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2014 United States Senate election in Alaska
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2014 United States Senate election in Alaska Alaska presidential no 2008 United States Senate election in Alaska 2008 2020 United States Senate election in Alaska 2020 November 4, 2014 File:Senator Dan Sullivan official (5and6cropped).jpg Dan Sullivan Republican Party (United States) 135,445 47.96% File:Mark Begich, official portrait, 112th Congress (cropped a little).jpg 150x150px Mark Begich Democratic Party (United States) 129,431 45.83% Sullivan: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80%Begich: #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% U.S. Senator Mark Begich Democratic Party (United States) Dan Sullivan Republican Party (United States) 350px State house district results 2 350px Borough and census area results
The 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the election of the governor of Alaska, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
This was one of the seven Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state that Mitt Romney won in the 2012 presidential election. Incumbent Senator Mark Begich ran for re-election to a second term in office. Primary elections were held on August 19, 2014. Begich was renominated and the Republicans picked former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources Dan Sullivan.http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ei_ed_2013_dates.php https://web.archive.org/web/20121230005101/http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ei_ed_2013_dates.php dead December 30, 2012 2014 Election Dates and Hours State of Alaska Division of Elections State of Alaska Division of Elections April 2, 2014
On November 7, Sullivan held an 8,000-vote lead,http://www.adn.com/article/20141106/after-noisy-us-senate-campaign-both-candidates-go-quiet-votes-still-uncounted After noisy U.S. Senate campaign, both candidates go quiet with votes still uncounted Alaska Dispatch News November 6, 2014 November 7, 2014 which on November 11 had shrunk slightly to 7,991 votes.http://www.adn.com/article/20141111/highs-lows-campaigns-votes-are-tallied-alaska-election Highs, lows for campaigns as votes are tallied in Alaska election November 11, 2014 November 12, 2014 Alaska Dispatch News Multiple media outlets called the race for Sullivan on November 12https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/republican-dan-sullivan-beats-sen-mark-begich-win-alaska-race-n246721 Republican Dan Sullivan Beats Sen. Mark Begich to Win Alaska Race NBC News November 12, 2014 November 15, 2014https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2014/11/another-senate-loss-for-democrats/382660/ Another Senate Loss for Democrats The Atlantic November 12, 2014 November 15, 2014 and Begich conceded to Sullivan on November 17.http://www.biconews.com/2014/11/17/republicans-take-the-senate-debates-continue-on-health-care-and-immigration-reform/ https://web.archive.org/web/20141129054101/http://www.biconews.com/2014/11/17/republicans-take-the-senate-debates-continue-on-health-care-and-immigration-reform/ dead November 29, 2014 Republicans Take the Senate – Debates Continue on Health Care and Immigration Reform – The Bi-College NewsJoseph, Cameron. Begich concedes Alaska Senate race, The Hill, November 17, 2014. Republican Sean Parnell simultaneously lost the gubernatorial election to independent candidate Bill Walker, marking just the fifth time in the last 50 years in which U.S. Senate and gubernatorial incumbents from different political parties were simultaneously defeated in the same state.https://editions.lib.umn.edu/smartpolitics/2014/11/19/mark-begich-and-sean-parnell-j/ Mark Begich and Sean Parnell Join Small Group in Defeat Smart Politics Eric Ostermeier November 19, 2014The others were 1990 in Minnesota, 1982 in Nevada, and 1978 in Massachusetts and New Hampshire.
Background
Democrat Mark Begich won the 2008 election, defeating seven-term Republican incumbent Ted Stevens by just under 4,000 votes. A few days before the election, Stevens had been convicted of a felony, but the case against Stevens was later dismissed by the Justice Department after the election, when serious issues of prosecutorial misconduct emerged. In the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney easily won Alaska by 13 points, which made Begich a prime target during an election cycle in which Republicans needed a net gain of six seats to retake control of the Senate.
Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary
Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.
