2015 Madrid municipal election

Election in the Spanish municipality of Madrid 2015 Madrid municipal election City of Madrid parliamentary no 2011 Madrid municipal election 2011 2019 Madrid municipal election 2019 All 57 seats in the City Council of Madrid 29 #Opinion polls 2,386,120 10px 3.4% 1,644,093 (68.9%)10px 1.7 pp 24 May 2015 170x170px Esperanza Aguirre People's Party of the Community of Madrid 6 March 2015 31 seats, 49.7% 21 10px 10 564,154 34.6% 10px 15.1 pp 170x170px Manuela Carmena Ahora Madrid 30 March 2015 Did not contest 20 10px 20 519,721 31.8% New party 170x170px Antonio Miguel Carmona Socialist Party of Madrid 6 October 2014 15 seats, 23.9% 9 10px 6 249,286 15.3% 10px 8.6 pp 170x170px Begoña Villacís C's 2 March 2015 0 seats, 0.2% 7 10px 7 186,487 11.4% 10px 11.2 pp 170x170px David Ortega Union, Progress and Democracy 9 October 2010 5 seats, 7.9% 0 10px 5 29,812 1.8% 10px 6.1 pp 170x170px Raquel López IUCM–LV 26 March 2015 6 seats, 10.7% 0 10px 6 27,651 1.7% 10px 9.0 pp Mayor Mayor after election Ana Botella People's Party of the Community of Madrid Manuela Carmena Ahora Madrid A municipal election was held in Madrid on 24 May 2015 to elect the 10th City Council of the municipality. All 57 seats in the City Council were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in thirteen autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain. Leading the People's Party (PP) local list was Esperanza Aguirre, former president of the Community of Madrid (2003–2012), president of the Senate of Spain (1999–2002) and minister of Education and Culture (1996–1999), as well as the leader of the regional PP branch since 2004. Mayor Ana Botella, who succeeded Alberto Ruiz-Gallardón early into his term in December 2011, had declined re-election in September 2014. The election was an unexpectedly close race between Aguirre's PP and former judge Manuela Carmena's Podemos-supported Ahora Madrid (en Madrid Now) platform. The collapse in the PP vote and the loss of its absolute majority allowed Carmena to gain power through an alliance with the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), resulting in the first left-wing government in the city since 1989. The PSOE suffered heavily from tactical voting to Ahora Madrid after it became apparent throughout the campaign that the left-of-centre vote was coalescing around Carmena's coalition. The newcomer liberal Citizens (es Ciudadanos) party also entered the City Council for the first time, collecting votes disenchanted with the PP and replacing Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) as the main centrist local force. United Left (IU) fell below the 5% threshold and failed to gain any representation for the first time in history. Overview Under the 1978 Constitution, the governance of municipalities in Spain—part of the country's local government system—was centered on the figure of city councils (es ayuntamientos), local corporations with independent legal personality composed of a mayor, a government council and an elected legislative assembly.Constitution 1978 art. 140; LBRL 1985 art. 19. The mayor was indirectly elected by the local assembly, requiring an absolute majority; otherwise, the candidate from the most-voted party automatically became mayor (ties were resolved by drawing lots).LBRL 1985 art. 19; LOREG 1985 art. 196. In the case of Madrid, the top-tier administrative and governing body was the City Council of Madrid.LBRL 1985 arts. 121–132. Date The term of local assemblies in Spain expired four years after the date of their previous election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official State Gazette (BOE).LOREG 1985 arts. 42 & 194. The previous local elections were held on 22 May 2011, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 24 May 2015. Local assemblies could not be dissolved before the expiration of their term, except in cases of mismanagement that seriously harmed the public interest and implied a breach of constitutional obligations, in which case the Council of Ministers could—optionally—decide to call a by-election.LBRL 1985 art. 61. Elections to the assemblies of local entities were officially called on 31 March 2015 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOE, setting election day for 24 May.Royal Decree 233/2015 2015 art. 1. Electoral system Voting for local assemblies was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered and residing in the municipality and with full political rights (provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated), as well as resident non-national European citizens, and those whose country of origin allowed reciprocal voting by virtue of a treaty.Constitution 1978 art. 13; LBRL 1985 art. 19; LOREG 1985 arts. 2–3 & 176. Local councillors were elected using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each municipality.LOREG 1985 arts. 163 & 180. Each municipality was a multi-member constituency, with a number of seats based on the following scale:LOREG 1985 art. 179. Population Councillors <100 3 101–250 5 251–1,000 7 1,001–2,000 9 2,001–5,000 11 5,001–10,000 13 10,001–20,000 17 20,001–50,000 21 50,001–100,000 25 >100,001 +1 per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction+1 if total is an even number The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.LOREG 1985 arts. 46, 48 & 182. Parties and candidates The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in the municipality for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list. In the case of Madrid, as its population was over 1,000,001, at least 8,000 signatures were required.LOREG 1985 arts. 44 & 187. Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.LOREG 1985 art. 44 bis. Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election: Candidacy Parties andalliances Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Government Ref. References Vote % Seats PP List on People's Party (PP) 50px Esperanza Aguirre ConservatismChristian democracy 49.7% 31 García Gallo Bruno 9 September 2014 Ana Botella renuncia a presentarse a las elecciones municipales de 2015 https://elpais.com/ccaa/2014/09/09/madrid/1410272561_891941.html es El País Madrid 12 December 20236 March 2015 Aguirre será la candidata del PP a la Alcaldía de Madrid y Cifuentes, a la Comunidad https://www.rtve.es/noticias/20150306/aguirre-sera-candidata-del-pp-a-alcaldia-madrid-cifuentes-a-comunidad-madrid/1110120.shtml es RTVE 12 December 2023 PSOE List on Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 50px Antonio Miguel Carmona Social democracy 23.9% 15 Pais Beiro Mario 6 October 2014 Carmona será el candidato del PSOE a la alcaldía de Madrid sin primarias https://www.eldiario.es/politica/carmona-candidato-psoe-alcaldia-madrid_1_4602168.html es eldiario.es 12 December 2023 IUCM–LV List on United Left of the Community of Madrid (IUCM)– The Dawn Marxist Organization (La Aurora (OM))– Republican Left (IR)– Open Left (IzAb) The Greens (LV) 50px Raquel López SocialismCommunism 10.7% 6 27 March 2015 Raquel López, nueva candidata de IU a la Alcaldía de Madrid tras la marcha de Mauricio Valiente https://www.rtve.es/noticias/20150327/raquel-lopez-nueva-candidata-iu-a-alcaldia-madrid-tras-marcha-mauricio-valiente/1123622.shtml es RTVE 12 December 2023 UPyD List on Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 50px David Ortega Social liberalismRadical centrism 7.9% 5 Herraiz Pablo 18 October 2014 https://www.elmundo.es/madrid/2014/10/18/5442bdde268e3e60188b4585.html Marcos y Ortega, candidatos de UPyD a la Comunidad y el Ayuntamiento de Madrid es El Mundo Madrid 12 December 2023 C's List on Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 50px Begoña Villacís Liberalism 0.2% 0 Martín Daniel 28 February 2015 https://www.elmundo.es/madrid/2015/02/28/54f20a49268e3e1e3d8b457e.html Begoña Villacís, elegida candidata de Ciudadanos a la Alcaldía de Madrid es El Mundo Madrid 12 December 2023 AhoraMadrid List on We Can (Podemos) Let's Win Madrid (Ganemos Madrid) Communist Party of Madrid (PCM) Equo (Equo) Assembly for Madrid (CxM) For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 50px Manuela Carmena ProgressivismParticipatory democracy colspan="2" Did not contest 3 February 2015 El PC de Madrid rompe con IUCM y apuesta "sin embages" por Ganemos https://www.europapress.es/madrid/noticia-partido-comunista-madrid-rompe-iucm-apuesta-embages-mantener-participacion-ganemos-20150203135104.html es Europa Press Madrid 8 November 2025Gil Andrés 30 March 2015 Manuela Carmena gana las primarias de Ahora Madrid y será candidata a la alcaldía https://www.eldiario.es/politica/ahora-madrid-alcaldia-madrid_1_4301357.html es eldiario.es 12 December 2023 Campaign Electoral debates were held in Telemadrid between the candidates of the PP, PSOE, IU, UPyD, Vox, Citizens and Ahora Madrid in the last week of campaign, between 18 and 20 May. The most expected and tense moment came with the debate between PP candidate Esperanza Aguirre and AM Manuela Carmena, as the most-likely candidates to become the next