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2015 Queensland state election
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January 2015
January 2020
2015 Queensland state election Queensland parliamentary no 2012 Queensland state election 2012 2017 Queensland state election 2017 All 89 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland45 Assembly seats were needed for a majority 89.89 ( 1.11 pp) 31 January 2015 #Opinion polling x160px Annastacia Palaszczuk yes 2012 03 28 Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch) Inala 983,054 37.47% 10.81 7 seats, 26.66% 9 44 35 x160px Campbell Newman yes 2011 03 22 Liberal National Party of Queensland Ashgrove(lost seat) 1,084,060 41.32% 8.33 78 seats, 49.66% 73 42 31 KAP B20000 Ray Hopper yes 2012 11 29 Katter's Australian Party Condamine(lost Nanango) 50,588 1.93% 9.61 2 seats, 11.53% 3 2 1 TPP 51.1% 48.9% TPP swing 14.0 14.0 2015 Queensland state election.svg 400px Winning margin by electorate. Premier Campbell Newman Liberal National Party of Queensland Premier after election Annastacia Palaszczuk Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch)
The 2015 Queensland state election was held on 31 January 2015 to elect all 89 members of the unicameral Legislative Assembly of Queensland.
The centre-right Liberal National Party (LNP), led by Premier Campbell Newman, attempted to win a second term but was defeated by the opposition centre-left Australian Labor Party (ALP), led by Opposition Leader Annastacia Palaszczuk. Labor formed a minority government with the support of the lone independent MP in the chamber, Peter Wellington. It is only the seventh change of government in Queensland since 1915, and only the third time since 1932 that a sitting government in the state has failed to win a second term. Furthermore, Annastacia Palaszczuk became the first woman to win government from opposition in a state election (eventual Chief Minister Clare Martin led the Labor Party to victory from opposition in 2001 at an election in the Northern Territory).
The previous election saw Labor, which had governed the state for all but two years since 1989, suffer the worst defeat of a sitting government in the state's history. The LNP won 78 seats—the largest majority government in Queensland history—compared to seven for Labor, two for Katter's Australian Party, and two won by independents. Following Labor's defeat former Premier Anna Bligh retired from politics and was succeeded as party leader by her former Transport Minister, Palaszczuk. Months later, Ray Hopper left the LNP to lead Katter's Australian Party while two further LNP MPs became independents, resulting in a total of 75 LNP seats, seven Labor seats, three Katter seats and four independent seats. Two by-elections saw Labor defeat the LNP, reducing the LNP to 73 seats with Labor on 9 seats. Although Labor hoped to regain much of what it lost in its severe defeat of three years earlier, most polls pointed to the LNP being returned for another term with a reduced majority.
On election night, the outcome of the election was inconclusive, though most political analysts projected that the LNP had lost its majority after suffering what ended up being a record 14-point two-party swing.http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/2015/01/30/new-premier-tipped-queensland New premier tipped for Queensland SBS World News Australia 30 January 2015 2 February 2015 AAP https://web.archive.org/web/20150203041711/http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/2015/01/30/new-premier-tipped-queensland 3 February 2015 live Newman was defeated in his seat of Ashgrove to his predecessor, Kate Jones—only the second time since Federation that a sitting Queensland premier has lost their own seat. With the outcome in his own seat beyond doubt, Newman announced his retirement from politics, though remained as caretaker premier pending the final results. According to projections from both ABC News and Brisbane's The Courier-Mail, Labor had taken at least 30 seats from the LNP, and was very close to picking up the 36-seat swing it needed to form government in its own right—a feat initially thought impossible when the writs were issued. On the day after the election, both outlets had Labor either two or three seats short of a majority.http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-01-31/campbell-newman-loses-ashgrove-to-kate-jones-antony-green-says/6059928 Queensland election 2015: Campbell Newman concedes Ashgrove to ALP's Kate Jones ABC News Australia Agius, Kym 31 January 2015 1 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150203041810/http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-01-31/campbell-newman-loses-ashgrove-to-kate-jones-antony-green-says/6059928 3 February 2015 livehttp://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland-state-election-2015/queensland-election-2015-annastacia-palaszczuks-labor-on-brink-of-victory/story-fnr8vuu5-1227203809895 Queensland election 2015: Annastacia Palaszczuk's Labor on brink of victory The Sunday Mail Wardill, Steven Tin, Jason 1 February 2015 1 February 2015 Political analysts opined that the balance of power was likely to rest with Katter's Australian Party and independent Wellington.
Wellington announced on 5 February he would support a Palaszczuk-led Labor minority government on confidence and supply while retaining the right to vote on conscience.Remeikis Amy Queensland Election: Peter Wellington supports Labor to govern http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/queensland-election-peter-wellington-supports-labor-to-govern-20150205-136plf.html 6 February 2015 Brisbane Times 5 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150207192830/http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/queensland-election-peter-wellington-supports-labor-to-govern-20150205-136plf.html 7 February 2015 live On 13 February, the Electoral Commission of Queensland declared the results of the election. Labor won 44 seats, one short of a majority, putting Labor in a position to form a minority government in the hung parliament.Live Results – Queensland Election 2015 http://www.abc.net.au/news/qld-election-2015/results/ Australian Broadcasting Corporation 9 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150209023002/http://www.abc.net.au/news/qld-election-2015/results/ 9 February 2015 liveKimmorley Sarah The ALP is close to forming government in Queensland http://www.businessinsider.com.au/the-alp-are-set-to-take-government-in-queensland-after-winning-a-44th-seat-2015-2 9 February 2015 Business Insider Australia 8 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150208184120/http://www.businessinsider.com.au/the-alp-are-set-to-take-government-in-queensland-after-winning-a-44th-seat-2015-2/ 8 February 2015 deadQueensland election 2015: Annastacia Palaszczuk invited to form government, interim ministry to be sworn in Saturday http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-13/all-seats-declared-in-queensland-election-labor-ahead/6090428 ABC News Australian Broadcasting Corporation 14 February 2015 13 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150214041207/http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-13/all-seats-declared-in-queensland-election-labor-ahead/6090428 14 February 2015 live Even allowing for the LNP's previously overwhelming majority, the 37-seat swing is the second-largest shift of seats against a sitting government in Queensland since Federation, only exceeded by the 44-seat shift against Labor in 2012. Conversely, the two-party swing of 13.7 points in 2012 was exceeded by the 2015 two-party swing of 14.0 points.
