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2008 United States Senate election in Idaho
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2008 United States Senate election in Idaho Idaho presidential no 2002 United States Senate election in Idaho 2002 2014 United States Senate election in Idaho 2014 November 4, 2008 150x150px File:James E. Risch, official Senate photo portrait, 2009.jpg Jim Risch Republican Party (United States) 371,744 57.65% File:Larry LaRocco 1.jpg Larry LaRocco Democratic Party (United States) 219,903 34.11% File:Rex "T-Rex" Rammell at Campbell County League of Women Voters' General Election Candidates' Forum in Gillette, Wyoming (cropped).jpg Rex Rammell Independent 34,510 5.35% 180px County results 180px Precinct results 1 250px Risch: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% #C21B18 80–90% #A80000 >90%LaRocco: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80%Rammell: #737373 70–80% Marmon: #A58100 >90% Tie: #d2b1d9 40–50% #808080 No data U.S. Senator Larry Craig Republican Party (United States) Jim Risch Republican Party (United States)
The 2008 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 4, 2008, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Idaho. Republican lieutenant governor Jim Risch won his first term in office, defeating Democratic former congressman Larry LaRocco and independent perennial candidate Rex Rammell. Risch succeeded Republican incumbent Larry Craig who did not seek a fourth term.
Primary elections were held on May 27.Elections, Campaign Disclosure and Lobbyists https://web.archive.org/web/20080806203601/http://www.idsos.state.id.us/elect/eleindex.htm August 6, 2008 Idaho Secretary of State
Background
Incumbent Larry Craig announced his intent to resign following an incident where he allegedly solicited another man for gay sex in a public restroom.http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/08/31/craig.arrest/index.html Craig to Announce Resignation Saturday dead https://web.archive.org/web/20070903122304/http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/08/31/craig.arrest/index.html September 3, 2007 Craig later decided not to resign but did announce that he would not seek re-election. The filing deadline for the election was March 21, 2008. A total of 13 candidates filed for the seat.http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/candidat/08candpri.pdf LIST OF FEDERAL, STATEWIDE, AND JUDICIAL CANDIDATES dead https://web.archive.org/web/20080319191215/http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/candidat/08candpri.pdf March 19, 2008 Republican and Democratic candidates ran for their respective nominations in the May 27 primary.
Lieutenant Governor Jim Risch defeated a crowded field for the Republican nomination, while former Congressman Larry LaRocco won the Democratic nomination in similar fashion. Conservative independents Rex Rammell and Pro-Life (formerly Marvin Richardson) also qualified for the general election ballot. Former Caldwell city council member Kent Marmon secured the Libertarian nomination. In the general election, Risch defeated LaRocco and the other candidates to keep the seat in Republican hands.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Jim Risch, lieutenant governor of Idaho
Eliminated in primary
Fred Adams
Brian Hefner
Bill Hunter
Richard Phenneger, Businessman
Hal James Styles
Scott Syme, Iraq War veteranhttp://www.idahostatesman.com/newsupdates/story/247630.html Iraq vet announces bid in GOP Senate primary
Neal Thompson
Results
thumb|180px|Results by county
#e27f7f Risch #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80%
Republican primary results
Jim Risch
Republican Party (United States)
80,743
65.34%
Scott Syme
Republican Party (United States)
16,660
13.48%
Richard Phenneger
Republican Party (United States)
6,532
5.29%
Neal Thompson
Republican Party (United States)
5,375
4.35%
Fred M. Adams
Republican Party (United States)
4,987
4.04%
Bill Hunter
Republican Party (United States)
4,280
3.46%
Brian E. Hefner
Republican Party (United States)
2,915
2.36%
Hal James Styles, Jr.
