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2004 Indiana gubernatorial election
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2004 Indiana gubernatorial election Indiana presidential no 2000 Indiana gubernatorial election 2000 2008 Indiana gubernatorial election 2008 November 2, 2004 Image:Mitch Daniels.jpg 150x150px Mitch Daniels Republican Party (United States) Becky Skillman 1,302,912 53.21% File:Joe Kernan.jpg Joe Kernan Democratic Party (United States) Kathy Davis 1,113,900 45.49% 160px 160px County resultsDaniels: #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80%Kernan: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70%Tie: #cdafdcff 40–50% Governor Joe Kernan Democratic Party (United States) Mitch Daniels Republican Party (United States)
The 2004 Indiana gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2004, to elect the governor of Indiana.
Despite Democrat Evan Bayh winning the concurring Senate election in a landslide, Incumbent Democratic governor Joe Kernan was defeated by Republican Mitch Daniels. Daniels' victory was the first time the Republican Party had been elected governor since 1984, and gave the party control of all the important statewide offices. http://www2.indystar.com/articles/3/192728-8493-168.html Republicans to stand alone at state's helm 2008-02-21 2004-11-07 The Indianapolis Star https://web.archive.org/web/20071110004107/http://www2.indystar.com/articles/3/192728-8493-168.html 2007-11-10 dead It was also the first time an incumbent governor had been defeated since the Constitution of Indiana was amended in 1972 to permit governors to serve two consecutive terms. http://www2.indystar.com/articles/1/191537-2331-009.html Daniels vows changes to government, economy after ending Democratic rule 2008-02-21 2004-11-03 The Indianapolis Star https://web.archive.org/web/20110605065733/http://www2.indystar.com/articles/1/191537-2331-009.html 2011-06-05 dead
Democratic primary
Candidates
Joe Kernan, incumbent governor since 2002
Withdrew
Joe Andrew, former chair of the Democratic National Committee
Vi Simpson, state senator from Bloomington
Campaign
Frank O'Bannon had been re-elected governor of Indiana in 2000 and was prevented from running for governor again by term limits. His lieutenant governor, Joe Kernan, on December 15, 2002, said that he would not be a candidate for governor. https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/elections/2004/in/ Indiana election results 2004 2004-11-24 2008-02-20 The Washington Post State Senator Vi Simpson and Joe Andrew then vied for nomination for the next ten months. However, on September 13, 2003, O'Bannon had a stroke and died, resulting in Kernan taking over as governor. Kernan decided two months later, on November 4, 2003, that he would run for governor in 2004 and was unopposed in the Democratic primary after both Simpson and Andrew dropped out.
Results
Democratic primary results
Joe Kernan (incumbent) Democratic Party (United States) 283,924 100.00
283,924 100.00
Republican primary
Candidates
Mitch Daniels, former White House Director of the Office of Management and Budget
Eric Miller, activist
Withdrew
David M. McIntosh, nominee in 2000 and former U.S. representative from Muncie
Campaign
