2004 United States presidential election in Tennessee

none June 2025 September 2023 2004 United States presidential election 2004 United States presidential election in Tennessee Tennessee presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Tennessee 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Tennessee 2008 November 2, 2004 x200px George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 11 1,384,375 56.81% John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 0 1,036,477 42.51% 350px County results 350px Congressional district results 350px Precinct results Bush #F2B3BE 40–50% #e27f90 50–60% #cc2f4a 60–70% #d40000 70–80% #aa0000 80–90% #800000 90–100% Kerry #b9d7ff 40–50% #86b6f2 50–60% #4389e3 60–70% #1666cb 70–80% #0645B4 80–90% #002B84 90–100% Tie/No data #D4C4DC #808080 President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) 66.32% November 2, 2004 Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2004 Tennessee Secretary of State https://sos.tn.gov/elections/statistics February 28, 2023 3.29 pp The 2004 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 11 representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Tennessee was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 14.30% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise a red state. In the past 14 presidential elections, the Republican nominee won ten of them. The state trended more Republican by 10.43 points from Bush's performance in 2000. Bush won most of the counties and congressional districts in the state. Third-party and independent candidates made up just 0.68% of the vote. As of 2024, this is the last time that the following counties have voted Democratic in a presidential election: Trousdale County, Humphreys County, Grundy County, Lake County, Benton County, Overton County, Smith County, Lauderdale County, Van Buren County, Stewart County, Perry County, and Clay County. Primary elections Democratic primary 2004 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary 2004 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary Tennessee 2000 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary 2000 2008 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary 2008 2004 02 10 85 Democratic National Convention delegates (69 pledged, 16 unpledged)The number of pledged delegates received is determined by the popular vote 160x160px John Kerry 00539f Massachusetts 151,527 presidential no 41.02% 31 Arkansas North Carolina 97,914 26.51% 20 x160px 160x160px 039042 Wesley Clark 85,315 23.10% 18 2004 Democratic Presidential Primary in Tennessee.svg 380px John Edwards e50100 County resultsKerry #dbf2f7 30–40% #aedae4 40–50% #84c6d5 50–60% Edwards #faddd6 30–40%The 2004 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary was held on February 10, 2004. John Kerry won with 41.0% of the vote and was awarded 31 delegates. John Edwards came second with 26.5% of the vote and 20 delegates. Wesley Clark came third with 23.1% of the vote and 18 delegates. All other candidates did not receive any delegates 2004 Tennessee Democratic presidential primaryhttps://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2004&fips=47&f=0&off=0&elect=1 2004 Presidential Democratic Primary Election Results - Tennessee Leip Dave Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections live https://web.archive.org/web/20100316014258/http://uselectionatlas.org:80/RESULTS/state.php?year=2004&fips=47&f=0&off=0&elect=1 2010-03-16 2020-03-16PartyCandidateVotesPercentageDelegateshttps://www.thegreenpapers.com/P04/TN-D.phtml Tennessee Democratic Delegation 2004 www.thegreenpapers.com live https://web.archive.org/web/20040205183202/http://www.thegreenpapers.com:80/P04/TN-D.phtml 2004-02-05 2020-03-16DemocraticJohn Kerry151,52741.02%31DemocraticJohn Edwards97,91426.51%20DemocraticWesley Clark85,31523.10%18DemocraticHoward Dean (withdrawn)16,1284.37%0DemocraticAl Sharpton6,1071.65%0DemocraticJoe Lieberman3,2130.87%0DemocraticUncommitted2,7270.74%0DemocraticCarol Moseley Braun (withdrawn)2,4900.67%0DemocraticDennis Kucinich2,2790.62%0DemocraticDick Gephardt (withdrawn)1,4020.38%0DemocraticLyndon LaRouche2830.08%0Totals626,738100.00%69 Republican primary 2004 Tennessee Republican presidential primary 2004 Tennessee Republican presidential primary Tennessee presidential no 2000 Tennessee Republican presidential primary 2000 2008 Tennessee Republican presidential primary 2008 2004 02 10 52 pledged delegates to the 2004 Republican National Convention x160px George W. Bush d30036 Texas 52 94,557 95.45% x160px Uncommitted grey n/a 000000 0 4,504 4.55% File:2004 Tennessee Republican presidential primary election results map by county (vote share).svg County resultsBush: #570f21 85% #410b19 90% #2b0811 95% The 2004 Tennessee Republican presidential primary was held on February 10, 2004. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the primary and all of the state's delegates. 2004 Tennessee Republican presidential primaryRptNewRepPrimary https://sharetngov.tnsosfiles.com/sos/election/results/2004-2/repres.pdf 2024-04-06 Tennessee Secretary of StateCandidateVotes%DelegatesGeorge W. Bush (incumbent)94,55795.45%52Write-ins4,5044.55% rowspan="1" Total99,061100.00%52 General election Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW Archived copy dcpoliticalreport.com 17 January 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW 21 November 2010 usurped +SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportLean RAssociated PressLean RCNNLikely RCook Political ReportLean RNewsweekSolid RNew York TimesSolid RRasmussen ReportsLikely RResearch 2000Solid RWashington PostLikely RWashington TimesSolid RZogby InternationalLikely RWashington DispatchLikely R Polling Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each with at least 49%. The final 3 polls averaged Bush leading 56% to 40%.http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=47 Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections 2009-11-29 https://web.archive.org/web/20081128095851/http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=47 2008-11-28 dead Fundraising Bush raised $4,636,916.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Campaignmoney.com 13 August 2018 Kerry raised $1,187,742.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President Campaignmoney.com 13 August 2018 Advertising and visits Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ CNN.com Specials Cnn.com 13 August 2018http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html CNN.com Specials Cnn.com 13 August 2018 United States presidential election in Tennessee, 2004https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2004&fips=47&f=0&off=0&elect=0&minper=0 2004 Presidential General Election Results - TennesseePartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) Dick Cheney (incumbent) 1,384,375 56.81% 11 Democratic John Kerry John Edwards 1,036,477 42.51% 0 Independent Ralph Nader Peter Camejo 8,992 0.37% 0 Libertarian Michael Badnarik Richard Campagna 4,866 0.20% 0 Constitution Party Michael Peroutka Chuck Baldwin 2,570 0.11% 0 Green Party David Cobb Pat LaMarche 33 0.00% 0 Socialist Walt Brown Mary Alice Herbert 6 0.00% 0 Totals 2,437,919 100.00% 11 Voter turnout 66.32% By county CountyGeorge W. BushRepublicanJohn KerryDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Anderson18,51058.42%12,89640.70%2760.87%5,61417.72%31,682Bedford8,35160.93%5,26838.44%870.63%3,08322.49%13,706Benton3,16144.58%3,86954.57%600.85%-708-9.99%7,090Bledsoe2,84959.24%1,92740.07%330.69%92219.17%4,809Blount33,24168.24%15,04730.89%4240.88%18,19437.35%48,712Bradley25,95172.82%9,43126.46%2550.72%16,52046.36%35,637Campbell7,85955.67%6,16343.65%960.68%1,69612.02%14,118Cannon2,93153.48%2,51545.89%350.64%4167.59%5,481Carroll6,60556.18%5,07043.12%820.70%1,53513.06%11,757Carter15,76870.67%6,39528.66%1500.67%9,37342.01%22,313Cheatham9,67661.64%5,91837.70%1030.66%3,75823.94%15,697Chester4,08664.28%2,24235.27%290.45%1,84429.01%6,357Claiborne6,44861.18%4,03438.27%580.55%2,41422.91%10,540Clay1,65049.15%1,67549.90%320.96%-25-0.75%3,357Cocke8,29767.40%3,93531.96%790.65%4,36235.44%12,311Coffee11,79358.48%8,24340.87%1310.65%3,55017.61%20,167Crockett3,24256.66%2,45942.97%210.37%78313.69%5,722Cumberland15,14464.07%8,32735.23%1660.70%6,81728.84%23,637Davidson107,83944.51%132,73754.78%1,7260.71%-24,898-10.27%242,302Decatur2,56652.59%2,26846.48%450.92%2986.11%4,879DeKalb3,68