2004 United States presidential election in Illinois

none June 2025 September 2023 2004 United States presidential election in Illinois Illinois presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Illinois 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Illinois 2008 November 2, 2004 x200px John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 21 2,891,550 54.82% George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 0 2,345,946 44.48% 180px County results 180px Congressional district results Kerry #b9d7ff 40–50% #86b6f2 50–60% #4389e3 60–70% #1666cb 70–80% #0645B4 80–90% Bush #e27f90 50–60% #cc2f4a 60–70% #d40000 70–80% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) 70.3% (of registered voters) 56.0% (of voting age population) The 2004 United States presidential election in Illinois took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 21 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Illinois was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry by a 10.3% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Kerry would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state. A reliable blue state that no Republican has won since Bush's father George H. W. Bush in 1988, Illinois voted for Democratic Senator John Kerry in 2004 with almost 55% of the vote. Kerry's victory in Illinois was due to carrying seventy percent of the vote in the Chicago area's Cook County, where about 43% of Illinois' population resides. Excluding Cook County, President George W. Bush would have won the state 54.6% (1,749,203 votes) to 45.3% (1,452,265 votes). President Bush was victorious in Chicago's collar counties, although the results in those counties were narrower than his victories downstate. As of the 2024 presidential election, this was the last presidential election in which a Democrat failed to carry any of Chicago's collar counties. This is the first election in which the Republican nominee has won the national popular vote without carrying Illinois (and so far the only time a Republican has done so with a majorly of the popular vote). It also marks the only occurrence in which Illinois has voted for the losing candidate in two consecutive presidential elections (after it had voted against Bush in 2000). Bush was the first Republican to ever win two terms without ever carrying the state. Primaries The primaries and general elections coincided with those for Senate and Congress, as well as those for state offices. Turnout 2004 Illinois elections#Turnout For the state-run primaries (Democratic and Republican), turnout was 25.23%, with 1,801,090 votes cast.Voter Turnout https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/VoterTurnout.aspx www.elections.il.gov Illinois State Board of Elections 24 March 2020 30 May 2021 https://web.archive.org/web/20210530142655/https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/VoterTurnout.aspx dead Election Results https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/ElectionVoteTotals.aspx www.elections.il.gov Illinois State Board of Elections 23 March 2020 22 February 2020 https://web.archive.org/web/20200222093629/https://www.elections.il.gov/ElectionOperations/ElectionVoteTotals.aspx dead For the general election, turnout was 70.33%, with 5,274,322 votes cast. Democratic 2004 Illinois Democratic presidential primary The 2004 Illinois Democratic presidential primary was held on March 16 in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the Democratic Party's statewide nomination contests ahead of the 2004 presidential election. By the time of the Illinois primary, Kerry was seen as having all but formally secured the nomination. 