Former White House Director of the Office of Management and Budget Mitch Daniels easily defeated conservative activist Eric Miller in the Republican primary on May 4, 2004. http://www.nfib.com/object/4288131.html The Race for Indiana Governor Is Now Set 2008-02-19 2004-05-05 NFIB.com 2008-11-12 https://web.archive.org/web/20081112162105/http://www.nfib.com/object/4288131.html dead The Republican candidate for governor in 2000, David M. McIntosh, had earlier dropped out of the race after President George W. Bush gave his support to Daniels. Daniels had quit as White House budget director in 2003 so he could return to Indiana and run for governor. President Bush came to South Bend, Indiana before the primary to support Daniels, and the President's nickname for Daniels, "My Man Mitch", became his campaign slogan. https://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/state/indiana/2004-05-04-daniels-ind-governor_x.htm Daniels wins Ind. GOP nomination for governor 2008-02-21 2004-05-04 USA Today
Results
thumb|160px|center|
Daniels #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80% #c21b18 80–90%
Miller #f9d440 50–60%
Republican primary results2004 Official Primary Election Totals http://www.in.gov/sos/elections/files/May_2004_Primary_Election_Canvass.pdf Indiana Secretary of State
Mitch Daniels Republican Party (United States) 335,828 66.40
Eric Miller Republican Party (United States) 169,930 33.60
505,758 100.00
General election
Campaign
Daniels campaigned by traveling throughout Indiana in his RV visiting all 92 Indiana counties at least three times. Kernan fell behind in the polls in May 2004 and never caught up, despite closing the gap in September after attacking Daniels' plan to sell an Indiana utility to an out of state firm. The economy of Indiana was a major issue in the campaign with Kernan, as incumbent, facing pressure over the state's budget troubles. http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/11/02/governor.indiana/index.html GOP, Daniels see breakthrough to governor's office 2008-02-21 2004-11-01 CNN
In addition to the two major party tickets, there was the Libertarian ticket of Kenn Gividen and Elaine Badnarik.DeAgostino Martin Libertarians vow to end property tax https://www.newspapers.com/image/511486974/ Newspapers.com The South Bend Tribune 7 March 2021 en subscription 30 Jun 2004
All three candidates took part in two debates during the campaign. The first was held on September 28, 2004, at Franklin College with the candidates clashing over the state's economy, prescription drugs and the extension of Interstate 69 from Indianapolis to Evansville. https://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/in_gov_09-29-04.html https://web.archive.org/web/20041021030627/http://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/in_gov_09-29-04.html dead October 21, 2004 Indiana gubernatorial candidates outline differences in debate 2008-02-20 2004-09-29 Online NewsHour The second debate was held on October 17, 2004, in New Albany, Indiana. Negative campaigning was the major issue. https://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/indiana_10-18-04.html https://web.archive.org/web/20041030221104/http://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/indiana_10-18-04.html dead October 30, 2004 Indiana gubernatorial candidates spar over negative campaigning 2008-02-20 2004-10-18 Online NewsHour
Between Daniels and Kernan the two candidates raised over 28 million dollars, easily surpassing the previous record set in 2000 of 19.2 million dollars. https://www.foxnews.com/story/spending-soars-in-11-gubernatorial-races Spending Soars in 11 Gubernatorial Races 2008-02-21 2004-11-01 Fox News Channel
Predictions
Source Ranking As of Sabato's Crystal BallThe Final Predictions https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2004110101/ Sabato's Crystal Ball May 2, 2021 Likely R Flip November 1, 2004
