2012 Andalusian regional election

Election in the Spanish region of Andalusia 2012 Andalusian regional election Andalusia parliamentary no 2008 Andalusian regional election 2008 2015 Andalusian regional election 2015 All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia 55 #Opinion polls 6,392,620 10px 2.6% 3,885,137 (60.8%)10px 11.9 pp 25 March 2012 170x170px Javier Arenas People's Party of Andalusia 18 April 2004 Almería 47 seats, 38.5% 50 10px 3 1,570,833 40.7% 10px 2.2 pp 170x170px José Antonio Griñán PSOE–A 23 April 2009 Seville 56 seats, 48.4% 47 10px 9 1,527,923 39.6% 10px 8.8 pp 170x170px Diego Valderas United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia 15 October 2000 Huelva 6 seats, 7.1% 12 10px 6 438,372 11.3% 10px 4.2 pp AndalusiaProvinceMapParliament2012.png 375px Constituency results map for the Parliament of Andalusia President President after election José Antonio Griñán Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia José Antonio Griñán Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia A regional election was held in Andalusia on 25 March 2012 to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. It was held concurrently with a regional election in Asturias. Being a Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE–A) stronghold for decades, the People's Party (PP) had scored a decisive win in the region in the November 2011 general election and was widely expected to come out on top in the regional election for the first time in its history, with opinion polls suggesting it could win an absolute majority on its own. The election, however, came to be seen as the first major electoral test for the national government of Mariano Rajoy since coming to power in December 2011, with Rajoy's policies of raising taxes and the passing of a new, harsher labour reform having triggered a general strike for 29 March. Incumbent President José Antonio Griñán chose not to hold the election simultaneously with the 2011 general election, the first time since 1994 that both elections were not held at the same time. Final results showed a surprising close race between the PP and the PSOE–A, the first emerging out on top but falling five seats short of an overall majority. In contrast, the PSOE–A held its own and retained 47 seats despite polls predicting a tougher defeat, allowing Griñán to remain in power through a coalition government with United Left (IULV–CA), which doubled its seat count from 6 to 12 and was placed in a "kingmaker" position.Romero José Antonio 25 March 2012 https://elpais.com/politica/2012/03/25/actualidad/1332711507_316592.html La izquierda vence en Andalucía es El País Madrid 23 January 2022 Background The 2008 election had seen Manuel Chaves secure a sixth term in office as president of the Regional Government of Andalusia, having governed the autonomous community uninterruptedly during the previous 18 years. However, Chaves's long tenure had already started taking a toll on his popularity in opinion polls, and in April 2009 he vacated the regional presidency in order to become third deputy prime minister in the second government of José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero. José Antonio Griñán, second vice president of the Andalusian government since 2008 and regional minister for Economy and Finance since 2004, succeeded Chaves at the helm of the regional government. During Griñán's term, his party had to deal with the worsening economic situation resulting from the financial crisis affecting Spain since 2008, with rising unemployment reaching record heights and traditional savings banks being dismantled for being economically unsustainable.Rubio Juan 24 May 2015 https://elcorreoweb.es/economia/que-fue-de-las-cajas-de-ahorros-andaluzas-GL379585 ¿Qué fue de las cajas de ahorros andaluzas? es El Correo de Andalucía Seville 23 January 2022 The PSOE–A also had to cope with the political fallout resulting from the ERE scandal, a corruption scheme involving the ruling party, as well as the Workers' Commissions (CCOO) and General Union of Workers (UGT) trade unions, which saw irregular payments to politicians, civil servants and companies aligned to the PSOE in exchange for loyalties and favours meant to sustain the party in power. Those payments were charged to an economic fund intended to support companies with problems—more specifically, those that were forced to undergo "Employment Regulation Procedures" (in Spanish, Expedientes de Regulación de Empleo or ERE, terminology that gave the scandal its name)—. The scandal first came under investigation in January 2011, and by the time of the 2012 regional election judicial inquiries reached out to government officers and renown figures.Moreno Silvia https://lab.elmundo.es/sentencia-eres-andalucia/index.html Cronología del caso ERE es El Mundo 23 January 2022 The opposition People's Party (PP) of Mariano Rajoy won a resounding victory in the 2011 general election in Andalusia, winning in both seats and popular vote for the first time ever in this autonomous community since the Spanish transition to democracy: the PP obtained 1,985,612 votes (45.57%) and 33 seats to Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE–A)'s 1,594,893 votes (36.60%) and 25 seats, after losing 800,000 votes and 11 seats from those won in the 2008 general election. United Left (IULV–CA) won 2 seats from Seville and Málaga and 8.27% of the share with 360,212 votes. Results projections based on the results of the general election gave the PP an absolute majority with 58 seats—out of 109 up for election—, with the PSOE in a distant second place with 43 seats. IULV–CA would keep its 6 seats on the projections while Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) could enter the Parliament of Andalusia with 2 seats. Had those results been confirmed, it would have meant the end of a 30 year-long hegemony of Socialist rule in the community, the party having been in power since the creation of the Andalusian autonomous community.22 November 2011 https://www.libertaddigital.com/nacional/2011-11-22/como-se-compondria-el-parlamento-andaluz-con-los-resultados-de-las-generales-1276442141/ El PP se haría con la Junta de Andalucía con los resultados de las generales es Libertad Digital 23 January 2022 The regularly scheduled 2012 election in Andalusia, which was unexpectedly joined by a snap election in Asturias, came to be seen as the first major electoral test for the national government of Mariano Rajoy since coming to power in December 2011.Díez Anabel 23 March 2012 https://elpais.com/politica/2012/03/23/actualidad/1332534957_503952.html El test de Rajoy y Rubalcaba es El País 23 January 2022 Rajoy's policies of raising taxes and the passing of a new, harsher labour reform had triggered a general strike scheduled for 29 March.Gómez Manuel Vicente 10 February 2012 https://elpais.com/economia/2012/02/10/actualidad/1328911729_685382.html La reforma facilita y abarata el despido es El País Madrid 23 January 2022Agencias 9 March 2012 https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2012/03/09/economia/1331290549.html El 29 de marzo, huelga general es El Mundo Madrid 23 January 2022 Overview Under the 2007 Statute of Autonomy, the Parliament of Andalusia was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to grant or withdraw confidence from a regional president.Statute 2007 arts. 100, 106 & 108–111. The electoral and procedural rules were supplemented by national law provisions.LEAn 1986 final prov. 1. Date The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 25 days before the scheduled expiration date of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia (BOJA), with election day taking place 54 days after the decree's publication (barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August).Statute 2007 art. 101; LEAn 1986 arts. 14–15 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 42). The previous election was held on 9 March 2008, which meant that the chamber's term would have expired on 9 March 2012. The election decree was required to be published in the BOJA no later than 14 February 2012, setting the latest possible date for election day on 8 April 2012. The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year after a previous one.Statute 2007 art. 127; LGAn 2006 arts. 9 & 41–42. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.Statute 2007 art. 118. Several dates were considered for the election. Initially scheduled for either 4 or 18 March, the result of the general election on 20 November 2011 made it advisable for Griñán to push the date further away to the last Sunday of March, in order to push the legislature to the limit and distance himself from the November election result.1 February 2011 https://elpais.com/diario/2011/02/01/espana/1296514818_850215.html Las elecciones andaluzas serán el 4 de marzo de 2012 es El País Seville 23 January 202227 November 2011 https://www.publico.es/espana/elecciones-andalucia-seran-25-marzo.html Las elecciones en Andalucía serán el 25 de marzo es Publico 23 January 2022 This marked the first time since 1994 that an Andalusian regional election was not held concurrently with a Spanish general election, as then-Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero had announced a general election—initially scheduled for March 2012—four months ahead of schedule, on 20 November 2011, whereas Griñán chose not to follow suit and to maintain the date of the regional election for early 2012.EFE 29 July 2011 https://www.diariovasco.com/rc/20110729/mas-actualidad/nacional/gobierno-andaluz-adelantara-elecciones-201107291439.html Griñán no adelantará las autonómicas en Andalucía es El Diario Vasco Seville 23 January 2022 The Parliament of Andalusia was officially dissolved on 31 January 2012 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOJA, setting election day for 25 March and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 19 April.Decree 1/2012 2012 arts. 1–2 & 5. Electoral system Voting for the Parliament was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Andalusia and with full political rights, provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated.Statute 2007 arts. 101 & 104; LEAn 1986 art. 2 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 arts. 2–3). Amendments in 2011 required non-resident citizens to apply for voting, a system known as "begged" voting (es Voto rogado).LOREG 1985 art. 75.Reig Pellicer Naiara 16 December 2015 http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote cafebabel.co.uk 17 July 2017 31 August 2021 https://web.archive.org/web/20210831202218/https://cafebabel.com/en/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote-5ae00a98f723b35a145e6867/ usurped The Parliament of Andalusia had a minimum of 109 seats, with electoral provisions fixing its size at that number. All were elected in eight multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga and Seville, each of which was assigned an initial minimum of eight seats and the remaining 45 distributed in proportion to population (with the number of seats in each province not exceeding two times that of any other)—using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a three percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each constituency.Statute 2007 arts. 101 & 104; LEAn 1986 arts. 16–18. The use of this electoral method resulted in a higher effective threshold depending on district magnitude and vote distribution.Gallagher Michael 30 July 2012 http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College Dublin Dublin https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php 22 July 2017 30 July 2017 As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:Decree 1/2012 2012 art. 3. Seats Constituencies 18 Seville 17 Málagagreen (+1) 15 Cádiz 13 Granada 12 Almería, Córdoba 11 Huelva, Jaénred (−1) The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.LEAn 1986 art. 19 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 arts. 46 & 48). Outgoing parliament The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.Lozano Carles https://www.historiaelectoral.com/aandalucia.html Elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía (desde 1982) es Historia Electoral.com 19 October 2025 + Parliamentary composition in January 2012 Groups Parties Legislators Seats Total Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE–A 56 56 Andalusian People's Parliamentary Group PP 47 47 United Left/The Greens Parliamentary Group IULV–CA 6 6 Parties and candidates The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list.LEAn 1986 arts. 22–23 (suppl. supplemented by LOREG 1985 art. 44). Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system.LEAn 1986 art. 23. Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election: Candidacy Parties andalliances Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Government Ref. References Vote % Seats PSOE–A List on Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) 50px José Antonio Griñán Social democracy 48.4% 56 22 April 2009 José Antonio Griñán, elegido nuevo presidente de la Junta con el único apoyo del PSOE https://www.diariocordoba.com/lo-ultimo/2009/04/22/jose-antonio-grinan-elegido-nuevo-38133024.html es Diario Córdoba 23 January 2022Agencias 12 March 2010 José Antonio Griñán, nuevo secretario general del PSOE en Andalucía https://www.rtve.es/noticias/20100312/jose-antonio-grinan-nuevo-secretario-general-del-psoe-andalucia/323500.shtml es RTVE 13 November 2025Europa Press 18 September 2010 Griñán será el candidato en 2012 por el apoyo "casi unánime" del PSOE https://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/Grinan-candidato-apoyo-unanime-PSOE_0_406759484.html es Diario de Sevilla Seville 23 January 2022 PP List on People's Party (PP) 50px Javier Arenas ConservatismChristian democracy 38.5% 47 EFE 20 September 2008 Javier Arenas, reelegido presidente del PP andaluz por cuarta vez https://www.rtve.es/noticias/20080920/javier-arenas-reelegido-presidente-del-pp-andaluz-cuarta-vez/160985.shtml es RTVE 23 January 2022Limón Raúl 15 December 2011 El PP designa a Arenas candidato a la presidencia de la Junta de Andalucía https://elpais.com/politica/2011/12/15/actualidad/1323972253_741911.html es El País Seville 13 November 2025 IULV–CA List on United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)– Communist Party of Andalusia (PCA)– Collective for the Unity of Workers–Andalusian Left Bloc (CUT–BAI)– Revolutionary Workers' Party (POR)– Republican Left (IR)– Open Left (IzAb) 50px Diego Valderas SocialismCommunism 7.1% 6 Pedrote Isabel 3 November 2008 Valderas supera el 74% en su reelección como líder de IU https://elpais.com/diario/2008/11/03/andalucia/1225668127_850215.html es El País Salobreña 13 November 20259 September 2011 El Consejo Andaluz de IU designa a Valderas candidato a la Presidencia de la Junta https://www.europapress.es/andalucia/sevilla-00357/noticia-consejo-andaluz-iu-designa-valderas-candidato-presidencia-junta-20110909055804.html es Europa Press Seville 13 November 2025 PA List on Andalusian Party (PA) 50px Pilar González Andalusian nationalismSocial democracy 2.8%Results for CA in the 2008 election. 0 8 December 2011 Pilar González, ratificada candidata a la Junta por el PA https://www.abc.es/sevilla/economia/sevp-pilar-gonzalez-ratificada-candidata-201112180000_noticia.html es ABC 13 November 2025 UPyD List on Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 50px Martín de la Herrán Social liberalismRadical centrism 0.6% 0 Rivas Christopher 17 September 2011 Martín de la Herrán, candidato de UPyD a la Junta de Andalucía https://www.sevillaactualidad.com/andalucia/12244-martin-de-la-herran-candidato-de-upyd-a-la-junta-de-andalucia/ es Sevilla Actualidad 13 November 2025 Campaign Party slogans Party or alliance Original slogan English translation Ref. References PSOE–A « Andalucía, por el camino seguro » "Andalusia, through the safe way" 8 March 2012 https://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2012/03/08/andalucia/1331209824.html La campaña de los 5.000 kilómetros es El Mundo 8 May 2022 PP « El cambio andaluz » "The Andalusian change" IULV–CA « Rebélate! » "Rebel!" PA « PAlante » "Forward" UPyD « Lo que nos une » "What unites us" Debates + 2012 Andalusian regional election debates Date Organizer(s) Moderator(s)    black #90FF90  P  PresentDenotes a main invitee attending the event.   black #D0F0C0  S  SurrogateDenotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.  