Democratic candidates
Declared
Mark Begich, incumbent U.S. Senatorhttp://www.adn.com/2009/04/08/753646/stevens-files-candidacy-for-2014.html Stevens files candidacy for 2014 election ADN.com April 8, 2009 November 5, 2012 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20121004230017/http://www.adn.com/2009/04/08/753646/stevens-files-candidacy-for-2014.html October 4, 2012
William Bryk, attorney and perennial candidate from New YorkZaz Hollander http://www.adn.com/2013/11/21/3190311/brooklyn-lawyer-takes-on-begich.html Brooklyn lawyer takes on Begich - without leaving home Anchorage Daily News November 21, 2013 November 22, 2013 November 25, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20131125235921/http://www.adn.com/2013/11/21/3190311/brooklyn-lawyer-takes-on-begich.html dead
Alaskan Independence candidates
Declared
Zachary Kile, orthopedic surgeonhttps://www.650keni.com/onair/scott-rhode-14142/ten-observations-about-2014-candidates-12421453 Ten Observations About 2014 Candidates KENI June 3, 2014 June 4, 2014 Scott Rhode
Vic Kohring, former Republican state representative
Libertarian candidates
Declared
Mark Fish, former chairman of the Alaska Libertarian Party, former Sarah Palin and Joe Miller staffer and Republican nominee for the state house in 2008http://amandacoyne.com/politics/alaska-libertarian-mark-fish-runs-for-u-s-senate-seat Alaska Libertarian Mark Fish runs for U.S. Senate seat Amanda Coyne May 14, 2014 June 4, 2014 Amanda Coyne
Scott Kohlhaas, former chairman of the Alaska Libertarian Party and perennial candidatehttp://www.newsminer.com/u-s-senate-scott-kohlhaas/article_593fc4e4-2710-11e4-a011-0017a43b2370.html U.S. Senate — Scott Kohlhaas NewsMiner.com August 18, 2014 August 22, 2014
Thom Walker, University of Alaska Brooks Range research station operations managerhttp://www.ktoo.org/2014/08/22/walker-wins-primary-libertarian-senate-nomination Walker wins primary … for Libertarian Senate nomination KTOO August 22, 2014 August 22, 2014 Alexandra Gutierrez
Declined
Joe Miller, former magistrate judge, Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/210630-sen-begich-faces-tough-reelection-challenge-in-gop-friendly/ Sen. Begich faces tough reelection challenge in GOP-friendly Alaska Roll Call Cameron Joseph June 26, 2014 June 26, 2014https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/215212-joe-miller-says-hell-back-gop-nominee-against-begich-in-alaska/ The Hill Joe Miller says he'll back GOP nominee against Begich in Alaska August 15, 2014 August 15, 2014 Cameron Joseph
Results
Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary resultshttps://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/14PRIM/data/results.htm 2014 Primary Elections August 19, 2014 Official Results State of Alaska Division of Elections September 8, 2014
Mark Begich (incumbent) Democratic Party (United States) 58,092 83.31%
Thom Walker Alaska Libertarian Party 3,167 4.54%
Vic Kohring Alaskan Independence Party 2,557 3.67%
William Bryk Democratic Party (United States) 2,024 2.90%
Zachary Kile Alaskan Independence Party 1,869 2.68%
Mark Fish Alaska Libertarian Party 1,290 1.85%
Scott Kohlhaas Alaska Libertarian Party 734 1.05%
69,733 100.00%
Subsequent events
In an upset, the unknown Thom Walker won the Libertarian nomination despite not campaigning and raising no money. Libertarians speculated that he was a Republican "plant" designed to keep a more viable Libertarian from winning the nomination and then taking votes away from the Republican nominee in the general election. They further speculated that Walker was chosen because he shared a surname with Bill Walker (no relation), who was running as an independent candidate in the 2014 gubernatorial election, and that voters may have been confused because Bill Walker did not appear on the primary ballot and thus they may have voted for Thom Walker in error. This confusion could have extended to the general election, with voters picking Thom Walker for the Senate, thinking he was Bill Walker.http://www.adn.com/article/20140822/walker-no-other-walker-wins-libertarian-us-senate-nomination Walker -- no, the other Walker -- wins Libertarian US Senate nomination Alaska Dispatch New August 22, 2014 September 19, 2014