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesizekey Key:A – all adultsRV – registered votersLV – likely votersV – unclear Marginof error MitchDaniels (R) JoeKernan (D) Other /UndecidedSurveyUSASurveyUSA October 27–29, 2004 587 (LV) ± 4.1% 52% 44% 4%
Statewide Results
Indiana gubernatorial election, 2004http://www.in.gov/apps/sos/election/general/general2004?page=office&countyID=-1&officeID=37&districtID=937&candidate= Indiana General Election November 2, 2004, Statewide Indiana Secretary of State 2004-11-02 2011-04-21
Republican Party (United States)
Mitch Daniels/Becky Skillman
1,302,912
53.21%
+11.54%
Democratic Party (United States)
Joe Kernan/Kathy Davis (incumbents)
1,113,900
45.49%
-11.06%
Libertarian Party (United States)
Kenn Gividen/Elaine Badnarik
31,664
1.29%
-0.48%
Write-ins
22
0.00%
189,012
7.72%
-7.16%
2,448,498
57%
Republican Party (United States)
Democratic Party (United States)
County Results
Kernan won 17 of Indiana's counties compared to 73 for Daniels. The candidates finish tied in 2 counties. http://www.in.gov/apps/sos/election/general/general2004?page=district&countyID=-1&officeID=37&districtID=938&candidate= Indiana General Election November 2, 2004, by County Indiana Secretary of State 2004-11-02 2008-11-09
County Daniels Votes Kernan Votes Gividen Votes TotalAdams62.9%8,35036.3%4,8160.7%9913,265Allen57.2%73,68941.9%53,8990.9%1,183128,771Bartholomew59.4%16,85838.8%11,0081.8%51928,385Benton60.8%2,43237.2%1,4981.7%693,999Blackford51.2%2,74147.9%2,5670.9%465,354Boone70.9%16,18927.3%6,3261.3%30522,820Brown55.0%4,01042.8%3,1182.2%1647,292Carroll59.2%5,09039.4%3,3871.3%1158,592Cass56.9%7,94641.6%5,8081.6%22113,975Clark49.0%20,47150.2%20,9640.9%36041,795Clay54.3%5,72444.3%4,6771.4%14810,549Clinton63.8%7,53735.0%4,1291.3%14811,814Crawford49.3%2,23149.3%2,2311.4%604,522Daviess59.5%6,22338.7%4,0491.8%18310,455Dearborn61.3%12,51437.2%7,5731.5%29720,384Decatur63.4%6,35535.2%3,5241.4%14010,019DeKalb59.8%9,24239.0%6,0121.2%18115,435Delaware48.0%22,91750.6%24,1321.4%66347,712Dubois57.1%9,38541.9%6,8711.0%16916,425Elkhart62.7%38,43036.5%22,4060.8%50361,339Fayette53.4%4,98145.3%4,2241.3%1219,326Floyd50.1%16,86949.1%16,5030.8%27933,651Fountain61.6%4,78637.1%2,8781.3%1017,765Franklin59.4%5,82239.4%3,8621.2%1149,798Fulton58.4%5,10340.3%3,5131.3%1108,726Gibson50.1%7,28948.1%7,1011.1%16614,556Grant57.2%15,54341.8%11,3761.0%27527,194Greene51.7%6,79146.7%6,1231.6%21313,127Hamilton73.0%76,43326.1%27,3160.9%920104,669Hancock67.4%18,82531.3%8,7461.3%35927,930Harrison53.7%9,24245.3%7,8091.0%17117,222Hendricks68.6%35,76130.2%15,6911.2%64152,093Henry56.0%11,40842.6%8,6741.4%28920,371Howard53.7%19,88545.2%16,7421.1%41537,042Huntington67.1%10,48431.7%4,9531.2%18315,620Jackson58.8%9,58740.0%6,5271.2%19116,305Jasper58.2%6,78140.4%4,7011.4%16711,649Jay56.2%4,53742.8%3,4531.0%808,070Jefferson51.1%6,54247.7%6,1091.2%15012,801Jennings55.4%5,80642.8%4,4821.8%19010,478Johnson66.9%34,26931.7%16,2531.4%70151,223Knox48.5%7,56950.0%7,7971.5%22815,594Kosciusko71.0%20,04727.9%7,8851.1%31628,248LaGrange63.2%5,74835.2%3,1711.1%979,016Lake33.7%61,72064.9%118,6971.4%2,617183,034LaPorte38.5%16,23459.4%25,0492.1%88142,164Lawrence65.0%11,48033.5%5,9041.5%25717,641Madison51.4%28,14247.5%25,9721.1%62354,737Marion46.5%148,82552.3%167,0971.2%3,895319,817Marshall60.6%10,74538.2%6,7561.2%20417,705Martin53.7%2,66444.4%2,2051.9%944,963Miami60.9%8,15537.8%5,0621.3%17913,396Monroe44.5%22,03153.1%26,3172.4%1,19249,540Montgomery66.2%9,63932.4%4,7111.4%19914,549Morgan64.6%16,71633.8%8,7401.6%42425,880Newton54.5%3,16443.6%2,5311.9%1115,806Noble61.3%9,57037.6%5,8631.1%17615,609Ohio52.5%1,51246.1%1,3281.4%412,881Orange56.4%4,81842.4%3,6211.3%1098,548Owen55.0%4,17942.7%3,2492.3%1767,604Parke53.8%3,74544.6%3,1011.6%1086,954Perry43.0%3,55956.2%4,6400.8%648,263Pike41.1%2,51757.3%3,5101.6%996,126Porter43.2%27,56555.1%35,2061.7%1,10863,879Posey52.6%6,25246.5%5,5250.9%10911,886Pulaski57.8%3,18541.1%2,2671.1%615,513Putnam60.8%8,00237.8%4,9841.4%18513,171Randolph56.8%6,27441.9%4,6281.3%14611,048Ripley59.1%6,92539.6%4,6351.3%15111,711Rush61.9%4,52936.6%2,6761.6%1167,321Saint