2007 Ontario general election

Canadian provincial election September 2023 2007 Ontario general election Ontario parliamentary no no no 52.8% (4.07pp) 2003 Ontario general election 2003 38th Legislative Assembly of Ontario 39th Legislative Assembly of Ontario 2011 Ontario general election 2011 107 seats in the 39th Legislative Assembly of Ontario 54 seats were needed for a majority October 10, 2007 Dalton McGuinty, Mayors' Summit (cropped).jpg 120 120 160 0 0 ON Liberal nohash Dalton McGuinty December 1, 1996 ON Liberal name Ottawa South 72 seats, 46.47% 67 71 4 1,869,273 42.25% 4.22pp John Tory, Air India Flight 182 Memorial ground breaking (cropped).jpg 120 120 160 0 0 ON PC nohash John Tory September 18, 2004 ON PC name Ran in Don Valley West (lost)Tory represented Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey in the previous legislature though did not seek re-election, opting to run in Don Valley West instead. 24 seats, 34.67% 25 26 1 1,398,806 31.62% 3.05pp Howard Hampton, Toronto City Summit Alliance (cropped).jpg 120 120 160 0 0 ON NDP nohash Howard Hampton June 22, 1996 ON NDP name Kenora—Rainy River 7 seats, 14.69% 10 10 741,465 16.76% 2.07pp Frank de Jong 01 Pengo (3x4 crop).jpg 120 120 160 0 0 ON Green nohash Frank de Jong 1993 ON Green name Ran in Davenport (lost) 0 seats, 2.81% 0 0 354,897 8.02% 5.21pp Ontario_Election_2007_Riding_Results_Map.svg 330px Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom. Premier Premier after election Dalton McGuinty ON Liberal name Dalton McGuinty ON Liberal name General elections were held on October 10, 2007, to elect members (MPPs) of the 39th Legislative Assembly of the province of Ontario, Canada. The Liberals under Premier Dalton McGuinty won the election with a majority government, winning 71 out of a possible 107 seats with 42.2% of the popular vote. The election saw the third-lowest voter turnout in Ontario provincial elections, setting a then record for the lowest voter turnout with 52.8% of people who were eligible voted. This broke the previous record of 54.7% in the 1923 election,http://toronto.ctvnews.ca/boring-campaign-behind-poor-voter-turnout-analysts-1.259618 Boring campaign behind poor voter turnout: analysts CTV News Toronto October 11, 2007 2014-05-28 2014-05-29 https://web.archive.org/web/20140529051455/http://toronto.ctvnews.ca/boring-campaign-behind-poor-voter-turnout-analysts-1.259618 dead but would end up being surpassed in the 2011 and 2022 elections. As a result of legislation passed by the Legislature in 2004, election dates are now fixed by formula so that an election is held approximately four years after the previous election, unless the government is defeated by a vote of "no confidence" in the Legislature. Previously, the governing party had considerable flexibility to determine the date of an election anywhere up to five years of being elected. The date of this election was originally presumed to be October 4, 2007; Howlett Karen Ontario government changes election date Online update The Globe and Mail Newspaper 2007-02-07 https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ontario-government-changes-election-date/article1070534/ 2014-05-28 Toronto 2014-06-05 https://web.archive.org/web/20140605184812/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ontario-government-changes-election-date/article1070534/ live however, the law fixes the date on the first Thursday of October or on any day within seven days thereof if required to accommodate a date of "religious or cultural significance". The date was set as October 10, 2007, to avoid a conflict with the Jewish holiday of Shemini Atzeret, which fell on October 4, 2007. In the same election, there was a provincial referendum on whether to change from first-past-the-post to mixed member proportional representation, as recommended by the Ontario Citizens' Assembly on Electoral Reform. This measure failed, with 37% of the participating electorate and 5 out of 107 ridings voting for the new system; a 60% supermajority was required province-wide, with at least 2/3 of the ridings also supporting it by a simple majority.Electoral System Referendum Act, 2007, S.O. 2007, c. 1 - Bill 155 24 July 2014 https://www.ontario.ca/laws/statute/s07001 Issues Although all four parties released a variety of detailed platform proposals, the campaign was dominated almost entirely by John Tory's promise to extend public funding to Ontario's faith-based schools.Caroline Alphonso http://v1.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20070910.wleaders10/front/Front/Front/ Ontario campaign starts with verbal attacks The Globe and Mail September 10, 2007 2014-05-28 2014-05-29 https://web.archive.org/web/20140529052239/http://v1.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20070910.wleaders10/front/Front/Front/ dead In Ontario at present, the Catholic school system is fully funded in the same manner as public schools. However, other religious schools, such as Jewish, Muslim or Christian schools, are not funded by the province. This discrepancy has been cited as discriminatory by both the Supreme Court of Canada and the United Nations Human Rights Committee, although to date the province has taken no action to change its existing school funding policies, on the grounds that Catholic school funding in the province is mandated by the Constitution of Canada. Tory's proposal to extend funding to religious schools was controversial, with polls confirming that a clear majority of Ontarians opposed the proposal. Even some of Tory's own caucus, most notably Bill Murdoch and Garfield Dunlop, openly criticized the proposal during the election campaign. After heavy opposition, Tory changed his position later in the campaign, promising a free vote on the issue.http://www.cbc.ca/cp/national/071001/n100121A.html Progressive Conservatives to soften position on faith-based schools: report 2007-10-11 2007-10-12 https://web.archive.org/web/20071012094303/http://www.cbc.ca/cp/national/071001/n100121A.html live The Liberals and the NDP were both opposed to non-Catholic religious school funding, while the Green Party proposed eliminating the province's existing Catholic school funding in favour of a single public school board. Liberal opposition to non-Catholic religious school funding, especially private Muslim schools, appealed to Islamophobic sentiment in the province.https://nationalpost.com/opinion/chris-selley-dalton-mcguinty-a-man-of-many-self-serving-regrets Progressive Conservatives to soften position on faith-based schools: report Christ Selley The National Post 21 November 2015http://policyoptions.irpp.org/magazines/ontario-2007-dalton-mcguinty/how-ontario-got-a-one-issue-campaign/ How Ontario got a one-issue campaign Robin V. Sears 1 November 2007 12 March 2018 12 March 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20180312205301/http://policyoptions.irpp.org/magazines/ontario-2007-dalton-mcguinty/how-ontario-got-a-one-issue-campaign/ live There was a brief flurry of interest in health care issues when John Tory emphasized his support for an increasing role for the private sector in health care. In the final week of the campaign, NDP leader Howard Hampton criticized the media for focusing almost entirely on religious schools and virtually ignoring other issues. Redistribution thumb|left|220px|Seat distribution and arrangement in the Ontario Legislative Assembly. With the passing of Bill 214 and the Representation Act, 2005 in the year 2005, Ontario's electoral boundaries were no longer identical to the federal electoral boundaries. Electoral Districts Elections Ontario Website Elections Ontario, Government of Ontario 2005 http://www.electionsontario.on.ca/en-CA/Tools/ElectoralDistricts/ElectoralDistricts.htm 2007-08-22 https://web.archive.org/web/20070927175109/http://www.electionsontario.on.ca/en-CA/Tools/ElectoralDistricts/ElectoralDistricts.htm 2007-09-27 dead The province was now divided into 11 northern electoral districts that were identical, except for a minor boundary adjustment, to the ones that existed on October 2, 2003, and 96 southern electoral districts that were identical to their federal counterparts as they existed on September 1, 2004. The 11 northern electoral districts were: Algoma—Manitoulin, Kenora—Rainy River, Nickel Belt, Nipissing, Parry Sound—Muskoka, Sault Ste. Marie, Sudbury, Thunder Bay—Atikokan, Thunder Bay—Superior North, Timiskaming—Cochrane, and Timmins—James Bay. As a result of the redistribution, none of the three major parties took fewer seats than it held at the dissolution of the previous legislature. The Liberals and the Progressive Conservatives each gained seats, while the New Democratic Party's seat total remained unchanged. Contests + Candidate contests in the ridingsCandidates nominated Ridings PartyLibPCNDPGreenFCP Family Coalition PartyIndLtn LibertarianFree Freedom PartyComm CommunistOthMinor political parties fielding fewer than eight candidates are aggregated together.Totals 4 17 17 17 17 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 68 5 38 38 38 38 38 33 2 2 1 0 0 190 6 32 32 32 32 32 32 10 10 4 4 4 192 7 12 12 12 12 12 12 9 7 6 2 0 84 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 9 5 4 1 3 56 9 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 0 1 1 9 Totals 107 107 107 107 107 83 32 25 15 8 8 599 a Results Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario election results |- style="background-color:#CCCCCC" !rowspan="2" colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" |Party !rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" |Party leader !rowspan="2"|Candidates !colspan="4" style="text-align:center;" |Seats !colspan="3" style="text-align:center;" |Popular vote |- style="background-color:#CCCCCC" | style="text-align:center;" |2003 | style="text-align:center;font-size:80%;" |Dissol. | style="text-align:center;" |2007 | style="text-align:center;" |Change | style="text-align:center;" |# | style="text-align:center;" |% | style="text-align:center;" |Change ON Liberal row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Dalton McGuinty | style="text-align:right;" |107 | style="text-align:right;" |72 | style="text-align:right;" |67 | style="text-align:right;" |71 | style="text-align:right;" |+6.0% | style="text-align:right;" |1,869,273 | style="text-align:right;" |42.25% | style="text-align:right;" |-4.22% ON PC row-name | style="text-align:left;" |John Tory | style="text-align:right;" |107 | style="text-align:right;" |24 | style="text-align:right;" |25 | style="text-align:right;" |26 | style="text-align:right;" |+4.0% | style="text-align:right;" |1,398,806 | style="text-align:right;" |31.62% | style="text-align:right;" |-3.05% ON NDP row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Howard Hampton | style="text-align:right;" |107 | style="text-align:right;" |7 | style="text-align:right;" |10 | style="text-align:right;" |10 | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |741,465 | style="text-align:right;" |16.77% | style="text-align:right;" |+2.08% ON Green row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Frank de Jong | style="text-align:right;" |107 | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |354,897 | style="text-align:right;" |8.02% | style="text-align:right;" |+5.20% ON FCP row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Giuseppe Gori | style="text-align:right;" |83 | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |35,702 | style="text-align:right;" |0.81% | style="text-align:right;" |+0.01% ON Libertarian row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Sam Apelbaum | style="text-align:right;" |25 | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |9,249 | style="text-align:right;" |0.21% | style="text-align:right;" |+0.17% ON Freedom row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Paul McKeever | style="text-align:right;" |15 | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |3,003 | style="text-align:right;" |0.07% | style="text-align:right;" |-0.13% ON