2010 Victorian state election

Australian state election March 2020 June 2023 2010 Victorian state election Victoria parliamentary no 2006 Victorian state election 2006 2014 Victorian state election 2014 All 88 seats in the Victorian Legislative AssemblyAll 40 seats in the Victorian Legislative Council45 seats needed for a majority 27 November 2010 200x200px Ted Baillieu 8 May 2006 Liberal–National coalition Liberal/National coalition Hawthorn 1,417,146 44.78% 5.17 32 seats 13 45 13 200x200px John Brumby 30 July 2007 Australian Labor Party (Victorian Branch) Broadmeadows 1,147,348 36.25% 6.81 55 seats 43 12 TPP TPP swing 51.58% 5.97 48.42% 5.97 2010 Victorian state election.svg 400px Results in each electorate. Premier Premier after election John Brumby Australian Labor Party (Victorian Branch) Ted Baillieu Liberal/National coalition #Opinion polling The 2010 Victorian state election, held on Saturday, 27 November 2010, was for the 57th Parliament of Victoria. The election was to elect all 88 members of the Legislative Assembly and all 40 members of the Legislative Council. The incumbent centre-left Labor Party government, led by John Brumby, was defeated by the centre-right Liberal/National Coalition opposition, led by Ted Baillieu. The election gave the Coalition a one-seat majority in both houses of parliament. As of 2026, these are the most recent elections where the Liberal/National Coalition has won. Campaign Candidates of the 2010 Victorian state election thumb|right|Adam Bandt, Brian Walters and Bob Brown of the Greens during the election campaign The Liberal and National Parties contested the election as a Coalition, which they had not done since the previous agreement lapsed in 2000.Coalition reunites in Victoria Catherine Best 2008-02-11 http://news.smh.com.au/national/coalition-reunites-in-victoria-20080211-1ri4.html 2010-03-14 The Sydney Morning Herald The Liberal Party departed from tradition and gave their preferences to Labor ahead of the Greens, thereby decreasing the chances of the Greens winning up to four inner city seats from Labor.http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2010/s3066289.htm Greens still hopeful of winning seats Abc.net.au 1980-10-02 2012-02-01 The Coalition launched their campaign on 14 November 2010 at the Melbourne Convention and Exhibition Centre in the electoral district of Melbourne, with the slogan: "Fix the problems. Build the future." Labor launched their campaign on 16 November 2010 in the electoral district of Bendigo East, using the slogan: "For the times ahead." The Greens ran with the slogan "This time, I'm voting Green". The only state leaders debate between The Victorian Labor Premier, John Brumby, and the Liberal Opposition Leader, Ted Baillieu was held on November 5, 2010 on the ABC. As of 2026, these are the most recent leaders debate that were on free TV instead of pay television Sky News Australia. Baillieu's multicultural ministerial advisers helped in attracting multicultural votes towards the Liberal party in marginal seats that mattered. A large majority of the Victorian Indian community voted for the Liberal party.https://www.theindiansun.com.au/2025/10/25/inside-the-media-playbook-that-helped-the-liberals-win-in-2010/ Libs Media Playbook for 2010 The Indian Sun 25 Feb 2025 Issues The Coalition campaigned heavily against the Brumby Government's new Myki ticketing system, which had been delivered at triple the projected cost and years behind schedule, as well as its construction of an expensive desalination plant that many claimed was unnecessary.https://www.govnews.com.au/myki-system-a-failure-urgent-action-needed/ Myki system a failure, urgent action needed Staff Writers 2015-06-10 GovNews en-AU 2020-02-27https://www.parliament.vic.gov.au/file_uploads/20150610-myki_bn23fyLd.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20150620234002/http://www.parliament.vic.gov.au/file_uploads/20150610-myki_bn23fyLd.pdf dead 20 June 2015 Operational Effectiveness of the myki Ticketing System Other issues included health, education, and law and order. Ted Baillieu promised to restore the budget to surplus, employ more nurses and police, make Victorian teachers the highest paid in the country, and abolish suspended sentences which were seen as out of touch with community standards. In 2009 and 2010, Melbourne saw a wave of street violence targeting international Indian students. While the incumbent Labor government was criticized for downplaying the racial element of the attacks, Baillieu broke ranks to fiercely condemn