2014 Ontario general election

Canadian provincial general election September 2023 2014 Ontario general election Ontario parliamentary no no no 2011 40th Parliament of Ontario 2014 6 12 41st Parliament of Ontario 2018 107 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 54 51.3% (3.1pp)STATISTICAL SUMMARY https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2014/historical-results/2014/Statistical%20Summary%20-%202014%20General%20Election%20and%202012-2014%20By-elections.pdf Elections Ontario April 28, 2018 June 13, 2014 March 25, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20180325105726/https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2014/historical-results/2014/Statistical%20Summary%20-%202014%20General%20Election%20and%202012-2014%20By-elections.pdf live x160px Kathleen Wynne File:Premier Kathleen Wynne 2014 (cropped).jpg ON Liberal name ON Liberal nohash January 26, 2013 Don Valley West 53 seats, 37.65% 48 58 10 1,863,974 38.67% 1.02pp Tim Hudak File: Tim Hudak 2014 (cropped).jpg ON PC nohash ON PC name June 27, 2009 Niagara West—Glanbrook 37 seats, 35.45% 37 28 9 1,505,436 31.23% 4.22pp Andrea Horwath File:Andrea Horwath (cropped).jpg ON NDP nohash ON NDP name March 7, 2009 Hamilton Centre 17 seats, 22.74% 21 21 1,144,822 23.75% 1.01pp Ontario_Provincial_Election_2014_Riding_Results_Map.svg 430px Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom. Premier Premier after election Kathleen Wynne ON Liberal name Kathleen Wynne ON Liberal name General elections were held in Ontario, Canada on June 12, 2014, to elect the members of the 41st Parliament of Ontario. The Liberal Party won a majority of seats in the legislature, allowing its leader, Kathleen Wynne, to continue as premier, moving from a minority to majority government. This was the Liberals' fourth consecutive win since 2003 and an improvement from their performance in the 2011 election.Ontario election 2014: Liberals return to power with majority http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-liberals-return-to-power-with-majority-1.2673844 CBC News June 12, 2014 June 12, 2014 May 11, 2017 https://web.archive.org/web/20170511144706/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-liberals-return-to-power-with-majority-1.2673844 live The Progressive Conservatives under Tim Hudak were returned to the official opposition; following the election loss, Hudak announced his resignation as Progressive Conservative leader.Ontario election 2014: Tim Hudak to step down http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-tim-hudak-to-step-down-1.2674255 CBC News June 12, 2014 June 12, 2014 June 12, 2019 https://web.archive.org/web/20190612091914/https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-tim-hudak-to-step-down-1.2674255 live The New Democratic Party under Andrea Horwath remained in third place, albeit with an improved share of the popular vote. The election was called on May 2, 2014, by Lieutenant Governor David Onley,http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/kathleen-wynne-calls-june-12-ontario-election-1.2629948 Ontario election 2014: Wynne vows to re-introduce budget - Toronto - CBC News CBC News 2014-05-02 2014-05-29 2020-09-17 https://web.archive.org/web/20200917193016/https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/kathleen-wynne-calls-june-12-ontario-election-1.2629948 live upon the recommendation of Wynne following the announcement that the NDP, whose support was critical to the survival of the Liberals' minority government in the Legislative Assembly, would vote against the Liberals' proposed budget.Ontario Election Seemingly On Way As NDP Won't Support Budget http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2014/05/02/ontario-election-andrea-horwath-ndp_n_5253523.html Huffington Post May 2, 2014 May 2, 2014 May 2, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140502203759/http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2014/05/02/ontario-election-andrea-horwath-ndp_n_5253523.html live With the election, Wynne became the first woman and the first openly gay person to lead a party to a majority victory in an Ontario general election.Sexuality a 'non-issue' during Wynne's election campaign: expert https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/sexuality-a-non-issue-during-wynnes-election-campaign-expert December 15, 2023 The Canadian Press National Post June 14, 2014Tepper Sean June 13, 2014 Ontario takes pride that gay premier's win taken in stride https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ontario-takes-pride-that-gay-premiers-win-taken-in-stride/article19167485/ Globe and Mail December 15, 2023 Context - 40th Parliament The preceding election held in October 2011 reduce the incumbent Liberal ministry led by Dalton McGuinty from a government with a comfortable 35-seat majority to a minority government that was one seat short, the first minority government in almost a quarter-century. One of the most contentious issues during that election campaign was a mid-campaign decision to scrap unpopular gas plants being constructed in Mississauga and Oakville. The move was viewed by many as cynically made to improve the Liberal Party's chances of retaining the five ridings it held in the area. Whether that was the motivation or not, the Liberal did retained those seats. The political dynamic of the legislature changed significantly by the resulted minority parliament. The government was forced to seek support from opposition members on a vote-by-vote basis. The government's control over parliamentary schedule and work of committees were significantly diminished. It could not stop committees from issuing order compelling sensitive documents. Emboldened by their newfound ability embarrassed the government, the opposition demanded all documents related to the gas plant cancellation be released to the public.2014 Standing Commitees, General https://www.ola.org/sites/default/files/common/pdf/FSOB%20and%20Journals/40-2-FSOB.pdf Final Status of Business 40th Parliament, 2nd Session 3-5 The released document revealed the cost of the cancellation was estimated to be $950 million to $1.1 billion over approximately 20 years.The Cancellation and Relocation of the Gas Plants and Document Retention Issues https://www.ola.org/sites/default/files/node-files/committee/report/pdf/2021/2021-02/Remediated%20FINAL%20report%20EN.pdf www.ola.org Legislative Assembly of Ontario 7 November 2022https://nationalpost.com/news/email-destruction-case-highlights-ontario-liberal-moves-that-have-added-billions-to-electricity-costs At $1B, cancelling gas plants was actually one of Ontario Liberals' cheaper electricity decisions In the fall of 2012. Energy minister Chris Bentley was cited in contempt of upon reports of an additional 20,000 documents relating to the gas plants not having been release.Mills Carys Energy Minister Chris Bentley 'thrown under the bus' https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/article/1277995--energy-minister-chris-bentley-thrown-under-the-bus October 26, 2012 Toronto Star October 26, 2012 Two veterans of the legislature, former finance minister Greg Sorbara and former PC Deputy Premier Elizabeth Witmer, resigned in the first year of the 40th parliament. The Liberals had hoped to regain their majority by winning Whitmer's seat for Kitchener—Waterloo. The riding was targeted by various teachers unions in protest of the government imposing contracts and suspending their right to strike.Court challenges target 'draconian' Ontario teacher bill http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/court-challenges-target-draconian-ontario-teacher-bill-1.1151656 May 17, 2018 CBC News October 11, 2012 After an exceptionally acrimonious byelection campaign, the seat went to the NDP, with the Liberals placing third.Walkom Thomas McGuinty's explanation to suspend legislature makes no sense https://www.therecord.com/opinion/columnists/2012/10/22/mcguinty-s-explanation-to-suspend-legislature-makes-no-sense.html April 3, 2021 Kitchener-Waterloo Record October 22, 2012 McGuinty unexpectedly announced on October 15, 2012, that he was ending the legislative session by proroguing the legislature and that he would resign as premier as soon as the Liberal Party chose his successor, in January 2013.Karen Howlett Adrian Morrow Paul Waldie Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty resigns https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ontario-premier-dalton-mcguinty-resigns/article4614086/ October 15, 2021 The Globe and Mail October 15, 2012 TorontoOntario's McGuinty surprises with resignation, prorogation http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-s-mcguinty-surprises-with-resignation-prorogation-1.1156014 CBC News March 20, 2014 October 15, 2012 The ensuing Ontario Liberal leadership contest, the first such contest held by a governing party since 1984, resulted in Kathleen Wynne being elected the first woman and the first LGBT person serve as Premier of Ontario. The march to the 2014 election The following table lists events most directly relevant in setting the dynamic of the 2014 general election. Date EventOctober 6, 2011Election held for members of the Ontario Legislature in the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario.Spring of 2012Finance minister Dwight Duncan tabled the government's first minority budget in March, a budget the government could not approve on its own. PC leader Tim Hudak's outright rejection of ithttp://www.torontosun.com/2012/04/10/horwath-makes-her-budget-demands Horwath makes her budget demands Toronto Sun April 10, 2012 April 12, 2012 November 12, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20141112073045/http://www.torontosun.com/2012/04/10/horwath-makes-her-budget-demands live meant some concession to the NDP caucus would be required. NDP Leader Andrea Horwath makes several demands in exchange for her party to support but secured little concession. In June, Premier Dalton McGuinty threatened to call another election if the budget is not passed,https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1211813--ontario-budget-dalton-mcguinty-warns-ndp-to-back-down-on-budget-demands-or-face-an-election?bn=1 Ontario budget: Dalton McGuinty warns NDP to curtail budget demands or face an election Toronto Star June 16, 2012 September 7, 2017 August 15, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20120815131252/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1211813--ontario-budget-dalton-mcguinty-warns-ndp-to-back-down-on-budget-demands-or-face-an-election?bn=1 live at which point the NDP opted to abstain, avoiding a summer election.http://metronews.ca/news/toronto/270440/summer-election-avoided-as-ontario-budget-bill-passes/ https://archive.today/20130115115615/http://metronews.ca/news/toronto/270440/summer-election-avoided-as-ontario-budget-bill-passes/ dead January 15, 2013 Summer election avoided as Ontario budget bill passes MetroNews June 20, 2012 September 6, 2012Two byelection held, future party leader Steven Del Duca succeeding his mentor former finance minister Greg Sorbora, while NDP secure an upset victory, picking up the seat of former PC deputy premier Elizabeth Witmer following an exceptionally acrimonious local campaign.October 15, 2012Dalton McGuinty announced his resignation as Premier of Ontario and as Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.Howlett Karen Morrow Adrian Waldie Paul Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty resigns https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ontario-premier-dalton-mcguinty-resigns/article4614086/ Oct 15, 2012 The Globe and Mail Oct 15, 2012 Toronto April 20, 2017 https://web.archive.org/web/20170420194632/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/ontario-premier-dalton-mcguinty-resigns/article4614086/ deadJanuary 26, 2013Kathleen Wynne elected Ontario Liberal leader at the party's leadership convention.Ontario Liberals to hold leadership convention in January https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ontario-liberals-to-hold-leadership-convention-in-january-1.1186593 