Communist row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Elizabeth Rowley | style="text-align:right;" |8 | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |1,603 | style="text-align:right;" |0.04% | style="text-align:right;" |-0.01% ON Special Needs row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Danish Ahmed | style="text-align:right;" |2 | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |502 | style="text-align:right;" |0.01% | style="text-align:right;" |- ON CoR row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Eileen Butson | style="text-align:right;" |2 | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |446 | style="text-align:right;" |0.01% | style="text-align:right;" |+0.00% ON Reform row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Brad Harness | style="text-align:right;" |2 | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |354 | style="text-align:right;" |0.01% | style="text-align:right;" |- ON Republican row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Trueman Tuck | style="text-align:right;" |2 | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |272 | style="text-align:right;" |0.01% | style="text-align:right;" |- ON Independent row | colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" |Independents and no affiliation | style="text-align:right;" |32 | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |- | style="text-align:right;" |8,326 | style="text-align:right;" |0.19% | style="text-align:right;" |-0.11% ON Vacant row | style="text-align:left;" colspan="4" |Vacant | style="text-align:right;" |1 | style="text-align:center;" colspan="5" |  |- | style="text-align:left;" colspan="3" |Total | style="text-align:right;" | | style="text-align:right;" |103 | style="text-align:right;" |103 | style="text-align:right;" |107 | style="text-align:right;" |8,380,551 | style="text-align:right;" |4,423,898 | style="text-align:right;" |100% | style="text-align:right;" |- |} Two independent candidates are running for the unregistered Communist League, while two others are perennial candidates of the Communist Party of Canada (Marxist–Leninist). Eileen Butson, party president, acted as the CoR's spokesperson as the party decided not to have a party leader. Vote and seat summaries Ternary plots - shift of electoral support (2003-2007) 350 200 yes center Electoral districts identified by colours of winning parties File:Ternary ON2003.svg 2003 Ternary plot of 2003 results File:Ternary ON2007.svg 2007 Ternary plot of 2007 results Popular vote #ddd 600px 410px Liberal ON Liberal 42.25 PC ON PC 31.62 New Democratic ON NDP 16.77 Green ON Green 8.02 Others ON Independent 1.34Seats summary #ddd 600px 410px Liberal ON Liberal 66.36 PC ON PC 24.30 New Democratic ON NDP 9.35 Synopsis of results Results by riding of the Ontario general election, 2007 + Results by riding - 2007 Ontario general election https://results.elections.on.ca/en/data-explorer?fromYear=1867&toYear=2019&electionType=GE&electionId=319&levelOfDetail=election 2007 Ontario General Election elections.on.ca Elections Ontario June 21, 2023 Riding Winning party Turnoutincluding spoilt ballots Votesminor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately 2003 1stplace Votes Share Margin# Margin% 2ndplace Lib PC NDP Green Ind Independent or No Affiliation Other Total  Ajax—Pickering New Lib 19,857 49.07% 5,959 14.73% PC 49.34% 19,857 13,898 3,275 3,067 - 368 40,465Algoma—Manitoulin Lib Lib 11,361 42.56% 1,498 5.61% NDP 54.49% 11,361 3,744 9,863 1,374 - 354 26,696Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale Lib Lib 20,445 41.16% 3,353 6.75% PC 58.12% 20,445 17,092 6,814 4,112 222 985 49,670Barrie PC Lib 19,548 42.20% 1,381 2.98% PC 51.95% 19,548 18,167 3,700 4,385 179 341 46,320Beaches—East York NDP NDP 17,522 44.32% 7,307 18.48% Lib 54.37% 10,215 6,166 17,522 4,785 - 851 39,539Bramalea—Gore—Malton Lib Lib 19,106 47.00% 7,172 17.64% PC 43.65% 19,106 11,934 5,016 4,120 - 471 40,647Brampton—Springdale Lib Lib 17,673 50.66% 6,965 19.97% PC 43.45% 17,673 10,708 3,800 2,292 - 410 34,883Brampton West Lib Lib 20,746 46.19% 5,626 12.53% PC 43.92% 20,746 15,120 4,901 3,471 185 488 44,911Brant Lib Lib 23,485 49.16% 9,698 20.30% PC 52.69% 23,485 13,787 6,536 3,272 289 403 47,772Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound PC PC 21,156 46.61% 6,117 13.48% Green 59.96% 6,774 21,156 1,721 15,039 - 695 45,385Burlington PC PC 21,578 41.34% 1,854 3.55% Lib 58.91% 19,724 21,578 5,728 4,779 - 391 52,200Cambridge PC PC 17,942 41.70% 3,238 7.52% Lib 49.69% 14,704 17,942 5,896 3,842 - 646 43,030Carleton—Mississippi Mills PC PC 25,126 47.83% 8,350 15.89% Lib 55.30% 16,776 25,126 4,002 5,517 - 1,112 52,533Chatham-Kent—Essex Lib Lib 18,782 51.98% 8,415 23.29% PC 48.81% 18,782 10,367 4,601 2,054 - 326 36,130Davenport Lib Lib 12,467 41.82% 1,587 5.32% NDP 45.84% 12,467 2,805 10,880 3,047 114 500 29,813Don Valley East Lib Lib 19,667 55.63% 10,789 30.52% PC 51.30% 19,667 8,878 3,759 2,287 467 297 35,355Don Valley West Lib Lib 23,080 50.44% 4,924 10.76% PC 59.20% 23,080 18,156 2,138 2,202 - 183 45,759Dufferin—Caledon PC PC 16,522 41.85% 3,884 9.84% Lib 52.50% 12,638 16,522 3,893 6,430 - - 39,483Durham PC PC 21,515 46.96% 6,785 14.81% Lib 54.34% 14,730 21,515 5,521 4,053 - - 45,819Eglinton—Lawrence Lib Lib 17,402 43.23% 2,145 5.33% PC 55.62% 17,402 15,257 4,039 2,871 90 594 40,253Elgin—Middlesex—London Lib Lib 20,085 49.10% 7,625 18.64% PC 53.09% 20,085 12,460 4,643 3,363 - 353 40,904Essex Lib Lib 19,970 48.02% 9,570 23.01% PC 48.69% 19,970 10,400 8,638 2,220 - 358 41,586Etobicoke Centre Lib Lib 22,939 50.07% 7,272 15.87% PC 59.40% 22,939 15,667 3,847 3,357 - - 45,810Etobicoke—Lakeshore Lib Lib 20,218 45.99% 6,736 15.32% PC 53.62% 20,218 13,482 5,837 3,467 480 478 43,962Etobicoke North Lib Lib 15,147 54.85% 9,346 33.84% PC 45.19% 15,147 5,801 4,101 1,312 - 1,255 27,616Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Lib Lib 24,345 60.51% 13,418 33.35% PC 52.80% 24,345 10,927 2,281 2,344 - 337 40,234Guelph Lib Lib 20,346 40.92% 8,166 16.42% PC 57.03% 20,346 12,180 6,880 9,750 - 571 49,727Haldimand—Norfolk PC PC 26,135 60.92% 16,599 38.69% Lib 56.25% 9,536 26,135 4,546 2,230 - 457 42,904Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock PC PC 24,273 49.99% 9,946 20.49% Lib 59.22% 14,327 24,273 5,785 3,475 - 692 48,552Halton PC PC 22,677 41.84% 176 0.32% Lib 51.53% 22,501 22,677 4,160 4,376 - 487 54,201Hamilton Centre New NDP 17,176 44.72% 6,080 15.83% Lib 48.63% 11,096 5,673 17,176 3,610 - 852 38,407Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Lib NDP 16,272 37.65% 1,210 2.80% Lib 51.36% 15,062 9,310 16,272 2,122 - 452 43,218Hamilton Mountain Lib Lib 17,387 37.24% 1,734 3.71% NDP 53.33% 17,387 10,982 15,653 2,172 - 493 46,687Huron—Bruce Lib Lib 20,469 45.95% 6,863 15.41% PC 59.80% 20,469 13,606 5,932 2,911 595 1,035 44,548Kenora—Rainy River NDP NDP 14,281 60.62% 8,529 36.20% Lib 46.16% 5,752 2,757 14,281 769 - - 23,559Kingston and the Islands Lib Lib 23,277 47.23% 12,276 24.91% PC 53.96% 23,277 11,001 10,129 4,321 - 556 49,284Kitchener Centre Lib Lib 17,484 45.90% 7,767 20.39% PC 49.58% 17,484 9,717 6,707 3,162 425 599 38,094Kitchener—Conestoga New Lib 16,315 41.82% 1,865 4.78% PC 49.25% 16,315 14,450 4,545 2,805 - 901 39,016Kitchener—Waterloo PC PC 20,748 40.84% 4,900 9.65% Lib 53.63% 15,848 20,748 8,902 4,707 - 598 50,803Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Lib Lib 18,228 43.27% 2,933 6.96% PC 55.18% 18,228 15,295 4,520 3,329 - 758 42,130Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington New PC 18,213 40.58% 820 1.83% Lib 52.08% 17,393 18,213 5,623 3,186 - 462 44,877Leeds—Grenville PC PC 22,755 56.24% 11,153 27.56% Lib 55.11% 11,602 22,755 2,821 2,907 - 377 40,462London—Fanshawe Lib Lib 13,742 38.68% 3,982 11.21% PC 48.21% 13,742 9,760 9,350 2,548 129 - 35,529London North Centre Lib Lib 21,669 47.17% 10,772 23.45% PC 50.00% 21,669 10,897 7,649 5,720 - - 45,935London West Lib Lib 25,967 52.42% 13,956 28.18% PC 57.83% 25,967 12,011 5,562 5,184 201 607 49,532Markham—Unionville Lib Lib 21,149 59.47% 11,575 32.55% PC 40.51% 21,149 9,574 2,597 1,910 - 335 35,565Mississauga—Brampton South New Lib 19,738 53.78% 10,405 28.35% PC 42.46% 19,738 9,333 3,785 3,846 - 0 36,702Mississauga East—Cooksville Lib Lib 22,249 58.93% 13,534 35.85% PC 47.48% 22,249 8,715 3,192 2,361 - 1,235 37,752Mississauga—Erindale Lib Lib 21,551 47.85% 6,638 14.74% PC 47.08% 21,551 14,913 5,056 3,521 - - 45,041Mississauga South Lib Lib 19,195 46.68% 5,008 12.18% PC 54.08% 19,195 14,187 3,745 3,629 - 365 41,121Mississauga—Streetsville Lib Lib 20,264 52.55% 9,109 23.62% PC 45.63% 20,264 11,155 3,944 2,925 - 274 38,562Nepean—Carleton PC PC 27,070 50.28% 9,339 17.35% Lib 54.61% 17,731 27,070 4,000 4,500 - 533 53,834Newmarket—Aurora PC PC 19,460 42.72% 1,355 2.97% Lib 55.21% 18,105 19,460 3,290 4,182 - 518 45,555Niagara Falls Lib Lib 22,210 47.53% 7,670 16.41% PC 51.08% 22,210 14,540 4,605 5,373 - - 46,728Niagara West—Glanbrook PC PC 24,311 51.06% 10,021 21.05% Lib 58.57% 14,290 24,311 5,809 3,206 - - 47,616Nickel Belt NDP NDP 15,126 46.59% 2,762 8.51% Lib 53.56% 12,364 3,263 15,126 1,374 - 341 32,468Nipissing Lib Lib 13,781 42.11% 458 1.40% PC 56.79% 13,781 13,323 4,136 1,248 - 238 32,726Northumberland—Quinte West Lib Lib 22,287 45.37% 6,957 14.16% PC 54.92% 22,287 15,330 6,492 5,012 - - 49,121Oak Ridges—Markham New Lib 28,564 48.22% 7,197 12.15% PC 47.77% 28,564 21,367 4,698 3,815 342 455 59,241Oakville Lib Lib 23,761 49.81% 7,102 14.89% PC 58.26% 23,761 16,659 3,091 3,916 - 279 47,706Oshawa PC PC 15,977 39.02% 2,495 6.09% NDP 48.94% 8,762 15,977 13,482 2,474 - 253 40,948Ottawa Centre Lib Lib 18,255 34.91% 2,094 4.00% NDP 58.25% 18,255 10,416 16,161 6,458 283 720 52,293Ottawa—Orléans Lib Lib 25,649 52.86% 8,954 18.45% PC 57.86% 25,649 16,695 3,088 2,214 - 875 48,521Ottawa South Lib Lib 24,015 50.13% 9,809 20.48% PC 56.60% 24,015 14,206 4,467 3,902 - 1,311 47,901Ottawa—Vanier Lib Lib 20,954 50.96% 11,785 28.66% PC 51.49% 20,954 9,169 6,049 4,293 255 396 41,116Ottawa West—Nepean Lib Lib 23,842 50.64% 8,871 18.84% PC 57.51% 23,842 14,971 4,564 2,903 207 592 47,079Oxford PC PC 18,445 47.27% 6,990 17.91% Lib 53.72% 11,455 18,445 4,421 3,441 659 601 39,022Parkdale—High Park Lib NDP 18,194 44.71% 6,294 15.47% Lib 57.43% 11,900 6,024 18,194 3,938 - 638 40,694Parry Sound—Muskoka PC PC 17,348 47.22% 7,529 20.49% Lib 56.76% 9,819 17,348 5,015 4,557 - - 36,739Perth—Wellington Lib Lib 18,096 46.65% 5,758 14.84% PC 54.62% 18,096 12,338 3,912 3,051 217 1,175 38,789Peterborough Lib Lib 24,466 47.72% 11,290 22.02% PC 57.47% 24,466 13,176 8,523 4,473 - 634 51,272Pickering—Scarborough East Lib Lib 19,762 48.63% 6,878 16.92% PC 54.01% 19,762 12,884 4,563 2,572 275 585 40,641Prince Edward—Hastings New Lib 20,963 46.36% 6,123 13.54% PC 54.16% 20,963 14,840 6,287 2,663 - 463 45,216Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke PC PC 24,975 62.34% 15,070 37.62% Lib 57.55% 9,905 24,975 3,038 1,777 - 368 40,063Richmond Hill New Lib 19,456 47.83% 5,329 13.10% PC 47.23% 19,456 14,127 3,565 3,210 - 318 40,676St. Catharines Lib Lib 21,029 47.23% 8,165 18.34% PC 53.83% 21,029 12,864 7,069 3,152 - 406 44,520St. Paul's Lib Lib 21,280 47.43% 9,370 20.88% PC 55.99% 21,280 11,910 7,061 3,744 328 545 44,868Sarnia—Lambton Lib PC 16,145 38.16% 3,702 8.75% Lib 55.20% 12,443 16,145 11,349 2,376 - - 42,313Sault Ste. Marie Lib Lib 19,316 60.13% 10,841 33.75% NDP 55.56% 19,316 2,349 8,475 1,377 - 605 32,122Scarborough—Agincourt Lib Lib 19,541 58.08% 11,010 32.72% PC 46.01% 19,541 8,531 3,531 1,511 - 532 33,646Scarborough Centre Lib Lib 17,775 53.66% 9,455 28.55% PC 48.06% 17,775 8,320 4,401 1,827 - 800 33,123Scarborough—Guildwood Lib Lib 14,430 42.52% 4,927 14.52% PC 51.28% 14,430 9,503 7,441 1,811 - 751 33,936Scarborough—Rouge River Lib Lib 22,307 65.06% 17,347 50.59% PC 41.82% 22,307 4,960 4,691 1,276 - 1,055 34,289Scarborough Southwest Lib Lib 15,114 46.15% 6,755 20.63% PC 49.70% 15,114 8,359 5,930 2,649 - 695 32,747Simcoe—Grey PC PC 24,270 50.65% 11,823 24.67% Lib 