2004 United States presidential election in Maine

none June 2025 September 2023 2004 United States presidential election 2004 United States presidential election in Maine Maine presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Maine 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Maine 2008 November 2, 2004 x200px John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 4 396,842 53.57% George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 0 330,201 44.58% 350px County results 350px Congressional district results 350px Municipality results Kerry #b9d7ff 40–50% #86b6f2 50–60% #4389e3 60–70% #1666CB 70–80% #0645B4 80–90% #002B84 90–100% Bush #F2B3BE 40–50% #e27f90 50–60% #CC2F4A 60–70% #D40000 70–80% #AA0000 80–90% #800000 90–100% Tie #D4C4DC President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) The 2004 United States presidential election in Maine took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Maine is one of two U.S. states, where, instead of all of the state's four electors of the Electoral College voting based on the statewide results of the voters, two electors vote based on their respective congressional district. The other two electors vote based on the statewide results. Maine was considered by some to be a swing state, because of the closeness of some polls.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/showdown/ME/ CNN CNN.com Specials However, the polls were consistently won by Kerry, and neither campaign prioritized the state. On election day, Democrat John Kerry won the popular vote with 53.57%, over George W. Bush with 44.58%. This is the most recent presidential election in which a losing Democrat won Maine's 2nd congressional district, and remained the last time until 2020 that the district voted for a losing candidate. This is the first time since 1968 in which a Republican won the popular vote without Maine. Bush is the first Republican to win two terms in the White House without carrying Maine at least once. Caucuses 2004 Maine Democratic presidential caucuses Campaign There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW Archived copy dcpoliticalreport.com 23 October 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW 21 November 2010 usurped +SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportLean DAssociated PressLean DCNNLikely DCook Political ReportLean DNewsweekLean DNew York TimesLean DRasmussen ReportsLikely DResearch 2000Solid DWashington PostToss-upWashington TimesLean DZogby InternationalLikely DWashington DispatchLikely D Polling Out of 15 pre-election polls, Kerry won thirteen. By the end of October, all polls showed Kerry over 50%. The final Real Clear Politics average showed Kerry leading 51% to 41.5% with a margin of 9.5%.http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/me_polls.html RealClear Politics - Polls In three Survey USA polls taken in October, Kerry's numbers increased each time from 49%, to 51%, to 52%. Tthe final three polls averaged Kerry with 51% to Bush at 45%.http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=23 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20060602100826/http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=23 2006-06-02 Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections Fundraising Bush raised $362,522.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Kerry raised $1,057,209.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President Advertising and visits After March 3, 2004, Kerry did not visit the state once, while Bush visited the state five times.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/showdown/ME/ CNN CNN.com Specials A rough total estimate of $400,000 was spent on advertising each week, excluding the last week.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ CNN CNN.com Specials Analysis thumb|right|President Bush waves after delivering remarks at a campaign rally in Bangor, Maine. Once a typical Yankee Republican state, Maine had not been carried by a Republican presidential nominee since George H. W. Bush did so in 1988. While the younger Bush did make a play for the state in 2004, John Kerry ultimately won it by a fairly comfortable 9-point margin, including its two congressional districts. Maine is one of two states, the other being Nebraska, which allocate their electoral votes by congressional district. A candidate is awarded an electoral vote for each district won, even if the candidate loses statewide, while the statewide winner is awarded two additional electoral votes. In 2016, 2020, and 2024, Republican Donald Trump won Maine's 2nd district despite losing the state overall, and thus he received one electoral vote from the state both times. This makes George W. Bush the last