CBC News October 21, 2012 October 21, 2012 October 22, 2012 https://web.archive.org/web/20121022014707/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/story/2012/10/21/ottawa-yasir-naqvi-not-running-for-premier.html live This would be the last delegated convention in Canada where the elected leader also automatically become a first minister. February 11, 2013Premier Dalton McGuinty formally tendered the resignation of the McGuinty ministry, and was succeeded by the Wynne ministry. Wynne sworn in as Ontario's first female premier and the first out LGBT person to serve as first minister in Canada.Jobs, Economy, a Fair Society: Priorities for New Ontario Government http://www.premier.gov.on.ca/news/event.php?ItemID=23266&Lang=EN Office of the Premier of Ontario February 12, 2013 February 11, 2013 February 14, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20130214044025/http://www.premier.gov.on.ca/news/event.php?ItemID=23266&Lang=EN liveFebruary 20, 2013The 40th parliament reconvened for the opening of its second session, with the government at a three-seat deficit from majority following the retirement of finance minister Dwight Duncan and former energy minister Chris Bentley.June 2013The Wynne ministry passed its first budget with the support of the NDP.August 1, 2013By-elections was held in five electoral districts all previously held by minister of the McGuinty ministry, the most by-election contests held on a single day since 1984to fill vacancies left by four Liberals, including future Deputy Prime Minister Sheila Copps, and NDP leader Michael Cassidy who left to seek federal seats in the 1984 Canadian federal election., and the most byelection contests to be defended by a party in Ontario history.Discounting ministerial byelections, which were often held on a single day and were often not contested by the opposition parties. The Liberals lost three of the five seats, losing Duncan's Windsor seat and Bentley's London seat to the NDP by wide margin.May 2, 2014With both Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak and NDP leader Andrea Horwath having signaled their caucus' intention to vote against Wynne ministry's second budget, Wynne pre-empted the confidence vote by seeking dissolution of the legislature from Lieutenant Governor David Onley. Writs of elections were issued for general election to be held on June 12, 2014.https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/ontario-election-to-be-called-as-ndp-leader-andrea-horwath-says-she-can-no-longer-support-liberals Ontario election called for June 12 as Kathleen Wynne's Liberals lose support of NDP National Post News.nationalpost.com 2014-05-02 2014-05-29June 12, 2014The Liberal Party wins a majority, claiming 58 ridings in the Ontario election.http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-once-again-kathleen-wynne-settles-the-debate-1.2674369 Once again, Kathleen Wynne settles the debate 2014-06-13 2014-06-13 https://web.archive.org/web/20140613174938/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-once-again-kathleen-wynne-settles-the-debate-1.2674369 live Tim Hudak announced that he is stepping down from his leadership of the PC party.http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-tim-hudak-to-step-down-as-pc-leader-1.2674255 Tim Hudak to step down as PC leader 2014-06-13 2014-06-13 https://web.archive.org/web/20140613195850/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-election-2014-tim-hudak-to-step-down-as-pc-leader-1.2674255 live Later in June a judicial recount award the Thornhill seat, declared for the Liberal on election night,Verstraten Katelyn Ontario election reversal: Thornhill goes PC, not Liberal, after "data entry error" https://www.thestar.com/news/ontario_election/2014/06/14/ontario_election_reversal_thornhill_goes_pc_not_liberal_after_data_entry_error.html Toronto Star 14 June 2014 Torstar 15 June 2014 16 June 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140616014814/http://www.thestar.com/news/ontario_election/2014/06/14/ontario_election_reversal_thornhill_goes_pc_not_liberal_after_data_entry_error.html live to the Progressive Conservatives.Ontario election reversal: Thornhill goes PC, not Liberal, after "data entry error" https://toronto.citynews.ca/2014/06/24/thornhill-riding-remains-pc-after-judge-confirms-recount/ CityNews June 24, 2014 2015-09-26 2015-09-27 https://web.archive.org/web/20150927203612/http://www.citynews.ca/2014/06/24/thornhill-riding-remains-pc-after-judge-confirms-recount/ live Changes in party standing and membership 40th Parliament of Ontario Summary of changes in party standing 40th Parliament of Ontario Changes of membership or partisan affiliations Incumbents declined seeking re-election With numerous veterans of the McGuinty ministry having resigned during the 40th Parliament, the number of incumbent retiring at the general election was relatively small. Seven incumbent MPPs opted not to seek re-election in 2014. Five Liberals, four having served in the McGuinty ministry, announced their intention not to seek re-election months in advance of the general election, though there were reported effort in asking some of them to reconsider. Former Conservative minister Frank Klees, a one-time leadership rival to Conservative leader Tim Hudak, and long time MPP John O'Toole, father of then federal minister and future national Conservative Party leader Erin O'Toole rounded out the list of seven. These retirement resulted in three seats changing hands. The governing Liberals picked up the seats of both retiring conservatives, both located in the Greater Toronto Area, in upset victories. While not unexpected, their loss of Sudbury, held by former minister Rick Bartolucci since 1995, was viewed as proof point for the star power of incumbency especially in communities outside of Toronto and Ottawa. The electoral district of Sudbury and the Liberals pursuit in building incumbency advantage would become a major storyline in the 41st parliament. Electoral districtIncumbent at dissolution and subsequent nomineeNew MPPDurham  John O'TooleTwo veteran Ontario politicians say they won't run in next election https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/article/two-veteran-ontario-politicians-say-they-wont-run-in-next-election/ March 2, 2014 CTV news February 28, 2014 March 1, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140301015914/http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/two-veteran-ontario-politicians-say-they-won-t-run-in-next-election-1.1708277 liveMike Patrick  Granville AndersonEtobicoke Centre  Donna CansfieldCansfield on the brink of making history https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2011/11/20/cansfield_on_the_brink_of_making_history.html October 14, 2013 Toronto Star November 20, 2011 March 3, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160303224240/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2011/11/20/cansfield_on_the_brink_of_making_history.html liveYvan Baker  Yvan BakerKingston and the Islands  John GerretsenMPP Gerretsen will not run in next provincial election http://www.ckwstv.com/news/kingston/story.aspx?ID=2066729 October 25, 2013 CKWS October 25, 2013 October 29, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20131029195335/http://www.ckwstv.com/news/kingston/story.aspx?ID=2066729 liveSophie Kiwala  Sophie KiwalaKitchener Centre  John MilloyJohn Milloy, Veteran Ontario Liberal Cabinet Minister, Won't Run Again http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2014/02/28/john-milloy-kathleen-wynne-ontario-liberals_n_4874423.html March 2, 2014 Huffington Post February 28, 2014 September 24, 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150924051850/http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2014/02/28/john-milloy-kathleen-wynne-ontario-liberals_n_4874423.html liveDaiene Vernile  Daiene VernileNewmarket—Aurora  Frank KleesMPP Frank Klees won't seek re-election https://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/01/21/mpp_frank_klees_wont_seek_reelection.html January 21, 2014 Toronto Star January 21, 2014 January 22, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140122053328/http://www.thestar.com/news/queenspark/2014/01/21/mpp_frank_klees_wont_seek_reelection.html liveStatement by Newmarket - Aurora MPP Frank Klees https://web.archive.org/web/20140201184207/http://origin.library.constantcontact.com/download/get/file/1109991857454-53/Statement+by+MPP+Frank+Klees.pdf 2014-02-01 , dated: January 21, 2014, retrieved May 28, 2014Jane Twinney  Chris BallardOttawa—Orléans  Phil McNeelyChanging of the Liberal Guard http://blogs.ottawacitizen.com/2013/01/28/changing-of-the-liberal-guard/ February 6, 2013 Ottawa Citizen January 28, 2013 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20130131001052/http://blogs.ottawacitizen.com/2013/01/28/changing-of-the-liberal-guard/ January 31, 2013Marie-France Lalonde  Marie-France LalondeSudbury  Rick BartolucciRick Bartolucci makes 'family decision' to leave politics https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sudbury/rick-bartolucci-makes-family-decision-to-leave-politics-1.1359586 February 7, 2013 Canadian Broadcasting Corporation February 7, 2013 February 8, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20130208054905/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/sudbury/story/2013/02/07/sby-bartolucci-resigns-liberal-cabinet-sudbury-mpp.html liveAndrew Olivier  Joe Cimino All 21 NDP incumbents, along with 43 incumbent Liberals and 35 incumbent Progressive Conservatives, stood in the General Election. Top level summary of election outcome This table tracked the key changes in parliarmary dynicmic in the lead up to the election, and provide a summary of the election results for the four main parties, together having captured 98.5% of the popular votes. More detailed results and more extensive analysis can be found in sections below, following the section covering the election campaign. +↓ 58 28 21 ON Liberal Liberal ON PC PC ON NDP NDP Party Leader 40th Parliament 41st 2014 pop. votes 2011Elxn 2012Oct October 15 2012 prorogation of 1st session, upon announcement of McGuinty ministry's pending resignation 2013Feb February 19, 2013 convocation of 2nd session with Wynne ministry in office 2014Feb February 18, 2014 when parliament resumed after winter adjournment dis. At the dissolution of parliament on May 2, 2014 2014Elxn Δ # # Δ% % Δ Liberal Kathleen Wynne 53 53 51 49 48 58 5 1,863,974 238,872 38.67 1.02 Progressive Conservative Tim Hudak 37 36 36 37 37 28 9 1,505,436 24,640 31.23 4.22 New Democratic Andrea Horwath 17 18 18 20 21 21 4 1,144,822 168,573 23.75 1.01 Green Mike Schreiner – – – 235,911 109,890 4.89 1.97 Other (Sum of)187 other candidates were on the ballots of 93 electoral districts – – vac vacancy2 vac2 vac 1 – 70,404 11,470 1.46 0.22 Total Valid 4,820,547 504,165 Rejected/Unmarked 35,009 16,909 ofTO % of total voter turnout0.72 0.30 Declined 29,937 27,602 ofTO0.61 0.05 References:Turnout 4,885,493 548,676 51.29 3.11 Elections Ontario EO ChartsRegistered Voters 9,526,031 525,656 5.84 Campaign Issues Economy Unemployment in Ontario was a major political issue. In particular, the manufacturing sector had shrunk by about 30% or more than 300,000 jobs since 2002. The future looks bleak for Ontario's manufacturing sector theglobeandmail.com The Globe and Mail 2013 2014-05-28 https://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/the-future-looks-bleak-for-ontarios-manufacturing-sector/article16132219/ https://web.archive.org/web/20140610201220/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/the-future-looks-bleak-for-ontarios-manufacturing-sector/article16132219/ 2014-06-10 live The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario proposed a plan called "Million Jobs Plan", outlining their strategy for job creation and economic growth. By reducing tax, government services, energy costs and regulations the PCs projected to create a cumulative 507,488 jobs over eight years. How the Ontario Tories screwed up the 'Million Jobs Plan' theglobeandmail.com The Globe and Mail 2014 2014-05-28 https://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/top-business-stories/how-the-ontario-tories-screwed-up-the-million-jobs-plan/article18882930/ https://web.archive.org/web/20140610201516/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/top-business-stories/how-the-ontario-tories-screwed-up-the-million-jobs-plan/article18882930/ 2014-06-10 live The plan also called for the reduction of 100,000 civil service jobs. Economists and critics noted fundamental mathematical errors with the PCs' projections. They held, even if the PCs' own data were correctly tabulated, only 50,000 extra jobs would be created (in addition to the 500,000 that would be created anyway without any policy change). Tim Hudak defends math used in PCs' million jobs plan cbc.ca CBC 2014 2014-05-19 http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/tim-hudak-defends-math-used-in-pcs-million-jobs-plan-1.2657108 https://web.archive.org/web/20140610201703/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/tim-hudak-defends-math-used-in-pcs-million-jobs-plan-1.2657108 2014-06-10 live The Ontario Liberal Party proposed the 10 year "Jobs and Investment Plan", which proposed infrastructure investments as their main strategy to create jobs. 2014 Ontario Liberal Party Platform ontarioliberalplan.ca Ontario Liberal Party 2014 2014-05-19 http://ontarioliberalplan.ca/jobs/ https://web.archive.org/web/20140610201845/http://ontarioliberalplan.ca/jobs/ 2014-06-10 dead The Ontario New Democratic Party platform called for targeted tax credits and incentives to encourage job creation. 