Mayor of the city. Aguirre immediately accused Carmena of saying in the past that "ETA members had suffered a lot", trying to link the former judge with the terrorist group, as well as trying to discredit Carmena's career in the judiciary, which was seen as a furious attack of Aguirre on Carmena. The latter, visibly surprised, counterattacked responding that Aguirre was acting arrogantly and contemptuous to others and accusing her of allowing corruption to spread during her tenure as president of Madrid. "Please go, you've caused a lot of harm" said Carmena to Aguirre.Cortizo Gonzalo 19 May 2015 https://www.eldiario.es/politica/esperanza-aguirre-manuela-carmena-eta_1_2664138.html Esperanza Aguirre embarra el debate electoral acusando a Manuela Carmena de sintonía con ETA es eldiario.es 8 November 2025 In the last days of the campaign, especially following her debate with Aguirre, several celebrities such as actors Pilar Bardem, Carlos Bardem, Loles León, Goya Toledo, Paco León, playwright Cristina Rota, lawyer and former politician Cristina Almeida and journalist Ernesto Ekaizer expressed their support for Carmena's candidacy, with actress Eva Hache going on to say through the Twitter social network that "I don't know if we are Manuela but surely we are not the other [in reference to Aguirre]. VOTE."Sánchez Juan Luis 20 May 2015 https://www.eldiario.es/juanlusanchez/manuela-carmena-enamorados_132_2663432.html Enamorados de Carmena es eldiario.es 8 November 2025Europa Press 21 May 2015 https://www.publico.es/politica/acto-carmena-desborda-aforo-obliga-cortar-calle.html Un acto de Carmena desborda su aforo y obliga a cortar una calle es Público Madrid 8 November 2025 Carmena had also received the support of dozens of artists who created drawings in support of Carmena's and Ahora Madrid candidacy, with the drawings themselves becoming viral in the social networks.Elguea Susana 18 May 2015 https://cadenaser.com/emisora/2015/05/18/radio_madrid/1431947704_057321.html Mucho arte en apoyo a Manuela Carmena es Cadena SER Madrid 8 November 2025 Following the Telemadrid debate, after which Aguirre was highly criticised for her aggressive behaviour towards Carmena,Escolar Ignacio 19 May 2015 https://www.eldiario.es/escolar/votas-pp-eta_132_2665195.html Si no votas al PP, votas a ETA es eldiario.es 8 November 2025 supporters cast the drawings next to Aguirre's home in Malasaña.20 May 2015 https://www.publico.es/politica/simpatizantes-carmena-proyectan-rostro-casa-esperanza-aguirre.html Simpatizantes de Carmena proyectan su rostro junto a la casa de Esperanza Aguirre es Público Madrid 8 November 2025 On 21 May, a Carmena's act in the center of Madrid exceeded its capacity, originally scheduled for 800 people, resulting in the closing of a street and in Carmena herself apologizing to the around 1,500 people outside that were not able to enter.Silio Elisa 21 May 2015 https://elpais.com/ccaa/2015/05/21/madrid/1432235214_454672.html Un acto de Carmena obliga a cortar una calle del centro de Madrid es El País Madrid 8 November 2025 Opinion polls The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. Voting intention estimates The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 29 seats were required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Madrid. Color key: #FFEAEA Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls 1px solid #AAAAAA #EAFFEA Exit poll 1px solid #AAAAAA Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 28px|link=People's Party of the Community of Madrid|PP 25px|link=Socialist Party of Madrid|PSOE 27px|link=United Left of the Community of Madrid|IUCM–LV 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 27px|link=Ganemos Madrid|Ganemos 30px|link=Ahora Madrid Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 68.9 34.675% Verdana 21 15.375% Verdana 9 1.775% Verdana 0 1.875% Verdana 0 11.475% Verdana 7 "AM" Within Ahora Madrid. "AM" 31.875% Verdana 20 2.8 TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTAEl PP habría ganado las elecciones autonómicas en Madrid pero insuficiente para gobernar https://www.telemadrid.es/noticias/nacional/noticia/el-pp-habria-ganado-las-elecciones-autonomicas-en-madrid-pero-insuficiente es Telemadrid 24 May 2015Ahora Madrid, el partido más votado en la capital según la encuesta a pie de urna https://es.kantar.com/politica-y-social/politica/2015/mayo-2015-encuesta-a-pie-de-urna-elecciones-municipales-ayuntamiento-de-madrid/ es Kantar 24 May 2015 24 May 2015?? 