2004 United States presidential election in Missouri

none June 2025 September 2023 2004 United States presidential election 2004 United States presidential election in Missouri Missouri presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Missouri 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Missouri 2008 November 2, 2004 x200px George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 11 1,455,713 53.30% John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 0 1,259,171 46.10% 300px County results 300px Congressional district results Bush #f2b3be 40–50% #e27f90 50–60% #cc2f4a 60–70% #d40000 70–80% Kerry #86b6f2 50–60% #1666cb 70–80% #0645b4 80–90% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) The 2004 United States presidential election in Missouri took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 11 representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Missouri was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 7.20% margin of victory. Prior to the election, 10 of 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a red state. He also won a wide majority of the counties and congressional districts in the state. At the time, Missouri was known for its status as a bellwether state, having voted for the winner of every presidential election since 1904, apart from 1956. Although the state's streak of voting for the winner of the presidency continued, Bush carried this state with a larger margin of victory than his nationwide results, indicating that the state had become more conservative than the rest of the country and that it was trending Republican. These factors eventually led the state to lose its bellwether status in the next election, albeit by a narrow margin. Primaries 2004 Missouri Democratic presidential primary 2004 Missouri Republican presidential primary Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW Article title November 28, 2009 November 21, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW dead +SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportLean RAssociated PressLean RCNNLikely RCook Political ReportLean RNewsweekLean RNew York TimesLean RRasmussen ReportsLikely RResearch 2000Toss-upWashington PostLikely RWashington TimesToss-upZogby InternationalLikely RWashington DispatchLikely R Polling From May 2004, Bush won every single poll from the state. The final three polls taken from the state averaged Bush leading with 51% to 45%.http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=29 Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections Fundraising Bush raised $4,026,802.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President www.campaignmoney.com Kerry raised $1,418,159.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President www.campaignmoney.com Advertising and visits This state was considered a major swing state. Both the Republican ticket and Democratic ticket visited the state seven times in the general election. Kerry focused mostly on the urban areas such as St. Louis and Kansas City, while Bush focused more on rural such as Warrenton and Sedalia.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/showdown/MO/ CNN.com Specials www.cnn.com Analysis This was a better result for President Bush than 2000, when he carried the state by only 3%. In 2004, he received 265,789 more votes than in 2000, while Kerry won only 148,033 more votes than Gore in 2000. Bush won by a 7% margin. Kerry won just four counties in the state: Jackson County, Ste. Genevieve, St. Louis County, and St. Louis City. 2024 11 As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last election in which Boone County, home to Columbia and the University of Missouri, voted for the Republican candidate. Results 2004 United States presidential election in Missourihttps://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?f=0&fips=29&year=2004 2004 Presidential General Election Results - MissouriPartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Republican Party George W. Bush (incumbent) 1,455,713 53.30% 11 Democratic Party John Kerry 1,259,171 46.10% 0 Libertarian Party Michael Badnarik 9,831 0.36% 0 Constitution Party Michael Peroutka 5,355 0.20% 0 Write In Ralph Nader 1,294 0.05% 