54.86% 12,447 24,270 4,417 5,428 273 1,085 47,920Simcoe North PC PC 22,986 49.82% 8,892 19.27% Lib 54.06% 14,094 22,986 4,240 4,709 - 112 46,141Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry Lib Lib 18,660 48.86% 3,866 10.12% PC 51.81% 18,660 14,794 2,813 1,680 - 247 38,194Sudbury Lib Lib 19,307 58.77% 10,393 31.64% NDP 51.11% 19,307 2,605 8,914 1,608 124 293 32,851Thornhill Lib PC 22,244 45.92% 1,725 3.56% Lib 52.17% 20,519 22,244 2,657 2,507 158 356 48,441Thunder Bay—Atikokan Lib Lib 10,928 37.69% 50 0.17% NDP 52.36% 10,928 5,918 10,878 1,270 - - 28,994Thunder Bay—Superior North Lib Lib 13,373 46.78% 2,435 8.52% NDP 53.91% 13,373 2,688 10,938 1,586 - - 28,585Timiskaming—Cochrane Lib Lib 11,588 42.90% 634 2.35% NDP 54.80% 11,588 3,659 10,954 811 - - 27,012Timmins—James Bay NDP NDP 13,176 51.60% 3,447 13.50% Lib 53.76% 9,729 2,191 13,176 437 - - 25,533Toronto Centre Lib Lib 21,522 47.85% 12,438 27.65% PC 49.90% 21,522 9,084 8,464 4,412 358 1,141 44,981Toronto—Danforth NDP NDP 17,975 45.85% 6,527 16.65% Lib 53.18% 11,448 4,423 17,975 4,372 - 986 39,204Trinity—Spadina NDP NDP 18,508 41.15% 4,328 9.62% Lib 49.63% 14,180 6,235 18,508 5,156 504 390 44,973Vaughan Lib Lib 28,964 61.90% 20,205 43.18% PC 46.31% 28,964 8,759 5,470 2,975 623 - 46,791Welland NDP NDP 24,910 53.94% 14,330 31.03% Lib 55.29% 10,580 8,722 24,910 1,973 - - 46,185Wellington—Halton Hills PC PC 21,533 49.16% 8,221 18.77% Lib 57.49% 13,312 21,533 3,914 4,489 - 555 43,803Whitby—Oshawa PC PC 22,694 44.00% 4,134 8.02% Lib 53.54% 18,560 22,694 5,734 3,745 - 839 51,572Willowdale Lib Lib 21,166 47.73% 5,608 12.65% PC 49.51% 21,166 15,558 3,699 2,960 119 847 44,349Windsor—Tecumseh Lib Lib 17,894 49.34% 9,058 24.98% NDP 44.04% 17,894 6,106 8,836 2,696 - 735 36,267Windsor West Lib Lib 16,821 50.19% 8,217 24.52% NDP 41.02% 16,821 5,652 8,604 1,974 - 463 33,514York Centre Lib Lib 16,646 48.73% 5,618 16.45% PC 49.07% 16,646 11,028 3,713 2,207 - 568 34,162York—Simcoe PC PC 19,173 46.23% 6,388 15.40% Lib 49.73% 12,785 19,173 4,205 4,664 - 645 41,472York South—Weston Lib Lib 13,846 42.94% 452 1.40% NDP 46.34% 13,846 3,173 13,394 1,226 - 603 32,242York West Lib Lib 13,246 54.74% 6,482 26.79% NDP 44.44% 13,246 2,484 6,764 1,199 225 282 24,200 #B9E5B9 silver = new riding #EEBBBB silver = merged riding #F5F5DC silver = open seat #F0E68C silver = turnout is above provincial average #DCDCDC silver = incumbent re-elected #EABB94 silver = incumbent changed allegiance #DCD0FF silver = other incumbents renominated a Comparative analysis for ridings (2007 vs 2003) + Summary of riding results by turnout and vote share for winning candidate (vs 2003)Summarized from https://results.elections.on.ca/en/data-explorer?fromYear=1867&toYear=2022&levelOfDetail=election Data Explorer Elections Ontario December 15, 2022Riding and winning partyTurnoutVote share % Change (pp) % Change (pp)  Ajax—Pickering  LibHold 49.34 -10.29 -5 1em background:#708090 49.07 3.31 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Algoma—Manitoulin  LibHold 54.49 -3.34 -5 1em background:#708090 42.56 -6.12 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale  LibHold 58.12 2.84 -5 1em background:#708090 41.16 1.20 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Barrie  LibGain 51.95 -4.07 -5 1em background:#708090 42.20 6.07 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Beaches—East York  NDPHold 54.37 -1.26 -5 1em background:#708090 44.32 -6.91 -2 1em background:ON NDP Bramalea—Gore—Malton  LibHold 43.65 -6.16 -5 1em background:#708090 47.00 1.40 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Brampton—Springdale  LibHold 43.45 -6.80 -5 1em background:#708090 50.66 7.19 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Brampton West  LibHold 43.92 -6.91 -5 1em background:#708090 46.19 0.02 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Brant  LibHold 52.69 -3.45 -5 1em background:#708090 49.16 -5.39 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound  PCHold 59.96 -2.94 -5 1em background:#708090 46.61 -5.46 -2 1em background:ON PC Burlington  PCHold 58.91 -2.60 -5 1em background:#708090 41.34 -4.81 -2 1em background:ON PC Cambridge  PCHold 49.69 --4.10 -5 1em background:#708090 41.70 -0.80 -2 1em background:ON PC Carleton—Mississippi Mills  PCHold 55.30 -6.12 -5 1em background:#708090 47.83 -1.16 -2 1em background:ON PC Chatham—Kent—Essex  LibHold 48.81 -6.83 -5 1em background:#708090 51.98 -7.27 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Davenport  LibHold 45.84 -3.22 -5 1em background:#708090 41.82 -16.99 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Don Valley East  LibHold 51.30 -4.02 -5 1em background:#708090 55.63 -1.17 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Don Valley West  LibHold 59.20 -0.65 -5 1em background:#708090 50.44 -2.15 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Dufferin—Caledon  PCHold 52.50 -6.00 -5 1em background:#708090 41.85 -14.79 -2 1em background:ON PC Durham  PCHold 54.34 -4.06 -5 1em background:#708090 46.96 -0.14 -2 1em background:ON PC Eglinton—Lawrence  LibHold 55.62 -2.27 -5 1em background:#708090 43.23 -13.66 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Elgin—Middlesex—London  LibHold 53.09 -7.23 -5 1em background:#708090 49.10 -8.21 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Essex  LibHold 48.69 -4.68 -5 1em background:#708090 48.02 2.74 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Etobicoke Centre  LibHold 59.40 -3.09 -5 1em background:#708090 50.07 0.66 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Etobicoke—Lakeshore  LibHold 53.62 -5.90 -5 1em background:#708090 45.99 1.83 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Etobicoke North  LibHold 45.19 -2.72 -5 1em background:#708090 54.85 0.87 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Glengarry—Prescott—Russell  LibHold 52.80 -4.81 -5 1em background:#708090 60.51 -5.46 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Guelph  LibHold 57.03 -3.05 -5 1em background:#708090 40.92 -1.30 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Haldimand—Norfolk  PCHold 56.25 -3.13 -5 1em background:#708090 60.92 14.81 -2 1em background:ON PC Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock  PCHold 59.22 -3.95 -5 1em background:#708090 49.99 2.58 -2 1em background:ON PC Halton  PCHold 51.53 -8.20 -5 1em background:#708090 41.84 -6.36 -2 1em background:ON PC Hamilton Centre  NDP New 48.63 New 44.72 New Hamilton East—Stoney Creek  NDPGain 51.36 4.63 -5 1em background:#708090 37.65 8.23 -2 1em background:ON NDP Hamilton Mountain  LibHold 53.33 -5.63 -5 1em background:#708090 37.24 -14.55 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Huron—Bruce  LibHold 59.80 -6.66 -5 1em background:#708090 45.95 0.15 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Kenora—Rainy River  NDPHold 46.16 -2.41 -5 1em background:#708090 60.62 0.50 -2 1em background:ON NDP Kingston and the Islands  LibHold 53.96 -0.33 -5 1em background:#708090 47.23 -13.05 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Kitchener Centre  LibHold 49.58 -3.66 -5 1em background:#708090 45.90 3.30 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Kitchener—Conestoga  Lib New 49.25 New 41.82 New Kitchener—Waterloo  PCHold 53.63 -5.44 -5 1em background:#708090 40.84 -2.24 -2 1em background:ON PC Lambton—Kent—Middlesex  LibHold 55.18 -4.57 -5 1em background:#708090 43.27 -1.85 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington  PCGain 52.08 -6.60 -5 1em background:#708090 40.58 7.57 -2 1em background:ON PC Leeds—Grenville  PCHold 55.11 -7.00 -5 1em background:#708090 56.24 7.53 -2 1em background:ON PC London—Fanshawe  LibHold 48.21 -4.24 -5 1em background:#708090 38.68 2.81 -2 1em background:ON Liberal London North Centre  LibHold 50.00 -6.44 -5 1em background:#708090 47.17 3.74 -2 1em background:ON Liberal London West  LibHold 57.83 -2.19 -5 1em background:#708090 52.42 0.97 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Markham—Unionville  Lib New 40.51 New 59.47 New Mississauga—Brampton South  Lib New 42.46 New 53.78 New Mississauga East—Cooksville  Lib New 47.48 New 58.93 New Mississauga—Erindale  Lib New 47.08 New 47.85 New Mississauga South  LibHold 54.08 -2.81 -5 1em background:#708090 46.68 2.88 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Mississauga—Streetsville  Lib New 45.63 New 52.55 New Nepean—Carleton  PCHold 54.61 -7.61 -5 1em background:#708090 50.28 -3.78 -2 1em background:ON PC Newmarket—Aurora  PC New 55.21 New 42.72 New Niagara Falls  LibHold 51.08 -6.32 -5 1em background:#708090 47.53 0.67 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Niagara West—Glanbrook  PCHold 58.57 -2.28 -5 1em background:#708090 51.06 2.57 -2 1em background:ON PC Nickel Belt  NDPHold 53.56 -8.26 -5 1em background:#708090 46.59 0.06 -2 1em background:ON NDP Nipissing  LibHold 56.79 -5.81 -5 1em background:#708090 42.11 -7.73 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Northumberland—Quinte West  LibHold 54.92 -5.39 -5 1em background:#708090 45.37 0.33 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Oak Ridges—Markham  Lib New 47.77 New 48.22 New Oakville  LibHold 58.26 -4.05 -5 1em background:#708090 49.81 0.00 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Oshawa  PCHold 48.94 -2.53 -5 1em background:#708090 39.02 1.70 -2 1em background:ON PC Ottawa Centre  LibHold 58.25 2.62 -5 1em background:#708090 34.91 -10.19 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Ottawa—Orléans  LibHold 57.86 -5.53 -5 1em background:#708090 52.86 2.51 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Ottawa South  LibHold 56.60 -2.17 -5 1em background:#708090 50.13 -1.57 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Ottawa—Vanier  LibHold 51.49 0.69 -5 1em background:#708090 50.96 -2.57 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Ottawa West—Nepean  LibHold 57.51 -4.62 -5 1em background:#708090 50.64 3.60 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Oxford  PCHold 53.72 -6.50 -5 1em background:#708090 47.27 3.21 -2 1em background:ON PC Parkdale—High Park  NDPGain 57.43 2.50 -5 1em background:#708090 44.71 28.94 -2 1em background:ON NDP Parry Sound—Muskoka  PCHold 56.76 -3.27 -5 1em background:#708090 47.22 -1.29 -2 1em background:ON PC Perth—Wellington  LibHold 54.62 -5.07 -5 1em background:#708090 46.65 3.94 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Peterborough  LibHold 57.47 -5.29 -5 1em background:#708090 47.72 2.97 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Pickering—Scarborough East  Lib New 54.01 New 48.63 New Prince Edward—Hastings  LibHold 54.16 -3.04 -5 1em background:#708090 46.36 -11.02 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke  PCHold 57.55 -6.42 -5 1em background:#708090 62.34 18.20 -2 1em background:ON PC Richmond Hill  Lib New 47.23 New 47.83 New St. Catharines  LibHold 53.83 -2.60 -5 1em background:#708090 47.23 -10.21 -2 1em background:ON Liberal St. Paul's  LibHold 55.99 -2.04 -5 1em background:#708090 47.43 -7.33 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Sarnia—Lambton  PCGain 55.20 -4.14 -5 1em background:#708090 38.16 7.16 -2 1em background:ON PC Sault Ste. Marie  LibHold 55.56 -5.54 -5 1em background:#708090 60.13 3.09 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Scarborough—Agincourt  LibHold 46.01 -6.87 -5 1em background:#708090 58.08 -3.02 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Scarborough Centre  LibHold 48.06 -8.54 -5 1em background:#708090 53.66 1.60 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Scarborough—Guildwood  Lib New 51.28 New 42.52 New Scarborough—Rouge River  LibHold 41.82 -6.27 -5 1em background:#708090 65.06 1.21 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Scarborough Southwest  LibHold 49.70 -5.18 -5 1em background:#708090 46.15 -0.78 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Simcoe—Grey  PCHold 54.86 -5.43 -5 1em background:#708090 50.65 -0.82 -2 1em background:ON PC Simcoe North  PCHold 54.06 -6.79 -5 1em background:#708090 49.82 3.69 -2 1em background:ON