Palaszczuk approached Governor Paul de Jersey on 11 February and advised him that she could form a minority government.Withey Andree Agius Kym Queensland election 2015: Labor leader Annastacia Palaszczuk to seek Governor's permission to form government http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-09/labor-calls-on-lnp-to-relinquish-power/6079022 9 February 2015 ABC News Australian Broadcasting Corporation 9 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150210234439/http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-09/labor-calls-on-lnp-to-relinquish-power/6079022 10 February 2015 liveQueensland election 2015: Labor secures 44 seats, enough to form minority government http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-13/voting-in-queensland-election-due-to-finish-today/6090246 19 February 2015 ABC News Australian Broadcasting Corporation 13 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150221163508/http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-13/voting-in-queensland-election-due-to-finish-today/6090246 21 February 2015 live Palaszczuk and de Jersey met again on 13 February. At that meeting, de Jersey formally invited Palaszczuk to form a government, an invitation that Palaszczuk accepted. On 14 February, Palaszczuk was sworn in as the 39th Premier of Queensland.Queensland election 2015: Annastacia Palaszczuk sworn in as Premier http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-14/annastacia-palaszczuk-sworn-in-as-queensland-premier/6098382 14 February 2015 ABC News Australian Broadcasting Corporation 14 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20180509033450/http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-14/annastacia-palaszczuk-sworn-in-as-queensland-premier/6098382 9 May 2018 live
Background
Post-election pendulum for the Queensland state election, 2012
The last state election to be held was the 2012 Queensland state election where the Australian Labor Party led by Premier Anna Bligh attempted to win a second term as Premier in her own right and a third term overall and a sixth consecutive term in office. Opposing her was the Liberal National Party led by Campbell Newman. The election was the second for Bligh who had succeeded Peter Beattie as Premier in 2007. Newman was the former Lord Mayor of Brisbane from 2004 to 2011, having resigned the position to run for Premier.
As Newman did not have a seat in state parliament, he chose to contest preselection in the seat of Ashgrove for the 2012 election, and lead the party from outside of parliament until the election. Jeff Seeney served as Opposition Leader in the parliament.
The Labor Party went into the election with a modest margin with 51 seats, while the Liberal National Party had 32 seats. Labor was defeated in an historic landslide, the LNP winning 78 seats to just seven for Labor, with Newman winning Ashgrove from the former Environment Minister, Kate Jones.
Aidan McLindon, the parliamentary leader of the Katter's Australia Party, lost his seat of Beaudesert, but the KAP won two seats. Only two of the independent members were re-elected.
Three by-elections occurred after the 2012 state election. Labor candidate Yvette D'Ath won the 2014 Redcliffe by-election in February, and Labor candidate Anthony Lynham won the 2014 Stafford by-election in July. Jackie Trad held Bligh's former seat of South Brisbane of Labor in an April 2012 by-election, following Bligh's resignation from parliament.
On 5 January 2015, media organisations reported that Newman intended to announce the election date the next day.5 January 2015 Queensland Premier expected to call snap election http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-01-05/queensland-premier-expected-to-call-snap-election/6001476 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150124235846/http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-01-05/queensland-premier-expected-to-call-snap-election/6001476 24 January 2015 25 January 2015 ABC News Australian Broadcasting Corporation5 January 2015 Campbell Newman to name Queensland election date tomorrow http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/campbell-newman-to-name-queensland-election-date-tomorrow/story-fnn8dlfs-1227175326057 25 January 2015 The Courier-Mail On 6 January, Newman confirmed on Twitter that he had visited acting governor Tim Carmody and writs had been issued for an election on 31 January.Campbell Newman: @theqldpremier https://twitter.com/theqldpremier/status/552273351977467904 25 January 2015 TwitterRemeikis Amy 6 January 2015 Queensland election: parties scramble after poll called http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/queensland-election-parties-scramble-after-poll-called-20150106-12iooo.html live https://web.archive.org/web/20150109044829/http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/queensland-election-parties-scramble-after-poll-called-20150106-12iooo.html 9 January 2015 6 January 2015 Brisbane Times This was the first time in over a century that an Australian general election was held in January. The last January election was held in Tasmania in 1913 and the last on the mainland was the New South Wales colonial election of 1874–75.Owens Jared 7 January 2015 Queensland election: January call defies holiday wisdom http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/state-politics/queensland-election-january-call-defies-holiday-wisdom/story-fnr8rfrw-1227176475144 7 January 2015 The AustralianOctober 2026 medicmedic
The election was held on the same day as the 2015 Davenport state by-election in South Australia.