black #A2B2C2  NI  Not invited  black #FFFF90  I  Invited   black #FF9090  A  Absent invitee  PSOE–A PP IULV–CA Audience Ref. References 12 March RTVA Mabel Mata PGriñán A PValderas 10.1%(358,000) Tortosa María Dolores 13 March 2012 https://www.diariosur.es/v/20120313/andalucia/andalucia-20122012/ausencia-arenas-debate-canal-20120313.html La ausencia de Arenas en el debate de Canal Sur tensa la campaña es Diario Sur 5 May 202214 March 2012 https://www.diariodesevilla.es/andaluzas2012/Valderas-Grinan-reunen-andaluces_0_569643078.html Valderas y Griñán reúnen a 358.000 andaluces es Diario de Sevilla 5 May 2022 Opinion polls The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. Graphical summary OpinionPollingAndalusiaRegionalElection2012.svg 750px Local regression trend line of poll results from 9 March 2008 to 25 March 2012, with each line corresponding to a political party. Voting intention estimates The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia. Color key: #EAFFEA Exit poll 1px solid #AAAAAA Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 25px|link=Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia|PSOE–A 28px|link=People's Party of Andalusia|PP IULV 25px|link=Andalusian Party|PA 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD Lead 2012 regional election 25 Mar 2012 60.8 39.675% Verdana 47 40.775% Verdana 50 11.375% Verdana 12 2.575% Verdana 0 3.475% Verdana 0 1.1 Ipsos/RTVAEl PP roza la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía, según el sondeo de Ipsos http://www.canalsur.es/el_pp_roza_la_mayoria_absoluta_en_andalucia_segun_el_sondeo_de_ipsos/197913.html es Canal Sur 25 March 2012El PP roza la mayoría absoluta, según el sondeo de Canal Sur http://www.elperiodico.com/es/politica/20120325/el-pp-roza-la-mayoria-absoluta-segun-el-sondeo-de-canal-sur-1586642 es El Periódico de Catalunya 25 March 2012 25 Mar 2012? 60.4 39.275% Verdana 45/48 42.075% Verdana 52/55 9.975% Verdana 8/10 2.775% Verdana 0 3.075% Verdana 0 2.8 GAD3El PP ganará el domingo por mayoría absoluta pese al leve repunte de Griñán http://www.libertaddigital.com/nacional/2012-03-19/el-pp-ganara-el-domingo-por-mayoria-absoluta-pese-al-leve-repunte-de-grinan-1276453417/ es Libertad Digital 19 March 2012 19 Mar 2012?? 38.175% Verdana 44/48 46.775% Verdana 55/58 8.175% Verdana 7/9 2.175% Verdana 0 2.775% Verdana 0 8.6 UJAEl PP de Arenas se mueve en el entorno de la mayoría absoluta http://diariodigital.ujaen.es/files_viccom/1903201204.pdf es Diario Jaén 19 March 2012 6 March 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150402092358/http://diariodigital.ujaen.es/files_viccom/1903201204.pdf 2 April 2015 dead 12–16 Mar 2012 1,500? 36.875% Verdana 43/45 42.975% Verdana 53/56 10.875% Verdana 9/10 2.775% Verdana 0/1 3.675% Verdana 0/1 6.1 Sigma Dos/El MundoEl PP sigue sin amarrar la mayoría absoluta a una semana de los comicios http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-CFAfKrA3Ui0/T2Vyk-NrR_I/AAAAAAAABMw/Q2s36eNYUvo/s1600/3+ENCUESTA+EL+MUNDO+SIGMA+DOS+Elecciones+Andalucia+Resultado+estimado+por+provincias.jpg es El Mundo 18 March 2012 12–15 Mar 2012 2,000? 36.075% Verdana 43/44 45.875% Verdana 54/57 8.975% Verdana 7/9 2.975% Verdana 0/1 3.875% Verdana 1/2 9.8 Metroscopia/El PaísBarbero Luis Victoria clara del PP en Andalucía https://politica.elpais.com/politica/2012/03/17/actualidad/1332013184_144743.html es El País 17 March 2012Victoria clara del PP en Andalucía (El País) http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/03/el-pp-consigue-la-mayoria-absoluta-y-el-psoe-se-desploma-el-pais/ es Electómetro 18 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120406205654/http://www.electometro.es/2012/03/el-pp-consigue-la-mayoria-absoluta-y-el-psoe-se-desploma-el-pais/ 6 April 2012 8 August 2021 live 6–15 Mar 2012 1,200? 34.475% Verdana 41 47.375% Verdana 59 8.875% Verdana 9 2.775% Verdana 0 3.275% Verdana 0 12.9 NC Report/La RazónArenas arrebata al PSOE 245.000 votantes para su mayoría absoluta http://www.larazon.es/noticia/8897-arenas-arrebata-al-psoe-245-000-votantes-para-su-mayoria-absoluta es La Razón 19 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120321205901/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/8897-arenas-arrebata-al-psoe-245-000-votantes-para-su-mayoria-absoluta 21 March 2012 El PP aventaja en 10 puntos al PSOE y consigue la mayoría absoluta (La Razón) http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/03/el-pp-aventaja-en-10-puntos-al-psoe-y-consigue-la-mayoria-absoluta-la-razon es Electómetro 19 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120422101856/http://www.electometro.es/2012/03/el-pp-aventaja-en-10-puntos-al-psoe-y-consigue-la-mayoria-absoluta-la-razon 22 April 2012 8 August 2021 live 1–15 Mar 2012 2,700 67.6 36.175% Verdana 42/44 46.075% Verdana 55/57 9.375% Verdana 7/9?75% Verdana 0/1 4.275% Verdana 0/2 9.9 Opinión 2000/Cadena SEREl PP alcanza la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía http://cadenaser.com/ser/2012/03/16/espana/1331859013_850215.html es Cadena SER 16 March 2012Comunidad Autónoma de Andalucía. Resultados Encuesta. Marzo 2012 http://www.cadenaser.com/static/pulsometro/anteriores/Pulsometro160312andalucia.pdf es Instituto de Opinión 2000 16 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120627161317/http://www.cadenaser.com/static/pulsometro/anteriores/Pulsometro160312andalucia.pdf 27 June 2012 12–13 Mar 2012 800? 36.0 46.7 8.8 4.1 2.8 10.7 IMC/ABCArenas afianza su mayoría absoluta http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2012/03/18/020.html es ABC 18 March 2012Ni Sevilla resiste la marea del PP http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2012/03/18/021.html es ABC 18 March 2012 7–12 Mar 2012 1,000? 35.675% Verdana 43 47.075% Verdana 58 8.775% Verdana 6 1.875% Verdana 0 4.675% Verdana 2 11.4 Low Cost/La GacetaArenas ganará en Andalucía por mayoría absoluta http://www.intereconomia.com/noticias-gaceta/politica/arenas-ganara-andalucia-por-mayoria-absoluta-20120317 es Intereconomía 18 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120319035004/http://www.intereconomia.com/noticias-gaceta/politica/arenas-ganara-andalucia-por-mayoria-absoluta-20120317 19 March 2012 5–12 Mar 2012 1,500? 37.275% Verdana 44 45.275% Verdana 57 8.575% Verdana 7 –?75% Verdana 1 8.0 GAD3PP-A ganaría por mayoría absoluta con 56-58 escaños y 9,4 puntos sobre el PSOE-A, según una encuesta de GAD3 http://www.europapress.es/andalucia/elecciones-00761/noticia-pp-ganaria-mayoria-absoluta-56-58-escanos-94-puntos-psoe-encuesta-gad3-20120309152722.html es Europa Press 9 March 2012El PP andaluz supera al PSOE en 9,4 puntos (GAD3) http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/03/el-pp-andaluz-supera-al-psoe-en-94-puntos-gad3/ es Electómetro 12 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120414195006/http://www.electometro.es/2012/03/el-pp-andaluz-supera-al-psoe-en-94-puntos-gad3/ 14 April 2012 8 August 2021 live 5–8 Mar 2012 750 63 36.875% Verdana 42/45 46.275% Verdana 56/58 9.275% Verdana 7/10 2.475% Verdana 0 2.975% Verdana 0/1 9.4 NC Report/La RazónEl PSOE pierde 662.000 votantes http://www.larazon.es/noticia/7851-el-psoe-pierde-662-000-votantes es La Razón 12 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120314165743/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/7851-el-psoe-pierde-662-000-votantes 14 March 2012 El PP andaluz capta 250.000 votos del PSOE (La Razón) http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/03/el-pp-andaluz-capta-250-000-votos-del-psoe-la-razon es Electómetro 12 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120415022205/http://www.electometro.es/2012/03/el-pp-andaluz-capta-250-000-votos-del-psoe-la-razon 15 April 2012 8 August 2021 live 20 Feb–6 Mar 2012 2,700 67.7 35.775% Verdana 41/44 45.775% Verdana 55/57 9.975% Verdana 8/9?75% Verdana 0/1 4.375% Verdana 0/2 10.0 Commentia/Grupo JolyEl PP de Javier Arenas se sitúa en el umbral de la mayoría absoluta http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andaluzas2012/PP-Javier-Arenas-mayoria-absoluta_0_568743177.html es Diario de Sevilla 11 March 2012El PSOE recorta distancias en Andalucía (Grupo Joly) http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/03/el-psoe-recorta-distancias-en-andalucia-grupo-joly/ es Electómetro 12 March 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120314222859/http://www.electometro.es/2012/03/el-psoe-recorta-distancias-en-andalucia-grupo-joly/ 14 March 2012 8 August 2021 live 13–29 Feb 2012 1,001? 