2011 Ontario general election

Canadian provincial election August 2011 2011 Ontario general election Ontario parliamentary no no 2007 Ontario general election 2007 39th Legislative Assembly of Ontario October 6, 2011 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario 2014 Ontario general election 2014 107 seats in the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario 54 #Opinion polls 48.2% (4.6pp)https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2014/historical-results/2014/Statistical%20Summary%20-%202014%20General%20Election%20and%202012-2014%20By-elections.pdf Statistical Summary [Elections Ontario] March 24, 2018 March 25, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20180325105726/https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2014/historical-results/2014/Statistical%20Summary%20-%202014%20General%20Election%20and%202012-2014%20By-elections.pdf live Dalton McGuinty Crop 2.jpg 130 120 160 0 0 x160px ON Liberal nohash Dalton McGuinty December 1, 1996 ON Liberal name Ottawa South 71 seats, 42.25% 70 53 17 1,625,102 37.65% 4.60pp Tim Hudak 2014 (cropped).jpg 120 120 160 0 0 ON PC nohash Tim Hudak June 27, 2009 ON PC name Niagara West—Glanbrook 26 seats, 31.62% 25 37 12 1,530,076 35.45% 3.83pp Andrea Horwath (cropped).jpg 120 120 160 0 0 ON NDP nohash Andrea Horwath March 7, 2009 ON NDP name Hamilton Centre 10 seats, 16.76% 10 17 7 981,508 22.74% 5.98pp Ontario_Election_2011_Riding_Results_Map.svg 430px Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom. Premier Premier after election Dalton McGuinty ON Liberal name Dalton McGuinty ON Liberal name General elections were held on October 6, 2011, to elect members of the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario. The Ontario Liberal Party was elected to a minority government, with the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC Party) serving as the Official Opposition and the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) serving as the third party. In the final result, Premier McGuinty's party fell one seat short of winning a majority government. Under amendments passed by the Legislature in December 2005, Ontario elections were now held on fixed dates, namely the first Thursday of October every four years.http://www.e-laws.gov.on.ca/html/source/statutes/english/2005/elaws_src_s05035_e.htm May 19, 2008 Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2005 December 15, 2005 Service Ontario e-laws June 13, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110613213845/http://www.e-laws.gov.on.ca/html/source/statutes/english/2005/elaws_src_s05035_e.htm live The writ of election was issued by Lieutenant Governor David Onley on September 7, 2011. The election saw a then–record low voter turnout of 48.2%, only to be surpassed by the 2022 Ontario general election with 44.06%. Timeline 2007 October 10, 2007: Elections held for members of the Ontario Legislature in the 39th Legislative Assembly of Ontario. November 29, 2007: The 39th Legislative Assembly of Ontario officially opens with the Speech from the Throne. 2008 February 23, 2008: John Tory's continued leadership of the Progressive Conservative party is endorsed by 66.9% of delegates at a leadership review. June 14, 2008: Premier Dalton McGuinty receives the support of 95.4% of delegates from the Ontario Liberal Party's mandatory leadership review. June 14, 2008: NDP leader Howard Hampton announces he will be stepping down as party leader at the March 7, 2009 NDP leadership convention. 2009 January 9, 2009: Progressive Conservative MPP Laurie Scott announces her resignation from the legislature to allow party leader John Tory, who has been without a seat since his defeat in Don Valley West in the 2007 election, to re-enter the legislature. March 5, 2009: In the Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock by-election following Scott's resignation, Tory is defeated by Liberal candidate Rick Johnson. March 6, 2009: John Tory resigns as Progressive Conservative leader pending the selection of an interim party leader. March 7, 2009: Andrea Horwath is elected leader of the Ontario NDP at the party's 2009 leadership convention. June 27, 2009: Tim Hudak is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative party at its 2009 leadership election and also becomes the new Leader of the Opposition. September 17, 2009: Eric Hoskins is elected as the MPP for the riding of St. Paul's following the resignation of Michael Bryant on June 7, 2009. November 4, 2009: Mike Schreiner is affirmed as the new leader of the Green Party of Ontario, receiving 97% approval from the party membership defeating the None of the Above ballot option, in the 2009 leadership election. 2010 January 29, 2010: Bob Runciman resigns his seat to accept appointment to the Senate of Canada. February 1, 2010: Jim Watson resigns his seat to run for Mayor in the 2010 Ottawa municipal election February 4, 2010: Glen Murray is elected as the MPP for the riding of Toronto Centre following the resignation of George Smitherman on January 4, 2010. March 4, 2010: Bob Chiarelli is elected as the MPP for the riding of Ottawa West—Nepean and Steve Clark is elected as the MPP for the riding of Leeds—Grenville. December 16, 2010: Peter Fonseca resigned from cabinet to run for the federal Liberals in the riding of Mississauga East—Cooksville in the 2011 federal election.https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/907928--ontario-cabinet-minister-to-seek-federal-seat Robert Benzie and Susan Delacourt. "Ontario cabinet minister to seek federal seat." Toronto Star. Toronto Star September 7, 2017 October 23, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20121023025630/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/907928--ontario-cabinet-minister-to-seek-federal-seat live 2011 June 3, 2011: Essex MPP Bruce Crozier dies of an aortic aneurysm.Benzie Robert Retiring Liberal MPP Bruce Crozier dead https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/1002784--retiring-liberal-mpp-bruce-crozier-dead June 6, 2011 The Toronto Star June 4, 2011 Toronto June 7, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110607220054/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/1002784--retiring-liberal-mpp-bruce-crozier-dead live September 7, 2011: Official election call, Premier McGuinty formally asks the Lt. Governor to dissolve the legislature. The campaign will be 29 days long. September 21–30, 2011: Advance polling stations open for early voting from 10:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m.http://wemakevotingeasy.ca/en/when-to-vote.aspx Elections Ontario - When to Vote Wemakevotingeasy.ca 2011-09-30 2011-10-07 https://web.archive.org/web/20111006194019/http://www.wemakevotingeasy.ca/en/when-to-vote.aspx October 6, 2011 dead September 27, 2011: The televised Leaders debate aired on CBC, CHCH, CTV, Global, TVOntario and Sun News Network, with Liberal