411 REFERENCE · Wikipedia
2016 Basque regional election
Reference material by Wikipedia contributors. This retains its source identity and is not 411 news reporting.
Election in the Spanish region of the Basque Country
2016 Basque regional election Basque Country parliamentary no 2012 Basque regional election 2012 2020 Basque regional election 2020 All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament 38 #Opinion polls 1,783,419 10px 0.5% 1,070,357 (60.0%)10px 3.9 pp 25 September 2016 170x170px Iñigo Urkullu Basque Nationalist Party 2 December 2007 Álava 27 seats, 34.2% 28 10px 1 398,168 37.4% 10px 3.2 pp 170x170px Arnaldo Otegi"Otegi" Sortu leader Arnaldo Otegi was proclaimed as EH Bildu's leading candidate on 24 May 2016, having left the Logroño prison on 1 March after serving a full prison sentence over attempts to reorganize the banned Batasuna party. On 24 August, the Gipuzkoa Provincial Electoral Commission disqualified Otegi due to a legal barring from holding any public office still in force until 2021. Subsequently, EH Bildu did not elect an alternative candidate to replace Otegi, though journalist Maddalen Iriarte—second in EH Bildu Gipuzkoa's list—went on to top the list as provided for in Article 65.2 of the Electoral Law of the Basque Country. EH Bildu 24 May 2016 Gipuzkoa 21 seats, 24.7% 18 10px 3 225,172 21.1% 10px 3.6 pp 170x170px Pilar Zabala Elkarrekin Podemos 11 August 2016 Gipuzkoa 0 seats, 3.7%"IU+Equo" Results for IU–LV (2.7%, 0 seats) and Equo (1.0%, 0 seats) in the 2012 election. 11 10px 11 157,334 14.8% 10px 11.1 pp 170x170px Idoia Mendia PSE–EE (PSOE) 20 September 2014 Biscay 16 seats, 18.9% 9 10px 7 126,420 11.9% 10px 7.0 pp 170x170px Alfonso Alonso People's Party of the Basque Country 15 October 2015 Álava 10 seats, 11.6% 9 10px 1 107,771 10.1% 10px 1.5 pp x250px Vote winner strength by constituency x300px Election results by constituency Lehendakari Lehendakari after election Iñigo Urkullu Basque Nationalist Party Iñigo Urkullu Basque Nationalist Party
A regional election was held in the Basque Country on 25 September 2016 to elect the 11th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with a regional election in Galicia. Lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu announced that the election would be held one month ahead of schedule, on 25 September 2016, based on the "climate of ungovernability" affecting national politics as a result of the ongoing Spanish government formation negotiations, intending to move the regional election as far away as possible from a possible new general election.29 July 2016 Urkullu adelanta las elecciones vascas al 25 de septiembre http://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2016/07/29/579b0a37e2704ee6698b4614.html es El Mundo 27 January 202029 July 2016 Urkullu convoca las elecciones vascas el 25 de septiembre https://elpais.com/politica/2016/07/29/actualidad/1469789316_806248.html es El País 27 January 2020 This prompted Galician president Alberto Núñez Feijóo to hold the Galician regional election in the same date.1 August 2016 Feijóo adelanta las elecciones gallegas al 25 de septiembre http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2016/08/01/actualidad/1470062110_200878.html es El País 27 January 2020
Urkullu's Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) emerged as the largest political force in the region with an increased plurality, but required from the support of other parties to govern. This was to be provided by the Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE), which despite scoring the worst result in its history after seeing its support almost halved—falling from 18.9% and 16 seats to 11.9% and 9 seats—would go on to form a coalition minority government with the PNV. EH Bildu was able to hold onto second place, albeit with a reduced support by going down from 21 to 17 seats, whereas the Elkarrekin Podemos alliance scored third, but below campaign expectations. The People's Party (PP) continued on its long-term decline in the Basque Country, whereas Citizens (Cs) failed to win any seat.25 September 2016 El PNV gana las elecciones vascas por mayoría simple y Urkullu tendrá que negociar para poder gobernar de nuevo http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20160925/resultados-elecciones-pais-vasco-2016/1411679.shtml es RTVE 8 February 202017 November 2016 El PNV gobernará en coalición con los socialistas https://elpais.com/politica/2016/11/17/actualidad/1479416359_882084.html es El País 8 February 2020
Urkullu was able to get re-elected as lehendakari with the support of both his party and the PSE–EE.24 November 2016 Urkullu, elegido lehendakari de la undécima legislatura por mayoría simple https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20161124/412133208355/urkullu-lehendakari.html es La Vanguardia 9 February 2020 The resulting coalition recovered an alliance which both the PNV and the PSE had already formed between 1987 and 1998 in the Basque government,20 November 2016 PNV y PSE retomarán la fórmula que mantuvo el Gobierno vasco de 1987 a 1998 https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20161120/412004667978/pnv-y-pse-retomaran-la-formula-que-mantuvo-el-gobierno-vasco-de-1987-a-1998.html es La Vanguardia 10 February 202021 November 2016 Un acuerdo PNV-PSE 19 años después https://www.abc.es/espana/abci-acuerdo-pnv-pse-19-anos-despues-201611210732_noticia.html es ABC 10 February 2020 and which had already been extended to city councils and the Juntas Generales following the 2015 local and foral elections.23 May 2016 PNV y PSE completan su alianza en Euskadi con una coalición en Vitoria https://elpais.com/politica/2016/05/23/actualidad/1463991758_048791.html es El País 10 February 2020
The results of the Basque and Galician elections, both of which saw very poor PSOE's performances after being overtaken by the Podemos-led alliances and polling at record-low levels of support,26 September 2016 El PP coge aire en las urnas gallegas y vascas frente a un PSOE en caída libre https://www.20minutos.es/noticia/2845331/0/elecciones-vascas-gallegas-directo/ es 20 minutos 23 February 2020 prompted dissenters within the party—led by Andalusian president Susana Díaz—to call for Pedro Sánchez's resignation as PSOE secretary-general.26 September 2016 Susana Díaz quiere retrasar el congreso y exige a Pedro Sánchez que asuma "responsabilidades" https://www.elmundo.es/espana/2016/09/26/57e90978ca474191058b4589.html es El Mundo 23 February 202026 September 2016 El PSOE andaluz estalla e inicia una guerra en campo abierto contra Sánchez https://www.publico.es/politica/psoe-andaluz-estalla-e-inicia.html es Público 23 February 2020 Sánchez's refusal to resign and his announcement of a party congress for later in the year—amid an ongoing government formation process and with the growing risk of a third general election in a row being held in Spain—led to an attempt from his critics to force his downfall,27 September 2016 Media ejecutiva estudia dimitir para forzar la salida de Pedro Sánchez https://elpais.com/politica/2016/09/27/actualidad/1475004833_836653.html es El País 23 February 202028 September 2016 Dimite media ejecutiva del PSOE para forzar el cese de Pedro Sánchez https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20160928/41639248110/criticos-psoe-pedro-sanchez.html es La Vanguardia 23 February 2020 triggering a severe party crisis and a breakdown of party discipline which led to Sánchez's ousting on 1 October 2016,2 October 2016 Pedro Sánchez dimite como secretario general del PSOE https://elpais.com/politica/2016/10/01/actualidad/1475346998_362316.html es El País 23 February 2020 a divided PSOE abstaining in Mariano Rajoy's investiture on 29 October and a subsequent party leadership election in 2017 which would see Sánchez returning to his post of secretary-general and taking full control over the party.29 October 2016 Rajoy, investido presidente gracias a la abstención de todos los diputados del PSOE excepto 15 https://www.elmundo.es/espana/2016/10/29/5814b9cb46163fce668b4581.html es El Mundo 23 February 202023 May 2017 Pedro Sánchez vuelve a ser el secretario general del PSOE https://elpais.com/politica/2017/05/21/actualidad/1495392291_548232.html es El País 23 February 2020
