2004 United States presidential election in Indiana

none June 2025 September 2023 2004 United States presidential election in Indiana Indiana presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Indiana 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Indiana 2008 November 2, 2004 x200px George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 11 1,479,438 59.94% John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 0 969,011 39.26% 180px County results 180px Congressional district results Bush #f2b3be 40–50% #e27f90 50–60% #cc2f4a 60–70% #d40000 70–80% Kerry #b9d7ff 40–50% #86b6f2 50–60% #4389e3 60–70% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) 57.4% (of registered voters) 53.7% (of voting age population) 2004 United States presidential election A presidential election was held in Indiana on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 11 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Indiana was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 20.68% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state, even though Democratic Senator Evan Bayh overwhelmingly won re-election on the same ballot. Indiana had not voted Democratic in a presidential election since 1964, but would buck this trend 4 years later by voting for Senator Barack Obama of neighboring Illinois. Bush became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Monroe County since Abraham Lincoln in 1864, as well as the first to do so without carrying Marion County since Benjamin Harrison in 1888. As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time that the Republican nominee won St. Joseph County. Primaries 2004 Indiana Democratic presidential primary Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW Archived copy dcpoliticalreport.com 13 January 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW 21 November 2010 usurped +SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportSolid RAssociated PressSolid RCNNLikely RCook Political ReportSolid RNewsweekSolid RNew York TimesSolid RRasmussen ReportsLikely RResearch 2000Solid RWashington PostLikely RWashington TimesSolid RZogby InternationalLikely RWashington DispatchLikely R Polling Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each by a double-digit margin of victory and with at least 52% of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Bush leading 56% to 40%.http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=18 US Election Atlas 2004 Presidential Election Polls. Indiana Polls Fundraising Bush raised $2,491,828.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Kerry raised $681,272.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President Advertising and visits Neither campaign visited or advertised in this state during the fall campaign.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ CNN CNN.com Specialshttp://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html CNN CNN.com Specials Analysis Indiana has long been considered to be a Republican stronghold.Associated Press Indiana poll shows tight race with McCain, Obama Fox News Channel http://www.foxnews.com/wires/2008Oct01/0,4670,Poll2008Indiana,00.html 2008-10-01 2009-08-10Purnick Joyce The 2006 Campaign: Struggle for the House; In a G.O.P. Stronghold, 3 Districts in Indiana Are Now Battlegrounds The New York Times https://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9D0CEFDA163FF932A15753C1A9609C8B63 2006-10-21 2009-08-10 The Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) rates Indiana as a R+8. Indiana was one of only ten states to support Republican Wendell Willkie in 1940.Indiana Funk & Wagnalls New World Encyclopedia Funk & Wagnalls On 14 occasions has the Republican candidate defeated the Democrat by a double-digit margin in the state, including six times where a Republican won the state by more than 20%. In 2000 and 2004, George W. Bush won the state by a wide margin while the election was much closer overall. The state has only supported a Democrat for president five times since 1900. In 1912, Woodrow Wilson became the first Democrat to win the state in the 20th Century, with 43% of the vote. 20 years later in 1932, Franklin D. Roosevelt won the state with 55% of the vote over incumbent Republican Herbert Hoover. Roosevelt won the state again in 1936. In 1964, 56% of voters supported Democrat Lyndon B. Johnson over Republican Barry Goldwater. Statistically, Indiana is more of a stronghold for Republican presidential candidates than for candidates elected to state government. Whereas only five Democratic presidential nominees have carried Indiana since 1900, eleven Democrats were elected governor during that time. Before Mitch Daniels became governor in 2005, Democrats had held the office for 16 