Joseph45.3%49,19853.8%58,3270.9%1,000108,525Scott44.7%3,86254.3%4,6811.0%908,633Shelby61.9%9,86236.9%5,8851.2%19415,941Spencer52.3%5,18346.5%4,6121.2%1149,909Starke46.6%4,02452.2%4,5391.5%1318,694Steuben60.2%7,68438.5%4,9151.3%16512,764Sullivan44.2%3,68754.4%4,5301.4%1168,333Switzerland49.3%1,78049.3%1,7801.4%483,608Tippecanoe54.9%28,45843.4%22,5041.7%86551,827Tipton60.5%4,72938.1%2,9731.4%1087,810Union61.5%2,04036.7%1,2171.8%593,316Vanderburgh48.9%34,12949.9%34,8191.2%86369,811Vermillion39.5%2,76958.8%4,1211.7%1187,008Vigo42.4%16,80455.6%22,0542.0%80639,664Wabash64.9%8,69134.1%4,5691.0%13413,394Warren56.0%2,21442.5%1,6791.5%583,951Warrick53.8%13,87745.2%11,6781.0%26225,817Washington59.2%6,41939.6%4,2971.2%13410,850Wayne52.5%14,53045.4%12,5652.1%59527,690Wells66.4%8,07132.7%3,9790.9%11312,163White57.5%5,98040.9%4,2601.6%16710,407Whitley62.9%8,33236.0%4,7581.1%14913,239
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
25em Madison (largest city: Anderson)
Spencer (largest city: Santa Claus)
Tippecanoe (largest city: Lafayette)
Blackford (Largest city: Hartford City)
Crawford (Largest city: Marengo) (became tied)
Floyd (Largest city: New Albany)
Gibson (Largest city: Princeton)
Jefferson (Largest city: Madison)
Posey (Largest city: Mount Vernon)
Switzerland (Largest city: Vevay) (became tied)
Warrick (Largest city: Boonville)
Adams (Largest city: Decatur)
Allen (Largest city: Fort Wayne)
Bartholomew (Largest city: Columbus)
Benton (Largest city: Fowler)
Brown (Largest city: Nashville)
Carroll (Largest city: Delphi)
Warrick (Largest city: Logansport)
Clay (Largest city: Brazil)
Decatur (Largest city: Greensburg)
DeKalb (Largest city: Auburn)
Dubois (Largest city: Jasper)
Fayette (Largest city: Connersville)
Fountain (Largest city: Attica)
Franklin (Largest city: Brookville)
Fulton (Largest city: Rochester)
Grant (Largest city: Marion)
Greene (Largest city: Linton)
Hancock (Largest city: Greenfield)
Harrison (Largest city: Corydon)
Henry (Largest city: New Castle)
Howard (Largest city: Kokomo)
Jackson (Largest city: Seymour)
Jay (Largest city: Portland)
Jennings (Largest city: North Vernon)
LaGrange (Largest city: LaGrange)
Marshall (Largest city: Plymouth)
Martin (Largest city: Loogootee)
Montgomery (Largest city: Crawfordsville)
Newton (Largest city: Kentland)
Noble (Largest city: Kendallville)
Ohio (Largest city: Rising Sun)
Orange (Largest city: Paoli)
Owen (Largest city: Spencer)
Parke (Largest city: Rockville)
Pulaski (Largest city: Winamac)
Putnam (Largest city: Greencastle)
Randolph (Largest city: Winchester)
Ripley (Largest city: Batesville)
Rush (Largest city: Rushville)
Shelby (Largest city: Shelbyville)
Steuben (Largest city: Angola)
Tipton (Largest city: Tipton)
Warren (Largest city: Williamsport)
Washington (Largest city: Salem)
Wayne (Largest city: Richmond)
White (Largest city: Monticello)
Whitley (Largest city: Columbia City)
Notes
References
30em
See also
Advance America - Political lobbying organization run by Eric Miller
External links
Official campaign websites (archived)
Mitch Daniels (R) for Governor
Joe Kernan (D) for Governor
Indiana
2004
Gubernatorial
Category:November 2004 in the United States
Category:Joe Kernan (politician)