2009 Basque regional election

Election in the Spanish region of the Basque Country 2009 Basque regional election Basque Country parliamentary no 2005 Basque regional election 2005 2012 Basque regional election 2012 All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament 38 #Opinion polls 1,776,059 10px 1.3% 1,148,697 (64.7%)10px 3.3 pp 1 March 2009 170x170px Juan José Ibarretxe Basque Nationalist Party 31 January 1998 Álava 22 seats(PNV–EA)"PNV–EA" Within the PNV–EA alliance in the 2005 election: EAJ/PNV (22 seats) and EA (7 seats). 30 10px 8 399,600 38.1% n/a 170x170px Patxi López PSE–EE (PSOE) 23 March 2002 Biscay 18 seats, 22.5% 25 10px 7 318,112 30.4% 10px 7.9 pp 170x170px Antonio Basagoiti People's Party of the Basque Country 12 July 2008 Biscay 15 seats, 17.3% 13 10px 2 146,148 13.9% 10px 3.4 pp 170x170px Aintzane Ezenarro Aralar (Basque political party) 14 November 2004 Guipúzcoa 1 seat, 2.3% 4 10px 3 62,514 6.0% 10px 3.7 pp 170x170px Unai Ziarreta Eusko Alkartasuna 16 December 2007 Biscay (lost) 7 seats(PNV–EA)"PNV–EA" 1 10px 6 38,198 3.6% n/a 170x170px Javier Madrazo United Left–Greens 14 May 1994 Biscay (lost) 3 seats, 5.3% 1 10px 2 36,373 3.5% 10px 1.8 pp x250px Vote winner strength by constituency x300px Election results by constituency Lehendakari Lehendakari after election Juan José Ibarretxe Basque Nationalist Party Patxi López PSE–EE (PSOE) A regional election was held in the Basque Country on 1 March 2009 to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with a regional election in Galicia. It would be the first time that the elections for two of the Spanish "historical regions"—namely, those comprising Andalusia, Catalonia, Galicia and the Basque Country itself—were held simultaneously.3 January 2009 Ibarretxe solapa las elecciones vascas con las gallegas para debilitar a sus rivales https://elpais.com/diario/2009/01/03/espana/1230937201_850215.html es El País 14 February 2020 This would evolve into an unwritten convention in subsequent years, with Basque and Galician elections being held concurrently in 2012, 2016 and 2020.10 February 2020 Feijóo lanza un adelanto electoral de alto riesgo frente a un PSOE fortalecido desde la Moncloa https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20200210/473424151270/feijoo-reune-gobierno-elecciones-galicia.html es La Vanguardia 14 February 2020 The 2009 Basque election was the first one to be held without any major electoral candidacy from the abertzale left, after their previous iterations—the Communist Party of the Basque Homelands (PCTV/EHAK) and Basque Nationalist Action (ANV)—had been outlawed in September 2008 because of their reported ties to ETA and the outlawed Batasuna party.16 September 2008 El Supremo ilegaliza ANV y acuerda su disolución https://elpais.com/elpais/2008/09/16/actualidad/1221553022_850215.html es El País 12 February 202018 September 2008 El Tribunal Supremo acuerda la ilegalización del EHAK-PCTV https://cadenaser.com/ser/2008/09/18/espana/1221695423_850215.html es Cadena SER 12 February 2020 In early February 2009, two political groupings formed by abertzale left members to contest the election, Demokrazia Hiru Milioi (D3M) and Askatasuna ("Freedom"),25 January 2009 La plataforma abertzale D3M presenta sus candidaturas a las elecciones vascas http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20090125/plataforma-abertzale-d3m-presenta-candidaturas-elecciones-vascas/224587.shtml es RTVE 12 February 2020 were barred from contesting the election by both the Supreme Court and the Constitutional Court.8 February 2009 El Tribunal Supremo anula las listas de Askatasuna y D3M https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2009/02/08/espana/1234131653.html es El Mundo 12 February 202013 February 2009 El Tribunal Constitucional confirma la anulación de las listas de Askatasuna y D3M https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2009/02/13/espana/1234479867.html es El Mundo 12 February 202022 May 2009 Los partidos y marcas de la izquierda abertzale ilegalizadas y la fecha en la que dictó la resolución el TC https://www.publico.es/actualidad/partidos-y-marcas-izquierda-abertzale.html es Público 12 February 2020 In response, the abertzale left asked their voters to cast invalid ballots, both in protest to the court rulings and seeking to prevent tactical voting in favour of either Lehendakari Juan José Ibarretxe's Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) or Eusko Alkartasuna (EA).14 February 2009 La izquierda 'abertzale' votará nulo https://elpais.com/diario/2009/02/14/espana/1234566014_850215.html es El País 12 February 2020 The election resulted in an upset, as Basque nationalist parties lost their parliamentary majority for the first time in 30 years,2 March 2009 Vuelco electoral histórico en Galicia y en el País Vasco https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2009/03/02/espana/1235979423.html es El Mundo 13 February 20201 March 2009 El PNV gana pero los nacionalistas pierden la mayoría https://elpais.com/elpais/2009/03/01/actualidad/1235899019_850215.html es El País 13 February 20202 March 2009 El Parlamento vasco tendrá, por primera vez en tres décadas, mayoría no nacionalista http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20090302/parlamento-vasco-tendra-primera-vez-tres-decadas-mayoria-no-nacionalista/240946.shtml es RTVE 13 February 2020 paving the way for a non-PNV led government. The Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE) under Patxi López gained seven seats to command a 25-strong caucus, the best historical showing of the party in a Basque regional election. The People's Party (PP), which had switched leaders less than a year before the election as former leader María San Gil quit over disagreements with the national leadership of Mariano Rajoy,22 May 2008 San Gil dimite como líder del PP vasco https://elpais.com/diario/2008/05/22/espana/1211407213_850215.html es El País 13 February 2020 had a net loss of two seats from 2005. The new Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) party, founded in 2007 by former PSOE member and regional minister Rosa Díez was able to achieve a breakthrough in Álava and have its regional candidate Gorka Maneiro elected. Meanwhile, PNV's previous coalition partners, Eusko Alkartasuna (EA) and Ezker Batua (EB), suffered a harsh electoral downturn with both their leaders losing their seats and resigning in the aftermath of the election.2 March 2009 Ziarreta pierde su escaño y cae fulminado tras el gran desastre de EA https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/02/paisvasco/1236026407_850215.html es El País 13 February 20202 March 2009 El descalabro de Ezker Batua se cobra el escaño de Madrazo https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2009/03/02/paisvasco/1235982444.html es El Mundo 13 February 2020 The PSE formed a minority government with López as the first non-PNV lehendakari since 1979 through a confidence and supply agreement with the PP.12 March 2009 El PP entrega a Patxi López su apoyo para que presida el Gobierno vasco https://www.elconfidencial.com/espana/2009-03-12/el-pp-entrega-a-patxi-lopez-su-apoyo-para-que-presida-el-gobierno-vasco_210359/ es El Confidencial 9 February 202030 March 2009 El pacto del PSE-PP garantiza cuatro años de gobierno de Patxi López https://elpais.com/elpais/2009/03/30/actualidad/1238401027_850215.html es El País 9 February 2020 While both parties had established an uneasy alliance in the Basque Country since the late 1990s despite their overall national rivalry, this would constitute