551.37%3,44548.03%430.60%2403.34%7,173Dickson10,56754.76%8,59744.55%1340.69%1,97010.21%19,298Dyer8,44761.17%5,28738.29%750.54%3,16022.88%13,809Fayette8,96260.81%5,69638.65%790.53%3,26622.16%14,737Fentress4,29364.07%2,37135.39%360.54%1,92228.68%6,700Franklin9,12953.46%7,80045.68%1480.87%1,3297.78%17,077Gibson10,59655.13%8,51144.28%1140.59%2,08510.85%19,221Giles6,16353.42%5,27345.71%1010.87%8907.71%11,537Grainger4,90765.19%2,56934.13%510.68%2,33831.06%7,527Greene16,38267.71%7,63531.56%1770.73%8,74736.15%24,194Grundy2,10742.75%2,78956.58%330.67%-682-13.83%4,929Hamblen14,74266.05%7,43333.30%1430.64%7,30932.75%22,318Hamilton78,54757.36%57,30241.85%1,0870.79%21,24515.51%136,936Hancock1,75668.84%77730.46%180.69%97938.38%2,551Hardeman4,70444.95%5,68554.32%770.74%-981-9.37%10,466Hardin6,08761.15%3,83438.52%330.33%2,25322.63%9,954Hawkins13,44766.46%6,68433.04%1020.51%6,76333.42%20,233Haywood3,14041.60%4,35957.75%490.65%-1,219-16.15%7,548Henderson6,58565.22%3,44834.15%630.63%3,13731.07%10,096Henry7,34055.70%5,73243.50%1050.80%1,60812.20%13,177Hickman4,35950.26%4,26349.15%510.59%961.11%8,673Houston1,44040.02%2,12659.09%320.89%-686-19.07%3,598Humphreys3,26141.85%4,48557.55%470.60%-1,224-15.70%7,793Jackson2,02640.07%2,99859.30%320.64%-972-19.23%5,056Jefferson11,62567.53%5,46931.77%1210.70%6,15635.76%17,215Johnson4,63471.51%1,81227.96%340.53%2,82243.55%6,480Knox110,80362.10%66,01337.00%1,6030.90%44,79025.10%178,419Lake1,03943.84%1,31755.57%140.59%-278-11.73%2,370Lauderdale4,16447.96%4,47451.53%440.51%-310-3.57%8,682Lawrence9,95959.79%6,59239.57%1070.64%3,36720.22%16,658Lewis2,81955.78%2,19243.37%430.85%62712.41%5,054Lincoln7,82962.85%4,54636.49%820.66%3,28326.36%12,457Loudon14,04170.69%5,70828.74%1150.58%8,33341.95%19,864McMinn11,98066.54%5,89132.72%1320.73%6,08933.82%18,003McNairy5,78758.31%4,10141.32%360.36%1,68616.99%9,924Macon4,67062.83%2,73836.84%250.34%1,93225.99%7,433Madison21,67956.05%16,84043.54%1560.40%4,83912.51%38,675Marion5,86251.01%5,54848.28%820.71%3142.73%11,492Marshall5,82554.88%4,72244.48%680.64%1,10310.40%10,615Maury17,50558.27%12,37941.20%1590.53%5,12617.07%30,043Meigs2,50060.50%1,59538.60%370.90%90521.90%4,132Monroe10,12365.02%5,35434.39%910.58%4,76930.63%15,568Montgomery28,62758.42%20,07040.96%3010.61%8,55717.46%48,998Moore1,66860.13%1,08439.08%220.79%58421.05%2,774Morgan4,40159.80%2,92439.73%350.48%1,47720.07%7,360Obion7,85958.06%5,54941.00%1270.94%2,31017.06%13,535Overton3,94146.31%4,51853.09%510.60%-577-6.78%8,510Perry1,52248.32%1,57950.13%491.55%-57-1.81%3,150Pickett1,60060.49%1,03339.05%120.46%56721.44%2,645Polk3,92458.57%2,72440.66%520.77%1,20017.91%6,700Putnam15,63759.14%10,56639.96%2390.91%5,07119.18%26,442Rhea7,30166.05%3,66533.16%880.79%3,63632.89%11,054Roane14,46761.99%8,70637.30%1650.70%5,76124.69%23,338Robertson15,33160.54%9,86538.96%1270.50%5,46621.58%25,323Rutherford52,20061.84%31,64737.49%5620.67%20,55324.35%84,409Scott4,50959.11%3,08640.46%330.44%1,42318.65%7,628Sequatchie2,95159.22%1,98639.86%460.92%96519.36%4,983Sevier22,14371.50%8,62127.84%2060.67%13,52243.66%30,970Shelby158,13741.91%216,94557.50%2,2000.58%-58,808-15.59%377,282Smith3,73947.76%4,04451.66%450.57%-305-3.90%7,828Stewart2,67547.91%2,86051.23%480.86%-185-3.32%5,583Sullivan42,55567.94%19,63731.35%4470.72%22,91836.59%62,639Sumner40,18164.84%21,45834.63%3290.53%18,72330.21%61,968Tipton14,17865.41%7,37934.04%1200.56%6,79931.37%21,677Trousdale1,31441.18%1,85158.01%260.82%-537-16.83%3,191Unicoi5,03067.40%2,37431.81%590.80%2,65635.59%7,463Union4,14561.77%2,52437.62%410.61%1,62124.15%6,710Van Buren1,12047.72%1,20951.51%180.76%-89-3.79%2,347Warren7,50352.10%6,80847.28%890.62%6954.82%14,400Washington29,73566.07%14,94433.20%3270.73%14,79132.87%45,006Wayne3,99966.83%1,95132.60%340.56%2,04834.23%5,984Weakley7,81757.92%5,58841.40%910.67%2,22916.52%13,496White5,26955.49%4,14743.68%790.84%1,12211.81%9,495Williamson57,45172.13%21,73227.28%4670.59%35,71944.85%79,650Wilson28,92465.07%15,27734.37%2510.56%13,64730.70%44,452Totals1,383,33656.81%1,035,16042.51%16,4530.68%348,17614.30%2,434,949 right 300px Swing by county Legend #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 300px Trend by county Legend #09ceff Democratic — +10-12.5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 