0 Totals 2,731,364 100.00% 11 Voter turnout (voting age population)http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections David Leip uselectionatlas.orghttp://www.sos.mo.gov/news.asp?id=758 News Missouri Secretary of State - IT www.sos.mo.gov 63.6% By county CountyGeorge W. BushRepublicanJohn KerryDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Adair6,36755.83%4,93843.30%990.87%1,42912.53%11,404Andrew5,13562.12%3,06937.13%620.75%2,06624.99%8,266Atchison2,13767.71%1,00531.84%140.44%1,13235.87%3,156Audrain6,29458.92%4,31840.42%710.66%1,97618.50%10,683Barry9,59968.92%4,22330.32%1050.75%5,37638.60%13,927Barton4,57276.31%1,37322.92%460.77%3,19953.39%5,991Bates5,00459.11%3,39840.14%640.75%1,60618.97%8,466Benton5,57561.88%3,38137.53%530.59%2,19424.35%9,009Bollinger4,10269.58%1,75429.75%390.66%2,34839.83%5,895Boone37,80149.71%37,64349.50%6020.79%1580.21%76,046Buchanan19,81252.21%17,79946.90%3390.89%2,0135.31%37,950Butler11,69671.14%4,66628.38%790.48%7,03042.76%16,441Caldwell2,59360.75%1,64538.54%300.70%94822.21%4,268Callaway11,10862.50%6,55936.90%1060.60%4,54925.60%17,773Camden13,12267.23%6,29632.26%1010.52%6,82634.97%19,519Cape Girardeau23,81468.90%10,56830.57%1830.53%13,24638.33%34,565Carroll3,15566.55%1,56833.07%180.38%1,58733.48%4,741Carter1,79764.66%96434.69%180.64%83329.97%2,779Cass27,25361.63%16,68137.73%2830.64%10,57223.90%44,217Cedar4,23868.32%1,91030.79%550.89%2,32837.53%6,203Chariton2,42155.78%1,89243.59%270.62%52912.19%4,340Christian22,10270.51%9,05928.90%1870.60%13,04341.61%31,348Clark1,89950.83%1,79448.02%431.15%1052.81%3,736Clay51,19353.07%44,67046.31%5970.62%6,5236.76%96,460Clinton5,28755.42%4,16543.66%880.92%1,12211.76%9,540Cole24,75267.44%11,75332.02%1960.54%12,99935.42%36,701Cooper5,05867.37%2,40031.97%500.66%2,65835.40%7,508Crawford5,68660.61%3,63238.72%630.68%2,05421.89%9,381Dade2,96372.46%1,10427.00%220.55%1,85945.46%4,089Dallas4,78865.96%2,40733.16%640.88%2,38132.80%7,259Daviess2,35161.97%1,40236.95%411.08%94925.02%3,794DeKalb2,94162.76%1,70736.43%380.81%1,23426.33%4,686Dent4,36969.31%1,86529.58%701.12%2,50439.73%6,304Douglas4,49871.09%1,74127.52%881.39%2,75743.57%6,327Dunklin6,72057.55%4,90141.97%560.48%1,81915.58%11,677Franklin26,42958.32%18,55640.95%3330.73%7,87317.37%45,318Gasconade4,75366.28%2,35532.84%630.88%2,39833.44%7,171Gentry2,08562.95%1,20136.26%260.79%88426.69%3,312Greene77,88562.18%46,65737.25%7240.58%31,22824.93%125,266Grundy3,17265.97%1,56132.47%751.56%1,61133.50%4,808Harrison2,72967.42%1,27931.60%400.99%1,45035.82%4,048Henry6,36158.48%4,46141.01%550.51%1,90017.47%10,877Hickory2,79157.36%2,04341.99%320.66%74815.37%4,866Holt1,86469.27%81130.14%160.59%1,05339.13%2,691Howard2,91559.24%1,97240.07%340.69%94319.17%4,921Howell11,09767.75%5,11831.25%1641.00%5,97936.50%16,379Iron2,47752.94%2,15746.10%450.96%3206.84%4,679Jackson130,50041.30%183,65458.12%1,8390.58%-53,154-16.82%315,993Jasper31,84670.64%13,00228.84%2370.53%18,84441.80%45,085Jefferson46,62449.99%46,05749.38%5830.63%5670.61%93,264Johnson12,25760.57%7,79038.50%1890.93%4,46722.07%20,236Knox1,20761.02%76138.47%100.51%44622.55%1,978Laclede10,57871.14%4,21328.33%780.52%6,36542.81%14,869Lafayette9,65659.67%6,41239.62%1140.70%3,24420.05%16,182Lawrence11,19470.82%4,50628.51%1060.67%6,68842.31%15,806Lewis2,86261.63%1,75437.77%280.60%1,10823.86%4,644Lincoln11,31657.04%8,36842.18%1550.78%2,94814.86%19,839Linn3,42258.02%2,44041.37%360.61%98216.65%5,898Livingston4,02963.49%2,27835.90%390.61%1,75127.59%6,346Macon4,67361.73%2,85637.73%410.54%1,81724.00%7,570Madison2,90559.07%1,97240.10%410.83%93318.97%4,918Maries2,82563.86%1,56335.33%360.81%1,26228.53%4,424Marion7,81562.76%4,56836.68%700.56%3,24726.08%12,453McDonald5,44370.46%2,21528.67%670.87%3,22841.79%7,725Mercer1,20766.43%58232.03%281.54%62534.40%1,817Miller7,79771.99%2,95927.32%750.69%4,83844.67%10,831Mississippi2,90354.79%2,37444.81%210.40%5299.98%5,298Moniteau4,74370.89%1,91328.59%350.52%2,83042.30%6,691Monroe2,63261.11%1,64738.24%280.65%98522.87%4,307Montgomery3,56361.86%2,14737.27%500.87%1,41624.59%5,760Morgan5,65764.50%3,05334.81%610.69%2,60429.69%8,771New