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2016 Alabama Republican presidential primary
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June 2025
September 2023
2016 Alabama Republican presidential primary Alabama presidential no 2012 Alabama Republican presidential primary 2012 2016 3 1 2020 Alabama Republican presidential primary 2020 x160px Donald Trump New York 36 373,721 43.42% x275px County results x275px Congressional district results 300px #283681 Donald Trump#9ea8e1 30–40%#7786d5 40–50%#5063c9 50–60% c60e3b x160px Marco Rubio Florida 1 160,606 18.66% 99CCFF x160px Ben Carson Virginia 0 88,094 10.24% 283681 d4aa00 x160px Ted Cruz Texas 13 181,479 21.09% AR AK 50 pledged delegates to the2016 Republican National Convention
The 2016 Alabama Republican presidential primary took place on March 1, 2016. This was the fifth primary held in the 2016 Republican primary. Donald Trump won the primary handily. The election was also held on Super Tuesday. Trump eventually won the Republican primary. He was elected President of the United States on November 8, 2016, against Hillary Clinton.
Ahead of the primary, Alabama was considered one of Donald Trump's strongest states.Cox Amanda Katz Josh Quealy Kevin 2016-03-01 Who Will Win Super Tuesday? Live Estimates of Tonight’s Final Republican Delegate Count en-US The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/03/01/upshot/super-tuesday-live-republican-delegate-estimates.html,%20https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/03/01/upshot/super-tuesday-live-republican-delegate-estimates.html 2022-06-21 0362-4331 Trump enjoyed the endorsement of Senator Jeff Sessions,https://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/sen-jeff-sessions-endorses-trump-219939 Sen. Jeff Sessions endorses Trump Stokols Eli POLITICO en 2019-05-06 who would later join his Department of Justice as Attorney General. Sessions was Trump's first endorsement in the U.S. Senate.
Candidates
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Ben Carson
Endorsements
Donald Trump ;U.S. Senators
Jeff Sessions, U.S. SenatorDiamond Jeremy Sen. Jeff Sessions endorses Donald Trump https://www.cnn.com/2016/02/28/politics/donald-trump-jeff-sessions-endorsement/index.html CNN 9 September 2023 29 February 2016
Polling
Aggregate polls
+Source of poll
aggregationDates
administeredDates
updatedMarco RubioRepublicanDonald TrumpRepublicanTed CruzRepublicanMarginRealClearPoliticsRealClearPoliticsuntil March 1, 2016March 1, 201620.3%38.0%14.7%38.0Trump +17.7FiveThirtyEightFiveThirtyEightuntil March 1, 2016March 1, 201620.4%43.4%17.2%43.4Trump +23.0
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOtherPrimary resultsPrimary resultsMarch 1, 2016Donald Trump43.42%Ted Cruz21.09%Marco Rubio18.66%Ben Carson 10.24%, John Kasich 4.43%, Jeb Bush 0.46%, Mike Huckabee 0.30%, Rand Paul 0.22%, Chris Christie 0.10%, Rick Santorum 0.07%, Carly Fiorina 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%SurveyMonkeyTrump's Lead Looks Steady in Run-Up to Super Tuesday https://www.surveymonkey.com/blog/2016/02/29/trumps-lead-looks-solid-in-run-up-to-super-tuesday/ 1 March 2016 SurveyMonkey March 12, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160312144610/https://www.surveymonkey.com/blog/2016/02/29/trumps-lead-looks-solid-in-run-up-to-super-tuesday/ dead
Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 741February 22–29, 2016Donald Trump47%Ted Cruz
18%Marco Rubio
14%Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 3%, Undecided 9%Monmouth UniversityALABAMA and OKLAHOMA: TRUMP LEADS IN BOTH CLINTON LEADS IN AL, SANDERS IN OK http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/493ca395-91a3-466e-83f0-8c006dbfaa1e.pdf 1 March 2016 Monmouth University Poll March 5, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160305173227/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/493ca395-91a3-466e-83f0-8c006dbfaa1e.pdf dead
Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 450February 25–28, 2016Donald Trump42%Marco Rubio
19%Ted Cruz
16%Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 5%, Undecided 7%Opinion SavvyAlabama Republican Presidential Primary Poll http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/OS-AL-2.26.16.pdf 27 February 2016 Opinion Savvy
Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 460February 25–26, 2016Donald Trump35.8%Marco Rubio
23.0%Ted Cruz
16.2%Ben Carson 10.5%, John Kasich 7.5%, Undecided 7.0%AL.comPoll shows Trump and Cruz in lead in Alabama GOP primary race http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2016/01/poll_shows_trump_and_cruz_in_l.html 23 January 2016 AL.com
Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 500December 10–13, 2015Donald Trump35%Ted Cruz
15%Marco Rubio
12%Ben Carson 12%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Chris Christie 3%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Lindsey Graham <1%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing
Margin of error: ± 2%
Sample size: 1616September 3, 2015Donald Trump38%Ben Carson
16.7%Jeb Bush
4.9%Ted Cruz 4.1%, Mike Huckabee 2.7%, Marco Rubio 2.3%, Carly Fiorina 2.3%, Rand Paul 1.5%, John Kasich 1.3%, Scott Walker 1.1%, Chris Christie 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.4%, Rick Perry 0.3%, Bobby Jindal 0.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.1%, unsure 23.2%News-5/Strategy ResearchNews-5/Strategy Research https://web.archive.org/web/20150813073814/http://wkrg.com/2015/08/12/alabama-republicans-favor-trump-by-wide-margin/ August 13, 2015
Margin of error: ± 2%
Sample size: 3500August 11, 2015Donald Trump30%Jeb Bush
15%Ben Carson
11%Marco Rubio 11%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Ted Cruz 7.5%, Scott Walker 3%, Other 5%Opinion Savvy/Insider AdvantageOpinion Savvy/Insider Advantage
Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 481August 2–3, 2015Donald Trump37.6%Ben Carson
14.6%Jeb Bush