PC Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry  LibHold 51.81 -3.97 -5 1em background:#708090 48.86 -2.33 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Sudbury  LibHold 51.11 -4.84 -5 1em background:#708090 58.77 -10.21 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Thornhill  PCGain 52.17 -5.61 -5 1em background:#708090 45.92 0.76 -2 1em background:ON PC Thunder Bay—Atikokan  LibHold 52.36 -3.24 -5 1em background:#708090 37.69 -20.56 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Thunder Bay—Superior North  LibHold 53.91 -1.70 -5 1em background:#708090 46.78 -25.67 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Timiskaming—Cochrane  LibHold 54.80 -6.35 -5 1em background:#708090 42.90 -16.66 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Timmins—James Bay  NDPHold 53.76 -3.54 -5 1em background:#708090 51.60 1.90 -2 1em background:ON NDP Toronto Centre  LibHold 49.90 -3.22 -5 1em background:#708090 47.85 -4.93 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Toronto—Danforth  NDPHold 53.18 -2.69 -5 1em background:#708090 45.85 -1.29 -2 1em background:ON NDP Trinity—Spadina  NDPHold 49.63 -2.41 -5 1em background:#708090 41.15 -6.36 -2 1em background:ON NDP Vaughan  Lib New 46.31 New 61.90 New Welland  NDPHold 55.29 -4.96 -5 1em background:#708090 53.94 4.30 -2 1em background:ON NDP Wellington—Halton Hills  PCHold 57.49 2.21 -5 1em background:#708090 49.16 0.18 -2 1em background:ON PC Whitby—Oshawa  PCHold 53.54 -6.86 -5 1em background:#708090 44.00 -4.33 -2 1em background:ON PC Willowdale  LibHold 49.51 -6.23 -5 1em background:#708090 47.73 0.76 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Windsor—Tecumseh  LibHold 44.04 -3.77 -5 1em background:#708090 49.34 -5.58 -2 1em background:ON Liberal Windsor West  LibHold 41.02 -2.85 -5 1em background:#708090 50.19 -12.32 -2 1em background:ON Liberal York Centre  LibHold 49.07 -0.52 -5 1em background:#708090 48.73 -10.68 -2 1em background:ON Liberal York—Simcoe  PCHold 49.73 -8.60 -5 1em background:#708090 46.23 -0.96 -2 1em background:ON PC York South—Weston  LibHold 46.34 -4.41 -5 1em background:#708090 42.94 -18.62 -2 1em background:ON Liberal York West  LibHold 44.44 0.49 -5 1em background:#708090 54.74 -14.58 -2 1em background:ON Liberal a Maps Principal races + Party candidates in 2nd place Party in 1st place Party in 2nd place TotalLibPCNDPGrnON Liberal row-name – 58 13 71ON PC row-name 24 – 1 1 26ON NDP row-name 10 – 10 Total34 58 14 1 107 + Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results Parties SeatsON Liberal colour&nameON PC colour&name82ON Liberal colour&nameON NDP colour&name23ON PC colour&nameON NDP colour&name1ON PC colour&nameON Green colour&name1 Total107 + Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th TotalON Liberal colour&name71 34 2 107ON PC colour&name26 58 22 1 107ON NDP colour&name10 14 65 18 107ON Green colour&name 1 18 88 107ON FCP colour&name 63 63ON Libertarian colour&name 16 16ON Independent colour&name 8 8ON Freedom colour&name 2 2ON Communist colour&name 1 + Resulting composition of the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario Source PartyLibPCNDPTotalIncumbents returned 60 22 8 90Open seats held 3 1 1 5Ouster of incumbent changing allegiance 1 1New seats gained 5 1 6Incumbents defeated 2 2 4Open seats gained 11Total 71 26 10 107 Incumbent MPPs who did not run for re-election Electoral districtIncumbent at dissolutionSubsequent nomineeNew MPPHamilton Mountain  Marie BountrogianniSophia Aggelonitis  Sophia AggelonitisScarborough East  Mary Anne Chambersriding dissolvedHamilton West  Judy Marsalesriding dissolvedNickel Belt  Shelley MartelFrance Gélinas  France GélinasStoney Creek  Jennifer MossopRiding dissolvedPrince Edward—Hastings  Ernie ParsonsLeona Dombrowsky  Leona DombrowskyOttawa Centre  Richard PattenYasir Naqvi  Yasir Naqvi Opinion polls Since the 2003 general election, several polls were conducted to determine the ongoing preference of voters. They showed a decline in Liberal support following the 2004 Ontario budget. Overall, support for the governing Liberals declined slightly since the 2003 election, the NDP gained some ground since the 2003 election, and the PCs' poll numbers did not change significantly since 2003. Support for the Green Party increased significantly, a shift which paralleled the increase in support for the party's federal counterpart. During the pre-election period, the Ontario Greens did not appear as an option in some of the polls. Polls indicate results for decided voters. More information can be found in the footnotes to each poll, including undecided results, if provided by the pollster. A dash indicates the absence of a prompt for that party. 2007 Ontario general election polling.chart 2007 Ontario general election polling.tab 500px +2007 Ontario general electionPolling firmDate releasedDate poll conducted Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democrats GreenHarris-DecimaOctober 9, 2007Liberals ride lead in polls while PC school funding flip fails to boost support SES Research/Sun Media October 9, 2007 http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-F07-T261.pdf 2007-10-09 2007-10-25 https://web.archive.org/web/20071025025847/http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-F07-T261.pdf live The poll results, based on a one-week sample of 709 Ontarians, have a margin of error of 3.7 per cent, 19 times out of 20.October 6 – 7, 200742311710SES ResearchOctober 9, 2007 Liberal Victory Imminent SES Research/Sun Media October 9, 2007 http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-F07-T261.pdf 2007-10-09 2007-10-25 https://web.archive.org/web/20071025025847/http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-F07-T261.pdf live Between October 4 and 6, 2006, random telephone survey with 501 Ontarians 18 years of age or older. The aggregate survey results are plus or minus 4.4%, 19 times out of 20. Margins of accuracy are wider for subgroup samples.October 6 – 7, 20074331189EnvironicsOctober 9, 2007 Ontario Liberals Headed for Majority Government Environics October 9, 2007 http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=649 2007-10-09 2007-10-12 https://web.archive.org/web/20071012171353/http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=649 live These results are taken from an Environics survey of 448 Ontarians eligible to vote, conducted between September 28 and October 2, 2007. The poll was conducted independently. On a provincial basis, these results are accurate to within +/- 4.7 percentage points, in 95 out of 100 samples. Green column includes other parties.September 28 – October 2, 20074631203Strategic CounselOctober 8, 2007 Poll says Ontario Liberals have 15-point lead Strategic Counsel/CTV News/The Globe and Mail October 8, 2007 https://www.ctvnews.ca/poll-says-ontario-liberals-have-15-point-lead-1.259345 https://web.archive.org/web/20071017162610/http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20071008/ontario_poll_071008/20071008?hub=TopStories dead October 17, 2007 2007-10-08 Interviews were conducted between Oct. 6 and Oct. 7, 2007. Results are based on tracking among a proportionate sample of Ontarians 18 years of age or older. A total of 850 Ontarians were surveyed. The Ontario margin of error is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.October 6 – 7, 200742271911Ipsos-ReidOctober 6, 2007 Tory's Gambit Fails: Grits Headed For Majority Government Ipsos-Reid/CanWest/National Post October 6, 2007 http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3671 2007-10-06 https://web.archive.org/web/20071010002723/http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3671 2007-10-10 dead These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television from October 2–4, 2007. For the survey, a representative randomly selected sample of 800 adults living in Ontario was interviewed by telephone. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within ± 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population living in Ontario been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Ontarian population according to Census data. Ipsos Reid’s companion poll was conducted on October 4–6, when a sample of 4241 adult was surveyed online via Ipsos’ I-Say Panel. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within ± 1.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population living in Ontario been polled. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Ontarian population according to Census data. There were 4% undecided.October 2 – 4, 20074332186Angus Reid StrategiesOctober 5, 2007 Ontario Liberals Hold Six-Point Advantage: Tory's Leadership Edge Evaporates; Now Tied with McGuinty Ontario Politics Angus-Reid Strategies 2007-10-05 http://angusreidstrategies.com/uploads/pages/pdfs/2007.10.05%20Ontario%20Press%20Release.pdf 2007-10-05 https://web.archive.org/web/20071025025844/http://angusreidstrategies.com/uploads/pages/pdfs/2007.10.05%20Ontario%20Press%20Release.pdf 2007-10-25 dead From October 4 to 5, 2007, Angus Reid Strategies conducted an online survey among a randomly selected, representative sample of 939 adults in Ontario. The margin of error for the total sample is +/- 3.2%, 19 times out of 20. The results have been statistically weighted according to the most current education, age, gender and region Census data to ensure a sample representative of the entire adult population of Ontario. Discrepancies in or between totals are due to rounding. Voter intent: Notably, 10 per cent of the Ontario electorate remains undecided, 10 per cent say they will not vote, and 30 per cent (-9) say they could change their mind between now and Election Day.October 4 – 5, 20074034197Decima ResearchOctober 2, 2007Liberal lead firming The Canadian Press/Harris-Decima October 2, 2007 http://www.decima.com/en/pdf/news_releases/071003E.pdf 2007-10-03 https://web.archive.org/web/20071025025844/http://www.decima.com/en/pdf/news_releases/071003E.pdf October 25, 2007 deadResults of the survey of 701 residents, with its margin of error of 3.7 percentage points 19 times out of 20.September 27 – October 1, 200743321410SES ResearchOctober 2, 2007 Grits Move Into Majority Territory SES Research/Sun Media October 2, 2007 http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-F07-T256.pdf 2007-10-02 2007-10-25 https://web.archive.org/web/20071025025844/http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-F07-T256.pdf live The aggregate survey results, or results including the undecided voters were: Libs 39.6%; Cons 30.6%; NDP 13.5%; Greens 6.3%; Undecided 10%. The aggregate survey is accurate ± 4.4% 19 times out of 20. Margins of accuracy are wider for subgroup samples. The data was weighted for gender and age to match the Canadian census results for Ontario. Result should be considered representative of the Ontario population. 500 Ontarians were surveyed. Number of Committed voters was 450, undecided voters were 50, or 10%. With just the committed voters the results are: Libs 44; Cons 34; NDP 15; Greens 7. The margin of error increases to ± 4.7%, 19 times out of 20. The results shown in the table are for the committed voters only.September 28 – 30, 20074434157Ipsos-ReidSeptember 29, 2007 Post Debate Tory Tumble Gives McGuinty Liberals Ten Point Lead Ipsos-Reid/CanWest/National Post September 29, 2007 http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3656 2007-09-29 https://web.archive.org/web/20071010002216/http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3656 October 10, 2007 dead mdy-all These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television from Sep 25 to September 27, 2007. For the survey, a representative randomly selected sample of 800 adults living in Ontario was interviewed by telephone. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within ± 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population living in Ontario been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Ontarian population according to Census data.September 25 – 27, 20074333176EnvironicsSeptember 28, 2007 Opposition grows to funding faith-based schools, but issue has little impact on vote intention Environics September 28, 2007 http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=647 2007-09-28 2007-10-11 https://web.archive.org/web/20071011215905/http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=647 live Between September 21st and September 25th, 2007, Environics conducted a random telephone survey of 504 Ontarians 18 years and older. The aggregate survey results are accurate ±4.4%, 19 times out of 20.September 21 – 25, 20073934207Decima ResearchSeptember 26, 2007Voting intentions stuck Ontario Politics Canadian Press/Harris Decima 2007-09-26 http://www.decima.com/en/pdf/news_releases/070926E.pdf 2007-09-28 https://web.archive.org/web/20071025025848/http://www.decima.com/en/pdf/news_releases/070926E.pdf 2007-10-25 dead it surveyed 706 respondents and has a margin of error of ± 3.7 per cent, 19 times out of 20 - are virtually identical to the previous week's findings.September 24 – 25, 200741321610Angus Reid StrategiesSeptember 25, 2007 McGuinty's Grits Lead by Five Points in Ontario Ontario Politics Angus-Reid Strategies 2007-09-25 http://www.angus-reid.com/uppdf/OntarioII.pdf 2007-09-26 https://web.archive.org/web/20071025025848/http://www.angus-reid.com/uppdf/OntarioII.pdf 2007-10-25 usurped Online interviews with 800 Ontario adults, conducted on Sept. 24 and Sept. 25, 2007. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent. Notably, 15 per cent of the Ontario electorate remains undecided and 39 per cent (-11) say they could change their mind between now and Election Day.September 24 – 25, 20074035168SES ResearchSeptember 25, 2007Nanos Nikita Grits Lead by Eight Points Ontario Politics SES Research/Sun Media 2007-09-25 http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-S07-T251.pdf 2007-09-25 2007-09-26 https://web.archive.org/web/20070926025837/http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-S07-T251.pdf live The aggregate survey results, or results including the undecided voters were: Libs 35; Cons 27; NDP 15; Greens 7; Undecided 14. The aggregate survey is accurate ± 4.4% 19 times out of 20. Margins of accuracy are wider for subgroup samples. The data was weighted for gender and age to match the Canadian census results for Ontario. Result should be considered representative of the Ontario population. 500 Ontarians were surveyed. Number of Committed voters was 433, undecided voters were 67, or 14%. With just the committed voters the results are: Libs 41; Cons 33; NDP 18; Greens 8. The margin of error increases to ± 4.9%, 19 times out of 20. The results shown in the table are for the committed voters only.September 21 – 23, 20074133188Ipsos-ReidSeptember 20, 2007 Will Hot Debate Thaw Frozen Voters? Ipsos-Reid/CanWest/National Post September 20, 2007 http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3649 2007-09-20 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20161221093056/http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=3649 December 21, 2016 These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television from September 11 to September 18, 2007. For the survey, a representative randomly selected sample of 800 adults living in Ontario was interviewed by telephone. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within ±3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population living in Ontario been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Ontarian population according to Census data.September 11 – 18, 20074037166Decima ResearchSeptember 19, 2007 Liberals maintain lead over Tories in latest poll The Canadian Press/Harris-Decima September 19, 2007 https://www.thestar.com/OntarioElection/article/258378 2007-09-19 Toronto Colin Perkel 2016-12-21 https://web.archive.org/web/20161221163517/https://www.thestar.com/news/2007/09/19/liberals_maintain_lead_over_tories_in_latest_poll.html liveResults of the survey of 704 residents, with its margin of error of 3.7 percentage points 19 times out of 20, is substantially similar to a poll done for The Canadian Press in the days just before the campaign formally got underway Sept. 10September 13 – 17, 200741321412Strategic CounselSeptember 18, 2007 Ontario voters pan faith-based education: poll CTV News/The Globe and Mail September 18, 2007 http://v1.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20070918.wontpoll18/business 2014-05-28 Toronto Karen Howlett 2014-05-29 https://web.archive.org/web/20140529084533/http://v1.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20070918.wontpoll18/business dead The survey of 850 Ontarians was conducted from Sept. 13 to Sept. 16, and is considered accurate to within 3.4 percentage points, 95 per cent of the time.September 13 – 16, 200740341610Ipsos-ReidSeptember 15, 2007 Ontario vote essentially stagnant after 1st week Ipsos-Reid/CanWest/National Post September 15, 2007 http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3640 2007-09-16 https://web.archive.org/web/20071010001905/http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3640 2007-10-10 dead These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television from Sep 4 to September 13, 2007. For the survey, a representative randomly selected sample of 800 adults living in Ontario was interviewed by telephone. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within ± 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population living in Ontario been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Ontarian population according to Census data.September 4 – 13, 20074037166EnvironicsSeptember 13, 2007 Ontarians divided over proposal to extend public funding to all religious schools Environics September 13, 2007 http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=643 2007-09-14 2007-10-03 https://web.archive.org/web/20071003005644/http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=643 live These results are taken from an Environics survey of 501 Ontarians aged 18 and older, conducted between September 6 and 9, 2007. The poll was conducted independently. On a provincial basis, these results are accurate to within +/-4.38 percentage points, in 95 out of 100 samples. The Green party again was not a prompt. Instead, in the poll, it lists 9% of voters would pick 'Other'. The poll also found that 21% of voters in the survey were undecided. The poll asked questions about funding faith-based schools, and found the electorate is roughly split down the middle. The question wordings were: (1) If a provincial election were held today, which one of the following parties would you vote for? (2) ([If "Undecided" ask) Perhaps you have not yet made up your mind; is there nevertheless a party you might be presently inclined to support?September 6 – 9, 2007393517-Angus Reid StrategiesSeptember 13, 2007 Liberals Lead by Two Points in Ontario Polls & Research Angus Reid Global Monitor 2007-09-14 http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/28232/liberals_lead_by_two_points_in_ontario 2007-09-14 https://web.archive.org/web/20071012183329/http://angus-reid.com/polls/view/28232/liberals_lead_by_two_points_in_ontario 2007-10-12 usurped Source: Angus Reid Strategies. Methodology: Online interviews with 725 Ontario adults, conducted on Sept. 7 and Sept. 8, 2007. Margin of error is 3.6 per cent. PDF file is available here http://www.angus-reid.com/uppdf/ONT_Sept.pdf Archived copy 2007-09-14 usurped https://web.archive.org/web/20070926025831/http://www.angus-reid.com/uppdf/ONT_Sept.pdf 2007-09-26 September 7 – 8, 200739371310Decima ResearchSeptember 12, 2007Perkel Colin Liberals lead Conservatives in poll Decima Research/Toronto Star 2007-09-12 https://www.thestar.com/OntarioElection/article/255595 2007-09-12 2007-10-11 https://web.archive.org/web/20071011073707/http://www.thestar.com/OntarioElection/article/255595 live The poll's margin of error is 3.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. But the pollsters also combined the survey with polling conducted during the previous two weeks, creating a rolling average with an error margin of about 3.1 percentage points.September 5 – 8, 200741331311Ipsos-ReidSeptember 10, 2007 Liberal lead over Tories slipping in Ontario: poll Ipsos-Reid/CanWest/National Post 2007-09-10 http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/news/story.html?id=99ba49ca-f032-494c-b8fb-5f74bccef902&k=54740&p=2 https://archive.today/20130118182356/http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/news/story.html?id=99ba49ca-f032-494c-b8fb-5f74bccef902&k=54740&p=2 dead 2013-01-18 2007-09-10 The Ipsos Reid telephone poll was conducted with a random sample of 801 respondents between Aug. 30 and Sept. 8. The results are considered accurate within 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.August 30 – September 8, 20074136176SES ResearchAugust 30, 2007Nanos Nikita Ontario grits lead by six points Ontario Politics SES Research/Sun Media 2007-08-30 http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-S07-T245.pdf 2007-08-30 2007-09-26 https://web.archive.org/web/20070926025835/http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-S07-T245.pdf live The aggregate survey results, or results including the undecided voters were: Libs 34; Cons 28; NDP 16; Greens 7; Undecided 15. The aggregate survey is accurate ± 4.4% 19 times out of 20. Margins of accuracy are wider for subgroup samples. The data was weighted for gender and age to match the Canadian census results for Ontario. Result should be considered representative of the Ontario population. 501 Ontarians were surveyed. Number of Committed voters was 425, undecided voters were 76, or 15%. With just the committed voters the results are: Libs 40; Cons 34; NDP 19; Greens 8. The margin of error increases to ± 4.9%, 19 times out of 20. The results shown in the table are for the committed voters only.August 24 – 26, 20074034198Ipsos-ReidAugust 28, 2007 As the Ontario Election Draws Near, The GTA moves Red while the Rest of Ontario moves Blue CanWest Polls Ipsos-Reid/CanWest 2007-09-10 http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3616 2007-08-21 https://web.archive.org/web/20071010001831/http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3616 2007-10-10 dead These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll conducted exclusively for CanWest News Service and Global Television from Aug 14 to Aug 23, 2007. For the survey, a representative randomly selected sample of 760 adults living in Ontario was interviewed by telephone. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within ± 3.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population living in Ontario been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Ontarian population according to Census dataAugust 14 – 23, 20074235166Ipsos-ReidAugust 21, 2007 As the Ontario Election Draws Near, The GTA moves Red while the Rest of Ontario moves Blue CanWest Polls Ipsos-Reid/CanWest 2007-08-21 http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3608 2007-08-21 https://web.archive.org/web/20070927204729/http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3608 2007-09-27 dead For the survey, a representative randomly selected sample of 800 adults living in Ontario was interviewed by telephone. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within ±3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population living in Ontario been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Ontarian population according to Census data.August 7 – 16, 20074037176The Strategic CounselAugust 20, 2007Howlett Karen McGuinty support slips to minority status, poll finds Ontario Politics The Globe and Mail/CTV News 2007-08-20 https://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/LAC.20070820.ONTARIO20/TPStory/TPNational/Ontario/ 2007-08-20 Toronto 2008-09-06 https://web.archive.org/web/20080906201244/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/LAC.20070820.ONTARIO20/TPStory/TPNational/Ontario/ live The poll of 750 Ontarians is considered accurate to within 3.6 percentage points, 95 per cent of the time.August 9 – 14, 20074035188Ipsos-ReidJuly 3, 2007 Race Tightens as Summer Heats Up Ipsos-Reid/CanWest Polls July 3, 2007 http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/act_hit_cntr.cfm?id=3555&Region=us&PDF_name=mr070703-1.pdf https://wayback.archive-it.org/all/20070710093511/http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/act_hit_cntr.cfm?id=3555&Region=us&PDF_name=mr070703-1.pdf dead 2007-07-10 2007-07-08 For the survey, a representative randomly selected sample of 801 adults living in Ontario was interviewed by telephone. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within ±3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population living in Ontario been polled.June 19 – 28, 20073936177EnvironicsJuly 2, 2007 Provincial Party Support March 2007 Environics July 2, 2007 http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=642 2007-09-10 2007-08-22 https://web.archive.org/web/20070822202502/http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=642 live The previous results are based on a survey conducted by telephone between June 5 and 30, 2007 among a probability sample of 2,021 adult residents of Canada (aged 18 or older). The sample, which was stratified by region and by community size, is estimated to be accurate within 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The question wordings were: (1) If a provincial election were held today, which one of the following parties would you vote for? (2) ([If "Undecided" ask) Perhaps you have not yet made up your mind; is there nevertheless a party you might be presently inclined to support?June 5 – 30, 2007403920-PollaraJune 16, 2007 Kalinoswski Tess A $17,5B transit promise The Toronto Star June 16, 2007 https://www.thestar.com/news/ontario/2007/06/16/a_175b_transit_promise.html 2007-06-18 2015-02-03 https://web.archive.org/web/20150203042040/http://www.thestar.com/news/ontario/2007/06/16/a_175b_transit_promise.html live 1001 people were canvassed with 15% undecided. Poll is accurate to within 3.1%, 19 times out of 20.June 7–10, 2007373719-SES ResearchJune 3, 2007 Ontario Liberals and PCs in Dead Heat SES Research June 3, 2007 http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-S07-T236.pdf 2007-06-10 2007-06-14 https://web.archive.org/web/20070614024843/http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-S07-T236.pdf live The aggregate survey results, or results including the undecided voters were: Libs 30; Cons 30; NDP 16; Greens 9; Undecided 15. The aggregate survey is accurate ± 4.4% 19 times out of 20. Margins of accuracy are wider for subgroup samples. The data was weighted for gender and age to match the Canadian census results for Ontario. Result should be considered representative of the Ontario population. 500 Ontarians were surveyed. Number of Committed voters was 424, undecided voters were 76, or 15%. With just the committed voters the results are: Libs 40; Cons 34; NDP 19; Greens 8. The margin of error increases to ± 4.9%, 19 times out of 20. The results shown in the table are for the committed voters only.May 11–15, 200735351911EnvironicsMay 18, 2007 Provincial Party Support March 2007 Environics May 18, 2007 http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=635 2007-05-23 2007-05-29 https://web.archive.org/web/20070529095521/http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=635 live March 13–April 3, 2007333826Ipsos-Reid February 24, 2007 Ontario Politics With Just Over 7 Months To "E" Day Liberals(38%) Lead Tories (33%), NDP (17%) And Green (9%) Ipsos-Reid February 24, 2007 http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3379 2007-05-23 https://web.archive.org/web/20070927204625/http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/pressrelease.cfm?id=3379 September 27, 2007 dead mdy-all - 38 33 17 9EnvironicsJanuary 5, 2007 Provincial Party Support December 2006 Environics January 5, 2007 http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=627 2007-06-10 2007-06-29 https://web.archive.org/web/20070629194547/http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=627 live The sample of 2045 adult residents of Canada, which was stratified by region and by community size, is estimated to be accurate within 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.December 8–30, 2006393721-SES ResearchDecember 17, 2006 Ontario Political Landscape SES Research December 17, 2006 http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-F06-T207.pdf 2007-06-10 2007-06-14 https://web.archive.org/web/20070614024842/http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-F06-T207.pdf live The aggregate survey results, or results including the undecided voters were: Libs 36; Cons 30; NDP 14; Greens 6; Undecided 14. The aggregate survey is accurate ± 4.4% 19 times out of 20. Margins of accuracy are wider for subgroup samples. The data was weighted for gender and age to match the Canadian census results for Ontario. Result should be considered representative of the Ontario population. 500 Ontarians were surveyed. Number of Committed voters was 429, undecided voters were 71, or 14%. With just the committed voters the results are: Libs 40; Cons 34; NDP 19; Greens 8. The margin of error increases to ± 4.7%, 19 times out of 20. The results shown in the table are for the committed voters only.November 25–27, 20064235167EnvironicsOctober 26, 2006 Ontario Liberals establish solid lead Environics October 26, 2006 http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=613 2007-06-10 2007-09-27 https://web.archive.org/web/20070927200151/http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=613 live The sample of 579 adult eligible voters in Ontario, is estimated to be accurate within +/- 4.1% points, 95 times out of 100 samples. 2% would vote for other parties, while 12% had no preference.September 18 – October 12, 2006423323-EKOS October 18, 2006 Ontario Liberals With Clear Lead EKOS October 18, 2006 http://www.ekos.com/media/default.asp 2007-06-10 https://web.archive.org/web/20070601062216/http://www.ekos.com/media/default.asp 2007-06-01 dead 584 Ontarians were polled. Decided voters were 492. 1.8 percent of respondents would vote for "Other", which includes the Green Party. Sample size produces a statistical margin of error of +/-4.1%, 19 times out of 20.October 10–12, 2006 42.4 36.2 19.6 SES ResearchOctober 7, 2006 Ontario Liberals Lead by Seven Points SES Research October 7, 2006 http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-F06-T7.pdf 2007-06-10 2007-06-14 https://web.archive.org/web/20070614024841/http://www.sesresearch.com/library/polls/POLONT-F06-T7.pdf live 500 voting age Ontarians were polled. Sample is accurate to within plus or minus 4.4% 19 times out of 20. 11% undecided.September 30 – October 3, 20063529187EnvironicsSeptember 9, 2006 Provincial Party Support results June 2006 Environics September 9, 2006 http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=610 2007-06-11 2007-01-05 https://web.archive.org/web/20070105224813/http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=610 live The sample of 2036 adult residents of Canada, which was stratified by region and by community size, is estimated to be accurate within 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. 1% preferred other parties, while 8% had no party preference.June 2–24, 2006353627 -Vector ResearchMay 14, 2006-3938185EnvironicsApril 13, 2006-343924-SES ResearchMarch 23, 2006-4134205Léger MarketingMarch 22, 2006-343420-SES ResearchFebruary 17, 2006-4137184Vector ResearchJanuary 21, 2006-3635236EnvironicsOctober 16, 2005-423521-Vector ResearchSeptember 19, 2005-3341206SES ResearchJune 14, 2005-4135214Léger MarketingJune 8, 2005-423417-Léger MarketingApril 29, 2005-363719-Vector ResearchApril 13, 2005-3541185EnvironicsApril 11, 2005-354121-Léger MarketingMarch 17, 2005-443319-Vector ResearchDecember 16, 2004-3932245EnvironicsDecember 2004-373923-EnvironicsDecember 11, 2004-354023-Léger MarketingSeptember 2004-373519-Vector ResearchAugust 22, 2004-3732239EnvironicsAugust 9, 2004-3537234Ipsos-ReidJune 14, 2004-3239236SES ResearchJune 5, 2004-344120-Decima ResearchMay 27, 2004-322921-EnvironicsMay 6, 2004-4533201Ipsos-ReidApril 19, 2004-4530195SES ResearchJanuary 23, 2004-492910-EnvironicsJanuary 21, 2004-5030163Ipsos-ReidDecember 14, 2003-5127166Ipsos-ReidNovember 8, 2003-5627125EnvironicsOctober 30, 2003-4929182Last election (October 2, 2003)-46.434.614.72.8 Riding specific polls RidingPolling firmDate releasedDate poll conducted Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democrats GreenDon Valley WestCOMPASOctober 1, 2007 Liberal Minister Kathleen Wynne Leading by Wide Margin: PC Schooling Promise Stirs Unease about Integrating Immigrants COMPAS/Ottawa Citizen October 1, 2007 http://www.compas.ca/data/071001-DonValleyWestToryVsWynne-EP.pdf 2007-10-06 2007-10-25 https://web.archive.org/web/20071025025844/http://www.compas.ca/data/071001-DonValleyWestToryVsWynne-EP.pdf live An Ottawa Citizen/COMPAS poll in John Tory’s riding of Don Valley West was carried out carefully over a five-day period, September 25–29, 2007, to minimize the risk of sampling error. It shows the Liberal incumbent with a 15% lead over the PC leader, as shown in table 1. By convention, the poll of 333 voters is deemed accurate to within approximately 5.6 percentage points 19 times out of 20.September 25 – 29, 2007523756Bruce—Grey—Owen SoundOraclepoll ResearchOctober 4, 2007http://www.gpo.ca/sites/greenparty.on.ca/files/Bruce%20Grey%20Owen%20Sound%20Riding%20Report.doc Archived copy October 7, 2007 October 4, 2007 https://web.archive.org/web/20071004210912/http://www.gpo.ca/sites/greenparty.on.ca/files/Bruce%20Grey%20Owen%20Sound%20Riding%20Report.doc dead October 2 – 3, 200721371327Nickel BeltOraclepoll ResearchOctober 4, 2007The Sudbury Star - Ontario, CAOctober 2 – 3, 2007417493 Timeline May 13, 2004 - Andrea Horwath of the NDP is elected in a by-election in Hamilton East and collects over 60% of the vote. The riding was previously held by the Liberals. May 18, 2004 - The 2004 Ontario budget is announced. Given its tax increase and healthcare cuts, it is unpopular with the public. June 1, 2004 - Bill 87, which would establish fixed election dates, is introduced in the Legislative Assembly. August 9, 2004 - A poll by Environics shows the Liberals in second place for the first time since the last election. The NDP is also rising in support. According to the poll, the Progressive Conservatives lead with 37% followed by the Liberals with 35%, the NDP with 23% and the Greens with 4%. Provincial Tories Tied with McGuinty Liberals – NDP also Gains Ground Environics August 9, 2004 http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=560 2007-05-23 2007-09-27 https://web.archive.org/web/20070927200049/http://erg.environics.net/media_room/default.asp?aID=560 live September 18, 2004 - John Tory becomes leader of the Ontario Progressive Conservative Party replacing outgoing former premier Ernie Eves and defeating Jim Flaherty and Frank Klees. January 31, 2005 - Eves resigns his seat in the provincial legislature, clearing the way for Tory to run in the resulting by-election. March 17, 2005 - Tory is elected in the Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey by-election, holding the seat for the Conservatives. March 29, 2005 - Tory is officially installed as the Leader of the Opposition. August 18, 2005 - Speaker Alvin Curling resigns his Scarborough—Rouge River seat to accept a diplomatic appointment. A by-election must be called within six months. October 26, 2005 - A by-election is called for Scarborough—Rouge River for November 24. November 24, 2005 - Bas Balkissoon wins in the Scarborough–Rouge River by-election, holding the seat for the Liberals. November 29, 2005 - Progressive Conservative MPPs Jim Flaherty, John Baird, and NDP MPP Marilyn Churley