the most relevant agreement reached between both parties at any level of administration.26 March 2009 Historia de los pactos del PSE y el PP: Juntos, pero no revueltos http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20090326/historia-pactos-del-pse-pp-juntos-pero-no-revueltos/254409.shtml es RTVE 13 February 2020 Background The Ibarretxe Plan, a major proposal by Lehendakari Juan José Ibarretxe to reform the 1979 Basque Statute of Autonomy and turn the region into an associated state to Spain as a way to ending the ongoing conflict with the paramilitary ETA group, was brought to a standstill following its parliamentary defeat in a vote in the Congress of Deputies on 1 February 2005 and the subsequent electoral setback of Ibarretxe's coalition in the April 2005 regional election.1 February 2005 El Congreso rechaza de manera rotunda el 'plan Ibarretxe' https://cadenaser.com/ser/2005/02/01/espana/1107219022_850215.html es Cadena SER 13 February 202018 April 2005 Ibarretxe pierde cuatro escaños y su plan soberanista queda condenado al fracaso https://elpais.com/diario/2005/04/18/portada/1113775204_850215.html es El País 13 February 202018 April 2005 El fracaso del 'plan Ibarretxe' https://cincodias.elpais.com/cincodias/2005/04/18/economia/1113936947_850215.html es Cinco Días 13 February 2020 On 22 March 2006, ETA declared a "permanent ceasefire" to allow for a peace process to ensue with the Spanish government under then-Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero,22 March 2006 ETA declara un alto el fuego permanente https://elpais.com/elpais/2006/03/22/actualidad/1143019019_850215.html es El País 13 February 2020 but peace talks terminated as a result of the 2006 Madrid–Barajas Airport bombing on 30 December.2 January 2007 Reacciones al atentado de ETA contra la T-4 del aeropuerto de Madrid Barajas https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2007/01/02/espana/1167757046.html es El Mundo 13 February 2020 Later into the legislature on 28 September 2007, Ibarretxe attempted to revive his statute reform plan by announcing a new "right to decide roadmap" which provided for a referendum on the proposal being held by 25 October 2008, whether it was in agreement with the Spanish government or without it.28 September 2007 Ibarretxe propone una consulta en el País Vasco el 25 de octubre de 2008 https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2007/09/28/espana/1190972019.html es El Mundo 13 February 202030 September 2007 El segundo plan Ibarretxe destinado al fracaso ante la enérgica negativa del Gobierno a negociar https://www.20minutos.es/noticia/283209/0/zapatero/ibarretxe/euskadi/ es 20 minutos 13 February 202028 May 2008 Spain to block Basque referendum on "right to decide" https://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/28/world/europe/28iht-28basque.13293698.html The New York Times 13 February 2020 The law establishing the legal framework allowing the Basque government to hold the vote was approved by the Basque Parliament in June 2008,26 June 2008 Aprobada la consulta de Ibarretxe en la Cámara vasca https://elpais.com/elpais/2008/06/27/actualidad/1214554617_850215.html es El País 13 February 2020 but was subsequently suspended and overturned by the Constitutional Court, which ended up ruling that the law and the proposed referendum were unconstitutional.18 July 2008 El Constitucional suspende la consulta de Ibarretxe https://elpais.com/diario/2008/07/18/espana/1216332004_850215.html es El País 13 February 202011 September 2008 El Tribunal Constitucional declara ilegal la consulta popular de Ibarretxe https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2008/09/11/espana/1221157791.html es El Mundo 13 February 2020 On 31 August 2006, the leadership of Eusko Alkartasuna (EA) had voted for terminating their electoral alliance with the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) ahead of the 2007 foral and local elections, after seven years of collaboration;31 August 2006 PNV-EA: Termina una coalición de siete años https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20060831/51281494738/pnv-ea-termina-una-coalicion-de-siete-anos.html es La Vanguardia 13 February 20201 September 2006 EA rompe su coalición electoral con el PNV y acudirá sola a las municipales https://elpais.com/diario/2006/09/01/espana/1157061617_850215.html es El País 13 February 2020 on 10 November 2008, the decision was made irreversible after EA announced its maintainment ahead of the incoming 2009 regional election.10 November 2008 EA 'rompe' con el PNV y concurrirá en solitario a las próximas autonómicas https://www.20minutos.es/noticia/427536/0/ea/pnv/elecciones/ es 20 minutos 13 February 2020 The 2007 elections had seen strong gains for the Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE) and a decline for the parties supporting Ibarretxe's government, PNV, EA and Ezker Batua (EB),28 May 2007 El PSE considera que los resultados le sitúan como una alternativa al tripartito https://elpais.com/diario/2007/05/28/paisvasco/1180381206_850215.html es El País 13 February 202028 May 2007 El PSE se refuerza como alternativa https://elpais.com/diario/2007/05/28/paisvasco/1180381199_850215.html es El País 13 February 2020 a situation confirmed one year later in the 2008 Spanish general election in the region as the PSE–EE emerged as the most voted party with 38.1% and 9 out of 18 Congress seats.10 March 2008 El PSE se impone como fuerza más votada en el País Vasco, con una abstención del 35% https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2008/03/10/eleccionesgenerales/1205107201.html es El Mundo 13 February 2020 Concurrently, and in application of the 2002 Law of Political Parties—which allowed the outlawing of parties "whose activity violates democratic principles, particularly when it seeks to deteriorate or destroy the regime of freedoms or prevent or eliminate the democratic system by promoting, justifying or exculpating attacks on the life or integrity of people, legitimizing violence as a method to achieve political objectives or politically supporting the action of terrorist organizations to achieve their purposes of subverting the constitutional order"Ley Orgánica 6/2002, de 27 de junio, de Partidos Políticos Law 6 es 27 June 2002 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2002-12756&p=20020628 14 February 20205 June 2002 El Congreso da un amplísimo respaldo a la Ley de Partidos https://elpais.com/diario/2002/06/05/espana/1023228001_850215.html es El País 14 February 20201 August 2002 Proceso de ilegalizacion de Batasuna https://www.elmundo.es/especiales/2002/08/espana/batasuna/claves.html es El Mundo 14 February 2020—the Supreme Court and the Constitutional Court barred several parties from contesting elections because of their reported ties to ETA and the outlawed Batasuna party; namely, the Communist Party of the Basque Homelands (PCTV/EHAK),20 June 2008 EHAK denuncia que su proceso de ilegalización es "una farsa jurídica que responde a la decisión política del PSOE" https://www.europapress.es/nacional/noticia-ehak-denuncia-proceso-ilegalizacion-farsa-juridica-responde-decision-politica-psoe-20080620133514.html es Europa Press 12 February 2020 Basque Nationalist Action (ANV),29 January 2009 El Constitucional avala la ilegalización de ANV dictada por el Supremo https://elpais.com/elpais/2009/01/29/actualidad/1233220620_850215.html es El País 14 February 2020 several groupings created specifically to contest the 2007 local elections (such as Abertzale Sozialisten Batasuna and Abertzale Sozialistak)1 