2014 Ontario New Democratic Party Platform ontarioliberalplan.ca Ontario New Democratic Party 2014 2014-05-19 http://ourplan.ontariondp.ca/?source=homepage https://web.archive.org/web/20140610202054/http://ourplan.ontariondp.ca/?source=homepage 2014-06-10 dead The Green Party of Ontario policy proposal stated that it would "focus on your job by lowering payroll taxes for small businesses" as well as investing in transit infrastructure and subsidising energy-saving home improvements. 2014 Ontario Green Party Platform gpo.ca Ontario Green Party 2014 2014-05-19 http://www.gpo.ca/sites/gpo.ca/files/gpo_platform_2014_web.pdf https://web.archive.org/web/20140610202315/http://www.gpo.ca/sites/gpo.ca/files/gpo_platform_2014_web.pdf 2014-06-10 dead The Ontario Libertarian Party called for mass privatization, lower taxes and general deregulation, eliminating many business requirements such as permitting, insurance and certification that they considered to be interfering with job creation.2014 Libertarian Platform – Jobs: Secure & Rewarding http://libertarian.on.ca/2013-2014-platform/jobs-secure-rewarding Ontario Libertarian Party 2014-06-10 https://web.archive.org/web/20140610200606/http://libertarian.on.ca/2013-2014-platform/budget-lower-simplified 2014-06-10 live Their platform called for government spending to be limited to "only core functions of government; defending life, liberty, and property"2014 Libertarian Platform – Budget: Lower & Simplified http://libertarian.on.ca/2013-2014-platform/budget-lower-simplified Ontario Libertarian Party 2014-06-10 https://web.archive.org/web/20140610200712/http://libertarian.on.ca/2013-2014-platform/jobs-secure-rewarding 2014-06-10 live and as such would have eliminated industry subsidies or incentives of any kind, particularly in the energy sector.2014 Libertarian Platform – Energy: Cheaper & Abundant http://libertarian.on.ca/2013-2014-platform/energy-cheaper-abundant Ontario Libertarian Party 2014-06-10 https://web.archive.org/web/20140610200823/http://libertarian.on.ca/2013-2014-platform/energy-cheaper-abundant 2014-06-10 live The Communist Party of Ontario called for raising the minimum wage to $19/hr as well as introducing a guaranteed annual income, nationalization of the domestic steel industry, and investments in public housing, infrastructure and social programs, while shifting taxes from lower to higher income-earners and businesses. 2014 Ontario Communist Party Platform communistpartyontario.ca Communist Party of Canada (Ontario) 2014 2014-05-19 http://communistpartyontario.ca/?page_id=139 https://web.archive.org/web/20140610202429/http://communistpartyontario.ca/?page_id=139 2014-06-10 live Transit Due to rapid urban and suburban expansion in southern Ontario, traffic congestion had been increasing greatly. A 2013 study by the CD Howe Institute determined that it was costing $7.5-11 billion annually for the economy of Toronto alone.Toronto gridlock may cost economy up to $11B, C.D. Howe says https://web.archive.org/web/20140516044524/http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/toronto-gridlock-may-cost-economy-up-to-11b-c-d-howe-says-1.1394574 2014-05-16 . CBC. 2013-07-13.Gridlock is costing Toronto up to $11 billion yearly—here's how to fix it https://web.archive.org/web/20140514135343/http://www.canadianbusiness.com/economy/the-end-of-gridlock/ 2014-05-14 . Canadian Business. 2013-07-11. The Liberals promised $29 billion in infrastructure spending, $15 billion of which would go towards building new transit (mostly LRT) lines in the GTHA, based on the outline of Metrolinx's The Big Move plan, as well as an LRT in Ottawa.Ontario parties' transit plans reveal politics and paralysis https://web.archive.org/web/20140608030941/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/ontario-parties-transit-plans-reveal-politics-and-paralysis-1.2656386 2014-06-08 . CBC. 2014-05-28Majority gives Liberals freer hand with public transit https://web.archive.org/web/20170411050906/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/majority-gives-liberals-freer-hand-with-public-transit/article19151353/ 2017-04-11 . The Globe and Mail. 2014-06-13. A high-speed rail line crossing the province from the southeast into Quebec was also planned. The PCs promised to finish building the Eglinton Crosstown, but cancel all the other planned lines, and instead focus on quickly expanding GO service.Tim Hudak vows to scrap light rail lines, cancel GO electrification https://web.archive.org/web/20140530015322/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/tim-hudak-vows-to-scrap-light-rail-lines-cancel-go-electrification-1.2645690 2014-05-30 . CBC. 2014-05-16 The NDP plan was similar to the Liberal plan, but included an extra $1 billion to get certain projects built faster. Endorsements Media endorsements The following media outlets made endorsements during the campaign: Liberal Toronto Starhttps://web.archive.org/web/20140608154825/http://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/2014/06/06/kathleen_wynne_has_earned_a_fresh_mandate_in_ontario_editorial.html 2014-06-08 live https://www.thestar.com/opinion/editorials/2014/06/06/kathleen_wynne_has_earned_a_fresh_mandate_in_ontario_editorial.html Kathleen Wynne has earned a fresh mandate in Ontario: Editorial Toronto Star 2014-06-06 2014-06-06 Nowhttps://web.archive.org/web/20140608155302/http://www.nowtoronto.com/news/story.cfm?content=198332 2014-06-08 live http://www.nowtoronto.com/news/story.cfm?content=198332 The best pro-social outcome June 12 is a Wynne gov Now 2014-06-05 2014-06-08 Torontoisthttp://torontoist.com/2014/06/in-this-provincial-election-sigh-the-liberals/ In this provincial election: (sigh) The Liberals – Much to our chagrin, the only endorsement we can make. Torontoist 2014-06-09 2014-06-10 2014-06-13 https://web.archive.org/web/20140613005747/http://torontoist.com/2014/06/in-this-provincial-election-sigh-the-liberals/ live Progressive Conservative Burlington Post,http://www.insidehalton.com/opinion-story/4556113-time-for-change/ EDITORIAL: Time for change Burlington Post, a division of Metroland Media Group 2014-06-03 2014-06-04 2014-06-06 https://web.archive.org/web/20140606223834/http://www.insidehalton.com/opinion-story/4556113-time-for-change/ live The Flamborough Review,http://www.flamboroughreview.com/opinion/its-time-for-a-change/ It's time for a change Metroland Media Group 2014-06-05 2014-06-10 https://web.archive.org/web/20140715001350/http://www.flamboroughreview.com/opinion/its-time-for-a-change/ 2014-07-15 dead Oakville Beaverhttp://www.insidehalton.com/opinion-story/4556048-it-s-time-for-a-change/ EDITORIAL: It's time for a change Oakville Beaver, a division of Metroland Media Group 2014-06-03 https://web.archive.org/web/20140608160110/http://www.insidehalton.com/opinion-story/4556048-it-s-time-for-a-change/ 2014-06-08 live 2014-06-05 Same editorial printed in several papers The Globe and Mailhttps://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-debate/editorials/ontario-election-part-4-for-a-conservative-minority/article19047636/ Ontario election, part 4: For a Conservative minority The Globe and Mail 2014-06-06 https://web.archive.org/web/20140608155741/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-debate/editorials/ontario-election-part-4-for-a-conservative-minority/article19047636/ 2014-06-08 live 2014-06-06"minority" endorsing a minority government National Posthttps://nationalpost.com/opinion/national-post-editorial-board-a-conservative-government-for-ontario https://archive.today/20140607121701/http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2014/06/07/national-post-editorial-board-a-conservative-government-for-ontario/ live 2014-06-07 National Post editorial board: A Conservative government for Ontario National Post 2014-06-07 2014-06-07 Ottawa Citizenhttps://ottawacitizen.com/news/politics/editorial-a-new-direction-for-ontario Editorial: A new direction for Ontario Ottawa Citizen 2014-06-09 2014-06-09 2014-06-12 https://web.archive.org/web/20140612013923/http://ottawacitizen.com/news/politics/editorial-a-new-direction-for-ontario live Toronto Sun,http://www.torontosun.com/2014/06/08/we-endorse-tim-hudak-for-ontario/ Editorial: We endorse Tim Hudak, for Ontario Toronto Sun a member of Canoe Sun Media 2014-06-08 2014-06-08 2014-06-08 https://web.archive.org/web/20140608160224/http://www.torontosun.com/2014/06/08/we-endorse-tim-hudak-for-ontario/ live Ottawa SunEditorial: We endorse Tim Hudak, for Ontario http://www.ottawasun.com/2014/06/08/we-endorse-tim-hudak-for-ontario Ottawa Sun a member of Canoe Sun Media 2014-06-10 2014-06-08 2014-07-14 https://web.archive.org/web/20140714120117/http://www.ottawasun.com/2014/06/08/we-endorse-tim-hudak-for-ontario live Identical editorial printed in multiple cities Windsor Starhttp://blogs.windsorstar.com/2014/06/04/the-stars-view-hudak-has-the-right-plan-to-restore-ontarios-economic-health/ The Star's View: Hudak has the right plan to restore Ontario's economic health Windsor Star 2014-06-04 https://web.archive.org/web/20140608160319/http://blogs.windsorstar.com/2014/06/04/the-stars-view-hudak-has-the-right-plan-to-restore-ontarios-economic-health/ 2014-06-08 live 2014-06-04 New Democratic Party Sudbury Star The NDP - for now 2014-06-10 http://www.thesudburystar.com/2014/06/10/editorial-the-ndp---for-now Sudbury Star 2014-06-11 2014-06-11 https://web.archive.org/web/20140611144427/http://www.thesudburystar.com/2014/06/10/editorial-the-ndp---for-now live "minority" Explicitly not endorsing any party Hamilton Spectator"The Spectator's View: Picking the least unappealing option" https://web.archive.org/web/20181116054644/https://www.thespec.com/opinion-story/4569491-the-spectator-s-view-picking-the-least-unappealing-option/ 2018-11-16 . Hamilton Spectator, June 11, 2014 The Kitchener-Waterloo Recordhttp://www.therecord.com/opinion-story/4565260-stark-choices-for-ontario-voters/ 2014-06-07 Stark choices for Ontario voters The Kitchener-Waterloo Record, a division of Metroland Media Group 2014-06-09 2014-06-13 https://web.archive.org/web/20140613013936/http://www.therecord.com/opinion-story/4565260-stark-choices-for-ontario-voters live Public figure endorsements Deputy Mayor of Toronto, and acting mayor, Norm Kelly endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.Don Peat Deputy Mayor Norm Kelly endorses Wynne http://www.torontosun.com/2014/06/05/deputy-mayor-norm-kelly-endorses-wynne