36.975% Verdana 44/47 45.275% Verdana 54/57 8.575% Verdana 7/8 2.375% Verdana 0 3.775% Verdana 0/1 8.3 CISPreelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2012. Comunidad Autónoma de Andalucía (Estudio nº 2931. Febrero 2012) https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/es2931mar_a es CIS 8 March 2012El sondeo del CIS no garantiza al PP la conquista de Andalucía http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2012/03/09/pagina-12/89036546/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 9 March 2012 15–27 Feb 2012 3,139? 37.775% Verdana 44/46 44.975% Verdana 54/55 9.875% Verdana 9/10 2.675% Verdana 0 2.675% Verdana 0 7.2 Sigma Dos/El MundoEl PP tiene en su mano la mayoría absoluta a un mes de los comicios http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-Kyhu2OUW1VY/T0xlVkEEgfI/AAAAAAAAA0o/nmITEX2aajs/s1600/2+SONDEO+EL+MUNDO+-+SIGMA+DOS+Elecciones+en+Andalucia+El+PP+aventaja+en+8,7++puntos+al+PSOE+pero+podria+depender+de+UPyD+para+gobernar.jpg es El Mundo 28 February 2012 22–24 Feb 2012 2,000? 36.375% Verdana 42/44 45.075% Verdana 54/57 9.375% Verdana 8/9 2.475% Verdana 0/1 4.275% Verdana 1/2 8.7 GESPA/PPEncuesta preelectoral Andalucía. Febrero 2012 http://s.libertaddigital.com/doc/encuenta-gespa-para-el-pp-41912517.pdf es GESPA 27 February 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20140814213833/http://s.libertaddigital.com/doc/encuenta-gespa-para-el-pp-41912517.pdf 14 August 2014 6–22 Feb 2012 2,000? 37.275% Verdana 43/44 46.775% Verdana 56/58 7.675% Verdana 6/7 2.275% Verdana 0 3.975% Verdana 2 9.5 IMC/ABCEl PP consolida la mayoría absoluta http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2012/02/28/020.html es ABC 28 February 2012El PP ganaría en todas las provincias menos en Sevilla http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2012/02/29/046.html es ABC 29 February 2012 8–16 Feb 2012 1,500? 36.275% Verdana 43/44 46.375% Verdana 56/60 8.275% Verdana 5/7 2.275% Verdana 0 4.375% Verdana 1/2 10.1 Nexo/CEPES–AUn sondeo rebaja las opciones de Arenas de lograr la mayoría absoluta http://www.cepes-andalucia.es/fileadmin/media/noticias/Resenas_12_Mar/res_44036234.pdf es El Correo de Andalucía 28 February 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20140728030917/http://www.cepes-andalucia.es/fileadmin/media/noticias/Resenas_12_Mar/res_44036234.pdf 28 July 2014 Un sondeo del PP le da la mayoría absoluta con 9,5 puntos sobre el PSOE http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/sondeo-PP-mayoria-absoluta-PSOE_0_564844133.html es Diario de Sevilla 27 February 2012 1–14 Feb 2012 1,600 71.5 37.675% Verdana 46/47 45.175% Verdana 53/57 7.575% Verdana 6/8 2.875% Verdana 0/1 3.375% Verdana 0/1 7.5 NC Report/La RazónEl PP conquista Sevilla ante el descalabro de Griñán http://www.larazon.es/noticia/5182-el-pp-conquista-sevilla-ante-el-descalabro-de-grinan es La Razón 14 February 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120215135609/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/5182-el-pp-conquista-sevilla-ante-el-descalabro-de-grinan 15 February 2012 1–13 Feb 2012? 67.6 34.275% Verdana 41 47.475% Verdana 57?75% Verdana 9?75% Verdana 1?75% Verdana 1 13.2 NC Report/La RazónArenas tumba a Griñán http://www.larazon.es/noticia/2428-arenas-tumba-a-grinan es La Razón 30 January 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120201180205/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/2428-arenas-tumba-a-grinan 1 February 2012 Cinco partidos podrían entrar en el Parlamento Andaluz (La Razón) http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/01/cinco-partidos-podrian-entrar-en-el-parlamento-andaluz-la-razon/ es Electómetro 30 January 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120305002514/http://www.electometro.es/2012/01/cinco-partidos-podrian-entrar-en-el-parlamento-andaluz-la-razon/ 5 March 2012 8 August 2021 live 30 Jan 2012? 67.3 35.675% Verdana 44 46.975% Verdana 55 8.975% Verdana 8 2.975% Verdana 1 3.875% Verdana 1 11.3 IMC/ABCEl hundimiento del PSOE consolida la mayoría absoluta del PP en Andalucía http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2012/02/03/018.html es ABC 3 February 2012 16–24 Jan 2012 1,500? 35.2 47.1 8.5 2.1 4.7 11.9 Low Cost/Libertad DigitalLa mayoría absoluta de Arenas pende de dos escaños http://www.libertaddigital.com/nacional/2012-01-22/la-mayoria-absoluta-del-pp-en-andalucia-pende-de-dos-escanos-en-disputa-1276447691/ es Libertad Digital 22 January 2012El PP conseguiría una ajustada mayoría absoluta en Andalucía (Libertad Digital) http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/01/el-pp-conseguiria-una-ajustada-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-libertad-digital/ es Electómetro 24 January 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120201192738/http://www.electometro.es/2012/01/el-pp-conseguiria-una-ajustada-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-libertad-digital/ 1 February 2012 8 August 2021 live 22 Jan 2012 2,400? 36.675% Verdana 44 43.775% Verdana 56 9.175% Verdana 8 – 4.675% Verdana 1 7.1 CADPEA/UGREstudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Otoño 2011 http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_51/CUADERNO%20EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%202011.pdf es CADPEA 12 January 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120621025822/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_51/CUADERNO%20EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%202011.pdf 21 June 2012 El escenario más probable en Andalucía es una mayoría absoluta del PP http://www.electometro.es:80/2012/01/el-escenario-mas-probable-en-andalucia-es-una-mayoria-absoluta-del-pp/ es Electómetro 20 January 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120123112545/http://www.electometro.es/2012/01/el-escenario-mas-probable-en-andalucia-es-una-mayoria-absoluta-del-pp/ 23 January 2012 8 August 2021 live 1–30 Dec 2011 3,200 63.4 37.675% Verdana 45/47 47.075% Verdana 56/58 6.375% Verdana 5/6 2.075% Verdana 0 3.075% Verdana 0/1 9.4 2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 68.9 36.675% Verdana (44) 45.675% Verdana (58) 8.375% Verdana (5) 1.875% Verdana (0) 4.875% Verdana (2) 9.0 Commentia/Grupo JolyBarómetro Joly de Opinión Pública en Andalucía: resultados acumulados a octubre de 2011 (9ª ola) http://media.grupojoly.com//0000958500/0000958532.pdf es Commentia 6 November 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20111109220731/http://media.grupojoly.com//0000958500/0000958532.pdf 9 November 2011 Andaluzas: Arenas le saca 14,6 puntos a Griñan (Grupo Joly) http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/11/andaluzas-arenas-le-saca-146-puntos-a-grinan-grupo-joly/ es Electómetro 6 November 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20111228011057/http://www.electometro.es/2011/11/andaluzas-arenas-le-saca-146-puntos-a-grinan-grupo-joly/ 28 December 2011 8 August 2021 live 18–24 Oct 2011 501? 34.8 49.4 8.4 2.0 – 14.6 IESA/CSICBarómetro de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. Noviembre, 2011 http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/200520130.pdf es IESA 30 November 2011 5 January 2018 6 January 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20180106071927/http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/200520130.pdf dead Javier Arenas ganaría las próximas elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía (IESA) http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/11/javier-arenas-ganaria-las-proximas-elecciones-al-parlamento-de-andalucia-iesa es Electómetro 30 November 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20120108022819/http://www.electometro.es/2011/11/javier-arenas-ganaria-las-proximas-elecciones-al-parlamento-de-andalucia-iesa 8 January 2012 8 August 2021 live 26 Sep–21 Oct 2011 3,682 69.8 36.0 46.4 8.1 2.8 3.2 10.4 ABCMaquillan un sondeo oficial para que Griñán supere a Arenas en valoración http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2011/07/29/034.html es ABC 29 July 2011 29 Jul 2011? 68.2 33.2 50.2 8.3 2.3 1.5 17.0 Sigma Dos/PPOtra encuesta, la primera tras el 22M, da al PP mayoría absoluta http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2011/07/24/046.html es ABC 24 July 2011 14–19 Jul 2011 800? 34.2 50.4 7.7 2.8 – 16.2 CADPEA/UGREstudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Verano 2011 http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_50/EGOPA%20VERANO%202011.pdf es CADPEA 29 July 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110924195126/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_50/EGOPA%20VERANO%202011.pdf 24 September 2011 6 Jun–11 Jul 2011 3,600 69.9 34.3 48.9 8.3 2.4 1.4 14.6 IMOP/PSOEUna encuesta interna del PSOE da al PP 7 puntos de ventaja en Andalucía http://elcorreoweb.es/historico/una-encuesta-interna-del-psoe-da-al-pp-7-puntos-de-ventaja-en-andalucia-LGEC338157 es El Correo de Andalucía 28 July 2011 4–10 Jul 2011 1,514? 