2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia

none June 2025 September 2023 2004 United States presidential election 2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia West Virginia 2004 presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in West Virginia 2000 2008 United States presidential election in West Virginia 2008 November 2, 2004 65.85% (of registered voters) 54.74% (of voting age population)https://www.wvlegislature.gov/legisdocs/publications/bluebook/WVS_Bluebook_2005.pdf West Virginia Blue Book - 2005 - Page 819 West Virginia Legislature 200x200px George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 5 423,778 56.06% John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 0 326,541 43.20% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) 300px County results 300px Congressional district results Bush #f2b3be 40–50% #e27f90 50–60% #cc2f4a 60–70% #d40000 70–80% #aa0000 80–90% Kerry #86b6f2 50–60% #4389e3 60–70% The 2004 United States presidential election in West Virginia took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 5 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. West Virginia was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 12.86% margin of victory. Prior to the election, 8 of 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a red state, while others considered it a swing state. Democratic President Bill Clinton easily won this state in 1992 and 1996, but Bush carried the state in 2000 with just 51.92% of the vote. West Virginia is the only state to vote against George H. W. Bush both times and vote for George W. Bush both times. On election day, President Bush won here with a 6.53% better margin than his performance in 2000, signaling that the state was trending Republican at the presidential level. This was despite the fact that more than 50% of the state's population were registered Democrats, and both senators were Democrats. This also marked the last election in which West Virginia voted for the same presidential candidate as neighboring Virginia, and the first election since 1944 in which West Virginia voted more Republican than Virginia. In all subsequent U.S. presidential races since 2004, the Republican nominee won West Virginia while the Democratic nominee won Virginia. This is the last presidential election in which Fayette County, Brooke County, Logan County, and Mingo County voted Democratic. Bush was the first Republican since William McKinley in 1900 to carry West Virginia twice. Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm Archived copy dcpoliticalreport.com 13 January 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm 21 November 2010 usurped +SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportLikely RAssociated PressToss-upCNNLikely RCook Political ReportLean RNewsweekLean RNew York TimesLean RRasmussen ReportsLikely RResearch 2000Toss-upWashington PostToss-upWashington TimesToss-upZogby InternationalLikely RWashington DispatchLikely R Polling Early on, pre-election polling showed the election as a pure toss up. But after September 14, Bush pulled ahead and reached 50% or higher in the polls. The average of the final three polls showed Bush leading 50% to 44%.http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=54 Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections https://archive.today/20120720061843/http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=54 20 July 2012 dead Fundraising Bush raised $527,380.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President Campaignmoney.com 2015-05-20 Kerry raised $627,425.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President Campaignmoney.com 2015-05-20 Advertising and visits Bush visited the state eight times; Kerry visited the state six times.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/ Specials Cnn.com 2015-05-20 A total of between $100,000 and $550,000 was spent each week. As the election went on, both tickets spent less and less here each week.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/ Specials Cnn.com 2015-05-20 Analysis More than any other state, West Virginia highlighted Kerry's trouble in Appalachian America. It swung heavily to the Democrats during the days of Franklin D. Roosevelt and remained reliably Democratic for most of the next 68 years. The state voted for Democrats (such as Jimmy Carter and Mike Dukakis) who went on to big national defeats. This was largely due to its blue-collar, heavily unionized workers, especially coal miners, who favored Democratic economic policy. Starting with George W. Bush, however, the state's voters became more receptive to Republicans. Results 2004 United States presidential election in West Virginiahttp://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf Official General Election Results for US president (2004) 5 2009-07-17 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20090513011625/http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf May 13, 2009 Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Texas (incumbent) Dick Cheney Wyoming (incumbent) 423,778 56.06% 5 100.00% 4.14% Democratic Party (United States) John Kerry Massachusetts John Edwards North Carolina 326,541 43.20% 0 0.00% 2.39% Independent (politician) Ralph Nader Connecticut Peter Camejo California 4,063 0.54% 0 0.00% 0.54% Libertarian Party (United States) Michael Badnarik Texas Richard Campagna Iowa 1,405 0.19% 0 0.00% 0.11% Write-in Michael Peroutka Maryland - - 82 0.01% 0 0.00% Independent (politician) John Kennedy (write-in) - - - 13 0.00% 0 0.00% Mountain Party David Cobb (write-in) Texas Pat LaMarche Maine 5 0.00% 0 0.00% 1.65% 755,887 100.00% 5 100.00% By county CountyGeorge W. BushRepublicanJohn KerryDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Barbour4,00460.17%2,61039.22%410.62%1,39420.95%6,655Berkeley21,29363.03%12,24436.24%2480.73%9,04926.79%33,785Boone4,20741.25%5,93358.18%580.57%-1,726-16.93%10,198Braxton2,98649.35%3,03550.16%300.50%-49-0.81%6,051Brooke5,18948.17%5,49350.99%910.85%-304-2.82%10,773Cabell21,03555.43%16,58343.70%3320.87%4,45211.73%37,950Calhoun1,58854.97%1,26643.82%351.22%32211.15%2,889Clay2,19853.98%1,83545.06%390.95%3638.92%4,072Doddridge2,36274.30%80025.17%170.54%1,56249.13%3,179Fayette7,88146.45%8,97152.87%1150.68%-1,090-6.42%16,967Gilmer1,66558.38%1,15940.64%280.99%50617.74%2,852Grant4,06380.50%96319.08%210.42%3,10061.42%5,047Greenbrier8,35857.43%6,08441.81%1110.77%2,27415.62%14,553Hampshire5,48968.65%2,45530.70%520.65%3,03437.95%7,996Hancock7,29850.96%6,90648.22%1170.82%3922.74%14,321Hardy3,63568.90%1,61730.65%240.46%2,01838.25%5,276Harrison17,11155.94%13,23843.28%2390.79%3,87312.66%30,588Jackson7,68658.41%5,38440.92%880.66%2,30217.49%13,158Jefferson10,53952.71%9,30146.52%1530.77%1,2386.19%19,993Kanawha44,43050.53%43,01048.92%4880.55%1,4201.61%87,928Lewis4,44563.51%2,47535.36%791.13%1,97028.15%6,999Lincoln4,10249.35%4,04848.70%1621.95%540.65%8,312Logan7,04747.02%7,87752.56%630.42%-830-5.54%14,987Marion12,15048.23%12,77150.69%2731.08%-621-2.46%25,194Marshall8,51656.50%6,43542.70%1210.80%2,08113.80%15,072Mason6,48754.10%5,40845.10%950.80%1,0799.00%11,990McDowell2,76237.84%4,50161.67%360.49%-1,739-23.83%7,299Mercer13,05758.34%9,17841.01%1440.64%3,87917.33%22,379Mineral7,85468.53%3,51830.70%890.78%4,33637.83%11,461Mingo4,61243.28%5,98356.15%600.56%-1,371-12.87%10,655Monongalia17,67051.51%16,31347.55%3230.95%1,3573.96%34,306Monroe3,59060.33%2,31138.83%500.84%1,27921.50%5,951Morgan4,51165.88%2,27233.18%640.93%2,23932.70%6,847Nicholas5,48552.99%4,78846.26%780.75%6976.73%10,351Ohio11,69457.35%8,54341.89%1550.76%3,15115.46%20,392Pendleton2,14660.55%1,38138.97%170.48%76521.58%3,544Pleasants2,06160.00%1,34939.27%250.73%71220.73%3,435Pocahontas2,29558.58%1,57340.15%501.27%72218.43%3,918Preston7,85565.85%3,96333.22%1110.93%3,89232.63%11,929Putnam15,71662.49%9,30136.98%1340.53%6,41525.51%25,151Raleigh18,51960.67%11,81538.71%1910.62%6,70421.96%30,525Randolph6,51256.68%4,89242.58%860.75%1,62014.10%11,490Ritchie3,08673.55%1,07025.50%400.95%2,01648.05%4,196Roane3,44056.39%2,61242.82%480.79%82813.57%6,100Summers2,97853.91%2,50445.33%420.76%4748.58%5,524Taylor3,89359.43%2,61739.95%410.62%1,27619.48%6,551Tucker2,17960.53%1,40038.89%210.58%77921.64%3,600Tyler2,79865.91%1,40133.00%461.09%1,39732.91%4,245Upshur6,19166.62%3,03432.65%680.73%3,15733.97%9,293Wayne10,07054.11%8,41145.20%1280.69%1,6598.91%18,609Webster1,72446.42%1,96552.91%250.67%-241-6.49%3,714Wetzel3,65651.95%3,33047.31%520.74%3264.64%7,038Wirt1,72765.07%89633.76%311.17%83131.31%2,654Wood24,94863.60%14,02535.75%2540.65%10,92327.85%39,227Wyoming4,98557.18%3,69442.37%390.45%1,29114.81%8,718Totals423,77856.06%326,54143.20%5,5680.74%97,23712.86%755,887 right 300px Swing by county Legend #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 300px Trend by county Legend #09ceff Democratic — +10-12.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 300px County flips Legend Democratic #92c5de Hold Republican #f48882 Hold #ca0120 Flip Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Harrison (Largest city: Clarksburg) Kanawha (Largest city: Charleston) Lincoln (Largest city: Hamlin) Wyoming (Largest city: Mullens) By congressional district Bush won all three congressional districts, including two held by Democrats.http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 Swing State Project 2015-05-20 District Bush Kerry RepresentativeWest Virginia 1 1st 58% 42%Alan MollohanWest Virginia 2 2nd 57% 42%Shelley Moore CapitoWest Virginia 3 3rd 53% 46%Nick Rahall Electors List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of WV cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. WV is allocated 5 electors because it has 3 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 5 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 5 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 5 were pledged for Bush/Cheney: Rob Capehart Doug McKinney Dan Moore Richie Robb Larry Faircloth References West Virginia 2004 Category:2004 West Virginia elections