Toronto Sun 2014-06-05 2014-06-10 2014-06-11 https://web.archive.org/web/20140611005549/http://www.torontosun.com/2014/06/05/deputy-mayor-norm-kelly-endorses-wynne live Mayor of Mississauga, Hazel McCallion endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.Mississauga Mayor Hazel McCallion endorses Kathleen Wynne https://web.archive.org/web/20220323052840/https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-votes-2014/mississauga-mayor-hazel-mccallion-endorses-kathleen-wynne-1.2642660 2022-03-23 . CBC News. 2014-05-14. Mayor of Kitchener, Carl Zehr endorsed Liberal leader Kathleen Wynne.Kitchener Mayor Carl Zehr endorses Kathleen Wynne http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/kitchener-waterloo/kitchener-mayor-carl-zehr-endorses-kathleen-wynne-1.2669036 CBC 2014-06-09 2014-06-11 2014-06-12 https://web.archive.org/web/20140612021154/http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/kitchener-waterloo/kitchener-mayor-carl-zehr-endorses-kathleen-wynne-1.2669036 live Elections Results +Results of the 2014 Ontario general electionPartyParty leaderCand. Candidates nominated SeatsPopular voteGraphics & Charts https://results.elections.on.ca/en/graphics-charts 2021-12-28 results.elections.on.ca 2021-11-05 https://web.archive.org/web/20211105170913/https://results.elections.on.ca/en/graphics-charts live http://wemakevotingeasy.ca/en/general-election-results.aspx Elections Ontario - General Election Results 2014-07-12 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20140625105441/http://wemakevotingeasy.ca/en/general-election-results.aspx 2014-06-25 2011 dis. at dissolution of parliament on May 2, 2014 2014   #  %   Liberal Kathleen Wynne1075348585 1,863,974238,872 38.671.02 Progressive Conservative Tim Hudak1073737289 1,505,43624,640 31.234.22 New Democratic Andrea Horwath1071721214 1,144,822 168,573 23.751.01 Green Mike Schreiner107 – – – –235,911109,890 4.891.97 Libertarian Allen Small 74 37,696 18,249 0.78 0.42 Freedom Paul McKeever 4211,835 2,677 0.25 0.06 Family Coalition Eric Ames (interim) 64,287 -5,237 0.09 0.13 None of the Above Greg Vezina 84,092 – 0.08 – Independent 14 3,816 -4,483 0.08 0.10 Communist Elizabeth Rowley11 2,081 919 0.04 0.02 Canadians' Choice Bahman Yazdanfar41287 1,131 0.03 0.03 Vegan Environmental Paul Figueiras5871 500 0.02 0.01 People's Political Kevin Clarke5866 – 0.02 0.01 Northern Ontario Heritage Edward Deibel 3834 195 0.02 0.00 Special Needs Danish Ahmed 3714 47 0.01 0.00 Confederation of the Regions vacant 2549 -10 0.01 0.00 Trillium Bob Yaciuk 2 368 – 0.01 – Equal Parenting Dennis Valenta 2 362 – 0.01 – Socialist Michael Laxer 2 296 -151 0.01 0.00 Moderate Yuri Duboisky 2 268 – 0.01 – Pauper John Turmel 3182 -344 0.000.01 Total Valid 4,820,547 504,165 Rejected/Unmarked 35,009 16,909 ofTO % of total voter turnout0.72 0.30 Declined 29,937 27,602 ofTO0.61 0.05 References:Turnout 4,885,493 548,676 51.29 3.11 Elections Ontario EO ChartsRegistered Voters 9,526,031 525,656 5.84 Polling results released by various polling firms projected a competitive election for much of the campaign period. However, as the campaign entered its final week, most reports gave the Liberal a small lead, and the final polling results released by all polling firms with established media presence put the Liberals a few points ahead of the Progressive Conservative for voting intention. Therefore, few were greatly surprised by the overall elections results reported on election night. With all polls having reported, the preliminary election night results shows Liberal Party having won 59 seats, giving them a ten-seats majority over the Conservative Party and the NDP respectively with 27 seats and 21 seats. Two locales of recent by-election losses gave the Liberals particular reasons to celebrate. In the rematch in Etobicoke—Lakeshore, Peter Milczyn overturned 4-point byelection defeat less than a year earlier to a comfortable 13-point victory, ousting his former city council colleague Doug Holyday. The re-match in Thornhill remained too close to call throughout the evening. The last riding outstanding for the entire province on election night, it was declared for Liberal Sandra Yeung-Rocco, who suffered a 6-points, 1800-vote by-election defeat just four months, with an 85-vote margin. The celebration was however short-lived, with a transposition error being discovered during the poll report tabulation Elections Ontario discovering a major transcription error the following days, which gave a 85-vote victory back to PC's Gila Martow. Given the dramatic reverse of fortune, the Ontario Court of Justice granted a recount for Thornhill despite the margin being well outside of the normal range for recount to be granted.Yeung Racco v. Martow et al., 2014 ONCJ 498 https://canlii.ca/t/gdr62 2014 498 2014-06-18 auto OCJ oncj The recount confirmed Martow's victory, and she was seated on July 8, 2014, a week later than other MPPs.OLA 2016 Seats changed hands, incumbent defeated When compared to the previous general election in 2011, the 2014 election saw control for 17 seats shifting from one party to another. The Liberals and the NDP scored gains against each others, while both also claimed seats from the Progressive Conservatives. The PC was the singular loser in this general election, having lost seven seats to the Liberals, and two the NDP when compared to 2011, and was unable to retain the one seat they gained in the byelection. Interestingly, of the eleven seats the PC Party gained in 2011, nine remained in the PC column in 2014, losing only Barrie and Northumberland. Northumberland was notable as it was recaptured by former member Lou Rinaldi, a conscientious constituency worker who maintained heavy presence in the community despite the defeated. Other than those two seats, the other six seats lost were all seats firmly held since at least the start of the Harris ministry. In the case of Burlington, the seat was in the Conservative column since the end of WWII. Four of the 17 seat transfers, three from the Liberals (London West, Niagara Falls, Windsor—Tecumseh) and one from Progressive Conservative (Kitchener—Waterloo ) all gains secured by the NDP, were already actualized earlier through by-elections, and the NDP were able to retain them and further build their margins of victory. As noted in the last section, Peter Milczyn recaptured Etobicoke—Lakeshore, the one seat the Liberals lost to the Progressive Conservative in 2013. According, only fourteen seats actually change hands at the general election. In the general election, the NDP captured two seats from the Liberals and one from the Progressive Conservatives. Following their 40-point by-election wins in Windsor Tecumseh in 2013, NDP Lisa Gretzky met a resilient campaign by Liberal children and youth services minister Teresa Piruzza, captured the seat with less than three points and causing the only casualty for the Wynne ministry. With little fanfare, the NDP also captured Oshawa, a constituency with symbolic significance given the heavy presence of unionized autoworkers. Having endured repeated prediction of political demise and survived intense challenges by various prominent labour leaders with national profile, Progressive Conservative Jerry Ouellette, a one time cabinet minister, finally succumbed to electoral defeat in the hands of school teacher Jennifer French. The third victory came from Sudbury, an open seat following the retirement of long time Liberal minister Rick Bartolucci. The NDP however lost three downtown Toronto seats to the Liberal Party, two of them held since their time in government in the early 1990s. The bigger than expected defeat of Rosario Marchese, a one-time minister in the Rae ministry, foreshadowed the massive Liberal victory in a federal byelection held in the same district a few weeks later. In Beaches-East York the popular former East York mayor Michael Prue put up a much more vigorous fight, losing the long held NDP riding by a 1-point margin. + Seat changed hands from 2011 Electoral district Incumbent Held since Held since by incumbent, and by party Swing % Swing to winning party Winner* Barrie Rod Jackson 2011 2011 5.22% Ann Hoggarth Beaches—East York Michael Prue 1975 2001 5.93% Arthur Potts Burlington Jane McKenna 2011 1943 5.38% Eleanor McMahon Cambridge Rob Leone 2011 1995 5.49% Kathryn McGarry Davenport Jonah Schein 2011 4.99% Cristina Martins Durham open seat (retired: John O'Tool) open 1995 10.94% Granville Anderson Etobicoke—Lakeshore Doug Holyday 2013 8.79% Peter MilczynRecaptured of seat lost in 2013 by-electionHalton Ted Chudleigh 1995 6.51% Indira Naidoo-Harris Kitchener—Waterloo open seat (retired: Elizabeth Witmer) open 1990 13.28% Catherine Fifebyelex London West open seat (retired: Christopher Bentley) open 2003 9.27% Peggy SattlerSeat changed hand via by-election prior to 2014 general election byelex Newmarket—Aurora open seat (retired: Frank Klees) open 1995 9.07% Chris Ballard Niagara Falls open seat (retired: Kim Craitor) open 2003 11.56% Wayne GatesbyelexNorthumberland—Quinte West Rob Milligan 2011 4.30% Lou Rinaldipreviously defeated former member recaptured seat Oshawa Jerry Ouellette 1995 1995 11.12% Jennifer French Sudbury open seat (retired: Rick Bartolucci) open 1995 2.27% Joe Cimino Trinity—Spadina Rosario Marchese 1990 9.10% Han Dong Windsor—Tecumseh open seat (retired: Dwight Duncan) open 1995 24.33% Percy Hatfieldbyelex Windsor West Teresa Piruzza 2011 1995 6.65% Lisa Gretzky + 2014 Ontario general election - seats won/lost by party, 2011-2014PartyTotal seatsat start of40th ParliamentGain from (loss to)Total seatsat start of41st ParliamentLiberalProgressive ConservativeNew Democratic Liberal 53 73(5) 58 Progressive Conservative 37 (7) (2) 28 New Democratic17 5 (3) 2 21 Total 107 5 (10)9 3 (7) 107 + 2014 Ontario general election - camposition of 41st Parliament by types of election outcome PartyHeld (by same party as 2011) Gained (changed hands since 2011) Total seatsat start of41st ParliamentIncumbentre-elected New memberretained Reversedby-elxn lossOustedincumbent Capturedopen seat Byelxn gainretained Liberal 425182 58 Progressive Conservative28 28 New Democratic 14 21421 Total84511034107 Pairing off the top three parties, swings were calculated to be: PC to Liberal: 2.6% PC to NDP: 2.6% Liberal to NDP: insignificant Marginal seats The following seats had a margin of victory of less than 5 percentage points in the election: Marginal constituencies (Ontario general election, 2014) https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2014/historical-results/2014/Valid%20Votes%20Cast%20for%20Each%20Candidate%20-%202014%20General%20Election.pdf Summary of Valid Votes cast for each Candidate June 12, 2014 Elections Ontario May 13, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20171212084151/https://www.elections.on.ca/content/dam/NGW/sitecontent/2014/historical-results/2014/Valid%20Votes%20Cast%20for%20Each%20Candidate%20-%202014%20General%20Election.pdf December 12, 2017 deadConstituency Rank of parties MarginsResult1st 2nd 3rd 1st vs 2nd 1st vs 3rdBarrie 40.7% 36.1% 16.3% 4.6% 24.4%  Lib gainBeaches—East York 40.1% 39.0% 13.9% 1.1% 26.2%  Lib gainDurham 36.5% 34.3% 24.1% 2.2% 12.4%  Lib gainKitchener—Conestoga 36.4% 33.3% 21.2% 3.1% 15.2%  PC holdParkdale—High Park 40.8% 40.0% 12.8% 0.8% 28.0%  NDP holdSudbury 42.2% 39.4% 13.8% 2.8% 28.4%  NDP gainThornhill 44.0% 43.8% 8.1% 0.2% 35.9%  PC holdWindsor West 41.4% 38.5% 14.4% 2.9% 27.0%  NDP gain Vote efficiency analysis Party Votes Seats votes per seat(variance) Avg votes received all elected defeatedON Liberal row-name 1,863,974100 38.67 #EA6D6A58100 54.21 #EA6D6A 132,137.9-28.6%17,420.321873.612149.1ON PC row-name 1,505,436100 31.23 #99F28100 26.17 #99F 153,765.6+19.3%14,069.520958.011628.0ON NDP row-name 1,144,822100 23.75 #F4A46021100 19.63 #F4A460 154,515.3+21.0%10,699.319283.88603.0ON Green row-name 235,911100 4.89 #9C50100 0 #99C955 1∞ 2204.8 n/a 2204.8 Others 70,404100 0.78 #DDD0100 0 #DDD 1∞ 376.5 n/a 376.5 Total 4,820,547 107 45,051.84-7,838.3 21,125.75,039.6 