leader and Premier Dalton McGuinty, Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak and New Democratic Party leader Andrea Horwath.https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ontario-leaders-debate-set-for-sept-27-1.1062708 Ontario leaders' debate set for Sept. 27 CBC.ca 2011-09-02 September 2, 2011 September 3, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110903094634/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ontariovotes2011/story/2011/09/02/ontario-leader-debate.html live October 6, 2011: Ontario general election from 9:00 a.m. until 9:00 p.m. EDT (8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. CDT in north-western part of the province). Party leadership In March 2009, PC Party leader John Tory stepped down as leader, with Tim Hudak elected to be his successor. Also in March 2009, Andrea Horwath replaced Howard Hampton as leader of the NDP at the leadership election. Thus, both the Progressive Conservatives and the NDP went into the election with a new leader. Green Party of Ontario leader Frank de Jong stepped down in November 2009; their leadership convention confirmed Mike Schreiner as their new leader. Dalton McGuinty won 95 per cent support for his leadership at an Ontario Liberal annual general meeting after the 2007 election, and ran again in 2011. Campaign Contests + Candidate contests in the ridingsCandidates nominated Ridings PartyLibPCNDPGreenFree Freedom PartyLtn LibertarianIndFCP Family Coalition PartyComm CommunistOthMinor political parties fielding fewer than nine candidates are aggregated together.Totals 4 12 12 12 12 12 48 5 30 30 30 30 30 9 9 1 7 4 150 6 25 25 25 25 25 18 14 8 4 6 150 7 24 24 24 24 24 18 16 15 12 3 8 168 8 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 3 5 3 11 64 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 2 1 9 45 10 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 5 1 2 5 30 Total 107 107 107 107 107 57 51 36 31 9 43 655 a Incumbents not running for reelection Electoral districtIncumbent at dissolution and subsequent nomineeNew MPPBarrie  Aileen CarrollAileen Carroll won't seek a second term http://www.thebarrieexaminer.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=2940632 June 6, 2011 The Barrie Examiner January 21, 2011 Examiner staff Barrie, ON July 22, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110722140357/http://www.thebarrieexaminer.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=2940632 liveKarl Walsh  Rod JacksonBruce—Grey—Owen Sound  Bill MurdochBenzie Robert Conservative MPP Bill Murdoch to ride off into the sunset https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/831854--conservative-mpp-bill-murdoch-to-ride-off-into-the-sunset June 6, 2011 The Toronto Star July 5, 2010 Toronto October 24, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20121024090525/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/831854--conservative-mpp-bill-murdoch-to-ride-off-into-the-sunset liveBill Walker  Bill WalkerBurlington  Joyce SavolineMPP Savoline will not seek re-election http://www.thespec.com/news/local/article/490318--mpp-savoline-will-not-seek-re-election June 6, 2011 The Hamilton Spectator February 21, 2011 The Canadian Press Hamilton July 17, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110717031702/http://www.thespec.com/news/local/article/490318--mpp-savoline-will-not-seek-re-election liveJane McKenna  Jane McKennaCambridge  Gerry MartiniukNugget Carol-Ann MPP Gerry Martiniuk to retire from provincial politics in 2011 http://www.cambridgenow.ca/npps/print.cfm?nppage=2005 June 6, 2011 Cambridge Now October 14, 2010 Cambridge, ON March 4, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160304062133/http://www.cambridgenow.ca/npps/print.cfm?nppage=2005 liveRob Leone  Rob LeoneCarleton—Mississippi Mills  Norm Sterling"Veteran Ontario MPP Norm Sterling loses bitter PC nomination battle " https://web.archive.org/web/20160304085348/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ontario/veteran-ontario-mpp-norm-sterling-loses-bitter-pc-nomination-battle/article1966519/ March 4, 2016 . Globe and Mail.Jack MacLaren  Jack MacLarenChatham-Kent—Essex  Pat HoyHoy won't seek re-election https://lfpress.com/news/london/2010/11/24/16295951.html June 6, 2011 London Free Press November 25, 2010 QMI Agency London, ON March 19, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120319150835/http://www.lfpress.com/news/london/2010/11/24/16295951.html livePaul Watson  Rick NichollsDavenport  Tony RuprechtLiberal backbencher Tony Ruprecht won’t seek re-election https://web.archive.org/web/20121024125058/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1020101--liberal-backbencher-tony-ruprecht-won-t-seek-re-election October 24, 2012 "Toronto Star"Cristina Martins  Jonah ScheinDon Valley East  David CaplanLiberal MPP Caplan not running again https://web.archive.org/web/20121024135934/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1023835--liberal-mpp-caplan-not-running-again October 24, 2012 "Toronto Star"Michael Coteau  Michael CoteauElgin—Middlesex—London  Steve PetersChant Miranda Elgin-Middlesex-London MPP Calls it Quits http://www.cjbk.com/LocalNews/Story.aspx?ID=1309033 June 6, 2011 News/Talk 1290 CJBK November 9, 2011 London, ON July 8, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110708161646/http://www.cjbk.com/LocalNews/Story.aspx?ID=1309033 liveLori Baldwin-Sands  Jeff YurekGlengarry—Prescott—Russell  Jean-Marc LalondeSherwin Fred Veteran MPP calls it a day after 41 years in politics http://www.orleansonline.ca/pages/N2011041301.htm June 6, 2011 Orléans Online April 13, 2011 Ottawa https://web.archive.org/web/20110927175537/http://www.orleansonline.ca/pages/N2011041301.htm September 27, 2011 deadGrant Crack  Grant CrackKenora—Rainy River  Howard HamptonRobert Benzie Former NDP leader Howard Hampton quits https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/1032630--former-ndp-leader-howard-hampton-quits July 30, 2011 The Toronto Star Toronto July 30, 2011 October 24, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20121024164234/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/1032630--former-ndp-leader-howard-hampton-quits liveSarah Campbell  Sarah CampbellNipissing  Monique SmithCramer Brandi Smith steps aside: MPP recalls her accomplishments and regrets http://www.nugget.ca/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=2853972 June 6, 2011 North Bay Nugget November 19, 2011 North Bay, ON https://web.archive.org/web/20110720203842/http://www.nugget.ca/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=2853972 July 20, 2011 deadCatherine Whiting  Vic FedeliPickering—Scarborough East  Wayne Arthurs"Longtime Pickering politician calls it quits"June 2023 InternetArchiveBot yes . Pickering News Advertiser.Tracy MacCharles  Tracy MacCharlesScarborough—Agincourt  Gerry PhillipsVeteran MPP Gerry Phillips the latest Ontario Liberal not seeking