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(669555) 2012 YQ1
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Asteroid
June 2017
yes #FFC2E0 (669555) 2012 YQ 1 Orbit-2012-YQ1-Today-20130206-20130206-test4433.gif Orbit (blue) of asteroid 2012 YQ 1 for 6 February 2013 A. OreshkoT. Kryachko Elena Remote Obs. 19 December 2012(first observed only) (669555) 2012 YQ 1 NEOApolloPHA 13 January 2016 (JD 2457400.5) 6 3.11880 AU Gm on on 0.86916 AU Gm on 1.99398 AU Gm on 0.56411 2.82 yr (1028.4 d) 5.15193° 120.16813° 12.74578° 42.09537° 0.350044 ms /day 0.00774939 AU km on ~220 m ft on 21.120.9
(669555) 2012 YQ 1 is a sub-kilometer asteroid, classified as a near-Earth object and a potentially hazardous asteroid of the Apollo group, approximately 200 meters in diameter. It was first observed on 19 December 2012, by astronomers Andrey Oreshko and Timur Kryachko at the Elena Remote Observatory (G32) located in the Chilean Atacama desert.
Description
With a 4-day observation arc, the asteroid had a 1 in 3 million chance of impacting in 2106. With a 10-day observation arc, the asteroid had a 1 in 10 million chance of impacting in 2106. On 5 January 2013, the asteroid passed 0.10 AU km mi on on from Earth. It was removed from the Sentry Risk Table on 8 January 2013. It had an observation arc of 32 days and an orbital uncertainty of 7. Since the asteroid had a poorly known orbit, the cone of uncertainty quickly multiplied as a result of perturbations by the inner planets and prevented precise/reliable ephemeris data. Eliminating an entry on the Sentry Risk Table is a negative prediction; a prediction of where it will NOT be.
With MPEC 2024-C131 the Minor Planet Center published a newly computed orbit on 12 February 2024, using observations till 12 November 2023 and prediscovery observations from 31 May till 5 June 2010, reducing the uncertainty to 1.
In the popular press
In 2013, an article, originally posted on The Voice of RussiaZamanskaya Yulia 2013-02-08 We have 93 years left till the next End of the World: killer asteroid to hit Earth in 2106: Voice of Russia http://english.ruvr.ru/2013_02_05/We-have-93-years-left-till-the-next-End-of-the-World-killer-asteroid-to-hit-Earth-in-2106/ https://web.archive.org/web/20130208031058/http://english.ruvr.ru/2013_02_05/We-have-93-years-left-till-the-next-End-of-the-World-killer-asteroid-to-hit-Earth-in-2106/ 2013-02-08 2023-10-08 english.ruvr.ru had a poorly researched headline stating "We have 93 years left till the next End of the World". This story was reposted on Space Daily, but then astronomer Phil Plait clarified that it was "a fascinating mix of fact and error. A lot of what it says is accurate, but the most important claim—that an asteroid will impact Earth in 2106—is simply wrong."Slate No, An Asteroid Is NOT Going to Hit Earth in 2106 Phil Plait 13 Feb 2013 http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/02/13/asteroid_impact_2106_reports_of_a_space_rock_hitting_us_are_exaggerated.html
thumb|left|250x250px|Orbits of a typical PHA (potentially hazardous asteroid) and NEA (Near-Earth Asteroid).
left
See also
Torino scale
Palermo scale
References
2013-07-04 last obs.
JPL Small-Body Database Browser: (2012 YQ1)
https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=3621641;cad=1
Jet Propulsion Laboratory
7 February 2018
2012 YQ1
Minor Planet Center
https://www.minorplanetcenter.net/db_search/show_object?object_id=2012+YQ1
7 February 2018
MPEC 2012-Y15 : 2012 YQ1
IAU Minor Planet Center
2012-12-21
https://www.minorplanetcenter.net/mpec/K12/K12Y15.html
2013-02-05 (K12Y01Q)
2012-12-24
Observations of small Solar-System bodies
HohmannTransfer
http://hohmanntransfer.com/mn/12/12359_1224.htm#2012YQ1
2013-02-06
https://web.archive.org/web/20160304040714/http://hohmanntransfer.com/mn/12/12359_1224.htm#2012YQ1
4 March 2016
dead (3.3e-07 = 1 in 3,030,000 chance)
2012-12-30
Observations of small Solar-System bodies
HohmannTransfer
http://www.hohmanntransfer.com/mn/12/12365_1230.htm#2012YQ1
2013-02-05
https://web.archive.org/web/20160304191432/http://www.hohmanntransfer.com/mn/12/12365_1230.htm#2012YQ1
4 March 2016
dead
Date/Time Removed
NASA/JPL Near-Earth Object Program Office
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/removed.html
https://web.archive.org/web/20020602101400/http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/removed.html
dead
2002-06-02
2012-03-19
External links
2012YQ1
2012YQ1
20669555
669555 (669555) 2012 YQ 1
Category:Apollo asteroids
Category:Near-Earth objects removed from the Sentry Risk Table
Category:Potentially hazardous asteroids
Category:Near-Earth objects in 2013
20121219
Category:Discoveries by Timur Kryachko