Walker withdrew from the race on August 27, saying that "my work location and schedule will have me out of town, out of contact and off the campaign trail for too long." The Libertarian executive board replaced him as the nominee with Mark Fish.http://www.adn.com/article/20140827/alaska-libertarian-candidate-us-senate-withdraws Alaska Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate withdraws Alaska Dispatch New August 27, 2014 September 19, 2014
Alaskan Independence nominee Vic Kohring, who had changed his voter registration from Republican to Alaskan Independence just before the filing deadline, withdrew from the race on September 2 and endorsed Dan Sullivan. The Alaskan Independence Party did not name a replacement nominee before the deadline for them to do so had passed.http://www.newsminer.com/news/alaska_news/independence-party-candidate-exits-us-senate-race/article_8f87de26-33a2-11e4-9874-001a4bcf6878.html Independence party candidate exits US Senate race NewsMiner.com September 3, 2014 September 19, 2014
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
thumb|Bumper sticker from Sullivan's campaign
John Jaramillo, air force veteranhttp://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130528/joe-miller-takes-another-step-toward-2014-us-senate-run Joe Miller takes another step toward 2014 US Senate run May 28, 2013 July 9, 2013 Alaska Dispatch Ben Anderson July 10, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20130710004305/http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130528/joe-miller-takes-another-step-toward-2014-us-senate-run dead
Joe Miller, former U.S. magistrate judge and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010https://www.politico.com/story/2013/05/joe-miller-alaska-senate-2014-91960.html?hp=r5 Joe Miller files papers for Senate May 28, 2013 May 29, 2013 Politico Alexander Burns
Dan Sullivan, former Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources and former Alaska Attorney Generalhttps://www.politico.com/story/2013/09/alaska-senate-race-2014-dan-sullivan-96730.html Alaska Senate race 2014: Dan Sullivan to run September 12, 2013 September 12, 2013 Politico James Hohmann
Mead Treadwell, Lieutenant Governor of Alaskahttp://atr.rollcall.com/republican-annouces-challenge-against-begich/ Republican Announces Begich Challenge June 18, 2013 June 18, 2013 Roll Call Kyle Trygstad June 21, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20130621234246/http://atr.rollcall.com/republican-annouces-challenge-against-begich/ dead
Withdrew
Kathleen Tonn, anti-abortion activisthttp://www.newsminer.com/news/alaska_news/begala-scheduled-to-headline-begich-fundraiser/article_21afd1dc-ee44-11e2-b392-001a4bcf6878.html Begala scheduled to headline fundraiser for Democrat Begich in Alaska July 16, 2013 August 13, 2013 Newsminerhttp://www.alaskacommons.com/2014/02/01/kathleen-tonn-is-out-of-the-senate-race-but-her/ Tonn Out of Senate Primary Race February 1, 2014 April 6, 2014 Alaska Commons Bailey Chris February 1, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140201175830/http://www.alaskacommons.com/2014/02/01/kathleen-tonn-is-out-of-the-senate-race-but-her/ dead
Declined
Timothy Mark Burgess, judge on the United States District Court for the District of Alaskahttp://www.adn.com/2013/02/23/2799969/alaska-ear-good-news-22413.html Miller Mulls a Begich Challenge February 23, 2013 February 27, 2013 Anchorage Daily News Rich Mauer February 27, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20130227050650/http://www.adn.com/2013/02/23/2799969/alaska-ear-good-news-22413.html dead