Key dates
Date Event 6 January 2015 Writ of election issued by the acting GovernorElection Timetable: 2015 State General election http://www.ecq.qld.gov.au/2015QLD.aspx https://web.archive.org/web/20150216012720/http://www.ecq.qld.gov.au/2015QLD.aspx 16 February 2015 Electoral Commission of Queensland 10 January 2015 Close of electoral rolls 13 January 2015 Close of nominations 31 January 2015 Polling day, between the hours of 8am and 6pm 10 February 2015 Cut off for the return of postal ballot papers 13 February 2015 Election results declared, Annastacia Palaszczuk is asked to form government 14 February 2015 Interim Palaszczuk Ministry is sworn in 16 February 2015 Full Palaszczuk Ministry sworn in 16 February 2015 Writ returned and results formally declared 24 March 2015 55th Parliament convened
Retiring members
Labor
Tim Mulherin (Mackay) – Announced 9 January 20159 January 2015 Deputy ALP leader Tim Mulherin resigns on day four of the campaign http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-01-09/qld-deputy-alp-leader-tim-mulherin-resigns-on-campaign/6007918 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150124235617/http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-01-09/qld-deputy-alp-leader-tim-mulherin-resigns-on-campaign/6007918 24 January 2015 8 January 2015 Australian Broadcasting Corporation
Desley Scott (Woodridge) – Announced 11 March 2014Amy Remeikis 2013-01-17 Cameron Dick's plan to return puts Labor leadership in the spotlight http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/cameron-dicks-plan-to-return-puts-labor-leadership-in-the-spotlight-20140311-34j6z.html live https://web.archive.org/web/20150424015808/http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/cameron-dicks-plan-to-return-puts-labor-leadership-in-the-spotlight-20140311-34j6z.html 24 April 2015 2014-04-02 Brisbanetimes.com.au
Liberal National
Peter Dowling (Redlands) – Lost preselection 25 October 2014Remeikis Amy 2014-10-25 'Sexting' MP Peter Dowling shattered as LNP members vote 'no' https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/sexting-mp-peter-dowling-shattered-as-lnp-members-vote-no-20141025-11btfd.html live https://web.archive.org/web/20190210071807/https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/sexting-mp-peter-dowling-shattered-as-lnp-members-vote-no-20141025-11btfd.html 10 February 2019 2020-04-10 Brisbane Times en
Bruce Flegg (Moggill) – Lost preselection 7 December 20142014-12-07 Queensland MP Bruce Flegg defeated in preselection battle for Moggill https://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-12-07/queensland-mp-bruce-flegg-defeated-in-preselection-battle/5950024 live https://web.archive.org/web/20180924001153/http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-12-07/queensland-mp-bruce-flegg-defeated-in-preselection-battle/5950024 24 September 2018 2020-04-10 ABC News en-AU
David Gibson (Gympie) – Announced 2 May 2014Atfield Cameron 2014-05-02 Queensland MP David Gibson to quit politics https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/queensland-mp-david-gibson-to-quit-politics-20140502-zr3jr.html live https://web.archive.org/web/20190723011736/https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/queensland-mp-david-gibson-to-quit-politics-20140502-zr3jr.html 23 July 2019 2020-04-10 Brisbane Times en
Howard Hobbs (Warrego) – Announced 5 September 2014LNP congratulates retiring Howard Hobbs - LNP https://lnp.org.au/news/lnp-congratulates-retiring-howard-hobbs/ dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150128132053/https://lnp.org.au/news/lnp-congratulates-retiring-howard-hobbs/ 28 January 2015 22 May 2022 lnp.org.au
Vaughan Johnson (Gregory) – Announced 2 October 2014Retirement of Vaughan Johnson MP | LNP https://lnp.org.au/news/retirement-of-vaughan-johnson-mp/ dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150321162754/https://lnp.org.au/news/retirement-of-vaughan-johnson-mp/ 21 March 2015 22 May 2022 lnp.org.au
Ted Malone (Mirani) – Announced 26 September 2014Ted Malone won't run for Mirani seat again https://www.dailymercury.com.au/news/ted-malone-wont-run-mirani-seat-again/2400566/ live https://web.archive.org/web/20181002102317/https://www.dailymercury.com.au/news/ted-malone-wont-run-mirani-seat-again/2400566/ 2 October 2018 2020-04-10 Daily Mercury en
Rosemary Menkens (Burdekin) – Announced 19 September 2014Retirement of Rosemary Menkens MP - LNP https://lnp.org.au/news/retirement-of-rosemary-menkens-mp/ dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150128132057/https://lnp.org.au/news/retirement-of-rosemary-menkens-mp/ 28 January 2015 22 May 2022 lnp.org.au
Independent
Liz Cunningham (Gladstone) – Announced 6 January 2015Gladstone MP confirms she won't run in 2015 election | Gladstone Observer http://www.gladstoneobserver.com.au/news/port-lease-set-be-big-election-issue-gladstone/2502567/ live https://web.archive.org/web/20150110011640/http://www.gladstoneobserver.com.au/news/port-lease-set-be-big-election-issue-gladstone/2502567/ 10 January 2015 6 January 2015
Results
Post-election pendulum for the Queensland state election, 2015 Results of the Queensland state election, 2015
thumb|The composition of the Legislative Assembly following the election.
thumb|Winning party by electorate.File:2015 Queensland Legislative Assembly.svg #1456F1 Liberal National 42 1084060 -34 –8.33 #f00011 Labor 983054 +10.81 44 +35 #10c25b Greens ±0 0 +0.90 221157 #ffed00 Palmer United ±0 0 +5.11 133929 #B50204 Katter's Australian ±0 2 –9.61 50588 #00ccff Family First ±0 0 –0.17 31231 #f36c21 One Nation ±0 0 +0.82 24111 #dcdcdc Independents –1 1 +0.47 95313 2981145 56431 –1.11 –0.05 Results of the 2015 Queensland state election, Legislative Assembly 2015 Queensland state election right 85 Liberal National Party of Queensland Liberal National 41.32 47.19 Australian Labor Party Labor 37.47 49.44 Australian Greens Greens 8.43 0 Palmer United Party Palmer United 5.11 0 Katter's Australian Party Katter's Australian 1.93 2.25 Australian Conservatives Family First 1.19 0 One Nation (Australia) One Nation 0.92 0 Independent Independent 3.63 1.12
Popular vote #ddd 600px 410px LNP Liberal National Party of Queensland 41.32
Labor Australian Labor Party 37.47
Greens Australian Greens 8.43
Palmer United Palmer United Party 5.11
Katter's Katter's Australian Party 1.93
Family First #00CCFF 1.19
One Nation Pauline Hanson's One Nation 0.92
Independents Independent 3.63
