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2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii
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January 2026
January 2026
2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii Hawaii presidential no 2014 United States Senate special election in Hawaii 2014(special) 2022 United States Senate election in Hawaii 2022 November 8, 2016 File:Brian Schatz, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg Brian Schatz Democratic Party (United States) 306,604 73.61% File:John Carroll.jpg 150x150px John Carroll Republican Party (United States) 92,653 22.24% 310px County results 310px Congressional district results 310px Precinct results Schatz: #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%#808080 No votes U.S. Senator Brian Schatz Democratic Party (United States) Brian Schatz Democratic Party (United States)
The 2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii was held November 8, 2016, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held August 13. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Brian Schatz won reelection to his first full term in office, defeating Republican former state legislator John Carroll.
Background
In 2011, Daniel Inouye announced that he planned to run for a record tenth term in 2016, when he would have been 92 years old.Sen. Daniel Inouye goes silent on big Hawaiian race https://www.politico.com/news/stories/0411/53021_Page2.html Politico April 12, 2011 Manu Raju and John Bresnahan June 23, 2025 July 9, 2025 https://web.archive.org/web/20250709161149/https://www.politico.com/news/stories/0411/53021_Page2.html dead Hamilton Chris The Maui News - Inouye has more he wants to do for (Hawaii Senator emphasizes need for Democrats to remain in control) http://www.mauinews.com/page/content.detail/id/564088/Inouye-has-more-he-wants-to-do-for-Hawaii.html?nav=10 The Maui News September 2, 2012 He also said, "I have told my staff and I have told my family that when the time comes, when you question my sanity or question my ability to do things physically or mentally, I don't want you to hesitate, do everything to get me out of here, because I want to make certain the people of Hawaii get the best representation possible."http://www.khon2.com/news/local/story/Sen-Akaka-God-willing-I-Plan-to-Run-Again-in-2012/SawY7oCPAUWYz4rHaROnDw.cspx Sen. Akaka: "God willing, I Plan to Run Again in 2012" April 26, 2010 March 3, 2011 KHON2 Ron Mizutani https://web.archive.org/web/20110713145454/http://www.khon2.com/news/local/story/Sen-Akaka-God-willing-I-Plan-to-Run-Again-in-2012/SawY7oCPAUWYz4rHaROnDw.cspx July 13, 2011 dead mdy-all
Inouye died on December 17, 2012.Hawaii Sen. Daniel Inouye dies at age 88 https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/12/17/hawaii-sen-daniel-inouye-dies-at-age-88 Washington Post December 17, 2012 Hawaii Governor Neil Abercrombie appointed Lieutenant Governor Brian Schatz, a Democrat, to succeed Inouye. Schatz won a 2014 special election to serve the remainder of Inouye's term.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Makani Christensenhttp://www.civilbeat.org/2016/07/why-its-so-hard-to-find-a-fresh-voice-in-hawaii-politics/ Why It's So Hard To Find A Fresh Voice In Hawaii Politics Honolulu Civil Beat Grube Nick July 26, 2016 October 21, 2016http://files.hawaii.gov/elections/files/candidates/reports/candidate_report.pdf Federal State County Sorted by: Contest Hawaii Secretary of State June 8, 2016
Tutz Honeychurch
Arturo Reyes, perennial candidate
Brian Schatz, incumbent senatorhttp://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2016-retirement-guide Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016 Roll Call January 28, 2015 January 29, 2015 Emily Cahn Alexis Levinson https://web.archive.org/web/20150129222855/http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2016-retirement-guide/ January 29, 2015 dead
Miles Shiratori
Declined
Colleen Hanabusa, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for HI-01)Dan Inouye and Brian Schatz: A Lesson in Hawaii Politics http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/08/dan-inouye-and-brian-schatz-a-lesson-in-hawaii-politics Honolulu Civil Beat December 26, 2015 August 18, 2014 Stephen O'Harrow
Mark Takai, U.S. Representativehttp://www.civilbeat.com/2015/03/tulsi-gabbard-looks-to-be-running-for-re-election Tulsi Gabbard Looks to Be Running for Re-election Honolulu Civil Beat December 26, 2015 March 14, 2015 Chad Blair (died)
Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. Representative (running for reelection)
Former
Daniel Inouye, U.S. Senator from Hawaii (1963–2012), U.S. Representative for Hawaii's at-large congressional district (1959–1963). Inouye had declared his intent to run for re-election to a record tenth term, but he died in office on December 17, 2012.https://www.forbes.com/sites/victorlipman/2012/12/18/leadership-lessons-from-the-late-sen-daniel-inouye/?sh=3adf669661db Leadership Lessons from the Late Sen. Daniel Inouye Forbes
Results
Democratic primary resultshttp://results.elections.hawaii.gov/2016/primary/histatewide.pdf Statewide Results August 13, 2016 Hawaii Office of Elections https://web.archive.org/web/20160822210134/http://results.elections.hawaii.gov/2016/primary/histatewide.pdf August 22, 2016 dead mdy-all https://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/senate/hawaii/ Hawaii Senate Races Results August 13, 2016 Politicohttp://results.elections.hawaii.gov/2016/primary/summary.txt Archived copy August 16, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160818221229/http://results.elections.hawaii.gov/2016/primary/summary.txt August 18, 2016 dead mdy-all