resign their seats in the provincial legislature to run for seats in the House of Commons of Canada in the 2006 federal election. March 1, 2006 - By-elections are called for the ridings of Toronto—Danforth, Nepean—Carleton, and Whitby—Ajax for March 30. These seats became vacant when they were resigned on November 29, 2005, so the MPPs could run in the federal election of January 2006. March 30, 2006 - the NDP's Peter Tabuns wins the Toronto—Danforth by-election, Progressive Conservative Lisa MacLeod wins in Nepean—Carleton, and Progressive Conservative Christine Elliott wins in Whitby-Ajax. The Liberals' star candidates in all three ridings fell short. March 30 By-elections - Unofficial Results Elections Ontario March 30, 2006 http://www.electionsontario.on.ca/en/march_30_unofficial_results_en.shtml https://web.archive.org/web/20060420053519/http://www.electionsontario.on.ca/en/march_30_unofficial_results_en.shtml 2006-04-20 dead May 18, 2006 - Former Education Minister Gerard Kennedy resigns his Parkdale—High Park seat to pursue his bid for the federal Liberal leadership. Gerard Kennedy resigns from Ontario legislature CTV May 18, 2006 http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20060518/gerard_kennedy_060518/20060518?hub=TopStories https://web.archive.org/web/20071012082720/http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20060518/gerard_kennedy_060518/20060518?hub=TopStories dead October 12, 2007 2007-05-23 September 14, 2006 - Cheri DiNovo of the NDP wins the by-election to replace Liberal Gerard Kennedy in Parkdale-High Park.Official results Parkdale–High Park by-election 2006 By-elections Elections Ontario September 14, 2006 http://www.electionsontario.on.ca/results/2006ByElections/index_PHP.jsp?flag=E&layout=G 2007-05-23 https://web.archive.org/web/20070627015049/http://www.electionsontario.on.ca/results/2006ByElections/index_PHP.jsp?flag=E&layout=G June 27, 2007 dead thumb|300px|Election signs for the major parties plus a sign supporting the MMP side in the referendum in the constituency of Ottawa South. Ontario premier Dalton McGuinty is the Liberal candidate there. September 18, 2006 - Joe Cordiano, MPP for York South—Weston, resigns from cabinet and legislature to spend more time with family. Urquhart Ian Passing ships firing cannonballs at McGuinty Opinions A13 The Toronto Star 2006-09-27 https://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/thestar/access/1136206611.html?dids=1136206611:1136206611&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT&date=Sep+27%2C+2006&author=IAN+URQUHART&pub=Daily+Mercury&edition=&startpage=A.13&desc=Passing+ships+firing+cannonballs+at+McGuinty dead https://web.archive.org/web/20071001030809/https://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/thestar/access/1136206611.html?dids=1136206611:1136206611&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT&date=Sep+27%2C+2006&author=IAN+URQUHART&pub=Daily+Mercury&edition=&startpage=A.13&desc=Passing+ships+firing+cannonballs+at+McGuinty October 1, 2007 2007-05-23 September 25, 2006 - Tony Wong, MPP for Markham, resigns from the legislature to run for York Region council in Markham, Ontario. Benzie Robert Tony Wong hopes to return to region News Markham Economist & Sun 2006-09-26 https://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/thestar/access/1142001381.html?dids=1142001381:1142001381&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT&date=Sep+26%2C+2006&author=&pub=Markham+Economist+%26+Sun&edition=&startpage=1&desc=MPP+quits+Queen%27s+Park 2007-05-23 2007-10-01 https://web.archive.org/web/20071001011136/http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/thestar/access/1142001381.html?dids=1142001381%3A1142001381&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS%3AFT&date=Sep+26%2C+2006&author=&pub=Markham+Economist+&+Sun&edition=&startpage=1&desc=MPP+quits+Queen%27s+Park dead September 28, 2006 - Cam Jackson, MPP for Burlington, resigns from the Legislature to run for mayor of Burlington. Cox Christine Jackson joins race for Burlington mayor https://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/thestar/access/1137263171.html?dids=1137263171:1137263171&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT&date=Sep+29%2C+2006&author=Christine+Cox&pub=The+Spectator&edition=&startpage=A.1&desc=Jackson+joins+race+for+Burlington+mayor Local dead The Hamilton Spectator https://web.archive.org/web/20071001045628/https://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/thestar/access/1137263171.html?dids=1137263171:1137263171&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT&date=Sep+29%2C+2006&author=Christine+Cox&pub=The+Spectator&edition=&startpage=A.1&desc=Jackson+joins+race+for+Burlington+mayor October 1, 2007 2006-09-29 2007-05-23 January 10, 2007 - By-elections called in the ridings of: Burlington; Markham; and York South—Weston to be held on February 8, 2007. February 7, 2007 - The provincial government announces election date will be October 10, 2007 to avoid conflict with Shemini Atzeret on October 4. February 8, 2007 - In three by-elections, Paul FerreiraElections Ontario, Unofficial results https://web.archive.org/web/20100718011536/http://www.electionsontario.on.ca/rr/ro?code=102 July 18, 2010 [York South—Weston]. 216 of 216 polls reporting. Accessed February 8, 2007 of the NDP wins York South–Weston from the Liberals while Michael ChanElections Ontario, Unofficial resultsMarch 2018 InternetArchiveBot yes [Markham]. 295 of 295 polls reporting. Accessed February 8, 2007 of the Liberals and Joyce SavolineElections Ontario, Unofficial resultsMarch 2018 InternetArchiveBot yes [Burlington]. 260 of 260 polls reporting. Accessed February 8, 2007 of the PCs hold Markham and Burlington, respectively. March 29, 2007 - MPP Tim Peterson leaves the Liberal caucus and intends to run in this election as a Progressive Conservative. Benzie Robert Rob Ferguson MPP Peterson, brother of ex-premier, to join Tories News The Toronto Star March 29, 2007 https://www.thestar.com/news/2007/03/29/mpp_peterson_brother_of_expremier_to_join_tories.html 2007-05-23 2016-03-05 https://web.archive.org/web/20160305202049/http://www.thestar.com/news/2007/03/29/mpp_peterson_brother_of_expremier_to_join_tories.html live April 25, 2007 - Democratic Renewal Minister Marie Bountrogianni introduces Bill 218, a bill to have longer voting hours – 9 a.m. to 9 p.m. – that identification be presented, advanced polls increased to 13 days from 6 days, and amendments regarding the referendum on election formulas for electing MPPS. The proposed legislation will also deal with suggestions for online voting and with complaints that the permanent voters' list is unreliable because it does not keep up with moves and deaths. Campbell Murray Ontario acts to undo electoral apathy The Globe and Mail 2007-04-25 https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ontario-acts-to-undo-electoral-apathy/article684067/ 2014-05-28 Toronto 2014-06-05 https://web.archive.org/web/20140605181743/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ontario-acts-to-undo-electoral-apathy/article684067/ live May 18, 2007 - New Democratic Party MPP Shelley Martel announced she will not seek re-election in her Nickel Belt riding. She is leaving politics for family reasons, and to pursue other career opportunities. Ferguson Rob MPP Shelley Martel won't run again The Toronto Star 2007-05-18 https://www.thestar.com/news/2007/05/18/mpp_shelley_martel_wont_run_again.html 2007-05-18 2016-03-07 https://web.archive.org/web/20160307092344/http://www.thestar.com/news/2007/05/18/mpp_shelley_martel_wont_run_again.html live May 18, 2007 - A poll released by Environics showed the governing Liberals in second place for the first time since March 2006. According to the poll, the Progressive Conservatives lead with 39% followed by the Liberals with 33%, the NDP with 26% and the Greens with 2%. The poll was conducted between March 13 to April 3, 2007. June 3, 2007 - A poll released by SES Research showed that the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives are in a dead-heat, with 29.8% of voters supporting each party. The NDP had 16% and the Green Party had 9%. 15% were undecided. June 4, 2007 Today, Bill 218 is given third reading and royal assent. The bill amends the Elections Act with the following changes: making electors present proper identification; methods of updating the permanent register of electors and creating an electronic system to allow electors to change their personal information online; alternative forms of voting and electronic vote counting can now take place; scrutineers from outside an electoral district, now have the same privileges as a resident scrutineer; Ballots will now show party affiliation and any nickname or familiar name of that the candidate requests; the Chief Electoral Officer is allowed to advertise information regarding the October 2007 Referendum on electoral reform. An Act to amend the Election Act and the Election Finances Act and to make related amendments to other Acts Second Session of the Ontario's 38th Legislature Legislative Assembly of Ontario 2007-06-04 http://www.ontla.on.ca/bills/bills-files/38_Parliament/Session2/b218ra.pdf 2007-06-10 2007-06-14 https://web.archive.org/web/20070614024841/http://www.ontla.on.ca/bills/bills-files/38_Parliament/Session2/b218ra.pdf dead June 5, 2007 - Liberal Premier Dalton McGuinty prorogues the Legislature, stating that the passing of 14 bills during the session meant that the government's agenda had been fulfilled. Howlett Karen McGuinty admits health tax will haunt him The Globe and Mail 2007-06-06 https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/mcguinty-admits-health-tax-will-haunt-him/article1086339/ 2014-05-28 Toronto 2014-06-05 https://web.archive.org/web/20140605181748/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/mcguinty-admits-health-tax-will-haunt-him/article1086339/ live The adjournment was three weeks earlier than expected and several private members' bills failed to receive third reading, including a bill to make it mandatory to fill out organ transplant cards. Canadian Press Slew of bills set to die as Queen's Park prepares to adjourn The Globe and Mail 2007-06-04 https://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20070604.wcellontario0604/BNStory/National/ 2007-06-10 Toronto May 2022 InternetArchiveBot yes The legislature will not sit again until sometime after the October 10th election. July 11, 2007 - Citing health concerns Mary Anne Chambers, the Children and Youth Services Minister and MPP for Scarborough East, will not be seeking re-election in the October 10 Ontario vote. She would have run in the Scarborough—Guildwood electoral district. Benzie Robert Chambers won't run again The Toronto Star 2007-07-11 https://www.thestar.com/article/234628 2007-07-11 2007-09-29 https://web.archive.org/web/20070929122525/http://www.thestar.com/article/234628 live July 26, 2007 - Ontario Minister of Citizenship and Immigration Mike Colle resigned after an auditor general's report severely criticizes how $32 million in year-end grants to ethnic groups was administered. Canadian Press Minister quits over grants News The Toronto Star July 26, 2007 https://www.thestar.com/news/2007/07/26/minister_quits_over_grants.html 2007-07-26 Tobi Cohen Chinta Puxley 2014-09-03 https://web.archive.org/web/20140903133821/http://www.thestar.com/news/2007/07/26/minister_quits_over_grants.html live September 10, 2007 - Official election call. Writ issued as per omnibus Budget Act, Bill 187, that includes the amendment to the Election Act to set writ issuance date. Premier McGuinty formally asked the Lt. Governor to dissolve the legislature. The campaign will be 29 days long, one day longer than the minimum. Campbell Murray Ontario election to be called Sept. 10 The Globe and Mail 2007-04-28 https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ontario-election-to-be-called-sept-10/article684469/ 2014-05-28 Toronto 2014-06-05 