2003 Castilian-Manchegan regional election

Election in the Spanish region of Castilla–La Mancha 2003 Castilian-Manchegan regional election Castilla–La Mancha parliamentary no 1999 Castilian-Manchegan regional election 1999 2007 Castilian-Manchegan regional election 2007 All 47 seats in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha 24 #Opinion polls 1,448,289 10px 2.5% 1,104,118 (76.2%)10px 1.3 pp 25 May 2003 170x170px José Bono Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 25 March 1983 Toledo 26 seats, 53.4% 29 10px 3 634,132 57.8% 10px 4.4 pp 170x170px Adolfo Suárez Illana People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 26 May 2002 Albacete 21 seats, 40.4% 18 10px 3 402,047 36.7% 10px 3.7 pp CastillaLaManchaProvinceMapCortes2003.svg 300px Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha President José Bono Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha José Bono Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha A regional election was held in Castilla–La Mancha on 25 May 2003 to elect the 6th es Cortes no of the autonomous community. All 47 seats in the es Cortes no were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain. The election was won again by the ruling Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which obtained its best historical result and the largest overall majority ever in the region, with nearly 58% of the share and over 3/5 of the seats. It became, at the time, the largest vote share obtained by any party in a regional election in Spain;http://elpais.com/elpais/2003/05/26/actualidad/1053937020_850215.html Bono strengthens his stronghold and highlights the absence of the Iraq war in his campaign es El País 2003-05-26 a record which would be exceeded by the PP results in Murcia in 2007 and 2011. The opposition People's Party (PP), despite naming former Spanish Prime Minister Adolfo Suárez' son, Adolfo Suárez Illana, as its presidential candidate, continued its decline in the region and obtained its worst election result since 1987, with only 18 seats. As a result, José Bono was elected for his sixth and last term in office, which he would not complete. He would resign in 2004 after being appointed Minister of Defence in José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero's Cabinet, as a result of the PSOE winning the 2004 general election. Bono would be succeeded as regional premier by his deputy since 1999, José María Barreda. Overview Electoral system The Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Manchegan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Junta of Communities.Statute of Autonomy of Castilla–La Mancha of 1982 Organic Law 9 Official State Gazette es 10 August 1982 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-20820&tn=1&p=20020702 15 September 2017 Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castilla–La Mancha and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 47 members of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent, depending on the district magnitude.Gallagher Michael 30 July 2012 http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php dead 30 July 2017 Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College, Dublin 22 July 2017 Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Albacete, Ciudad Real, Cuenca, Guadalajara and Toledo. Each constituency was allocated a fixed number of seats: 10 for Albacete, 11 for Ciudad Real, 8 for Cuenca, 7 for Guadalajara and 11 for Toledo.Castilla–La Mancha Electoral Law of 1986 Law 5 Official Journal of Castilla–La Mancha es 23 December 1986 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1987-2164&tn=1&p=20030319 15 September 2017 The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985 Organic Law 5 Official State Gazette es 19 June 1985 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20030311 28 December 2016http://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/LOREG_ENG Representation of the people Institutional Act www.juntaelectoralcentral.es Central Electoral Commission 16 June 2017 Election date The term of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 13 June 1999, setting the election date for the Cortes on 25 May 2003. The President of the Junta of Communities had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected lawmakers serving the remainder of its original four-year term. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected. Opinion polls The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 24 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha. Color key: #EAFFEA Exit poll 1px solid #AAAAAA Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 25px|link=Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PSOE 33px|link=People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PP 27px|link=United Left (Spain)|IU Lead 2003 regional election 25 May 2003 76.3 57.875% Verdana 29 36.775% Verdana 18 3.075% Verdana 0 21.1 Sigma Dos/Antena 3El sondeo de Sigma Dos determina una lucha codo a codo entre populares y socialistas en Madrid http://sevilla.abc.es/hemeroteca/historico-25-05-2003/sevilla/Ultima/el-sondeo-de-sigma-dos-determina-una-lucha-codo-a-codo-entre-populares-y-socialistas-en-madrid_158365.html es ABC 25 May 2003 19 May 2019 https://web.archive.org/web/20190525154445/https://sevilla.abc.es/hemeroteca/historico-25-05-2003/sevilla/Ultima/el-sondeo-de-sigma-dos-determina-una-lucha-codo-a-codo-entre-populares-y-socialistas-en-madrid_158365.html 25 May 2019 dead 25 May 2003???75% Verdana 26/29?75% Verdana 18/21 –? Ipsos–Eco/RTVESondeo a pie de urna de Ipsos Eco Consulting para TVE http://sevilla.abc.es/hemeroteca/historico-25-05-2003/sevilla/Ultima/sondeo-a-pie-de-urna-de-ipsos-eco-consulting-para-tve_158366.html es ABC 25 May 2003 5 January 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20171207192640/http://sevilla.abc.es/hemeroteca/historico-25-05-2003/sevilla/Ultima/sondeo-a-pie-de-urna-de-ipsos-eco-consulting-para-tve_158366.html 7 December 2017 dead 25 May 2003???75% Verdana 28/30?75% Verdana 17/19 –? CISPreelectoral elecciones municipales y autonómicas, 2003. CA de Castilla–La Mancha (Estudio nº 2489. Marzo-Abril 2003) http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/2480_2499/2489/Es2489mar.pdf es CIS 17 May 2003La guerra pasa factura electoral al PP http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2003/05/18/pagina-23/34011233/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 18 May 2003 22 Mar–28 Apr 2003 2,343 79.4 57.475% Verdana 30 35.475% Verdana 17 4.275% Verdana 0 22.0 Synovate/JCCMSi hoy se celebraran elecciones Bono ganaría por una diferencia de 22,5 puntos http://www.castillalamancha.es/actualidad/notasdeprensa/el-816-de-los-castellano-manchegos-aprueban-la-gesti%C3%B3n-de-jos%C3%A9-bono-como-presidente-del-gobierno es JCCM 28 April 2003ABC Hemeroteca http://www.abc.es/hemeroteca/synovate/pagina-2 es ABC 28 April 2003 25–31 Mar 2003 4,600? 52.4 29.9 – 22.5 CISInstituciones y autonomías, II. CA de Castilla–La Mancha (Estudio nº 2455. Septiembre-Octubre 2002) http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/2440_2459/2455/e245570.html es CIS 19 November 2002El PP, partido más votado en diez Comunidades Autónomas http://estaticos.elmundo.es/elmundo/2002/graficos/nov/s3/cis1.pdf es El Mundo 19 November 2002El CIS confirma que José Bono ampliaría su mayoría si hoy se celebraran elecciones http://www.castillalamancha.es/actualidad/notasdeprensa/el-gobierno-de-castilla-la-mancha-es-el-m%C3%A1s-valorado-por-sus-ciudadanos es JCCM 19 November 2002El PP ganaría las autonómicas en diez Comunidades y el PSOE en cuatro, según el CIS http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2002/11/20/016.html es ABC 20 November 2002 9 Sep–9 Oct 2002 536 79.5 54.6 39.6 3.2 15.0 Inner Social DynamicsLas encuestas irrumpen en la incipiente batalla electoral de Castilla–La Mancha http://www.abc.es/hemeroteca/historico-29-10-2002/abc/Toledo/las-encuestas-irrumpen-en-la-incipiente-batalla-electoral-de-castilla-la-mancha_139652.html es ABC 29 October 2002José Bono ampliaría su mayoría absoluta en la región http://www.lacerca.com/noticias/castilla_la_mancha/jose_bono_mayoria_absoluta-13563-1.html es La Cerca 1 November 2002 18–30 Sep 2002 2,009? 58.175% Verdana 28 37.875% Verdana 19 3.775% Verdana 0 20.3 Inner Social DynamicsBono ampliará su mayoría absoluta en Castilla–La Mancha, según Localia TV https://elpais.com/diario/2002/06/26/espana/1025042416_850215.html es El País 26 June 2002Habla, pueblo, habla http://www.lavozdetalavera.com/noticia/724/A-Viva-Voz/Habla-pueblo-habla.html es La Voz de Talavera 26 June 2002 10–13 Jun 2002 803? 