Two-party preferred vote #ddd 600px 410px Labor Liberal National Party of Queensland 48.9
LNP Australian Labor Party 51.1
Seats #ddd 600px 410px Labor Australian Labor Party 49.44
LNP Liberal National Party of Queensland 47.19
Katter's Katter's Australian Party 2.25
Independents Independent 1.12
Seats changing hands
Seat 2012 Election Swing 2015 Electionhttp://www.abc.net.au/news/qld-election-2015/results/changing-seats/ Seats changing hands, 2015 QLD election: Antony Green ABC Australian Broadcasting Corporation 8 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150208073942/http://www.abc.net.au/news/qld-election-2015/results/changing-seats/ 8 February 2015 live Party Member Margin Margin Member Party Algester Liberal National Anthony Shorten 9.15 −16.14 6.99 Leeanne Enoch Labor Ashgrove Liberal National Campbell Newman 5.70 −9.95 4.25 Kate Jones Labor Barron River Liberal National Michael Trout 9.48 −12.60 3.12 Craig Crawford Labor Brisbane Central Liberal National Robert Cavallucci 4.88 −8.13 3.25 Grace Grace Labor Bulimba Liberal National Aaron Dillaway 0.14 −6.28 6.14 Di Farmer Labor Bundaberg Liberal National Jack Dempsey 18.17 −19.79 1.62 Leanne Donaldson Labor Cairns Liberal National Gavin King 8.87 −17.32 8.45 Rob Pyne Labor Capalaba Liberal National Steve Davies 3.73 −10.79 7.06 Don Brown Labor Cook Liberal National David Kempton 3.43 −10.20 6.77 Billy Gordon Labor Ferny Grove Liberal National Dale Shuttleworth 9.52 −10.34 0.82 Mark Furner Labor Gladstone Independent Liz Cunningham 14.03 −25.93 11.89 Glenn Butcher Labor Greenslopes Liberal National Ian Kaye 2.45 −6.70 4.25 Joe Kelly Labor Ipswich Liberal National Ian Berry 4.19 −20.09 15.90 Jennifer Howard Labor Ipswich West Liberal National Sean Choat 7.16 −14.88 7.71 Jim Madden Labor Kallangur Liberal National Trevor Ruthenberg 12.43 −18.57 6.13 Shane King Labor Keppel Liberal National Bruce Young 6.39 −11.19 4.80 Brittany Lauga Labor Logan Liberal National Michael Pucci 4.80 −15.63 10.82 Linus Power Labor Lytton Liberal National Neil Symes 1.58 −11.37 9.80 Joan Pease Labor Maryborough Liberal National Anne Maddern 0.31 −1.96 1.65 Bruce Saunders Labor Mirani Liberal National Ted Malone 11.19 −16.01 4.82 Jim Pearce Labor Morayfield Liberal National Darren Grimwade 5.57 −17.49 11.91 Mark Ryan Labor Mount Coot-tha Liberal National Saxon Rice 5.36 −7.94 2.59 Steven Miles Labor Mundingburra Liberal National David Crisafulli 10.19 −12.95 2.76 Coralee O'Rourke Labor Murrumba Liberal National Reg Gulley 9.52 −16.88 7.35 Chris Whiting Labor Nudgee Liberal National Jason Woodforth 3.11 −14.36 11.25 Leanne Linard Labor Pine Rivers Liberal National Seath Holswich 13.66 −21.34 7.68 Nikki Boyd Labor Pumicestone Liberal National Lisa France 12.07 −14.16 2.08 Rick Williams Labor Sandgate Liberal National Kerry Millard 2.87 −12.96 10.10 Stirling Hinchliffe Labor Springwood Liberal National John Grant 15.39 −17.13 1.73 Mick de Brenni Labor Stretton Liberal National Freya Ostapovitch 9.55 −14.54 4.98 Duncan Pegg Labor Sunnybank Liberal National Mark Stewart 10.23 −17.42 7.19 Peter Russo Labor Thuringowa Liberal National Sam Cox 1.38 −6.92 5.54 Aaron Harper Labor Townsville Liberal National John Hathaway 4.83 −10.52 5.69 Scott Stewart Labor Waterford Liberal National Mike Latter 1.04 −14.37 13.33 Shannon Fentiman Labor Yeerongpilly Liberal National Carl Judge1 1.44 −14.74 13.30 Mark Bailey Labor
Members listed in italics did not contest their seat at this election.
1 Carl Judge was elected as a member of the Liberal National Party, but resigned and contested the election as an independent.
The Liberal National Party also retained the seat of Condamine, where the sitting member had resigned from the Liberal National Party, but contested Nanango as a member of Katter's Australian Party.
The Liberal National Party also retained the seat of Gaven, where the sitting member had resigned from the Liberal National Party and contested the election as an independent.
Post-election pendulum
Government seatsMarginalFerny GroveMark FurnerALP0.82%BundabergLeanne DonaldsonALP1.62%MaryboroughBruce SaundersALP1.65%SpringwoodMick de BrenniALP1.73%PumicestoneRick WilliamsALP2.08%Mount Coot-thaSteven MilesALP2.59%MundingburraCoralee O'RourkeALP2.76%Barron RiverCraig CrawfordALP3.12%Brisbane CentralGrace GraceALP3.25%GreenslopesJoe KellyALP4.25%AshgroveKate JonesALP4.25%KeppelBrittany LaugaALP4.80% MiraniJim PearceALP4.82%StrettonDuncan PeggALP4.98%ThuringowaAaron HarperALP5.54%TownsvilleScott StewartALP5.69%Fairly safeKallangurShane KingALP6.13%BulimbaDi FarmerALP6.14%CookBilly GordonALP6.77%AlgesterLeeanne EnochALP6.99%CapalabaDon BrownALP7.06%SunnybankPeter RussoALP7.19%MurrumbaChris WhitingALP7.35%RedcliffeYvette D'AthALP7.58%Pine RiversNikki BoydALP7.68%Ipswich WestJim MaddenALP7.71% CairnsRob PyneALP8.45%StaffordAnthony LynhamALP9.59%LyttonJoan PeaseALP9.80%SafeSandgateStirling HinchliffeALP10.10%LoganLinus PowerALP10.82%NudgeeLeanne LinardALP11.25%MorayfieldMark RyanALP11.91% GladstoneGlenn ButcherALP11.89% v IND MackayJulieanne GilbertALP12.39%MulgraveCurtis PittALP12.76%YeerongpillyMark BaileyALP13.30%WaterfordShannon FentimanALP13.33%South BrisbaneJackie TradALP13.79%RockhamptonBill ByrneALP13.87% IpswichJennifer HowardALP15.90%Very safeBundambaJo-Ann MillerALP21.43%InalaAnnastacia PalaszczukALP25.12%WoodridgeCameron DickALP25.95%
Non-government seats MarginalLockyerIan RickussLNP0.22% v ONPMount OmmaneyTarnya SmithLNP0.23%WhitsundayJason CostiganLNP0.38%MansfieldIan WalkerLNP0.55%Glass HouseAndrew PowellLNP1.41%Toowoomba NorthTrevor WattsLNP1.61%AlbertMark BoothmanLNP1.67%EvertonTim ManderLNP1.77%RedlandsMatt McEachanLNP2.23%GavenSid CrampLNP2.24%ChatsworthSteve MinnikinLNP2.62%BurdekinDale LastLNP2.88%SouthportRob MolhoekLNP3.24%CaloundraMark McArdleLNP3.82%AspleyTracy DavisLNP5.17%CurrumbinJann StuckeyLNP5.23%ClevelandMark RobinsonLNP5.45%Fairly safeBurleighMichael HartLNP6.16%Hervey BayTed SorensenLNP6.62%CallideJeff SeeneyLNP6.67% v PUPIndooroopillyScott EmersonLNP6.73%BurnettStephen BennettLNP6.80%GympieTony PerrettLNP7.10%BroadwaterVerity BartonLNP7.19%ClayfieldTim NichollsLNP7.21%BeaudesertJon KrauseLNP7.53% MoggillChristian RowanLNP8.21%CoomeraMichael CrandonLNP8.53%NoosaGlen ElmesLNP8.62% v GRNToowoomba SouthJohn McVeighLNP8.89%HinchinbrookAndrew CrippsLNP8.92%MaroochydoreFiona SimpsonLNP9.27%SafeKawanaJarrod BleijieLNP10.09%MudgeerabaRos BatesLNP10.97%GregoryLachlan MillarLNP11.07%BuderimSteve DicksonLNP12.16%Mermaid BeachRay StevensLNP12.93%NanangoDeb FrecklingtonLNP13.16% WarregoAnn LeahyLNP15.43%CondaminePat WeirLNP16.28%Southern DownsLawrence SpringborgLNP19.20% Surfers ParadiseJohn-Paul LangbroekLNP19.21%Crossbench seatsNicklinPeter WellingtonIND14.89 v LNPDalrympleShane KnuthKAP15.10 v LNPMount IsaRobbie KatterKAP15.19 v LNP
