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1999 New Brunswick general election
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1999 New Brunswick general election New Brunswick parliamentary no no 1995 New Brunswick general election 1995 53rd New Brunswick Legislative Assembly June 7, 1999 members 2003 New Brunswick general election 2003 55 seats of the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick 28 seats were needed for a majority 75.59% http://www.electionsnb.ca/content/enb/en/resources/publications/election-results.html Provincial Election Results - Elections NB February 5, 2014 150x150px NB PC nohash Bernard Lord 1997 NB PC name Moncton East 6 44 38 209,008 53.0% 22.1% 150x150px NB Liberal nohash Camille Thériault 1997 NB Liberal name Kent South 48 10 38 146,934 37.3% 14.3% NDP NB NDP nohash Elizabeth Weir 1988 NB NDP name Saint John Harbour 1 1 34,526 8.8% 0.9% Nb1999.PNG 250px Map of New Brunswick's ridings coloured in based on the winning parties and their popular vote Premier Camille Thériault NB Liberal name Bernard Lord Premier after election NB PC name
thumb|right|250px|Rendition of party representation in the 54th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly decided by this election.
#6495ED Progressive Conservatives (44)
#F08080 Liberals (10)
sandybrown New Democrats (1)
The 1999 New Brunswick general election was held on June 7, 1999, to elect the 55 members of the 54th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly.
Campaign
The election marked the debut of both Camille Thériault and Bernard Lord as leaders of the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives respectively. It was Elizabeth Weir's third general election as leader of the New Democratic Party.
Thériault's Liberals were widely expected to win a fourth majority government from the outset of the campaign, with opinion polls showing them leading by double-digits. However, the PCs were able to capitalize on the issue of highway tolls and use it to portray the Liberals as arrogant. Lord made the tolls an effective wedge issue, saying they were unfair to people who lived near the toll booths and had to drive through them daily. Lord then pledged to implement 20 of his key promises in his first 200 days in office, styled as "200 Days of Change", a message modelled on the Contract with America and the Common Sense Revolution, and it resonated with voters. Another disadvantage for the Liberals was the loss of former premier Frank McKenna, who had retired after 10 years in office in 1997. McKenna was widely popular and Thériault had difficulty shaking negative comparisons between himself and his predecessor.
Following a huge surge in the final weeks of the campaign, Lord became Premier with his party winning its largest majority in the history of New Brunswick. Lord's PCs also won the majority of Acadian seats, something the party had struggled to do in the past.
At 80% of the legislature, Lord's 44-seat landslide victory was viewed as remarkable by all parties. Thériault, who came off in the campaign as cold and uncharismatic, delivered what pundits thought was his best speech of the campaign on election night when he said "the people of New Brunswick have spoken, and the people of New Brunswick are never wrong". Furthermore, Lord's massive victory had a coattail effect that resulted in the defeat of many Liberals who had been viewed by pundits as undefeatable.
Opinion polls
+ Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level Polling firmLast day of survey Source NBPC NBLA NBNDP CoR Other ME Margin of Error SampleElection 1999June 7, 199953.037.38.80.70.2OmnifactsJune 1999Liberal 'cakewalk' looks more like an uphill climb: New Brunswick election is too close to call though Theriault at first looked certain to win Cox Kevin June 7, 1999 The Globe and Mail A749407LégerMay 26, 1999Polls suggest N.B. Liberals in tough fight with Tories: Conservatives say results have given new energy to campaign; Grits believe team now working harder to win June 7 vote Cox Kevin June 1, 1999 The Globe and Mail A11334615OmnifactsMay 1999New Brunswick: Tories take lead in polls May 29, 1999 The Times Colonist A94639131.5OmnifactsMay 19994537131Baseline Market ResearchMay 1999Poll gives PCs first lead since Hatfield Poitras Jacques May 29, 1999 The Telegraph Journal A136.846.714.91.6May 11, 1999New Brunswick Tory Leader calls for tax cuts Lord tries to cut Liberals' lead by arguing that high provincial rates drive away doctors and nurses Cox Kevin June 18, 1999 The Globe and Mail A43351106Corporate Research AssociatesMarch 1999Liberals' popularity up slightly: poll March 9, 1999 The Telegraph Journal28518Baseline Market ResearchJanuary 13, 1999Pollster finds Liberals are main choice White Alan January 21, 1999 The Telegraph Journal3251143Corporate Research AssociatesNovember 30, 1998Liberal popularity dips in latest poll Hrabluk Lisa Veniot Andre December 8, 1998 The Telegraph Journal255113Corporate Research AssociatesAugust 24, 1998Liberals' approval rating jumps Veniot Andre September 2, 1998 The Telegraph Journal205614Corporate Research AssociatesJune 1998Theriault should wait to call election, poll indicates Goguen Giselle June 13, 1998 The Telegraph Journal214919Corporate Research AssociatesFebruary 24, 1998Poll tracks steady Liberal decline Richardson Don May 29, 1999 The Telegraph Journal A1304320Election 1995September 11, 199530.8751.639.657.110.75
Riding-specific polls
Moncton East by-election
+ Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level Polling firmLast day of survey Source NBPC NBLA NBNDP CoR ME Margin of Error SampleBy-election 1998October 19, 199850.9339.739.34—SES Canada ResearchOctober 14, 1998Moncton East going down to the wire: poll Hrabluk Lisa October 17, 1998 The Telegraph Journal494011Election 1995September 11, 199518.0261.8011.828.36
Summary of results
PartyParty Leader# ofcandidatesSeatsPopular Vote1995DissolutionElected% Change#%Change
NB PC rowProgressive ConservativeBernard Lord556944+289%209,00853.0%+22.1%
NB Liberal rowLiberal Camille Theriault55484510-77%146,93437.3%-14.3%
NB NDP rowNew DemocraticElizabeth Weir55111-34,5268.8%-0.9%
NB CoR row-nameJim Webb18----2,8070.7%-6.4%
NB Natural Law rowNatural LawChristopher Collrin9----5270.1%-0.2%
NB Independent rowIndependentsn/a4----4350.1%-0.3%Total196555555-394,237100%+1.2%
Popular vote #ddd 600px 410px PC NB PC 53.02
Liberal NB Liberal 37.27
New Democratic NB NDP 8.76
Conf. of Regions NB CoR 0.71
Others NB Independent 0.24Seats summary #ddd 600px 410px PC NB PC 80.00
Liberal NB Liberal 18.18
New Democratic NB NDP 1.82
Narrow wins and losses
A lot of Liberals, many high profile, lost their seats by very narrow margins while some barely survived. Below is a list of the 14 ridings (over a quarter of all districts) decided by less than 10%. Incumbent Liberal cabinet ministers are in bold, other incumbents are in italics.
RidingWinnerSecond PlaceMarginDieppe-Memramcook Cy LeBlanc Greg O'Donnell4.4%Fredericton NorthD. Peter ForbesBrad Woodside4.4%Fredericton-Fort NashwaakEric MacKenzieGreg Byrne4.1%Fundy IslesEric AllabyEd Brine2.2%Grand Falls RegionJean-Guy LaforestMarcel Deschênes5.8%Grand LakeDavid JordanDoug Tyler6.9%Kent SouthCamille ThériaultJean-Noel Allain7.4%NepisiguitJoel BernardAlban Landry4.7%Nigadoo-ChaleurRoland HachéHermel Vienneau7.5%Restigouche WestBenoit CyrJean-Paul Savoie3.7%Rogersville-KouchibouguacRose-May PoirierMaurice Richard1.8%Saint John ChamplainCarole KeddyRoly MacIntyre2.2%Victoria-TobiqueLarry KennedyCarman Pirie5.8%Western CharlotteTony HuntjensPeter Heelis6.1%
Candidates
Party leaders and cabinet ministers are denoted in bold.