thumb|right|Gallagher index for the results of the Ontario general election, 2014. There is significant distortion noted in the Liberal results. Vote and seat shares comparison #ddd 600px 400px Lib - vote share ON Liberal 38.67 Lib - seat share ON Liberal 54.21 PC - vote share ON PC 31.23 PC - seat share ON PC 26.17 NDP - vote share ON NDP 23.75 NDP - seat share ON NDP 19.63 Green - vote share ON Green 4.89 Green - seat share ON Green 0.00 Others - vote share ON Independent 1.46Others - vote share ON Independent 0.00 Summary analysis thumb|Number of seats held by party in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario (2014). thumb|Retention swing analysis between parties for the 2014 Ontario general election, compared to the results from the previous 2011 election. Popular vote #ddd 400px party year votes change Liberal 2011 silver 37.65 2014 #EA6D6A 38.67 +1.02pp Conservative 2011 silver 35.45 2014 #9999FF 31.23 -4.22pp NDP 2011 silver 22.74 2014 sandybrown 23.75 +1.01pp Green 2011 silver 2.92 2014 #2F873E 4.89 +1.97pp Libertarian 2011 silver 0.45 2014 #f2ba00 0.78 +0.33pp Others 2011 silver 0.79 2014 gray 0.68 -0.11pp Principal races + Party candidates in 2nd place Party in 1st place Party in 2nd place TotalLibPCNDPON Liberal row-name – 43 15 58ON PC row-name 22 – 6 28ON NDP row-name 14 7 – 21 Total36 50 21 107 + Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results Parties SeatsON Liberal colour&nameON PC colour&name65ON Liberal colour&nameON NDP colour&name29ON PC colour&nameON NDP colour&name13 Total107 Ternary plots - shift of electoral support (2011-2014) 350 200 yes center File:Ternary ON2011.svg 2011 Ternary plot of 2011 results File:Ternary ON2014.svg 2014 Ternary plot of 2014 results Electoral districts identified by colours of winning parties Results by region Ontario does not have official regional divisions that are universally accepted or broadly applied. Different regional definition are used informally by different organizations, media outlets and even different ministries within the Government of Ontario. Such definitions also evolve over time to reflect shift of population and economic growth. For the analysis in this section, the province is divided into five region – North, East, GTA, Toronto and Southwest, each roughly corresponding to a postal region. Specific regional and sub-regional assignments of electoral districts are done informally for ease of analysis, and are listed in the tables in the #Results by electoral district section. The province-wide results had the Liberals gaining 5 seats and the NDP gaining four both from the PC. The regional results gave a more nuance picture that highlight some longer term trends. The Liberals make significant gains in GTA, but lost significant grounds in Southwest and in the North. + 2014 Ontario general election - seat count by regionRegionSouthwest GTA TorontoEast North Total # of Seats(% of Legislature)23(21.5%)34(31.7%)22(20.6%)17(15.9%)11(10.3%)107 Liberal 5 2 21 4 20 3 9 1 3 1 58 5 PC 122 66 81 2 289 NDP 64 72 23 61 214 +Shares of total vote tally, by regionRegionSouthwest GTA TorontoEast North Total # of Seats(% of Legislature)23(21.5%)34(31.7%) 22(20.6%)17(15.9%)11(10.3%)107 Share of votes from all electoral districts, by region calculated based on raw sum, not weighted by electoral districts Liberal28.42 4.53 40.05 2.52 49.08 1.76 39.19 2.63 33.89 3.49 38.67 1.02 PC 33.83 6.28 32.53 5.06 23.04 0.81 37.98 4.18 20.87 7.35 31.234.22 NDP 29.37 7.03 21.74 1.14 22.42 3.51 16.66 0.64 38.83 0.92 23.751.01 Green 6.67 3.32 4.14 1.30 3.89 1.53 5.24 2.12 5.10 2.19 4.89 1.97 Sum of tallies from all electoral districts, by region Liberal294,243687,532439,900333,430108,8691,863,974 PC350,206558,518206,504323,15167,0571,505,436 NDP304,038373,324200,996141,722124,7421,144,822 Green 69,037 71,005 34,879 44,604 16,386 235,911 Total Valid1,035,3151,716,862 896,360850,771 321,239 4,820,547 + 2014 Ontario general election - seat count by sub-regionPartySouthwest - 23 GTA - 34 Toronto - 22East - 17 North TotalSouthwest London to Windsor10Midwest Midwestern - Bruce, Grey, Huron, Perth; Wellington and Dufferin are counted under Waterloo-Wellington6W-W Waterloo and Wellington7Ham & N Hamilton-Wentworth and Niagara8P&H Peel & Halton11DYS Durham, York & Simcoe15City Pre-amalgamation City of Toronto9Metro Scarborough, North York & Etobocike13East All area east of Durham region except for Ottawa10Ottawa7North11 Lib1 3 1 3 1 2 1 102 9 3 7 3 13 4 1 5 3 1 585 PC 4 5 32 1 2 54 61 2 2 289 NDP53 11 51 1 11 23 61 214 +Shares of total vote tally, by sub-region (Southwestern, Eastern, Northern Ontario)PartySouthwest - 23 East - 17 North Southwest London to Windsor10Midwest Midwestern - Bruce, Grey, Huron, Perth; Wellington and Dufferin are counted under Waterloo-Wellington6W-W Waterloo and Wellington7East All area east of Durham region except for Ottawa10Ottawa7North11 Lib22.92 10.90 28.66 1.03 35.20 0.72 34.94 2.20 44.63 3.13 33.89 3.49 PC 29.91 5.26 41.84% 4.67 32.51 8.99 40.54 4.80 34.72 3.33 20.87 7.35 NDP 40.04 12.49 22.45 3.78 21.26 2.96 18.98 0.78 13.69 2.45 38.83 0.92 Green 5.33 2.91 5.07 2.04 9.62 4.76 4.62 1.66 6.03 2.70 5.10 2.19 Sum of tallies from all electoral districts, by sub-region Liberal98,53476,281119,428166,831166,599108,869 PC128,580111,334110,292193,577129,57467,057 NDP172,16359,74572,13090,62951,093124,742 Green22,90213,50332,63222,08422,52016,386 Total Valid429,942266,120339,253477,523373,248321,239 +Shares of total vote tally, by sub-region (City of Toronto and Greater Toronto Area)PartyGTA - 34 Toronto - 22Ham & N Hamilton-Wentworth and Niagara8P&H Peel & Halton11DYS Durham, York & Simcoe15City Pre-amalgamation City of Toronto9Metro Scarborough, North York & Etobocike13 Lib29.10 1.72 45.962.52 41.21 4.29 48.09 3.55 49.870.38 PC 28.01 2.92 29.77 5.37 36.65 6.17 16.52 1.20 28.30 0.58 NDP 36.60 2.45 18.72 1.45 16.67 0.83 28.63 7.25 17.42 0.71 Green 4.70 2.31 3.41 0.85 4.37 1.10 4.98 2.04 3.02 1.10 Sum of tallies from all electoral districts, by sub-region Liberal110,735252,638324,159192,413247,487 PC106,621163,605288,29266,074140,430 NDP139,306102,889 131,129114,53286,464 Green17,88918,75734,35919,91214,967 Total Valid380,593549,640786,629400,076496,284 Strength Maps Electoral district results & analysis Results of the 2014 Ontario general election by riding Elected members, winning tallies, and margin of victory, by electoral district 25em #9EFF9E Gained seat by defeating incumbent #DFF Gained seat following incumbent's retirement #FFD Held seat with new candidate #FEE Reversed by-election loss #FCC Former MPP re-gained seats lost previously -B Gained/held seat previously via by-election -O Gained/held open seat at the 2014 general election +2014 Ontario general election - winning statistics, by electoral district Electoral district 2011 Elected Vote tally / share Margin Member Region Party # % %  # % elected Ajax—Pickering Lib LibHold26,257 51.06 3.73 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 11,258 21.89 Joe Dickson GTA (DYS) Algoma—Manitoulin NDP NDPHold14,171 53.41 8.89 -2 1em background:ON NDP 7,667 28.90 Michael Mantha North Ancaster—Dundas—Flambor.—Westdale Lib LibHold24,042 44.56 0.86 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 5,790 10.73 Ted McMeekin GTA (H&N) Barrie PC LibGain19,916 40.69 5.88 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 2,249 4.60 Ann Hoggarth GTA (DYS) Beaches—East York NDP LibGain17,218 40.09 4.01 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 481 1.12 Arthur Potts Toronto (C) Bramalea—Gore—Malton NDP NDPHold23,519 44.32 6.16 -2 1em background:ON NDP 5,646 10.64 Jagmeet Singh GTA (P&H) Brampton—Springdale Lib LibHold-O16,927 40.06 -4.36 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 3,414 8.08 Harinder Malhi GTA (P&H) Brampton West Lib LibHold24,832 45.23 1.47 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 11,469 20.89 Vic Dhillon GTA (P&H) Brant Lib LibHold19,396 37.63 0.55 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 3,949 7.66 Dave Levac SW (Mid) Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound PC PCHold20,359 47.55 0.18 -2 1em background:ON PC 8,773 20.49 Bill Walker SW (Mid) Burlington PC LibGain23,573 43.41 7.33 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 3,487 6.42 Eleanor McMahon GTA (P&H) Cambridge PC LibGain18,763 38.93 5.85 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 3,069 6.37 Kathryn McGarry SW (W) Carleton—Mississippi Mills PC PCHold30,590 47.49 -2.80 -2 1em background:ON PC 10,118 15.71 Jack MacLaren East (O) Chatham-Kent—Essex PC PCHold14,183 37.83 -3.95 -2 1em background:ON PC 2,519 6.72 Rick Nicholls Southwest Davenport NDP LibGain16,272 45.61 4.20 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 1,950 5.47 Cristina Martins Toronto (C) Don Valley East Lib LibHold19,248 55.71 4.64 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 9,991 28.92 Michael Coteau Toronto (M) Don Valley West Lib LibHold26,215 57.01 -1.30 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 12,133 26.39 Kathleen Wynne Toronto (M) Dufferin—Caledon PC PCHold18,017 39.86 -7.09 -2 1em background:ON PC 4,156 9.19 Sylvia Jones SW (W) Durham PC LibGain-O19,816 36.45 7.10 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 1,176 2.16 Granville Anderson GTA (DYS) Eglinton—Lawrence Lib LibHold22,855 54.80 0.65 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 8,776 21.04 Mike Colle Toronto (C) Elgin—Middlesex—London PC PCHold20,946 46.36 -1.50 -2 1em background:ON PC 8,912 19.72 Jeff Yurek Southwest Essex NDP NDPHold28,118 60.34 22.35 -2 1em background:ON NDP 17,949 38.52 Taras Natyshak Southwest Etobicoke Centre Lib LibHold-O23,848 50.28 -1.21 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 8,328 17.56 Yvan Baker Toronto (M) Etobicoke—Lakeshore Lib LibHold-R24,311 47.49 -3.54 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 6,724 13.13 Peter Milczyn Toronto (M) Etobicoke North Lib LibHold12,168 44.90 -3.55 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 5,065 18.69 Shafiq Qaadri Toronto (M) Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Lib LibHold23,565 49.74 6.56 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 8,136 17.17 Grant Crack East Guelph Lib LibHold22,014 41.52 -0.92 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 10,966 20.68 Liz Sandals SW (W) Haldimand—Norfolk PC PCHold22,066 52.22 -8.58 -2 1em background:ON PC 12,280 29.06 Toby Barrett SW (Mid) Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock PC PCHold21,641 40.96 -4.48 -2 1em background:ON PC 3,129 5.92 Laurie Scott East Halton PC LibGain33,724 44.79 5.66 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 5,787 7.69 Indira Naidoo-Harris GTA (P&H) Hamilton Centre NDP NDPHold18,697 52.01 -9.32 -2 1em background:ON NDP 10,247 28.50 Andrea Horwath GTA (H&N) Hamilton East—Stoney Creek NDP NDPHold19,958 46.81 -4.91 -2 1em background:ON NDP 7,525 17.65 Paul Miller GTA (H&N) Hamilton Mountain NDP NDPHold23,006 46.90 1.73 -2 1em background:ON NDP 8,498 17.32 Monique Taylor GTA (H&N) Huron—Bruce PC PCHold18,512 39.01 -3.75 -2 1em background:ON PC 3,865 8.14 Lisa Thompson SW (Mid) Kenora—Rainy River NDP NDPHold12,889 55.66 6.04 -2 1em background:ON NDP 6,984 30.16 Sarah Campbell North Kingston and the Islands Lib LibHold-O20,838 41.59 -7.26 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 6,027 12.03 Sophie Kiwala East Kitchener Centre Lib LibHold-O18,472 43.14 3.92 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 6,922 16.17 Daiene Vernile SW (W) Kitchener—Conestoga PC PCHold17,083 36.36 -7.82 -2 1em background:ON PC 1,419 3.02 Michael Harris SW (W) Kitchener—Waterloo PC NDPGain-B20,536 37.43 20.77 -2 1em background:ON NDP 4,002 7.29 Catherine Fife SW (W) Lambton—Kent—Middlesex PC PCHold20,710 45.17 -0.56 -2 1em background:ON PC 8,550 18.65 Monte McNaughton Southwest Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox & Addington PC PCHold21,966 43.52 -6.60 -2 1em background:ON PC 6,929 13.73 Randy Hillier East Leeds—Grenville PC PCHold23,253 56.07 -7.53 -2 1em background:ON PC 14,754 35.58 Steve Clark East London—Fanshawe