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2010 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware
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2010 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware Delaware presidential no 2008 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware 2008 2012 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware 2012 November 2, 2010 File:John C. Carney Jr. official portrait 112th Congress (1).jpg 150x150px John Carney Democratic Party (United States) 173,543 56.78% 3x4.svg Glen Urquhart Republican Party (United States) 125,442 41.04% U.S. Representative Mike Castle Republican Party (United States) John Carney Democratic Party (United States) 110px County results 110px State House district results Carney: #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%Urquhart: #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70%
The 2010 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware was held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Delaware in the United States House of Representatives for the 112th United States Congress. Democratic nominee former Lieutenant Governor, John Carney defeated Republican nominee Glen Urquhart, giving Delaware an all Democratic congressional delegation for the first time since before the 1942 midterms.Elections 2010:Delaware This is the first open-seat election since 1992 and only the second since 1976.
Background
Delaware's at-large congressional district
thumb|Map of Delaware's at-large congressional district
The state of Delaware is completely contained in a single at-large district. The district has a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7.http://www.cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/pvichart.pdf Cook Political Report, PVI for the 110th Congress June 20, 2008 February 15, 2009 Cook Political Report https://web.archive.org/web/20081126210445/http://www.cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/pvichart.pdf November 26, 2008 dead mdy-all Since 1993, the district had been represented by Republican Michael Castle.
Castle announced in 2009 he would run for the United States Senate seathttps://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/1009/Castle_running_for_the_Senate.html Castle running for the Senate Politico Josh Kraushaar October 6, 2009 October 7, 2009 held by Ted Kaufman (D) who had been appointed to the seat when his predecessor, Joe Biden (D), resigned to become Vice President. Castle was defeated by Christine O'Donnell in the Delaware Republican Senate primary.
Democratic primary
Candidates
John Carney, former Lieutenant Governor of Delaware
Results
Carney announced his candidacy on April 15, 2009, and was unopposed in the primary after Scott Spencer, a transportation consultant, dropped out.http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2009/04/delaware_con_ca.php Delaware Con Carney - Hotline On Call Hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com July 28, 2009 https://web.archive.org/web/20090422003024/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2009/04/delaware_con_ca.php April 22, 2009 deadhttp://content.usatoday.net/dist/custom/gci/InsidePage.aspx?cId=courierpostonline&sParam=30452727.story Courierpostonline - Transportation consultant plans congressional bid Content.usatoday.net March 30, 2009 July 28, 2009
Republican primary
Candidates
Glen Urquhart, businessman
Michele Rollins, businesswoman and former Miss District of Columbia USA and former Miss World America 1963
Rose Izzo, columnist
Results
Republican primary resultshttp://elections.delaware.gov/archive/elect10/elect10_Primary/html/election.shtml State of Delaware - Department of Elections - State of Delaware May 13, 2011 November 5, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20131105175436/http://elections.delaware.gov/archive/elect10/elect10_Primary/html/election.shtml dead
Glen Urquhart Republican Party (United States) 27,343 48.64
Michele Rollins Republican Party (United States) 26,789 47.66
Rose Izzo Republican Party (United States) 2,082 3.70
56,214 100.00
General election
Campaign
According to a September 2010 poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind, "likely voters in Delaware split 45%-40% on whether they prefer[ed] to have the U.S. Congress controlled by the Democratic Party or the Republican Party, suggesting that the First State's open congressional seat might be hotly contested," yet in the same poll, Carney led Urquhart by 51%-36%."Delaware Republicans Losing House Seat," FDU PublicMind, Oct. 5, 2010. Retrieved 2/24/11. Peter Woolley, the poll director, remarked that "candidates matter, not just parties" and that in Delaware candidates matter "more than in most states."