31.975% Verdana 19/22 15.575% Verdana 9/10 2.075% Verdana 0 1.575% Verdana 0 10.875% Verdana 6/7 "AM" "AM" 33.875% Verdana 20/23 1.9 GAD3/Antena 3Encuestas y resultados - elecciones autonómicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015 http://www.slideshare.net/GAD3_com/con-150405-comparativa-encuestas-resultados-antena-3-48692251 es GAD3 28 May 2015 11–22 May 2015???75% Verdana 21/23?75% Verdana 9/10 – –?75% Verdana 7/8 "AM" "AM"?75% Verdana 17/19? PPEl último 'tracking' del PP deja a la izquierda a dos ediles de la mayoría absoluta en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid https://www.infolibre.es/noticias/politica/2015/05/21/el_ultimo_tracking_del_deja_izquierda_borde_mayoria_absoluta_ayuntamiento_32924_1012.html es infoLibre 20 May 2015 20 May 2015???75% Verdana 21?75% Verdana 11?75% Verdana 3 –?75% Verdana 9 "AM" "AM"?75% Verdana 13? Idea Nomina Data/PúblicoAguirre logra cerrar filas entre los votantes del PP pero será desbancada si no obtiene apoyo de C's https://www.publico.es/politica/aguirre-logra-cerrar-filas-votantes.html es Público 17 May 2015 17 May 2015 1,000? 34.0–36.075% Verdana 21/24 17.0–19.075% Verdana 10/12 3.0–4.575% Verdana 0 1.5–2.575% Verdana 0 15.0–17.075% Verdana 9/11 "AM" "AM" 22.0–25.075% Verdana 14/15 11.0–12.0 Metroscopia/El PaísEmpate técnico entre el PP y la lista apoyada por Podemos en Madrid https://politica.elpais.com/politica/2015/05/16/actualidad/1431807609_571866.html es El País 17 May 2015Situación política en el municipio de Madrid https://elpais.com/elpais/2015/05/16/media/1431793196_451252.html es El País 17 May 2015 Sondeo preelectoral en el municipio de Madrid https://blogs.elpais.com/metroscopia/2015/05/sondeo-preelectoral-en-el-municipio-de-madrid.html es Blogs El País 18 May 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20250322122858/https://blogs.elpais.com/metroscopia/2015/05/sondeo-preelectoral-en-el-municipio-de-madrid.html 2025-03-22 13–14 May 2015 1,000 70 29.775% Verdana 19 17.275% Verdana 11 4.375% Verdana 0 0.875% Verdana 0 16.475% Verdana 10 "AM" "AM" 27.875% Verdana 17 1.9 NC Report/La RazónAguirre gana en Madrid, pero sin mayoría absoluta https://www.larazon.es/espana/aguirre-gana-en-madrid-pero-sin-mayoria-absoluta-DA9727216 es La Razón 15 May 2015Intención de voto en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid https://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_3076440_20150515020032.pdf es La Razón 15 May 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20160304120038/https://www.larazon.es/documents/10165/0/video_content_3076440_20150515020032.pdf 4 March 2016 13–14 May 2015 600? 35.275% Verdana 23 20.175% Verdana 13 4.175% Verdana 0 2.875% Verdana 0 16.275% Verdana 10 "AM" "AM" 16.975% Verdana 11 15.1 Sigma Dos/El MundoEl PP se recupera y Podemos sigue por delante del PSOE en intención del voto al Ayuntamiento de Madrid https://www.elmundo.es/madrid/2015/05/15/5555108722601d424a8b45a1.html es El Mundo 15 May 2015Intención de voto y valoración en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid. Gráfico https://www.elmundo.es/grafico/espana/2015/05/14/555508eb268e3e352c8b45c5.html es El Mundo 15 May 2015 12–13 May 2015 800? 36.475% Verdana 22/24 19.275% Verdana 12/13 4.675% Verdana 0 1.675% Verdana 0 14.775% Verdana 9 "AM" "AM" 20.275% Verdana 12/13 16.2 JM&A/PúblicoEl PP depende de C's para gobernar en Madrid, Valencia, Sevilla y Málaga https://www.publico.es/politica/pp-depende-c-s-gobernar.html es Público 15 May 2015 12 May 2015???75% Verdana 22?75% Verdana 12 – –?75% Verdana 10 "AM" "AM"?75% Verdana 13? Sigma Dos/MediasetEl PP conserva Madrid con Podemos y Ciudadanos acechando al PSOE http://www.telecinco.es/informativos/nacional/elecciones_24m/PP-PSOE-Ciudadanos-Podemos-Comunidad_de_Madrid-Ayuntamiento_de_Madrid-elecciones_24M-Sigma_Dos_0_1987125615.html es Telecinco 24 April 2015 4–7 May 2015?? 36.975% Verdana 23/25 20.375% Verdana 12/13 3.675% Verdana 0 1.375% Verdana 0 16.175% Verdana 10 "AM" "AM" 17.675% Verdana 10/11 16.6 MyWord/Cadena SEREsperanza Aguirre podrá ser alcaldesa pero en minoría https://cadenaser.com/emisora/2015/05/11/radio_madrid/1431367719_105447.html es Cadena SER 12 May 2015El ObSERvatorio de la Cadena SER. Estudio preelectoral de la ciudad de Madrid (12/5/2015) http://myword.es/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/El-ObSERvatorio-de-MyWord-Madrid-ciudad-Mayo-2015.pdf es MyWord 12 May 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20160105111251/http://myword.es/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/El-ObSERvatorio-de-MyWord-Madrid-ciudad-Mayo-2015.pdf 5 January 2016 29 Apr–6 May 2015 801? 