Subsequent changes
On 31 March 2015, Billy Gordon (Cook) was expelled from the Labor Party and sat as an independent.
On 8 March 2016, Rob Pyne (Cairns) resigned from the Labor Party and sat as an independent.
On 29 April 2016, John McVeigh (Toowoomba South) resigned. At the by-election on 16 July 2016, David Janetzki retained the seat for the Liberal National Party.
On 14 January 2017, Steve Dickson (Buderim) resigned from the Liberal National Party and joined the One Nation Party.
On 29 October 2017, Rick Williams (Pumicestone) resigned from the Labor Party and sat as an independent.
Aftermath
Labor regained power mainly on the strength of recovering much of what it had lost in Brisbane at the 2012 election. Brisbane had been Labor's power base for more than a quarter-century; Labor had gone into the 2012 election holding 36 of the capital's 40 seats, losing all but three at the election. In 2015, however, Labor won 28 seats in Brisbane. The LNP was still in a position to hope for a minority government primarily by sweeping the Gold Coast, albeit in most cases by somewhat smaller margins than in 2012.
Although Queensland is Australia's least centralised state, since the abolition of the Bjelkemander it has been extremely difficult to form even a minority government without a strong base in Brisbane. The 2015 election underscored this. None of the LNP's safe seats (greater than 10 percent 2PP) were located in Brisbane. The LNP's safest seat, Moggill, only had a majority of 8.2 percent, putting it on the strong side of fairly safe. In contrast, all but two of Labor's safe seats were in the capital.
Following the election, the Palmer United Party candidate for Ferny Grove, Mark Taverner, was revealed to be an undischarged bankrupt and was therefore ineligible to run. The revelation spurred speculation that there may need to be a by-election to resolve the seat.Queensland election 2015: Ferny Grove by-election 'likely' after PUP candidate bankruptcy revelation, LNP president Bruce McIver says http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-04/queensland-election-bruce-mciver-ferny-grove-by-election-fair/6068676 8 February 2015 ABC News Australian Broadcasting Corporation 4 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150207115158/http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-02-04/queensland-election-bruce-mciver-ferny-grove-by-election-fair/6068676 7 February 2015 live The Electoral Commission of Queensland initially released a statement on 8 February saying that it would declare the seat, and then refer the issue to the Supreme Court of Queensland sitting as the Court of Disputed Returns. The statement raised a by-election as a possible outcome.Electoral commission will ask court to decide on Ferny Grove byelection https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2015/feb/08/electoral-commission-will-ask-court-to-decide-on-ferny-grove-byelection 8 February 2015 The Guardian Australia Australian Associated Press 8 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150208135059/http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2015/feb/08/electoral-commission-will-ask-court-to-decide-on-ferny-grove-byelection 8 February 2015 live
Lawrence Springborg, who succeeded Newman as LNP leader on 7 February, called for the caretaker government to continue until after a possible Ferny Grove by-election is held, citing both the uncertainty of a hung parliament and doubt over the status of Ferny Grove.Bochenski Natalie Election result should wait on Ferny Grove: Springborg http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/election-result-should-wait-on-ferny-grove-springborg-20150208-138x6l.html 8 February 2015 Brisbane Times 8 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150208034044/http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/election-result-should-wait-on-ferny-grove-springborg-20150208-138x6l.html 8 February 2015 live Conversely, ABC election analyst Antony Green believed that the Ferny Grove outcome and possible by-election would not affect who forms government.Green Antony Antony Green The Impact of Ferny Grove on Forming Government in Queensland http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2015/02/the-impact-of-ferny-grove-on-forming-government-in-queensland.html Antony Green's Election Blog Australian Broadcasting Corporation 9 February 2015 5 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150205131721/http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2015/02/the-impact-of-ferny-grove-on-forming-government-in-queensland.html 5 February 2015 live Professor Graeme Orr, an electoral law expert at University of Queensland, labelled the prospect of the LNP maintaining a caretaker government until a possible by-election analogous to a "constitutional coup". Orr also reasoned that the law and facts were against a Ferny Grove by-election.Orr Graeme The Caretaker's Number is Up http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland-state-election-2015/opinion-the-caretakers-number-is-up/story-fnrab879-1227215169174 11 February 2015 The Electoral Commission of Queensland declared Ferny Grove had been won by the Labor candidate Mark Furner over LNP incumbent Dale Shuttleworth on 11 February, signalling that it would soon refer the matter to the Court of Disputed Returns.Robertson Joshua Queensland Labor one step closer to taking office, but court appeal looms https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2015/feb/11/queensland-labor-one-step-closer-to-taking-office-but-court-appeal-looms 11 February 2015 The Guardian Australia 11 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150211102119/http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2015/feb/11/queensland-labor-one-step-closer-to-taking-office-but-court-appeal-looms 11 February 2015 live Green analysed the Ferny Grove tally and concluded that Taverner did not have an effect on the outcome of the election. Specifically, Green concluded that at most, 353 of Taverner's ballot papers had exhausted. However, Furner would have still won even if all of those votes had gone to Shuttleworth had Taverner not been on the ballot. To Green's mind, this made it extremely difficult to argue that exhausted preferences alone would be enough to demand a by-election in Ferny Grove.Green Antony Antony Green Ferny Grove Preference Distribution Published http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2015/02/ferny-grove-preference-distribution-published.html Antony Green's Election Blog Australian Broadcasting Corporation 14 February 2015 12 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150212084229/http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2015/02/ferny-grove-preference-distribution-published.html 12 February 2015 live