re-election https://ipolitics.ca/2011/03/25/veteran-mpp-gerry-phillips-the-latest-ontario-liberal-not-seeking-re-election/ June 6, 2011 iPolitics.ca March 25, 2011 The Canadian Press July 20, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110720201350/http://ipolitics.ca/2011/03/25/veteran-mpp-gerry-phillips-the-latest-ontario-liberal-not-seeking-re-election/ liveSoo Wong  Soo WongStormont—Dundas—South Glengarry  Jim BrownellLiberal MPP Bruce Crozier retires https://ottawa.ctvnews.ca/mpp-brownell-to-retire-from-provincial-politics-1.574362 June 6, 2011 CTV Ottawa November 29, 2010 CTV staff Ottawa October 22, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20121022025421/http://ottawa.ctvnews.ca/mpp-brownell-to-retire-from-provincial-politics-1.574362 deadMark A. Macdonald  Jim McDonellTimiskaming—Cochrane  David RamsayBlizzard Christine MPP David Ramsay won't run again http://www.torontosun.com/news/canada/2011/01/13/16875616.html June 6, 2011 The Toronto Sun January 13, 2011 Toronto September 16, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110916200804/http://www.torontosun.com/news/canada/2011/01/13/16875616.html liveDenis Bonin  John VanthofWelland  Peter KormosTalaga Tanya NDP's Peter Kormos to retire https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1002223--ndp-mpp-peter-kormos-to-retire?bn=1 June 3, 2011 The Toronto Star Toronto June 3, 2011 October 24, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20121024081919/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1002223--ndp-mpp-peter-kormos-to-retire?bn=1 liveCindy Forster  Cindy ForsterWindsor West  Sandra PupatelloBenzie Robert Liberals lose a star: Sandra Pupatello won't seek re-election https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1006173--liberals-lose-a-star-sandra-pupatello-won-t-seek-re-election?bn=1/ June 10, 2011 Toronto Star June 10, 2011 Rob Ferguson Toronto October 24, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20121024095844/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1006173--liberals-lose-a-star-sandra-pupatello-won-t-seek-re-election?bn=1%2F liveTeresa Piruzza  Teresa Piruzza Results Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario election results |- style="background-color:#CCCCCC" !rowspan="2" colspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Party !rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Party leader !rowspan="2" |Candidates !colspan="4" |Seats !colspan="3" |Popular vote |- style="background-color:#CCCCCC" !2007 !Dissol. !2011 !Change !# !% !Change ON Liberal row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Dalton McGuinty |107 |71 |70 |53 |18 | 1,625,102 | 37.65% | 4.7% ON PC row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Tim Hudak |107 |26 |25 |37 |11 | 1,530,076 | 35.45% | 3.8% ON NDP row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Andrea Horwath |107 |10 |10 |17 |7 | 981,508 | 22.74% | 5.9% ON Green row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Mike Schreiner |107 |– |– |– |– | 126,021 | 2.92% | 5.1% ON Libertarian row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Sam Apelbaum |51 |– |– |– |– | 19,447 | 0.45% | 0.3% ON FCP row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Phil Lees |31 |– |– |– |– | 9,524 | 0.22% | 0.6% ON Freedom row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Paul McKeever |57 |– |– |– |– | 9,253 | 0.21% | 0.1% ON Independent row-name |style="text-align:left;" |  |36 |– |– |– |– | 9,021 | 0.21% |– ON Communist row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Elizabeth Rowley |9 |– |– |– |– | 1,162 | 0.03% | 0.01% ON Northern Ontario Heritage row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Edward Deibel |3 |– |– |– |– | 676 | 0.02% |– ON Special Needs row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Danish Ahmed |4 |– |– |– |– | 667 | 0.02% | 0.01% ON Reform row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Bradley J. Harness |4 |– |– |– |– | 647 | 0.01% | 0.01% ON Paramount Canadians row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Ranvir Dogra |4 |– |– |– |– | 562 | 0.01% |– ON CoR row-name | style="text-align:left;" |vacant |3 |– |– |– |– | 559 | 0.01% |– ON Socialist row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Michael Laxer |5 |– |– |– |– | 519 | 0.01% |– ON People's Political Party row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Kevin Clarke |4 |– |– |– |– | 386 |– |– ON Vegan Environmental row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Paul Figueiras |3 |– |– |– |– | 366 |– |– ON Republican row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Trueman Tuck |3 |– |– |– |– | 232 |– |– ON The Only Party row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Michael Green |3 |– |– |– |– | 188 |– |– ON Human Rights row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Marilyn McCormick |2 |– |– |– |– | 170 |– |– ON Canadians' Choice row-name | style="text-align:left;" |Bahman Yazdanfar |3 |– |– |– |– | 156 |– |– ON Paupers row-name | style="text-align:left;" | John Turmel |2 |– |– |– |– | 140 | < .01% |– ON Vacant row | style="text-align:left;" colspan="4"|Vacant |2 | style="text-align:center;" colspan="5" |  |- | style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Total |655 |107 |107 |107 | | 4,316,382 |100% |-2.43% |- | colspan="11" style="text-align:left;font-size:90%;" | Source: http://www.elections.on.ca/NR/rdonlyres/7849B894-4C4F-490E-9E8C-271BCF0C0D4D/5604/SummaryofValidBallotsCast2011.pdf 40TH GENERAL ELECTION - SUMMARY OF VALID BALLOTS CAST Elections Ontario May 17, 2014 May 1, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140501145454/http://www.elections.on.ca/NR/rdonlyres/7849B894-4C4F-490E-9E8C-271BCF0C0D4D/5604/SummaryofValidBallotsCast2011.pdf dead |} Vote and seat summaries Ternary plots - shift of electoral support (2007-2011) 350 200 yes center Electoral districts identified by colours of winning parties File:Ternary ON2007.svg 2007 Ternary plot of 2007 results File:Ternary ON2011.svg 2011 Ternary plot of 2011 results Popular vote #ddd 600px 410px Liberal ON Liberal 37.65 PC ON PC 35.45 New Democratic ON NDP 22.74 Others ON Independent 4.16 Seats summary #ddd 600px 410px Liberal ON Liberal 49.53 PC ON PC 34.58 New Democratic ON NDP 15.89 Summary + Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won/lost by party, 2007-2011Party2007Gain from(loss to)2011LibPCNDPON Liberal row-name 71 (11) (7) 53ON PC row-name 26 11 37ON NDP row-name 10 7 17Total 107 18 (11) (7) 107 Regional analysis + Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won by region (2011)Party Toronto 905 Belt Ham/Niagara Central East Midwest Southwest North Total     Liberal 17 14 3 1 7 3 4 4 53     Conservative 3 3 10 7 8 4 2 37     New Democratic 5 1 4 2 5 17Total 22 18 10 11 14 11 10 11 107 Synopsis of results Results by riding of the Ontario general election, 2011 + Results by riding - 2011 Ontario general