Background
The 2012 Basque regional election had resulted in a minority government of the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) replacing Patxi López's Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE) cabinet. After a harsh 2009–2012 legislature which had seen frequent clashing between both parties, the signing of an agreement in September 2013 between both the PNV and the PSE, under which the latter committed itself to support the 2014 budget in exchange for more social democrat fiscal policies, paved the way for the normalization of relations between the two parties.9 September 2013 PNV y PSE cierran el acuerdo que alivia la minoría del Gobierno vasco https://elpais.com/ccaa/2013/09/09/paisvasco/1378724942_826550.html es El País 10 February 2020 The agreement eventually led to the culmination of an ideological realignment within the PNV, whose economic stance had been swinging in the previous years towards social democracy in detriment of its traditional pro-liberal positions.7 October 2013 La reforma fiscal pone fin a la etapa liberal del PNV que abraza con fuerza la socialdemocracia https://www.elcorreo.com/vizcaya/20131007/economia/reforma-fiscal-pone-etapa-201310061633.html es El Correo 9 February 2020 Additionally, the PNV under Urkullu had abandoned the confrontational style of former lehendakari Juan José Ibarretxe as well as his sovereigntist plan, moving towards more moderate, pragmatic and big tent positions.24 September 2012 La moderación de Urkullu inquieta https://elpais.com/ccaa/2012/09/24/paisvasco/1348515259_180579.html es El País 15 February 20209 September 2016 Íñigo Urkullu, la calma que llegó tras Ibarretxe https://www.abc.es/elecciones/elecciones-vascas/abci-inigo-urkullu-calma-llego-tras-ibarretxe-201609090344_noticia.html es ABC 15 February 2020
Following the 2015 local and foral elections, the PNV and the PSE signed a deal "for institutional stability", under which both parties agreed to support each other in Basque local councils and the Juntas Generales,12 June 2015 El PNV logra el mayor poder institucional en tres décadas https://elpais.com/ccaa/2015/06/12/paisvasco/1434108953_846312.html es El País 10 February 202015 June 2015 El PSE-EE refrenda por unanimidad el acuerdo alcanzado con el PNV https://www.eitb.eus/es/elecciones/municipales-forales-2015/detalle/3292604/pacto-pnvpse--el-pseee-refrenda-acuerdo-alcanzado-pnv/ es EiTB 10 February 2020 with the compromise of extending such an agreement to the Basque government after the regional election scheduled for 2016. Concurrently, the emergence of Podemos following the 2014 European Parliament election was initially seen as a threat to the PNV's dominance in the region,1 June 2014 Podemos trae en jaque a la izquierda en Euskadi https://elpais.com/ccaa/2014/06/01/paisvasco/1401638500_827815.html es El País 10 February 202018 December 2014 Podemos desembarca en Euskadi https://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2014/12/18/54929ba7e2704ec25e8b4570.html es El Mundo 10 February 202026 December 2014 Podemos pone en peligro la supremacía del PNV https://elpais.com/ccaa/2014/12/26/paisvasco/1419584098_257163.html es El País 10 February 2020 after opinion polls pointed to a strong performance of the party in a prospective Basque Parliament election as well as coming out in first place regionally in the 2015 and 2016 general elections.20 December 2015 Podemos gana en Euskadi, aunque el PNV se impone en escaños https://cadenaser.com/emisora/2015/12/20/radio_bilbao/1450646076_588926.html es Cadena SER 10 February 202027 June 2016 Unidos Podemos gana en votos y escaños al PNV en Euskadi, al 100% escrutado https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20160627/402781018969/unidos-podemos-gana-en-bizkaia-superando-al-pnv-con-el-100-escrutado.html es La Vanguardia 10 February 2020 The various elections held in the Basque Country between 2012 and 2016 showed a continued decline for both the PSE–EE and the People's Party (PP),26 May 2015 Podemos pide sitio en la Cámara https://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2015/05/26/55642c6346163f46338b4579.html es El Mundo 10 February 2020 whereas EH Bildu suffered from a perceived poor management in the city council of San Sebastián and the Gipuzkoa foral deputation and lost much of its power in the local and foral elections held on 24 May 2015.23 May 2015 Examen en las urnas a la gestión de EH Bildu https://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2015/05/23/5560539f46163f8f018b4573.html?cid=MNOT23801&s_kw=examen_en_las_urnas_a_la_gestion_de_eh_bildu es El Mundo 10 February 202025 May 2015 Gipuzkoa: Vaparalo a EH Bildu, que sufre el desgaste de su gestión https://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2015/05/25/55625abeca474116408b459d.html es El Mundo 10 February 2020
In the lead up to the election, the national PSOE was beleaguered by an internal crisis over Pedro Sánchez's leadership as a result of the party having secured its worst electoral results since the Spanish transition to democracy in the 2015 and 2016 general elections,24 September 2016 https://www.eldiario.es/galicia/Pedro-Sanchez-PSOE-campana-gallega_0_562044756.html Pedro Sánchez ignora la guerra interna del PSOE en el cierre de la campaña gallega es eldiario.es 23 February 202025 September 2016 https://www.elconfidencial.com/elecciones-generales/2016-09-25/pedro-sanchez-mide-25-s-liderazgo-antes-batalla-final-criticos_1265105/ 25-S: Sánchez mide (otra vez) su liderazgo antes de librar la pugna final con sus críticos es El Confidencial 23 February 2020 with Sánchez himself having announced an early party congress, to be held at some point following the Basque and Galician elections, in which he would be running for re-election.22 September 2016 https://www.eldiario.es/politica/Pedro-Sanchez-liderazgo-PSOE-elecciones_0_561694457.html Pedro Sánchez planea que la batalla por el liderazgo del PSOE sea antes que las terceras elecciones es eldiario.es 23 February 202022 September 2016 https://www.eldiario.es/politica/Pedro-Sanchez-liderazgo-desconcierta-PSOE_0_561694687.html La opción de Pedro Sánchez de adelantar la batalla por el liderazgo desconcierta al PSOE es eldiario.es 23 February 2020 The PSOE branches in both regions were widely seen as being supportive of Sánchez, prompting dissenters to frame the elections as a test on Sánchez and of the broader political mood in Spain after nine months of political impasse over the government formation process.22 September 2016 https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20160922/41496989367/sanchez-vuelve-a-calibrar-su-liderazgo-en-las-elecciones-gallegas-y-vascas.html Sánchez vuelve a calibrar su liderazgo en las elecciones gallegas y vascas es La Vanguardia 23 February 2020
Overview
Under the 1979 Statute of Autonomy, the Basque Parliament was the unicameral legislature of the Basque Autonomous Community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a lehendakari.Statute 1979 arts. 25 & 27–28. The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.LEPV 1990 final prov. 1.