NDP NDPHold17,903 50.42 9.65 -2 1em background:ON NDP 9,707 27.34 Teresa Armstrong Southwest London North Centre Lib LibHold16,379 35.98 -7.92 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 2,526 5.55 Deb Matthews Southwest London West Lib NDPGain-B22,243 40.36 18.64 -2 1em background:ON NDP 5,948 10.79 Peggy Sattler Southwest Markham—Unionville Lib LibHold21,517 51.33 -1.25 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 7,276 17.36 Michael Chan GTA (DYS) Mississauga—Brampton South Lib LibHold19,923 48.21 2.18 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 8,672 20.99 Amrit Mangat GTA (P&H) Mississauga East—Cooksville Lib LibHold20,934 52.33 6.59 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 10,455 26.14 Dipika Damerla GTA (P&H) Mississauga—Erindale Lib LibHold25,356 48.98 3.96 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 9,882 19.09 Harinder Takhar GTA (P&H) Mississauga South Lib LibHold22,192 50.76 0.05 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 7,678 17.56 Charles Sousa GTA (P&H) Mississauga—Streetsville Lib LibHold22,587 52.57 1.03 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 10,527 24.50 Bob Delaney GTA (P&H) Nepean—Carleton PC PCHold30,901 46.77 -7.71 -2 1em background:ON PC 8,927 13.51 Lisa MacLeod East (O) Newmarket—Aurora PC LibGain-O22,997 43.94 8.32 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 3,412 6.52 Chris Ballard GTA (DYS) Niagara Falls Lib NDPGain-B24,131 47.39 21.09 -2 1em background:ON NDP 7,429 14.59 Wayne Gates GTA (H&N) Niagara West—Glanbrook PC PCHold23,378 41.82 -9.13 -2 1em background:ON PC 7,535 13.48 Tim Hudak GTA (H&N) Nickel Belt NDP NDPHold20,104 62.62 7.76 -2 1em background:ON NDP 13,073 40.72 France Gélinas North Nipissing PC PCHold13,085 41.81 -8.30 -2 1em background:ON PC 4,703 15.03 Vic Fedeli North Northumberland—Quinte West PC LibGain23,419 42.97 4.63 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 3,836 7.04 Lou Rinaldi East Oak Ridges—Markham Lib LibHold36,782 45.55 0.77 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 6,526 8.08 Helena Jaczek GTA (DYS) Oakville Lib LibHold24,717 49.40 1.31 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 5,796 11.58 Kevin Flynn GTA (P&H) Oshawa PC NDPGain22,232 46.70 10.52 -2 1em background:ON NDP 7,692 16.16 Jennifer French GTA (DYS) Ottawa Centre Lib LibHold27,689 52.02 5.20 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 16,795 31.55 Yasir Naqvi East (O) Ottawa—Orléans Lib LibHold-O29,911 53.50 7.06 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 11,386 20.37 Marie-France Lalonde East (O) Ottawa South Lib LibHold-B23,708 49.96 1.11 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 8,473 17.86 John Fraser East (O) Ottawa—Vanier Lib LibHold21,810 55.55 4.04 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 13,060 33.26 Madeleine Meilleur East (O) Ottawa West—Nepean Lib LibHold21,035 44.84 3.23 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 5,140 10.96 Bob Chiarelli East (O) Oxford PC PCHold18,958 46.24 -8.63 -2 1em background:ON PC 8,385 20.45 Ernie Hardeman SW (Mid) Parkdale—High Park NDP NDPHold18,385 40.77 -5.43 -2 1em background:ON NDP 544 1.21 Cheri DiNovo Toronto (C) Parry Sound—Muskoka PC PCHold15,761 40.73 -13.36 -2 1em background:ON PC 5,603 14.48 Norm Miller North Perth—Wellington PC PCHold15,992 38.96 -1.14 -2 1em background:ON PC 2,407 5.86 Randy Pettapiece SW (Mid) Peterborough Lib LibHold24,709 46.33 6.40 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 8,802 16.50 Jeff Leal East Pickering—Scarborough East Lib LibHold23,206 51.96 5.30 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 10,568 23.66 Tracy MacCharles GTA (DYS) Prince Edward—Hastings PC PCHold19,281 41.72 -0.56 -2 1em background:ON PC 4,176 9.04 Todd Smith East Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke PC PCHold25,241 61.07 -9.72 -2 1em background:ON PC 17,344 41.96 John Yakabuski East Richmond Hill Lib LibHold20,455 47.78 0.86 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 4,813 11.24 Reza Moridi GTA (DYS) St. Catharines Lib LibHold19,070 41.00 0.79 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 5,256 11.30 Jim Bradley GTA (H&N) St. Paul's Lib LibHold30,027 59.74 1.35 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 17,990 35.79 Eric Hoskins Toronto (C) Sarnia—Lambton PC PCHold18,722 41.01 -7.31 -2 1em background:ON PC 2,395 5.25 Bob Bailey Southwest Sault Ste. Marie Lib LibHold17,490 58.53 3.57 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 9,880 33.06 David Orazietti North Scarborough—Agincourt Lib LibHold17,332 49.84 2.99 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 5,291 15.22 Soo Wong Toronto (M) Scarborough Centre Lib LibHold19,390 55.05 3.63 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 11,791 33.48 Brad Duguid Toronto (M) Scarborough—Guildwood Lib LibHold-B17,318 49.89 0.96 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 7,597 21.89 Mitzie Hunter Toronto (M) Scarborough—Rouge River Lib LibHold16,095 38.71 -3.17 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 3,076 7.40 Bas Balkissoon Toronto (M) Scarborough Southwest Lib LibHold18,420 50.23 6.13 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 9,746 26.58 Lorenzo Berardinetti Toronto (M) Simcoe—Grey PC PCHold25,988 47.12 -7.21 -2 1em background:ON PC 8,789 15.94 Jim Wilson GTA (DYS) Simcoe North PC PCHold22,179 43.96 -11.20 -2 1em background:ON PC 5,766 11.43 Garfield Dunlop GTA (DYS) Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry PC PCHold20,624 51.72 -3.54 -2 1em background:ON PC 11,374 28.52 Jim McDonell East Sudbury Lib NDPGain-O14,274 42.24 1.51 -2 1em background:ON NDP 978 2.89 Joe Cimino North Thornhill PC PCHold21,886 43.99 -2.72 -2 1em background:ON PC 106 0.21 Gila Martow GTA (DYS) Thunder Bay—Atikokan Lib LibHold15,176 52.98 14.01 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 7,124 24.87 Bill Mauro North Thunder Bay—Superior North Lib LibHold15,519 55.97 10.97 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 7,350 26.51 Michael Gravelle North Timiskaming—Cochrane NDP NDPHold14,661 55.48 5.36 -2 1em background:ON NDP 8,527 32.27 John Vanthof North Timmins—James Bay NDP NDPHold11,756 51.18 1.71 -2 1em background:ON NDP 6,229 27.12 Gilles Bisson North Toronto Centre Lib LibHold29,935 58.47 3.54 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 20,437 39.92 Glen Murray Toronto (C) Toronto—Danforth NDP NDPHold19,190 44.61 -9.40 -2 1em background:ON NDP 3,207 7.46 Peter Tabuns Toronto (C) Trinity—Spadina NDP LibGain26,613 46.34 6.40 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 9,171 15.97 Han Dong Toronto (C) Vaughan Lib LibHold-B33,877 56.21 3.19 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 16,898 28.04 Steven Del Duca GTA (DYS) Welland NDP NDPHold21,326 46.71 2.05 -2 1em background:ON NDP 8,393 18.38 Cindy Forster GTA (H&N) Wellington—Halton Hills PC PCHold22,450 46.61 -9.01 -2 1em background:ON PC 8,330 17.29 Ted Arnott SW (W) Whitby—Oshawa PC PCHold24,027 40.65 -7.52 -2 1em background:ON PC 5,410 9.15 Christine Elliott GTA (DYS) Willowdale Lib LibHold24,300 52.58 1.73 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 8,832 19.11 David Zimmer Toronto (M) Windsor—Tecumseh Lib NDPGain-B22,818 62.16 29.31 -2 1em background:ON NDP 17,219 46.91 Percy Hatfield Southwest Windsor West Lib NDPGain15,043 41.41 10.57 -2 1em background:ON NDP 1,042 2.87 Lisa Gretzky Southwest York Centre Lib LibHold16,935 47.89 2.53 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 5,810 16.43 Monte Kwinter Toronto (M) York—Simcoe PC PCHold19,025 40.40 -12.38 -2 1em background:ON PC 2,749 5.84 Julia Munro GTA (DYS) York South—Weston Lib LibHold15,669 47.85 3.30 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 3,469 10.59 Laura Albanese Toronto (C) York West Lib LibHold11,907 46.71 -3.78 -2 1em background:ON Liberal 1,910 7.49 Mario Sergio Toronto (M) Major parties performance, by electoral district + 2014 Ontario general election - performance of the major parties https://results.elections.on.ca/en/data-explorer?fromYear=1867&toYear=2019&electionType=GE&electionId=328 2014 General Election elections.on.ca Elections Ontario June 18, 2023 Riding2011 Elected Turnoutincluding spoilt ballots Votesminor parties are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately Party Share Lib PC NDP Green Ind Independent or No Affiliation Other Total % %   % Ajax—Pickering Lib Lib 51.06 50.18 5.34 -5 1em background:#708090 26,257 14,999 8,274 1,589 – 301 51,420GTA (DYS)Algoma—Manitoulin NDP NDP 53.41 49.38 -0.05 -5 1em background:#708090 6,504 4,589 14,171 828 – 441 26,533NorthAncaster—Dundas—Flambor.—Westdale Lib Lib 44.56 59.02 2.57 -5 1em background:#708090 24,042 18,252 8,415 2,639 – 611 53,959GTA (H&N)Barrie PC Lib 40.69 49.18 3.18 -5 1em background:#708090 19,916 17,667 7,975 3,018 – 366 48,942GTA (DYS)Beaches—East York NDP Lib 40.09 56.14 4.50 -5 1em background:#708090 17,218 5,982 16,737 2,329 – 682 42,948Toronto (C)Bramalea—Gore—Malton NDP NDP 44.32 45.03 4.32 -5 1em background:#708090 17,873 9,403 23,519 2,277 – – 53,072GTA (P&H)Brampton—Springdale Lib Lib 40.06 45.34 4.80 -5 1em background:#708090 16,927 10,117 13,513 1,311 – 382 42,250GTA (P&H)Brampton West Lib Lib 45.23 42.50 4.21 -5 1em background:#708090 24,832 13,363 12,985 1,504 – 2,418 54,902GTA (P&H)Brant Lib Lib 37.63 52.51 4.29 -5 1em background:#708090 19,396 15,447 13,992 2,095 – 614 51,544SW (Mid)Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound PC PC 47.55 53.93 -0.77 -5 1em background:#708090 11,586 20,359 6,787 3,696 – 388 42,816SW (Mid)Burlington PC Lib 43.41 57.73 2.90 -5 1em background:#708090 23,573 20,086 7,792 2,250 – 608 54,309GTA (P&H)Cambridge PC Lib 38.93 48.95 2.91 -5 1em background:#708090 18,763 15,694 10,413 2,726 – 605 48,201SW (W)Carleton—Mississippi Mills PC PC 47.49 56.08 2.59 -5 1em background:#708090 20,472 30,590 8,744 4,614 – – 64,420East (O)Chatham-Kent—Essex PC PC 37.83 51.33 1.92 -5 1em background:#708090 9,158 14,183 11,664 1,971 – 514 37,490SouthwestDavenport NDP Lib 45.61 49.56 3.97 -5 1em background:#708090 16,272 2,665 14,322 1,784 – 631 35,674Toronto (C)Don Valley East Lib Lib 55.71 47.85 1.77 -5 1em background:#708090 19,248 9,257 4,500 1,256 – 287 34,548Toronto (M)Don Valley West Lib Lib 57.01 53.90 2.96 -5 1em background:#708090 26,215 14,082 3,569 1,286 138 690 45,980Toronto (M)Dufferin—Caledon PC PC 39.86 51.48 3.74 -5 1em background:#708090 13,861 18,017 5,269 7,518 – 538 45,203SW (W)Durham PC Lib 36.45 55.71 5.97 -5 1em background:#708090 19,816 18,640 13,094 2,382 – 434 54,366GTA (DYS)Eglinton—Lawrence Lib Lib 54.80 53.99 2.18 -5 1em background:#708090 22,855 14,079 3,060 1,305 143 264 41,706Toronto (C)Elgin—Middlesex—London PC PC 46.36 53.98 2.70 -5 1em background:#708090 9,183 20,946 12,034 2,236 – 784 45,183SouthwestEssex NDP NDP 60.34 50.20 -1.18 -5 1em background:#708090 6,628 10,169 28,118 1,685 – – 46,600SouthwestEtobicoke Centre Lib Lib 50.28 56.47 3.85 -5 1em background:#708090 23,848 15,520 5,758 1,254 – 1,052 47,432Toronto (M)Etobicoke—Lakeshore Lib Lib 47.49 53.73 3.72 -5 1em background:#708090 24,311 17,587 6,362 2,064 – 869 51,193Toronto (M)Etobicoke North Lib Lib 44.90 42.71 2.56 -5 1em background:#708090 12,168 6,163 7,103 677 – 987 27,098Toronto (M)Glengarry—Prescott—Russell Lib Lib 49.74 53.36 5.55 -5 1em background:#708090 23,565 15,429 5,902 1,528 296 655 47,375EastGuelph Lib Lib 41.52 55.47 5.21 -5 1em background:#708090 22,014 11,048 9,385 10,230 – 348 53,025SW (W)Haldimand—Norfolk PC PC 52.22 53.97 0.67 -5 1em background:#708090 8,331 22,066 9,786 2,071 – – 42,254SW (Mid)Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock PC PC 40.96 55.98 1.00 -5 1em background:#708090 18,512 21,641 10,431 2,255 – – 52,839EastHalton PC Lib 44.79 50.90 4.91 -5 1em background:#708090 33,724 27,937 9,758 2,618 – 1,262 75,299GTA (P&H)Hamilton Centre NDP NDP 52.01 44.76 2.32 -5 1em background:#708090 8,450 5,173 18,697 3,067 – 563 35,950GTA (H&N)Hamilton East—Stoney Creek NDP NDP 46.81 48.84 2.58 -5 1em background:#708090 12,433 7,574 19,958 1,742 – 930 42,637GTA (H&N)Hamilton