On 13 February the Electoral Commission of Queensland stated that, based on legal advice, they would not be referring the Ferny Grove result to the Court of Disputed Returns. This formally cleared the way for a Labor minority government, and Governor Paul de Jersey invited Palaszczuk to form a government later that day. The LNP stated they were considering their legal options, with Springborg later releasing a statement where he "congratulate[d] incoming Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk and her government".Brennan Rose Wardill Steven Electoral commission declares final seats in Queensland election http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland-state-election-2015/electoral-commission-declares-final-seats-in-queensland-election/story-fnr8vuu5-1227218136563 14 February 2015 The Courier-Mail 13 February 2015Remeikis Amy Queensland Election 2015: A long, short road back to government http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/queensland-election-2015-a-long-short-road-back-to-government-20150213-13ei29.html 14 February 2015 Brisbane Times 14 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150214160919/http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/queensland-election-2015-a-long-short-road-back-to-government-20150213-13ei29.html 14 February 2015 live On 16 February the LNP announced it would not be challenging the Ferny Grove result.Vogler Sarah LNP decides against legal challenge to Ferny Grove election result http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland-state-election-2015/lnp-decides-against-legal-challenge-to-ferny-grove-election-result/story-fnr8vuu5-1227221391405 19 February 2015 The Courier-Mail 16 February 2015
Opinion polling
Primary vote opinion polling graph
Primary vote opinion poll in advance of the 2015 Queensland state election.chart Primary vote opinion poll in advance of the 2015 Queensland state election.tab 850px
Two-party preferred opinion polling graph
TPP opinion poll in advance of the 2015 Queensland state election.chart TPP opinion poll in advance of the 2015 Queensland state election.tab 850px
Voting intention
DateFirmPrimary vote2pp voteResolve Strategic Poll 2PP calculated based on preference flows at the 2022 Australian federal election by the Poll Bludger, Kevin Bonham and the Federal 2PP estimator made by Armarium Interreta.white Liberal National Party of Queensland LNPwhite Australian Labor Party ALPwhite Australian Greens GRNblack United Australia Party (2013) PUPwhite Katter's Australian Party KAPOTH Other (including independents)white Liberal National Party of Queensland LNPwhite Australian Labor Party ALP31 Jan 2015Election3 May 2025 Party Totals https://abc.net.au/news/elections/federal/2025/results/party-totals 2025-06-08 abc.net.au en-AU41.3%37.5%8.4%5.1%1.9%5.7%48.9%51.1%29 Jan 2015Essential29 January 2015 7 The Essential Report – Queensland State Election http://resources.news.com.au/files/2015/01/29/1227201/040369-aus-file-essential-report-qld.pdf dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150228141451/http://resources.news.com.au/files/2015/01/29/1227201/040369-aus-file-essential-report-qld.pdf 28 February 2015 29 January 2015 news.com.au39%38%7%5%2%9%50%50%29 Jan 2015NewspollIn the state election to be held this Saturday, while one of the following will you vote for? http://polling.newspoll.com.au/image_uploads/150124%20QLD%20Election%20-%20Final.pdf dead https://web.archive.org/web/20180629131550/http://polling.newspoll.com.au/image_uploads/150124%20QLD%20Election%20-%20Final.pdf 29 June 2018 10 April 2020 Newspoll & The Australian41%37%6%3%2%11%52%48%29 Jan 2015GalaxyBranco Jorge 31 January 2015 Queensland Election 2015: Early exit poll figures predict Labor win https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/queensland-election-2015-early-exit-poll-figures-predict-labor-win-20150131-132tuv.html live https://web.archive.org/web/20190930152439/https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/queensland-election-2015-early-exit-poll-figures-predict-labor-win-20150131-132tuv.html 30 September 2019 2019-09-30 Brisbane Times en38%39%10%5%2%10%46%54%20 Jan 2015ReachTEL21 January 2015 7 News – Queensland poll – 20 January 2015 https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-queensland-poll-20january2015 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150122063600/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-queensland-poll-20january2015 22 January 2015 25 January 2015 ReachTEL42%36.7%8.4%5.2%7.6%52%48%16–18 Jan 2015Roy Morgan22 January 2015 Queensland State Election too close to call with only a week to go but Mike Baird set to be re-elected Premier in NSW http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6023-sms-state-morgan-polls-nsw-vic-qld-wa-sa-tas-january-2015-201501220502 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150124110547/http://roymorgan.com/findings/6023-sms-state-morgan-polls-nsw-vic-qld-wa-sa-tas-january-2015-201501220502 24 January 2015 25 January 2015 Roy Morgan Research39.5%37%10%4%3.5%6%50.5%49.5%7–8 Jan 2015GalaxyGalaxy Polling – Queensland State Election – 7–9 January 2015 http://www.galaxyresearch.com.au/78-jan-2015/ live https://web.archive.org/web/20150228225752/http://www.galaxyresearch.com.au/78-jan-2015/ 28 February 2015 12 January 2015 Galaxy Research41%38%8%3%3%7%52%48%6–8 Jan 2015NewspollQueensland http://polling.newspoll.com.au/image_uploads/150122%20QLD%20Election%20-%20Survey%20One.pdf live https://web.archive.org/web/20160304025215/http://polling.newspoll.com.au/image_uploads/150122%20QLD%20Election%20-%20Survey%20One.pdf 4 March 2016 25 January 2015 Newspoll The Australian42%37%7%1%1%12%53%47%6 Jan 2015ReachTEL7 January 2015 7 News – Queensland poll – 6 January 2015 https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-queensland-poll-6january2015 