Northern New Brunswick
NB Liberal PC NDP Other
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|1. Restigouche West
|
|Jean-Paul Savoie 3,328
|NB PC background|
|Benoît Cyr 3,592
|
|Rose Duguay 255
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Jean-Paul Savoie
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|2. Campbellton
|NB Liberal background|
|Edmond Blanchard 4,321
|
|Pierre F. Dubé 2,569
|
|Johanne Parent 295
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Edmond Blanchard
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|3. Dalhousie-Restigouche East
|
|Carolle de Ste. Croix 2,830
|NB PC background|
|Dennis Furlong 5,148
|
|Joel William Hickey 190
|
|Francine Richard (NLP) withdrawn
|NB Liberal background|
|Carolle de Ste. Croix
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|4. Nigadoo-Chaleur
|NB Liberal background|
|Roland Haché 3,435
|
|Hermel Vienneau 2,862
|
|Raoul Charest 1,244
|
|Gilles Godin (NLP) 106
|NB Independent background|
|Albert Doucet
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|5. Bathurst
|NB Liberal background|
|Marcelle Mersereau 3,418
|
|Bob Stairs 2,427
|
|Antoine Duguay 453
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Marcelle Mersereau
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|6. Nepisiguit
|
|Alban Landry 2,227
|NB PC background|
|Joel Bernard 2,534
|
|Gilles Halley 1,824
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Alban Landry
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|7. Caraquet
|NB Liberal background|
|Bernard Theriault 4,194
|
|Gaston Moore 3,369
|
|Denis Doiron 596
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Bernard Theriault
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|8. Lamèque-Shippagan-Miscou
|
|Jean-Camille DeGrâce 2,563
|NB PC background|
|Paul Robichaud 5,910
|
|Calixte Chaisson 368
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Jean-Camille DeGrâce
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|9. Centre-Péninsule
|
|Denis Landry 2,097
|NB PC background|
|Louis-Philippe McGraw 3,045
|
|Roger Duguay 955
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Denis Landry
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|10. Tracadie-Sheila
|
|Serge Rousselle 2,926
|NB PC background|
|Elvy Robichaud 5,453
|
|Claudette Duguay 285
|
|
|NB PC background|
|Elvy Robichaud
|}
Eastern New Brunswick
NB Liberal PC NDP Other
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|11. Miramichi Bay
|
|Danny Gay 3,066
|NB PC background|
|Réjean Savoie 4,014
|
|Donald D. Doucet 365
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Danny Gay
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|12. Miramichi-Bay du Vin
|
|James Doyle 3,076
|NB PC background|
|Michael Malley 5,393
|
|John Gagnon 147
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|James Doyle
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|13. Miramichi Centre
|
|John McKay 2,975
|NB PC background|
|Kim Jardine 4,076
|
|Terry Mullin 853
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|John McKay
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|14. Southwest Miramichi
|
|Reg MacDonald 2,850
|NB PC background|
|Norman Betts 4,019
|
|Terry Carter 254
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Reg MacDonald
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|15. Rogersville-Kouchibouguac
|
|Maurice Richard 2,700
|NB PC background|
|Rose-May Poirier 2,820
|
|Maria Daigle 1,197
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Kenneth Johnson
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|16. Kent
|NB Liberal background|
|Shawn Graham 3,264
|
|Valmond Daigle 2,471
|
|Charles Richard 402
|
|J.R. Beers (Ind) 103
|NB Liberal background|
|Shawn Graham
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|17. Kent South
|NB Liberal background|
|Camille Thériault 4,546
|
|Jean-Noël Allain 3,838
|
|Collette Doucette 1,171
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Camille Thériault
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|18. Shediac-Cap-Pélé
|NB Liberal background|
|Bernard Richard 5,422
|
|Odette Babineau 3,240
|
|Anne Marie Dupuis 633
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Bernard Richard
|}
Southeastern New Brunswick
NB Liberal PC NDP Other