the "fear and terror" the students faced. He actively advocated for their safety and safety on public transport, which built immense trust and goodwill of Victorian Indian community.https://www.theindiansun.com.au/2025/09/03/from-psos-to-work-from-home-the-policies-that-shaped-victorias-elections/ From PSOs to WFH The Indian Sun 3 Sep 2025 https://www.theindiansun.com.au/2026/02/07/why-september-trips-fall-flat-and-how-victorias-bollywood-policy-was-born/ How Victoria's Bollywood Policy was born The Indian Sun 7 Feb 2026https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/indian-students-racism-and-a-debate-spiralling-out-of-control-20100210-nsau.html Indian Students and Racism debate The Sydney Morning Herald 11 Feb 2010https://youngbharatnews.com/shahjahanpur/pm-modi-iffm-shahjahanpur-nitin-gupta-melbourne-71800 PM Modi praises IFFM 7 Feb 2026 Young Bharat Newshttps://www.theindiansun.com.au/2026/01/31/how-jess-wilson-might-engage-victorias-indian-community/ How Jess Wilson might engage Indian community The Indian Sun 31 Jan 2026 Background Results and maps of the 2006 Victorian state election Post-election pendulum for the 2006 Victorian state election At the 1999 election, the Labor Party led by Steve Bracks was able to form a minority government with the parliamentary support of 3 Independents, displacing the incumbent Jeff Kennett Liberal/National Coalition government. Labor was returned with a majority government after a landslide win at the 2002 election. Labor was elected for a third term at the 2006 election with a substantial but reduced majority. Labor won 55 of the 88 seats, a decrease of 7, and 54.4% of the two-party preferred vote, a decrease of 3.4%. Brumby replaced Bracks as Labor leader and Premier of Victoria in 2007. Political changes The previous elections took place on Saturday, 25 November 2006. At the 2006 election, the Labor Party won 55 of the 88 seats, the Liberal Party won 23, the National Party won 9, and there was 1 Independent. Since that date a number of political changes took place. Both Premier Bracks and Deputy Premier John Thwaites resigned on 27 July 2007. By-elections Between the 2006 and 2010 elections, four by-elections took place. In Bracks' seat of Williamstown and Thwaites' seat of Albert Park in 2007, former minister Andre Haermeyer's seat of Kororoit in 2008, and former minister Lynne Kosky's seat of Altona in 2010. All four seats were retained by Labor. Labor MP Craig Langdon resigned from his seat of Ivanhoe in August 2010, however the by-election writ was discharged by the Parliamentary Speaker due to the proximity of the state election coupled with the cost of holding a by-election.Speaker decides against Ivanhoe by-election, ABC News, 14 September 2010. Retiring MPs Labor Peter Batchelor MLA (Thomastown) Bob Cameron MLA (Bendigo West) Carlo Carli MLA (Brunswick) Judy Maddigan MLA (Essendon) Karen Overington MLA (Ballarat West) George Seitz MLA (Keilor) Liberal Helen Shardey MLA (Caulfield) John Vogels MLC (Western Victoria Region) National Ken Jasper MLA (Murray Valley) Results Legislative Assembly Post-election pendulum for the 2010 Victorian state election Results of the 2010 Victorian state election (Legislative Assembly) right|thumb|250px|Government (45) Coalition Liberal darkgray Liberal (35) National darkgray National (10) Opposition (43) Labor darkgray Labor (43) right|thumb|Lower house seat outcome of the Victorian 2010 election +Legislative Assembly (IRV) – (CV)File:2010 VIC Legislative Assembly.svg Party Votes % Swing Seats Change     Liberal 1,203,654 38.03 3.59 35 12   National 213,492 6.75 1.58 10 1 Coalition total 1,417,146 44.78 5.17 45 13   Labor 1,147,348 36.25 6.81 43 12   Greens 354,697 11.21 1.17 0   Independents 82,395 2.60 0.31 0 1   Family First 72,354 2.29 2.00 0   Country Alliance 42,938 1.36 New 0   Democratic Labour 28,176 0.89 New 0   Sex Party 17,252 0.55 New 0   Socialist Alliance 1,787 0.06 0.02 0   Christian Democrats 636 0.02 New 0 Total valid votes 3,164,729 95.040.40 –– Invalid/blank votes 165,134 4.960.40–– Total 3,329,863 100– 88 Registered voters / Turnout 3,582,232 92.950.23–– Two-party-preferred vote Coalition 1,633,312 51.58 +5.97 45 13 Labor 1,533,225 48.42 −5.97 43 12 Labor suffered a swing of 5.97 percent, a larger swing than the 1992 landslide that brought the Jeff Kennett-led Coalition to power.http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/the-figures-point-to-electoral-wilderness-for-victorian-labor-20101215-18y4a.html The figures point to electoral wilderness for Victorian