April 2007 La policía reconstruye el organigrama oculto de Batasuna para evitar su presencia electoral https://elpais.com/diario/2007/04/01/espana/1175378402_850215.html es El País 14 February 202011 April 2008 El Constitucional rechaza tramitar el recurso de amparo de Abertzale Sozialisten https://elpais.com/elpais/2008/04/11/actualidad/1207901821_850215.html es El País 14 February 202021 June 2012 Las marcas de Batasuna https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2012/06/21/espana/1340238671.html es El Mundo 14 February 2020 or the 2009 regional election (Demokrazia Hiru Milioi and Askatasuna). Overview Under the 1979 Statute of Autonomy, the Basque Parliament was the unicameral legislature of the Basque Autonomous Community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a lehendakari.Statute 1979 arts. 25 & 27–28. The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.LEPV 1990 final prov. 1. Date The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication.Statute 1979 art. 26; LEPV 1990 art. 46. The previous election was held on 17 April 2005, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 17 April 2009. The election decree was required to be published in the BOPV no later than 24 March 2009, setting the latest possible date for election day on 17 May 2009. The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process.LGV 1981 arts. 7 & 50–51. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a 60-day period from the Parliament's reconvening, the chamber was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.LGV 1981 art. 6. Lehendakari Ibarretxe had been scheduled to announce a snap election for autumn 2008 following his expected failure in holding a referendum on the Basque Country's political status for 25 October 2008, which was averted by the Spanish government.26 April 2008 Ibarretxe anticipará las elecciones si Zapatero recurre su consulta https://elpais.com/diario/2008/04/26/espana/1209160803_850215.html es El País 14 February 202021 May 2008 Zapatero cierra la puerta al 'plan Ibarretxe' y atisba elecciones https://cincodias.elpais.com/cincodias/2008/05/21/economia/1211349382_850215.html es Cinco Días 14 February 202023 May 2008 La estrategia de Ibarretxe para realizar su consulta https://cadenaser.com/ser/2008/05/23/espana/1211500217_850215.html es Cadena SER 14 February 2020 The electoral defeat of the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) in the 2008 Spanish general election in the region and internal opposition from the PNV leadership to an immediate election delayed the scheduled snap vote to early 2009.5 May 2008 El posible adelanto electoral amenaza cuatro proyectos de ley claves del Gobierno vasco https://www.elcorreo.com/vizcaya/20080505/politica/posible-adelanto-electoral-amenaza-20080505.html es El Correo 14 February 20201 September 2008 Tiempo de descuento electoral https://elpais.com/diario/2008/09/01/paisvasco/1220298001_850215.html es El País 14 February 2020 Finally on 3 January 2009, Ibarretxe took advantage of Galician president Emilio Pérez Touriño's previous announcement of a Galician election for 1 March to call the Basque election simultaneously, a move which was interpreted by the media and by political parties as intending to caught his political rivals by surprise (particularly, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) and the People's Party (PP), by forcing them to run two simultaneous election campaigns).18 December 2008 Touriño convoca las elecciones para el 1 de marzo https://www.lavozdegalicia.es/noticia/galicia/2008/12/18/tourino-convoca-elecciones-1-marzo/00031229590863369925964.htm es La Voz de Galicia 14 February 20203 January 2009 Aires de agotamiento https://elpais.com/diario/2009/01/03/espana/1230937203_850215.html es El País 14 February 2020 The Basque Parliament was officially dissolved on 6 January 2009 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOPV, setting election day for 1 March.Decree 1/2009 2009 art. 1. Electoral system Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.Statute 1979 art. 26; LEPV 1990 arts. 2–3 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 42). The Basque Parliament had 75 seats. All were elected in three multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Guipúzcoa, each of which was assigned a fixed number of 25 seats to provide for an equal parliamentary representation of the three provinces—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.Statute 1979 art. 26; LEPV 1990 arts. 9–12; Decree 1/2009 2009 art. 2. The use of this electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.Gallagher Michael 30 July 2012 http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College Dublin Dublin https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php 22 July 2017 30 July 2017 The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.LEPV 1990 arts. 12 & 65 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 arts. 46 & 48). Outgoing parliament The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.Lozano Carles https://www.historiaelectoral.com/aeuzkadi.html Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco / Eusko Legebilitzarra (desde 1980) es Historia Electoral.com 9 November 2024https://www.legebiltzarra.eus/c_comorga_gru_L08.html Parlamentarios y Órganos. Grupos. Composición. Históricos - VIII Legislatura (2005-2009) es Basque Parliament 12 March 2026 + Parliamentary composition in January 2009 Groups Parties Legislators Seats Total Basque Nationalists Parliamentary Group EAJ/PNV 22 22 Basque Socialists Parliamentary Group PSE–EE (PSOE) 18 18 Basque People's Parliamentary Group PP 15 15 Abertzale Left Parliamentary Group PCTV/EHAK 9 9 Basque Solidarity Parliamentary Group EA 7 7 Mixed Group EB–B 3 4 Aralar 1 Parties and candidates The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.LEPV 1990 art. 53 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 44). Amendments in 2007 required a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.LOREG 1985 art. 44 bis. Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election: Candidacy Parties andalliances Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Government Ref. References Vote % Seats EAJ/PNV List on Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) 50px Juan José Ibarretxe Basque nationalismChristian democracyConservative liberalism 38.4%Results for PNV–EA in the 2005 election. 29 28 September 2008 Juan José Ibarretxe se presentará de nuevo a 'lehendakari' https://elpais.com/elpais/2008/09/28/actualidad/1222589822_850215.html es El País 14 February 202020 December 2008 Ibarretxe, ratificado como candidato del PNV, exige a ETA "que se vaya" https://elpais.com/elpais/2008/12/20/actualidad/1229764620_850215.html es El País 14 February 2020 EA List on Eusko Alkartasuna (EA) 50px Unai Ziarreta Basque nationalismSocial democracy 16 December 2007 Eusko Alkartasuna elige a Unai Ziarreta como nuevo presidente con el 68,5% de los votos https://www.europapress.es/nacional/noticia-eusko-alkartasuna-elige-unai-ziarreta-nuevo-presidente-685-votos-20071216165100.html es Europa Press 14 February 202011 November 2008 Ziarreta será el candidato a lehendakari de EA y la formación trabaja ya en la elaboración de las listas electorales https://www.europapress.es/nacional/noticia-ziarreta-sera-candidato-lehendakari-ea-formacion-trabaja-ya-elaboracion-listas-electorales-20081111133707.html es Europa Press 14 February 2020 PSE–EE(PSOE) List on Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) 50px Patxi López Social democracy 22.5% 18 6 May 