Madrid4,15452.54%3,71647.00%370.47%4385.54%7,907Newton17,18771.95%6,56427.48%1380.58%10,62344.47%23,889Nodaway6,22661.53%3,83037.85%630.62%2,39623.68%10,119Oregon2,76959.26%1,82339.01%811.73%94620.25%4,673Osage4,97574.58%1,67325.08%230.34%3,30249.50%6,671Ozark3,08365.50%1,56133.16%631.34%1,52232.34%4,707Pemiscot3,39849.93%3,38149.68%270.40%170.25%6,806Perry5,58367.70%2,62131.78%430.52%2,96235.92%8,247Pettis11,60366.32%5,80133.16%920.53%5,80233.16%17,496Phelps11,87463.50%6,66635.65%1600.85%5,20827.85%18,700Pike4,31453.66%3,67045.65%560.70%6448.01%8,040Platte23,30255.52%18,41243.87%2560.61%4,89011.65%41,970Polk8,58668.95%3,77530.31%920.74%4,81138.64%12,453Pulaski8,61870.52%3,55129.06%520.43%5,06741.46%12,221Putnam1,66067.89%77231.57%130.53%88836.32%2,445Ralls2,98659.32%2,03140.35%170.34%95518.97%5,034Randolph6,55164.24%3,58635.16%610.60%2,96529.08%10,198Ray5,67352.59%5,03446.66%810.75%6395.93%10,788Reynolds1,89656.36%1,44943.07%190.57%44713.29%3,364Ripley3,69365.33%1,90733.73%530.94%1,78631.60%5,653Saline5,38954.22%4,47945.06%710.71%9109.16%9,939Schuyler1,12455.34%89444.02%130.64%23011.32%2,031Scotland1,35261.54%82837.69%170.77%52423.85%2,197Scott11,33064.94%6,05734.71%610.35%5,27330.23%17,448Shannon2,51160.26%1,61838.83%380.91%89321.43%4,167Shelby2,28065.11%1,20134.29%210.60%1,07930.82%3,502St. Charles95,82658.61%66,85540.89%8070.50%28,97117.72%163,488St. Clair3,09862.40%1,84137.08%260.52%1,25725.32%4,965St. Francois12,08752.71%10,74846.87%980.43%1,3395.84%22,933St. Louis244,96945.12%295,28454.38%2,7300.50%-50,315-9.26%542,983St. Louis City27,79319.22%116,13380.29%7120.49%-88,340-61.07%144,638Ste. Genevieve3,79146.54%4,28152.55%740.91%-490-6.01%8,146Stoddard9,24269.74%3,94629.78%640.48%5,29639.96%13,252Stone10,53469.35%4,57830.14%770.51%5,95639.21%15,189Sullivan1,88060.86%1,17838.14%311.00%70222.72%3,089Taney13,57870.43%5,60129.05%1010.52%7,97741.38%19,280Texas7,23465.66%3,66433.25%1201.09%3,57032.41%11,018Vernon5,73263.75%3,20635.65%540.60%2,52628.10%8,992Warren7,88358.69%5,46140.66%880.66%2,42218.03%13,432Washington4,64150.57%4,45948.58%780.85%1821.99%9,178Wayne3,91963.17%2,25036.27%350.56%1,66926.90%6,204Webster10,19468.21%4,65731.16%930.62%5,53737.05%14,944Worth69161.04%43638.52%50.44%25522.52%1,132Wright6,09072.97%2,18826.22%680.82%3,90246.75%8,346Totals1,455,71353.30%1,259,17146.10%16,4800.60%196,5427.20%2,731,364 Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Boone (largest city: Columbia) Buchanan (largest city: St. Joseph) Clay (largest city: Liberty) Jefferson (largest city: Arnold) Mississippi (largest city: Charleston) New Madrid (largest city: New Madrid) Pemiscot (largest city: Caruthersville) Ray (largest city: Richmond) Saline (largest city: Marshall) Washington (largest city: Potosi) right 275px Swing by county Legend #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 275px Trend by county Legend #09ceff Democratic — +10-12.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 275px County flips Legend Democratic #92c5de Hold Republican #f48882 Hold #ca0120 Flip By congressional district Bush won six of nine congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project www.swingstateproject.com District Bush Kerry RepresentativeMissouri 1 1st 25% 75%William Lacy Clay, Jr.Missouri 2 2nd 60% 40%Todd AkinMissouri 3 3rd43%57%Dick GephardtRuss CarnahanMissouri 4 4th 64% 35%Ike SkeltonMissouri 5 5th40%59%Karen McCarthyEmanuel CleaverMissouri 6 6th 57% 42%Sam GravesMissouri 7 7th 67% 32%Roy BluntMissouri 8 8th 64% 36%Jo Ann EmersonMissouri 9 9th 59% 41%Kenny Hulshof Electors List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of Missouri cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Missouri is allocated 11 electors because it has nine congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 11 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 11 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead, the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 11 were pledged for Bush/Cheney.Archived copy https://web.archive.org/web/20041112203906/http://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/2004general/presElectors_MORepublican.asp 2004-11-12 Rosemary Kochner Fred Dyer Miriam Stonebraker Carolyn McDowell Cathy Owens Steve Krueger Emory Melton John Schudy Richard Hardy John Marschalk Warren Erdman See also United States presidential elections in Missouri References Missouri 2004 Presidential