Polling
Poll source Date(s) administered GlenUrquhart (R) JohnCarney (D)Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University October 25–27, 2010 44% 51%Fairleigh DickinsonFairleigh Dickinson October 20–26, 2010 36% 53%Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University October 8–11, 2010 44% 53%Fairleigh DickinsonFairleigh Dickinson September 27 – October 3, 2010 36% 51%University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware September 16–30, 2010 31% 48%Wilson Research StrategiesWilson Research Strategies September 27–28, 2010 41% 45%Grove InsightGrove Insight September 15–18, 2010 32% 50%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 37% 48%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 7–8, 2010 30% 48%
Predictions
SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Reporthttp://www.cookpolitical.com/charts/house/competitive_2010-11-01_12-12-36.php The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races The Cook Political Report November 1, 2010 November 1, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101104002959/http://www.cookpolitical.com/charts/house/competitive_2010-11-01_12-12-36.php November 4, 2010 dead mdy-all Likely D flip November 1, 2010 RothenbergRothenberg Political Report http://www.rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/house House Ratings Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com November 1, 2010 November 1, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101101202718/http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/house November 1, 2010Lean D flip November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal BallCrystal Ball, 2010 11 01 us onLean D flip November 1, 2010RCPRealClearPolitics, 2010 11 01 us onLean D flip November 1, 2010CQ Politicshttp://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-house 2010 House Ratings Chart CQ Politics November 1, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234534/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-house October 28, 2010Likely D flipOctober 28, 2010New York TimesHouse Race Ratings http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/house nytimes.com The New York Times 9 October 2023 https://web.archive.org/web/20101107095111/http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/house 7 November 2010Lean D flip November 1, 2010FiveThirtyEightSafe D flip November 1, 2010
Results
Delaware's at-large congressional district election, 2010http://elections.delaware.gov/archive/elect10/elect10_General/html/election.shtml State of Delaware - Department of Elections - State of Delaware May 13, 2011 March 3, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160303175242/http://elections.delaware.gov/archive/elect10/elect10_General/html/election.shtml dead
Democratic Party (United States)
John Carney
173,543
56.78
Republican Party (United States)
Glen Urquhart
125,442
41.04
Independent Party of Delaware
Earl R. Lofland
3,704
1.21
Libertarian Party (United States)
Brent A. Wangen
1,986
0.65
Blue Enigma Party
Jeffrey Brown
961
0.31
305,636
100.00
Democratic Party (United States)
Republican Party (United States)
By county
CountyJohn CarneyDemocraticGlen UrquhartRepublicanAll Others#%#%#%New Castle121,76465.5%60,40432.5%3,8072.1%Kent23,17347.3%24,51750.1%1,2632.6%Sussex28,60640.5%40,52157.3%1,5812.2% Totals173,54356.8%125,44241.0%6,6512.2%
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
New Castle (largest city: Wilmington)
right 110px Swing by county 110px Trend by county
Legend #006D92 Democratic —+>40% #00a1c8 Democratic —+30−40% #00bdec Democratic —+25−30% #09ceff Democratic—+20%−25% #4bdbff Democratic—+15%−20% #77e3ff Democratic—+10−15% #aaeeff Democratic—+5−10% #D5F6FF Democratic—+<5% #FFD5D5 Republican—+<5% #FFAAAA Republican—+5−10% #FF8080 Republican—+10−15% #FF5555 Republican—+15−20% #FF2A2A Republican—+20−25% #FF0000 Republican—+25−30% 110px County flips Legend
Democratic
#0671b0 Flip
Republican
#f48882 Hold
References
External links
Election Commissioner at the Delaware Secretary of State
Official candidate listings https://web.archive.org/web/20101103063129/http://elections.delaware.gov/services/candidate/candidate_list.shtml November 3, 2010
U.S. Congress candidates for Delaware https://web.archive.org/web/20101023074011/http://www.votesmart.org/election_congress_state.php?state_id=DE October 23, 2010 at Project Vote Smart
Delaware U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Delaware from OpenSecrets
2010 Delaware General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
House - Delaware from the Cook Political Report
https://archive.today/20130120025529/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=district-2010-DE-AL Delaware House Race el from CQ Politics
Race profile at The New York Times
Election 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100918100005/http://www.delawareonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/99999999/NEWS/100817025/1006&theme=ELECTION2010&template=theme September 18, 2010 at The News Journal
Delaware
2010
United States House of Representatives