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150114080623/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-queensland-poll-6january2015 14 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL40.3%38.1%7.6%6.3%7.7%50%50%28 Nov 2014ReachTEL39.2%37.3%7.9%6.5%9.1%49%51%21–24 Nov 2014Roy Morgan26 November 2014 Coalition well ahead in NSW but Queensland too close to call. Palmer United Party loses support in every State http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/5948-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-november-2014-201411260447 live https://web.archive.org/web/20141208054500/http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/5948-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-november-2014-201411260447 8 December 2014 11 January 2015 Roy Morgan Research39%36.5%9.5%4%3.5%7.5%50.5%49.5%18–19 Nov 2014Galaxy37%38%9%7%3%6%50%50%Oct–Dec 2014Newspoll37%36%10%1%KAPchoice KAP is not offered as a choice on Newspoll, individuals must nominate them, as such KAP is included as "Others".16%50%50%24–27 Oct 2014Roy Morgan28 October 2014 Coalition well ahead in NSW but Queensland too close to call http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/5898-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-october-2014-201410280412 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150215172059/http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/5898-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-october-2014-201410280412 15 February 2015 11 January 2015 Roy Morgan Research38.5%38%10%6%2%5.5%49.5%50.5%9 Oct 2014ReachTEL40.9%36.6%7.6%7.2%7.7%51%49%26–29 Sept 2014Roy Morgan1 October 2014 ALP in 'Box Seat' for Victorian State Election. Coalition still ahead in NSW & Queensland http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/5836-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-nsw-vic-qld-qa-sa-tas-201410010501 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150215171852/http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/5836-morgan-poll-state-voting-intention-nsw-vic-qld-qa-sa-tas-201410010501 15 February 2015 11 January 2015 Roy Morgan Research42%35.5%9%6.5%2.5%4.5%51%49%4 Sept 2014ReachTEL41.2%36%6%9.5%7.2%51%49%12–14 Aug 2014Galaxy39%36%7%12%3%3%52%48%Jul–Sep 2014Newspoll39%32%10%1%KAPchoice18%54%46%7 Aug 2014ReachTEL41%34.4%5.5%12.6%6.5%52%48%3 Jul 2014ReachTEL38.7%34.4%6.1%15.4%5.4%51%49%5 Jun 2014ReachTEL40.9%34.1%5.2%13.6%6.3%53%47%21–22 May 2014GalaxyHere Your Name 20 November 2014 18/19 Nov 2014: SUPPORT FOR LNP DROPS TO NEW LOW http://www.galaxyresearch.com.au/1819-nov-2014-2/ live https://web.archive.org/web/20150227181200/http://www.galaxyresearch.com.au/1819-nov-2014-2/ 27 February 2015 25 January 2015 Galaxy Research43%34%8%5%10%55%45%Apr–Jun 2014Newspoll32%34%8%2%KAPchoice24%49%51%2 Apr 2014ReachTEL4 April 2014 Working for Queenslanders – Queensland state poll – 2nd April 2014 https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/working-for-queenslanders-queensland-poll-2april2014 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150115113208/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/working-for-queenslanders-queensland-poll-2april2014 15 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL39.1%35.1%7.3%8.0%3.3%3.0%——Jan–Mar 2014Newspoll40%36%8%1%KAPchoice15%52%48%Oct–Dec 2013Newspoll40%32%8%2%KAPchoice18%55%45%10 Jul 2013ReachTEL11 July 2013 Queensland poll – July 2013 https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/queensland-state-poll-july2013 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150115150516/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/queensland-state-poll-july2013 15 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL43.3%37.0%5.1%4.5%5.7%4.4%——23 May 2013ReachTEL26 May 2013 7 News – Queensland poll – May 2013 https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-brisbane-queensland-state-poll-may-2013 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150115151127/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-brisbane-queensland-state-poll-may-2013 15 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL44.6%28.2%9.0%10.4%7.8%——Apr–Jun 2013Newspoll44%29%10%3%KAPchoice14%59%41%19 Apr 2013ReachTEL24 April 2013 Do Queenslanders give a Gonski? https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-brisbane-queensland-state-poll-april-2013 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150115151233/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/7-news-brisbane-queensland-state-poll-april-2013 15 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL45.1%29.2%7.7%12.7%5.4%——23 Mar – 2 Apr 2013ReachTEL10 April 2013 Largest scientific political poll in Australian history https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/largest-political-poll-in-australian-history live https://web.archive.org/web/20150115151501/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/largest-political-poll-in-australian-history 15 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL45.8%30.4%8.2%9.9%5.6%——20 Mar 2013ReachTEL21 March 2013 Newman maintains lead in Queensland https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/newman-maintains-lead-in-queensland live https://web.archive.org/web/20150115151529/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/newman-maintains-lead-in-queensland 15 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL47.8%30.2%8.0%10.1%3.9%——22 Feb 2013ReachTEL24 February 2013 Sharp increase for LNP support in Queensland https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/sharp-increase-for-lnp-in-queensland dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150121064348/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/sharp-increase-for-lnp-in-queensland 21 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL47.1%28.9%7.9%11.5%4.5%——Jan–Mar 2013Newspoll49%27%6%3%KAPchoice15%62%38%18 Jan 2013ReachTEL20 January 2013 Queensland Labor support higher to start 2013 https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/queensland-labor-support-higher-to-start-2013 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150121064421/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/queensland-labor-support-higher-to-start-2013 21 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL42.5%34.9%8.4%10.5%3.6%——14 Dec 2012ReachTEL16 December 2012 Queensland LNP performance causing Federal issues https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/queensland-lnp-performance-causing-federal-issues