Date
The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication.Statute 1979 art. 26; LEPV 1990 art. 46. The previous election was held on 21 October 2012, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 21 October 2016. The election decree was required to be published in the BOPV no later than 27 September 2016, setting the latest possible date for election day on 20 November 2016.
The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process.LGV 1981 arts. 7 & 50–51. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a 60-day period from the Parliament's reconvening, the chamber was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.LGV 1981 art. 6.
The Basque Parliament was officially dissolved on 2 August 2016 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOPV, setting election day for 25 September.Decree 23/2016 2016 art. 1.
Electoral system
Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.Statute 1979 art. 26; LEPV 1990 arts. 2–3 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 42). Additionally, non-resident citizens were required to apply for voting, a system known as "begged" voting (es Voto rogado).LOREG 1985 art. 75.Reig Pellicer Naiara 16 December 2015 http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote cafebabel.co.uk 17 July 2017 31 August 2021 https://web.archive.org/web/20210831202218/https://cafebabel.com/en/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote-5ae00a98f723b35a145e6867/ usurped
The Basque Parliament had 75 seats. All were elected in three multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Gipuzkoa, each of which was assigned a fixed number of 25 seats to provide for an equal parliamentary representation of the three provinces—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.Statute 1979 art. 26; LEPV 1990 arts. 9–12; Decree 23/2016 2016 art. 2. The use of this electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.Gallagher Michael 30 July 2012 http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College Dublin Dublin https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php 22 July 2017 30 July 2017
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.LEPV 1990 arts. 12 & 65 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 arts. 46 & 48).
Outgoing parliament
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.Lozano Carles https://www.historiaelectoral.com/aeuzkadi.html Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco / Eusko Legebilitzarra (desde 1980) es Historia Electoral.com 9 November 2024https://www.legebiltzarra.eus/c_comorga_gru_L10.html Parlamentarios y Órganos. Grupos. Composición. Históricos - X Legislatura (2012-2016) es Basque Parliament 12 March 2026
+ Parliamentary composition in August 2016 Groups Parties Legislators Seats Total Basque Nationalists Parliamentary Group EAJ/PNV 27 27 EH Bildu Parliamentary Group Sortu 10 21 EA 6 Aralar 3 Alternatiba 2 Basque Socialists Parliamentary Group PSE–EE (PSOE) 16 16 Basque People's Parliamentary Group PP 10 10 Mixed Group UPyD 1 1
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.LEPV 1990 art. 53 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 44). Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.LOREG 1985 art. 44 bis.
Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:
Candidacy Parties andalliances Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Government Ref. References Vote % Seats EAJ/PNV List on Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) 50px Iñigo Urkullu Basque nationalismChristian democracySocial democracy 34.2% 27 8 May 2016 El PNV proclama a Urkullu como el candidato de la "nación foral" https://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2016/05/08/572eee5e22601da7738b45da.html es El Mundo 27 January 2020 EH Bildu List on Create (Sortu) Basque Solidarity (EA) Aralar (Aralar) Alternative (Alternatiba) 50px Arnaldo Otegi"Otegi" Basque independenceAbertzale leftSocialism 24.7% 21 24 May 2016 Otegi, proclamado por las bases candidato a lehendakari de EH Bildu https://www.eldiario.es/norte/euskadi/Otegi-proclamado-lehendakari-EH-Bildu_0_519348976.html es eldiario.es 27 January 202024 August 2016 La Junta Electoral inhabilita a Otegi como candidato a lehendakari para el 25-S https://www.elconfidencial.com/espana/pais-vasco/2016-08-24/elecciones-vascas-otegi-inhabilitado-lehendakari_1250682/ es El Confidencial 27 January 2020 PSE–EE(PSOE) List on Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) 50px Idoia Mendia Social democracy 18.9% 16 20 September 2014 Idoia Mendia, primera mujer que dirige al socialismo vasco en 125 años de historia https://www.eldiario.es/norte/euskadi/Idoia-Mendia-primera-socialismo-historia_0_305169821.html es eldiario.es 27 January 20201 March 2016 Idoia Mendia, proclamada candidata del PSE-EE a lehendakari https://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2016/03/01/56d5912b22601dc65b8b4639.html es El Mundo 27 January 2020 PP List on People's Party (PP) 50px Alfonso Alonso ConservatismChristian democracy 11.6% 10 1 August 2016 Alfonso Alonso será el candidato del PP a lehendakari https://elpais.com/politica/2016/08/01/actualidad/1470040816_139710.html es El País 27 January 2020 ElkarrekinPodemos List on We Can (Podemos) Plural Left–United Left (EzAn–IU)– Communist Party of the Basque Country (PCE/EPK)– The Dawn Marxist Organization (La Aurora (OM))– Republican Left (IR)– Open Left (IzAb)– Feminist Party of Spain (PFE) Equo (Equo) 50px Pilar Zabala Left-wing populismDirect democracyDemocratic socialism 3.7%"IU+Equo" 0 1 August 2016 Pilar Zabala, candidata a lehendakari de Podemos tras ganar las primarias https://elpais.com/politica/2016/08/01/actualidad/1470056476_702264.html es El País 27 January 202012 August 2016 La confluencia ya tiene nombre: Elkarrekin Podemos https://cadenaser.com/emisora/2016/08/12/ser_vitoria/1471007128_629214.html es Cadena SER 27 January 2020 C's List on Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 50px Nicolás de Miguel Liberalism colspan="2" Did not contest 11 August 2016 Nicolás de Miguel, candidato a lehendakari por Ciudadanos https://www.expansion.com/pais-vasco/2016/08/11/57ac292b468aebb9308b46c6.html es Expansión 27 January 2020
The Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) party, despite holding one seat in the Basque Parliament for two legislatures—2009 and 2012—and amid dismal opinion poll ratings, renounced to field candidates for the regional election.22 August 2016 UPYD renuncia a presentarse a las elecciones vascas https://www.elconfidencial.com/espana/pais-vasco/2016-08-22/upyd-elecciones-pais-vasco-2016-gorka-maneiro_1249981/ es El Confidencial 9 February 2020
On 1 March 2016, Sortu leader Arnaldo Otegi left the Logroño prison after serving his full prison sentence imposed for attempting to reorganize the banned Batasuna party. In addition to the prison sentence, Otegi had been disqualified from holding any public office until 2021.1 March 2016 http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2016/03/01/actualidad/1456818814_013788.html Arnaldo Otegi sale de la cárcel de Logroño tras seis años y medio preso es El País 27 January 2020 Despite this, on 24 May the EH Bildu coalition proclaimed him as its leading candidate for lehendakari, on grounds that the ruling did not specify what specific criminal charges affected his disqualification.24 May 2016 http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2016/05/24/actualidad/1464109893_956366.html Las bases de EH Bildu designan a Otegi como candidato a lehendakari es El País 27 January 2020 The PNV and Podemos announced that they would not challenge his candidacy because they thought it should be up to the Basque citizens to decide whether Otegi deserved to be elected or not;12 August 2016 http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2016/08/12/actualidad/1470989393_603099.html La Fiscalía recalca que Otegi es "inelegible" es El País 27 January 2020 the PSE–EE, meanwhile, said that it would not challenge him either because such a decision should be taken by justice courts.11 August 2016 http://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2016/08/11/57ab70b1e2704e00488b4626.html El PSE-EE no impugnará la candidatura de Otegi es El Mundo 27 January 2020 On the other hand, the PP, Citizens (C's) and UPyD announced that, following the publication of the electoral lists, they would challenge Otegi's candidacy.9 August 2016 http://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2016/08/09/57a9a67de5fdea8e088b465f.html PP, UPyD y Ciudadanos impugnarán la lista de Otegi en defensa de las víctimas terrorismo es El Mundo 27 January 2020
On 24 August the provincial electoral commission of Gipuzkoa ruled that Otegi could not be a candidate in the lists of EH Bildu for being barred to stand for election as part of his sentence.29 August 2016 http://www.europapress.es/otr-press/cronicas/noticia-junta-ratifica-otegi-no-puede-ser-candidato-le-excluye-concurrir-elecciones-vascas-20160829194654.html La Junta ratifica que Otegi no puede ser candidato y le excluye de concurrir a las elecciones vascas es Europa Press 27 January 2020 The journalist Maddalen Iriarte, who was second in EH Bildu Gipuzkoa's list, went on to top the list as provided for in Article 65.2 of the Electoral Law of the Basque Country.24 August 2016 http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2016/08/24/actualidad/1471991800_320234.html La Junta Electoral decide que Otegi no puede ser candidato por estar inhabilitado es El País 27 January 2020
Campaign
Party slogans
Party or alliance Original slogan English translation Ref. References EAJ/PNV « Eraiki Euskadi. Mira el futuro » "Build the Basque Country. Look to the future" 8 September 2016 http://www.20minutos.es/noticia/2832616/0/pnv-elkarrekin-podemos-cs-abren-campana-vitoria-eh-bildu-pse-bilbao-pp-san-sebastian/ PNV, Elkarrekin Podemos y C's abren campaña en Vitoria, EH Bildu y PSE en Bilbao y el PP en San Sebastián es 20 minutos Bilbao 6 January 201829 August 2016 https://www.eaj-pnv.eus/noticias/aeraiki-euskadi-euskadi-mira-futuroa_43663.html "Eraiki Euskadi. Euskadi mira al futuro" será el eslogan de EAJ-PNV para las Elecciones Vascas es www.eaj-pnv.eus EAJ/PNV 6 January 2018 EH Bildu « Aquí y ahora. Un país compartido »« Hemen eta orain. Denon herria » "Here and now. A shared country" 8 September 2016 http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20160908/bildu/1396844.shtml Bildu, todo con Otegi pero sin Otegi es RTVE 6 January 2018 PSE–EE (PSOE) « Juntos »« Batera » "Together" 24 August 2016 http://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2016/08/24/57bd83ab468aebbf748b458a.html El PSE se presenta como la única garantía de acuerdos plurales en Euskadi es El Mundo Bilbao 6 January 2018 PP « Alonso, la voz que nos une »« Alonso, batzen gaituen ahotsa » "Alonso, the voice that unites us" Albin Danilo 16 August 2016 http://www.publico.es/politica/pp-alienta-fantasma-del-brexit.html El PP alienta el fantasma del "Brexit vasco" para buscar votos en Euskadi es Público Bilbao 6 January 201823 September 2016 https://bizkaia.hitza.eus/2016/09/23/antonio-danborenea-pp-aldarrikapen-subiranisten-galga/ Antonio Danborenea (PP): Aldarrikapen subiranisten "galga" Basque Bizkaiko Hitza 12 October 2019 Elkarrekin Podemos « Por Euskadi. Jendearekin » "For the Basque Country. With the people" Rodríguez Viñas Sergio 1 September 2016 http://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2016/09/01/57c81650268e3e5e5f8b4595.html Elkarrekin Podemos acusa a Urkullu de "minusvalorar los problemas" es El Mundo Bilbao 6 January 2018 C's « Europeos del Sur, españoles del Norte, vascos de centro » "Europeans from the South, Spaniards from the North, Basques of centre" Mingorance Andrea 10 August 2016 https://www.diariocritico.com/nacional/ciudadanos-y-el-dificil-reto-de-las-elecciones-en-euskadi Ciudadanos apela a los vascos de centro para enfrentarse al difícil reto de Euskadi es Diario Crítico 6 January 2018
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.
Color key:
#FFEAEA Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls 1px solid #AAAAAA