Loren Leman, former lieutenant governorhttp://atr.rollcall.com/alaska-republicans-lining-up-to-take-on-mark-begich/ Alaska: Republicans Lining Up to Take on Mark Begich November 13, 2012 February 27, 2013 Roll Call Kyle Trygstad January 30, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20130130040941/http://atr.rollcall.com/alaska-republicans-lining-up-to-take-on-mark-begich/ dead
Lesil McGuire, state senatorhttp://www.adn.com/2013/06/05/2928145/mcguire-files-to-run-for-lieutenant.html McGuire files to run for lieutenant governor June 5, 2013 June 10, 2013 Anchorage Daily News Kyle Hopkins https://web.archive.org/web/20130609163114/http://www.adn.com/2013/06/05/2928145/mcguire-files-to-run-for-lieutenant.html June 9, 2013 deadhttp://www.adn.com/2014/06/02/3498565/mcguire-withdraws-from-lieutenant.html?sp=/99/100/&ihp=1 McGuire withdraws from lieutenant governor race just before filing deadline June 2, 2014 June 4, 2014 Anchorage Daily News https://web.archive.org/web/20140606203448/http://www.adn.com/2014/06/02/3498565/mcguire-withdraws-from-lieutenant.html?sp=%2F99%2F100%2F&ihp=1 June 6, 2014 dead
Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008 Sarah Palin Ups Her 2014 Game, Endorses In Competitive GOP Senate Primary
Sean Parnell, Governor of Alaska (ran for re-election and lost)http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130503/its-official-sean-parnell-will-seek-second-full-term-alaska-governor https://archive.today/20130628100328/http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130503/its-official-sean-parnell-will-seek-second-full-term-alaska-governor dead June 28, 2013 Neither Democrats nor Republicans shocked Parnell is running again May 4, 2013 May 25, 2013 Alaska Dispatch Pat Forgey
Dan Sullivan, Mayor of Anchorage (ran for Lieutenant Governor and lost)http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/news/article/anchorage-mayor-not-running-in-alaska-senate-race Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race May 23, 2013 May 25, 2013 The Rothenberg Political Report Nathan L. Gonzales
Filed
Ted Stevens, former U.S. Senator. Stevens had filed to run for his old seat, but he was killed in a plane crash on August 9, 2010.https://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/11/us/11crash.html?pagewanted=all Former Senator Ted Stevens Killed in Plane Crash The New York Times William Yardley Liz Robbins August 10, 2010
Endorsements
Joe Miller Individuals
Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008http://m.juneauempire.com/state/2014-08-15/sarah-palin-endorses-joe-miller-senate-race https://web.archive.org/web/20140819084839/http://m.juneauempire.com/state/2014-08-15/sarah-palin-endorses-joe-miller-senate-race dead August 19, 2014 Sarah Palin endorses Joe Miller, again August 15, 2014
Organizations
Combat Veterans for Congresshttp://joemiller.us/2013/12/press-release-joe-miller-endorsed-combat-veterans-congress-pac Combat Veterans for Congress PAC Endorses Joe Miller for U.S. Senate Joe Miller for Senate December 23, 2013 February 24, 2014
Gun Owners of Americahttp://www.goapvf.org/endorsements/127-joe-miller https://web.archive.org/web/20140302172318/http://www.goapvf.org/endorsements/127-joe-miller dead March 2, 2014 GOA Political Victory Fund Endorses Miller for Senate Gun Owners of America Political Victory Fund February 24, 2014
Dan Sullivan Individuals
Lyman Hoffman, member of the Alaska Senate (Democrat)http://kyuk.org/lyman-hoffman-endorses-dan-sullivan-for-senate/ KYUK Lyman Hoffman Endorses Dan Sullivan for Senate Ben Matheson October 24, 2014 January 21, 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150121104746/http://kyuk.org/lyman-hoffman-endorses-dan-sullivan-for-senate/ January 21, 2015 dead
Condoleezza Rice, former United States Secretary of StateUS Senate hopeful Sullivan out with new ad, casts self as fighter Alaska needs, therepublic.com; accessed November 6, 2014.