39.0 46.0 6.8 2.5 3.0 7.0 Sigma Dos/El MundoEl PP amarra la mayoría pero frena su ascenso http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-Kpdd_uIkeaw/TbZa099SRTI/AAAAAAAAA0c/bb9kH4YrUjI/s1600/4d+SONDEO+EL+MUNDO-SIGMA+DOS+%2528III%2529++Andalucia+El+PP+amarra+la+mayoria.jpg es El Mundo 26 April 2011El Mundo 25-27 de Abril 2011 https://es.scribd.com/document/141982762/El-Mundo-25-27-de-Abril-2011 es El Mundo 25 April 2011El PP ganaría con mayoría absoluta en Andalucía (El Mundo) http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/04/el-pp-ganaria-con-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-el-mundo/ es Electómetro 26 April 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110429021911/http://www.electometro.es/2011/04/el-pp-ganaria-con-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-el-mundo/ 29 April 2011 8 August 2021 live 12–15 Apr 2011 1,200? 36.875% Verdana 43/46 48.075% Verdana 56/60 7.875% Verdana 6/7 – – 11.2 Metroscopia/El PaísEl PP ganaría por mayoría absoluta en Andalucía tras 30 años de autonomía https://elpais.com/diario/2011/02/28/espana/1298847607_850215.html es El País 28 February 2011Vuelco electoral en Andalucía tras 30 años de gobierno socialista (El País) http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/02/vuelco-electoral-en-andalucia-tras-30-anos-de-gobierno-socialista-el-pais/ es Electómetro 28 February 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110303151311/http://www.electometro.es/2011/02/vuelco-electoral-en-andalucia-tras-30-anos-de-gobierno-socialista-el-pais/ 3 March 2011 8 August 2021 live 21–22 Feb 2011 804? 35.275% Verdana 45 47.575% Verdana 57 8.475% Verdana 7 – – 12.3 IMC/ABCEl PP saca siete puntos al PSOE y consolida sus opciones de gobernar http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2011/02/28/038.html es ABC 28 February 2011El PP saca siete puntos al PSOE y consolida sus opciones de gobernar http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2011/02/28/018.html es ABC 28 February 2011 10–20 Feb 2011 1,600? 38.275% Verdana 45 45.375% Verdana 57 7.675% Verdana 7 2.375% Verdana 0 – 7.1 Sigma Dos/VocentoEl PP dobla la ventaja sobre el PSOE en un año y se sitúa en la mayoría absoluta http://www.lavozdigital.es/cadiz/20110227/local/andalucia/dobla-ventaja-sobre-psoe-201102271150.html es La Voz de Cádiz 27 February 2011El PP dobla la ventaja sobre el PSOE en un año y se sitúa en la mayoría absoluta http://www.diariosur.es/20110227/andalucia/dobla-ventaja-sobre-psoe-20110227.html es Diario Sur 27 February 2011 15–18 Feb 2011 800? 38.2 47.6 7.7 1.3 1.8 9.4 Commentia/Grupo JolyEl PP acrecienta la diferencia con el PSOE y lo deja a 10,2 puntos http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PP-acrecienta-diferencia-PSOE-puntos_0_455354893.html es Diario de Sevilla 27 February 2011Arenas amplía su ventaja sobre Griñán (Barómetro grupo Joly) http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/02/arenas-amplia-su-ventaja-sobre-grinan-barometro-grupo-joly/ es Electómetro 27 February 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110228201623/http://www.electometro.es/2011/02/arenas-amplia-su-ventaja-sobre-grinan-barometro-grupo-joly/ 28 February 2011 8 August 2021 live 9–16 Feb 2011 500? 36.9 47.1 8.5 2.9 – 10.2 GESPA/PPEl PP obtendría la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía (Gespa) http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/02/el-pp-obtendria-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-gespa/ es Electómetro 21 February 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110225210338/http://www.electometro.es/2011/02/el-pp-obtendria-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-gespa/ 25 February 2011 8 August 2021 live 1–4 Feb 2011 1,111? 37.075% Verdana 45 46.175% Verdana 56/57 7.875% Verdana 7/8 – – 9.1 Nexo/CEPES–AInstantáneas de la Sociedad Andaluza. Febrero, 2011 http://www.cepes-andalucia.es/fileadmin/media/noticias/Tripticos/20110221_Resumen_Informe_Instantaneas_de_la_Sociedad_Andaluza.pdf es CEPES–A 21 February 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110303151158/http://www.cepes-andalucia.es/fileadmin/media/noticias/Tripticos/20110221_Resumen_Informe_Instantaneas_de_la_Sociedad_Andaluza.pdf 3 March 2011 Otra encuesta sitúa a Arenas al filo de la mayoría absoluta y al PSOE en caída libre http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2011/02/22/040.html es ABC 22 February 2011 18 Jan–2 Feb 2011 1,200 73.0 39.7 46.2 7.6 3.2 – 6.5 NC Report/La RazónEl PP conquista los grandes feudos de los socialistas http://www.larazon.es:80/noticia/1719-el-pp-conquista-los-grandes-feudos-de-los-socialistas es La Razón 22 January 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110305113906/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/1719-el-pp-conquista-los-grandes-feudos-de-los-socialistas 5 March 2011 6 May 2013 dead El PP, a un paso de la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía y Castilla La Mancha (La Razón) http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/01/el-pp-a-un-paso-de-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-y-castilla-la-mancha-la-razon/ es Electómetro 22 January 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110126225812/http://www.electometro.es/2011/01/el-pp-a-un-paso-de-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-y-castilla-la-mancha-la-razon/ 26 January 2011 8 August 2021 live 30 Dec–3 Jan 2011?? 39.175% Verdana 46/47 46.275% Verdana 53/54?75% Verdana 9 – – 7.1 Sigma Dos/El MundoEl PP de Arenas obtiene una mayoría absoluta más sólida que la del PSOE http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_0X0fuad8-LY/TSgtJE6hG0I/AAAAAAAAAMg/Ox9wySP_fWQ/s1600/4+Super+ENCUESTA+SIGMA+DOS-+EL+MUNDO+ANDALUCIA.jpg es El Mundo 8 January 2011Vuelco andaluz (El Mundo) http://www.electometro.es:80/2011/01/vuelco-andaluz-el-mundo/ es Electómetro 8 January 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110111054112/http://www.electometro.es/2011/01/vuelco-andaluz-el-mundo/ 11 January 2011 8 August 2021 live 20–23 Dec 2010 1,200? 36.475% Verdana 41/46 49.375% Verdana 56/64 7.275% Verdana 4/7 – – 12.9 CADPEA/UGREstudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Otoño 2010 http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_49/CUADERNO%20EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%2010.pdf es CADPEA 24 January 2011 https://web.archive.org/web/20110720162222/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_49/CUADERNO%20EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%2010.pdf 20 July 2011 24 Nov–22 Dec 2010 3,200 75.2 36.2 45.4 8.2 2.3 1.4 9.2 IESA/CSICBarómetro de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. Diciembre, 2010 http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/301120111.pdf es IESA 20 December 2010 6 May 2013 27 June 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120627093301/http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/301120111.pdf dead El PP sostiene que la encuesta del IESA le otorgaría 58 escaños http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/12/23/037.html es ABC 23 December 2010 18 Oct–18 Nov 2010 3,655 71.0 37.775% Verdana 43 46.875% Verdana 58 8.275% Verdana 8 2.975% Verdana 0 1.775% Verdana 0 9.1 Commentia/Grupo JolyEl giro político de Zapatero apenas recorta la ventaja del PP andaluz http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/politico-Zapatero-ventaja-PP-andaluz_0_421758330.html es Diario de Sevilla 7 November 2010El PP roza la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía (barómetro grupo Joly) http://www.electometro.es:80/2010/11/el-pp-roza-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-barometro-grupo-joly/ es Electómetro 7 November 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101110023542/http://www.electometro.es/2010/11/el-pp-roza-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-barometro-grupo-joly/ 10 November 2010 8 August 2021 live 21–27 Oct 2010 502? 