34.475% Verdana 21/23 17.675% Verdana 10/12 2.975% Verdana 0/3 1.175% Verdana 0 17.075% Verdana 10/11 "AM" "AM" 21.675% Verdana 13 12.8 JM&A/PúblicoAda Colau empata con Trias, Barberá se estrella en Valencia y Podemos tiene la llave en Sevilla https://www.publico.es/politica/ada-colau-empata-trias-barbera.html es Público 3 May 2015Tracking de sondeos en las capitales: la derecha sólo puede esperar que Ciudadanos salve al PP https://www.publico.es/politica/tracking-sondeos-capitales-ni-siquiera.html es Público 3 May 2015 3 May 2015?? 33.475% Verdana 21 20.375% Verdana 12 5.475% Verdana 3 1.275% Verdana 0 15.375% Verdana 9 "AM" "AM" 20.575% Verdana 12 12.9 InvyMark/laSextaEl Partido Popular perdería la mayoría absoluta en el Ayuntamiento y en la Comunidad de Madrid https://www.lasexta.com/noticias/nacional/partido-popular-perderia-mayoria-absoluta-ayuntamiento-comunidad-madrid_201505025724fc924beb28d44600f523.html es laSexta 2 May 2015MADRID, Abril 2015. Sondeo Invymark https://www.electografica.com/2015/05/madrid-abril-2015-sondeo-invymark.html es Electográfica 2 May 2015 27–30 Apr 2015?? 36.175% Verdana 24 18.575% Verdana 12 4.375% Verdana 0 1.975% Verdana 0 15.575% Verdana 10 "AM" "AM" 17.375% Verdana 11 17.6 Metroscopia/El PaísEl PP gana en Madrid pero tendrá que pactar con Ciudadanos https://politica.elpais.com/politica/2015/05/01/actualidad/1430502203_848886.html es El País 2 May 2015Situación política en el municipio de Madrid https://elpais.com/elpais/2015/05/01/media/1430505073_880916.html es El País 2 May 2015 27–28 Apr 2015 600 69 34.675% Verdana 22 17.275% Verdana 10 4.275% Verdana 0 0.675% Verdana 0 16.975% Verdana 10 "AM" "AM" 24.375% Verdana 15 10.3 Cámara de ComercioMADRID, Abril 2015. Sondeo Cámara de Comercio https://www.electografica.com/2015/04/madrid-abril-2015-sondeo-camara-de.html es Electográfica 23 April 2015 23 Apr 2015?? 35.375% Verdana 21 18.575% Verdana 11 6.775% Verdana 4 1.475% Verdana 0 11.875% Verdana 7 "AM" "AM" 23.675% Verdana 14 11.7 Deimos EstadísticaEl PP ganaría en el Ayuntamiento y la Comunidad de Madrid sin mayoría absoluta https://www.eldiario.es/politica/Encuesta-PP-Ayuntamiento-Comunidad-Madrid_0_380412949.html es eldiario.es 24 April 2015 16–23 Apr 2015 605 77.1 37.675% Verdana 24/25 26.175% Verdana 16 4.375% Verdana 0 2.375% Verdana 0 14.875% Verdana 8/9 "AM" "AM" 12.375% Verdana 8/9 11.5 GAD3/ABCEl PP gana en Madrid, pero necesitará a Ciudadanos para poder gobernar https://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2015/04/26/026.html es ABC 26 April 2015 13–20 Apr 2015 608? 34.575% Verdana 21/23 21.275% Verdana 13/14 4.675% Verdana 0/3 1.175% Verdana 0 15.675% Verdana 9/10 "AM" "AM" 18.275% Verdana 11/12 13.3 EncuestamosEsperanza Aguirre gana en Madrid pero necesita a Ciudadanos para gobernar http://www.encuestamos.com/esperanza-aguirre-gana-en-madrid-pero-necesita-ciudadanos-para-gobernar/ es Encuestamos 25 April 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150512191642/http://www.encuestamos.com/esperanza-aguirre-gana-en-madrid-pero-necesita-ciudadanos-para-gobernar/ 2015-05-12 2–20 Apr 2015 600? 32.975% Verdana 19/22 22.175% Verdana 13/15 4.775% Verdana 0/3 0.875% Verdana 0 14.875% Verdana 8/9 "AM" "AM" 21.875% Verdana 12/14 10.8 CISPreelectoral elecciones autonómicas y municipales 2015. Ciudad de Madrid (Estudio nº 3065. Marzo-Abril 2015) https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/es3065marcap_a es CIS 7 May 2015El PP se echa a la calle para recuperar a las clases medias http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2015/05/08/pagina-17/95357635/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 8 May 2015 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 927? 34.575% Verdana 22/23 18.875% Verdana 12 4.275% Verdana 0 3.275% Verdana 0 14.975% Verdana 9/10 "AM" "AM" 20.875% Verdana 13/14 13.7 Sigma Dos/MediasetEl PP pierde la mayoría absoluta en Madrid http://www.telecinco.es/informativos/nacional/encuesta_SigmaDos-Mediaset-Madrid-Comunidad_de_Madrid-ayuntamiento_de_Madrid-elecciones_24M_0_1976625174.html es Telecinco 24 April 2015 14–16 Apr 2015?? 36.875% Verdana 23/24 17.575% Verdana 10/11 4.975% Verdana 0/3 1.475% Verdana 0 16.875% Verdana 10 "AM" "AM" 18.675% Verdana 11/12 18.2 PPEl PP filtra a los medios una falsa encuesta que da a Esperanza Aguirre como ganadora y al PSOE como tercera fuerza http://www.diarioprogresista.es/el-pp-filtra-a-los-medios-una-falsa-encuesta-que-da-62328.htm es Diario Progresista 3 April 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150407000221/http://www.diarioprogresista.es/el-pp-filtra-a-los-medios-una-falsa-encuesta-que-da-62328.htm 7 April 2015 3 Apr 2015?? 