Republican Party (United States)
2,082
1.68%
123,574
100.00%
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Larry LaRocco, former U.S. representative for Idaho's 1st congressional district (1991–1995)http://www.idahostatesman.com/244/story/78234.html LaRocco to run for Senate; Craig mum on future] May 8, 2007October 2010 H3llBot
Eliminated in primary
David J. Archuleta
Results
thumb|180px|Results by county
#7996E2 LaRocco #7996E2 50–60% #6674DE 60–70% #584CDE 70–80% #3933E5 80–90%
#5bc75b Archuleta #5bc75b 50–60% #41b742 60–70%
Democratic Primary resultshttp://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/RESULTS/2008/Primary/tot_stwd.htm 2008 Primary Results statewide March 7, 2009 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20090416030919/http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/RESULTS/2008/Primary/tot_stwd.htm April 16, 2009
Larry LaRocco
Democratic Party (United States)
29,023
72.35%
David J. Archuleta
Democratic Party (United States)
11,074
27.60%
Write-ins
Democratic Party (United States)
20
0.05%
40,117
100.00%
General election
Predictions
SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008 https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139080 The Cook Political Report April 1, 2021 June 25, 2021 https://web.archive.org/web/20210625160336/https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139080 dead Safe ROctober 23, 2008 CQ PoliticsRace Ratings Chart: Senate https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate October 28, 2010 CQ Politics Safe ROctober 31, 2008 Rothenberg Political Report2008 Senate ratings https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2008-senate-ratings Inside Elections April 1, 2021 Safe RNovember 2, 2008 Real Clear Politics2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/election_2008_senate_races.html Real Clear Politics August 31, 2021 Safe RNovember 4, 2008
Polling
Aggregate polls
Source of pollaggregationDatesadministeredDatesupdated JimRisch (R) LarryLaRocco (D) Other/UndecidedCalculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.MarginRasmussen ReportsSeptember 9, 2008September 9, 200858.0%30.0%12.0%Risch +28.0%RealClearPolitics2008 Idaho Senate https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2008/idaho/larocco-vs-risch April 26, 2026 RealClearPoliticsAugust 18–September 17, 2008September 17, 200851.7%30.7%17.6%Risch +21.0%Average54.9%30.4%14.7%Risch +24.5%
Poll source Date(s)administered SamplesizeKey:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear "Key" Marginof error JimRisch (R) LarryLaRocco (D) RexRammell (I) Other UndecidedResearch 2000September 19, 2008 ID-Sen: Republicans pull ahead https://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/19/211832/447/958/603158 https://web.archive.org/web/20080920193216/https://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/19/211832/447/958/603158 September 20, 2008 April 26, 2026 Daily KosKSeptember 16–17, 2008500 (LV)± 4.0%56%33%3%3%5%Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 11, 2008 Idaho Senate: GOP’s Risch Is Far Ahead 58% to 30% http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/idaho/election_2008_idaho_senate https://web.archive.org/web/20080912130000/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/idaho/election_2008_idaho_senate September 12, 2008 April 26, 2026 Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 9, 2008500 (LV)± 4.0%58%30%–2%9%Greg Smith PollingDienstfrey Eric August 28, 2008 POLL: Greg Smith Idaho (8/18-22) http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_greg_smith_idaho_81822.php https://web.archive.org/web/20080918170328/http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_greg_smith_idaho_81822.php September 18, 2008 April 26, 2026 Pollster.COMAugust 18–22, 2008600 (LV)± 4.0%41%30%3%–26%Research 2000July 31, 2008 ID-Sen: Shockingly close http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/7/31/12214/5122/347/560030 https://web.archive.org/web/20080827220637/http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/7/31/12214/5122/347/560030 August 27, 2008 April 26, 2026 Daily KosK Poll sponsored by Daily KosJuly 28–30, 2008500 (LV)± 4.5%42%32%5%4%17%Celinda Lake (D)July 1, 2008 LaRocco Poll—Risch Unknown and Disliked http://www.laroccoforsenate.com/presskit/pressreleases/risch_dislike_poll_release.php