election https://results.elections.on.ca/en/data-explorer?fromYear=1867&toYear=2019&electionType=GE&electionId=324 2011 Ontario General Election elections.on.ca Elections Ontario June 20, 2023 Error in EO report re Willowdale corrected: http://www.willowdalendp.ca/ Alexander Brown for Willowdale November 7, 2011 willowdalendp.ca June 21, 2023 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20111107144426/http://www.willowdalendp.ca/ November 7, 2011 Riding Winning party Turnoutincluding spoilt ballots Votesminor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately2007 1stplace Votes Share Margin# Margin% 2ndplace Lib PC NDP Green Ind Independent or No Affiliation Other Total  Ajax—Pickering Lib Lib 19,606 47.34% 4,888 11.80% PC 44.84% 19,606 14,718 5,952 843 – 299 41,418Algoma—Manitoulin Lib NDP 11,585 44.52% 4,188 16.09% Lib 49.43% 7,397 6,141 11,585 684 – 217 26,024Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale Lib Lib 21,648 43.70% 4,516 9.12% PC 56.45% 21,648 17,132 8,521 1,477 – 765 49,543Barrie Lib PC 17,527 40.66% 2,521 5.85% Lib 46.00% 15,006 17,527 8,171 1,909 – 497 43,110Beaches—East York NDP NDP 17,925 46.82% 4,112 10.74% Lib 51.64% 13,813 5,333 17,925 1,025 – 189 38,285Bramalea—Gore—Malton Lib NDP 16,626 38.16% 2,277 5.23% Lib 40.71% 14,349 9,896 16,626 1,091 491 1,119 43,572Brampton—Springdale Lib Lib 15,663 44.43% 2,909 8.25% PC 40.54% 15,663 12,754 5,378 900 – 562 35,257Brampton West Lib Lib 19,224 43.76% 4,790 10.90% PC 38.29% 19,224 14,434 8,331 1,432 – 509 43,930Brant Lib Lib 16,867 37.08% 1,106 2.43% PC 48.23% 16,867 15,761 11,006 957 244 649 45,484Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound PC PC 19,567 47.37% 8,678 21.01% Lib 54.70% 10,889 19,567 6,133 2,654 1,478 585 41,306Burlington PC PC 20,061 40.41% 2,152 4.33% Lib 54.83% 17,909 20,061 9,370 1,129 – 1,175 49,644Cambridge PC PC 15,947 37.69% 1,954 4.62% Lib 46.04% 13,993 15,947 10,414 1,056 271 629 42,310Carleton—Mississippi Mills PC PC 28,246 50.29% 9,102 16.21% Lib 53.50% 19,144 28,246 6,371 1,857 – 549 56,167Chatham-Kent—Essex Lib PC 15,121 41.78% 3,490 9.64% Lib 49.41% 11,631 15,121 8,415 1,027 – – 36,194Davenport Lib NDP 14,367 45.93% 1,414 4.52% Lib 45.59% 12,953 2,480 14,367 855 250 374 31,279Don Valley East Lib Lib 16,350 51.08% 7,645 23.88% PC 46.08% 16,350 8,705 5,953 702 – 300 32,010Don Valley West Lib Lib 24,444 58.32% 11,617 27.71% PC 50.93% 24,444 12,827 3,621 718 – 307 41,917Dufferin—Caledon PC PC 17,833 46.95% 7,671 20.19% Lib 47.74% 10,162 17,833 4,200 5,540 – 250 37,985Durham PC PC 22,393 49.07% 8,999 19.72% Lib 49.74% 13,394 22,393 8,027 1,221 – 596 45,631Eglinton—Lawrence Lib Lib 20,752 54.15% 7,895 20.60% PC 51.81% 20,752 12,857 3,763 575 146 231 38,324Elgin—Middlesex—London Lib PC 19,771 47.86% 8,696 21.05% Lib 51.28% 11,075 19,771 9,201 981 – 283 41,311Essex Lib NDP 17,417 37.99% 1,368 2.98% PC 51.38% 11,518 16,049 17,417 860 – – 45,844Etobicoke Centre Lib Lib 21,916 51.48% 7,960 18.70% PC 52.62% 21,916 13,956 5,099 837 – 761 42,569Etobicoke—Lakeshore Lib Lib 22,169 51.02% 9,464 21.78% PC 50.01% 22,169 12,705 6,713 1,164 226 471 43,448Etobicoke North Lib Lib 12,081 48.46% 6,009 24.10% PC 40.15% 12,081 6,072 5,426 541 – 811 24,931Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Lib Lib 17,345 43.18% 1,372 3.42% PC 47.81% 17,345 15,973 5,721 770 – 363 40,172Guelph Lib Lib 19,815 42.43% 7,861 16.83% PC 50.27% 19,815 11,954 11,150 3,234 100 444 46,697Haldimand—Norfolk PC PC 25,203 60.81% 17,155 41.39% NDP 53.31% 7,087 25,203 8,048 868 – 242 41,448Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock PC PC 22,352 45.43% 5,830 11.85% Lib 54.98% 16,522 22,352 8,517 1,562 – 245 49,198Halton PC PC 26,228 44.47% 3,148 5.34% Lib 45.99% 23,080 26,228 7,757 1,286 166 464 58,981Hamilton Centre NDP NDP 20,586 61.33% 14,725 43.87% Lib 42.43% 5,861 4,421 20,586 1,249 268 1,182 33,567Hamilton East—Stoney Creek NDP NDP 20,442 51.72% 10,045 25.41% Lib 46.26% 10,397 7,395 20,442 692 – 601 39,527Hamilton Mountain Lib NDP 20,492 45.16% 5,798 12.78% Lib 50.45% 14,694 8,641 20,492 748 – 798 45,373Huron—Bruce Lib PC 19,138 42.76% 4,479 10.01% Lib 59.23% 14,659 19,138 9,329 772 200 656 44,754Kenora—Rainy River NDP NDP 10,949 49.62% 2,642 11.97% PC 45.75% 2,202 8,307 10,949 391 – 216 22,065Kingston and the Islands Lib Lib 21,028 48.84% 10,787 25.06% NDP 45.03% 21,028 9,610 10,241 1,594 – 578 43,051Kitchener Centre Lib Lib 15,392 39.23% 323 0.82% PC 49.16% 15,392 15,069 7,385 938 137 317 39,238Kitchener—Conestoga Lib PC 18,017 44.18% 3,541 8.68% Lib 46.62% 14,476 18,017 7,165 1,121 – – 40,779Kitchener—Waterloo PC PC 21,665 43.77% 3,828 7.73% Lib 50.54% 17,837 21,665 8,250 1,308 316 123 49,499Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Lib PC 19,379 45.74% 6,956 16.42% Lib 54.08% 12,423 19,379 8,882 987 – 701 42,372Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington PC PC 22,457 50.12% 9,967 22.25% Lib 50.43% 12,490 22,457 8,104 1,754 – – 44,805Leeds—Grenville PC PC 24,314 63.60% 17,651 46.17% Lib 50.64% 6,663 24,314 5,822 1,319 – 111 38,229London—Fanshawe Lib NDP 13,953 40.77% 4,275 12.49% Lib 45.82% 9,678 9,075 13,953 852 192 475 34,225London North Centre Lib Lib 19,167 43.91% 6,539 14.98% PC 47.87% 19,167 12,628 9,914 1,451 – 492 43,652London West Lib Lib 22,610 45.65% 8,007 16.17% PC 53.01% 22,610 14,603 10,757 1,194 – 361 49,525Markham—Unionville Lib Lib 19,579 52.58% 7,859 21.11% PC 40.68% 19,579 11,720 4,575 1,104 – 259 37,237Mississauga—Brampton South Lib Lib 15,579 46.04% 5,292 15.64% PC 36.43% 15,579 10,287 5,420 1,247 616 691 33,840Mississauga East—Cooksville Lib Lib 15,535 45.74% 4,238 12.48% PC 40.50% 15,535 11,297 5,704 934 199 294 33,963Mississauga—Erindale Lib Lib 20,552 45.03% 4,258 9.33% PC 43.91% 20,552 16,294 7,768 853 – 176 45,643Mississauga South Lib Lib 20,375 50.71% 5,876 14.62% PC 51.25% 20,375 14,499 4,044 860 – 401 40,179Mississauga—Streetsville Lib Lib 18,591 51.54% 7,936 22.00% PC 41.46% 18,591 10,655 5,494 1,329 – 0 36,069Nepean—Carleton PC PC 29,985 54.48% 15,141 27.51% Lib 49.91% 14,844 29,985 8,127 1,641 – 440 55,037Newmarket—Aurora PC PC 21,425 47.24% 5,271 11.62% Lib 49.33% 16,154 21,425 6,514 1,256 – – 45,349Niagara Falls Lib Lib 16,794 35.89% 498 1.06% PC 49.44% 16,794 16,296 12,304 759 231 408 46,792Niagara West—Glanbrook PC PC 24,919 50.95% 12,211 24.97% Lib 54.88% 12,708 24,919 9,070 1,372 – 837 48,906Nickel Belt NDP NDP 16,876 54.86% 9,425 30.64% Lib 49.55% 7,451 5,625 16,876 810 – – 30,762Nipissing Lib PC 15,381 50.11% 6,606 21.52% Lib 51.86% 8,775 15,381 5,567 971 – – 30,694Northumberland—Quinte West Lib PC 19,279 39.80% 707 1.46% Lib 51.88% 18,572 19,279 8,589 1,483 159 357 48,439Oak Ridges—Markham Lib Lib 28,878 44.78% 4,928 7.64% PC 42.70% 28,878 23,950 8,548 1,569 484 1,057 64,486Oakville Lib Lib 21,711 48.09% 4,580 10.14% PC 52.70% 21,711 17,131 4,625 878 498 303 45,146Oshawa PC PC 16,719 42.25% 2,403 6.07% NDP 44.26% 6,921 16,719 14,316 1,035 – 582 39,573Ottawa