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 25px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 28px|link=EH Bildu 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 27px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 27px|link=Ezker Anitza|EzAn–IU 30px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 25px|link=Podemos Euskadi|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's 35px|link=Elkarrekin Podemos Lead 2016 regional election 25 Sep 2016 60.0 37.475% Verdana 28 21.175% Verdana 18 11.975% Verdana 9 10.175% Verdana 9 "EP" Within Elkarrekin Podemos. – "EP" 2.075% Verdana 0 14.875% Verdana 11 16.3 Gizaker/EITBSondeo EiTB 25S: PNV ganaría con EH Bildu segunda y Podemos tercera http://www.eitb.eus/es/elecciones/autonomicas-vascas/detalle/4414663/encuesto-eitb-elecciones-vascas-25s/ es EITB 25 September 2016PAÍS VASCO (Autonómicas), Septiembre 2016. Sondeo Gizaker (3) https://www.electograph.com/2016/09/pais-vasco-autonomicas-septiembre-2016_25.html https://web.archive.org/web/20170312084109/http://www.electograph.com/2016/09/pais-vasco-autonomicas-septiembre-2016_25.html usurped March 12, 2017 es Electograph 25 September 2016 23–25 Sep 2016 2,400? 36.575% Verdana 27/30 20.775% Verdana 16/18 11.175% Verdana 8/10 9.775% Verdana 7/8 "EP" – "EP" 2.275% Verdana 0/1 17.975% Verdana 13/15 15.8 Celeste-Tel/eldiario.esEl PNV acaricia una victoria mayor de la esperada http://www.eldiario.es/norte/Celeste-encuesta-PNV-elecciones-vascas_0_559594701.html es eldiario.es 17 September 2016 12–16 Sep 2016 1,200 64.1 37.375% Verdana 29 20.475% Verdana 15 11.975% Verdana 9 8.475% Verdana 7 "EP" – "EP" 2.075% Verdana 0 18.375% Verdana 15 16.9 Gizaker/EITBEiTB Focus: Un puñado de votos podría cambiar el Parlamento http://www.eitb.eus/es/noticias/politica/detalle/4396982/eitb-focus-encuesta-intencion-voto-19-septiembre-2016/ es EITB 19 September 2016PAÍS VASCO (Autonómicas), Septiembre 2016. Sondeo Gizaker (2) https://www.electograph.com/2016/09/pais-vasco-autonomicas-septiembre-2016_19.html https://web.archive.org/web/20160923145432/http://www.electograph.com/2016/09/pais-vasco-autonomicas-septiembre-2016_19.html usurped September 23, 2016 es Electograph 19 September 2016 14–15 Sep 2016 1,200 64.4 37.275% Verdana 27/29 21.075% Verdana 17 11.075% Verdana 8/9 9.775% Verdana 7/8 "EP" – "EP" 2.375% Verdana 0/1 17.875% Verdana 13/14 16.2 GAD3/ABCEl PNV sube pero necesitará pactar con el PSE o el PP http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2016/09/18/020.html es ABC 18 September 2016Encuesta socio-electoral en País Vasco https://www.slideshare.net/GAD3_com/encuesta-para-las-elecciones-autonmicas-en-pas-vasco-abc es GAD3 18 September 2016 14–15 Sep 2016 801? 38.575% Verdana 28/29 19.775% Verdana 15/16 10.875% Verdana 8/9 9.275% Verdana 8/9 "EP" – "EP" 1.475% Verdana 0 17.875% Verdana 14/15 18.8 Metroscopia/El PaísEl PNV ganaría las elecciones vascas pero tendrá que pactar http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2016/09/18/actualidad/1474213054_521809.html es El País 18 September 2016 Gorospe Pedro Sondeo preelectoral en el País Vasco https://elpais.com/elpais/2016/09/17/media/1474127566_339742.html es El País 17 September 2016Elecciones en el País Vasco: victoria del PNV en un escenario de pactos http://metroscopia.org/pais-vasco/ es Metroscopia 19 September 2016 18 September 2017 18 September 2017 https://web.archive.org/web/20170918165728/http://metroscopia.org/pais-vasco/ dead 13–15 Sep 2016 2,100 65.8 36.375% Verdana 27/29 19.275% Verdana 16/17 12.175% Verdana 8 8.875% Verdana 6/7 "EP" – "EP" 2.075% Verdana 1 17.975% Verdana 14/16 17.1 Sigma Dos/El MundoUrkullu se consolida y podrá gobernar con el PSOE o el PP http://www.elmundo.es/pais-vasco/2016/09/18/57dd7c5b22601db65f8b4578.html es El Mundo 18 September 2016 12–15 Sep 2016 1,200? 35.175% Verdana 26/28 21.175% Verdana 17/18 12.575% Verdana 9 9.575% Verdana 7/9 "EP" – "EP" 2.175% Verdana 0 16.975% Verdana 13/14 14.0 NC Report/La RazónEl PSOE se hunde en País Vasco y queda tras En Marea en Galicia http://www.larazon.es/espana/sanchez-arrastra-al-psoe-a-su-minimo-historico-PD13546810 es La Razón 18 September 2016Estimación de voto en País Vasco http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_5401954_20160918031237.pdf es La Razón 18 September 2016 18 September 2016 4 February 2017 https://web.archive.org/web/20170204213103/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_5401954_20160918031237.pdf dead Estimación de voto en País Vasco (Por provincias) http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_5401891_20160918030343.pdf es La Razón 18 September 2016 18 September 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20170204213055/http://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_5401891_20160918030343.pdf 4 February 2017 dead 6–14 Sep 2016 1,000? 36.275% Verdana 27 21.075% Verdana 16 11.475% Verdana 9 9.175% Verdana 8 "EP" – "EP"?75% Verdana 0 18.875% Verdana 15 15.2 Ikerfel/El CorreoPAÍS VASCO (Autonómicas), Septiembre 2016. Sondeo Ikerfel https://www.electograph.com/2016/09/pais-vasco-autonomicas-septiembre-2016_3.html https://web.archive.org/web/20160921105916/http://www.electograph.com/2016/09/pais-vasco-autonomicas-septiembre-2016_3.html usurped September 21, 2016 es Electograph 18 September 2016 8–11 Sep 2016 2,700 65.4 36.775% Verdana 28 18.975% Verdana 14/15 12.975% Verdana 9/10 8.875% Verdana 8 "EP" – "EP" 2.275% Verdana 0 19.375% Verdana 15/16 17.4 Ikertalde/GPSPrevisiones de voto para Elecciones Autonómicas (Septiembre 2016) http://www.euskadi.eus/contenidos/documentacion/o_16sv62prevision/eu_def/adjuntos/16sv62_previsiones.pdf es Basque Government 14 September 2016PAÍS VASCO (Autonómicas), Septiembre 2016. Sondeo Ikertalde / Gob. Vasco https://www.electograph.com/2016/09/pais-vasco-autonomicas-agosto-2016.html https://archive.today/20161015175223/http://www.electograph.com/2016/09/pais-vasco-autonomicas-agosto-2016.html usurped October 15, 2016 es Electograph 14 September 2016 1–8 Sep 2016 2,576 64.5 33.575% Verdana 