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2006 Dunfermline and West Fife by-election
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UK parliamentary by-election
May 2020
November 2013
2006 Dunfermline and West Fife by-election parliamentary United Kingdom Dunfermline and West Fife parliamentary seat no 2005 United Kingdom general election 2005 2010 United Kingdom general election 2010 9 February 2006 Willie Rennie WillieRennieMSP20110510.JPG
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Blank Scottish Liberal Democrats 12,391 35.8% 15.6% Catherine Stihler Catherine-Stihler-MEP.jpg
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Blank Scottish Labour 10,591 30.6% 16.8% Douglas Chapman Official portrait of Douglas Chapman crop 2.jpg
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Blank Scottish National Party 7,261 21.0% 2.1% Carrie Ruxton Scottish Conservatives 2,702 7.8% 2.5% MP Elected MP Rachel Squire Scottish Labour Willie Rennie Scottish Liberal Democrats
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Dunfermline and West Fife was held on 9 February 2006, following the death of the incumbent Labour Party MP Rachel Squire. It was won by Willie Rennie of the Scottish Liberal Democrats, who gained the seat from Labour on a large swing of 16.2%.
It was the first time Labour had lost a seat at a Westminster by-election in Scotland since 1988 Glasgow Govan by-election, and the first time Labour had ever lost to the Liberal Democrats, or their predecessors the Liberal Party, in a Scottish Westminster by-election. The by-election took place in the middle of a leadership election for the Liberal Democrats, and the party was perceived in the media to be declining in the polls as a result of negative publicity surrounding the resignation of former leader Charles Kennedy, as well as revelations about the private lives of Mark Oaten and Simon Hughes.
The constituency of Dunfermline and West Fife was first created for the United Kingdom Parliament at the 2005 general election and saw a comfortable Labour win at that election.
Labour gained the seat back at the 2010 general election, with the Liberal Democrats in second place.Dunfermline and West Fife (Constituency) 2010 results - General election results - UK Parliament https://electionresults.parliament.uk/election/2010-05-06/Results/Location/Constituency/Dunfermline%20and%20West%20Fife/ 2021-06-18 electionresults.parliament.uk en
Campaign
Sitting Labour MP Rachel Squire died on 5 January 2006; she had served as an MP since 1992, mostly for Dunfermline and West Fife's predecessor seat until the 2005 general election. A by-election was subsequently called.
The Courier reported on 23 Januaryhttp://www.thecourier.co.uk/output/2006/01/23/newsstory7953886t0.asp Courier News Story 2006-01-23 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20070930163646/http://www.thecourier.co.uk/output/2006/01/23/newsstory7953886t0.asp 30 September 2007 that leaked minutes of a meeting on 11 January at Westminster revealed that "senior Scottish Liberal Democrats do not believe their party has any chance of winning the Dunfermline and West Fife by-election", and that "their aim is to beat the SNP rather than topple Labour". This suggestion was backed up on 27 January by a poll in The Daily Telegraph that put the Lib Dems at 13% UK-wide (down 9% on Election 2005), their worst position since the 2001 general election.
The Sunday Herald reported on 29 Januaryhttp://www.sundayherald.com/53816 Labour accused of 'fix' over candidate - [Sunday Herald] 2006-01-29 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20060205010615/http://www.sundayherald.com/53816 5 February 2006 that they had "evidence of a high-level "fix" to select (the Labour) candidate", because "party bosses sent out a leaflet on behalf of Catherine Stihler’s campaign hours before she was selected to fight the seat." This story followed earlier reports of a similar row over the selection of the Conservative and Unionist candidate: Fife Tory leader Stuart Randall's claim that he was left off the shortlist for being "far too old and middle-aged to fit the bill".http://www.thecourier.co.uk/output/2006/01/21/newsstory7949230t0.asp Courier News Story 2006-01-29 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20070927185610/http://www.thecourier.co.uk/output/2006/01/21/newsstory7949230t0.asp 27 September 2007 Randall, who stood as Conservative candidate against Gordon Brown in Dunfermline East at the 2001 and 2005 general elections and fought Dunfermline East at the 2003 Scottish Parliament election, was aged only 43. Local Conservative activists were reported to be furious that such a high-profile local figure was left off the shortlist of candidates for the by-election.