dead https://web.archive.org/web/20130115030957/http://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/queensland-lnp-performance-causing-federal-issues 15 January 2013 11 January 2015 ReachTEL41.9%32.1%8.2%12.1%5.7%——23 Nov 2012ReachTEL25 November 2012 LNP vote slumps further in Queensland https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/lnp-vote-slumps-further-in-queensland dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150121095628/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/lnp-vote-slumps-further-in-queensland 21 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL42%34.2%9.5%8.9%5.4%——Oct–Dec 2012Newspoll42%31%8%4%KAPchoice15%56%44%12 Oct 2012ReachTEL14 October 2012 No support for asset sales in Queensland https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/lnp-poll-after-asset-sales dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150121095758/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/lnp-poll-after-asset-sales 21 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL44.6%30.5%7.5%11%6.4%——14 Sept 2012ReachTEL16 September 2012 LNP support unchanged in QLD after a difficult month https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/lnp-support-unchanged-after-difficult-month dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150121095828/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/lnp-support-unchanged-after-difficult-month 21 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL44.7%34.7%7%9.4%4.1%——17 Aug 2012ReachTEL21 August 2012 Newman cops battering in State poll – Nine News Brisbane https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/newman-cops-battering-in-state-poll dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150121100001/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/newman-cops-battering-in-state-poll 21 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL44.2%31.6%9.2%9.6%5.4%——10/11 Jul & 7/8, 14/15 Aug 2012Roy Morgan17 August 2012 L-NP Lead in Four Major States http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/finding-4811-201302122325 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150215171630/http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/finding-4811-201302122325 15 February 2015 11 January 2015 Roy Morgan Research51%27.5%7.5%5%9%59%41%2 Jul 2012ReachTEL3 July 2012 Campbell Newman's first 100 days – LNP increases lead over Labor https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/campbell-newman-first-100-days-increases-lead dead https://web.archive.org/web/20150121100130/https://www.reachtel.com.au/blog/campbell-newman-first-100-days-increases-lead 21 January 2015 11 January 2015 ReachTEL56.5%21.8%9.4%7.4%4.8%——Jul–Sep 2012Newspoll48%30%9%1%KAPchoice12%60%40%5/6 & 12/13 June 2012Roy Morgan16 June 2012 MORGAN POLL STATE VOTING INTENTION L-NP LEADS IN AUSTRALIA'S BIGGEST STATES: NSW: L-NP (61%) CF. ALP (39%); VICTORIA: L-NP (52%) CF. ALP (48%) & QUEENSLAND: LNP (62%) CF. ALP (38%) http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/finding-4793-201302130004 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150215171723/http://www.roymorgan.com.au/findings/finding-4793-201302130004 15 February 2015 11 January 2015 Roy Morgan Research54.5%28%7.5%3.5%6.5%62%38% 28 Mar 2012 Annastacia Palaszczuk elected as Leader of the Labor Party 24 Mar 2012Election49.7%26.7%7.5%—11.5%4.6%62.8%37.2%20–22 Mar 2012Newspoll50%28%6%KAPchoice16%60.8%39.2%20–21 Mar 2012Roy Morgan51%28%7.5%8.5%5%62%38%
Better Premier
Better premier opinion poll in advance of the 2015 Queensland state election.chart Better premier opinion poll in advance of the 2015 Queensland state election.tab 650px
Approval ratings
pproval ratings in advance of the 2015 Queensland state election.chart pproval ratings in advance of the 2015 Queensland state election.tab 650px
+ Better Premier and satisfaction polling*DateFirmBetter PremierNewmanPalaszczuk Newman PalaszczukSatisfiedDissatisfiedSatisfiedDissatisfied 27–29 Jan 2015 Newspoll43% 42%35%58%38%40% 16–18 Jan 2015 Roy Morgan 48.5%51.5% not asked 6–8 Jan 2015 Newspoll42% 38%41%51%38%38% 21–24 Nov 2014 Roy Morgan 47.5%52.5% not asked Oct–Dec 2014 Newspoll44% 35%38%51%38%34% 24–27 Oct 2014 Roy Morgan 47.5%52.5% not asked 26–29 Sept 2014 Roy Morgan50%50% not asked Jul–Sep 2014 Newspoll41% 35%35%54%36%36% Apr–Jun 2014 Newspoll39% 35%33%57%35%37% Jan–Mar 2014 Newspoll41% 35%36%54%38%30%Oct–Dec 2013 Newspoll45% 32%40%48%36%31% Apr–Jun 2013 Newspoll49% 26%41%46%34%33%Jan–Mar 2013 Newspoll53% 21%43%45%33%33% Oct–Dec 2012 Newspoll45% 29%38%48%34%30% 10/11 Jul & 7/8, 14/15 Aug 2012 Roy Morgan62.5% 20.5%51%36%33%28.5% Jul–Sep 2012 Newspoll55% 21%47%38%29%30% 5/6 & 12/13 June 2012 Roy Morgan67.5% 16%53%26.5%26.5%21% 28 March 2012 Palaszczuk replaces BlighNewmanBlighNewmanBligh24 Mar 2012 election––––––20–22 Mar 2012 Newspoll51% 36%47%40%36%58% 20–21 Mar 2012 Roy Morgan22 March 2012 The LNP Looks Set to Easily Win Saturday's Queensland State Election with Former Brisbane Lord Mayor Campbell Newman Elected Premier http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/finding-4756-201302130055 live https://web.archive.org/web/20150411053809/http://roymorgan.com/findings/finding-4756-201302130055 11 April 2015 11 January 2015 Roy Morgan Research48% 35%53%34.5%38.5%53.5%* Remainder were "uncommitted" or "other/neither".Newspoll polling is published in The Australian and sourced from here
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of around 1100–1200 electors. The declared margin of error is ±3 percentage points.
Opinion polling for the 2015 Queensland state election
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of around 1100–1200 electors. The declared margin of error is ±3 percentage points.
See also
Queensland Politics
Candidates of the 2015 Queensland state election
Members of the Queensland Legislative Assembly, 2015–2018
Politics of Queensland
Notes
References
30em
External links
2015 State General Election – Electoral Commission Queensland
2015 Queensland election – Antony Green ABC and archived version
Peter Fischmann 2015 Queensland State Election Photographs and Moving Images 2015, State Library of Queensland
Hamish Cairns 2015 Queensland State Election Photographs January 2015, State Library of Queensland
Category:Elections in Queensland
Category:2015 elections in Australia
Category:2015 in Queensland
Category:January 2015 in Australia
Category:Pauline Hanson