2008 Patxi López: 'El tripartito de Ibarretxe está caducado, agotado, sin ideas ni proyecto' https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2008/05/06/espana/1210099956.html es El Mundo 14 February 20207 May 2008 El PSE elige a Patxi López como candidato a 'lehendakari' https://elpais.com/diario/2008/05/07/espana/1210111206_850215.html es El País 14 February 2020 PP List on People's Party (PP) 50px Antonio Basagoiti ConservatismChristian democracy 17.3% 15 12 July 2008 Antonio Basagoiti, elegido presidente del PP vasco con el 82,3% de los votos https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2008/07/12/espana/1215865982.html es El Mundo 14 February 202024 October 2008 El Partido Popular proclama como candidato a lehendakari a Antonio Basagoiti https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2008/10/24/espana/1224873072.html es El Mundo 14 February 2020 EB–B List on United Left–Greens (EB–B) 50px Javier Madrazo Eco-socialismSocial democracyDemocratic socialism 5.3% 3 20 December 2008 Madrazo sale elegido candidato a lehendakari por EB con el 85% de los votos https://www.diariovasco.com/20081220/politica/madrazo-sale-elegido-candidato-20081220.html es Diario Vasco 14 February 2020 Aralar List on Aralar (Aralar) 50px Aintzane Ezenarro Basque independenceLeft-wing nationalismDemocratic socialism 2.3% 1 UPyD List on Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 50px Gorka Maneiro Social liberalismRadical centrism colspan="2" Did not contest Opinion polls The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. Voting intention estimates The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament. Color key: #EAFFEA Exit poll 1px solid #AAAAAA Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 28px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 28px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 17px|link=Communist Party of the Basque Homelands|PCTV/EHAK 14px|link=D3M 27px|link=United Left–Greens|EB–B 32px|link=Aralar (Basque political party)|Aralar 35px|link=Eusko Alkartasuna|EA 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD Lead 2009 regional election 1 Mar 2009 64.5 38.175% Verdana 30 30.475% Verdana 25 13.975% Verdana 13 – 3.575% Verdana 1 6.075% Verdana 4 3.675% Verdana 1 2.175% Verdana 1 7.7 Ipsos/Popular TVAvance: Programa especial elecciones gallegas y vascas - 01/03/2009 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cByLfIaa3WY&t=3m37s es Popular TV 1 March 2009 1 Mar 2009???75% Verdana 29/32?75% Verdana 25/28?75% Verdana 9/10 –?75% Verdana 2/3?75% Verdana 3/4?75% Verdana 2/3?75% Verdana 0/1? Ipsos/EITBEl PP arrasa en Galicia y el PSE será clave en Euskadi http://www.rtve.es/noticias/galiciayeuskadicharo.shtml es RTVE 1 March 2009Ibarretxe seguirá siendo lehendakari, según el primer sondeo Ipsos para RTVE http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20090301/ibarretxe-seguira-siendo-lehendakari-segun-primer-sondeo-ipsos-para-rtve/240651.shtml es RTVE 1 March 2009El PNV lograría entre 30 y 32 escaños y el PSE 26 o 28, según los primeros sondeos http://www.20minutos.es/noticia/453817/0/sondeos/elecciones/vascas/ es 20 minutos 1 March 2009 1 Mar 2009 17,250 65.7 38.275% Verdana 30/32 31.575% Verdana 26/28 11.475% Verdana 9/10 –?75% Verdana 0/3?75% Verdana 2/4?75% Verdana 1/3 2.075% Verdana 0/1 6.7 TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3Anasagasti avisa: si hay un pacto 'anti-Ibarretxe', el PNV retirará el apoyo al PSOE https://www.diariocritico.com/noticia/133258/noticias/anasagasti-avisa:-si-hay-un-pacto-anti-ibarretxe-el-pnv-retirara-el-apoyo-al-psoe.html es Diariocrítico 1 March 2009 1 Mar 2009???75% Verdana 30/32?75% Verdana 26/28?75% Verdana 9/10 –?75% Verdana 2/3?75% Verdana 3/4?75% Verdana 2/3?75% Verdana 0/1? Ilargi Consulting/EuskaldemoskopiaSondeos: todo por resolver http://eleccionesvascas2009.blogspot.com.es/2009/02/sondeos-todo-por-resolver.html es eleccionesvascas2009.blogspot.com 21 February 2009 20 Feb 2009 2,568 74.0?75% Verdana 29/30?75% Verdana 26/27?75% Verdana 10/11 (11.5)?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 1/2? Celeste-Tel/TerraEl PNV volverá a ganar las elecciones del 1 de marzo con el 35% de los votos http://actualidad.terra.es:80/especiales/elecciones-euskadi-galicia/articulo/pnv-volvera-ganar-elecciones-marzo-3085569.htm https://web.archive.org/web/20090223104744/http://actualidad.terra.es/especiales/elecciones-euskadi-galicia/articulo/pnv-volvera-ganar-elecciones-marzo-3085569.htm dead 23 February 2009 es Terra 20 February 2009 10 April 2019 dmy-all 20 Feb 2009?? 34.9 28.5 14.9 9.5 – – – – 6.4 Ilargi Consulting/EuskaldemoskopiaEuskaldemoscopia, 19 de febrero http://eleccionesvascas2009.blogspot.com.es/2009/02/euskaldemoscopia-19-de-febrero.html es eleccionesvascas2009.blogspot.com 19 February 2009 19 Feb 2009 400 75.8?75% Verdana 31?75% Verdana 24?75% Verdana 10 (11.0)?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 3? DYM/ABCEl primer lendakari no nacionalista será posible con un pacto PSE-PP http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2009/02/22/016.html es ABC 22 February 2009 16–19 Feb 2009 769? 37.675% Verdana 30 31.975% Verdana 25/26 15.675% Verdana 13 – 5.875% Verdana 3 3.675% Verdana 2/3 1.375% Verdana 0/1 2.875% Verdana 1 5.7 Sigma Dos/El MundoEncuesta. Radiografía del País Vasco http://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2009/graficos/feb/s3/pvasco.html es El Mundo 22 February 2009 13–19 Feb 2009 1,050? 36.275% Verdana 27/29 28.475% Verdana 22/25 15.175% Verdana 12/14 – 5.275% Verdana 3 3.575% Verdana 2 5.775% Verdana 3 3.975% Verdana 2 7.8 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/PúblicoLa subida de Aralar da la mayoría al nacionalismo http://www.publico.es/espana/203144/eleccioneseneuskadi/publiscopio https://web.archive.org/web/20090226201922/http://www.publico.es/espana/203144/eleccioneseneuskadi/publiscopio dead 26 February 2009 es Público 23 February 2009 12–19 Feb 2009?? 34.175% Verdana 26/28 29.175% Verdana 23/25 10.975% Verdana 9/11 – 6.075% Verdana 4 8.475% Verdana 6 5.075% Verdana 3/4 3.175% Verdana 1/3 5.0 Ilargi Consulting/EuskaldemoskopiaEncuestas. Euskal Demoscopia (Del 13 al 20 de febrero de 2009) http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2009/parl_vasco/encuestas/enc_2009_02_demoscopia_c.htm es Basque Government 20 February 2009 18 Feb 2009 400 77.9?75% Verdana 31?75% Verdana 25?75% Verdana 11 (11.5)?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 1? Metroscopia/El PaísEl PSE tendrá la llave del poder http://www.elpais.com/elpaismedia/ultimahora/media/200902/22/espana/20090222elpepunac_1_Pes_PDF.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20120412181035/http://www.elpais.com/elpaismedia/ultimahora/media/200902/22/espana/20090222elpepunac_1_Pes_PDF.pdf dead 12 April 2012 es El País 22 February 2009 16–18 Feb 2009 1,200? 34.575% Verdana 27 30.275% Verdana 26 15.075% Verdana 13/14 – 5.275% Verdana 3 4.175% Verdana 2 4.775% Verdana 3 1.975% Verdana 0/1 4.3 TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3Barómetro TNS para Antena3 y Onda Cero Elecciones Vascas (20-02-09) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oIGEOlIjuVQ es YouTube 20 February 2009 16–18 Feb 2009? 64 33.075% Verdana 25/27 27.475% Verdana 23/25 15.075% Verdana 13/15 – 5.075% Verdana 3 5.575% Verdana 4/5 5.175% Verdana 2/4 1.775% Verdana 0/1 5.6 CIES/DeiaEncuestas. Deia (21 de febrero de 2009) http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2009/parl_vasco/encuestas/enc_2009_02_deia_c.htm es Basque Government 21 February 2009 10–18 Feb 2009 2,400? 