2004 United States presidential election in Arizona

none June 2025 September 2023 2004 United States presidential election in Arizona Arizona presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Arizona 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Arizona 2008 November 2, 2004 76.3% (of registered voters) 49.6% (of voting age population) x200px George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 10 1,104,294 54.77% John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 0 893,524 44.32% 250px County results 250px Congressional district results Bush #e27f90 50–60% #cc2f4a 60–70% Kerry #86b6f2 50–60% #4389e3 60–70% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) 2004 United States presidential election The 2004 United States presidential election in Arizona took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 10 representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Arizona was won by incumbent George W. Bush by 10.5%. Prior to the election, 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a likely red state. Neither major party tickets campaigned here in the fall election. Arizona hosted the third presidential debate on October 13, 2004, in the city of Tempe. 2024 11 As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time Arizona was won by a double-digit margin of victory. This was the first election in which any candidate won more than a million votes as well as in which Maricopa County cast more than a million ballots. Primaries 2004 Arizona Democratic primary Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm Archived copy dcpoliticalreport.com 17 January 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm 21 November 2010 usurped +SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportSolid RAssociated PressLean RCNNLikely RCook Political ReportLikely RNewsweekSolid RNew York TimesLean RRasmussen ReportsLikely RResearch 2000Solid RWashington PostLikely RWashington TimesLean RZogby InternationalLikely RWashington DispatchLikely R Polling Statewide opinion polling for the 2004 United States presidential election#Arizona Statewide opinion polling for the 2004 United States presidential election: Arizona Throughout several polls taken in the state in 2004, just one showed Kerry leading. The final 3 pre-election polls showed that Bush was leading with 51% to Kerry's 43%.http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=4 Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections https://archive.today/20120720123655/http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=4 20 July 2012 dead Fundraising Bush raised $3,196,692.https://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush – $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Campaignmoney.com 2015-05-31 Kerry raised $1,525,930.https://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry – $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President Campaignmoney.com 2015-05-31 Advertising and visits Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ Specials Cnn.com 2015-05-31http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html Specials Cnn.com 2015-05-31 Analysis The exit polls showed that Bush was going to be the clear winner of the state, based on the fact that Bush won among both genders. A major key factor was how 55% of the people thought the state economy was good, and 70% of those people voted for Bush. Also, 55% of the state approved of Bush.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/AZ/P/00/epolls.0.html Election 2004 Cnn.com 1970-04-13 2015-05-31 The key to Bush's victory was winning the highly populated Maricopa County with almost 57%. However, Kerry did win portions of the state such as Arizona's 4th congressional district and Arizona's 7th congressional district and 4 counties. 50% of the voting age population came out to vote. Results 2004 United States presidential election in Arizonahttp://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/AZ/ Election 2004 Cnn.com 1970-04-13 2015-05-31http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf Official General Election Results for US president (2004) 2009-07-17 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20090513011625/http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf 2009-05-13 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?f=0&year=2004&fips=4 2004 Presidential General Election Results – Arizona PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 1,104,294 54.77% 10 Democratic John Kerry 893,524 44.32% 0 Libertarian Michael Badnarik 11,856 0.59% 0 Write In Write-in candidate 3,517 0.17% 0 Write In Ralph Nader 2,773 0.14% 0 Write In David Cobb 138 0.01% 0 Totals 2,012,585 100.00% 10 Voter turnout (voting age) 49.6% By county County George W. BushRepublican John KerryDemocratic Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # %Apache 8,384 34.65% 15,658 64.71% 156 0.64% −7,274 −30.06% 24,198Cochise 26,556 59.55% 17,514 39.27% 525 1.18% 9,042 20.28% 44,595Coconino 22,526 43.00% 29,243 55.82% 622 1.18% −6,717 −12.82% 52,391Gila 12,343 59.12% 8,314 39.82% 220 1.06% 4,029 19.30% 20,877Graham 7,467 69.65% 3,185 29.71% 68 0.64% 4,282 39.94% 10,720Greenlee 1,899 61.92% 1,146 37.37% 22 0.71% 753 24.55% 3,067La Paz 3,158 62.42% 1,849 36.55% 52 1.03% 1,309 25.87% 5,059Maricopa 679,455 56.86% 504,849 42.25% 10,657 0.89% 174,606 14.61% 1,194,961Mohave 36,794 63.53% 20,503 35.40% 618 1.07% 16,291 28.13% 57,915Navajo 17,277 53.32% 14,815 45.72% 312 0.96% 2,462 7.60% 32,404Pima 171,109 46.56% 193,128 52.55% 3,255 0.89% −22,019 −5.99% 367,492Pinal 37,006 57.27% 27,252 42.17% 364 0.56% 9,754 15.10% 64,622Santa Cruz 4,668 39.93% 6,909 59.11% 112 0.96% −2,241 −19.18% 11,689Yavapai 53,468 61.05% 33,127 37.82% 988 1.13% 20,341 23.23% 87,583Yuma 22,184 57.58% 16,032 41.61% 313 0.81% 6,152 15.97% 38,529Totals1,104,29454.77%893,52444.32%18,2840.91%210,77010.45%2,016,102 right 220px Swing by county 220px Trend relative to the state by county Legend #d40000 Republican — >15% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5−15% #ff2a2a Republican — +10−12.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5−10% #ff8080 Republican — +5−7.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5−5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0−2.5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0−2.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5−5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5−7.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #09ceff Democratic — +10−12.5% #00bdec Democratic — +12.5−15% #00a1c8 Democratic — >15% By congressional district Bush won six of eight congressional districts.https://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000–2008 December 15, 2008 Swingstateproject.com 2015-05-31 District Bush Kerry RepresentativeArizona 1 1st 54% 46%Rick RenziArizona 2 2nd 61% 38%Trent FranksArizona 3 3rd 58% 41%John ShadeggArizona 4 4th 38% 62%Ed PastorArizona 5 5th 54% 45%J. D. HayworthArizona 6 6th 64% 35%Jeff FlakeArizona 7 7th 43% 57%Raul GrijalvaArizona 8 8th 53% 46%Jim Kolbe Electors List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of Arizona cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Arizona is allocated 10 electors because it has 8 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 10 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 10 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from this state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.http://www.gov.state.ak.us/ltgov/elections/forms/2004electorslist.pdf Archived copy 2009-06-27 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20080514210900/http://www.gov.state.ak.us/ltgov/elections/forms/2004electorslist.pdf 2008-05-14 Linda Barber Malcolm Barrett Jim Click Cynthia J. Collins Webb Crockett Elizabeth Wilkinson Fannin Ross Farnsworth Ira A. Fulton Bernice C. Roberts Phillip Townsend Notes References Arizona 2004 Category:2004 Arizona elections