greatfallstribune.com/article/20131204/NEWS05/312040008/ Top Montana Democrats endorse Lewis for U.S. House December 4, 2013 December 11, 2013 Great Falls Tribune December 16, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20131216012149/http://www.greatfallstribune.com/article/20131204/NEWS05/312040008/ dead
Steve Bullock, Governor of Montana
Jon Tester, U.S. Senator (D-MT)
Primary results
Democratic primary results
John Lewis Democratic Party (United States) 42,588 59.84
John Driscoll Democratic Party (United States) 28,580 40.16
71,168 100
Libertarian nomination
Candidates
Declared
Mike Fellows, businessman and chair of the Libertarian Party of Montanahttp://missoulian.com/news/local/missoula-s-edmunds-cundiff-file-for-u-s-senate-race/article_ef895100-a87f-11e3-9703-0019bb2963f4.html Missoula's Edmunds, Cundiff file for U.S. Senate race; Fellows runs for House Missoulian Johnson Charles S. March 10, 2014 March 11, 2014
Independents
Candidates
Withdrawn
Shawn White Wolf, counselor for the Montana United Indian Association and candidate for the Montana House of Representatives in 2010http://wackobird89982772.blogspot.com/2014/01/white-wolf-dropping-out-of-house-race.html White Wolf dropping out of House race Montana Wacko Birds 2014-01-10 2014-01-13
General election
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror RyanZinke (R) JohnLewis (D) MikeFellows (L) UndecidedGravis MarketingGravis Marketing October 23–24, 2014 604 ± 4% 53% 41% — 6%The MSU-Billings PollThe MSU-Billings Poll October 6–11, 2014 410 ± 5% 40% 33% 2% 25%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing September 29–30, 2014 535 ± 4% 51% 41% — 8%Vox Populi PollingVox Populi Polling poppolling.com http://www.poppolling.com/useruploads/files/montana_toplines_8.6.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20141125070726/http://www.poppolling.com/useruploads/files/montana_toplines_8.6.pdf November 25, 2014 usurped August 3–4, 2014 798 ± 3.5% 44% 37% — 19%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing July 20–22, 2014 741 ± 4% 47% 35% 6% 11%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 37% 32% — 30%
background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror BradJohnson (R) JohnLewis (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 43% 32% — 26%
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MatthewRosendale (R) JohnLewis (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 37% 32% — 31%
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror CoreyStapleton (R) JohnLewis (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 44% 31% — 25%
Predictions
SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report2014 House Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 http://cookpolitical.com/house/charts/race-ratings House: Race Ratings Cook Political Report November 3, 2014Likely RNovember 3, 2014 Rothenberg2014 House Ratings (October 24, 2014) http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/house House Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report October 24, 2014Safe R October 24, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball2014 House http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2014-house Sabato's Crystal Ball April 10, 2014 April 11, 2014Likely R October 30, 2014RCPLikely R November 2, 2014Daily Kos ElectionsDaily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2014 http://www.dailykos.com/election-outlook/2014-race-ratings#house Daily Kos Elections November 4, 2014Safe R November 4, 2014
Results
Montana's at-large congressional district, 2014https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/attachments/2014-General-Official-Statewide-Canvass.pdf?dt=1480457264103&dt=1480523087997&dt=1483636395345&dt=1484090685147&dt=1484090818653&dt=1484091059850&dt=1484092785123&dt=1484668556665&dt=1484676687552&dt=1485286813335&dt=1485286979901&dt=1491412807839&dt=1494348815885&dt=1494348873534&dt=1497553987845&dt=1497555053569&dt=1497555121034&dt=1497555299184&dt=1497892315130&dt=1519325848767 2014 STATEWIDE GENERAL ELECTION CANVASS Montana Secretary of State November 4, 2014 January 3, 2018
Republican Party (United States)
Ryan Zinke
203,871
55.41%
+2.16%
Democratic Party (United States)
John Lewis
148,690
40.41%
-2.13%
Libertarian Party (United States)
Mike Fellows
15,402
4.18%
+0.15%
367,963
100.00%
N/A
Republican Party (United States)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Hill (largest city: Havre)
See also
United States Senate election in Montana, 2014
2014 United States House of Representatives elections
2014 United States elections
References
30em
External links
U.S. House elections in Montana, 2014 at Ballotpedia
Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites
John Lewis for Congress
Ryan Zinke for Congress
United States House of Representatives
Montana
2014