36.675% Verdana 28/29 30.075% Verdana 24/25 14.175% Verdana 11/12 – 4.775% Verdana 3 6.875% Verdana 4/5 4.475% Verdana 1/3 2.875% Verdana 1 6.6 Ilargi Consulting/Euskaldemoskopia 17 Feb 2009 400 78.2?75% Verdana 31?75% Verdana 24?75% Verdana 12 (11.0)?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 1?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 2? Ilargi Consulting/EuskaldemoskopiaEncuestas elecciones vascas https://plazamoyua.com/2009/02/17/encuestas-elecciones-vascas/ es PlazaMoyua.com 17 February 2009 16 Feb 2009 400 77.3?75% Verdana 29?75% Verdana 26?75% Verdana 10 (11.5)?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 3? Ikerfel/VocentoEmpate entre PNV y PSE con un 29% de indecisos http://www.elcorreo.com/vizcaya/20090222/politica/empate-entre-indecisos-20090222.html es El Correo 22 February 2009Empate entre PNV y PSE con un 29% de indecisos http://servicios.elcorreo.com/documentos/pagina24.pdf es El Correo 22 February 2009Empate entre PNV y PSE con un 29% de indecisos http://canales.diariovasco.com/documentos/encuesta.jpg es Diario Vasco 22 February 2009 13–16 Feb 2009 3,000? 36.575% Verdana 27/29 32.275% Verdana 26/28 13.975% Verdana 11/12 – 4.575% Verdana 2/3 5.175% Verdana 3 4.675% Verdana 2/4 2.575% Verdana 1 4.3 Noxa/La VanguardiaUn escaño en el aire separa al PNV y sus aliados de la mayoría absoluta http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2009/02/22/pagina-14/76884166/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 22 February 2009 11–16 Feb 2009 1,000? 39.475% Verdana 30/31 31.775% Verdana 26/27 11.275% Verdana 10/11 – 4.275% Verdana 3 4.875% Verdana 2 4.475% Verdana 2 2.575% Verdana 0/1 7.7 Ikertalde/GPSElecciones autonómicas - 1 de marzo de 2009. Previsiones de voto http://www.euskadi.eus/contenidos/documentacion/o_09pra7_aurreikuspena/es_09pra7au/adjuntos/09pra7_aurreikuspena.pdf es Basque Government 20 February 2009 5–16 Feb 2009 3,332 66.0 34.075% Verdana 26/27 31.575% Verdana 26/27 15.475% Verdana 13 – 5.575% Verdana 3 4.275% Verdana 2 6.075% Verdana 4 1.675% Verdana 0 3.5 Ilargi Consulting/EuskaldemoskopiaEncuestas diarias hasta el 1 de marzo http://eleccionesvascas2009.blogspot.com.es/2009/02/encuestas-diarias-hasta-el-1-de-marzo.html es eleccionesvascas2009.blogspot.com 15 February 2009 15 Feb 2009 400 78.5?75% Verdana 27?75% Verdana 27?75% Verdana 11 (10.5)?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 2 Tie Ilargi Consulting/Euskaldemoskopia 14 Feb 2009 400 76.5?75% Verdana 29?75% Verdana 25?75% Verdana 11 (8.5)?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 3? Opina/Cadena SEREl Pulsómetro: El PNV puede perder el gobierno vasco después de 30 años de hegemonía http://cadenaser.com/ser/2009/02/13/espana/1234486215_850215.html es Cadena SER 13 February 2009Encuesta en la Comunidad Autónoma de País Vasco http://www.cadenaser.com:80/static/pulsometro/anteriores/encuesta_090213.htm https://web.archive.org/web/20090302130444/http://www.cadenaser.com/static/pulsometro/anteriores/encuesta_090213.htm dead 2 March 2009 es Cadena SER 13 February 2009 10 April 2019 dmy-all 13 Feb 2009?? 36.075% Verdana 29 31.075% Verdana 26/27 15.075% Verdana 12 – 5.075% Verdana 4 2.975% Verdana 1/2 3.075% Verdana 2 – 5.0 Ilargi Consulting/Euskaldemoskopia 13 Feb 2009 400??75% Verdana 30?75% Verdana 24?75% Verdana 11 –?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 2?75% Verdana 3? Obradoiro de Socioloxía/PúblicoEl desplome del PP sostiene a Ibarretxe http://www.publico.es/espana/198498/desplome/pp/sostiene/ibarretxe https://web.archive.org/web/20100510025532/http://www.publico.es/espana/198498/desplome/pp/sostiene/ibarretxe dead 10 May 2010 es Público 8 February 2009Encuestas. Público (8 de febrero de 2009) http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2009/parl_vasco/encuestas/enc_2009_02_publico_c.htm es Basque Government 8 February 2009 8 Feb 2009?? 32.475% Verdana 26 26.675% Verdana 23 10.875% Verdana 10 7.975% Verdana 6 4.975% Verdana 3/4 6.775% Verdana 3/4 4.675% Verdana 3 3.075% Verdana 0/1 5.8? 35.075% Verdana 28 29.075% Verdana 25 11.775% Verdana 10 – 5.375% Verdana 4/5 7.475% Verdana 3/4 4.275% Verdana 3 3.275% Verdana 0/1 6.0 NC Report/La RazónSondeo de NC Report para LA RAZÓN: PSOE y PP se estancan pero podrían gobernar juntos en el País Vasco http://www.larazon.es/noticia/psoe-y-pp-se-estancan-pero-podrian-gobernar-juntos-en-el-pais-vasco https://web.archive.org/web/20120112150931/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/psoe-y-pp-se-estancan-pero-podrian-gobernar-juntos-en-el-pais-vasco dead 12 January 2012 es La Razón 9 February 2009Encuestas. La Razón (9 de febrero de 2009) http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2009/parl_vasco/encuestas/enc_2009_02_razon_c.htm es Basque Government 9 February 2009 2–5 Feb 2009 1,000? 37.775% Verdana 28/30 30.775% Verdana 26/27 15.875% Verdana 13/14 – 4.575% Verdana 3 2.875% Verdana 1 4.275% Verdana 1/2 3.075% Verdana 1 7.0 CISPreelectoral del País Vasco. Elecciones autonómicas, 2009 (Estudio nº 2784. Enero-Febrero 2009) http://datos.cis.es/pdf/Es2784mar_A.pdf es CIS 12 February 2009Soso arranque electoral en Euskadi y Galicia http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2009/02/13/pagina-16/76738779/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 13 February 2009 15 Jan–4 Feb 2009 2,460? 35.375% Verdana 27/28 29.775% Verdana 26 13.475% Verdana 11/12 – 5.175% Verdana 3 4.375% Verdana 3 5.375% Verdana 3/4 1.975% Verdana 0/1 5.6 TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3Encuestas. Antena 3 y Onda Cero (23 de enero de 2009) http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2009/parl_vasco/encuestas/enc_2009_01_antena3_c.htm es Basque Government 23 January 2009 19–21 Jan 2009?? 36.075% Verdana 28/29 24.775% Verdana 20/22 15.375% Verdana 12/13 10.775% Verdana 6/8 3.975% Verdana 3 2.675% Verdana 1 3.075% Verdana 2 2.175% Verdana 0 11.3 NC Report/La RazónEncuestas. La Razón (12 de enero de 2009) http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2009/parl_vasco/encuestas/enc_2009_01_razon_c.htm es Basque Government 12 January 2009 5–9 Jan 2009 1,000? 35.875% Verdana 26/29 31.675% Verdana 25/28 16.275% Verdana 14/15 – 4.775% Verdana 3 3.175% Verdana 1 5.775% Verdana 3/4 2.375% Verdana 0/1 4.2 CPS/EHUEstimaciones Electorales del Euskobarómetro de Noviembre de 2008 para el Parlamento Vasco http://www.abc.es/gestordocumental/uploads/nacional/euskobarometro2008.pdf es EHU 26 December 2008 15 Oct–7 Nov 2008 1,200? 34.075% Verdana 26/28 31.075% Verdana 25/27 16.075% Verdana 13/15 – 5.075% Verdana 3 3.075% Verdana 1 4.075% Verdana 2/4 2.075% Verdana 0 3.0 CPS/EHUEuskobarómetro. Estimaciones Electorales http://www.ehu.es/euskobarometro/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=64&Itemid=107 https://web.archive.org/web/20090225020502/http://www.ehu.es/euskobarometro/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=64&Itemid=107 dead 25 February 2009 es EHU 25 February 2009Encuestas. Euskobarómetro CPS/EHU (11 de julio de 2008) http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2009/parl_vasco/encuestas/enc_2008_07_euskob_c.htm es Basque Government 11 July 2008 2–20 May 2008 1,800? 34.075% Verdana 24/27 32.075% Verdana 25/28 16.075% Verdana 13/15 – 4.075% Verdana 3 3.075% Verdana 1 5.075% Verdana 2/4 – 2.0 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 64.0 27.175% Verdana (20) 38.175% Verdana (33) 18.575% Verdana (16) – 4.575% Verdana (3) 2.775% Verdana (1) 4.575% Verdana (2) 0.975% Verdana (0) 11.0 CPS/EHUEncuestas. Euskobarómetro CPS/EHU (Noviembre 2007) http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2009/parl_vasco/encuestas/enc_2007_11_ehu_c.htm es Basque Government November 2007 22 Oct–16 Nov 2007 1,200? 