Centre Lib Lib 23,646 46.81% 8,931 17.68% NDP 53.73% 23,646 9,257 14,715 2,184 309 400 50,511Ottawa—Orléans Lib Lib 21,857 46.44% 2,854 6.06% PC 52.65% 21,857 19,003 4,979 886 – 337 47,062Ottawa South Lib Lib 21,842 48.86% 6,897 15.43% PC 51.19% 21,842 14,945 5,988 1,442 – 490 44,707Ottawa—Vanier Lib Lib 19,619 51.51% 10,690 28.07% PC 46.81% 19,619 8,929 7,466 1,719 – 352 38,085Ottawa West—Nepean Lib Lib 18,492 41.62% 1,009 2.27% PC 54.02% 18,492 17,483 6,576 1,485 – 396 44,432Oxford PC PC 20,658 54.87% 11,248 29.88% Lib 49.18% 9,410 20,658 5,885 1,336 – 359 37,648Parkdale—High Park NDP NDP 18,365 46.20% 3,488 8.77% Lib 51.79% 14,877 4,668 18,365 1,325 289 228 39,752Parry Sound—Muskoka PC PC 19,417 54.09% 12,880 35.88% Lib 51.79% 6,537 19,417 6,527 3,251 – 167 35,899Perth—Wellington Lib PC 14,845 40.09% 210 0.57% Lib 51.89% 14,635 14,845 5,836 918 – 791 37,025Peterborough Lib Lib 19,430 39.93% 4,107 8.44% PC 53.18% 19,430 15,323 12,460 1,235 – 210 48,658Pickering—Scarborough East Lib Lib 18,201 46.66% 5,168 13.25% PC 49.69% 18,201 13,033 6,424 1,096 – 252 39,006Prince Edward—Hastings Lib PC 18,816 42.28% 3,130 7.03% Lib 51.74% 15,686 18,816 7,379 2,049 – 573 44,503Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke PC PC 27,594 70.78% 21,363 54.80% Lib 52.69% 6,231 27,594 4,277 574 – 309 38,985Richmond Hill Lib Lib 18,042 46.92% 4,279 11.13% PC 42.49% 18,042 13,763 4,987 1,268 – 394 38,454St. Catharines Lib Lib 17,166 40.21% 1,705 3.99% PC 51.00% 17,166 15,461 8,624 1,066 – 378 42,695St. Paul's Lib Lib 25,048 58.39% 16,076 37.48% PC 50.41% 25,048 8,972 7,124 1,180 – 573 42,897Sarnia—Lambton PC PC 19,570 48.32% 9,263 22.87% NDP 51.75% 8,819 19,570 10,307 567 1,077 160 40,500Sault Ste. Marie Lib Lib 16,109 54.95% 7,072 24.12% NDP 49.35% 16,109 3,477 9,037 519 – 172 29,314Scarborough—Agincourt Lib Lib 14,907 46.85% 4,685 14.73% PC 43.57% 14,907 10,222 5,017 722 – 948 31,816Scarborough Centre Lib Lib 16,142 51.43% 8,631 27.50% PC 44.49% 16,142 7,511 6,876 558 – 301 31,388Scarborough—Guildwood Lib Lib 15,607 48.93% 6,470 20.29% PC 47.65% 15,607 9,137 6,194 413 – 543 31,894Scarborough—Rouge River Lib Lib 15,237 41.87% 2,149 5.91% NDP 42.89% 15,237 6,837 13,088 455 – 773 36,390Scarborough Southwest Lib Lib 14,585 44.09% 4,181 12.64% NDP 47.78% 14,585 7,061 10,404 777 – 250 33,077Simcoe—Grey PC PC 25,339 54.33% 14,935 32.02% Lib 48.12% 10,404 25,339 6,839 4,057 – – 46,639Simcoe North PC PC 25,081 55.16% 14,890 32.75% Lib 50.98% 10,191 25,081 7,710 2,488 – – 45,470Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry Lib PC 21,463 55.25% 13,050 33.60% Lib 51.40% 8,413 21,463 8,021 551 – 396 38,844Sudbury Lib Lib 13,735 42.37% 531 1.64% NDP 49.94% 13,735 4,400 13,204 870 44 164 32,417Thornhill PC PC 20,971 46.71% 2,598 5.79% Lib 45.35% 18,373 20,971 4,024 756 – 772 44,896Thunder Bay—Atikokan Lib Lib 10,319 38.97% 438 1.65% NDP 46.61% 10,319 5,815 9,881 379 86 – 26,480Thunder Bay—Superior North Lib Lib 11,765 45.00% 2,654 10.15% NDP 48.20% 11,765 4,578 9,111 555 – 133 26,142Timiskaming—Cochrane Lib NDP 12,633 50.12% 6,101 24.21% Lib 50.01% 6,532 5,337 12,633 312 – 391 25,205Timmins—James Bay NDP NDP 11,479 49.47% 2,964 12.77% PC 46.84% 2,870 8,515 11,479 233 – 108 23,205Toronto Centre Lib Lib 25,236 54.94% 13,665 29.75% NDP 48.42% 25,236 7,186 11,571 1,123 – 820 45,936Toronto—Danforth NDP NDP 20,062 54.01% 8,693 23.40% Lib 49.30% 11,369 3,488 20,062 1,354 – 875 37,148Trinity—Spadina NDP NDP 19,870 42.36% 1,139 2.43% Lib 43.00% 18,731 5,420 19,870 2,415 – 470 46,906Vaughan Lib Lib 26,174 53.02% 10,754 21.78% PC 41.08% 26,174 15,420 5,594 694 169 1,316 49,367Welland NDP NDP 19,527 44.66% 5,479 12.53% PC 51.64% 8,638 14,048 19,527 1,005 – 505 43,723Wellington—Halton Hills PC PC 23,495 55.62% 12,161 28.79% Lib 51.11% 11,334 23,495 6,106 1,309 – – 42,244Whitby—Oshawa PC PC 24,499 48.17% 7,511 14.77% Lib 49.69% 16,988 24,499 7,865 1,139 – 371 50,862Willowdale Lib Lib 21,984 50.84% 7,456 17.24% PC 45.40% 21,984 14,528 5,556 874 – 297 43,239Windsor—Tecumseh Lib Lib 15,946 42.83% 3,718 9.99% NDP 44.69% 15,946 7,751 12,228 830 – 476 37,231Windsor West Lib Lib 14,127 41.31% 3,583 10.48% NDP 41.57% 14,127 8,476 10,544 1,051 – – 34,198York Centre Lib Lib 14,694 45.36% 3,188 9.84% PC 45.74% 14,694 11,506 4,579 535 127 954 32,395York—Simcoe PC PC 20,425 52.78% 10,929 28.24% Lib 42.91% 9,496 20,425 6,607 1,479 – 690 38,697York South—Weston Lib Lib 13,805 44.55% 734 2.37% NDP 44.86% 13,805 3,441 13,071 474 45 151 30,987York West Lib Lib 11,455 50.49% 3,554 15.66% NDP 39.24% 11,455 2,735 7,901 287 203 107 22,688 #F5F5DC silver = open seat #F0E68C silver = turnout is above provincial average #DCDCDC silver = incumbent re-elected #87CEFA silver = incumbency arose from byelection gain a Comparative analysis for ridings (2011 vs 2007) + Summary of riding results by turnout and vote share for winning candidate (vs 2007)Summarized from https://results.elections.on.ca/en/data-explorer?fromYear=1867&toYear=2022&levelOfDetail=election Data Explorer Elections Ontario December 15, 2022Riding and winning partyTurnoutVote share % Change (pp) % Change (pp)  Ajax—Pickering  LibHold 44.84 -4.49 -2 1em background:#708090 47.34 -1.74 -2 1em background:ON LiberalAlgoma—Manitoulin  NDPGain 49.43 -5.06 -2 1em background:#708090 44.52 7.57 -2 1em background:ON NDPAncaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale  LibHold 56.45 -1.67 -2 1em background:#708090 43.70 2.53 -2 1em background:ON LiberalBarrie  PCGain 46.00 -5.95 -2 1em background:#708090 40.66 1.44 -2 1em background:ON PCBeaches—East York  NDPHold 51.64 -2.73 -2 1em background:#708090 46.82 2.50 -2 1em background:ON NDPBramalea—Gore—Malton  NDPGain 40.71 -2.95 -2 1em background:#708090 38.16 25.82 -2 1em background:ON NDPBrampton—Springdale  LibHold 40.54 -2.91 -2 1em background:#708090 44.43 -6.24 -2 1em background:ON LiberalBrampton West  LibHold 38.29 -5.63 -2 1em background:#708090 43.76 -2.43 -2 1em background:ON LiberalBrant  LibHold 48.23 -4.46 -2 1em background:#708090 37.08 -12.08 -2 1em background:ON LiberalBruce—Grey—Owen Sound  PCHold 54.70 -5.25 -2 1em background:#708090 47.37 0.76 -2 1em background:ON PCBurlington  PCHold 54.83 -4.08 -2 1em background:#708090 40.41 -0.93 -2 1em background:ON PCCambridge  PCHold 46.04 -3.65 -2 1em background:#708090 37.69 -4.01 -2 1em background:ON PCCarleton—Mississippi Mills  PCHold 53.50 -1.80 -2 1em background:#708090 50.29 2.46 -2 1em background:ON PCChatham-Kent—Essex  PCGain 49.41 0.60 -2 1em background:#708090 41.78 13.08 -2 1em background:ON PCDavenport  NDPGain 45.59 -0.25 -2 1em background:#708090 45.93 9.44 -2 1em background:ON NDPDon Valley East  LibHold 46.08 -5.22 -2 1em background:#708090 51.08 -4.55 -2 1em background:ON LiberalDon Valley West  LibHold 50.93 -8.27 -2 1em background:#708090 58.32 7.88 -2 1em background:ON LiberalDufferin—Caledon  PCHold 47.74 -4.76 -2 1em background:#708090 46.95 5.10 -2 1em background:ON PCDurham  PCHold 49.74 -4.61 -2 1em background:#708090 49.07 2.12 -2 1em background:ON PCEglinton—Lawrence  LibHold 51.81 -3.82 -2 1em background:#708090 54.15 10.92 -2 1em background:ON LiberalElgin—Middlesex—London  PCGain 51.28 -1.81 -2 1em background:#708090 47.86 17.40 -2 1em background:ON PCEssex  NDPGain 51.38 2.69 -2 1em background:#708090 37.99 17.22 -2 1em background:ON NDPEtobicoke Centre  LibHold 52.62 -6.78 -2 1em background:#708090 51.48 1.41 -2 1em background:ON LiberalEtobicoke—Lakeshore  LibHold 50.01 -3.61 -2 1em background:#708090 51.02 5.03 -2 1em background:ON LiberalEtobicoke North  LibHold 40.15 -5.04 -2 1em background:#708090 48.46 -6.39 -2 1em background:ON LiberalGlengarry—Prescott—Russell  LibHold 47.81 -4.98 -2 1em background:#708090 43.18 -17.33 -2 1em background:ON LiberalGuelph  LibHold 50.27 -6.77 -2 1em background:#708090 42.43 1.52 -2 1em background:ON LiberalHaldimand—Norfolk  PCHold 53.31 -2.94 -2 1em background:#708090 60.81 -0.11 -2 1em background:ON PCHaliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock  PCHold 54.98 -4.25 -2 1em background:#708090 45.43 -4.56 -2 1em background:ON PCHalton  PCHold 45.99 -5.54 -2 1em background:#708090 44.47 2.63 -2 1em background:ON PCHamilton Centre  NDPHold 42.43 -6.20 -2 1em background:#708090 61.33 16.61 -2 1em background:ON NDPHamilton East—Stoney Creek  NDPHold 46.26 -5.10 -2 1em background:#708090 51.72 14.07 -2 1em background:ON NDPHamilton Mountain  NDPGain 50.45 -2.89 -2 1em background:#708090 45.16 11.64 -2 1em background:ON NDPHuron—Bruce  PCGain 59.23 -0.57 -2 1em background:#708090 42.76 12.22 -2 1em background:ON PCKenora—Rainy River  NDPHold 45.75 -0.41 -2 1em background:#708090 49.62 -11.00 -2 1em background:ON NDPKingston and the Islands  LibHold 45.03 -8.93 -2 1em background:#708090 48.84 1.61 -2 1em background:ON LiberalKitchener Centre  LibHold 49.16 -0.42 -2 1em background:#708090 39.23 -6.67 -2 1em background:ON LiberalKitchener—Conestoga  PCGain 46.62 -2.63 -2 1em background:#708090 44.18 7.15 -2 1em background:ON PCKitchener—Waterloo  PCHold 50.54 -3.08 -2 1em background:#708090 43.77 2.93 -2 1em background:ON PCLambton—Kent—Middlesex  PCGain 54.08 -1.10 -2 1em background:#708090 45.74 9.43 -2 1em background:ON PCLanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington  PCHold 50.43 -1.65 -2 1em background:#708090 50.12 9.54 -2 1em background:ON PCLeeds—Grenville  PCHold 50.64 -4.47 -2 1em background:#708090 63.60 7.36 -2 1em background:ON PCLondon—Fanshawe  NDPGain 45.82 -2.39 -2 1em background:#708090 40.77 14.45 -2 1em background:ON NDPLondon North Centre  LibHold 47.87 -2.13 -2 1em background:#708090 43.91 -3.26 -2 1em background:ON LiberalLondon West  LibHold 53.01 -4.82 -2 1em background:#708090 45.65 -6.77 -2 1em background:ON LiberalMarkham—Unionville  LibHold 40.68 0.17 -2 1em background:#708090 52.58 -6.89 -2 1em background:ON LiberalMississauga—Brampton South  LibHold 36.43 -6.04 -2 1em background:#708090 46.04 -7.74 -2 1em background:ON LiberalMississauga East—Cooksville  LibHold 40.50 -6.98 -2 1em background:#708090 45.74 -13.19 -2 1em background:ON LiberalMississauga—Erindale  LibHold 43.91 -3.17 -2 1em background:#708090 45.03 -2.82 -2 1em background:ON LiberalMississauga South  LibHold 51.25 -2.83 -2 1em background:#708090 50.71 4.03 -2 1em background:ON LiberalMississauga—Streetsville  LibHold 41.46 -4.17 -2 1em background:#708090 51.54 -1.01 -2 1em background:ON LiberalNepean—Carleton  PCHold 49.91 -4.71 -2 1em background:#708090 54.48 4.20 -2 1em background:ON PCNewmarket—Aurora  PCHold 49.33 -5.88 -2 1em background:#708090 47.24 4.53 -2 1em background:ON PCNiagara Falls  LibHold 49.44 -1.64 -2 1em background:#708090 35.89 -11.64 -2 1em background:ON LiberalNiagara West—Glanbrook  PCHold 54.88 -3.69 -2 1em background:#708090 50.95 -0.10 -2 1em background:ON PCNickel Belt  NDPHold 49.55 -4.01 -2 1em background:#708090 54.86 8.27 -2 1em background:ON NDPNipissing  PCGain 51.86 -4.93 -2 1em background:#708090 50.11 9.40 -2 1em background:ON PCNorthumberland—Quinte West  PCGain 51.88 -3.04 -2 1em background:#708090 39.80 8.59 -2 1em background:ON PCOak Ridges—Markham  LibHold 42.70 -5.07 -2 1em background:#708090 44.78 -3.43 -2 1em background:ON LiberalOakville  LibHold 52.70 -5.56 -2 1em background:#708090 48.09 -1.72 -2 1em background:ON LiberalOshawa  PCHold 44.26 -4.67 -2 1em background:#708090 42.25 3.23 -2 1em background:ON PCOttawa Centre  LibHold 53.73 -4.52 -2 1em background:#708090 46.81 11.90 -2 1em background:ON LiberalOttawa—Orléans  LibHold 52.65 -5.21 -2 1em background:#708090 46.44 -6.42 -2 1em background:ON LiberalOttawa South  LibHold 51.19 -5.41 -2 1em background:#708090 48.86 -1.28 -2 1em background:ON LiberalOttawa—Vanier  LibHold 46.81 -4.69 -2 1em background:#708090 51.51 0.55 -2 1em background:ON LiberalOttawa West—Nepean  LibHold 54.02 -3.49 -2 1em background:#708090 41.62 -9.02 -2 1em background:ON LiberalOxford  PCHold 49.18 -4.54 -2 1em background:#708090 54.87 7.60 -2 1em background:ON PCParkdale—High Park  NDPHold 51.79 -5.65 -2 1em background:#708090 46.20 1.49 -2 1em background:ON NDPParry Sound—Muskoka  PCHold 51.79 -4.97 -2 1em background:#708090 54.09 6.87 -2 1em background:ON PCPerth—Wellington  PCGain 51.89 -2.73 -2 1em background:#708090 40.09 8.29 -2 1em background:ON PCPeterborough  LibHold 53.18 -4.29 -2 1em background:#708090 39.93 -7.79 -2 1em background:ON LiberalPickering—Scarborough East  LibHold 49.69 -4.32 -2 1em background:#708090 46.66 -1.96 -2 1em background:ON LiberalPrince Edward—Hastings  PCGain 51.74 -2.42 -2 1em background:#708090 42.28 9.46 -2 1em background:ON PCRenfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke  PCHold 52.69 -4.86 -2 1em background:#708090 70.78 8.44 -2 1em background:ON PCRichmond Hill  LibHold 42.49 -4.74 -2 1em background:#708090 46.92 -0.91 -2 1em background:ON LiberalSt. Catharines  LibHold 51.00 -2.82 -2 1em background:#708090 40.21 -7.03 -2 1em background:ON LiberalSt. Paul's  LibHold 50.41 -5.59 -2 1em background:#708090 58.39 10.96 -2 1em background:ON LiberalSarnia—Lambton  PCHold 51.75 -3.45 -2 1em background:#708090 48.32 10.16 -2 1em background:ON PCSault Ste. Marie  LibHold 49.35 -6.21 -2 1em background:#708090 54.95 -5.18 -2 1em background:ON LiberalScarborough—Agincourt  LibHold 43.57 -2.44 -2 1em background:#708090 46.85 -11.22 -2 1em background:ON LiberalScarborough Centre  LibHold 44.49 -3.57 -2 1em background:#708090 51.43 -2.24 -2 1em background:ON LiberalScarborough—Guildwood  LibHold 47.65 -3.64 -2 1em background:#708090 48.93 6.41 -2 1em background:ON LiberalScarborough—Rouge River  LibHold 42.89 1.07 -2 1em background:#708090 41.87 -23.18 -2 1em background:ON LiberalScarborough Southwest  LibHold 47.78 -1.92 -2 1em background:#708090 44.09 -2.06 -2 1em background:ON LiberalSimcoe—Grey  PCHold 48.12 -6.75 -2 1em background:#708090 54.33 3.68 -2 1em background:ON PCSimcoe North  PCHold 50.98 -3.08 -2 1em background:#708090 