55.575% Verdana 27 40.075% Verdana 20 3.075% Verdana 0 15.5 Sigma Dos/El MundoBono supera en más de 15 puntos al PP en Castilla–La Mancha http://www.elmundo.es/papel/2002/03/28/espana/index.html es El Mundo 28 March 2002Conde quita credibilidad a la encuesta que da una ventaja de 15 puntos al PSOE http://www.abc.es/hemeroteca/historico-31-03-2002/abc/Toledo/conde-quita-credibilidad-a-la-encuesta-que-da-una-ventaja-de-15-puntos-al-psoe_88547.html es ABC 31 March 2002 28 Mar 2002?? 54.5 39.4 – 15.1 Inner Social DynamicsEl Ejecutivo regional superaría en 20 puntos al PP si se celebraran elecciones autonómicas en este momento http://www.castillalamancha.es/actualidad/notasdeprensa/seg%C3%BAn-una-encuesta-realizada-por-inner-social-dynamics-el-722-de-los-castellano-manchegos-aprueban es JCCM 19 October 2001 19 Oct 2001?? 57.5 38.9 – 18.6 2000 general election 12 Mar 2000 76.3 40.875% Verdana (20) 52.475% Verdana (27) 4.375% Verdana (0) 11.6 1999 regional election 13 Jun 1999 74.9 53.475% Verdana 26 40.475% Verdana 21 3.475% Verdana 0 13.0 Results Overall + ← Summary of the 25 May 2003 Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results → center|325px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 634,132 57.83 +4.41 29 +3 People's Party (PP) 402,047 36.66 −3.74 18 −3 United Left–Left of Castilla–La Mancha (IU–ICAM) 33,413 3.05 −0.36 0 ±0 Commoners' Land–Castilian Nationalist Party (TC–PNC) 2,187 0.20 +0.03 0 ±0 The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV) 1,684 0.15 +0.05 0 ±0 Independents for Cuenca (ixC) 1,658 0.15 New 0 ±0 Castilian Unity (UdCa) 1,344 0.12 New 0 ±0 Family and Life Party (PFyV) 866 0.08 New 0 ±0 National Democracy (DN) 802 0.07 New 0 ±0 Castilian Left (IzCa) 621 0.06 New 0 ±0 Independent Regional Unity (URI) 580 0.05 −0.01 0 ±0 Regionalist Party of Guadalajara (PRGU) 517 0.05 ±0.00 0 ±0 Spanish Democratic Party (PADE) 498 0.05 −0.05 0 ±0 Humanist Party (PH) 492 0.04 −0.05 0 ±0 The Phalanx (FE) 472 0.04 New 0 ±0 Republican Left (IR) 467 0.04 New 0 ±0 Authentic Phalanx (FA) 250 0.02 New 0 ±0 Blank ballots 14,554 1.33 −0.09 Total 1,096,584 47 ±0 Valid votes 1,096,584 99.32 ±0.00 Invalid votes 7,534 0.68 ±0.00 Votes cast / turnout 1,104,118 76.24 +1.39 Abstentions 344,171 23.76 −1.39 Registered voters 1,448,289 Sourceshttp://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/CASTILLA_LA_MANCHA_2003_ResultadosyElectos.pdf Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results, 25 May 2003 13 June 2003 es www.juntaelectoralcentral.es Electoral Commission of Castilla–La Mancha 29 September 2017https://www.cortesclm.es/web2/paginas/elecciones/eleccionVI.php VI Legislature. Regional election, 25 May 2003 es www.cortesclm.es Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha 29 September 2017http://www.historiaelectoral.com/acmancha.html Elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla - La Mancha (1983 - 2019) es Historia Electoral.com 29 September 2017 Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px PSOE Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 57.83 PP People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 36.66 IU–ICAM United Left (Spain) 3.05 Others #777777 1.13 Blank ballots #DDDDDD 1.33 Seats #ddd 550px 500px PSOE Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 61.70 PP People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 38.30 Distribution by constituency Constituency PSOE PP % S % S Albacete 58.0 6 36.4 4 Ciudad Real 60.4 7 34.6 4 Cuenca 54.0 5 40.7 3 Guadalajara 52.4 4 39.4 3 Toledo 58.8 7 36.1 4 Total 57.8 29 36.7 18 Sources Aftermath Government formation InvestitureJosé Bono (PSOE) Ballot → 26 June 2003 Required majority → 24 out of 47 15 Yes • PSOE (29) 29 47 green 125px No • PP (18) 18 47 red 125px Abstentions 0 47 gray 125px Absentees 0 47 black 125px Sources 2004 investiture InvestitureJosé María Barreda (PSOE) Ballot → 27 April 2004 Required majority → 24 out of 47 15 Yes • PSOE (29) 29 47 green 125px No • PP (18) 18 47 red 125px Abstentions 0 47 gray 125px Absentees 0 47 black 125px Sources References Opinion poll sources "p" Other Category:2003 in Castilla–La Mancha Castilla-La Mancha Category:Regional elections in Castilla–La Mancha Category:May 2003 in Spain