Labor Austin Paul 16 December 2010 The Sydney Morning Herald Fairfax Media 2 September 2011 However, much of that swing was wasted on landslide victories in the Coalition's heartland. As a result, the Coalition only just managed the 13-seat swing it needed to make Baillieu premier, netting it a bare majority of two seats. On 29 November, with the result beyond doubt, Brumby conceded defeat. He resigned as state Labor leader the next day. The new Liberal/National government was sworn in on 2 December 2010,http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/12/02/3082540.htm https://web.archive.org/web/20101205235609/http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/12/02/3082540.htm dead 5 December 2010 Baillieu sworn in as Premier Abc.net.au 2012-02-01 and former Health Minister Daniel Andrews was elected Labor leader on 3 December.5 Minutes 10 Minutes https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/daniel-andrews-new-victorian-labor-leader/news-story/5e63dd939e781585030fdfde3c3599ad Daniel Andrews new Victorian Labor leader The Australian 2010-12-03 https://web.archive.org/web/20101203172409/http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/daniel-andrews-new-victorian-labor-leader/story-fn59niix-1225965400322 subscription live 2012-02-01 Legislative Council Results of the 2010 Victorian state election (Legislative Council) File:2010 VIC Legislative Council.svg 3582232 112475 0.20 0.91 #f00011 Labor 1137461 6.09 16 3 #080cab Liberal (metropolitan) 792702 3.35 12 3 #00557c Liberal/National (joint ticket) 595330 0.83 #080cab Liberal (country) 6 #008000 National 3 1 #10c25b Greens 386172 1.43 3 #00ccff Family First 91982 0.99 0 #ffb536 Democratic Labour 75080 0.36 0 1 #ffbf00 Sex Party 61542 New 0 New #556b2f Country Alliance 53149 1.20 0 #800080 Christian Democrats 12322 0.18 0 Independents 10646 0 Legislative Council seats auto Legislative Council Region Seats held Eastern Metropolitan Region           Eastern Victoria Region           Northern Metropolitan Region           Northern Victoria Region           South Eastern Metropolitan Region           Southern Metropolitan Region           Western Metropolitan Region           Western Victoria Region           5em   Liberal   National   Labor   Green In the 40-member upper house where all members are up for re-election every term, the Coalition won a majority of 21 seats, with 16 seats won by Labor and 3 won by the Greens.http://www.abc.net.au/elections/vic/2010/guide/lc-results.htm Upper house summary ABC 2012-02-01http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/12/14/3092639.htm https://web.archive.org/web/20101228103058/http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/12/14/3092639.htm dead 28 December 2010 Coalition wins Upper House majority Australian Broadcasting Corporation 14 December 2010 Seats changing hands Seat Pre-2010 Swing Post-2010 Party Member Margin Margin Member Party Bentleigh  Labor Rob Hudson 6.3 -7.1 0.8 Elizabeth Miller Liberal  Burwood  Labor Bob Stensholt 3.7 -9.6 5.9 Graham Watt Liberal  Carrum  Labor Jenny Lindell 6.7 -8.7 2.0 Donna Bauer Liberal  Forest Hill  Labor Kirstie Marshall 0.8 -3.9 3.2 Neil Angus Liberal  Frankston  Labor Alistair Harkness 3.2 -5.3 2.1 Geoff Shaw Liberal  Gembrook  Labor Tammy Lobato 0.7 -7.5 6.8 Brad Battin Liberal  Gippsland East ¶  Independent Craig Ingram 9.1 -21.1 12.0 Tim Bull National  Mitcham  Labor Tony Robinson 2.0 -4.7 2.8 Dee Ryall Liberal  Mordialloc  Labor Janice Munt 3.5 -5.6 2.1 Lorraine Wreford Liberal  Mount Waverley  Labor Maxine Morand 0.3 -7.8 7.4 Michael Gidley Liberal  Prahran  Labor Tony Lupton 3.6 -7.8 4.3 Clem Newton-Brown Liberal  Seymour  Labor Ben Hardman 6.7 -7.9 1.2 Cindy McLeish Liberal  South Barwon  Labor Michael Crutchfield 4.1 -6.2 3.9 Andrew Katos Liberal  ¶ In 2006, the final Gippsland East 2PP count included Independent and Liberal, however in 2010 the final 2PP count included Independent and Nationals Key dates Terms are fixed at four years. Elections occur in line with the fixed term provisions laid out in the Electoral Act 2002.http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/vic/consol_act/ea2002103/s63.html Section 63, Electoral Act 2002 2010-09-06 Key dates for the election were:http://www.vec.vic.gov.au/Vote/vote-stateelectioninfo.html#3 2010 Victorian state election information: VEC Vec.vic.gov.au 2010-08-20 2010-11-28 https://web.archive.org/web/20101029203716/http://www.vec.vic.gov.au/Vote/vote-stateelectioninfo.html#3 29 October 2010 dead 2 November: Dissolution of Parliament