55.16 5.34 -2 1em background:ON PCStormont—Dundas—South Glengarry  PCGain 51.40 -0.41 -2 1em background:#708090 55.25 16.52 -2 1em background:ON PCSudbury  LibHold 49.94 -1.17 -2 1em background:#708090 42.37 -16.40 -2 1em background:ON LiberalThornhill  PCHold 45.35 -6.82 -2 1em background:#708090 46.71 0.79 -2 1em background:ON PCThunder Bay—Atikokan  LibHold 46.61 -5.75 -2 1em background:#708090 38.97 1.28 -2 1em background:ON LiberalThunder Bay—Superior North  LibHold 48.20 -5.71 -2 1em background:#708090 45.00 -1.78 -2 1em background:ON LiberalTimiskaming—Cochrane  NDPGain 50.01 -4.79 -2 1em background:#708090 50.12 9.57 -2 1em background:ON NDPTimmins—James Bay  NDPHold 46.84 -6.92 -2 1em background:#708090 49.47 -2.14 -2 1em background:ON NDPToronto Centre  LibHold 48.42 -1.49 -2 1em background:#708090 54.94 7.09 -2 1em background:ON LiberalToronto—Danforth  NDPHold 49.30 -3.88 -2 1em background:#708090 54.01 8.16 -2 1em background:ON NDPTrinity—Spadina  NDPHold 43.00 -6.64 -2 1em background:#708090 42.36 1.21 -2 1em background:ON NDPVaughan  LibHold 41.08 -5.23 -2 1em background:#708090 53.02 -8.88 -2 1em background:ON LiberalWelland  NDPHold 51.64 -3.64 -2 1em background:#708090 44.66 -9.27 -2 1em background:ON NDPWellington—Halton Hills  PCHold 51.11 -6.38 -2 1em background:#708090 55.62 6.46 -2 1em background:ON PCWhitby—Oshawa  PCHold 49.69 -3.85 -2 1em background:#708090 48.17 4.16 -2 1em background:ON PCWillowdale  LibHold 45.40 -4.11 -2 1em background:#708090 50.84 3.12 -2 1em background:ON LiberalWindsor—Tecumseh  LibHold 44.69 0.65 -2 1em background:#708090 42.83 -6.51 -2 1em background:ON LiberalWindsor West  LibHold 41.57 0.55 -2 1em background:#708090 41.31 -8.88 -2 1em background:ON LiberalYork Centre  LibHold 45.74 -3.33 -2 1em background:#708090 45.36 -3.37 -2 1em background:ON LiberalYork—Simcoe  PCHold 42.91 -6.81 -2 1em background:#708090 52.78 6.55 -2 1em background:ON PCYork South—Weston  LibHold 44.86 -1.48 -2 1em background:#708090 44.55 1.61 -2 1em background:ON LiberalYork West  LibHold 39.24 -5.21 -2 1em background:#708090 50.49 -4.25 -2 1em background:ON Liberal a Maps Principal races + Party candidates in 2nd place Party in 1st place Party in 2nd place TotalLibPCNDPON Liberal row-name – 40 13 53ON PC row-name 34 – 3 37ON NDP row-name 13 4 – 17 Total47 44 16 107 + Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results Parties SeatsON Liberal colour&nameON PC colour&name74ON Liberal colour&nameON NDP colour&name26ON PC colour&nameON NDP colour&name7 Total107 + Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th TotalON Liberal colour&name53 47 7 107ON PC colour&name37 44 26 107ON NDP colour&name17 16 73 1 107ON Green colour&name 1 101 5 107ON Libertarian colour&name 3 36 39ON Independent colour&name 1 10 11ON Northern Ontario Heritage colour&name 1 1 2ON FCP colour&name 21 21ON Freedom colour&name 18 18ON Special Needs colour&name 2 2ON Communist colour&name 1 1ON CoR colour&name 1 1ON Socialist colour&name 1 1 Significant results among independent and minor party candidates Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below: Riding Party Candidates Votes PlacedBruce—Grey—Owen Sound ON Independent colour&name shortShane Jolley 1,478 5thOak Ridges—Markham ON Libertarian colour&name shortKarl Boelling 1,057 4thSarnia—Lambton ON Independent colour&name shortAndy Bruziewicz 1,077 4th Seats changing hands There were 18 seats that changed allegiance from the 2007 election. Liberal to PC Barrie Chatham-Kent—Essex Elgin—Middlesex—London Huron—Bruce Kitchener—Conestoga Lambton—Kent—Middlesex Nipissing Northumberland—Quinte West Perth—Wellington Prince Edward—Hastings Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry Liberal to NDP Algoma—Manitoulin Bramalea—Gore—Malton Davenport Essex Hamilton Mountain London—Fanshawe Timiskaming—Cochrane + Resulting composition of the 41st Legislative Assembly of Ontario Source PartyLibPCNDPTotalSeats retained Incumbents returned 47 21 8 76Open seats held 6 4 2 12Byelection loss reversed 1 1Seats changing hands Incumbents defeated 6 4 10Open seats gained 5 3 8Total 53 37 17 107 Opinion polls Polling FirmDate of PollingLink Liberal PC NDP GreenType of pollMargin of errorAngus Reid111005b October 4–5, 2011PDF3733263Online3.6%EKOS111005a October 3–5, 2011PDF37.731.523.35.9Interactive voice response2.0%Forum Research111004c October 4, 2011HTML3736233Interactive voice response3.1%Angus Reid111004b October 3–4, 2011PDF3336265Online2.1%Abacus Data111004b October 3–4, 2011HTML3734244Online3.1%EKOS111004a October 2–4, 2011PDF39.029.723.16.6Interactive voice response2.2%Nanos Research111003c October 2–3, 2011PDF40.133.023.22.8Telephone4.2%EKOS111003c October 2–3, 2011PDF39.129.124.56.0Interactive voice response2.9%Nanos Research111003b October 1–3, 2011PDF37.733.225.82.1Telephone3.4%Ipsos Reid111003a September 30 – October 3, 2011PDF4131253Telephone3.1%Nanos Research111002b September 30 – October 2, 2011PDF35.936.425.71.2Telephone3.5%EKOS111002a September 29 – October 2, 2011PDF37.830.622.77.3Interactive voice response2.8%Nanos Research111001 September 29 – October 1, 2011PDF36.53426.81.9Telephone3.5%Nanos Research110930 September 28–30, 2011PDF38.035.324.61.8Telephone3.5%Angus Reid110930 September 28–30, 2011PDF3334266Online3.1%Leger Marketing110929 September 28–29, 2011PDFAugust 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes 3234295Online3.1%Nanos Research110929 September 28–29, 2011PDF37.734.425.52.0Telephone4.3%Environics110928 September 26–28, 2011HTML3536253OnlineAbacus Data110925 September 23–25, 2011PDF3337236Online2.9%EKOS110924 September 21–25, 2011PDF34.931.424.77.6Interactive voice response2.3%Forum Research110923 September 22–23, 2011HTML3535235Interactive voice response0.5%Angus Reid110915 September 13–15, 2011HTML3236266Online3.1%Leger Marketing110914 September 12–15, 2011PDFAugust 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes 3336265Online3.1%Abacus Data110912 September 9–12, 2011HTML3241206Online3.2%Nanos Research110911 September 10–11, 2011PDF38.134.724.32.7Telephone4.9%Ipsos Reid110910 September 7–11, 2011HTML https://web.archive.org/web/20110923185500/http://www.globaltoronto.com/pages/story.aspx?id=6442480379 September 23, 2011 3837241Telephone3.5%Harris-Decima110904 August 25 – September 4, 2011HTML4029246Telephone3.8%Nanos Research110901 August 30 – September 1, 2011PDF31.935.422.84.1Telephone3.1%Forum Research110830 August 29–30, 2011HTML3035267Interactive voice response2.0%Angus Reid110828 August 25–28, 2011PDF3138246Online3.1%Nanos Research110813 August 10–13, 2011PDF37.642.116.23.4Telephone3.4%Ipsos Reid110804 July 29 – August 4, 2011HTML https://web.archive.org/web/20111009034626/http://www.globaltoronto.com/conservatives+liberals+face+tight+race+in+ontario+election+poll/6442461888/story.html October 9, 2011 3638233Telephone4.9%Forum Research110728 July 27–28, 2011HTML2838247Interactive voice response2.1%Ipsos Reid110707 