Brian Schatz (incumbent) Democratic Party (United States) 162,891 86.17%
Makani Christensen Democratic Party (United States) 11,898 6.29%
Miles Shiratori Democratic Party (United States) 8,620 4.56%
Arturo Reyes Democratic Party (United States) 3,819 2.02%
Tutz Honeychurch Democratic Party (United States) 1,815 0.96%
189,043 100.00%
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
John Carroll, former State Senator, former State Representative, nominee for US Senate in 2000 and perennial candidate
Karla Gottschalk, attorney
Eddie Pirkowski, perennial candidate
John Roco, perennial candidate
Withdrew
Charles Collins, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and for Governor of Hawaii in 2014http://charlescollinsussenatehi.yolasite.com Charles Collins for US Senate December 29, 2015
Declined
Cam Cavasso, former state representative and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004, 2010, and 2014
Charles Djou, former U.S. Representative (running for Mayor of Honolulu)
Results
thumb|310px|Results by county:
#d40000 Carroll—70–80%
#cc2f4a Carroll—60–70%
Republican primary results
John Carroll Republican Party (United States) 26,747 74.58%
John P. Roco Republican Party (United States) 3,956 11.03%
Karla Gottschalk Republican Party (United States) 3,045 8.49%
Eddie Pirkowski Republican Party (United States) 2,114 5.89%
35,862 100.00%
Other primaries
Libertarian
Candidates
Declared
Michael Kokoski, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014
Results
Libertarian primary results
Michael Kokoski Libertarian Party (United States) 909 100.00%
909 100.00%
Constitution
Candidates
Declared
Joy Allison, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014
Results
Constitution primary results
Joy Allison Constitution Party (United States) 217 100.00%
217 100.00%
American Shopping
Candidates
Declared
John Giuffre
Results
American Shopping primary results
John Giuffre American Shopping #d93493 111 100.00%
111 100.00%
General election
Schatz defeated Carroll on election day, winning his second election to the U.S. Senate and his first full term after being appointed to the seat in 2012 following the death of Daniel Inouye. This was his largest margin of victory, as he won over 4% more of the electorate in this election.
Fundraising
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand Brian Schatz (D)https://beta.fec.gov/data/candidate/S4HI00136/?cycle=2016&election_full=false Schatz, Brian — Candidate for Senate Federal Elections Commission August 15, 2016 $3,316,074 $1,195,572 $3,074,380 John Carroll (R)
Predictions
Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139360 The Cook Political Report March 26, 2021 Safe D November 2, 2016 Sabato's Crystal Ball2016 Senate http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-senate Sabato's Crystal Ball September 19, 2016 Safe D November 7, 2016 Rothenberg Political Report2016 Senate Ratings https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2016-senate-ratings-november-3-2016 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report November 3, 2016 Safe D November 3, 2016 Daily KosDaily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2016/11/8/1593119/-Daily-Kos-Election-2016-forecast-The-final-version Daily Kos March 27, 2021 Safe D November 8, 2016 Real Clear PoliticsBattle for the Senate 2016 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/2016_elections_senate_map.html Real Clear Politics October 28, 2016 Safe D November 7, 2016
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror BrianSchatz (D) JohnCarroll (R) UndecidedSurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 426 ± 4.6% 70% 26% 4%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 426 ± 4.6% 67% 29% 4%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 435 ± 4.6% 68% 26% 6%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 424 ± 4.6% 70% 26% 4%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 428 ± 4.6% 70% 26% 4%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 467 ± 4.6% 69% 27% 4%
Results
United States Senate election in Hawaii, 2016http://elections.hawaii.gov/election-results Office of Elections – State of Hawaii – Statewide August 16, 2016 November 18, 2016 State of Hawaii Office of Elections 1
Democratic Party (United States)
Brian Schatz (incumbent)
306,604
73.61%
+3.83%
Republican Party (United States)
John Carroll
92,653
22.24%
-5.46%
Constitution Party (United States)
Joy Allison
9,103
2.19%
N/A
Libertarian Party (United States)
Michael Kokowski
6,809
1.63%
-0.89%
#d93493
American Shopping
John Giuffre
1,393
0.33%
N/A
416,562
100.00%
N/A
Democratic Party (United States)
By county
By county yes #B0CEFF;line-height:135%; none
CountyBrian SchatzDemocraticJohn CarrollRepublicanAll Others#%#%#%Hawaii47,00374.59%12,76620.26%3,2465.15%Honolulu203,37272.98%64,93923.3%10,3453.71%Kauaʻi19,01576.13%4,74519.0%1,2164.87%Maui37,21474.55%10,20320.44%2,4985.01% Totals306,60473.6%92,65322.24%17,3054.15%
By congressional district
Schatz won both congressional districts.https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::f0155598-3679-42aa-9ff9-17f7a3b6ad82 Dra 2020
District Schatz Carroll RepresentativeHawaii 1 1st 74%22%Colleen HanabusaHawaii 2 2nd 73% 22%Tulsi Gabbard
References
External links
Official campaign websites
Brian Schatz (D) for Senate
John Roco (R) for Senate
2016
Hawaii
United States Senate