consecutive years. Historically, Republicans have been strongest in the eastern and central portions of the state, while Democrats have been strongest in the northwestern part of the state. Occasionally, certain counties in the southern part of the state will vote Democratic. Marion County, Indiana's most populated county, supported the Republican candidates from 1968 to 2000, before backing the Democrats in the 2004 and subsequent 2008, and 2012 elections. Indiana's second most populated county, Lake County, is a strong supporter of the Democratic party that has not voted for a Republican since 1972.Presidential General Election Map Comparison uselectionatlas.org http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/comparemaps.php?year=2008&fips=18&f=1&off=0&elect=0 2009-08-11 In 2005, the Bay Area Center for Voting Research rated the most liberal and conservative cities in the United States on voting statistics in the 2004 presidential election, based on 237 cities with populations of more than 100,000. Five Indiana cities were mentioned in the study. On the liberal side, Gary was ranked second and South Bend came in at 83. Regarding conservative cities, Fort Wayne was 44th, Evansville was 60th and Indianapolis was 82nd on the list.Modie Neil Where have Seattle's lefties gone? Seattle Post-Intelligencer http://www.seattlepi.com/local/236320_liberal12.html 2005-08-12 2009-08-11 2024 11 As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last election in which St. Joseph County voted for the Republican candidate. Results 2004 United States presidential election in IndianaIndiana 2004 Indiana Election Report 2004 Indiana Election Division Indianapolis https://web.archive.org/web/20150905101313if_/http://www.in.gov/sos/elections/files/AR-M550N_20120328_154342.pdf George W. BushDick Cheney Republican Party (United States) 1,479,438 59.94 3.29 John KerryJohn Edwards Democratic Party (United States) 969,011 39.26 1.75 Michael BadnarikRichard Campagna Libertarian Party (United States) 18,058 0.73 0.02 Ralph Nader (write-in)Peter Camejo (write-in) Independent politician 1,328 0.05 0.05 David Cobb (write-in)Pat LaMarche (write-in) Green Party of the United States 102 0.00 0.84 John Joseph Kennedy (write-in)N/AKennedy had no registered running mate in Indiana. Independent Democrat 37 0.00 0.00 Walt Brown (write-in)Mary Alice Herbert (write-in) Socialist Party USA 22 0.00 Lawson Mitchell Bone (write-in)N/ABone had no registered running mate in Indiana. Independent politician 6 0.00 0.00 2,468,002 100.00 By county CountyGeorge W. BushRepublicanJohn KerryDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Adams9,73472.97%3,51226.33%940.70%6,22246.64%13,340Allen82,01363.28%46,71036.04%8860.68%35,30327.24%129,609Bartholomew19,09366.96%9,19132.23%2310.81%9,90234.73%28,515Benton2,79770.07%1,13528.43%601.50%1,66241.64%3,992Blackford3,44764.07%1,90335.37%300.56%1,54428.70%5,380Boone17,05574.48%5,63624.61%2070.91%11,41949.87%22,898Brown4,51261.56%2,73037.24%881.20%1,78224.32%7,330Carroll5,86867.93%2,68931.13%810.93%3,17936.80%8,638Cass9,48068.05%4,31530.97%1360.97%5,16537.08%13,931Clark24,49557.86%17,64841.68%1940.46%6,84716.18%42,337Clay7,36168.26%3,33330.91%890.82%4,02837.35%10,783Clinton8,47171.32%3,33528.08%710.60%5,13643.24%11,877Crawford2,60957.04%1,93242.24%330.72%67714.80%4,574Daviess7,93674.87%2,57324.28%900.84%5,36350.59%10,599Dearborn14,23167.87%6,59631.46%1420.68%7,63536.41%20,969Decatur7,49973.53%2,62125.70%790.77%4,87847.83%10,199DeKalb10,46867.96%4,81031.23%1250.81%5,65836.73%15,403Delaware27,06456.46%20,43642.63%4390.92%6,62813.83%47,939Dubois11,72668.71%5,21030.53%1300.76%6,51638.18%17,066Elkhart42,96770.00%17,96629.27%4470.73%25,00140.73%61,380Fayette5,76160.85%3,62638.30%810.86%2,13522.55%9,468Floyd19,87758.65%13,85740.89%1560.46%6,02017.76%33,890Fountain5,26067.40%2,47731.74%670.86%2,78335.66%7,804Franklin6,97769.83%2,92529.27%900.90%4,05240.56%9,992Fulton6,02769.25%2,60729.96%690.79%3,42039.29%8,703Gibson9,13362.49%5,37836.80%1030.70%3,75525.69%14,614Grant18,76968.35%8,50930.99%1820.66%10,26037.36%27,460Greene8,60964.48%4,60634.50%1371.02%4,00329.98%13,352Hamilton77,88774.24%26,38825.15%6310.60%51,49949.09%104,906Hancock20,77174.54%6,91224.80%1840.66%13,85949.74%27,867Harrison11,01563.63%6,17135.65%1240.72%4,84427.98%17,310Hendricks38,43073.48%13,54825.90%3240.62%24,88247.58%52,302Henry13,13764.07%7,17635.00%1910.93%5,96129.07%20,504Howard23,71464.06%12,99835.11%3090.83%10,71628.95%37,021Huntington11,61774.34%3,87724.81%1330.85%7,74049.53%15,627Jackson11,08367.96%5,09231.22%1340.82%5,99136.74%16,309Jasper8,05668.02%3,67831.05%1100.93%4,37836.97%11,844Jay5,42765.93%2,74033.28%650.79%2,68732.65%8,232Jefferson7,76359.85%5,11739.45%910.70%2,64620.40%12,971Jennings6,86465.27%3,53833