300px County flips Legend Democratic #92c5de Hold Republican #f48882 Hold #ca0120 Flip Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Bedford (Largest city: Shelbyville) Campbell (Largest city: LaFollette) Cannon (Largest city: Woodbury) Crockett (Largest city: Bells) Decatur (Largest city: Parsons) DeKalb (Largest city: Smithville) Dickson (Largest city: Dickson) Franklin (Largest city: Winchester) Gibson (Largest city: Humboldt) Giles (Largest city: Pulaski) Henry (Largest city: Paris) Hickman (Largest city: Centerville) Lewis (Largest city: Hohenwald) Marion (Largest city: Jasper) Marshall (Largest city: Lewisburg) Robertson (Largest city: Springfield) Warren (Largest city: McMinnville) White (Largest city: Sparta) By congressional district Bush won seven of nine congressional districts, including three held by Democrats.http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project Swingstateproject.com 13 August 2018 District Bush Kerry RepresentativeTennessee 1 1st 68% 31%William L JenkinsTennessee 2 2nd 64% 35%John J. Duncan Jr.Tennessee 3 3rd 61% 38%Zach WampTennessee 4 4th 58% 41%Lincoln DavisTennessee 5 5th 48% 52%Jim CooperTennessee 6 6th 60% 40%Bart GordonTennessee 7 7th 66% 33%Marsha BlackburnTennessee 8 8th 53% 47%John S. TannerTennessee 9 9th 30% 70%Harold Ford Jr. Electors List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of Tennessee cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Tennessee is allocated 11 electors because it has 9 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 11 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 11 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged to Bush/Cheney:https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2004_certificates/ U. S. Electoral College 2008 Election - Certificates Archives.gov 13 August 2018 Susan Anderson Betty Cannon Winfield Dunn Geneva Williams Harrison Brock Hill Bruce Montgomery Claude Ramsey Bob Rial John Ryder Mark Tipps Sally Wall Analysis While the Republicans control slightly more than half of the state, Democrats have strong support in the cities of Memphis and Nashville and in parts of Middle Tennessee and in West Tennessee north and east of Memphishttp://216.55.182.132/FairData/TN_Registration/map.asp?command=scope&map=0 Map - Tennessee 2000 Election Mapper 2009-11-29 https://web.archive.org/web/20090103234800/http://216.55.182.132/FairData/TN_Registration/map.asp?command=scope&map=0 2009-01-03 dead The latter area includes a large rural African-American population.Tennessee by County - GCT-PL. Race and Hispanic or Latino 2000 https://web.archive.org/web/20091223024630/http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/GCTTable?_bm=n&_lang=en&mt_name=DEC_2000_PL_U_GCTPL_ST2&format=ST-2&_box_head_nbr=GCT-PL&ds_name=DEC_2000_PL_U&geo_id=04000US47 2009-12-23 U.S. Census Bureau Despite Tennessee being a swing state from the 1950s to the 2000s, it was not seriously contested in 2004. Vice President Al Gore, a former U.S. Senator from Tennessee, lost his home state in 2000 albeit by a thin margin. The majority of voters support for Republican George W. Bush increased in 2004, with his margin of victory in the state increasing from 4% in 2000 to 14% in 2004.Tennessee: McCain Leads Both Democrats by Double Digits https://web.archive.org/web/20081224074929/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/tennessee/tennessee_mccain_leads_both_democrats_by_double_digits 2008-12-24 Rasumussen Reports, April 6, 2008 Southern Democratic nominees (e.g., Lyndon B. Johnson, Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton) usually fare better in Tennessee, especially among split-ticket voters outside the metropolitan areas. 2024 11 As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last election in which Trousdale County, Humphreys County, Grundy County, Lake County, Benton County, Overton County, Smith County, Lauderdale County, Van Buren County, Stewart County, Perry County, and Clay County voted for the Democratic candidate, as John McCain would outperform Bush in the state four years later. See also Presidency of George W. Bush 2004 Tennessee elections 2004 United States elections References Tennessee 2004 Presidential