26 21.375% Verdana 17 11.775% Verdana 9 9.275% Verdana 8 "EP" – "EP" 2.275% Verdana 0 19.375% Verdana 15 12.2 Gizaker/EITBEiTB Focus: El PNV ganaría el 25S; EH Bildu segunda y Podemos, tercera http://www.eitb.eus/es/noticias/politica/detalle/4363054/eitb-focus-26-septiembre-2016--pnv-ganaria-autonomicas/ es EITB 7 September 2016PAÍS VASCO (Autonómicas), Septiembre 2016. Sondeo Gizaker https://www.electograph.com/2016/09/pais-vasco-autonomicas-septiembre-2016.html https://web.archive.org/web/20160911020226/http://www.electograph.com/2016/09/pais-vasco-autonomicas-septiembre-2016.html usurped September 11, 2016 es Electograph 7 September 2016 5–6 Sep 2016 1,200 63.5 36.275% Verdana 27 20.775% Verdana 17 10.775% Verdana 8 10.375% Verdana 8 "EP" – "EP" 2.775% Verdana 1 18.275% Verdana 14 15.5 IMOP/CISPreelectoral del País Vasco. Elecciones autonómicas 2016 (Estudio nº 3152. Agosto-Septiembre 2016) http://datos.cis.es/pdf/Es3152mar_A.pdf es CIS 8 September 2016El PP gana en Galicia y el PNV en Euskadi http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2016/09/09/pagina-14/97213156/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 9 September 2016 27 Aug–2 Sep 2016 3,007? 37.975% Verdana 27/28 20.275% Verdana 16 10.875% Verdana 8 8.875% Verdana 8 "EP" – "EP" 1.875% Verdana 0 18.975% Verdana 15/16 17.7 2016 general election 26 Jun 2016 64.9 24.975% Verdana (18) 13.375% Verdana (10) 14.275% Verdana (11) 12.975% Verdana (10) "UP" Within Unidos Podemos. 0.175% Verdana (0) "UP" 3.575% Verdana (1) 29.175% Verdana (25) 4.2 Gizaker/EITBUnidos Podemos ganaría las generales en Euskadi en votos y escaños http://www.eitb.eus/es/noticias/politica/detalle/4165342/eitb-focus-junio-2016-unidos-podemos-ganaria-generales-euskadi/ es EITB 16 June 2016PAÍS VASCO (Autonómicas y Generales), Junio 2016. Sondeo Gizaker https://www.electograph.com/2016/06/pais-vasco-generales-junio-2016-sondeo_16.html https://web.archive.org/web/20160620044157/http://www.electograph.com/2016/06/pais-vasco-generales-junio-2016-sondeo_16.html usurped June 20, 2016 es Electograph 16 June 2016 8–9 Jun 2016 1,200? 37.275% Verdana 27 21.375% Verdana 17 10.775% Verdana 8 9.175% Verdana 8 "UP" 0.475% Verdana 0 "UP" 2.775% Verdana 1 18.275% Verdana 14 15.9 Ikertalde/GPSPrevisiones de voto para Elecciones Generales y Autonómicas (Junio 2016) http://www.lehendakaritza.ejgv.euskadi.eus/contenidos/documentacion/o_16sv61prevision/es_def/adjuntos/16sv61_previsiones.pdf es Basque Government 9 June 2016PAÍS VASCO (Autonómicas y Generales), Junio 2016. Sondeo Ikertalde / GPS G. Vasco https://www.electograph.com/2016/06/pais-vasco-autonomicas-y-generales.html https://web.archive.org/web/20160613035740/http://www.electograph.com/2016/06/pais-vasco-autonomicas-y-generales.html usurped June 13, 2016 es Electograph 9 June 2016 23 May–2 Jun 2016 2,310 67.5 31.875% Verdana 24 21.075% Verdana 17 12.375% Verdana 9 8.775% Verdana 7 "UP" 0.275% Verdana 0 "UP" 2.275% Verdana 1 20.875% Verdana 17 10.8 67.5 31.875% Verdana 24 21.075% Verdana 18 12.375% Verdana 10 8.775% Verdana 8 3.075% Verdana 0 0.275% Verdana 0 17.875% Verdana 14 2.275% Verdana 1 – 10.8 SYM ConsultingBCO Euskadi. Elecciones Autonómicas y Generales del 26 de Junio http://www.sociored.net/barometro/?p=1711 es SyM Consulting 29 April 2016 5–20 May 2016 1,274? 34.175% Verdana 25/26 20.475% Verdana 15/17 11.875% Verdana 8/9 9.175% Verdana 7/8 "UP" – "UP" 3.575% Verdana 1 20.775% Verdana 16/17 13.4 Gizaker/EITBEl PNV ganaría las elecciones vascas igualando los escaños de 2012 https://www.eitb.eus/es/noticias/politica/detalle/4087462/elecciones-vascas-2016-encuesta-intencion-voto-mayo/ es EITB 19 May 2016PAÍS VASCO (Autonómicas y Generales), Mayo 2016. Sondeo Gizaker https://www.electograph.com/2016/05/pais-vasco-generales-mayo-2016-sondeo.html https://web.archive.org/web/20160522025015/http://www.electograph.com/2016/05/pais-vasco-generales-mayo-2016-sondeo.html usurped May 22, 2016 es Electograph 19 May 2016 11–12 May 2016 1,200? 35.575% Verdana 27 20.275% Verdana 16 11.075% Verdana 9 9.275% Verdana 7 "UP" 0.275% Verdana 0 "UP" 3.075% Verdana 1 19.475% Verdana 15 15.3 Gizaker/EITBEl PNV ganaría las elecciones; Podemos y EH Bildu empatarían http://www.eitb.eus/es/noticias/politica/detalle/4004056/elecciones-vascas-2016-encuesta-eitb-focus-intencion-voto/ es EITB 21 April 2016PAÍS VASCO (Autonómicas y Generales), Abril 2016. Sondeo Gizaker https://www.electograph.com/2016/04/pais-vasco-abril-2016-sondeo-gizaker.html https://web.archive.org/web/20160424095840/http://www.electograph.com/2016/04/pais-vasco-abril-2016-sondeo-gizaker.html usurped April 24, 2016 es Electograph 21 April 2016 13–14 Apr 2016 1,200? 35.375% Verdana 27 19.075% Verdana 15 12.175% Verdana 10 8.875% Verdana 7 2.475% Verdana 0 0.275% Verdana 0 19.175% Verdana 15 2.375% Verdana 1 – 16.2 Ikertalde/GPSPrevisiones de voto para Elecciones Autonómicas (Febrero 2016) http://www.lehendakaritza.ejgv.euskadi.eus/contenidos/informe_estudio/o_16sv60prevision/es_def/adjuntos/16sv60_previsiones.pdf es Basque Government 16 February 2016PAÍS VASCO, Febrero 2016. Sondeo Ikertalde / GPS Gobierno Vasco https://www.electograph.com/2016/02/pais-vasco-febrero-2016-sondeo.html https://web.archive.org/web/20160220085733/http://www.electograph.com/2016/02/pais-vasco-febrero-2016-sondeo.html usurped February 20, 2016 es Electograph 16 February 2016 25 Jan–2 Feb 2016 2,310 70.5 31.375% Verdana 24 19.175% Verdana 15 12.075% Verdana 9 8.875% Verdana 8 2.575% Verdana 0 0.275% Verdana 0 20.575% Verdana 18 3.375% Verdana 1 – 10.8 CPS/EHUEuskobarómetro Enero 2016. Estimación Electoral Parlamento Vasco https://www.ehu.eus/documents/1457190/4342183/Estimaciones+Enero+2016.pdf/ce2c549a-3457-43e1-8843-8955345b3029?t=1461071137000 es EHU 18 March 2016 19–31 Jan 2016 600 67 29.375% Verdana 22/23 16.375% Verdana 13 12.275% Verdana 9 9.475% Verdana 8/9 – – 25.275% Verdana 19/21 3.675% Verdana 1/3 – 4.1 Redondo & AsociadosElecciones vascas: PNV 30% (22-23), Podemos (21-22), Bildu 19% (13-14), PSE-EE 12.8% (10), PP 8.3% (6), IU 3% (0-1) https://twitter.com/thewarroomblog/status/688504843539996674 es Twitter 17 January 2016 16 Jan 2016?? 