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|19. Tantramar
|
|Kirk W. Meldrum 925
|NB PC background|
|Peter Mesheau 3,311
|
|Heather Patterson 990
|
|Frank Comeau (Ind) 47
|NB PC background|
|Peter Mesheau
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|20. Dieppe-Memramcook
|
|Greg O'Donnell 4,738
|NB PC background|
|Cy LeBlanc 5,206
|
|Marc LeBel 754
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Greg O'Donnell
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|21. Moncton East
|
|Kevin John Fram 2,046
|NB PC background|
|Bernard Lord 5,248
|
|Marc Robar 542
|
|Laurent Maltais (NLP) 59
|NB PC background|
|Bernard Lord
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|22. Moncton South
|
|James E. Lockyer 2,710
|NB PC background|
|Joan MacAlpine 3,143
|
|Theresa Sullivan 687
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|James E. Lockyer
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|23. Moncton North
|
|Gene Devereux 2,304
|NB PC background|
|René Landry 3,776
|
|Nancy Hartling 1049
|
|John Gallant (CoR) 103
|NB Liberal background|
|Gene Devereux
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|24. Moncton Crescent
|
|Kenneth R. MacLeod 2,233
|NB PC background|
|John Betts 4,825
|
|Carl Fowler 699
|
|Albert H. Wood (CoR) 85
|NB Liberal background|
|Kenneth R. MacLeod
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|25. Petitcodiac
|
|Gary Stewart Armstrong 1,171
|NB PC background|
|Wally Stiles 4,284
|
|Blair McInnis 447
|
|Donald R. Alward (CoR) 278
|NB Liberal background|
|Hollis Steeves
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|26. Riverview
|
|Al J. Kavanaugh 2,151
|NB PC background|
|Pat Crossman 4,439
|
|Brad Smith 888
|
|Shane Harvey (CoR) 137
Jamie Ed Borden (Ind) 81
|NB Liberal background|
|Al J. Kavanaugh
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|27. Albert
|
|Harry Doyle 2,065
|NB PC background|
|Wayne Steeves 3,633
|
|Myrna Geldart 529
|
|Dean Ryder (CoR) 136
|NB Liberal background|
|Harry Doyle
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|28. Kings East
|
|LeRoy Armstrong 2,420
|NB PC background|
|Doug Cosman 4,310
|
|Jessica Coleman 354
|
|Eldon MacKay (CoR) 109
|NB Liberal background|
|LeRoy Armstrong
|}
Greater Saint John & Fundy Coast
NB Liberal PC NDP Other
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|29. Hampton-Belleisle
|
|Georgie Day 2,628
|NB PC background|
|Bev Harrison 4,551
|
|Jocelyne Comeau 769
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Georgie Day
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|30. Kennebecasis
|
|Peter LeBlanc 2,388
|NB PC background|
|Brenda Fowlie 4,070
|
|Albert Charles Joseph Comeau 939
|
|Greg Boyle (CoR) 192
|NB Liberal background|
|Peter LeBlanc
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|31. Saint John-Fundy
|
|Stuart Jamieson 1,933
|NB PC background|
|Rodney Weston 3,473
|
|Robert E. Holmes-Lauder 494
|
|David Lytle (CoR) 115
|NB Liberal background|
|Stuart Jamieson
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|32. Saint John-Kings
|
|Zita Longobardi 1,752
|NB PC background|
|Margaret-Ann Blaney 4,605
|
|Ken Wilcox 664
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Laureen Jarrett
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|33. Saint John Champlain
|
|Roly MacIntyre 1,949
|NB PC background|
|Carole Keddy 2,073
|
|Dr. Paula C. Tippett 1,597
|
|Dolores H. Cook (CoR) 98
Jeanne Geldart (NLP) 36
|NB Liberal background|
|Roly MacIntyre
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|34. Saint John Harbour
|
|Mark Thomas McNulty 1,347
|
|Tim Clarke 1,349
|NB NDP background|
|Elizabeth Weir 2,398
|
|Thomas Mitchell (NLP) 54
|NB NDP background|
|Elizabeth Weir
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|35. Saint John Portland
|
|Leo McAdam 1,668
|NB PC background|
|Trevor Holder 3,773
|
|Pam F. Coates 844
|
|Miville Couture (NLP) 45
|NB Liberal background|
|Leo McAdam
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|36. Saint John Lancaster
|
|Jane Barry 2,190
|NB PC background|
|Norm McFarlane 3,999
|
|Bill Farren 945
|
|Jim Webb (CoR) 154
Christopher B. Collrin (NLP) 96
|NB Liberal background|
|Jane Barry
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|37. Grand Bay-Westfield
|
|Grace Losier 1,433
|NB PC background|