and lodgement of election writs 9 November: Close of rolls 11 November: Close of nominations for party candidates 12 November: Close of nominations for independents 15 November: Early voting commences 25 November: Close of postal voting 26 November: Early voting closes 27 November: Election day (polls open 8am to 6pm) Opinion polling Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian is performed via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of over 1000 electors, with the declared margin of error at ±3 percent. thumb|center|880x880px|Local regression of primary vote opinion polling for the 2010 Victorian state election + Better Premier ratings^ LaborBrumby LiberalBaillieu 2010 election ––23 – 25 Nov 201048%38%9 – 11 Nov 201050% 36%Sep – Oct 201049% 31%Jul – Aug 201052% 27%May – Jun 201047% 31%Mar – Apr 201049% 29%Jan – Feb 201051% 29%Nov – Dec 200954% 26%Sep – Oct 200952% 27%Jul – Aug 200952% 27%May – Jun 200954% 21%Jan – Feb 200954% 22%Nov – Dec 200849% 27%Sep – Oct 200845% 27%Jul – Aug 200848% 26%May – Jun 200851% 28%Mar – Apr 200849% 23%Jan – Feb 200848% 25%Nov – Dec 200751% 22%Sep – Oct 200751% 25%2006 election––22 – 23 Nov 200653%1 30%Polling conducted by Newspolland published in The Australian.1 Steve Bracks.^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. +Legislative Assembly (lower house) opinion pollingPrimary vote2PP voteALPLIBNATGRNOTHALPL/NP2010 election36.3%38.0%6.7%11.2%7.8%48.4%51.6%23 – 25 Nov 201033%40%5%15%7%48.9%51.1%9 – 11 Nov 201037%39%5%14%5%51%49%Sep – Oct 201035%36%4%19%6%52%48%Jul – Aug 201038%32%4%17%9%55%45%May – Jun 201034%36%4%18%8%51%49%Mar – Apr 201037%38%3%14%8%52%48%Jan – Feb 201039%36%3%14%8%54%46%Nov – Dec 200941%32%3%14%10%57%43%Sep – Oct 200943%32%3%15%7%57%43%Jul – Aug 200943%35%2%12%8%56%44%May – Jun 200942%34%3%14%7%56%44%Jan – Feb 200946%31%2%15%6%60%40%Nov – Dec 200845%34%3%13%5%57%43%Sep – Oct 200837%37%4%15%7%51%49%Jul – Aug 200841%34%4%12%9%54%46%May – Jun 200841%35%3%14%7%55%45%Mar – Apr 200844%33%3%12%8%58%42%Jan – Feb 200843%34%3%12%8%56%44%Nov – Dec 200751%31%3%9%6%60%40%Sep – Oct 200749%36%4%6%5%56%44%2006 election43.1%34.4%5.2%10.0%7.3%54.4%45.6%22 – 23 Nov 200645%32%5%9%9%56%44%Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. Sky News exit polls in marginal seats recorded a Coalition 54-46 Labor result.http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/11/27/3078347.htm https://archive.today/20120720123956/http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/11/27/3078347.htm dead 20 July 2012 'Swing is on' as voters turn against Labor: ABC News 27 November 2010 Abc.net.au 2010-11-28 Newspaper endorsements Dailies   Sundays Newspaper Endorsement Newspaper Endorsement The Age Australian Labor Partyhttp://www.theage.com.au/opinion/editorial/leaders-have-delivered-a-choice-between-clear-alternatives-20101125-1891e.html Leaders have delivered a choice between clear alternatives The Age 26 November 2010 2010-11-27 Melbourne The Sunday Age Australian Labor Partyhttp://www.theage.com.au/opinion/editorial/labor-liberal-what-difference-would-it-make-20101120-181vc.html Labor? Liberal? What difference would it make? The Sunday Age 21 November 2010 2010-11-27 Melbourne The Australian Australian Labor Partyhttp://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/the-compelling-case-for-a-vote-against-complacency/story-e6frg71x-1225961115335 https://web.archive.org/web/20101129123029/http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/the-compelling-case-for-a-vote-against-complacency/story-e6frg71x-1225961115335 dead 29 November 2010 The compelling case for a vote against complacency The Australian 26 November 2010 2010-11-27 The Weekend Australian The Australian Financial Review Australian Labor Partyhttp://afr.com/p/opinion/brumby_earns_another_term_1oU3IvkJOeK6wsKI9GF1xH Brumby earns another term The Australian Financial Review 26 November 2010 2010-11-27 Herald Sun Australian Labor Partyhttp://www.heraldsun.com.au/opinion/editorials/a-tight-contest-between-clones/story-e6frfhqo-1225961181470 A tight contest between clones Herald Sun 26 November 2010 2010-11-27 Sunday Herald Sun Australian Labor Partyhttp://www.heraldsun.com.au/opinion/editorials/victoria-deserves-strong-leadership-from-next-state-government/story-e6frfhqo-1225957487337 Victoria deserves strong leadership from next state government Sunday Herald Sun 21 November 2010 2010-11-27 References Category:Elections in Victoria (state) Category:2010 elections in Australia Category:2010 in Victoria (state) Category:November 2010 in Australia