34.0–36.0 18.0–19.0 5.0–6.0 2.0–3.0 14.0–16.0 "AM" "AM" 21.0–22.0 13.0–14.0 Sigma Dos/El MundoEl PP debe 'aprender' a pactar https://www.elmundo.es/espana/2015/04/05/552036d5268e3ef17f8b457b.html es El Mundo 5 April 2015Encuesta electoral: Comunidad y Ayuntamiento de Madrid. Gráfico https://www.elmundo.es/grafico/espana/2015/04/04/5520370c268e3ee57f8b457d.html es El Mundo 5 April 2015 25–26 Mar 2015 800? 34.575% Verdana 20/22 18.775% Verdana 11 6.475% Verdana 3/4 1.475% Verdana 0 15.175% Verdana 9 "AM" "AM" 21.275% Verdana 12/13 13.3 Metroscopia/El País 19–20 Feb 2015?? 31.075% Verdana 20 22.575% Verdana 14 4.575% Verdana 0 2.175% Verdana 0 14.275% Verdana 9 "G" Within Ganemos. 21.975% Verdana 14 – 8.5 PPGonzález pincha en las encuestas internas del PP http://gaceta.es/noticias/encuestas-pp-apuntan-tandem-aguirre-cifuentes-17022015-1941 es La Gaceta 17 February 2015 3 April 2018 28 August 2017 https://web.archive.org/web/20170828143049/https://gaceta.es/noticias/encuestas-pp-apuntan-tandem-aguirre-cifuentes-17022015-1941/ dead MADRID, Febrero 2015. Sondeo interno PP https://www.electografica.com/2015/02/madrid-febrero-2015-sondeo-interno-pp_18.html es Electográfica 18 February 2015 18 Feb 2015??Esperanza Aguirre as PP candidate hypothesis.?75% Verdana 30?75% Verdana 8?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 4 "G"?75% Verdana 9 –??No specified PP candidate.?75% Verdana 26?75% Verdana 9?75% Verdana 3?75% Verdana 4?75% Verdana 6 "G"?75% Verdana 9 –? InvyMark/laSextaEl PP se llevaría la Alcaldía de Madrid pese a que Carmona es el líder más valorado http://www.lasexta.com/noticias/nacional/llevaria-alcaldia-madrid-pese-que-carmona-lider-mas-valorado_2015021500040.html es laSexta 15 February 2015 12–13 Feb 2015?? 40.175% Verdana 26 21.575% Verdana 14 5.075% Verdana 3 4.875% Verdana 0 6.575% Verdana 4 "G" 14.975% Verdana 10 – 18.6 Metroscopia/El País 11 Feb 2015?? 29.575% Verdana 19 24.775% Verdana 16 3.875% Verdana 0 4.175% Verdana 0 11.775% Verdana 7 "G" 22.675% Verdana 15 – 4.8 PPUn sondeo del PP hunde a Tomás Gómez por debajo de Podemos https://elpais.com/ccaa/2015/02/04/madrid/1423079381_398447.html es El País 4 February 2015 Gallo Bruno García MADRID, Febrero 2015. Sondeo interno PP https://www.electografica.com/2015/02/madrid-febrero-2015-sondeo-interno-pp.html es Electográfica 5 February 2015 4 Feb 2015???75% Verdana 23?75% Verdana 17 – –?75% Verdana 4 "G"?75% Verdana 13 –? Metroscopia/El País 26 Jan 2015?? 28.775% Verdana 18 22.075% Verdana 14 8.375% Verdana 5 7.275% Verdana 4 8.575% Verdana 5 "G" 18.675% Verdana 11 – 6.7 Sigma Dos/El MundoUna coalición de Podemos e IU empataría con los 'populares' https://www.elmundo.es/madrid/2014/11/26/5474dc37ca47415c1b8b4579.html es El Mundo 26 November 2014Intención de voto en las elecciones municipales a la alcaldía de Madrid https://www.elmundo.es/grafico/espana/2014/11/25/5471d64122601d34698b456e.html es El Mundo 26 November 2014 1–14 Nov 2014 800? 31.475% Verdana 20/21 19.575% Verdana 12/13 6.875% Verdana 4 7.775% Verdana 4/5 4.375% Verdana 0 24.675% Verdana 15/16 – – 6.8 Llorente & CuencaEl reparto del poder territorial en España en 2015 http://www.desarrollando-ideas.com/publico/141104_dmasi_Informe_especial_reparto_poder_territorial_2015.pdf es desarrollando-ideas.com 31 October 2014 31 Oct 2014???75% Verdana 21/24?75% Verdana 11/13?75% Verdana 5/7?75% Verdana 5/7 –?75% Verdana 11/13 – –? GAD3/ABCEl PP pierde la mayoría absoluta en Madrid, pero triplica al PSOE https://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2014/09/14/019.html es ABC 14 September 2014 5–11 Sep 2014 600 71 42.175% Verdana 26 14.475% Verdana 9 7.775% Verdana 4 10.475% Verdana 6 5.375% Verdana 3 15.175% Verdana 9 – – 27.0 2014 EP election 25 May 2014 50.0 32.475% Verdana (23) 18.275% Verdana (13) 10.375% Verdana (7) 9.675% Verdana (7) 4.775% Verdana (0) 10.575% Verdana (7) – – 14.2 Metroscopia/El PaísEl PP se desangra en Madrid https://politica.elpais.com/politica/2014/05/01/actualidad/1398962188_306316.html es El País 2 May 2014Clima político y social de la ciudad de Madrid https://elpais.com/elpais/2014/05/01/media/1398965346_401090.html es El País 2 May 2014 24–28 Apr 2014 600 60 32.575% Verdana 21 23.475% Verdana 15 20.875% Verdana 14 11.675% Verdana 7 – – – – 9.1 InvyMark/laSextaEl PP perdería la mayoría absoluta en el Ayuntamiento de Madrid, según el barómetro de laSexta http://www.lasexta.com/videos-online/programas/al-rojo-vivo/noticias/perderia-mayoria-absoluta-ayuntamiento-madrid-segun-barometro-lasexta_2014051500060.html es laSexta 15 May 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20141202000142/http://www.lasexta.com/videos-online/programas/al-rojo-vivo/noticias/perderia-mayoria-absoluta-ayuntamiento-madrid-segun-barometro-lasexta_2014051500060.html 2014-12-02 21 Apr 2014?? 