Mountain NDP NDP 46.90 52.85 2.40 -5 1em background:#708090 14,508 8,795 23,006 2,047 – 699 49,055GTA (H&N)Huron—Bruce PC PC 39.01 59.96 0.73 -5 1em background:#708090 14,647 18,512 10,843 1,651 – 1,804 47,457SW (Mid)Kenora—Rainy River NDP NDP 55.66 46.72 0.97 -5 1em background:#708090 3,652 5,905 12,889 711 – – 23,157NorthKingston and the Islands Lib Lib 41.59 52.14 7.11 -5 1em background:#708090 20,838 10,652 14,811 3,566 – 242 50,109EastKitchener Centre Lib Lib 43.14 52.28 3.12 -5 1em background:#708090 18,472 11,550 9,765 2,472 – 557 42,816SW (W)Kitchener—Conestoga PC PC 36.36 50.33 3.71 -5 1em background:#708090 15,664 17,083 9,958 3,277 – 1,001 46,983SW (W)Kitchener—Waterloo PC NDP 37.43 54.95 4.41 -5 1em background:#708090 16,534 14,450 20,536 2,859 – 481 54,860SW (W)Lambton—Kent—Middlesex PC PC 45.17 56.93 2.85 -5 1em background:#708090 9,298 20,710 12,160 2,104 – 1,575 45,847SouthwestLanark—Frontenac—Lennox & Addington PC PC 43.52 53.95 3.52 -5 1em background:#708090 15,037 21,966 10,184 3,283 – – 50,470EastLeeds—Grenville PC PC 56.07 52.86 2.22 -5 1em background:#708090 8,499 23,253 7,219 2,030 – 471 41,472EastLondon—Fanshawe NDP NDP 50.42 46.42 0.60 -5 1em background:#708090 7,066 8,196 17,903 1,378 112 853 35,508SouthwestLondon North Centre Lib Lib 35.98 50.21 2.34 -5 1em background:#708090 16,379 12,016 13,853 2,445 – 824 45,517SouthwestLondon West Lib NDP 40.36 56.03 3.03 -5 1em background:#708090 13,070 16,295 22,243 2,310 – 1,188 55,106SouthwestMarkham—Unionville Lib Lib 51.33 44.54 3.86 -5 1em background:#708090 21,517 14,241 4,205 1,509 – 444 41,916GTA (DYS)Mississauga—Brampton South Lib Lib 48.21 41.48 5.05 -5 1em background:#708090 19,923 11,251 6,906 1,302 351 1,590 41,323GTA (P&H)Mississauga East—Cooksville Lib Lib 52.33 43.89 3.39 -5 1em background:#708090 20,934 10,479 6,158 1,408 – 1,022 40,001GTA (P&H)Mississauga—Erindale Lib Lib 48.98 46.90 2.99 -5 1em background:#708090 25,356 15,474 7,730 1,216 – 1,988 51,764GTA (P&H)Mississauga South Lib Lib 50.76 53.55 2.30 -5 1em background:#708090 22,192 14,514 4,649 1,418 – 946 43,719GTA (P&H)Mississauga—Streetsville Lib Lib 52.57 46.76 5.30 -5 1em background:#708090 22,587 12,060 5,885 1,566 – 866 42,964GTA (P&H)Nepean—Carleton PC PC 46.77 55.39 5.48 -5 1em background:#708090 21,974 30,901 8,628 3,630 – 940 66,073East (O)Newmarket—Aurora PC Lib 43.94 53.40 4.07 -5 1em background:#708090 22,997 19,585 6,023 2,144 – 1,584 52,333GTA (DYS)Niagara Falls Lib NDP 47.39 51.21 1.77 -5 1em background:#708090 7,329 16,702 24,131 1,724 – 1,037 50,923GTA (H&N)Niagara West—Glanbrook PC PC 41.82 58.59 3.71 -5 1em background:#708090 15,843 23,378 12,423 3,004 – 1,254 55,902GTA (H&N)Nickel Belt NDP NDP 62.62 50.00 0.44 -5 1em background:#708090 7,031 3,827 20,104 1,145 – – 32,107NorthNipissing PC PC 41.81 52.49 0.63 -5 1em background:#708090 8,382 13,085 8,057 1,188 208 377 31,297NorthNorthumberland—Quinte West PC Lib 42.97 55.81 3.94 -5 1em background:#708090 23,419 19,583 9,211 2,283 – – 54,496EastOak Ridges—Markham Lib Lib 45.55 46.21 3.51 -5 1em background:#708090 36,782 30,256 9,355 2,791 – 1,571 80,755GTA (DYS)Oakville Lib Lib 49.40 56.13 3.42 -5 1em background:#708090 24,717 18,921 3,994 1,887 – 518 50,037GTA (P&H)Oshawa PC NDP 46.70 50.19 5.92 -5 1em background:#708090 9,051 14,540 22,232 1,785 – – 47,608GTA (DYS)Ottawa Centre Lib Lib 52.02 56.85 3.12 -5 1em background:#708090 27,689 9,678 10,894 4,163 – 808 53,232East (O)Ottawa—Orléans Lib Lib 53.50 59.33 6.68 -5 1em background:#708090 29,911 18,525 5,022 2,036 – 411 55,905East (O)Ottawa South Lib Lib 49.96 53.71 2.52 -5 1em background:#708090 23,708 15,235 5,817 2,034 – 656 47,450East (O)Ottawa—Vanier Lib Lib 55.55 48.86 2.05 -5 1em background:#708090 21,810 8,750 5,228 3,144 – 329 39,261East (O)Ottawa West—Nepean Lib Lib 44.84 55.95 1.93 -5 1em background:#708090 21,035 15,895 6,760 2,899 – 318 46,907East (O)Oxford PC PC 46.24 51.92 2.74 -5 1em background:#708090 8,736 18,958 10,573 1,985 – 749 41,001SW (Mid)Parkdale—High Park NDP NDP 40.77 56.88 5.10 -5 1em background:#708090 17,841 5,787 18,385 2,479 – 601 45,093Toronto (C)Parry Sound—Muskoka PC PC 40.73 52.11 0.33 -5 1em background:#708090 10,158 15,761 4,999 7,484 – 296 38,698NorthPerth—Wellington PC PC 38.96 55.66 3.77 -5 1em background:#708090 13,585 15,992 7,764 2,005 343 1,359 41,048SW (Mid)Peterborough Lib Lib 46.33 57.30 4.11 -5 1em background:#708090 24,709 15,907 9,728 2,287 395 305 53,331EastPickering—Scarborough East Lib Lib 51.96 54.77 5.08 -5 1em background:#708090 23,206 12,638 6,600 1,564 – 654 44,662GTA (DYS)Prince Edward—Hastings PC PC 41.72 51.61 -0.14 -5 1em background:#708090 15,105 19,281 8,829 2,448 – 555 46,218EastRenfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke PC PC 61.07 54.32 1.63 -5 1em background:#708090 7,897 25,241 5,978 1,337 392 489 41,334EastRichmond Hill Lib Lib 47.78 45.69 3.20 -5 1em background:#708090 20,455 15,642 4,697 1,344 – 670 42,808GTA (DYS)St. Catharines Lib Lib 41.00 54.80 3.80 -5 1em background:#708090 19,070 13,814 11,350 1,792 – 488 46,514GTA (H&N)St. Paul's Lib Lib 59.74 57.11 6.70 -5 1em background:#708090 30,027 12,037 5,056 2,569 – 572 50,261Toronto (C)Sarnia—Lambton PC PC 41.01 57.35 5.60 -5 1em background:#708090 8,152 18,722 16,327 2,109 – 340 45,650SouthwestSault Ste. Marie Lib Lib 58.53 50.77 1.42 -5 1em background:#708090 17,490 3,704 7,610 965 – 115 29,884NorthScarborough—Agincourt Lib Lib 49.84 46.04 2.47 -5 1em background:#708090 17,332 12,041 4,105 907 – 387 34,772Toronto (M)Scarborough Centre Lib Lib 55.05 48.09 3.60 -5 1em background:#708090 19,390 7,599 7,145 1,086 – – 35,220Toronto (M)Scarborough—Guildwood Lib Lib 49.89 49.24 1.59 -5 1em background:#708090 17,318 9,721 5,894 1,034 – 744 34,711Toronto (M)Scarborough—Rouge River Lib Lib 38.71 47.48 4.58 -5 1em background:#708090 16,095 11,500 13,019 571 – 398 41,583Toronto (M)Scarborough Southwest Lib Lib 50.23 49.91 2.13 -5 1em background:#708090 18,420 7,573 8,674 1,493 185 328 36,673Toronto (M)Simcoe—Grey PC PC 47.12 52.00 3.88 -5 1em background:#708090 17,199 25,988 7,793 4,172 – – 55,152GTA (DYS)Simcoe North PC PC 43.96 53.33 2.35 -5 1em background:#708090 16,413 22,179 7,846 4,013 – – 50,451GTA (DYS)Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry PC PC 51.72 52.02 0.63 -5 1em background:#708090 9,250 20,624 8,336 1,067 – 602 39,879EastSudbury Lib NDP 42.24 51.92 1.97 -5 1em background:#708090 13,296 4,663 14,274 1,212 105 243 33,793NorthThornhill PC PC 43.99 47.83 2.48 -5 1em background:#708090 21,780 21,886 4,052 1,229 – 804 49,751GTA (DYS)Thunder Bay—Atikokan Lib Lib 52.98 49.02 2.42 -5 1em background:#708090 15,176 3,779 8,052 964 – 676 28,647NorthThunder Bay—Superior North Lib Lib 55.97 50.41 2.21 -5 1em background:#708090 15,519 1,991 8,169 997 – 1,049 27,725NorthTimiskaming—Cochrane NDP NDP 55.48 50.68 0.67 -5 1em background:#708090 6,134 4,527 14,661 489 – 615 26,426NorthTimmins—James Bay NDP NDP 51.18 45.15 -1.68 -5 1em background:#708090 5,527 5,226 11,756 403 – 60 22,972NorthToronto Centre Lib Lib 58.47 50.86 2.44 -5 1em background:#708090 29,935 9,498 8,140 2,265 – 1,357 51,195Toronto (C)Toronto—Danforth NDP NDP 44.61 55.30 6.00 -5 1em background:#708090 15,983 4,304 19,190 2,351 – 1,189 43,017Toronto (C)Trinity—Spadina NDP Lib 46.34 49.33 6.33 -5 1em background:#708090 26,613 8,035 17,442 4,033 – 1,311 57,434Toronto (C)Vaughan Lib Lib 56.21 44.68 3.60 -5 1em background:#708090 33,877 16,979 6,942 1,350 – 1,121 60,269GTA (DYS)Welland NDP NDP 46.71 53.20 1.56 -5 1em background:#708090 9,060 12,933 21,326 1,874 – 460 45,653GTA (H&N)Wellington—Halton Hills PC PC 46.61 55.61 4.50 -5 1em background:#708090 14,120 22,450 6,804 3,550 – 1,241 48,165SW (W)Whitby—Oshawa PC PC 40.65 54.35 4.66 -5 1em background:#708090 18,617 24,027 13,621 2,523 –322 59,110GTA (DYS)Willowdale Lib Lib 52.58 46.88 1.48 -5 1em background:#708090 24,300 15,468 4,693 1,758 – – 46,219Toronto (M)Windsor—Tecumseh Lib NDP 62.16 42.77 -1.92 -5 1em background:#708090 5,599 2,118 22,818 5,493 – 682 36,710SouthwestWindsor West Lib NDP 41.41 42.71 1.13 -5 1em background:#708090 14,001 5,225 15,043 1,171 891 – 36,331SouthwestYork Centre Lib Lib 47.89 46.74 1.00 -5 1em background:#708090 16,935 11,125 5,645 1,163 – 493 35,361Toronto (M)York—Simcoe PC PC 40.40 47.53 4.62 -5 1em background:#708090 16,276 19,025 8,420 2,946 – 419 47,086GTA (DYS)York South—Weston Lib Lib 47.85 46.13 1.27 -5 1em background:#708090 15,669 3,687 12,200 797 146 249 32,748Toronto (C)York West Lib Lib 46.71 42.24 3.01 -5 1em background:#708090 11,907 2,794 9,997 418 111 267 25,494 Toronto (M) #F5F5DC silver = open seat #F0E68C silver = turnout is above provincial average #DDD silver = incumbent re-elected #87CEFA silver = incumbency arose from byelection gain a Local contest dynamics Contests Candidates in contest Total Average of votes received by candidate# of candidates 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Districts with said # of candidates 14 37 33 14 6 1 1 1 107Parties participation in such contests all successful Liberal 14 37 33 14 6 1 1 1 107 17,420.3 21,873.6 Progressive Conservative 14 37 33 14 6 1 1 1 107 14,069.5 20,958.0 New Democratic 14 37 33 14 6 1 1 1 10710,699.3 19,283.8 Green 14 37 33 14 6 1 1 1 1072,204.8 Libertarian 24 28 13 5 1 1 1 73516.4 Freedom 7 18 8 6 1 1 1 42281.8 Communist 1 3 3 1 1 1 1 11189.2 None of the Above 1331 8511.5 Family Coalition 1 2 3 6 714.5 Independents 1 7 3 2 1 14272.6 OtherOther minor political parties are aggregated together 3 6 10 6 1 3 4 33199.9 Total candidates in such contests 56 185 198 98 48 9 10 11 615 7,838.3 21,125.7 + Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th TotalON Liberal colour&name58 36 13 107ON PC colour&name28 50 28 1 107ON NDP colour&name21 21 62 3 107ON Green colour&name 4 101 2 107ON Libertarian colour&name 1 61 62ON Northern Ontario Heritage colour&name 1 1ON Freedom colour&name 15 15ON NOTA colour&name 4 4ON FCP colour&name 3 3ON Independent colour&name 2 2ON Communist colour&name 2 2ON CoR colour&name 2 2ON Canadians' Choice colour&name 1 1ON Trillium colour&name 1 1 Significant results among independent and minor party candidates Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below: Riding Party Candidates Votes PlacedHuron—Bruce ON FCP colour&name shortAndrew Zettel 1,353 5thKitchener—Conestoga ON Libertarian colour&name shortDavid Schumm 1,001 5thLondon West ON Freedom colour&name shortAl Gretzky 1,188 5thOak Ridges—Markham ON Libertarian colour&name shortKarl Boelling 1,358 5thVaughan ON Libertarian colour&name shortPaolo Fabrizio 1,121 5thWellington—Halton Hills ON Libertarian colour&name shortJason Cousineau 1,043 5th Opinion polls Voting intention polls released throughout the election campaign were distinctly inconsistent and contradictory,https://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-debate/political-pollings-dirty-secret-its-now-mostly-a-guess/article18904077/ The dirty secret of political polling: It's now mostly a guess The Globe and Mail May 29, 2014 June 16, 2014 June 3, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140603190244/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-debate/political-pollings-dirty-secret-its-now-mostly-a-guess/article18904077/ livehttp://globalnews.ca/news/1364317/tired-of-trying-to-make-sense-of-ontario-election-polls-ignore-them-say-experts/ Ontario election: Why experts suggest ignoring opinion polls Global News May 30, 2014 June 16, 2014 June 3, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140603054036/http://globalnews.ca/news/1364317/tired-of-trying-to-make-sense-of-ontario-election-polls-ignore-them-say-experts/ livehttp://www.nowtoronto.com/news/story.cfm?content=198335/ Polls apart NOW Magazine June 5, 2014 June 16, 2014March 2022 InternetArchiveBot yes https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/from-one-pollster-to-another-stop-predicting-elections/article19115853/ From one pollster to another: Stop trying to predict elections The Globe and Mail June 11, 2014 June 16, 2014 June 14, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140614155114/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/from-one-pollster-to-another-stop-predicting-elections/article19115853/ live as shown in the graph and table below. During much of the campaign, different pollsters persistently disagreed, frequently by important margins, on whether the Liberals or Progressive Conservatives held the lead, though by the final days most polls showed the Liberals marginally to comfortably ahead. Still, polls completed on the last day of the campaign by Ipsos Reid and EKOS showed vastly divergent support for the NDP, at 30% and 19%, respectively. Also of note, although four different pollsters released results among "likely voters" alongside their results among all eligible voters in an effort to better predict the outcome of the election based on expected voter turnout, in all cases the former proved to be overall poorer predictors than the latter.http://www.threehundredeight.com/2014/06/ontario-election-post-mortem-likely.html Ontario election post-mortem: likely voter models fall flat, eligible tallies good ThreeHundredEight June 13, 2014 June 16, 2014 March 23, 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20220323052837/http://www.threehundredeight.com/2014/06/ontario-election-post-mortem-likely.html live General opinion polls thumb|left|750px|Evolution of voting intentions during the 2014 Ontario general election campaign. Dots represent results of individual polls. Lines connect successive polls by the same polling firm. Dashes on June 12 represent election results. Polling firm Last dateof pollingLink Liberal PC NDP Green Libertarian OtherTypeof pollSamplesize Marginof ErrorElection 2014June 12, 2014HTML38.6531.2523.754.841.51Ballot4,851,333 Forum ResearchJune 11, 2014PDF41352031IVR1,054 ±3% 19 20EKOSLikely voters 2 2June 11, 2014PDF37.331.319.28.23.9IVR1,311 ±2.7% 19 20Abacus DataLikely voters 2 2June 11, 2014PDF35322661Online1,882 ±2.3% 19 20Ipsos ReidLikely voters 2 2June 11, 2014HTML3331305Online1,991 ±2.4%  EKOSLikely voters 2 2June 10, 2014PDF36.630.221.56.65.0IVR1,332 ±2.7% 19 20Angus ReidLikely voters 2 2June 10, 2014PDF36322651Online1,866 ±2.3% 19 20Forum ResearchJune 9, 2014PDF42351931IVR739 ±4% 19 20Léger MarketingJune 9, 2014PDF37372051Online1,050 ±3.2% 19 20EKOSLikely voters 2 2June 9, 2014PDF34.734.519.86.74.3IVR1,417 ±2.6% 19 20EKOSLikely voters 2 2June 8, 2014PDF35.935.917.67.72.8IVR1,331 ±2.7% 19 20Oraclepoll ResearchJune 8, 2014PDF3536245Telephone1,000 ±3.1% 19 20Abacus DataLikely voters 2 2June 7, 2014PDF34312851Online1,000 ±3.1% 19 20EKOSLikely voters 2 2June 6, 2014PDF34.235.520.57.42.4IVR1,767 ±2.3% 19 20Ipsos ReidLikely voters 2 2June 6, 2014HTML3535264Online2,140 ±2.4%  Forum ResearchJune 5, 2014PDF39371761IVR1,022 ±3% 19 20EKOSLikely voters 2 2June 5, 2014PDF33.934.920.58.42.3IVR1,690 ±2.4% 19 20EKOSLikely voters 2 2June 4, 2014PDF35.730.919.89.64.0IVR1,303 ±2.7% 19 20EKOSJune 3, 2014PDF36.431.019.38.44.9IVR997 ±3.1% 19 20EKOSJune 2, 2014PDF38.830.517.88.44.5IVR934 ±3.2% 19 20EKOSJune 1, 2014PDF38.533.716.97.83.0IVR927 ±3.2% 19 20Abacus DataLikely voters 2 2May 31, 2014PDF37302472Online1,000 ±3.1% 19 20Ipsos ReidLikely voters 2 2May 29, 2014HTML3436237Online868 ±3.8%  Forum ResearchMay 27, 2014PDF https://web.archive.org/web/20140529224837/http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/56810_ON_Horserace_News_Release_%282014.05.28%29_Forum_Research.pdf 2014-05-29 36362071IVR882 ±3% 19 20Oraclepoll ResearchMay 27, 2014PDF3236257Telephone1,000 ±3.1% 19 20Nanos ResearchMay 26, 2014PDF37.731.223.75.3Telephone500 ±4.4% 19 20Abacus DataLikely voters 2 2May 24, 2014PDF34322562Online1,000 ±3.1% 19 20EKOSMay 23, 2014PDF35.830.020.411.91.9IVR1,215 ±2.8% 19 20Ipsos ReidLikely voters 2 2May 21, 2014HTML3135286Online800 ±3.9%  Forum ResearchMay 20, 2014PDF41342041IVR1,136 ±3% 19 20Abacus DataLikely voters 2 2May 16, 2014PDF33332662Online2,000 ±2.2% 19 20EKOSMay 15, 2014PDF37.130.320.97.34.5IVR1,111 ±2.9% 19 20Ipsos ReidLikely voters 2 2May 14, 2014HTML3039247Online801 ±3.9%  Forum ResearchMay 12, 2014PDF https://web.archive.org/web/20140517120841/http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/14953_ON_Horserace_News_Release_%282014.05.13%29_Forum_Research.pdf 2014-05-17 38352151IVR996 ±3% 19 20Ipsos ReidLikely voters 2 2May 9, 2014HTML3137284Online821 ±3.9%  Innovative ResearchMay 6, 2014PDF38.832.819.96.52.0Online1,000 N/AOnline margin of error 1 1Innovative ResearchMay 6, 2014PDF38.732.823.74.30.5Telephone500 ±4.4% 19 20Oraclepoll ResearchMay 5, 2014PDFMarch 2018 InternetArchiveBot yes HTML3142253Telephone1,000 ±3.2% 19 20Forum ResearchMay 3, 2014PDF https://web.archive.org/web/20140505202314/http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/26292_ON_Horserace_News_Release_%282014.05.03%29_Forum_Research.pdf 2014-05-05 33382261IVR1,845 ±2% 19 20EKOSMay 1, 2014PDF34.731.622.29.42.0IVR1,576 ±2.5% 19 20Election 2011October 6, 2011PDF37.6535.4522.742.921.24Ballot4,316,382 Online margin of error 1 1Innovative Research states, for Province Wide Online Survey, "Margin of error not applicable, online samples not random." Likely voters 2 2Data shown above for campaign-period polls are top-line results, typically among all eligible voters. However, certain pollsters additionally report results among "likely voters" in an effort to better predict the actual outcome of the election. When available, these alternative results are shown in the following table: Likely voters Polling firm Last dateof pollingLink Liberal PC NDP Green OtherEKOSJune 11, 2014PDF42.235.916.92.92.1Abacus DataJune 11, 2014PDF36362351Ipsos ReidJune 11, 2014HTML3036304EKOSJune 10, 2014PDF41.133.217.15.62.9Angus ReidJune 10, 2014PDF34362451EKOSJune 9, 2014PDF38.136.316.95.73.1EKOSJune 8, 2014PDF42.235.413.96.42.0Abacus DataJune 7, 2014PDF34342651EKOSJune 6, 2014PDF40.735.716.35.61.8Ipsos ReidJune 6, 2014HTML3240243EKOSJune 5, 2014PDF39.535.616.76.62EKOSJune 4, 2014PDF41.432.017.86.23Abacus DataMay 31, 2014PDF37352252Ipsos ReidMay 29, 2014HTML2941254Abacus DataMay 24, 2014PDF36332461Ipsos ReidMay 21, 2014HTML3041263Abacus DataMay 16, 2014PDF33362551Ipsos ReidMay 14, 2014HTML3143224Ipsos ReidMay 9, 2014HTML2842272 Pre-campaign period thumb|left|750px|Evolution of voting intentions since the 40th Ontario general election on October 6, 2011. Points represent results of individual polls. Trend lines represent three-poll moving averages. Pre-campaign period polling (October 2011 – April 2014) Polling firm Last date of pollingLink Liberal PC NDP Green Type of poll Sample sizeIpsos ReidApril 17, 2014HTML3237275Online813Innovative ResearchApril 14, 2014PDF3930237Online800Nanos ResearchApril 11, 2014PDF36.336.021.65.7Telephone503Forum ResearchApril 7, 2014PDF https://web.archive.org/web/20140413142359/http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/06128_ON_Horserace_News_Release_%282014.04.07%29_Forum_Research.pdf 2014-04-13 3138237IVR928Oraclepoll ResearchApril 7, 2014PDF3534248Telephone1,000EKOSApril 3, 2014PDF32.327.429.08.3IVR1,234Innovative ResearchMarch 26, 2014PDF3833254Online1,017Forum ResearchMarch 24, 2014PDF https://web.archive.org/web/20140407082020/http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/24545_ON_Horserace_News_Release_%282014.03.24%29_Forum_Research.pdf 2014-04-07 3532257IVR908Nanos ResearchMarch 3, 2014PDF35.732.924.56.8Telephone500Forum ResearchFebruary 25, 2014HTML3235266IVR1,014Ipsos ReidFebruary 7, 2014HTML3134314Online828Forum ResearchJanuary 25, 2014HTML3336264IVR1,222Nanos ResearchJanuary 20, 2014PDF35.528.127.48.1Telephone500Forum ResearchDecember 18, 2013HTML3138245IVR1,044Forum ResearchNovember 26, 2013PDF https://web.archive.org/web/20131219021343/http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/95865_ON_Horserace_%282013.11.26%29_Forum_Research.pdf 2013-12-19 3238236IVR1,126Ipsos ReidNovember 6, 2013HTML https://web.archive.org/web/20131225100744/http://www.threehundredeight.com/2013/11/ontario-ndp-gains-in-uncertainty.html December 25, 2013 3431315Online832Forum ResearchOctober 25, 2013HTML3134277IVR1,049Forum ResearchOctober 1, 2013HTML3336237IVR1,093Nanos ResearchSeptember 29, 2013PDF36.031.326.16.3Telephone500Campaign ResearchSeptember 19, 2013PDF3632228IVR1,414Abacus DataSeptember 4, 2013PDF3033305Online1,000Forum ResearchAugust 28, 2013PDF3235266IVR1,063Innovative ResearchAugust 27, 2013HTML37302210Telephone600Forum ResearchJuly 22, 2013PDF3136275IVR914Nanos ResearchJuly 14, 2013PDF37.230.627.04.9Telephone500EKOSJuly 9, 2013PDF31.928.925.99.4IVR830Forum ResearchJune 26, 2013PDF3335248IVR1,037Forum ResearchMay 28, 2013PDF3834216IVR918EKOSMay 26, 2013HTML34.929.622.69.4IVR1,152Ipsos ReidMay 21, 2013HTML3434265Online1,772Abacus DataMay 9, 2013PDF3434256Online1,185Innovative ResearchMay 9, 2013PDF3730256Telephone610Forum ResearchMay 3, 2013PDF3535254IVR869Forum ResearchApril 26, 2013PDF3636244IVR1,133Ipsos ReidApril 17, 2013HTML2837296Online1,360EKOSApril 10, 2013PDF30.831.725.59.7IVR1,084Forum ResearchMarch 27, 2013PDF3335265IVR1,156Forum ResearchMarch 1, 2013PDF3232295IVR2,773Forum ResearchFebruary 20, 2013PDF2936285IVR1,053Nanos ResearchFebruary 13, 2013PDF33.633.726.55.4Telephone500EKOSFebruary 10, 2013PDF32.528.525.610.1IVR1,797Abacus DataFebruary 6, 2013PDF https://web.archive.org/web/20140415055710/http://abacusdata.ca/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/OntarioBALLOT_Feb2013.pdf 2014-04-15 3033315Online1,020Innovative ResearchJanuary 29, 2013PDF3130279Telephone446Forum ResearchJanuary 24, 2013PDF2732355IVR1,108Forum ResearchDecember 17, 2012PDF2733318IVR990Abacus DataDecember 8, 2012PDF https://web.archive.org/web/20140415062158/http://abacusdata.ca/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/OntarioUPDATE_Dec2012.pdf 2014-04-15 2835315Online821Forum ResearchNovember 28, 2012PDF2935278IVR1,127Oraclepoll ResearchNovember 24, 2012PDF2637316TelephoneForum ResearchOctober 31, 2012PDF2237327IVR1,102Innovative ResearchOctober 22, 2012PDF2832319Telephone600Angus ReidOctober 17, 2012PDF2636325Online802Forum ResearchSeptember 25, 2012PDF2037357IVR851Nanos ResearchAugust 16, 2012PDF34.034.722.16.8Telephone1,000Forum ResearchAugust 15, 2012PDF2738286IVR1,021Forum ResearchJune 15, 2012PDF2638305IVR1,098Forum ResearchJune 4, 2012PDF2836304IVR1,038EnvironicsMay 25, 2012PDF25372810Telephone500Forum ResearchMay 14, 2012PDF2734325IVR1,072Nanos ResearchMay 13, 2012PDF31.033.628.55.6Telephone500Forum ResearchApril 17, 2012PDF2834315IVR1,084Nanos ResearchApril 15, 2012PDF35.432.126.56.0Telephone501EnvironicsApril 13, 2012HTML2737306Telephone500Forum ResearchMarch 28, 2012PDF3034305IVR1,131Forum ResearchMarch 13, 2012PDF2840238IVR1,065Nanos ResearchMarch 5, 2012PDF39.930.024.74.3Telephone500Forum ResearchFebruary 15, 2012PDF3236265IVR1,218Forum ResearchJanuary 18, 2012PDF3341204IVR1,041Nanos ResearchNovember 13, 2011PDF39.134.521.63.5Telephone500Innovative ResearchNovember 2, 2011PDF3934234Online545Election 2011October 6, 2011PDF37.6535.4522.742.92Ballot4,316,382 Notes References Results - Graphics & Charts https://results.elections.on.ca/en/graphics-charts live https://web.archive.org/web/20211105170913/https://results.elections.on.ca/en/graphics-charts 2021-11-05 2021-12-28 Results Elections Ontario EO Charts (General resources for all past Ontario elections) General Election Results http://wemakevotingeasy.ca/en/general-election-results.aspx dead https://web.archive.org/web/20140625105441/http://wemakevotingeasy.ca/en/general-election-results.aspx 2014-06-25 2014-07-12 Elections Ontario EO 2014 Prelim (Archived preliminary results of 2014 Ontario general elections) 1916 Return of the forty-first general election https://www.ola.org/sites/default/files/common/pdf/FSOB%20and%20Journals/41-1-Journals.pdf#page=77 Journal of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario Legislative Assembly of Ontario 137 2-6,27 OLA 2016 Office of the Premier 2014-05-02 Ontario Election On June 12, 2014 https://news.ontario.ca/en/release/29476/ontario-election-on-june-12-2014 news.ontario.ca King's Printer for Ontario OPO 2014 External links Elections Ontario 2014 Ontario general election General election Ontario general election