The by-election electorate for the constituency was 72,225, a slight increase (of 2.04%) on the general election in May 2005.
Implications (for UK and Scottish elections)
The constituency neighbours Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath, the seat of Gordon Brown, former Leader of the Labour Party and Prime Minister. Brown actually lived in the Dunfermline and West Fife constituency; he was Chancellor of the Exchequer at the time. The constituency is also near to North East Fife, then the constituency of Sir Menzies Campbell, Acting Leader of the Liberal Democrats at the time. Prior to the election, it was speculated that a poor showing for either party in the vicinity of Brown and/or Campbell's political bases could impact upon their chances of winning their respective parties' leaderships.
The result of this Westminster by-election were seen as a litmus test of the parties' standing prior to the 2007 Scottish Parliament election; the Liberal Democrats proceeded to win the Dunfermline West seat, which comprises the bulk of Dunfermline and West Fife, from Labour in the 2007 Holyrood election. The results of all by-elections in Scotland have been particularly highly valued by psephologists and political commentators since the demise of the last regular, monthly Scottish voting-intention poll (by The Herald and Taylor Nelson Sofres System 3) at the end of 2003. The result was also notable as it came at a time when Labour's national opinion poll ratings were very high.https://www7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2006/02/10/were-the-pollsters-the-other-losers-on-thursday/ politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Were the pollsters the other losers on Thursday?
Immediately following the election, the Liberal Democrats claimed that the result showed they were the challengers to the Labour Party, and that the Conservatives had failed their first electoral test under their new leader, David Cameron.
Result
United Kingdom Parliament: Dunfermline and West Fife by-election 2006http://www.election.demon.co.uk/by2005.html Results of Byelections in the 2005-2010 Parliament Boothroyd David 2015-10-05 United Kingdom Election Results 27 December 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20151227081306/http://www.election.demon.co.uk/by2005.html dead
Scottish Liberal Democrats
Willie Rennie
12,391
35.8
+15.6
Scottish Labour
Catherine Stihler
10,591
30.6
-16.8
Scottish National Party
Douglas Chapman
7,261
21.0
+2.1
Scottish Conservatives
Carrie Ruxton
2,702
7.8
-2.5
Scottish Socialist Party
John McAllion
537
1.6
0.0
Scottish Christian Party
George Hargreaves
411
1.2
New
Abolish Forth Bridge Tolls Party
Tom Minogue
374
1.1
New
UK Independence Party
Ian Borland
208
0.6
-0.9
The Common Good (political party)
Dick Rodgers
103
0.3
New
1,800
5.2
N/A
34,578
47.9
-12.0
Scottish Liberal Democrats
Scottish Labour
+16.2
Previous election
General election 2005: Dunfermline and West Fife
Scottish Labour
Rachel Squire
20,111
47.4
-7.1
Scottish Liberal Democrats
David Herbert
8,549
20.2
+5.9
Scottish National Party
Douglas Chapman
8,026
18.9
+1.1
Scottish Conservatives
Roger Smillie
4,376
10.3
+0.6
Scottish Socialist Party
Susan Archibald
689
1.6
-0.8
UK Independence Party
Ian Borland
643
1.5
+0.1
11,562
27.2
-12.9
42,394
59.9
+2.3
Scottish Labour
-6.5
See also
Elections in Scotland
Politics of Scotland
References
External links
Campaign literature from the by-election
"Labour MP dies after long illness" from BBC News
Scottish Elections Between 1997 and present
Dunfermline and West Fife by-election
Dunfermline and West Fife by-election
Category:2000s elections in Scotland
Category:By-elections to the Parliament of the United Kingdom in Scottish constituencies
Category:Politics of Fife
Category:Politics of Dunfermline
Category:21st century in Fife
Dunfermline and West Fife by-election
Category:February 2006 elections