11.8%Mike Huckabee 7.9%, Ted Cruz 4.5%, Scott Walker 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.2%, Marco Rubio 2.6%, Rand Paul 2.2%, Bobby Jindal 2.0%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rick Santorum 1.2%, Rick Perry 1.0%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, Carly Fiorina 0.5%, George Pataki 0.0%, Someone else 1.9%, Undecided 3.1%CygnalCygnal
Margin of error: ± 3.42%
Sample size: 821July 7–8, 2014Jeb Bush19.8%Ben Carson
12.6%Rand Paul
10.5%Chris Christie 8.8%, Rick Perry 7.2%, Ted Cruz 5.6%, Rick Santorum 5.3%, Bobby Jindal 3.9%, Scott Walker 3.6%, Undecided 22.6%
Results
Results by county
+CountyTrumpCruzRubioCarsonKasichUncommittedBushHuckabeeOtherAutauga44.57%20.48%14.75%14.57%3.48%1.01%0.47%0.26%0.40%Baldwin46.87%17.02%19.26%8.39%5.93%1.38%0.45%N/A0.70%Barbour50.16%17.77%14.62%12.26%3.6%0.61%0.3%0.26%0.41%Bibb49.46%25.45%11.18%9.89%2.11%0.76%0.43%0.38%0.35%Blount48.75%24.39%12.15%10.05%2.22%1.12%0.37%0.51%0.42%Bullock56.50%16.97%11.55%8.48%4.15%0.54%1.26%0.18%0.36%Butler53.78%16.68%13.37%11.77%2.69%0.53%0.66%N/A0.53%Calhoun45.06%19.43%16.32%11.83%4.78%1.04%0.64%0.36%0.53%Chambers47.52%20.11%13.04%13.07%3.68%0.96%0.79%0.26%0.57%Cherokee52.10%17.23%15.19%10.01%2.83%1.29%0.37%0.54%0.43%Chilton49.43%21.78%13.44%10.75%2.04%1.10%0.59%0.48%0.38%Choctaw49.93%21.05%14.70%7.89%3.17%1.26%0.93%0.51%0.56%Clarke50.22%19.28%17.48%8.92%2.71%0.41%0.33%0.39%0.26%Clay47.48%20.89%12.49%12.25%3.09%1.60%1.06%0.52%0.62%Cleburne48.30%21.13%13.62%9.95%2.41%1.64%1.55%0.57%0.82%Coffee41.40%23.37%15.52%13.16%3.4%1.32%0.66%0.38%0.64%Colbert47.45%19.62%17.68%10.89%3.05%0.54%N/AN/A0.77%Conecuh59.02%15.96%10.82%10.51%1.30%0.84%0.61%0.46%0.46%Coosa55.32%19.56%10.81%9.02%2.96%0.99%0.45%0.27%0.63%Covington48.14%18.51%13.33%13.33%3.37%1.56%0.81%0.43%0.51%Crenshaw54.50%21.93%9.11%10.42%2.55%0.51%0.44%N/A0.55%Cullman50.65%20.25%13.49%10.96%2.66%0.800.37%0.31%0.51%Dale45.28%21.90%13.02%12.54%3.63%1.76%0.61%0.61%0.66%Dallas59.70%20.66%8.68%5.25%2.63%1.48%0.91%0.57%0.11%DeKalb47.59%16.39%21.60%9.79%2.47%1.01%0.39%0.39%0.37%Elmore47.49%18.35%13.43%14.90%3.58%0.91%0.54%0.29%0.51%Escambia49.33%18.00%17.14%10.24%3.40%0.56%0.49%0.37%0.47%Etowah46.09%20.75%16.79%11.19%3.27%0.74%0.41%0.28%0.49%Fayette49.86%20.97%13.35%9.81%2.49%1.77%0.50%0.88%0.36%Franklin51.47%21.29%13.42%9.26%2.55%0.72%0.33%0.48%0.48%Geneva48.62%23.73%12.99%9.26%2.30%1.31%0.66%0.55%0.59%Greene53.85%21.61%12.09%6.96%3.66%N/A0.73%0.37%0.74%Hale52.07%24.98%11.74%7.77%2.12%0.53%N/A0.26%0.53%Henry46.79%22.28%14.36%11.47%2.81%1.05%0.55%0.29%0.39%Houston40.39%22.56%18.19%11.43%4.13%1.66%0.68%0.44%0.53%Jackson49.89%16.37%16.90%10.82%2.83%2.00%0.37%0.44%0.40%Jefferson35.02%23.82%24.67%8.92%6.09%0.55%0.36%N/A0.58%Lamar50.43%19.26%12.97%9.57%2.87%2.25%0.78%1.03%0.83%Lauderdale42.14%18.36%18.69%12.05%5.52%1.66%0.36%0.53%0.69%Lawrence52.89%17.53%13.53%10.74%2.87%0.93%0.55%0.41%0.55%Lee32.96%23.17%22.50%11.72%7.11%0.98%0.61%0.35%0.59%Limestone43.03%21.39%18.85%10.87%3.90%0.89%0.37%N/A0.70%Lowndes59.52%16.31%9.88%10.48%3.10%0.36%N/AN/A0.36%Macon47.91%19.78%12.38%12.79%5.25%0.67%0.54%0.54%0.13%Madison36.18%20.69%26.03%9.58%5.94%0.59%0.31%