Republican, and the last candidate of either party until Joe Biden in 2020, to win a presidential election without carrying Maine's 2nd district. Bush became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Lincoln or Waldo counties since James A. Garfield in 1880. Results 2004 United States presidential election in MaineGeneral Election Tabulations November 2, 2004 https://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/2004n/pr.htm dead https://web.archive.org/web/20081002003944/http://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/2004n/pr.htm 2008-10-02 pdf 2023-12-30 Maine Department of the Secretary of State pdfPartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Democratic John Kerry 396,842 53.57% 4 Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 330,201 44.58% 0 Independent Ralph Nader 8,069 1.09% 0 Green David Cobb 2,936 0.40% 0 Libertarian Michael Badnarik 1,965 0.26% 0 Constitution Michael Peroutka 735 0.10% 0 Others 4 0.00% 0 Totals 740,752 100.00% 4 Voter turnout 72.69% — By county County John KerryDemocratic George W. BushRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # %Androscoggin 30,503 54.40% 24,519 43.73% 1,045 1.86% 5,984 10.67% 56,067Aroostook 19,569 51.86% 17,564 46.55% 600 1.59% 2,005 5.31% 37,733Cumberland 94,846 58.20% 65,384 40.12% 2,732 1.68% 29,462 18.08% 162,962Franklin 9,465 54.83% 7,378 42.74% 418 2.42% 2,087 12.09% 17,261Hancock 18,048 54.49% 14,405 43.49% 669 2.02% 3,643 11.00% 33,122Kennebec 35,616 53.34% 29,761 44.57% 1,395 2.09% 5,855 8.77% 66,772Knox 12,690 54.59% 10,103 43.46% 454 1.95% 2,587 11.13% 23,247Lincoln 11,351 51.26% 10,370 46.83% 421 1.90% 981 4.43% 22,142Oxford 16,618 52.68% 14,196 45.00% 732 2.32% 2,422 7.68% 31,546Penobscot 40,417 49.22% 40,318 49.10% 1,377 1.68% 99 0.12% 82,112Piscataquis 4,409 44.36% 5,299 53.31% 232 2.33% -890 -8.95% 9,940Sagadahoc 11,107 52.69% 9,497 45.05% 475 2.25% 1,610 7.64% 21,079Somerset 13,555 50.00% 12,953 47.78% 600 2.21% 602 2.22% 27,108Waldo 11,555 51.77% 10,309 46.19% 454 2.03% 1,246 5.58% 22,318Washington 8,391 48.47% 8,619 49.79% 300 1.73% -228 -1.32% 17,310York 58,702 53.35% 49,526 45.01% 1,805 1.64% 9,176 8.34% 110,033Total 396,84253.57%330,20144.58%13,7091.85%66,6418.99%740,752 Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Lincoln (largest town: Waldoboro) Penobscot (largest city: Bangor) Waldo (largest city: Belfast) right 280px Shift by county 280px Trend relative to the state by county Legend #d40000 Republican — >15% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5−15% #ff2a2a Republican — +10−12.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5−10% #ff8080 Republican — +5−7.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5−5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0−2.5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0−2.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5−5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5−7.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #09ceff Democratic — +10−12.5% #00bdec Democratic — +12.5−15% #00a1c8 Democratic — >15% 280px County flips Legend Democratic #92c5de Hold #0671b0 Flip Republican #f48882 Hold By congressional district Kerry won both congressional districts.http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project District Bush Kerry RepresentativeMaine 1 1st 43% 55%Tom Allen Maine 2 2nd 46% 52%Mike Michaud Electors List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of Maine cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Maine is allocated four electors because it has two congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of four electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded just two of the electoral votes. The other two electoral votes are based upon the congressional district results. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm Electoral College 2008-11-01 California Secretary of State dead https://web.archive.org/web/20081030041546/http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm October 30, 2008 An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead, the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. Since Kerry won both congressional districts, all four were pledged to Kerry/Edwards. Lu Bauer, elector for the 1st Congressional district David Garrity, elector for the 2nd Congressional district Jill Duson, at-large elector Samuel Shapiro, at-large elector See also United States presidential elections in Maine References External links US Election Atlas: Maine 2004, by David Leip 2004 election results, Maine Secretary of State https://web.archive.org/web/20081002003944/http://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/2004n/pr.htm October 2, 2008 Maine 2004 Category:2004 Maine elections