39.475% Verdana 25 23.575% Verdana 14 14.875% Verdana 9 15.675% Verdana 9 – – – – 15.9 Metroscopia/El PaísLa crisis deja al PP al borde de perder el Gobierno de la capital de España https://politica.elpais.com/politica/2013/05/14/actualidad/1368558470_120159.html es El País 14 May 2013Intención de voto y valoración de líderes en Madrid https://elpais.com/elpais/2013/05/14/media/1368548475_962412.html es El País 14 May 2013 Alonso Antonio 13 May 2013 600 55.2 30.275% Verdana 21 22.175% Verdana 15 20.575% Verdana 14 11.275% Verdana 7 – – – – 8.1 GAD3/ABCAna Botella superaría a Gallardón https://hemeroteca.abc.es/nav/Navigate.exe/hemeroteca/madrid/abc/2012/01/18/044.html es ABC 18 January 2012 9–13 Jan 2012 400? 51.275% Verdana 32/33 22.875% Verdana 14/15 8.175% Verdana 4/5 9.275% Verdana 5/6 – – – – 28.4 2011 general election 20 Nov 2011 75.2 51.675% Verdana (32) 25.775% Verdana (15) 7.975% Verdana (4) 9.875% Verdana (6) – – – – 25.9 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 67.2 49.775% Verdana 31 23.975% Verdana 15 10.775% Verdana 6 7.975% Verdana 5 0.275% Verdana 0 – – – 25.8 Voting preferences The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=People's Party of the Community of Madrid|PP 25px|link=Socialist Party of Madrid|PSOE 27px|link=United Left of the Community of Madrid|IUCM–LV 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD 30px|link=Citizens (Spanish political party)|C's 25px|link=Podemos (Spanish political party)|Podemos 27px|link=Ganemos Madrid|Ganemos 30px|link=Ahora Madrid Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 23.6 10.4 1.2 1.2 7.8 "AM" "AM" 21.8 31.1 1.8 Metroscopia/El País 13–14 May 2015 1,000 20.4 11.7 3.3 0.6 11.1 "AM" "AM" 19.1 27.3 3.9 1.3 MyWord/Cadena SER 29 Apr–6 May 2015 801 14.7 7.5 2.6 1.4 13.4 "AM" "AM" 17.6 30.1 7.0 2.9 Metroscopia/El País 27–28 Apr 2015 600 23.0 12.2 3.0 0.3 12.0 "AM" "AM" 17.2 25.8 4.8 5.8 CIS 23 Mar–19 Apr 2015 927 20.1 12.7 2.7 1.2 10.6 "AM" "AM" 16.9 24.4 9.0 3.2 2014 EP election"CERA" Does not include non-resident citizens. 25 May 2014 16.0 9.0 5.1 4.8 2.3 5.2 – – 50.0 7.0 2011 general election"CERA" 20 Nov 2011 38.5 19.2 5.9 7.3 – – – – 24.8 19.3 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 32.8 15.8 7.1 5.2 0.1 – – – 32.8 17.0 Victory preferences The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=People's Party of the Community of Madrid|PP 25px|link=Socialist Party of Madrid|PSOE Other/None Lead Metroscopia/El País 24–28 Apr 2014 600 23.0 19.0 58.0 4.0 Victory likelihood The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place. Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size 28px|link=People's Party of the Community of Madrid|PP 25px|link=Socialist Party of Madrid|PSOE 27px|link=Union, Progress and Democracy|UPyD Other/None Lead Metroscopia/El País 24–28 Apr 2014 600 62.0 14.0 1.0 23.0 48.0 Results + ← Summary of the 24 May 2015 City Council of Madrid election results → center|325px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− People's Party (PP) 564,154 34.57 −15.12 21 −10 Madrid Now (Ahora Madrid) 519,721 31.84 New 20 +20 Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 249,286 15.27 −8.66 9 −6 Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 186,487 11.43 +11.24 7 +7 Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 29,812 1.83 −6.02 0 −5 United Left of the Community of Madrid–The Greens (IUCM–LV) 27,651 1.69 −9.06 0 −6 Vox (Vox) 9,867 0.60 New 0 ±0 Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 9,599 0.59 +0.13 0 ±0 The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV) 5,409 0.33 New 0 ±0 United Free Citizens (CILUS) 2,512 0.15 New 0 ±0 Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE de las JONS) 2,089 0.13 ±0.00 0 ±0 Blank Seats (EB) 1,895 0.12 New 0 ±0 The National Coalition (LCN) 1,259 0.08 New 0 ±0 Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 1,226 0.08 −0.06 0 ±0 Humanist Party (PH) 1,015 0.06 −0.07 0 ±0 Spanish Alternative (AES) 998 0.06 −0.25 0 ±0 Multi-Cultural