33.575% Verdana 24/27 24.275% Verdana 20/22 15.875% Verdana 13/14 14.875% Verdana 10/12 4.675% Verdana 3 3.075% Verdana 1 4.575% Verdana 2/3 – 9.3 CPS/EHUEncuestas. Euskobarómetro CPS/EHU (Mayo 2007) http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2009/parl_vasco/encuestas/enc_2007_05_euskob_c.htm es Basque Government June 2007 4–30 Jun 2007 1,200? 32.975% Verdana 24/26 24.575% Verdana 19/22 15.575% Verdana 13/14 15.775% Verdana 10/12 4.675% Verdana 3 2.575% Verdana 1 4.675% Verdana 2/3 – 8.4 2007 foral elections 27 May 2007 60.6 34.175% Verdana (25) 26.275% Verdana (22) 17.075% Verdana (14) 3.075% Verdana (2) 9.475% Verdana (7) 7.475% Verdana (5) – 7.9 CPS/EHUEncuestas. Euskobarómetro CPS/EHU (Noviembre 2006) http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2009/parl_vasco/encuestas/enc_2006_11_ehu_c.htm es Basque Government December 2006 10 Nov–12 Dec 2006 1,200? 33.475% Verdana 25 24.275% Verdana 18/20 15.575% Verdana 14 15.675% Verdana 11/12 5.275% Verdana 3 2.975% Verdana 1 4.375% Verdana 1/2 – 9.2 CPS/EHUEncuestas. Euskobarómetro CPS/EHU (Mayo 2006) http://www.euskadi.eus/elecciones-anteriores/elec_ant/2009/parl_vasco/encuestas/enc_2006_05_euskob_c.htm es Basque Government May 2006 2–31 May 2006 1,800? 34.875% Verdana 25/27 23.975% Verdana 18/19 14.675% Verdana 13/15 14.475% Verdana 11 5.375% Verdana 3 2.875% Verdana 1 4.175% Verdana 2 – 10.9 2005 regional election 17 Apr 2005 68.0 38.475% Verdana 29 22.575% Verdana 18 17.375% Verdana 15 12.475% Verdana 9 5.375% Verdana 3 2.375% Verdana 1 "PNV" Within PNV. – 15.9 Voting preferences The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 28px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 17px|link=Communist Party of the Basque Homelands|PCTV/EHAK 14px|link=D3M 27px|link=United Left–Greens|EB–B 32px|link=Aralar (Basque political party)|Aralar 35px|link=Eusko Alkartasuna|EA 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD Lead 2009 regional election"CERA" Does not include non-resident citizens. 1 Mar 2009 22.3 17.8 8.2 – 2.0 3.5 2.1 1.2 35.7 4.5 Metroscopia/El País 16–18 Feb 2009 1,200 24.6 15.7 2.8 – 3.1 3.5 2.4 1.2 40.0 8.9 CIS 15 Jan–4 Feb 2009 2,460 20.2 14.4 2.3 – 2.1 1.8 2.0 0.4 37.5 13.7 7.8 CPS/EHU 15 Oct–7 Nov 2008 1,200 25.9 17.5 3.2 6.9 4.2 1.8 3.2 0.3 – – 8.4 CPS/EHU 2–20 May 2008 1,800 27.1 22.6 5.4 6.5 4.6 2.5 3.1 – – – 4.5 2008 general election"CERA" 9 Mar 2008 17.4 24.5 11.9 – 2.9 1.7 2.9 0.6 35.1 7.1 2007 foral elections 27 May 2007 18.2 14.0 9.1 1.6 5.0 4.0 – 39.4 4.2 2005 regional election"CERA" 17 Apr 2005 26.3 15.5 11.9 8.5 3.7 1.6 "PNV" – 31.0 10.8 Victory preferences The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 28px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 27px|link=United Left–Greens|EB–B 32px|link=Aralar (Basque political party)|Aralar 35px|link=Eusko Alkartasuna|EA 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD Other/None Lead Metroscopia/El País 16–18 Feb 2009 1,200 36.0 23.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 9.0 20.0 13.0 Noxa/La Vanguardia 11–16 Feb 2009 1,000 41.0 28.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 17.0 13.0 Opina/Cadena SER 13 Feb 2009? 34.6 26.5 6.4 – – – – 15.5 17.1 8.1 CIS 15 Jan–4 Feb 2009 2,460 27.5 18.1 2.7 2.4 2.1 2.1 0.5 5.3 39.4 9.4 Victory likelihood The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=Basque Nationalist Party|PNV 25px|link=Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left|PSE–EE (PSOE) 28px|link=People's Party of the Basque Country|PP 27px|link=United Left–Greens|EB–B 32px|link=Aralar (Basque political party)|Aralar 35px|link=Eusko Alkartasuna|EA Other/None Lead Metroscopia/El País 16–18 Feb 2009 1,200 69.0 15.0 1.0 – – – 1.0 15.0 54.0 Opina/Cadena SER 13 Feb 2009? 61.8 17.7 0.7 – – – 0.8 18.9 44.1 CIS 15 Jan–4 Feb 2009 2,460 62.0 13.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 23.7 48.5 Preferred Lehendakari The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become lehendakari. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 50px 50px 50px 50px 50px 50px Other/None/Notcare Lead IbarretxePNV LópezPSE–EE BasagoitiPP MadrazoEB–B EzenarroAralar ZiarretaEA Celeste-Tel/Terra 20 Feb 2009? 36.5 23.8 – – – – 18.8 20.9 12.7 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 12–19 Feb 2009? 42.0 21.8 5.3 – – – 30.9 20.2 Ikerfel/VocentoEmpate entre PNV y PSE con un 29% de indecisos https://servicios.elcorreo.com/documentos/pagina25.pdf es El Correo 22 February 2009 13–16 Feb 2009 3,000 54.0 24.0 – – – – 21.0 1.0 30.0 Noxa/La Vanguardia 11–16 Feb 2009 1,000 51.0 27.0 5.0 – – – 17.0 24.0 Opina/Cadena SER 13 Feb 2009? 39.8 27.1 5.2 – – – 13.4 14.6 12.7 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 8 Feb 2009? 42.8 27.0 7.0 – – – 23.2 15.8 CIS 15 Jan–4 Feb 2009 2,460 30.9 16.6 2.4 1.8 1.8 1.1 17.7 27.6 14.3 Predicted Lehendakari The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become lehendakari. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 50px 50px 50px Other/None/Notcare Lead IbarretxePNV LópezPSE–EE BasagoitiPP Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 12–19 Feb 2009? 64.9 13.9 0.3 20.9 51.0 Opina/Cadena SER 13 Feb 2009? 67.8 16.6 1.0 1.0 13.7 51.2 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 8 Feb 2009? 67.3 18.5 0.9 13.3 48.8 Results Overall + ← Summary of the 1 March 2009 Basque Parliament election results → center|335px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV)1 399,600 38.14 n/a 30 +8 Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) 318,112 30.36 +7.85 25 +7 People's Party (PP) 146,148 13.95 −3.32 13 −2 Aralar (Aralar) 62,514 5.97 +3.66 4 +3 Basque Solidarity (EA)1 38,198 3.65 n/a 1 −6 United Left–Greens (EB–B) 36,373 3.47 −1.86 1 −2 Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 22,233 2.12 New 1 +1 The Greens (B/LV) 5,643 0.54 New 0 ±0 For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 3,072 0.29 +0.19 0 ±0 Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA/ZAAAA) 1,504 0.14 −0.19 0 ±0 Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI) 1,178 0.11 −0.08 0 ±0 Family and Life Party (PFyV) 1,052 0.10 New 0 ±0 Humanist Party (PH) 418 0.04 −0.08 0 ±0 Carlist Party of the Basque Country–Carlist Party (EKA–PC) 151 0.01 ±0.00 0 ±0 Communist Party of the Basque Homelands (PCTV/EHAK) n/a n/a −12.35 0 −9 Blank ballots 11,562 1.10 +0.36 Total 1,047,758 75 ±0 Valid votes 1,047,758 91.21 −8.46 Invalid votes 100,939 8.79 +8.46 Votes cast / turnout 1,148,697 64.68 −3.32 Abstentions 627,362 35.32 +3.32 Registered voters 1,776,059 Sourceshttps://www.euskadi.eus/ab12aAREWar/resultado/maint Resultados Electorales es Basque Government 28 December 20253 April 2009 Acuerdo de 18 de marzo de 2009, de la Junta Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma del País Vasco, por el que se dispone la publicación de los resultados correspondientes al escrutinio general de las elecciones al Parlamento Vasco celebradas el día 1 de marzo de 2009 https://www.euskadi.eus/web01-bopv/es/bopv2/datos/2009/04/0901888a.pdf es Official Gazette of the Basque Country 65 2483-5366 2009/1888.1–2009/1888.4 12 March 2026 left Footnotes: 1 Within the Basque Nationalist Party–Basque Solidarity alliance in the 2005 election. Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px EAJ/PNV Basque Nationalist Party 38.14 PSE–EE (PSOE) Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left 30.36 PP People's Party of the Basque Country 13.95 Aralar Aralar (Basque political party) 5.97 EA Eusko Alkartasuna 3.65 EB–B United Left–Greens 3.47 UPyD Union, Progress and Democracy 2.12 Others #777777 1.24 Blank ballots #DDDDDD 1.10 Seats #ddd 550px 500px EAJ/PNV Basque Nationalist Party 40.00 PSE–EE (PSOE) Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left 33.33 PP People's Party of the Basque Country 17.33 Aralar Aralar (Basque political party) 5.33 EA Eusko Alkartasuna 1.33 EB–B United Left–Greens 1.33 UPyD Union, Progress and Democracy 1.33 Distribution by constituency Constituency PNV PSE–EE PP Aralar EA EB–B UPyD % S % S % S % S % S % S % S Álava 30.0 8 31.2 9 21.1 6 4.3 1 3.5 – 3.3 – 3.9 1 Biscay 41.1 12 30.2 8 13.9 4 4.2 1 2.9 – 3.4 – 1.9 – Guipúzcoa 36.5 10 30.2 8 10.5 3 10.2 2 5.2 1 3.7 1 1.7 – Total 38.1 30 30.4 25 13.9 13 6.0 4 3.6 1 3.4 1 2.1 1 Sources Aftermath Invalid votes After Demokrazia Hiru Milioi (D3M) and Askatasuna ("Freedom") were outlawed in February 2009, Basque separatists were asked to cast their vote for D3M, whose ballots would be counted as invalid. According to some sources, the pro-independence Basque left (that were formerly represented by Batasuna and later by EHAK) was surprised by the lower support of their void option. If the void votes are to be counted as the support of this option, it would have obtained the worst results in their history, having received 100,924 void votes, 50,000 less than in the previous regional election and less than half their historical top in the 1998 election.Source: Basque Government electoral results record http://www9.euskadi.net/emaitzak/indice_i.htm Archived copy 2009-04-01 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20081010114000/http://www.euskadi.net/emaitzak/indice_i.htm 2008-10-10 http://www9.euskadi.net/emaitzak/indice_c.htm Archived copy 2009-04-01 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20090203091046/http://www9.euskadi.net/emaitzak/indice_c.htm 2009-02-03 es http://www9.euskadi.net/emaitzak/indice_e.htm Archived copy 2009-04-01 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20090305073558/http://www9.euskadi.net/emaitzak/indice_e.htm 2009-03-05 eu Major electoral analysis has been performed on the results and the issue of the void votes by pro-Basque nationalist and non-Basque nationalist parties alike. It is a frequent misunderstanding that, had the votes for the illegal lists been counted as valid, they would have been entitled to seven seats.Público.es: D3M habría logrado siete escaños https://web.archive.org/web/20090306102314/http://www.publico.es/espana/205500/d/m/logrado/siete/escanos March 6, 2009 es Actually, taking into account that the average of "normal" void votes (struck-out names, double-voting, etc.) in the last three Basque regional elections (1998, 2001 and 2005) was about 0.4%, and assuming that all the void votes that could not be accounted for by that statistic alone were cast for a hypothetical unitary abertzale list (instead of for two different lists, Askatasuna and D3M), those ~97,000 votes would have accounted for at most 6 seats.The discrepancy can be understood in terms of the seat allocation method used (the D'Hondt method) and, most importantly, the fact that seats are independently assigned in three 25-seat constituencies. Thus, a party can lose up to three seats by losing a single vote in each constituency. Government formation The election results saw the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) of Lehendakari Juan José Ibarretxe securing a clear victory with 38.1% of the vote and 30 seats, but it came at the expense of Ibarretxe's erstwhile allies, Eusko Alkartasuna (EA) and Ezker Batua (EB).2 March 2009 Ibarretxe gana sin garantías de gobernar https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/02/espana/1235948404_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 Together with Aralar, which had seen a remarkable rise of support in absence of electoral competition from other abertzale left parties—a result of their illegalization because of their ties with ETA and Batasuna2 March 2009 Aralar certifica con creces su éxito electoral al cuadruplicar su peso parlamentario https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/02/paisvasco/1236026406_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020—the parties in support of Ibarretxe could only muster 36 out of the 75 seats in the Basque Parliament, against 39 of the combined totals for the Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE), the People's Party (PP) and Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD), meaning that for the first time since 1979 the possibility existed for a non-PNV lehendakari to be appointed.2 March 2009 La amarga victoria en las urnas del PNV https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/02/espana/1235948411_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 Upon learning of the results, PP regional leader Antonio Basagoiti proclaimed his satisfaction and announced his support for Socialist Patxi López as new lehendakari,2 March 2009 El PP consigue la palanca del cambio https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/02/paisvasco/1236026404_850215.html es El País 16 February 20202 March 2009 Basagoiti avanza que votará al PSE "si no ha engañado en la campaña" https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/02/espana/1235948406_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 who had previously announced that he felt "legitimated to lead the change" and would be running for investiture.2 March 2009 López se postula como 'lehendakari' y espera el voto del PP https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/02/espana/1235948407_850215.html es El País 16 February 20202 March 2009 "Estoy legitimado para liderar el cambio" https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/02/paisvasco/1236026401_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 As the PNV–EA–EB alliance—in government since 2001—was no longer workable,3 March 2009 El tripartito de Ibarretxe se autoliquida https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/03/paisvasco/1236112800_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 the PNV attempted to figure out a coalition agreement with the PSE to remain in power,5 March 2009 El PNV ofrece un pacto de gobierno al PSE pero impone a Ibarretxe como lehendakari https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2009/03/05/paisvasco/1236253324.html es El Mundo 16 February 2020 mirroring the historical collaboration that the two parties had maintained from 1986 to 1998,3 March 2009 Benegas intentó ser 'lehendakari' en 1986, pero no lo logró https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/03/espana/1236034801_850215.html es El País 16 February 202012 March 2009 Ibarretxe dice que el PNV 'seguirá dirigiendo este país, sea desde donde sea' https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2009/03/12/paisvasco/1236849346.html es El Mundo 16 February 2020 and hinting at withdrawing PNV's support to Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero's government in the es Cortes Generales no if the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) did not back their plan.3 March 2009 El PNV se pertrecha para un pulso a fondo por Ajuria Enea https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/03/paisvasco/1236112802_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 The PSE rejected supporting a new PNV administration even if Ibarretxe was replaced with a different candidate, conditioning any agreement on