39.1 46.2 7.0 2.7 2.1 7.1 GESPA/PPUn nuevo sondeo da al PP-A la mayoría absoluta por cuarta vez consecutiva http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/10/04/041.html es ABC 4 October 2010Sondeo de opinión pública en Andalucía. Septiembre 2010 http://www.abc.es/gestordocumental/uploads/nacional/Encuesta%20Septiembre%202010.pdf es GESPA 3 October 2010El PP obtendría la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía (encuesta propia) http://www.electometro.es:80/2010/10/el-pp-obtendria-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-encuesta-propia/ es Electómetro 3 October 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101208043702/http://www.electometro.es/2010/10/el-pp-obtendria-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-encuesta-propia/ 8 December 2010 8 August 2021 live 20–26 Sep 2010 1,111? 38.275% Verdana 45/46 45.575% Verdana 56/57 7.675% Verdana 7 2.575% Verdana 0 1.775% Verdana 0 7.3 CADPEA/UGREstudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Verano 2010 http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_42/Cuaderno%20EGOPA%20Verano%202010.pdf es CADPEA 28 July 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100928031441/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_42/Cuaderno%20EGOPA%20Verano%202010.pdf 28 September 2010 7 Jun–6 Jul 2010 3,200 72.1 38.0 45.1 8.1 2.1 1.5 7.1 Commentia/Grupo JolyEl PP rompe el empate con creces y adelanta al PSOE en siete puntos http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PP-creces-adelanta-PSOE-puntos_0_381861912.html es Diario de Sevilla 27 June 2010 10–15 Jun 2010 806? 38.1 45.4 8.5 2.5 1.5 7.3 IMC/ABCEl PP llega a las puertas de la Junta al lograr por primera vez mayoría absoluta http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/06/21/036.html es ABC 21 June 2010 8–12 Jun 2010 817? 38.775% Verdana 46 44.375% Verdana 56 7.675% Verdana 7 2.375% Verdana 0 – 5.6 Metroscopia/El PaísEl PP avanza y gana en Andalucía https://elpais.com/diario/2010/02/28/espana/1267311604_850215.html es El País 28 February 2010El PP, a un paso del vuelco electoral http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/03/01/042.html es ABC 1 March 2010 15–18 Feb 2010 804? 41.075% Verdana 49 43.375% Verdana 54 7.275% Verdana 6 2.975% Verdana 0 – 2.3 Commentia/Grupo JolyEl PP no pasa del empate técnico en Andalucía http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PP-pasa-empate-tecnico-Andalucia_0_345865637.html es Diario de Sevilla 27 February 2010 9–15 Feb 2010 801? 42.9 42.5 7.5 2.5 2.0 0.4 Sigma Dos/VocentoEl PP supera al PSOE en 3,9 puntos y lograría una amplia mayoría http://www.lavozdigital.es/cadiz/20100228/local/andalucia/supera-psoe-puntos-lograria-201002280946.html es La Voz de Cádiz 28 February 2010 8–15 Feb 2010 800? 41.8 45.7 6.2 1.4 1.6 3.9 IMC/ABCEl PP gana al PSOE por 2,1 puntos y se queda a tres escaños de la mayoría absoluta http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/02/21/044.html es ABC 21 February 2010 25 Jan–12 Feb 2010 1,600? 40.875% Verdana 51 42.975% Verdana 52 7.275% Verdana 6 2.175% Verdana 0 – 2.1 CADPEA/UGREstudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Invierno 2009-2010 http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_40/CUADERNILLO%20EGOPA%20INVIERNO%202009-2010.pdf es CADPEA 18 February 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100928034329/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_40/CUADERNILLO%20EGOPA%20INVIERNO%202009-2010.pdf 28 September 2010 7–29 Jan 2010 3,200 76.7 43.2 41.9 7.1 2.8 1.4 1.3 PULSO/El CorreoUna maratón con 'foto finish' http://elcorreoweb.es/historico/una-maraton-con-foto-finish-GFEC218358 es El Correo de Andalucía 20 February 2010 11–28 Jan 2010 1,800? 41.8 41.1 6.4 2.4 2.6 0.7 Nexo/CEPES–AInstantáneas de la Sociedad Andaluza. Febrero del 2010 http://media.grupojoly.com//0000501000/0000501083.pdf es CEPES–A 16 February 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20140808175207/http://media.grupojoly.com//0000501000/0000501083.pdf 8 August 2014 Un nuevo sondeo da al PP como vencedor en las elecciones autonómicas http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/02/16/036.html es ABC 16 February 2010 20–28 Jan 2010 1,207 71.0 41.3 41.9 6.9 3.9 – 0.6 IESA/CSICBarómetro de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. 2009 http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/141220123.pdf es IESA 15 January 2010 5 January 2018 6 January 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20180106073520/http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/141220123.pdf dead El PP ganaría hoy por primera vez al PSOE en las elecciones andaluzas http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2010/01/16/016.html es ABC 16 January 2010 1–30 Nov 2009 3,645 70.5 41.6 43.2 7.1 2.4 1.8 1.6 Commentia/Grupo JolyEl desgaste de Zapatero y la respuesta a la crisis contagian al PSOE andaluz http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/desgaste-Zapatero-respuesta-contagian-PSOE_0_306269817.html es Diario de Sevilla 18 October 2009 23 Sep–2 Oct 2009 1,002 75 42.7 42.2 7.1 2.4 2.6 0.5 CADPEA/UGREstudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Verano 2009 http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_39/CUADERNILLO%20EGOPA%20VERANO%202009.pdf es CADPEA 31 July 2009 https://web.archive.org/web/20100928031643/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_39/CUADERNILLO%20EGOPA%20VERANO%202009.pdf 28 September 2010 9 Jun–9 Jul 2009 3,200 74.9 46.2 39.7 6.7 2.6 1.1 6.5 Commentia/Grupo JolyEl PSOE le sigue sacando 6,5 puntos al PP a pesar de la marcha de su líder http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PSOE-sacando-puntos-PP-marcha_0_272672959.html es Diario de Sevilla 28 June 2009 28 Jun 2009 1,003 75 45.6 39.1 7.5 2.7 2.4 6.5 GESPA/PPUn sondeo del PP le sitúa a 1,3 puntos del PSOE en intención de voto http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2009/07/04/040.html es ABC 4 July 2009 16–24 Jun 2009 2,500? 44.1 42.8 6.5 1.5 2.1 1.3 Grupo ESTIO/El CorreoUn sondeo da mayoría absoluta al PSOE andaluz https://elpais.com/diario/2009/06/22/andalucia/1245622933_850215.html es El País 22 June 2009 25 May–19 Jun 2009 1,400? 48.6 40.2 6.2 1.8 – 8.4 2009 EP election 7 Jun 2009 41.7 48.275% Verdana (58) 39.775% Verdana (48) 5.275% Verdana (3) 1.075% Verdana (0) 2.575% Verdana (0) 8.5 Sigma Dos/VocentoLigero desgaste del PSOE y mejora del PP http://www.lavozdigital.es/cadiz/20090228/ciudadanos/ligero-desgaste-psoe-mejora-20090228.html es La Voz de Cádiz 28 February 2009El desgaste pasa factura al PSOE http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2009/03/01/050.html es ABC 1 March 2009 19–23 Feb 2009 800? 46.8 40.5 7.2 1.9 – 6.3 Metroscopia/El PaísEl PP se sitúa a un punto del PSOE en Andalucía https://elpais.com/elpais/2009/02/28/actualidad/1235812617_850215.html es El País 28 February 2009 10–12 Feb 2009 800 73.3 44.375% Verdana 53/55 43.275% Verdana 49/50 6.675% Verdana 5/6 2.975% Verdana 0 – 1.1 Commentia/Grupo JolyEl PSOE le sigue sacando siete puntos al PP a pesar de la crisis http://www.diariodesevilla.es/sevilla/PSOE-sacando-puntos-PP-crisis_0_236676693.html es Diario de Sevilla 28 February 2009 29 Jan–11 Feb 2009 1,000? 46.2 39.1 7.5 2.8 1.2 7.1 IMC/ABCEl PSOE pierde su mayoría absoluta por la subida del PP, que se sitúa a sólo tres puntos http://hemeroteca.sevilla.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2009/02/28/040.html es ABC 28 February 2009 5–9 Feb 2009 1,600? 45.875% Verdana 54 42.675% Verdana 49 6.975% Verdana 6 1.975% Verdana 0 – 3.2 Nexo/CEPES–AEl PSOE baja tres puntos en intención de voto mientras el PP sigue subiendo http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2009/02/24/041.html es ABC 24 February 2009 20–30 Jan 2009 1,202 70.5 45.8 39.6 7.9 3.1 – 6.2 Idea Asesores/PPPedrote Isabel Un sondeo del PP apunta el empate https://elpais.com/diario/2009/01/10/andalucia/1231543331_850215.html es El País 10 January 2009Un sondeo del PP lo sitúa en "empate técnico" con el PSOE en las autonómicas http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2009/01/10/035.html es ABC 10 January 2009 9–19 Dec 2008 2,000? 