2004 Illinois Democratic presidential primaryhttps://www.thegreenpapers.com/P04/IL-D.phtml#0316 Illinois Democratic Delegation 2004 www.thegreenpapers.com 2020-03-21CandidateVotes%DelegatesJohn Kerry873,23071.72155John Edwards (withdrawn)131,96610.841Carol Moseley Braun (withdrawn)53,2494.370Howard Dean (withdrawn)47,3433.890Al Sharpton (withdrawn)36,1232.970Dennis Kucinich28,0832.310Joe Lieberman (withdrawn)24,3542.000Wesley Clark (withdrawn)19,3041.590Lyndon LaRouche3,8630.320Total1,217,515100%156 Republican 2004 Illinois Republican presidential primary Illinois presidential no 2000 Illinois Republican presidential primary 2000 2008 Illinois Republican presidential primary 2008 2004 03 16 73 Republican National Convention delegates (60 pledged, 13 unpledged)Pledged delegates directly-elected in vote separate from statewide presidential preference vote 150x150px George W. Bush Texas 60 583,575 100% E81B23 Illinois Republican sweep (1).svg 170px #E81B23 George W. Bush2004 Illinois Republican presidential primary The 2004 Illinois Republican presidential primary was held on March 16, 2004, in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the Republican Party's state primaries ahead of the 2004 presidential election. Incumbent president George W. Bush won the primary. Bush was running for reelection without a major opponents, and with no opponents on the ballot in Illinois. Illinois assigned 60 directly elected delegates (the state had another 13 delegates that were not directly elected by voters).Illinois Republican Delegation 2004 https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P04/IL-R.phtml#0316 www.thegreenpapers.com The Green Papers 24 March 2020 The Illinois primary was a so-called "Loophole" primary. This meant that the statewide presidential preference vote was a "beauty contest", from which no delegates would be assigned. Instead, the delegates were assigned by separate direct-votes on delegate candidates (whose proclaimed presidential preferences were listed beside their names on the ballot). These delegates were noted voted on at-large by a state vote, but rather by congressional district votes. The number of delegates each congressional district would be able to elect had been decided based upon the strength of that district's vote for the Republican nominee (Bush) in the previous 2000 election. This meant that four delegates each were elected from Illinois's 6th, 8th, 10th, 11th, 13th, 14th, 15th, 16th, 18th, and 19th congressional districts, three delegates each were elected from Illinois's 12th and 17th congressional districts, and two delegates each were elected from Illinois's 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 7th, and 9th congressional districts Ten of the remaining delegates not directly elected by congressional district were selected at the Illinois Republican Party Convention, and were unpledged delegates. The other three would be unplugged ex-officio delegates, roles filled by the states National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the Illinois's Republican Party. 2004 Illinois Republican presidential primary Candidate Votes Percentage Delegates George W. Bush (incumbent) 583,575 100% 60 Totals 583,575 100% 60 Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW Archived copy dcpoliticalreport.com 30 June 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW 21 November 2010 usurped +SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportSolid DAssociated PressSolid DCNNLikely DCook Political ReportSolid DNewsweekSolid DNew York TimesSolid DRasmussen ReportsLikely DResearch 2000Solid DWashington PostLikely DWashington TimesSolid DZogby InternationalLikely DWashington DispatchLikely D Polling Kerry won every single pre-election poll. Out of the 12 polls taken, Kerry won 9 of them with 52% or higher. The final 3 polls averaged Kerry leading 54% to Bush with 41%.http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=17 US Election Atlas 2004 Presidential Election Polls. Illinois Polls Fundraising Bush raised $6,892,187.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Kerry raised $7,100,400.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President Advertising and visits Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election season because it was expected not to be competitive and Kerry had a solid lead in the state.