https://web.archive.org/web/20140605181758/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ontario-election-to-be-called-sept-10/article684469/ live thumb|right|Lawn signs for local candidates in Hamilton Mountain September 18, 2007- Nomination papers due. A candidate or their designate must submit their nomination papers and deposit in person at the returning office by 2 p.m.Candidates' election calendar Elections Ontario http://www.elections.on.ca/en-CA/CandidatesAndParties/Candidates/ImportantDatesforCandidates.htm 2007-08-20 https://web.archive.org/web/20070928071438/http://www.elections.on.ca/en-CA/CandidatesAndParties/Candidates/ImportantDatesforCandidates.htm 2007-09-28 dead September 20, 2007- Televised leadership debate between McGuinty, Tory and Hampton. September 22 – October 4, 2007 - Advance polling stations open for early voting from 9:00 a.m. until 9:00 p.m. October 10, 2007 - Ontario general election from 9:00 a.m. until 9:00 p.m. EDT or in the most western part of the province 8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. CDT as per Provision 20, Section 40(1) and 40(2) of the Election Act. Election results At 9:23 pm EDT, Citytv projected a Liberal majority government. CTV News made the same call at 9:30 pm EDT, followed by CBC News at 9:37 pm EDT, and Canadian Press at 9:52 pm EDT. Also at 10:30 pm EDT, CBC and CTV reported that Progressive Conservative leader John Tory had called Liberal Leader Dalton McGuinty to concede the election. At 10:39 pm EDT, Tory was declared defeated by Canadian Press in the riding of Don Valley West. At 10:43 pm EDT, Liberal leader Dalton McGuinty took the stage to give his speech to the public, breaking tradition of the defeated party leaders going first. Each party lost at least one incumbent MPP — Liberals Mario Racco and Caroline Di Cocco, PCs Joe Tascona, Tim Peterson and John Tory and NDP Paul Ferreira were all defeated. However, each party's losses were offset by gains in other seats. The actual changes in party standings were accounted for entirely by the four new seats resulting from redistribution and the defeat of Peterson. Overall, however, most incumbent MPPs were returned in their ridings. McGuinty became the first Liberal leader in Ontario to win two successive majorities in the legislature since Mitchell Hepburn in the 1937 election. Breakdown by region Northern Ontario Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democrats GreenSeats7130 All eleven ridings in Northern Ontario were retained by their incumbent parties. The popular vote, however, shifted dramatically, with several Liberal incumbents holding on only very narrowly against NDP challengers. Most notably, Bill Mauro retained Thunder Bay—Atikokan by a margin of just 36 votes against John Rafferty, whom Mauro had defeated in 2003 by a margin of over 11,000 — Rafferty, in fact, spent much of the night leading Mauro. A judicial recount on October 31 increased Mauro's margin of victory to 50 votes. David Ramsay, similarly, trailed New Democrat John Vanthof in Timiskaming—Cochrane for much of the night, pulling ahead to a winning margin of 634 votes only in the final few polls to report. This was the narrowest margin of victory in Ramsay's 22-year career. Michael Gravelle also retained Thunder Bay—Superior North by an uncharacteristically narrow margin over Jim Foulds. As well, Monique Smith retained Nipissing by just 377 votes over Progressive Conservative candidate Bill Vrebosch — in 2003, she had defeated Progressive Conservative incumbent Al McDonald by a wider margin of over 3,000 votes. In keeping with this trend, New Democrat incumbents Howard Hampton and Gilles Bisson widened their margins of victory over Liberal challengers compared to 2003, and France Gélinas maintained the same margin that her predecessor, Shelley Martel, had attained in the previous election. Notably, the rise in popular support for the New Democrats in Northern Ontario carried over into the 2008 federal election, in which the NDP won nearly every seat in the region for the first time in its history. Eastern Ontario Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democrats GreenSeats9500 In Eastern Ontario, the new riding of Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington was carried by PC candidate Randy Hillier, while all 13 existing ridings were carried by their incumbent parties. With the exception of Yasir Naqvi, who carried Ottawa Centre by a much smaller margin over the NDP than Richard Patten had attained in 2003, Liberals in Ottawa improved their winning margins, although outside of Ottawa the popular vote trend remained relatively stable. Central Ontario Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democrats GreenSeats3800 The most conservative-friendly area of the province, the PC vote largely held up, with the only Liberal gain being Aileen Carroll winning Barrie, the seat she used to represent federally. This was countered by a PC nominal gain in Newmarket—Aurora. The area also delivered the strongest support in the province for the Green Party, with Shane Jolley finishing a very strong second in Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound with 33.1% of the vote, the best finish ever received by any Green candidate in Canada to that point. The Greens also knocked the NDP into fourth place in a majority of area ridings. Midwestern Ontario Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democrats GreenSeats6500 A politically mixed region, Midwestern Ontario had every incumbent party re-elected, as well as some anomalous results; in an election where the PCs were largely held to rural areas, and the Liberals consolidated an urban/suburban base, Elizabeth Witmer held onto the riding of Kitchener—Waterloo for the PCs, while the Liberals won in rural ridings in which they were the incumbent party, such as Huron—Bruce and Perth—Wellington. Further away from the provincewide result, on an election night which demonstrated Liberal strength province wide, Haldimand—Norfolk—Brant delivered the most crushing defeat for a Liberal candidate in the province, with the victorious PC incumbent Toby Barrett coming out 16,571 votes and 38.6% ahead of the Liberal. Brampton, Mississauga & Oakville Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democrats GreenSeats9000 Although the suburban Western GTA had traditionally been a good area for the PCs, winning many seats in the area as recently as the Harris days, where it formed part of the 905-area backbone of the PC government, the Liberals won every seat in the area handily, with the victorious Liberal candidates averaging at around 50%. Even Mississauga South, which prior to the 2003 election had not voted Liberal provincially since the riding's creation, and had been expected to be a very tight race, proved a surprisingly easy victory for Charles Sousa, who gained the seat back for the Liberals from Tim Peterson, who had crossed the floor. The NDP continued to be a non-factor in the area, while the Greens growth in popular vote across the province was reflected, with the Greens even beating the NDP into fourth place in Oakville, which ironically had been the only riding in the province the Greens had not run in the previous election. Southern Durham and York Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democrats GreenSeats6300 The Liberals continued to dominate York Region, with each incumbent being re-elected by a comfortable margin except in Thornhill where Mario Racco lost to PC candidate Peter Shurman. The newly created riding of Ajax—Pickering, projected to be a close race, elected Liberal Joe Dickson by over 6,000 votes despite having no party nominate incumbents. In southern Durham Region, Liberal Wayne Arthurs was re-elected to the newly distributed Pickering—Scarborough East, while Progressive Conservative Christine Elliott was re-elected to Whitby—Oshawa. Despite high expectations for Sid Ryan's fourth run as an NDP candidate in Oshawa, PC incumbent Jerry Ouellette was again re-elected by a wider majority than in 2003. Hamilton, Burlington & Niagara Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democrats GreenSeats4330 An area with several close seats, and a fairly even distribution of seats, every party had a realistic chance of increasing its seat count here. Hamilton East—Stoney Creek, which was a merger of a Liberal held riding and an NDP held riding, and had neither incumbent running, was the most interesting match of the night, with the NDP winning a close race. It proved to be the only change of the election, and every other riding returned the incumbent party, although many in close races, such as Hamilton Mountain (Liberals over NDP), Halton, (PCs over Liberals) and Burlington (PCs over Liberals). Southwestern Ontario Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democrats GreenSeats9100 In an area with a strong rural-urban divide, both the NDP and PCs had strong hopes of making gains against the Liberals. The NDP had strong hopes of upsetting high-profile Liberals in both Windsor West, and Windsor—Tecumseh, given the NDP's ownership of those seats federally, and the continued decline of the local industrial economy. London—Fanshawe was similarly also a top target, as the NDP had the riding federally and finished a close second in 2003. Overall, however, the only area seat that changed hands was Sarnia—Lambton, with Culture Minister Caroline Di Cocco, the most high-profile Liberal casualty of the night, losing to PC challenger Bob Bailey. Toronto Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democrats GreenSeats18040 All ridings in Toronto were retained by their incumbent parties, with the exception of York South—Weston. New Democrat Paul Ferreira, who had won the seat from the Liberals in a by-election in February 2007, was narrowly defeated by a swing back to Liberal candidate Laura Albanese. Almost twice as many people voted in the riding in the general election compared to the by-election. In Toronto's other notable race, Liberal incumbent Kathleen Wynne defeated PC leader John Tory in Don Valley West. Tory previously represented Dufferin—Caledon, but had chosen to run in a Toronto riding in the general election. Toronto's only incumbent from 2003 not to run again was Liberal MPP Mary Anne Chambers. The Liberals successfully retained the seat under new candidate Margarett Best. See also Politics of Ontario List of political parties in Ontario Premier of Ontario Leader of the Opposition (Ontario) References Notes Citations 30em Further reading Mutimer David Canadian Annual Review of Politics and Public Affairs, 2007 2014 University of Toronto Press Toronto 9781442648555 https://archive.org/details/canadianannualre0000unse_d3l7 registration Ontario. Chief Electoral Officer Annual report of the Chief Electoral Officer of Ontario for the year 2007 2009 Elections Ontario https://archive.org/details/micro_IA40244205_0200 1492-7888 External links 2007 Ontario provincial election Elections Ontario Ontario's 107 electoral districts Canadian news/media networks CBC News Coverage CNEWS CoverageApril 2026 medicmedic The Globe and Mail: Ontario Election 2007 Full Coverage https://web.archive.org/web/20090321032322/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/ontarioelection2007/ 2009-03-21 TheStar.com - Election OttawaStart Ontario Election Guide Google map of poll-by-poll results, Ontario General Election, 2007 Blogs and forecasters DemocraticSPACE Ontario 2007 Coverage Electionprediction.com: Ontario Election - 2007 Election Almanac - Ontario Provincial Election Paulitics 2007 Ontario Election Projections (Antweiler Application & Universal Swing Model) Pollingreport.ca - Ontario Political Situation TrendLines 2007 Ontario & Federal Riding Projections (includes table of 10 model predictions and how they fared on Election Day) Professor Antweiler's Voter Migration Election Forecaster - Ontario 2007 Election Category:2007 elections in Canada 2007 Category:2007 in Ontario Category:October 2007 in Canada