30.075% Verdana 22/23 19.075% Verdana 13/14 12.875% Verdana 10 8.375% Verdana 6 3.075% Verdana 0/1 – 25.075% Verdana 21/22 – – 5.0 2015 general election 20 Dec 2015 69.0 24.775% Verdana (18) 15.175% Verdana (12) 13.275% Verdana (10) 11.675% Verdana (10) 2.975% Verdana (1) 0.375% Verdana (0) 26.075% Verdana (21) 4.175% Verdana (3) – 1.3 CPS/EHUEuskobarómetro Mayo 2015. Estimación Electoral https://www.ehu.eus/documents/1457190/4342183/Estimacion_Mayo15.pdf/fd64dfb8-f22c-4e20-b5e9-f13dd2ab9150?t=1438182572000 es EHU 30 July 2015 29 May–15 Jun 2015 600 65 33.575% Verdana 25/26 23.175% Verdana 18/19 14.575% Verdana 10/11 8.175% Verdana 7/8 – 1.775% Verdana 0 15.175% Verdana 11/12 – – 10.4 2015 foral elections 24 May 2015 63.8 33.375% Verdana (26) 22.475% Verdana (18) 13.675% Verdana (10) 9.375% Verdana (9) 2.775% Verdana (1) 0.575% Verdana (0) 13.775% Verdana (11) 2.175% Verdana (0) – 10.9 CPS/EHUEuskobarómetro Noviembre 2014. Estimaciones Electorales https://www.ehu.eus/documents/1457190/4342183/EstimacionesEB1411.pdf/baf9123c-976a-4922-9d9c-838d3f6cc431?t=1460638840000 es EHU 26 December 2014 27 Oct–14 Nov 2014 600 67 30.575% Verdana 22/23 19.775% Verdana 13/14 12.875% Verdana 10 8.175% Verdana 6 3.275% Verdana 0/1 2.275% Verdana 0/1 25.675% Verdana 21/22 – – 4.9 2014 EP electionProyección del resultado de las europeas en los parlamentos autonómicos http://elpais.com/elpais/2014/05/31/media/1401568389_275456.html es El País 31 May 2014 25 May 2014 43.1 27.575% Verdana (21) 23.475% Verdana (21) 13.875% Verdana (12) 10.275% Verdana (10) 5.675% Verdana (4) 3.375% Verdana (1) 6.975% Verdana (6) 0.875% Verdana (0) – 4.1 CPS/EHUEstimaciones Electorales del Euskobarómetro de Mayo de 2014 para el Parlamento Vasco https://www.ehu.eus/documents/1457190/4342183/ESTIM+ELECTS+EB1405+doc.pdf/d7bae6a3-26d0-4a7c-a0a6-24e16a2c81e1?t=1460638774000 es EHU 4 July 2014 30 Apr–19 May 2014 600 60 34.275% Verdana 29 23.975% Verdana 22 16.575% Verdana 12 8.175% Verdana 7 6.475% Verdana 3 2.275% Verdana 1 4.875% Verdana 1 – – 10.3 CPS/EHUEstimaciones Electorales del Euskobarómetro "Noviembre 2013" para el Parlamento Vasco https://www.ehu.eus/documents/1457190/4342183/Estimaciones%2BNov%2B13.pdf/44c5787f-8c81-427d-ad91-03c5c7919073?t=1460639025000 es EHU 27 December 2013 24 Oct–15 Nov 2013 1,200 60 34.975% Verdana 29 25.975% Verdana 23 15.575% Verdana 12 9.675% Verdana 8 4.475% Verdana 2 2.275% Verdana 1 – – – 9.0 Ikertalde/GPSPrevisiones de voto para Elecciones Autonómicas (Noviembre 2013) https://www.euskadi.eus/contenidos/documentacion/o_13sv53_previsiones/es_13sv53pr/adjuntos/13sv53_previsiones.pdf es Basque Government 21 November 2013 8–11 Oct 2013 2,289 64.0 34.775% Verdana 27 24.175% Verdana 21 17.775% Verdana 15 10.875% Verdana 10 3.175% Verdana 1 2.375% Verdana 1 – – – 10.6 CPS/EHUEstimaciones Electorales del Euskobarómetro de Mayo de 2013 para el Parlamento Vasco https://www.ehu.eus/documents/1457190/4342183/ESTIM+ELECTS+EB1305.pdf/53c19861-8370-4512-bc3c-a09f9637b97f?t=1460638717000 es EHU 27 May 2013 7–27 May 2013 1,200 60 34.075% Verdana 28 24.075% Verdana 20 18.075% Verdana 14 10.075% Verdana 10 4.075% Verdana 2 3.075% Verdana 1 – – – 10.0 Ikertalde/GPSPrevisiones de voto para Elecciones Autonómicas (Mayo 2013) http://www.lehendakaritza.ejgv.euskadi.net/contenidos/informe_estudio/o_13sv52_prev/es_13sv52pr/adjuntos/13sv52_previsiones.pdf es Basque Government 27 April 2013 22–27 Apr 2013 2,277 63.5 34.975% Verdana 27 24.275% Verdana 21 17.875% Verdana 15 10.075% Verdana 10 3.175% Verdana 1 2.575% Verdana 1 – – – 10.7 2012 regional election 21 Oct 2012 64.0 34.275% Verdana 27 24.775% Verdana 21 18.975% Verdana 16 11.675% Verdana 10 2.775% Verdana 0 1.975% Verdana 1 – – – 9.5
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 28px|link=EH Bildu 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 27px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 27px|link=Ezker Anitza|EzAn–IU 30px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 25px|link=Podemos Euskadi|Podemos 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's 35px|link=Elkarrekin Podemos Lead 2016 regional election"CERA" Does not include non-resident citizens. 25 Sep 2016 23.2 13.1 7.4 6.3 "EP" – "EP" 1.2 9.1 37.7 10.1 GAD3/ABC 14–15 Sep 2016 801 36.0 9.5 7.8 5.7 "EP" – "EP" 0.5 10.9 – – 25.1 Ikertalde/GPS 1–8 Sep 2016 2,576 20.8 14.0 4.9 1.9 "EP" – "EP" 1.2 11.9 23.0 18.9 6.8 IMOP/CIS 27 Aug–2 Sep 2016 3,007 29.8 12.7 6.2 2.4 "EP" – "EP" 0.7 13.1 24.1 7.0 16.7 2016 general election"CERA" 26 Jun 2016 16.7 8.9 9.5 8.6 "UP" 0.1 "UP" 2.4 19.5 32.6 2.8 Ikertalde/GPS 23 May–2 Jun 2016 2,310 20.3 15.1 5.7 2.1 "EP" 0.4 "EP" 0.9 12.0 25.0 15.8 5.2 20.3 15.1 5.7 2.1 2.5 0.4 9.5 0.9 – 25.0 15.8 5.2 Ikertalde/GPS 25 Jan–2 Feb 2016 2,310 20.9 12.3 5.2 2.3 1.7 0.3 13.6 1.6 – 23.1 16.8 7.3 CPS/EHU 19–31 Jan 2016 600 22.3 13.5 7.7 2.3 – – 18.7 0.7 – 32.4 3.6 2015 general election"CERA" 20 Dec 2015 17.6 10.7 9.4 8.2 2.1 0.2 18.4 2.9 – 28.6 0.8 CPS/EHU 29 May–15 Jun 2015 600 24.7 17.0 7.5 1.2 – – 9.3 – – 37.4 7.7 2015 foral elections 24 May 2015 20.9 14.1 8.6 5.9 1.7 0.3 8.6 1.3 – 36.2 6.8 CPS/EHU 27 Oct–14 Nov 2014 600 19.8 12.5 4.3 1.0 1.3 0.8 19.3 – – – – 0.5 2014 EP election"CERA" 25 May 2014 12.1 10.3 6.1 4.5 2.4 1.5 3.1 0.4 – 55.5 1.8 CPS/EHU 30 Apr–19 May 2014 600 20.3 14.7 8.8 0.5 4.5 0.8 3.2 – – – – 5.6 CPS/EHU 24 Oct–15 Nov 2013 1,200 22.0 16.5 6.4 1.6 2.4 0.8 – – – – – 5.5 CPS/EHU 7–27 May 2013 1,200 21.5 15.9 7.0 1.6 3.6 0.9 – – – – – 5.2 2012 regional election"CERA" 21 Oct 2012 22.3 16.1 12.3 7.6 1.8 1.3 – – – 34.2 6.2
Victory preferences
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 28px|link=EH Bildu 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 27px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's 35px|link=Elkarrekin Podemos Other/None Lead IMOP/CIS 27 Aug–2 Sep 2016 3,007 36.8 13.4 6.0 2.0 0.6 15.0 6.3 19.8 21.8
Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 28px|link=EH Bildu 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 27px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's 35px|link=Elkarrekin Podemos Other/None Lead GAD3/ABC 14–15 Sep 2016 801 82.6 2.3 1.8 2.8 – 5.3 0.7 4.5 77.3 IMOP/CIS 27 Aug–2 Sep 2016 3,007 74.6 1.6 0.9 1.3 0.1 7.9 0.5 13.2 66.7
Preferred Lehendakari
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become lehendakari.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 50px 50px 50px 50px 50px 50px 50px 50px Other/None/Notcare Lead UrkulluPNV OtegiEH Bildu IriarteEH Bildu LarriónEH Bildu MendiaPSE–EE AlonsoPP De MiguelC's ZabalaEP Gizaker/EITB 14–15 Sep 2016 1,200 38.5 4.2 10.4 – 1.4 0.8 0.3 5.4 – 39.0 28.1 GAD3/ABC 14–15 Sep 2016 801 42.5 – – 6.4 7.0 4.7 – 8.0 18.6 12.8 34.5 Gizaker/EITB 5–6 Sep 2016 1,200 38.0 16.9 – – 1.6 1.0 0.1 6.1 0.1 36.2 21.1 IMOP/CIS 27 Aug–2 Sep 2016 3,007 37.6 – 13.5 – 5.1 2.2 0.1 8.6 7.2 25.8 24.1 Gizaker/EITB 11–12 May 2016 1,200 35.5 17.2 – – 2.5 – – 2.1 0.9 41.8 18.3
Results
Overall
+ ← Summary of the 25 September 2016 Basque Parliament election results → center|335px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) 398,168 37.36 +3.20 28 +1 Basque Country Gather (EH Bildu) 225,172 21.13 −3.54 18 −3 United We Can (Podemos, Ezker Anitza–IU, Equo)1 157,334 14.76 +11.04 11 +11 Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) 126,420 11.86 −7.03 9 −7 People's Party (PP) 107,771 10.11 −1.48 9 −1 Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 21,477 2.02 New 0 ±0 Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA/ATTKAA) 8,589 0.81 +0.45 0 ±0 Let's Win the Basque Country: Yes We Can (Ganemos Irabazi) 6,049 0.57 New 0 ±0 Zero Cuts–Green Group (Recortes Cero–GV) 2,747 0.26 New 0 ±0 Family and Life Party (PFyV) 1,836 0.17 +0.10 0 ±0 Blank Seats (EB/AZ) 1,288 0.12 −0.90 0 ±0 Vox (Vox) 771 0.07 New 0 ±0 Basque Communists–Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (EK–PCPE) 466 0.04 ±0.00 0 ±0 Welcome (Ongi Etorri) 374 0.04 +0.03 0 ±0 Humanist Party (PH) 351 0.03 −0.07 0 ±0 Navarrese Freedom (Ln) 191 0.02 New 0 ±0 Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) n/a n/a −1.91 0 −1 Blank ballots 6,681 0.63 −0.67 Total 1,065,685 75 ±0 Valid votes 1,065,685 99.56 +0.37 Invalid votes 4,672 0.44 −0.37 Votes cast / turnout 1,070,357 60.02 −3.94 Abstentions 713,062 39.98 +3.94 Registered voters 1,783,419 Sourceshttps://www.euskadi.eus/ab12aAREWar/resultado/maint Resultados Electorales es Basque Government 28 December 202513 October 2016 Acuerdo de 10 de octubre de 2016, de la Junta Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma del País Vasco, por el que se dispone la publicación de los resultados correspondientes al escrutinio general de las elecciones al Parlamento Vasco celebradas el día 25 de septiembre de 2016 https://www.euskadi.eus/web01-bopv/es/bopv2/datos/2016/10/1604297a.pdf es Official Gazette of the Basque Country 194 2483-5366 2016/4297.1–2016/4297.4 12 March 2026 left Footnotes: 1 United We Can results are compared to the combined totals of United Left–The Greens: Plural Left and Equo Greens–Basque Ecologists in the 2012 election.
Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px EAJ/PNV Basque Nationalist Party 37.36
EH Bildu EH Bildu 21.13
E. Podemos Elkarrekin Podemos 14.76
PSE–EE (PSOE) Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left 11.86
PP People's Party of the Basque Country 10.11
C's Citizens (Spanish political party) 2.02
Others #777777 2.13
Blank ballots #DDDDDD 0.63
Seats #ddd 550px 500px EAJ/PNV Basque Nationalist Party 37.33
EH Bildu EH Bildu 24.00
E. Podemos Elkarrekin Podemos 14.67
PSE–EE (PSOE) Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left 12.00
PP People's Party of the Basque Country 12.00
Distribution by constituency
Constituency PNV EH Bildu EP PSE–EE PP % S % S % S % S % S Álava 28.0 8 17.8 5 16.1 4 12.9 3 18.5 5 Biscay 41.8 11 17.5 5 14.8 4 11.7 3 9.7 2 Gipuzkoa 34.1 9 28.7 8 14.2 3 11.8 3 7.2 2 Total 37.6 28 21.3 18 14.9 11 11.9 9 10.2 9 Sources
Aftermath
Government formation
Investiture Ballot → 23 November 2016 24 November 2016 Required majority → 38 out of 75 Simple Iñigo Urkullu (PNV) • PNV (28) • PSE–EE (9) 37 75 Basque Nationalist Party 125px 15 37 75 Basque Nationalist Party 125px 15 Maddalen Iriarte (EH Bildu) • EH Bildu (18) 18 75 EH Bildu 125px 15 18 75 EH Bildu 125px 15 Abstentions/Blank ballots • EP (11) • PP (9) 20 75 gray 125px 20 75 gray 125px Absentees 0 75 black 125px 0 75 black 125px Sources
Notes
References
Opinion poll sources
"p"
Other
Bibliography
30em
y Ley Orgánica 3/1979, de 18 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para el País Vasco Organic Law 3/1979 18 December 1979 version as of 22 December 1979 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1979-30177 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1979-30177&tn=1&p=19791222 12 March 2026 Statute 1979
y Ley 7/1981, de 30 de junio, sobre Ley de Gobierno Law 7/1981 30 June 1981 version as of 8 June 2016 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2012-5927 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2012-5927&tn=1&p=20160608 12 March 2026 LGV 1981
y Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General Organic Law 5/1985 19 June 1985 version as of 31 March 2015 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1985-11672 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20150331 5 October 2025 LOREG 1985
y Ley 5/1990, de 15 de junio, de Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco Law 5/1990 15 June 1990 version as of 7 January 2016 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2012-2859 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2012-2859&tn=1&p=20160107 12 March 2026 LEPV 1990
y Decreto 23/2016, de 1 de agosto, del Lehendakari, por el que se disuelve el Parlamento Vasco y se convocan elecciones Decree 23/2016 1 August 2016 Official Gazette of the Basque Country es https://www.euskadi.eus/bopv2/datos/2016/08/1603432a.pdf 12 March 2026 Decree 23/2016 2016
Regional election
Basque Country
Category:Regional elections in the Basque Country (autonomous community)
Basque Country