Tara Sweeney, co-chair of the Alaska Federation of NativesOctober 25, 2020 Tara Sweeney Sullivan has been a champion for rural Alaska https://www.adn.com/opinions/2020/10/24/sullivan-has-been-a-champion-for-rural-alaska/ October 16, 2021 Anchorage Daily News en
Organizations
Club for Growthhttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2014/03/12/club_for_growth_backs_sullivan_in_alaska_race_121900.html Club for Growth Backs Sullivan in Alaska Race March 12, 2014 March 13, 2014 Real Clear Politics Caitlin Huey-Burns
Mead Treadwell Individuals
Jack Coghill, former lieutenant governor and Alaska Constitutional Convention delegatehttp://www.newsminer.com/news/local_news/treadwell-campaigns-in-fairbanks-for-u-s-senate-seat/article_064131ca-1ce8-11e3-a486-0019bb30f31a.html Treadwell campaigns in Fairbanks for U.S. Senate seat September 13, 2013 February 24, 2014 Fairbanks Daily News-Miner Matt Buxton
Mark R. Hamilton, former President of the University of Alaskahttps://twitter.com/Mead_Treadwell/status/378613991188074498 I am honored and humbled to have the support of Mark Hamilton September 13, 2013 February 24, 2014 Twitter Mead Treadwell
Ryan Stassel, snowboarderhttp://atr.rollcall.com/olympic-sochi-snowboarder-senate-endorsement Olympic Snowboarder Makes Senate Endorsement February 20, 2014 February 24, 2014 Roll Call Kyle Trygstad February 25, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140225051213/http://atr.rollcall.com/olympic-sochi-snowboarder-senate-endorsement/ dead
Declined to endorse Sean Parnell, Governor of Alaskahttps://www.politico.com/story/2013/11/sean-parnell-alaska-senate-2014-100241.html Parnell staying out of Alaska Sen. race November 21, 2013 February 24, 2014 Politico James Hohmann
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JohnJaramillo LorenLeman JoeMiller SarahPalin SeanParnell Dan A.Sullivan Dan S.Sullivan KathleenTonn MeadTreadwell Other/UndecidedMoore Information (R-S. Sullivan)Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan) August 4–5, 2014 500 — — — 17% — — — 42% — 25% 16%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling July 31 – August 3, 2014 337 ± 5.3% 2% — 20% — — — 35% — 29% 14%Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan) July 29–31, 2014 375 ± 5.5% — — 16% — — — 35% — 27% 22%Hellenthal & Assoc.Hellenthal & Assoc. June 17–28, 2014 — — — — 21% — — — 35% — 31% 13%Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan) June 16–18, 2014 500 — — — 13% — — — 36% — 27% 24%Dittman Research (R-A. Sullivan)Dittman Research (R-A. Sullivan) May 27–29, 2014 500 ± 4.4% — — 12% — — — 37% — 35% 16%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling May 8–11, 2014 313 ± 5.5% 3% — 14% — — — 40% — 26% 17%Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan)Moore Information (R-S. Sullivan) April 27–28, 2014 — — — — 12% — — — 38% — 22% 29%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling January 30 – February 1, 2014 442 ± 4.7% 2% — 20% — — — 30% 4% 25% 19%Ivan MooreIvan Moore December 15–22, 2013 335 — — — 19% — — — 29% — 34% 18%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling July 25–28, 2013 507 ± 4.4% — — 12% 36% — — 15% — 26% 11% — — 24% — — — 25% — 33% 19% — — 30% — — — — — 53% 18%Harper Pollinghttp://harperpolling.com/polls/alaska-senate-primary-palin-leads#palin Harper Polling May 13, 2013 June 7, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20130607230415/http://harperpolling.com/polls/alaska-senate-primary-palin-leads#palin dead May 6–7, 2013 379 ± 5.0% — — 14% 32% — — — — 30% 24% — — 19% 52% — — — — — 29%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling February 4–5, 2013 537 ± 4.2% — 16% 17% — 24% 19% — — 14% 11% — 20% 19% — — 29% — — 23% 9%Harper PollingHarper Polling January 29–30, 2013 1,157 ± 2.9% — — 12% 27% 32% — — — 14% 15%
Results
thumb|325px|Results by state house district
#de8787 Sullivan #e9afaf 30–40% #de8787 40–50%
#ff9955 Miller #ffb380 30–40% #ff9955 40–50%
Republican primary results
Dan Sullivan Republican Party (United States) 44,740 40.05%
Joe Miller Republican Party (United States) 35,904 32.14%
Mead Treadwell Republican Party (United States) 27,807 24.90%