Patxi López becoming lehendakari, which the PNV refused.5 March 2009 El PNV ofrece un pacto de Gobierno al PSE, que insiste en que López sea lehendakari http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20090305/pnv-ofrece-pacto-gobierno-pse-insiste-lopez-sea-lehendakari/243672.shtml es RTVE 16 February 20207 March 2009 El PSE no pactará con el PNV aunque sacrifique a Ibarretxe https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/07/espana/1236380413_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 Instead, the PSE proposed the formation of a minority cabinet led by López that could be supported by the PP, ruling out a full-fledged coalition.2 March 2009 El PSE, dispuesto a gobernar en solitario en Euskadi https://elpais.com/elpais/2009/03/02/actualidad/1235985419_850215.html es El País 16 February 20203 March 2009 López se propone gobernar en solitario https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/03/espana/1236034802_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 Concurrently, the PSOE's national leadership supported López's bid and defended the PSE's autonomy to agree on any pact that their local branch deemed fit, despite the PNV's threat of withdrawing their support nationally.2 March 2009 Zapatero deja al PSE manos libres para pactar alianzas https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/02/espana/1235948402_850215.html es El País 16 February 20203 March 2009 Zapatero a López: "Adelante, preséntate" https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/03/paisvasco/1236112799_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 Seeking to provide the new government of parliamentary stability,6 March 2009 PSE y PP, hacia un pacto de estabilidad https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2009/03/06/espana/1236313959.html es El Mundo 16 February 2020 the PSE and the PP—which had been and still were arch-rivals at the national level—reached an unprecedented confidence and supply agreement on 30 March that would see the Basque nationalists ousted from power after 30 years of uninterrupted government.29 March 2009 López asegura que su Gobierno velará por el interés general y no por el del PSE https://elpais.com/diario/2009/03/29/paisvasco/1238359202_850215.html es El País 16 February 202030 March 2009 El PP está 'profundamente satisfecho' del acuerdo alcanzado con el PSE https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2009/03/30/paisvasco/1238437629.html es El Mundo 16 February 2020 The PNV, which had dubbed any such agreement as "legitimate" but as a "fraud to the electorate" and an "act of political aggression",3 March 2009 El PNV prepara la barricada https://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20090303/53651282600/el-pnv-prepara-la-barricada.html es La Vanguardia 16 February 20203 March 2009 El PNV tilda de 'agresión política' un pacto entre PSE, PP y UPyD https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2009/03/02/paisvasco/1235992173.html es El Mundo 16 February 202011 March 2009 Urkullu: un pacto PSE-PP es "legítimo", pero supone un fraude al electorado https://www.expansion.com/2009/03/11/economia-politica/politica/1236766959.html es Expansión 16 February 2020 announced a "harsh" opposition to López's government and vowed to put forth Ibarretxe as their candidate in the investiture session, citing their "right" to head the government as the top-voted party.12 March 2009 Zapatero ha hablado con la dirección del PNV para aclararle que también se puede estar en la oposición https://cadenaser.com/ser/2009/03/12/espana/1236819018_850215.html es Cadena SER 16 February 202024 March 2009 Ibarretxe se presentará a la investidura por tener "80.000 razones" más que López https://www.20minutos.es/noticia/458904/0/ibarretxe/investidura/lopez/ es 20 minutos 16 February 2020 As part of their agreement, the PSE would support PP's Arantza Quiroga as new president of the Basque Parliament and treat the PP as their "preferred" parliamentary partner, whereas the PP would refrain from moving or supporting any vote of no confidence on the new cabinet.26 March 2009 El PP presidirá el Parlamento vasco a cambio de que Patxi López sea lehendakari https://www.20minutos.es/noticia/459571/0/pse-pp/gobierno/vasco/ es 20 minutos 16 February 2020 López was elected as new lehendakari on a 39–35 vote in the investiture session held on 5 May 2009,5 May 2009 Patxi López, primer 'lehendakari' no nacionalista de la historia https://elpais.com/elpais/2009/05/05/actualidad/1241511417_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 garnering the additional support of the sole legislator from Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD),17 April 2009 UPyD apoyará la investidura de López "por imperativo ético" ante ETA https://elpais.com/diario/2009/04/17/paisvasco/1239997199_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 and was sworn in two days later.7 May 2009 Patxi López ya es lehendakari tras prometer su cargo en Gernika https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2009/05/07/paisvasco/1241688380.html es El Mundo 16 February 2020 Simultaneously, his political defeat led Ibarretxe to announce his farewell from politics altogether, a move which would allow his party to reorganize itself from opposition hands-free and, eventually, lead to the abandonment of Ibarretxe's sovereigntist plans and discourse.5 May 2009 Ibarretxe anuncia que abandona la política https://elpais.com/elpais/2009/05/05/actualidad/1241511420_850215.html es El País 16 February 2020 Investiture Ballot → 5 May 2009 Required majority → 38 out of 75 Patxi López (PSE–EE) • PSE–EE (25) • PP (13) • UPyD (1) 39 75 Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left 125px 15 Juan José Ibarretxe (PNV) • PNV (30) • Aralar (4) • EA (1) 35 75 Basque Nationalist Party 125px 15 Abstentions/Blank ballots • EB–B (1) 1 75 gray 125px Absentees 0 75 black 125px Sources Notes References Opinion poll sources "p" Other Bibliography 30em y Ley Orgánica 3/1979, de 18 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para el País Vasco Organic Law 3/1979 18 December 1979 version as of 22 December 1979 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1979-30177 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1979-30177&tn=1&p=19791222 12 March 2026 Statute 1979 y Ley 7/1981, de 30 de junio, sobre Ley de Gobierno Law 7/1981 30 June 1981 version as of 2 March 2005 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2012-5927 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2012-5927&tn=1&p=20050302 12 March 2026 LGV 1981 y Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General Organic Law 5/1985 19 June 1985 version as of 22 January 2009 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1985-11672 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20090122 5 October 2025 LOREG 1985 y Ley 5/1990, de 15 de junio, de Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco Law 5/1990 15 June 1990 version as of 2 March 2005 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2012-2859 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2012-2859&tn=1&p=20050302 12 March 2026 LEPV 1990 y Decreto 1/2009, de 2 de enero, del Lehendakari, por el que se disuelve el Parlamento Vasco y se convocan elecciones Decree 1/2009 2 January 2009 Official Gazette of the Basque Country es https://www.euskadi.eus/y22-bopv/es/bopv2/datos/2009/01/0900040a.pdf 12 March 2026 Decree 1/2009 2009 Regional election Basque Country Category:Regional elections in the Basque Country (autonomous community) Basque Country