N/A0.69%Marengo53.95%21.17%11.79%7.89%2.41%1.21%0.93%0.28%0.37%Marion52.92%19.15%13.91%8.89%2.52%0.77%0.56%0.60%0.68%Marshall49.51%15.12%20.56%9.86%3.23%0.69%0.30%0.29%0.44%Mobile45.22%21.41%18.93%7.71%4.59%0.93%0.49%N/A0.73%Monroe52.06%17.42%15.78%9.87%2.86%0.50%0.53%0.53%0.45%Montgomery39.42%17.59%20.85%12.65%7.30%0.83%0.64%N/A0.73%Morgan44.59%19.73%18.31%11.40%4.53%0.50%0.25%0.27%0.42%Perry51.73%32.80%8.80%4.00%0.53%1.33%0.53%0.27%N/APickens44.05%25.74%13.81%11.31%2.54%0.63%0.70%0.98%0.23%Pike46.02%20.15%14.79%12.81%3.16%1.23%0.79%0.40%0.66%Randolph51.59%20.65%12.83%9.36%2.92%0.94%0.77%0.55%0.39%Russell47.45%27.03%12.31%7.92%2.82%1.04%0.53%N/A0.90%St. Clair44.60%26.88%13.42%10.86%2.69%0.53%0.41%N/A0.61%Shelby34.35%26.37%22.95%9.42%5.03%0.83%0.37%N/A0.67%Sumter59.36%15.90%13.78%7.42%1.41%0.35%1.41%0.35%N/ATalladega51.05%19.98%13.56%9.54%3.80%0.71%0.59%0.35%0.40%Tallapoosa52.78%15.01%14.60%11.40%4.20%0.53%0.62%0.27%0.58%Tuscaloosa37.46%25.05%20.37%10.64%4.44%0.88%0.41%0.29%0.44%Walker55.11%20.37%10.84%8.97%2.37%1.17%0.46%0.32%0.40%Washington53.78%21.82%15.31%6.43%1.14%0.85%N/AN/A0.68%Wilcox54.36%21.59%12.12%8.33%2.27%N/A0.57%0.38%0.38%Winston56.12%18.01%11.85%9.02%2.73%0.90%0.45%0.37%0.54%TOTAL43.42%21.09%18.66%10.24%4.43%0.92%0.46%0.30%0.48%Source
By congressional district
Trump won all 7 congressional districts.https://www.sos.alabama.gov/sites/default/files/voter-pdfs/2016/primaryResultsCertified-Republican-2016-03-11.pdf Certification of Results www.sos.alabama.com October 14, 2023
District Trump Cruz Rubio Alabama 1 1st 46% 19% 19% Alabama 2 2nd 46% 21% 15% Alabama 3 3rd 44% 21% 16% Alabama 4 4th 49% 19% 16% Alabama 5 5th 40% 20% 22% Alabama 6 6th 37% 25% 22% Alabama 7 7th 43% 23% 18%
Analysis
According to Pew Research, Alabama's Republican electorate has the second-highest proportion of white Evangelicals of any Super Tuesday state, at 63% of Republican voters.Lipka Michael A closer look at religion in the Super Tuesday states https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/02/25/a-closer-look-at-religion-in-the-super-tuesday-states/ 2022-06-11 Pew Research Center en-US
Donald Trump won the Alabama primary in a landslide due to support from Evangelical primary voters. Trump carried 43% of Evangelicals compared to 22% for Ted Cruz, according to exit polls by Edison Research.2016 Election Center https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/primaries/polls/al/Rep 2022-06-11 CNN en Many pundits were perplexed by Trump's dominance among culturally conservative Southern whites who were expected to view him as immoral, but he benefitted from voters' racial, cultural, and economic angst that mattered more than shared values.Maxwell Angie 2020-12-30 Why Trump Became a ‘Confederate’ President https://www.degruyter.com/document/doi/10.1515/for-2020-2107/html?lang=en The Forum en 18 4 493–529 10.1515/for-2020-2107 1540-8884 subscription
References
Alabama
Republican presidential primary
Category:Alabama Republican primaries
Category:March 2016 in the United States