.64%1151.09%3,32631.63%10,517Johnson37,76573.68%13,10925.58%3810.75%24,65648.10%51,255Knox9,99063.44%5,64935.88%1070.68%4,34127.56%15,746Kosciusko22,13678.05%5,97721.08%2470.87%16,15956.97%28,360LaGrange6,43071.42%2,52328.02%500.56%3,90743.40%9,003Lake71,90338.24%114,74361.03%1,3760.73%-42,840-22.79%188,022LaPorte20,91649.09%21,11449.56%5761.36%-198-0.47%42,606Lawrence12,20768.97%5,34630.21%1450.82%6,86138.76%17,698Madison32,52659.29%21,88239.89%4470.82%10,64419.40%54,855Marion156,07248.65%162,24950.57%2,5170.78%-6,177-1.92%320,838Marshall12,07467.78%5,59331.40%1470.83%6,48136.38%17,814Martin3,41468.33%1,52230.46%601.20%1,89237.87%4,996Miami9,60070.44%3,88628.51%1421.05%5,71441.93%13,628Monroe22,83445.25%26,96553.43%6681.32%-4,131-8.18%50,467Montgomery10,90174.93%3,53624.31%1110.76%7,36550.62%14,548Morgan19,19773.75%6,65025.55%1820.70%12,54748.20%26,029Newton3,75764.24%2,03234.75%591.01%1,72529.49%5,848Noble10,85969.26%4,70330.00%1170.74%6,15639.26%15,679Ohio1,79660.72%1,13938.51%230.78%65722.21%2,958Orange5,68365.68%2,88533.34%840.97%2,79832.34%8,652Owen5,00065.75%2,53633.35%680.89%2,46432.40%7,604Parke4,55065.27%2,36233.88%590.85%2,18831.39%6,971Perry4,13749.75%4,13149.68%470.56%60.07%8,315Pike3,74560.29%2,41838.92%490.79%1,32721.37%6,212Porter34,79453.63%29,38845.30%6911.06%5,4068.33%64,873Posey7,83365.35%4,08534.08%680.57%3,74831.27%11,986Pulaski3,79767.63%1,75031.17%671.20%2,04736.46%5,614Putnam8,90867.81%4,10331.23%1250.95%4,80536.58%13,136Randolph7,17264.66%3,81234.37%1080.97%3,36030.29%11,092Ripley8,22469.49%3,51029.66%1000.84%4,71439.83%11,834Rush5,36372.27%2,00026.95%580.78%3,36345.32%7,421Scott4,79355.24%3,82244.05%620.71%97111.19%8,677Shelby11,39771.11%4,51928.20%1110.69%6,87842.91%16,027Spencer5,93459.79%3,92039.50%700.70%2,01420.29%9,924St. Joseph55,25450.87%52,63748.46%7280.67%2,6172.41%108,619Starke4,84654.22%3,98744.61%1041.16%8599.61%8,937Steuben8,43365.35%4,34533.67%1270.99%4,08831.68%12,905Sullivan4,99959.55%3,34139.80%540.64%1,65819.75%8,394Switzerland2,16158.87%1,47940.29%310.84%68218.58%3,671Tippecanoe30,89759.01%20,81839.76%6451.23%10,07919.25%52,360Tipton5,62871.31%2,20327.91%610.77%3,42543.40%7,892Union2,26667.76%1,04531.25%330.99%1,22136.51%3,344Vanderburgh41,46358.68%28,76740.72%4240.60%12,69617.96%70,654Vermillion3,53650.39%3,42448.80%570.81%1121.59%7,017Vigo20,98852.81%18,42646.36%3300.83%2,5626.45%39,744Wabash9,60770.63%3,92028.82%750.55%5,68741.81%13,602Warren2,56564.77%1,35634.24%390.98%1,20930.53%3,960Warrick16,93065.05%8,98034.51%1150.44%7,95030.54%26,025Washington6,91563.56%3,87935.65%860.79%3,03627.91%10,880Wayne16,58659.97%10,77538.96%2961.07%5,81121.01%27,657Wells9,16874.21%3,11225.19%740.60%6,05649.02%12,354White6,97467.28%3,27731.61%1151.11%3,69735.67%10,366Whitley9,51270.56%3,88028.78%890.66%5,63241.78%13,481Totals1,479,43859.94%969,01139.26%19,5530.80%510,42720.68%2,468,002 right 200px Swing by county Legend #00bdec Democratic — +12.5-15% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 200px Trend by county Legend #00a1c8 Democratic — +>15% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 200px County flips Legend Democratic #92c5de Hold #0671b0 Flip Republican #f48882 Hold #ca0120 Flip Counties that flipped Democratic to Republican Perry (Largest city: Tell City) Scott (Largest city: Scottsburg) St. Joseph (Largest city: South Bend) Vermillion (Largest city: Clinton) Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Marion (Largest city: Indianapolis) Monroe (Largest city: Bloomington) By congressional district Bush won seven of nine congressional districts.http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project December 15, 2008 District Bush Kerry RepresentativeIndiana 1 1st 44% 55%Pete ViscloskyIndiana 2 2nd 56% 43%Chris ChocolaIndiana 3 3rd 68% 31%Mark SouderIndiana 4 4th 69% 30%Steve BuyerIndiana 5 5th 71% 28%Dan BurtonIndiana 6 6th 64% 35%Mike PenceIndiana 7 7th 42% 58%Julia CarsonIndiana 8 8th 62% 38%John HostettlerIndiana 9 9th59%40%Baron HillMike Sodrel Electors List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of Indiana cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Indiana is allocated 11 electors because it has 9 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 11 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 11 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from state. All were pledged to and voted for Bush and Cheney.https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2004_certificates/ The Electoral College 20 May 2019 Kenneth Culp John Zentz Michael Miner Saundra Huddleston Leeann Cook Ted Ogle Melissa Proffitt Reese Dudley Curea Larry Shickles James Kittle Jean Ann Harcourt See also United States presidential elections in Indiana Notes References 2004 Indiana President