June 7 – July 7, 2011HTML https://web.archive.org/web/20111003173739/http://www.ottawacitizen.com/news/Ontario+Tories+open+point+lead+over+ruling+Liberals/5098190/story.html October 3, 2011 3142225Telephone3.5%Forum Research110622 June 21–22, 2011HTML2641228Interactive voice response1.7%Ipsos Reid110609 May 17 – June 9, 2011HTML3440206Telephone3.5%Nanos Research110515 May 14–15, 2011PDF3441195Telephone4.7%Nanos Research110311 March 8–11, 2011PDF3544164Telephone4.9%Nanos Research110203 January 31 – February 3, 2011PDF3943135Telephone4.7%Ipsos Reid110120 January 20, 2011HTML https://web.archive.org/web/20110129062756/http://www.globaltoronto.com/McGuinty+Liberals+closing+Tories+poll/4173236/story.html January 29, 2011 3538179TelephoneIpsos Reid101118 November 18, 2010HTMLOctober 2025 medicmedic3241207Angus Reid100928 September 28, 2010PDF2941228Online3.5%Ipsos Reid100821 August 21, 2010HTML35361811Ipsos Reid100619 June 19, 2010HTML37322011Nanos Research100210 February 9–10, 2010PDF41.437.912.87.9Telephone4.9%Ipsos Reid091213 December 13, 2009HTML38341510Angus Reid091204 December 4, 2009PDF27412011Nanos Research091025 October 24–25, 2009PDF36.63517.29.8Telephone4.8%Environics091001 October 2009HTMLAugust 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes 32371911Environics090701 June 2009HTMLAugust 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes 4432158Environics090401 April 2009HTML44291711Environics090101 January 2009HTMLAugust 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes 45321211Environics081101 November 2008HTMLAugust 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes 35302113Environics080601 June 2008HTMLAugust 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes 41311612Environics080301 March 2008HTML38301912Environics080101 January 2008HTMLAugust 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes 4534182Environics071101 November 2007HTMLAugust 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes 4431223Election 2007071010 October 10, 2007PDF42.331.616.88.0 Media endorsements Liberals Barrie Advance https://www.simcoe.com/simcoecounty-news/ Simcoe County Breaking News - Simcoe County's Online Newspaper Simcoe.com April 15, 2019 March 15, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120315134418/http://www.simcoe.com/simcoe/article/638576 live The Globe and Mail Canada https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/opinions/editorials/dalton-mcguintys-liberals-the-best-choice-for-ontarios-challenges/article2188213/ Dalton McGuinty's Liberals the best choice for Ontario's challenges The Globe and Mail 2011-10-07 Toronto October 23, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20111023113829/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/opinions/editorials/dalton-mcguintys-liberals-the-best-choice-for-ontarios-challenges/article2188213/ live Hamilton Spectator http://www.thespec.com/opinion/editorial/article/604066--liberals-despite-faults-are-the-best-option Liberals, despite faults, are the best option TheSpec 2011-10-07 October 6, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20111006045730/http://www.thespec.com/opinion/editorial/article/604066--liberals-despite-faults-are-the-best-option live Ottawa Citizen Ottawa Citizen October 4, 2011 https://ottawacitizen.com/Hold+your+nose+vote+Liberal/5497096/story.html#ixzz1ZoP3zqEg Hold your nose and vote Liberal Ottawacitizen.com 2011-10-07 December 16, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20111216181446/http://www.ottawacitizen.com/Hold+your+nose+vote+Liberal/5497096/story.html#ixzz1ZoP3zqEg live Sudbury Star http://www.thesudburystar.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=3323251 https://archive.today/20120913144431/http://www.thesudburystar.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?e=3323251 dead September 13, 2012 Liberals best fit for Sudbury - Point of View - The Sudbury Star - Ontario, CA The Sudbury Star 2011-10-03 2011-10-07 Toronto Star https://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/article/1062834--liberals-best-choice-for-ontario-s-future Liberals best choice for Ontario's future thestar.com September 30, 2011 2011-10-07 Toronto https://web.archive.org/web/20120105064331/http://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/article/1062834--liberals-best-choice-for-ontario-s-future January 5, 2012 dead Waterloo Region Record http://www.therecord.com/opinion/editorial/article/602930--editorial-liberals-offer-voters-best-hope Editorial: Liberals offer voters best hope TheRecord 2011-09-30 2011-10-07 November 6, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20111106020947/http://www.therecord.com/opinion/editorial/article/602930--editorial-liberals-offer-voters-best-hope live Windsor Star The Windsor Star October 1, 2011 https://windsorstar.com/opinion/Ontario+votes/5487062/story.html Ontario votes Windsorstar.com 2011-10-01 2011-10-07 December 9, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20111209060617/http://www.windsorstar.com/opinion/Ontario+votes/5487062/story.html live Progressive Conservatives Brampton Guardianhttp://www.bramptonguardian.com/opinion/editorial/article/1136672--editorial-vote-for-change EDITORIAL: Vote for change BramptonGuardian Article 2011-09-29 2011-10-07 April 6, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120406184653/http://www.bramptonguardian.com/opinion/editorial/article/1136672--editorial-vote-for-change live Metroland Durham Region Media Grouphttp://www.durhamregion.com/opinion/editorial/article/1118378--progressive-conservatives-the-party-to-lead-ontario Progressive Conservatives the party to lead Ontario DurhamRegion Article 2011-09-29 2011-10-07 October 10, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20111010153609/http://durhamregion.com/opinion/editorial/article/1118378--progressive-conservatives-the-party-to-lead-ontario live National Posthttps://nationalpost.com/opinion/Thursday+Ontarians+should+vote+Conservative/5492119/story.html On Thursday, Ontarians should vote Conservative Nationalpost.com 2011-10-03 2011-10-07 October 2025 medicmedic Did not endorse Toronto Sun,http://www.torontosun.com/2011/09/30/ontario-deserves-better Ontario deserves better | Editorial | Opinion Toronto Sun 2011-10-07 October 7, 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20111007004009/http://www.torontosun.com/2011/09/30/ontario-deserves-better live Ottawa Sunhttp://www.ottawasun.com/2011/10/01/editorial--none-of-the-above Editorial: None of the above | Editorial | Opinion Ottawa Sun 2011-10-01 2011-10-07 https://web.archive.org/web/20111102215949/http://www.ottawasun.com/2011/10/01/editorial--none-of-the-above November 2, 2011 dead Notes References 30em External links Elections Ontario Elections Ontario, 2011 General Election Election Almanac - Ontario Provincial Election 2011 Detailed interactive map of poll-level results 2011 General election Ontario general election