John Jaramillo Republican Party (United States) 3,246 2.91%
111,697 100.00%
Independents
Candidates
Declared
Ted Gianoutsos, founder of the Veterans Party of Alaska and perennial candidatehttp://www.elections.alaska.gov/ci_pg_cl_2014_genr.php November 4, 2014 General Election Candidate List August 22, 2014 Alaska Secretary of State https://web.archive.org/web/20140820200902/http://www.elections.alaska.gov/ci_pg_cl_2014_genr.php August 20, 2014 dead
Sid Hill, political gadflyhttp://www.frontiersman.com/news/crowded-field-files-for-state-elections/article_3810b116-edae-11e3-8e54-001a4bcf887a.html Crowded field files for state elections June 6, 2014 August 22, 2014 Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman Andrew Wellner
Stubbs, cat and mayor of Talkeetna, Alaskahttp://www.businessinsider.com/a-cat-mayor-just-announced-his-campaign-for-senate-in-alaska-2014-11 A Cat Mayor Just 'Announced' His Campaign For Senate In Alaska Campbell Colin November 4, 2014 Business Insider July 24, 2017 https://web.archive.org/web/20170805024433/http://www.businessinsider.com/a-cat-mayor-just-announced-his-campaign-for-senate-in-alaska-2014-11 August 5, 2017 live
Declined
Joe Miller, former magistrate judge and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/04/how-sarah-palin-ruined-the-alaska-senate-race-105916_full.html https://archive.today/20140424141019/http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/04/how-sarah-palin-ruined-the-alaska-senate-race-105916_full.html dead April 24, 2014 She Can See This Disaster From Her House April 22, 2014 April 24, 2014 Politico Forrest A. Nabors
General election
Fundraising
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand Debt Mark Begich (D) $7,918,887 $8,487,590 $721,505 0 Dan Sullivan (R) $6,093,368 $7,579,632 $449,506 $43,000
Debates
Begich and Sullivan participated in a televised debate regarding fisheries on August 27, 2014, at the University of Alaska Anchorage.http://www.adn.com/article/20141001/tough-topic-tough-audience-sullivan-debate-begich-fisheries-issues-kodiak Tough topic, tough audience for Sullivan in debate with Begich on fisheries issues in Kodiak Alaska Dispatch News Nathaniel Herz October 1, 2014 Another televised debate concerning natural resources was held on October 1 in Kodiak, Alaska.http://www.adn.com/article/20141023/begich-sullivan-spar-over-natural-resources-us-senate-debate Begich, Sullivan spar over natural resources in US Senate debate Alaska Dispatch News Nathaniel Herz October 23, 2014
Complete video of debate
Predictions
Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139256 The Cook Political Report July 20, 2018 Tossup November 3, 2014 Sabato's Crystal BallThe Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-crystal-balls-final-2014-picks/ Sabato's Crystal Ball November 3, 2014 July 20, 2018 Lean R flip November 3, 2014 Rothenberg Political Report2014 Senate Ratings http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2014-senate-ratings-november-6-2014 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report July 20, 2018 Tilt R flip November 3, 2014 Real Clear Politics2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014 https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map.html Real Clear Politics July 20, 2018 Tossup November 3, 2014
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MarkBegich (D) DanSullivan (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 1–2, 2014 1,052 ± 3.0% 45% 46% 4%Mark Fish (L) 2%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2% 5% 46% 47% — 7%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports October 27–30, 2014 887 ± 4.0% 42% 47% — 11%Ivan Moorehttp://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/ivan-moore-21129 Ivan Moore October 28, 2014 October 28, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20141028124432/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/ivan-moore-21129 dead October 24–26, 2014 544 — 48% 42% 7% 4%CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 561 ± 9.0% 44% 48% 0% 9%Harstad Strategic ResearchHarstad Strategic Research