Party of Social Justice (MJS) 789 0.05 New 0 ±0 Libertarian Party (P–LIB) 617 0.04 New 0 ±0 Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 543 0.03 New 0 ±0 Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI) 528 0.03 −0.04 0 ±0 Castilian Party–Commoners' Land: Pact (PCAS–TC: Pacto) 490 0.03 −0.03 0 ±0 Union for Leganés (ULEG) 270 0.02 −0.05 0 ±0 Blank ballots 15,825 0.97 −1.87 Total 1,632,042 57 ±0 Valid votes 1,632,042 99.27 +1.09 Invalid votes 12,051 0.73 −1.09 Votes cast / turnout 1,644,093 68.90 +1.68 Abstentions 742,027 31.10 −1.68 Registered voters 2,386,120 SourcesLozano Carles https://www.historiaelectoral.com/mmadrid.html Elecciones Municipales en Madrid (desde 1979) es Historia Electoral.com 4 November 2025https://www.madrid.es/UnidadesDescentralizadas/UDCEstadistica/Nuevaweb/Publicaciones/anuesta/nuevos/Anuario%20Estad%C3%ADstico%20Municipal/Anuario%20estad%C3%ADstico%202017/cap%C3%ADtulos/Cap%C3%ADtulo%2016%20-%20Elecciones.pdf Resultados generales de las Elecciones al Ayuntamiento de Madrid y a la Asamblea de Madrid de 24 de mayo de 2015 es City Council of Madrid 5 November 2025https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/es/elecciones-celebradas/resultados-electorales/ Elecciones celebradas. Resultados electorales es Ministry of the Interior 5 November 2025 5 August 2024 https://web.archive.org/web/20240805154842/https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/es/elecciones-celebradas/resultados-electorales/ dead Official State Gazette 191 11 August 2015 es Acuerdo de 1 de julio de 2015, de la Junta Electoral Central, por el que se procede a la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones locales convocadas por Real Decreto 233/2015, de 30 de marzo, y celebradas el 24 de mayo de 2015, según los datos que figuran en las actas de proclamación remitidas por cada una de las Juntas Electorales de Zona. Provincias: León, Lleida, Lugo, Madrid, Málaga, Murcia, Navarra, Ourense, Palencia, Las Palmas y Pontevedra https://www.boe.es/boe/dias/2015/08/11/pdfs/BOE-A-2015-9031.pdf 0212-033X 72457–73122 5 November 2025 Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px PP People's Party of the Community of Madrid 34.57 Ahora Madrid Ahora Madrid 31.84 PSOE Socialist Party of Madrid 15.27 C's Citizens (Spanish political party) 11.43 UPyD Union, Progress and Democracy 1.83 IUCM–LV United Left of the Community of Madrid 1.69 Others #777777 2.40 Blank ballots #DDDDDD 0.97 Seats #ddd 550px 500px PP People's Party of the Community of Madrid 36.84 Ahora Madrid Ahora Madrid 35.09 PSOE Socialist Party of Madrid 15.79 C's Citizens (Spanish political party) 12.28 Aftermath Government formation Investiture Ballot → 13 June 2015 Required majority → 29 out of 57 Manuela Carmena (AM) • Ahora Madrid (20) • PSOE (9) 29 57 Ahora Madrid 125px 15 Esperanza Aguirre (PP) • PP (21) 21 57 People's Party of the Community of Madrid 125px 15 Begoña Villacís (C's) • C's (7) 7 57 Citizens (Spanish political party) 125px 15 Abstentions/Blank ballots 0 57 gray 125px Absentees 0 57 black 125px SourcesBelver Marta Bécares Roberto 13 June 2015 https://www.elmundo.es/madrid/2015/06/13/557bf7c3e2704ed5268b456f.html Manuela Carmena elegida nueva alcaldesa de Madrid es El Mundo Madrid 12 December 2023 Notes References Opinion poll sources "p" Other Bibliography y Constitución Española Constitution 27 December 1978 version as of 27 September 2011 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1978-31229 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1978-31229&p=20110927 27 December 2016 Constitution 1978 y Ley 7/1985, de 2 de abril, Reguladora de las Bases del Régimen Local Law 7/1985 2 April 1985 version as of 30 December 2013 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1985-5392 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-5392&tn=1&p=20131230 4 November 2025 LBRL 1985 y Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General Organic Law 5/1985 19 June 1985 version as of 31 March 2015 Official State Gazette BOE-A-1985-11672 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20150331 4 November 2025 LOREG 1985 y Real Decreto 233/2015, de 30 de marzo, por el que se convocan elecciones locales y a las Asambleas de Ceuta y Melilla para el 24 de mayo de 2015 Royal Decree 233/2015 30 March 2015 Official State Gazette BOE-A-2015-3448 es https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-2015-3448 10 November 2025 Royal Decree 233/2015 2015 Municipal election Madrid Category:Elections in Madrid Madrid