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2016 Bolivian constitutional referendum
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2016 Bolivian constitutional referendum Bolivia Do you agree with the reform of Article 168 of the Political Constitution of the State so that the president and the vice president of the state can be re-elected twice continuously? 100 21 February 2016 2546135 2682517 5490919 6502069 2016 Bolivian referendum map.svg region
A constitutional referendum was held in Bolivia on Sunday, 21 February 2016. The proposed constitutional amendments would have allowed the president and vice president to run for a third consecutive term under the 2009 Constitution (which would be a fourth consecutive term, including their pre-2009 term).Bolivia's Re-election Referendum: The case for Yes and No http://latincorrespondent.com/2016/02/bolivias-re-election-referendum-the-case-for-yes-and-no/ Latin Correspondent 18 February 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160219103934/http://latincorrespondent.com/2016/02/bolivias-re-election-referendum-the-case-for-yes-and-no/ 19 February 2016 usurped dmy-all The proposal was voted down by a 51.3% majority.https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/feb/22/bolivia-evo-morales-president-national-referendum-fourth-term Bolivian referendum goes against Evo Morales as voters reject fourth term Dan Collyns Jonathan Watts The Guardian 28 May 2022
Background
thumb|A referendum voter
Article 168 of the 2009 constitution allows the President and Vice-President to put themselves forward for re-election only once, limiting the number of terms to two. The governing party, the Movement for Socialism (MAS) sponsored an effort to amend this article. The referendum was authorized by a combined session of the Plurinational Legislative Assembly on 26 September 2015, by a vote of 112 to 41.La ALP sancionó la Ley de Reforma parcial de la CPE https://web.archive.org/web/20151226052237/http://www.vicepresidencia.gob.bo/La-ALP-sanciono-la-Ley-de-Reforma-parcial-de-la-CPE 2015-12-26 Vice President of BoliviaBolivia passes law to allow Morales to run for fourth term Reuters, 25 September 2015 Law 757, which convenes the February referendum, was passed 113 to 43, and was promulgated on 5 November 2015.
Bolivian elections are conducted under an "act of good governance," which prohibits electoral propaganda in the days before an election, and tightly regulates motorized transport.November 2016 It was illegal to buy or consume alcohol for 48 hours prior to the referendum to ensure voters took note of their decision.
A successful 'yes' vote would have allowed President Evo Morales and Vice President Álvaro García Linera to run for a fourth term in office in 2019. Morales had already been elected three times. The first time, in 2006, is not counted as it was before the two term limit was introduced by the 2009 constitution.Consulta para habilitar a Evo está en marcha; El MAS ‘se juega la vida’ https://web.archive.org/web/20191018185948/http://la-razon.com/nacional/Referendum_constitucional-consulta-habilitar-Evo-marcha-MAS-juega_0_2376362395.html 2019-10-18 La Razón, 6 November 2015
Disinformation campaigns
In the run-up to the referendum, opponents claimed that Morales had fathered an out-of-wedlock child2016-05-17 Bolivian leader Morales' estranged son 'does not exist' en-GB BBC News https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-36310935 2022-07-18 named "Ernesto Fidel Morales" after Ernesto "Che" Guevera and Fidel Castro.Gustafson Bret Darin Bolivia in the age of gas Duke University Press 2020 978-1-4780-1252-8 Durham 224–225 1159629686 The story was "mostly fake news."Gustafson Bret Darin Bolivia in the age of gas Duke University Press 2020 978-1-4780-1252-8 Durham 225 1159629686 There had been a relationship, but never a child, and the woman had borrowed a child from her aunt to present to the press in support of the false allegations. Referendum supporters claim that the allegations hurt Morales in the polls.2022-07-18 Bolivian leader Morales' estranged son 'does not exist' - BBC News https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-36310935 https://web.archive.org/web/20220718160010/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-36310935 2022-07-18 2022-07-18
Opinion polls