|Milt Sherwood 3,546
|
|Percy Ward 490
|
|Colby Fraser (CoR) 240
|NB PC background|
|Milt Sherwood
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|38. Charlotte
|NB Liberal background|
|Sheldon Lee 3,263
|
|Sharon Tucker 2,071
|
|Eugene A. Dugas 299
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Sheldon Lee
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|39. Fundy Isles
|NB Liberal background|
|Eric Allaby 1,248
|
|Ed Brine 1,192
|
|Bill Barteau 66
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Eric Allaby
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|40. Western Charlotte
|
|Peter Heelis 3,071
|NB PC background|
|Tony Huntjens 3,490
|
|Andrew Gordon Graham 283
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Ann Breault
|}
Greater Fredericton
NB Liberal PC NDP Other
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|41. Oromocto-Gagetown
|
|Ron Lindala 2,059
|NB PC background|
|Jody Carr 4,372
|
|Terry John Hovey 283
|
|Paul Pye (CoR) 151
|NB Liberal background|
|Vaughn Blaney
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|42. Grand Lake
|
|Doug Tyler 3,245
|NB PC background|
|David Charles Jordan 3,769
|
|Phyllis MacLean 384
|
|Murray C. Barton (CoR) 223
|NB Liberal background|
|Doug Tyler
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|43. Fredericton North
|
|Brad Woodside 3,698
|NB PC background|
|D. Peter Forbes 4,081
|
|Todd Joseph Tingley 632
|
|Ronald Bubar (CoR) 203
William Parker (NLP) 34
|NB Liberal background|
|Jim Wilson
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|44. Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak
|
|Greg Byrne 2,685
|NB PC background|
|Eric MacKenzie 2,949
|
|Pat A. Kennedy 715
|
|David Alexander Brown (CoR) 96
Andie Haché (NLP) 31
|NB Liberal background|
|Greg Byrne
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|45. Fredericton South
|
|Lorraine Siliphant 2,510
|NB PC background|
|Brad Green 4,070
|
|Myrna Gunter 1,409
|
|Michael McKay (NLP) 66
|NB PC background|
|Brad Green
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|46. New Maryland
|
|Joan Kingston 3,077
|NB PC background|
|Keith Ashfield 4,223
|
|Carol E. Moore 441
|
|George Rennick (CoR) 182
|NB Liberal background|
|Joan Kingston
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|47. York
|
|John Flynn 3,783
|NB PC background|
|Don Kinney 4,332
|
|Josh Johnson 449
|
|Malcolm MacNeil (CoR) 88
|NB Liberal background|
|John Flynn
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|48. Mactaquac
|
|David Olmstead 2,385
|NB PC background|
|Kirk MacDonald 4,405
|
|Sandra Burtt 463
|
|Wilmot F. Ross (CoR) 217
|NB Liberal background|
|David Olmstead
|}
Upper Saint John River Valley
NB Liberal PC NDP Other
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|49. Woodstock
|
|James W. Andow 1,989
|NB PC background|
|David Alward 5,354
|
|Sheila Moore 242
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Bruce Atherton Smith
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|50. Carleton
|
|David Harvey 3,240
|NB PC background|
|Dale Graham 4,561
|
|Marilyn Young 176
|
|
|NB PC background|
|Dale Graham
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|51. Victoria-Tobique
|NB Liberal background|
|Larry Kennedy 3,127
|
|Carmen Cecil Pirie 2,768
|
|Amy Dunham 144
|
|Carter Charles Edgar (Ind) 204
|NB Liberal background|
|Larry Kennedy
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|52. Grand Falls Region
|
|Marcel Deschênes 3,094
|NB PC background|
|Jean-Guy Laforest 3,493
|
|Jean-Paul Gallant 265
|
|
|NB Liberal background|
|Paul Duffie
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|53. Madawaska-la-Vallée
|
|Huguette Plourde 1,798
|NB PC background|
|Percy Mockler 4,367
|
|Jean-Charles Lombard 189
|
|
|NB PC background|
|Percy Mockler
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|54. Edmundston
|
|Roland Beaulieu 2,173
|NB PC background|
|Madeleine Dubé 3,567
|
|Michael Gagné 366
|
|
|NB PC background|
|Bernard Valcourt
|-
|bgcolor=whitesmoke|55. Madawaska-les-Lacs
|
|Georges Corriveau 2,138
|NB PC background|
|Jeannot Volpé 4,289
|
|Marie-Pierre Valay-Nadeau 154
|
|
|NB PC background|
|Jeannot Volpé
|-
|}
References
Category:1999 elections in Canada
Category:Elections in New Brunswick
Category:1999 in New Brunswick
Category:June 1999 in Canada