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ CNN CNN.com Specialshttp://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html CNN CNN.com Specials Analysis Illinois has voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 1992 on, each time by a double-digit margin. Prior to 1992, Illinois was considered a swing state with perhaps a slight Republican lean; until 2000, no Republican had won the White House without carrying Illinois, and it voted Republican in every election from 1952 to 1988 except 1960 and 1964, even voting against Jimmy Carter in his winning 1976 campaign. The blue trend in the "Land of Lincoln" in presidential elections can be largely attributed to the dramatic expansion of the Democratic margin in Cook County, which contains the city of Chicago and its inner suburbs and makes up about 41.2% of the state's population.Cook County QuickFacts from the US Census Bureau http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/17/17031.html dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150717092519/http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/17/17031.html 2015-07-17 2008-12-13 While Democrats routinely won Cook County following the New Deal realignment except in some Republican landslide years (1952, 1956, 1972), until 1996, they did not themselves crack 60% in the county except in their own landslides of 1936 and 1964. In 1992, however, Clinton got 58.2% of the vote in Cook County, approaching 60% and a higher vote share than any nominee had received in the county since 1964, despite the election having three major participants. In 1996, Clinton got 66.8% of the vote, blowing past Franklin Roosevelt's and Lyndon Johnson's vote shares in 1936 and 1964, respectively, and Gore only improved on this in 2000. In 2004, John Kerry became the first nominee of any party to crack 70% in Cook County since Warren G. Harding in 1920, and the Democrat did not fall been below 70% in the county since until narrowly doing so in 2024. In addition, the historically Republican "collar counties" outside Chicago began trending less strongly Republican in the Clinton years, and this continued into the Bush years. In 1996, Clinton became the first Democrat to crack 40% in the largest collar county, DuPage County, since 1964, and Gore slightly improved on Clinton's vote share in 2000, holding Bush to a 13.3% margin in a county Ford had carried by 40.5% in 1976 and George H. W. Bush, by 39.4% in 1988. In 2004, John Kerry improved on Gore's vote share in DuPage County by 2.9%, holding Bush to a single-digit margin of 9.6%--the smallest Republican margin of victory in the county since 1892 (apart from the 1912 election, when the Republican Party was divided and DuPage County voted for Theodore Roosevelt). Outside the Chicago area, Kerry performed well in the traditionally Democratic region of Metro East, as well as in Champaign County, a moderately populated historically Republican county that has voted Democratic in every election from 1992 on. Bush had done well in most of rural Illinois in 2000, and deepened his support there in 2004. However, given the developments in massively-populated Cook and DuPage Counties, this was not enough to materially influence the result. As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last election in which DeKalb County, DuPage County, Kane County, Lake County, Will County, and Winnebago County voted for a Republican presidential candidate.Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016 Results 2004 United States presidential election in IllinoisPartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Democratic John Kerry 2,891,550 54.82% 21 Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 2,345,946 44.48% 0 Libertarian Michael Badnarik 32,442 0.62% 0 Independent Write-ins 4,384 0.08% 0 Totals 5,274,322 100.00% 21 Voter turnout (Voting age population) 56.0% Results by county CountyJohn KerryDemocraticGeorge W. BushRepublicanVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal votes cast # % # % # % # %Adams10,51133.39%20,83466.19%1320.42% -10,323 -32.80%31,477Alexander2,01652.05%1,83147.28%260.67% 185 