October 18–22, 2014 700 — 44% 44% 4% 7%Hellenthal & AssociatesHellenthal & Associates October 15–21, 2014 403 ± 4.9% 49% 39% 7%Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 4% 6%Rasmussen Reports October 8–12, 2014 700 ± 4.0% 45% 48% 3% 3%Fox NewsFox News October 4–7, 2014 706 ± 3.5% 40% 44% 6%Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%, Other 2% 10%CNN/ORCCNN/ORC October 1–6, 2014 704 LV ± 3.5% 44% 50% — 5% 875 RV ± 3.4% 44% 48% — 8%Hickman AnalyticsHickman Analytics September 26 – October 2, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 41% 46% 4%Mark Fish (L) 4%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% 9%CBS News/New York TimesCBS News/New York Times September 20 – October 1, 2014 593 ± 5.0% 42% 48% 2% 8%Rassmussen ReportsRassmussen Reports September 23–24, 2014 750 ± 4.0% 43% 48% 5% 4%Marc HellenthalMarc Hellenthal September 12–24, 2014 400 — 42% 46% 7%Mark Fish (L) 5%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 18–21, 2014 880 ± 3.3% 41% 43% 5%Mark Fish (L) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2% 11% 42% 45% — 13%DittmanDittman September 14–17, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 43% 49% — 8%Hays Research/AFL-CIOHays Research/AFL-CIO September 13–14, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 41% 36% 23%Harstad Strategic ResearchHarstad Strategic Research September 7–10, 2014 709 ± 4.0% 45% 40% 7% 8%CBS News/New York TimesCBS News/New York Times August 18 – September 2, 2014 412 ± 6.0% 38% 43% 6% 12%Harstad Strategic Research August 24–27, 2014 807 ± 4.0% 41% 40% 10% 8%ccAdvertisingccAdvertising August 21–24, 2014 4,403 — 31% 42% — 27%Rasmussen Reports August 20–21, 2014 750 ± 4% 45% 47% 3% 4%Public Policy Polling July 31 – August 1, 2014 673 ± 3.8% 43% 37% 7%Mark Fish (L) 4%, Vic Kohring (AI) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0%, Sidney Hill (I) 0% 12% 45% 41% — 14%Harstad Strategic Research July 20–24, 2014 808 ± 4.0% 44% 37% 10% 9%CBS News/New York TimesCBS News/New York Times July 5–24, 2014 452 ± 5.2% 46% 35% 9% 10%Basswood ResearchBasswood Research June 29–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 40% 45% — 15%Moore Information (R-Sullivan)Moore Information (R-Sullivan) June 16–18, 2014 500 ± 4.0% 43% 43% — 14%Public Policy Polling May 8–11, 2014 582 ± 4.1% 42% 37% 7%Zachary Kile 5%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 1% 14%Moore Information (R-Sullivan)Moore Information (R-Sullivan) April 27–28, 2014 500 ± 4.0% 44% 42% — 14%Magellan StrategiesMagellan Strategies April 14, 2014 603 ± 4.0% 41% 46% 7% 6%Rasmussen Reports March 19–20, 2014 750 ± 4.0% 44% 44% 3% 9%Public Policy Polling January 30 – February 1, 2014 850 ± 3.4% 41% 37% 9%Zachary Kile 6%, Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2% 13%Harper PollingHarper Polling January 20–22, 2014 677 ± 3.8% 41% 47% — 12%Harper PollingHarper Polling September 24–25, 2013 731 ± 3.6% 43% 41% — 16%Public Policy Polling July 25–28, 2013 890 ± 3.3% 46% 39% — 15%
background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);
with Leman
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MarkBegich (D) LorenLeman (R) ZacharyKile (AIP) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 4–5, 2013 1,129 ± 2.9% 50% 40% — — 10%
with Miller
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MarkBegich (D) JoeMiller (R) ZacharyKile (AIP) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling July 31 – August 1, 2014 673 ± 3.8% 45% 32% — 12%Mark Fish (L) 6%, Vic Kohring (AI) 4%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1%, Sidney Hill (I) 1% 11%Public Policy Polling May 8–11, 2014 582 ± 4.1% 43% 27% 4% 2%Ted Gianoutsos 0%, Sidney Hill 2% 23%Rasmussen Reports March 19–20, 2014 750 ± 4% 49% 38% — 3% 10%Public Policy Polling January 30 – February 1, 2014 850 ± 3.4% 45% 25% 5% 3% 21%Harper Polling January 20–22, 2014 677 ± 3.76% 51% 32% — — 17%Harper Polling September 24–25, 2013 731 ± 3.62% 55% 28% — — 18%Public Policy Polling July 25–28, 2013 890 ± 3.3% 55% 32% — — 13%Public Policy Polling February 4–5, 2013 1,129 ± 2.9% 58% 30% — — 12%Harper PollingHarper Polling January 29–30, 2013 1,157 ± 2.88% 52% 29% — — 19%