https://web.archive.org/web/20080918163407/http://www.laroccoforsenate.com/presskit/pressreleases/risch_dislike_poll_release.php September 18, 2008 April 26, 2026 LaRocco For U.S. SenatePoll sponsored by LaRocco's campaignMay 20–25, 2008500 (LV)± 4.5%43%28%5%–24%Robinson Researchhttp://electionadvantage.blogspot.com/search/label/ID-SEN Robinson Research April 26, 2026November 27 – December 12, 2007––46%27%––27%Myers Research (D)December 12, 2007 ID-Sen: Republicans Losing their Luster http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/12/12/143247/39 https://web.archive.org/web/20071214051708/http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/12/12/143247/39 December 14, 2007 April 26, 2026 Daily KosNovember 13–19, 2007600 (LV)–48%34%––18%SurveyUSASeptember 8, 2007 GOP Holds Larry Craig Idaho Senate Seat with Substitute Republican https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=37d9ed4d-bfff-4c8e-ac57-96410fa115e7/ https://web.archive.org/web/20110605054553/https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=37d9ed4d-bfff-4c8e-ac57-96410fa115e7/ June 5, 2011 April 26, 2026 SurveyUSASeptember 6, 2007534 (RV)± 4.3%52%36%––13%
background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);
Generic Republican vs. Generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)administered SamplesizeKey:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear "Key" Marginof error GenericRepublican GenericDemocrat Other UndecidedMyers Research (D)November 13–19, 2007600 (LV)–36%42%1%21%
Dirk Kempthorne vs. Larry LaRocco
Poll source Date(s)administered SamplesizeKey:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear "Key" Marginof error DirkKempthorne (R) LarryLaRocco (D) Other UndecidedSurveyUSASeptember 6, 2007534 (RV)± 4.3%55%36%–9%
David Leroy vs. Larry LaRocco
Poll source Date(s)administered SamplesizeKey:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear "Key" Marginof error DavidLeroy (R) LarryLaRocco (D) Other UndecidedSurveyUSASeptember 6, 2007534 (RV)± 4.3%42%39%–19%
Mike Simpson vs. Larry LaRocco
Poll source Date(s)administered SamplesizeKey:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear "Key" Marginof error MikeSimpson(R) LarryLaRocco (D) Other UndecidedSurveyUSASeptember 6, 2007534 (RV)± 4.3%54%34%–12%
Lawrence Wasden vs. Larry LaRocco
Poll source Date(s)administered SamplesizeKey:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear "Key" Marginof error LawrenceWasden (R) LarryLaRocco (D) Other UndecidedSurveyUSASeptember 6, 2007534 (RV)± 4.3%46%36%–17%
Dane Watkins vs. Larry LaRocco
Poll source Date(s)administered SamplesizeKey:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear "Key" Marginof error DaneWatkins (R) LarryLaRocco (D) Other UndecidedSurveyUSASeptember 6, 2007534 (RV)± 4.3%40%41%–19%
Results
General election resultshttp://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2008/2008Stat.htm#stateID Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives
Republican Party (United States)
Jim Risch
371,744
57.65%
-7.51%
Democratic Party (United States)
Larry LaRocco
219,903
34.11%
+1.56%
Independent
Rex Rammell
34,510
5.35%
Libertarian Party (United States)
Kent Marmon
9,958
1.54%
-0.75%
Independent
Pro-Life
8,662
1.35%
3
0.00%
151,841
23.55%
-9.06%
644,780
Republican Party (United States)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Latah (largest municipality: Moscow)
Shoshone (largest municipality: Kellogg)
Teton (largest municipality: Victor)
See also
2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Idaho
2008 United States presidential election in Idaho
Notes
Partisan clients
References
External links
U.S. Congress candidates for Idaho https://web.archive.org/web/20081024112512/http://www.votesmart.org/election_congress_state.php?state_id=ID&go33.x=6&go33.y=7 October 24, 2008 at Project Vote Smart
Robinson Research
Idaho, U.S. Senate from CQ Politics
Idaho U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
Idaho U.S. Senate race from 2008 Race Tracker
Campaign contributions for Idaho congressional races from OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites (Archived)
Jim Risch, Republican nominee
Larry LaRocco, Democratic nominee
Kent Marmon, Libertarian nominee
Rex Rammell, Independent candidate
2008
Idaho
United States Senate
Category:Larry Craig