4.78%3,873Bond3,22843.81%4,06855.20%730.99% -840 -11.40%7,369Boone8,28642.40%11,13256.97%1230.63% -2,846 -14.56%19,541Brown89534.62%1,67964.95%110.43% -784 -30.33%2,585Bureau7,96144.47%9,82254.87%1190.66% -1,861 -10.40%17,902Calhoun1,36750.52%1,31748.67%220.81% 50 1.85%2,706Carroll3,53743.48%4,53455.73%640.79% -997 -12.26%8,135Cass2,49243.72%3,16355.49%450.79% -671 -11.77%5,700Champaign41,52450.37%39,89648.40%1,0141.23%1,6281.97%82,434Christian6,11240.03%9,04459.24%1110.73% -2,932 -19.20%15,267Clark2,87735.93%5,08263.47%480.60% -2,205 -27.54%8,007Clay2,10132.06%4,41667.38%370.56% -2,315 -35.32%6,554Clinton6,79739.68%10,21959.65%1150.67% -3,422 -19.98%17,131Coles9,56641.99%13,01557.13%1990.87% -3,449 -15.14%22,780Cook1,439,72470.25%597,40529.15%12,3050.60%842,31941.10%2,049,434Crawford3,19434.23%6,08365.18%550.59% -2,889 -30.96%9,332Cumberland1,86234.38%3,49764.57%571.05% -1,635 -30.19%5,416DeKalb19,26347.25%21,09551.74%4101.01% -1,832 -4.49%40,768DeWitt2,83636.37%4,92063.09%420.54% -2,084 -26.72%7,798Douglas2,76732.40%5,70266.77%710.83% -2,935 -34.37%8,540DuPage180,09744.75%218,90254.39%3,4470.86% -38,805 -9.64%402,446Edgar3,09336.69%5,25862.38%780.93% -2,165 -25.69%8,429Edwards93027.65%2,41271.70%220.65% -1,482 -44.05%3,364Effingham4,38826.96%11,77472.33%1160.71% -7,386 -45.37%16,278Fayette3,57137.40%5,88061.58%981.03% -2,309 -24.18%9,549Ford1,91229.51%4,51169.62%560.86% -2,599 -40.11%6,479Franklin8,81645.56%10,38853.68%1480.76% -1,572 -8.12%19,352Fulton9,08053.30%7,81845.89%1370.80% 1,262 7.41%17,035Gallatin1,57348.78%1,61950.20%331.02% -46 -1.43%3,225Greene2,45740.49%3,55958.65%520.86% -1,102 -18.16%6,068Grundy8,46342.68%11,19856.47%1700.86% -2,735 -13.79%19,831Hamilton1,81440.19%2,65358.77%471.04% -839 -18.59%4,514Hancock3,97540.16%5,83758.97%870.88% -1,862 -18.81%9,899Hardin92337.87%1,50161.59%130.53% -578 -23.72%2,437Henderson2,26954.64%1,85744.71%270.65% 412 9.92%4,153Henry11,87747.05%13,21252.34%1520.60% -1,335 -5.29%25,241Iroquois3,83227.70%9,91471.66%890.64% -6,082 -43.96%13,835Jackson14,30055.37%11,19043.33%3361.30%3,11012.04%25,826Jasper1,78133.38%3,52966.14%260.49% -1,748 -32.76%5,336Jefferson6,71339.61%10,16059.95%750.44% -3,447 -20.34%16,948Jersey4,59745.35%5,43553.62%1051.04% -838 -8.27%10,137Jo Daviess5,31145.85%6,17453.30%990.85% -863 -7.45%11,584Johnson1,81330.91%3,99768.15%550.94% -2,184 -37.24%5,865Kane73,81344.12%92,06555.03%1,4190.85% -18,252 -10.91%167,297Kankakee20,00344.42%24,73954.93%2940.65% -4,736 -10.52%45,036Kendall12,49738.42%19,77660.80%2540.78% -7,279 -22.38%32,527Knox13,40354.25%11,11144.97%1940.79% 2,292 9.28%24,708Lake134,35248.80%139,08150.52%1,8620.68% -4,729 -1.72%275,295LaSalle24,26347.83%26,10151.45%3650.72% -1,838 -3.62%50,729Lawrence2,51837.42%4,16261.85%490.73% -1,644 -24.43%6,729Lee6,41640.41%9,30758.62%1530.96% -2,891 -18.21%15,876Livingston5,63235.11%10,31664.32%910.57% -4,684 -29.20%16,039Logan4,27331.73%9,11267.66%820.61% -4,839 -35.93%13,467Macon23,34145.11%28,11854.34%2870.55% -4,777 -9.23%51,746Macoupin11,19349.12%11,41350.09%1790.79% -220 -0.97%22,785Madison63,39951.26%59,38448.02%8950.72% 4,015 3.25%123,678Marion7,69444.67%9,41354.65%1170.68% -1,719 -9.98%17,224Marshall2,80642.62%3,73456.71%440.67% -928 -14.09%6,584Mason3,21544.76%3,90754.39%610.85% -692 -9.63%7,183Massac2,80537.78%4,57861.66%410.55% -1,773 -23.88%7,424McDonough7,11947.69%7,65651.28%1541.03% -537 -3.60%14,929McHenry50,33039.34%76,41259.72%1,2060.94% -26,082 -20.38%127,948McLean29,87741.72%41,27657.63%4670.65% -11,399 -15.92%71,620Menard2,13732.51%4,40867.05%290.44% -2,271 -34.55%6,574Mercer4,51250.28%4,40549.09%570.64% 107 1.19%8,974Monroe6,78841.47%9,46857.84%1140.70% -2,680 -16.37%16,370Montgomery5,97946.24%6,85152.99%1000.77% -872 -6.74%12,930Morgan5,65037.22%9,39261.87%1380.91% -3,742 -24.65%15,180Moultrie2,38836.93%4,02862.30%500.77% -1,640 -25.36%6,466Ogle9,01837.43%14,91861.92%1550.64% -5,900 -24.49%24,091Peoria41,12149.68%41,05149.60%5990.72%700.08%82,771Perry4,77045.76%5,58953.61%660.63% -819 -7.86%10,425Piatt3,12436.38%5,39262.80%700.82% -2,268 -26.42%8,586Pike2,84935.70%5,03263.06%991.24% -2,183 -27.36%7,980Pope91837.68%1,50061.58%180.74% -582 -23.89%2,436Pulaski1,37244.14%1,72055.34%160.51% -348 -11.20%3,108Putnam1,70450.84%1,62348.42%250.75% 81 2.42%3,352Randolph6,77145.27%8,07654.00%1090.73% -1,305 -8.73%14,956Richland2,52932.64%5,15366.50%670.86% -2,624 -33.86%7,749Rock Island39,88056.99%29,66342.39%4290.61%10,21714.60%69,972Saline4,69739.76%7,05759.73%600.51% -2,360 -19.98%11,814Sangamon38,63040.50%55,90458.61%8410.88% -17,274 -18.11%95,375Schuyler1,59439.54%2,40359.61%340.84% -809 -20.07%4,031Scott92735.17%1,69664.34%130.49% -769 -29.17%2,636Shelby3,74435.40%6,75363.85%800.76% -3,009 -28.45%10,577St. Clair62,41055.14%50,20344.35%5760.51% 12,207 10.78%113,189Stark1,18938.84%1,84160.14%311.01% -652 -21.30%3,061Stephenson8,91341.81%12,21257.28%1950.91% -3,299 -15.47%21,320Tazewell25,81441.41%36,05857.84%4660.75% -10,244 -16.43%62,338Union3,73540.96%5,33358.48%510.56% -1,598 -17.52%9,119Vermilion14,72643.68%18,73155.56%2570.76% -4,005 -11.88%33,714Wabash1,75229.17%4,21270.13%420.70% -2,460 -40.96%6,006Warren3,93846.56%4,47452.90%450.53% -536 -6.34%8,457Washington2,98636.85%5,07262.59%460.57% -2,086 -25.74%8,104Wayne2,13925.81%6,10273.63%460.56% -3,963 -47.82%8,287White3,07137.00%5,18062.40%500.60% -2,109 -25.41%8,301Whiteside13,72351.07%12,95948.22%1910.71% 764 2.84%26,873Will117,17246.94%130,72852.37%1,7090.68% -13,556 -5.43%249,609Williamson11,68539.00%18,08660.37%1890.63% -6,401 -21.37%29,960Winnebago59,74049.20%60,78250.06%9030.74% -1,042 -0.86%121,425Woodford6,00531.94%12,69867.54%990.53% -6,693 -35.60%18,802Totals2,891,55054.82%2,345,94644.48%36,8260.70%545,60410.34%5,274,322 right 150px Swing by county Legend #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 150px Trend by county Legend #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 150px County flips Legend Democratic #92c5de Hold Republican #f48882 Hold #ca0120 Flip Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican 20em Franklin (Largest city: West Frankfort) Gallatin (Largest city: Shawneetown) Henry (Largest city: Kewanee) LaSalle (Largest city: Ottawa) Macon (Largest city: Decatur) Macoupin (Largest city: Carlinville) Montgomery (Largest city: Litchfield) Perry (Largest city: Du Quoin) Pulaski (Largest city: Mounds) By congressional district Kerry won ten of 19 congressional districts. Both nominees won a district that elected a member of the opposite party.http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project District Kerry Bush RepresentativeIllinois 1 1st83% 17%Bobby RushIllinois 2 2nd84% 16%Jesse Jackson Jr.Illinois 3 3rd59%41%Bill LipinskiDan LipinskiIllinois 4 4th79% 21%Luis GutierrezIllinois 5 5th67% 33%Rahm EmanuelIllinois 6 6th 47% 53%Henry HydeIllinois 7 7th83% 17%Danny K. DavisIllinois 8 8th44%56%Phil CraneMelissa BeanIllinois 9 9th68% 32%Jan SchakowskyIllinois 10 10th53% 47%Mark KirkIllinois 11 11th 46% 53%Jerry WellerIllinois 12 12th52% 48%Jerry CostelloIllinois 13 13th 45% 55%Judy BiggertIllinois 14 14th 44% 55%Dennis HastertIllinois 15 15th 41% 59%Timothy V. JohnsonIllinois 16 16th 44% 55%Donald ManzulloIllinois 17 17th51% 48%Lane EvansIllinois 18 18th 42% 58%Ray LaHoodIllinois 19 19th 39% 61%John Shimkus Electors List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of Illinois cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Illinois is allocated 21 electors because it has 19 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 21 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 21 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from Illinois. All were pledged to and voted for Kerry and Edwards:https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2004_certificates/ The Electoral College 20 May 2019 Constance A. Howard Carrie Austin Shirley R. Madigan Tony Munoz James DeLeo Joan Brennan Vera Davis Linda Pasternak William Marovitz Dan Pierce Debbie Halvorson Molly McKenzie Beth Ann May Mary Lou Kearns Lynn Foster John Nelson Mary Boland Shirley McCombs Jerry Sinclair Barbara Flynn Currie John Daley References Illinois 2004 Category:2004 Illinois elections