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MarkBegich (D) DanSullivan (R) JoeMiller (I) Other UndecidedHays Research Grouphttp://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20140211/treadwell-camp-says-new-us-senate-poll-ignores-space-time-continuum Hays Research Group February 12, 2014 February 22, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140222155927/http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20140211/treadwell-camp-says-new-us-senate-poll-ignores-space-time-continuum dead February 9, 2014 502 ± 3.3% 45% 33% 10% — —
with Palin
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MarkBegich (D) SarahPalin (R) ZacharyKile (AIP) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling May 8–11, 2014 582 ± 4.1% 41% 35% 6% 3% 15%Public Policy Polling January 30 – February 1, 2014 850 ± 3.4% 44% 40% 4% 2% 11%Hays Research GroupHays Research Group August 14–15, 2013 388 ± 4.9% 55% 37% — — 8%Public Policy Polling July 25–28, 2013 890 ± 3.3% 52% 40% — — 8%Public Policy Polling February 4–5, 2013 1,129 ± 2.9% 54% 38% — — 8%Harper Polling January 29–30, 2013 1,157 ± 2.88% 47% 40% — — 13%
with Parnell
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MarkBegich (D) SeanParnell (R) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 4–5, 2013 1,129 ± 2.9% 48% 48% 4%Harper Polling January 29–30, 2013 1,157 ± 2.88% 40% 46% 14%
with Dan A. Sullivan
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MarkBegich (D) Dan A.Sullivan (R) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 4–5, 2013 1,129 ± 2.9% 47% 41% 12%
with Treadwell
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MarkBegich (D) MeadTreadwell (R) ZacharyKile (AIP) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling July 31 – August 1, 2014 673 ± 3.8% 42% 37% — 8%Mark Fish (L) 5%, Vic Kohring (AI) 3%, Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0%, Sidney Hill (I) 0% 12% 44% 41% — — 15%CBS News/New York Times July 5–24, 2014 452 ± 5.8% 47% 45% — 9% 10%Public Policy Polling May 8–11, 2014 582 ± 4.1% 41% 33% 6% 3%Ted Gianoutsos 1%, Sidney Hill 2% 17%Rasmussen Reports March 19–20, 2014 750 ± 4% 43% 47% — 3% 6%Public Policy Polling January 30 – February 1, 2014 850 ± 3.4% 43% 37% 5% 2% 13%Harper Polling January 20–22, 2014 677 ± 3.76% 41% 47% — — 12%Harper Polling September 24–25, 2013 731 ± 3.62% 43% 42% — — 15%Hays Research GroupHays Research Group August 14–15, 2013 388 ± 4.9% 50.4% 38.5% — — 11.1%Public Policy Polling July 25–28, 2013 890 ± 3.3% 44% 40% — — 17%Public Policy Polling February 4–5, 2013 1,129 ± 2.9% 47% 39% — — 14%Harper Polling January 29–30, 2013 1,157 ± 2.88% 44% 34% — — 22%
Results
2014 United States Senate election in Alaskahttps://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/14GENR/data/results.pdf 2014 General Election November 4, 2014 Official Results November 11, 2014 November 27, 2014 elections.alaska.gov
Republican Party (United States)
Dan Sullivan
135,445
47.96%
+1.46%
Democratic Party (United States)
Mark Begich (incumbent)
129,431
45.83%
−1.94%
Alaska Libertarian Party
Mark Fish
10,512
3.72%
+1.94%
Independent
Ted Gianoutsos
5,636
2.00%
+1.56%
1,376
0.49%
+0.15%
282,400
100.00%
N/A
Republican Party (United States)
Democratic Party (United States)
Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Fairbanks North Star (largest city: Fairbanks)
Kodiak Island (largest city: Kodiak Island)
Petersburg
Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped Republican to Democratic
Aleutians East Borough (largest city: Akutan)
See also
2014 Alaska gubernatorial election
2014 United States Senate elections
2014 United States elections
Stubbs (cat), notable write-in candidate and honorary Mayor of Talkeetna, Alaska
Notes
References
External links
U.S. Senate elections in Alaska, 2014 at Ballotpedia
Alaska Senate debate excerpts, OnTheIssues.org
Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets
Campaign websites
Mark Begich for U.S. Senate
Dan Sullivan for U.S. Senate
Vic Kohring for U.S. Senate
2014
Alaska
Category:2014 elections in Alaska
Category:Mark Begich