44.775% Verdana 52 43.175% Verdana 51 7.675% Verdana 6 1.575% Verdana 0 – 1.6 CADPEA/UGREstudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Otoño 2008 http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_32/EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%202008.pdf es CADPEA 22 January 2009 https://web.archive.org/web/20140809184948/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_32/EGOPA%20OTO%C3%91O%202008.pdf 9 August 2014 14 Nov–12 Dec 2008 3,200 74.7 46.2 38.8 7.5 2.2 – 7.4 IESA/CSICBarómetro de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. Diciembre, 2008 http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/031220130.pdf es IESA 10 January 2009 5 January 2018 6 January 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20180106072613/http://www.iesa.csic.es/publicaciones/031220130.pdf dead Lucio Lourdes La crisis castiga a Chaves, aunque volvería a ganar por mayoría absoluta https://elpais.com/diario/2009/01/10/andalucia/1231543325_850215.html es El País 10 January 2009El PSOE andaluz aventaja en 6,2 puntos al PP en intención de voto https://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PSOE-andaluz-aventaja-PP-intencion_0_221678319.html es Diario de Sevilla 9 January 2009 10 Nov–5 Dec 2008 3,658 71.8 47.0 40.8 6.2 2.5 – 6.2 Commentia/Grupo JolyEl PSOE apenas sufre el efecto de la crisis http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PSOE-apenas-sufre-efecto-crisis_0_197080913.html es Diario de Sevilla 19 October 2008 20 Sep–2 Oct 2008 1,007? 46.5 39.6 7.3 2.2 1.2 6.9 CADPEA/UGREstudio General de Opinión Pública de Andalucía. EGOPA Verano 2008 http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_31/cuadernillo%20EGOPA%20VERANO%202008.pdf es CADPEA 31 July 2008 https://web.archive.org/web/20100928031824/http://cadpea.ugr.es/documentos/EGOPA/EGOPA_31/cuadernillo%20EGOPA%20VERANO%202008.pdf 28 September 2010 2 Jun–4 Jul 2008 3,200 74.0 46.7 38.1 7.9 2.0 – 8.6 2008 regional election 9 Mar 2008 72.7 48.475% Verdana 56 38.575% Verdana 47 7.175% Verdana 6 2.875% Verdana 0 0.675% Verdana 0 9.9 Voting preferences The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia|PSOE–A 28px|link=People's Party of Andalusia|PP IULV 25px|link=Andalusian Party|PA 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD Lead 2012 regional election"CERA" Does not include non-resident citizens. 25 Mar 2012 24.5 25.2 7.0 1.6 2.1 37.8 0.7 CIS 15–27 Feb 2012 3,139 29.6 25.3 7.9 1.6 1.7 19.9 9.6 4.3 CADPEA/UGR 1–30 Dec 2011 3,200 21.4 31.3 6.6 1.6 2.0 22.6 8.8 9.9 2011 general election"CERA" 20 Nov 2011 25.6 31.9 5.8 1.2 3.3 29.3 6.3 Commentia/Grupo Joly 18–24 Oct 2011 501 21.9 34.0 – – – – – 12.1 IESA/CSIC 26 Sep–21 Oct 2011 3,682 23.4 32.4 5.8 1.9 2.2 23.3 6.1 9.0 CADPEA/UGR 6 Jun–11 Jul 2011 3,600 18.5 32.0 5.9 1.8 1.6 27.8 8.3 13.5 IMC/ABC 10–20 Feb 2011 1,600 28.9 32.5 4.6 1.8 – 25.9 – 3.6 Commentia/Grupo Joly 9–16 Feb 2011 500 21.3 29.8 – – – – – 8.5 CADPEA/UGR 24 Nov–22 Dec 2010 3,200 20.8 27.0 5.0 1.5 1.3 24.2 12.6 6.2 IESA/CSIC 18 Oct–18 Nov 2010 3,655 22.5 30.8 5.4 2.0 1.3 27.8 6.8 8.3 Commentia/Grupo Joly 21–27 Oct 2010 502 23.4 30.4 – – – – – 7.0 CADPEA/UGR 7 Jun–6 Jul 2010 3,200 22.5 25.4 5.7 1.6 1.4 21.7 13.6 2.9 Commentia/Grupo Joly 10–15 Jun 2010 806 23.0 31.1 – – – – – 8.1 Commentia/Grupo JolyEl PP no pasa del empate técnico en Andalucía http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/PP-pasa-empate-tecnico-Andalucia_0_345865637.html es Diario de Sevilla 27 February 2010 9–15 Feb 2010 801 27.8 27.5 – – – – – 0.3 IMC/ABC 25 Jan–12 Feb 2010 1,600 31.7 32.4 3.5 1.9 – 25.4 – 0.7 CADPEA/UGR 7–29 Jan 2010 3,200 24.7 24.0 5.1 2.2 1.9 21.6 14.0 0.7 Nexo/CEPES–A 20–28 Jan 2010 1,207 22.2 26.3 4.2 2.8 1.8 23.4 10.0 4.1 IESA/CSIC 1–30 Nov 2009 3,645 28.7 28.7 5.3 2.2 0.6 21.8 8.1 Tie Commentia/Grupo Joly 23 Sep–2 Oct 2009 1,002 26.3 28.1 – – – – – 1.8 CADPEA/UGR 9 Jun–9 Jul 2009 3,200 26.9 22.6 5.1 1.3 2.4 24.1 13.1 4.3 Commentia/Grupo Joly 28 Jun 2009 1,003 29.9 26.5 – – – – – 3.4 2009 EP election"CERA" 7 Jun 2009 20.3 16.8 2.2 0.4 1.1 57.6 3.5 Commentia/Grupo Joly 29 Jan–11 Feb 2009 1,000 29.9 25.4 – – – – – 4.5 CADPEA/UGR 14 Nov–12 Dec 2008 3,200 31.9 21.0 4.5 1.4 1.0 23.5 11.6 10.9 IESA/CSIC 10 Nov–5 Dec 2008 3,658 32.0 27.0 4.8 2.2 – 22.8 6.9 5.0 Commentia/Grupo Joly 20 Sep–2 Oct 2008 1,007 27.7 24.9 – – – – – 2.8 CADPEA/UGR 2 Jun–4 Jul 2008 3,200 28.2 23.6 5.6 2.4 0.9 21.3 11.1 4.6 2008 regional election"CERA" 9 Mar 2008 35.3 28.3 5.2 2.0 0.4 26.4 7.0 Victory preferences The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia|PSOE–A 28px|link=People's Party of Andalusia|PP IULV 25px|link=Andalusian Party|PA 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD Other/None Lead Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 12–13 Mar 2012 800 30.9 38.4 6.5 2.0 2.8 7.5 12.1 7.5 CIS 15–27 Feb 2012 3,139 33.6 28.3 9.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 22.8 5.3 IESA/CSIC 26 Sep–21 Oct 2011 3,682 26.8 35.0 6.9 2.7 2.0 2.7 23.8 8.2 Metroscopia/El País 21–22 Feb 2011 804 36.0 49.0 – – – 15.0 13.0 IESA/CSIC 18 Oct–18 Nov 2010 3,655 25.8 35.0 6.1 2.8 1.6 1.4 27.4 9.2 GESPA/PP 20–26 Sep 2010 1,111 27.6 33.4 6.8 5.3 1.1 2.3 26.9 5.8 CADPEA/UGR 7 Jun–6 Jul 2010 3,200 28.8 28.3 8.1 3.5 1.8 2.3 27.3 0.5 Metroscopia/El País 15–18 Feb 2010 804 37.0 42.0 – – – 21.0 5.0 IESA/CSIC 1–30 Nov 2009 3,645 31.0 31.2 6.3 3.2 1.9 2.0 24.5 0.2 Metroscopia/El País 10–12 Feb 2009 800 43.0 42.0 – – – 15.0 1.0 IESA/CSIC 10 Nov–5 Dec 2008 3,658 35.0 29.7 6.2 3.0 – 26.1 5.3 Victory likelihood The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 25px|link=Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia|PSOE–A 28px|link=People's Party of Andalusia|PP IULV 25px|link=Andalusian Party|PA 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD Other/None Lead GAD3 19 Mar 2012? 22.0 63.0 – – – 15.0 41.0 Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 12–13 Mar 2012 800 12.9 65.4 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 20.3 52.5 IMC/ABC 7–12 Mar 2012 1,000 20.0 62.9 – – – 0.6 16.5 42.9 Commentia/Grupo JolySusana Díaz adelanta al PP en un clima de deterioro del bipartidismo http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/Susana-Diaz-PP-deterioro-bipartidismo_0_784422071.html es Diario de Sevilla 28 February 2014 26 January 2017 2 February 2017 https://web.archive.org/web/20170202060724/http://www.diariodesevilla.es/andalucia/Susana-Diaz-PP-deterioro-bipartidismo_0_784422071.html live 13–29 Feb 2012 1,001 18.5 57.7 – – – 23.8 39.2 CIS 15–27 Feb 2012 3,139 18.9 57.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.2 22.8 38.1 GESPA/PP 6–22 Feb 2012 2,000 19.7 61.8 – – – 0.4 18.2 42.1 IMC/ABC 16–24 Jan 2012 1,500 19.4 64.6 – – – 16.0 45.2 Commentia/Grupo Joly 18–24 Oct 2011 501 19.8 58.5 0.2 0.0 – 0.0 21.6 38.7 IESA/CSIC 26 Sep–21 Oct 2011 3,682 16.9 61.7 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.3 20.1 44.8 IMC/ABCProbabilidad de que gane el PP las próximas elecciones andaluzas http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2011/02/28/039.html es ABC 28 February 2011 10–20 Feb 2011 1,600 37.9 47.2 – – – 14.9 9.3 Commentia/Grupo Joly 9–16 Feb 2011 500 36.8 40.0 0.4 0.0 – 0.2 22.6 3.2 IESA/CSIC 18 Oct–18 Nov 2010 3,655 35.5 34.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 28.3 1.0 Commentia/Grupo Joly 21–27 Oct 2010 502 49.4 31.3 0.2 0.2 – 0.0 18.9 18.1 CADPEA/UGR 7 Jun–6 Jul 2010 3,200 54.9 26.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 17.2 28.0 Commentia/Grupo Joly 10–15 Jun 2010 806 43.6 35.7 0.2 0.5 – 0.2 19.8 7.9 IMC/ABCPara salir de la crisis http://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/sevilla/abc.sevilla/2010/06/21/037.html es ABC 21 June 2010 8–12 Jun 2010 817 40.0 41.6 – – – 18.4 1.6 Commentia/Grupo Joly 9–15 Feb 2010 801 46.3 32.6 0.1 0.1 – 0.1 20.7 13.7 IMC/ABC 25 Jan–12 Feb 2010 1,600 52.6 32.0 – – – 15.4 20.6 IESA/CSIC 1–30 Nov 2009 3,645 52.1 20.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 25.9 31.6 IMC/ABC 5–9 Feb 2009 1,600 72.9 9.8 – – – 0.6 16.7 63.1 IESA/CSIC 10 Nov–5 Dec 2008 3,658 62.8 12.8 0.8 0.3 – 23.3 50.0 Preferred President The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Andalusia. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 55px 55px 55px 55px 55px Other/None/Notcare Lead GriñánPSOE–A ArenasPP ValderasIULV GonzálezPA HerránUPyD Metroscopia/El País 6–15 Mar 2012 1,200 34.0 42.0 – – – 24.0 8.0 Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 12–13 Mar 2012 800 30.6 39.3 6.3 – – 12.9 11.0 8.7 CIS 15–27 Feb 2012 3,139 30.7 29.4 8.6 – – 7.0 24.3 1.7 GESPA/PP 6–22 Feb 2012 2,000 27.4 36.4 5.7 3.2 2.6 8.2 16.7 9.0 IMOP/PSOE 4–10 Jul 2011 1,514 47.1 25.0 – – – 27.9 22.1 Predicted President The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 55px 55px 55px Other/None/Notcare Lead GriñánPSOE–A ArenasPP ValderasIULV Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 12–13 Mar 2012 800 20.1 60.3 1.4 0.9 17.4 40.2 Voter turnout The table below shows registered voter turnout during the election. Figures for election day do not include non-resident citizens, while final figures do. Province Time (Election day) Final 14:00 18:00 20:00 2008 2012 +/– 2008 2012 +/– 2008 2012 +/– 2008 2012 +/– Almería 40.32% 29.23% −11.09 60.52% 45.97% −14.55 74.66% 60.51% −14.15 72.66% 56.97% −15.69 Cádiz 37.19% 25.76% −11.43 55.85% 41.86% −13.99 68.12% 54.29% −13.83 67.31% 53.22% −14.09 Córdoba 39.91% 31.85% −8.06 60.88% 50.23% −10.65 76.62% 66.50% −10.12 75.62% 66.50% −9.12 Granada 39.98% 30.86% −9.12 61.01% 49.43% −11.58 75.89% 65.43% −10.46 74.16% 62.44% −11.72 Huelva 36.24% 27.02% −9.22 55.62% 44.13% −11.49 70.40% 60.84% −9.56 70.51% 60.05% −10.46 Jaén 38.97% 32.90% −6.07 61.25% 52.36% −8.89 79.26% 70.74% −8.52 78.50% 69.56% −8.94 Málaga 39.93% 28.09% −11.84 59.49% 44.67% −14.82 72.31% 58.05% −14.26 71.19% 56.33% −14.86 Seville 36.26% 29.97% −6.29 60.72% 49.54% −11.18 74.38% 64.93% −9.45 73.71% 64.00% −9.71 Total 39.07% 29.30% –9.77 59.51% 47.21% –12.30 73.65% 62.23% –11.42 72.67% 60.78% –11.89 Sources25 March 2012 https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/justiciaeinterior/resultados2012/01AV/DAV01000CI_L1.htm Avances de participación es Regional Government of Andalusia 20 February 2022 Results Overall + ← Summary of the 25 March 2012 Parliament of Andalusia election results → center|350px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− People's Party (PP) 1,570,833 40.67 +2.22 50 +3 Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) 1,527,923 39.56 −8.85 47 −9 United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) 438,372 11.35 +4.29 12 +6 Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 129,407 3.35 +2.73 0 ±0 Andalusian Party (PA)1 96,770 2.51 −0.25 0 ±0 Equo (Equo) 20,383 0.53 New 0 ±0 Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 8,781 0.23 New 0 ±0 Blank Seats (EB) 5,660 0.15 New 0 ±0 Hartos.org (Hartos.org) 4,966 0.13 New 0 ±0 Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 4,119 0.11 +0.05 0 ±0 We Won't Pay this Crisis (ECNP) 2,680 0.07 New 0 ±0 Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE de las JONS) 2,407 0.06 +0.02 0 ±0 For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 1,704 0.04 New 0 ±0 Andalusian Platform–Citizen Forum (FC) 1,634 0.04 New 0 ±0 Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL) 1,406 0.04 New 0 ±0 Regionalist Party for Eastern Andalusia (PRAO) 1,071 0.03 New 0 ±0 Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 1,040 0.03 −0.03 0 ±0 Communist Unification of Spain (UCE) 1,026 0.03 New 0 ±0 Humanist Party (PH) 896 0.02 −0.07 0 ±0 Andalusian Horticulture Party (PHAN) 832 0.02 New 0 ±0 Socialists and Republicans (SyR) 787 0.02 New 0 ±0 Andalusian Convergence (CAnda) 762 0.02 −0.15 0 ±0 Spanish Alternative (AES) 653 0.02 New 0 ±0 Citizens of Democratic Centre (CCD) 643 0.02 New 0 ±0 Republican Social Movement (MSR) 628 0.02 New 0 ±0 Democratic Majority (MD) 515 0.01 New 0 ±0 Family and Life Party (PFyV) 408 0.01 −0.01 0 ±0 Engine and Sports Alternative (AMD) 362 0.01 New 0 ±0 Andalusian Social Democratic Party (PSDA) 345 0.01 −0.02 0 ±0 Group and Union for the Progress of Almeria (AUPAL) 216 0.01 New 0 ±0 Andalusian Nationalist People (PNdeA) 156 0.00 New 0 ±0 Regionalist Call for Andalusia (CReA) 146 0.00 New 0 ±0 Andalusian Solidary Independent Republican Party (RISA) 135 0.00 New 0 ±0 Blank ballots 35,081 0.91 −0.15 Total 3,862,747 109 ±0 Valid votes 3,862,747 99.42 +0.05 Invalid votes 22,390 0.58 −0.05 Votes cast / turnout 3,885,137 60.78 −11.89 Abstentions 2,507,483 39.22 +11.89 Registered voters 6,392,620 Sources17 April 2012 Resolución de 12 de abril de 2012, de la Junta Electoral de Andalucía, por la que se hacen públicos los resultados generales y por circunscripciones, así como la relación de diputados proclamados electos en las elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía celebradas el día 25 de marzo de 2012 https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/boja/2012/74/d1.pdf es Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia 74 2253-802X 6–9 19 October 2025 left Footnotes: 1 Andalusian Party results are compared to Andalusian Coalition totals in the 2008 election. Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px PP People's Party of Andalusia 40.67 PSOE–A Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia 39.56 IULV–CA United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia 11.35 UPyD Union, Progress and Democracy 3.35 PA Andalusian Party 2.51 Others #777777 1.67 Blank ballots #DDDDDD 0.91 Seats #ddd 550px 500px PP People's Party of Andalusia 45.87 PSOE–A Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia 43.12 IULV–CA United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia 11.01 Distribution by constituency Constituency PP PSOE–A IULV–CA % S % S % S Almería 51.2 7 35.4 4 7.1 1 Cádiz 40.5 7 35.6 6 12.7 2 Córdoba 39.7 5 38.9 5 13.3 2 Granada 43.5 6 39.5 6 10.0 1 Huelva 38.6 5 43.4 5 10.9 1 Jaén 41.1 5 44.5 5 8.8 1 Málaga 43.7 8 35.3 7 12.2 2 Seville 35.3 7 43.1 9 12.2 2 Total 40.7 50 39.6 47 11.3 12 Sources Aftermath Government formation Second government of José Antonio Griñán On 3 May 2012, as a result of the PSOE–IU coalition agreement, José Antonio Griñán was re-elected as regional President. One IU deputy, Juan Manuel Sánchez Gordillo, cast an invalid vote in protest for not being able to elect a candidate of his own party. InvestitureNomination of José Antonio Griñán (PSOE–A) Ballot → 3 May 20121 IULV–CA MP cast an invalid ballot. Required majority → 55 out of 109 15 Yes • PSOE–A (47) • IULV–CA (11) 58 109 green 125px No • PP (50) 50 109 red 125px Abstentions 0 109 gray 125px Absentees 0 109 black 125px Sources 2013 investiture First government of Susana Díaz In July 2013, President Griñán announced he was resigning from his office. As regional minister Susana Díaz was the only person able to gather the required endorsements to run in the primary election that was held to elect Griñán's successor, she was unanimously proclaimed as the party's candidate for the Presidency of the Regional Government of Andalusia. As a result, on 5 September 2013 the Parliament of Andalusia elected Díaz as new regional premier. InvestitureNomination of Susana Díaz (PSOE–A) Ballot → 5 September 20131 IULV–CA MP did not cast any ballot. Required majority → 55 out of 109 15 Yes • PSOE–A (47) • IULV–CA (11) 58 109 green 125px No • PP (48) 48 109 red 125px Abstentions 0 109 gray 125px Absentees • PP (2) 2 109 black 125px Sources Notes References Opinion poll sources "p" Other Bibliography 30em y Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General Organic Law 5/1985 19 June 1985 version as of 16 July 2011 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1985-11672 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20110716 19 October 2025 LOREG 1985 y Ley 1/1986, de 2 de enero, Electoral de Andalucía Law 1/1986 2 January 1986 version as of 15 December 2011 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1986-2788 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1986-2788&tn=1&p=20111215 19 October 2025 LEAn 1986 y Ley 6/2006, de 24 de octubre, del Gobierno de la Comunidad Autónoma de Andalucía Law 6/2006 24 October 2006 version as of 11 December 2008 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2006-20848 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2006-20848&tn=1&p=20081211 19 October 2025 LGAn 2006 y Ley Orgánica 2/2007, de 19 de marzo, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía para Andalucía Organic Law 2/2007 19 March 2007 version as of 11 April 2011 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2007-5825 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2007-5825&tn=1&p=20110411 20 June 2025 Statute 2007 y Decreto del Presidente 1/2012, de 30 de enero, de disolución del Parlamento de Andalucía y de convocatoria de elecciones Decree 1/2012 30 January 2012 Official Gazette of the Regional Government of Andalusia es https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/boja/2012/20/d1.pdf 19 October 2025 Decree 1/2012 2012 autocollapse June 2017 Regional election Andalusia Category:Regional elections in Andalusia Andalusia