PollsterDate ofpublicationYesNoUndecidedIPSOShttp://www.eldeber.com.bo/bolivia/ganara-referendo-segun-encuestas-ipsos.html El Sí ganará el referendo según encuestas de Ipsos El Deber 26 October 2015 8 December 2015 10 March 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160310002954/http://www.eldeber.com.bo/bolivia/ganara-referendo-segun-encuestas-ipsos.html dead 26 October 201549%39%11%Mercados y Muestrashttp://www.lostiempos.com/diario/actualidad/nacional/20151205/54-rechaza-la-reforma-de-la-cpe-para-otra-reelecci%C3%B3n-de_325087_721898.html 54% rechaza la reforma de la CPE para otra reelección de Evo Los Tiempos 5 December 2015 8 December 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20151210215444/http://www.lostiempos.com/diario/actualidad/nacional/20151205/54-rechaza-la-reforma-de-la-cpe-para-otra-reelecci%C3%B3n-de_325087_721898.html 10 December 2015 dead 5 December 201540%54%6%IPSOShttp://www.eldeber.com.bo/bolivia/50-rechaza-reforma-viabiliza-reeleccion.html 50% rechaza reforma que viabiliza la reelección, según encuesta El Deber 29 December 2015 1 December 2016 4 March 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160304095335/http://www.eldeber.com.bo/bolivia/50-rechaza-reforma-viabiliza-reeleccion.html dead 29 December 201545%50%5%MORIhttp://www.eldeber.com.bo/bolivia/41-poblacion-votaria.html Encuesta para EL DEBER da ventaja ajustada al 'Sí' El Deber 11 January 2016 12 January 2016 4 April 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160404184935/http://www.eldeber.com.bo/bolivia/41-poblacion-votaria.html dead 11 January 201641%37%19%IPSOShttp://www.la-razon.com/nacional/Encuesta-Ipsos-reforma-Constitucion-frente_0_2418358244.html Encuesta Ipsos: El No a la reforma a la Constitución gana al Sí con 44% frente al 38% La Razón 15 January 2016 16 January 2016 25 December 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20161225082732/http://www.la-razon.com/nacional/Encuesta-Ipsos-reforma-Constitucion-frente_0_2418358244.html dead http://www.dw.com/es/bolivia-morales-promete-aceptar-sin-reclamos-si-gana-el-no-en-febrero/a-18981469 Bolivia: Morales promete aceptar sin reclamos si gana el "No" en febrero DW 14 January 2016 16 January 201613 January 201638%44%14%Captura Consultinghttp://www.abi.bo/abi/?i=343177 Encuesta revela que 44,4% apoya el Sí a la repostulación del presidente Evo Morales en el eje central del país ABI - Agencia Boliviana de Información 11 February 2016 12 February 2016 6 September 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160906185042/http://www.abi.bo/abi/?i=343177 dead 10 February 201644%41%15%MORIhttp://www.eldeber.com.bo/elecciones/encuesta-mori-dice-no-crecio.html Encuesta de Mori dice que el No creció y que empata al Sí El Deber 12 February 2016 12 February 2016 16 February 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160216002236/http://www.eldeber.com.bo/elecciones/encuesta-mori-dice-no-crecio.html dead 12 February 201640%40%11%IPSOShttp://www.la-razon.com/nacional/animal_electoral/ganara-referendum-encuestas-Ipsos_0_2435156568.html El No obtiene mínima ventaja sobre el Sí en el referéndum según encuesta de Ipsos La Razón 12 February 2016 12 February 2016 14 February 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160214083645/http://la-razon.com/nacional/animal_electoral/ganara-referendum-encuestas-Ipsos_0_2435156568.html dead 40%41%15%Mercados y Muestrashttp://www.lostiempos.com/diario/actualidad/nacional/20160214/intenci%C3%B3n-de-voto-el-s%C3%AD-cae-a-28-y-el-no-sube-a-47_332962_740207.html Intención de voto: El Sí cae a 28% y el No sube a 47% Los Tiempos 14 February 2016 14 February 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160215094608/http://www.lostiempos.com/diario/actualidad/nacional/20160214/intenci%C3%B3n-de-voto-el-s%C3%AD-cae-a-28-y-el-no-sube-a-47_332962_740207.html 15 February 2016 dead14 February 201628%47%25%
Results
2546135 2682517 262267 6502069 OEP
Aftermath
In January 2017, Morales expelled Foreign Relationships Minister David Choquehuanca from his cabinet for suggesting he should be MAS Presidential candidate after the referendum's results.Ferreira Javier GOBIERNO. Nuevo Gabinete para el estrecho objetivo de la re elección presidencial https://www.laizquierdadiario.com.bo/Nuevo-Gabinete-para-el-estrecho-objetivo-de-la-re-eleccion-presidencial La Izquierda Diario
In September 2017 the Movement for Socialism applied to the Plurinational Constitutional Court to abolish term limits. In November the court ruled in favour of their abolition, citing the American Convention on Human Rights.Bolivian court clears way for Morales to run for fourth term Reuters, 28 November 2017 The ruling allowed Morales to run for re-election in the 2019 elections.Blair Laurence Evo for ever? Bolivia scraps term limits as critics blast 'coup' to keep Morales in power https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/dec/03/evo-morales-bolivia-president-election-limits 1 January 2018 The Guardian 3 December 2017
References
Bolivia
Constitutional
Category:Referendums in Bolivia
Category:Term limit abolition referendums