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2012 United States presidential election in Vermont
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2012 United States presidential election
2012 United States presidential election in Vermont Vermont presidential no 2008 United States presidential election in Vermont 2008 2016 United States presidential election in Vermont 2016 November 6, 2012 x200px President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States) Illinois Joe Biden 3 199,239 66.57% Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg Mitt Romney Republican Party (United States) Massachusetts Paul Ryan 0 92,698 30.97% x250px County results x250px Municipality results x250px Precinct results
Obama
#b9d7ff 40–50%
#86b6f2 50–60%
#4389e3 60–70%
#1666cb 70–80%
#0645b4 80–90%
Romney
#e27f90 50–60%
No data
#808080 President Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States) Barack Obama Democratic Party (United States)
The 2012 United States presidential election in Vermont took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Vermont voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, U.S. Representative Paul Ryan.
A very liberal Northeastern state, and a former bastion of progressive Republicanism until the realignment election of 1992, Vermont was the second most Democratic state in the nation, weighing in as a whopping 31.74% more Democratic than the national average in the 2012 election. Repeating his success from 2008, Obama again carried Vermont in a landslide, taking 66.57% of the vote to Romney's 30.97%, a Democratic victory margin of 35.60%. Though this was slightly worse than his 2008 performance, when he received 67.46% of the vote to Republican Senator John McCain's 30.45%, a margin of 37.01%, this was still the second best performance for a Democrat in Vermont history, surpassing Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 performance.Vermont Presidential Election Voting History https://www.270towin.com/states/Vermont December 4, 2020 270toWin
Vermont historically was a bastion of northeastern Republicanism, voting Republican in every single election but one between 1856 and 1988, interrupted only in 1964. It also elected solely Republican governors from 1854 to 1962 and solely Republican Senators from 1855 to 1968. However, after migration from liberal northeastern cities such as Boston and New York to Vermont in the 1960s and 70s, it shifted sharply towards the Democratic Party with Bill Clinton's landslide victory in 1992, and has been part of the "Blue Wall" – the 19 jurisdictions, worth 238 electoral votes, that voted Democratic six times in a row from 1992 through 2012 – ever since.Moskowitz Seth January 20, 2020 The Road to 270: Vermont https://www.270towin.com/news/2020/01/20/the-road-to-270-vermont_938.html December 4, 2020 270toWin Vermont also has one of the greenest economies in the country, with its own Clean Air Act and a state trust that buys farmland to support local farming. This, and a virtual nonexistence of party loyalty in the state, guaranteed Obama's landslide victory.Cohen Micah October 1, 2012 'New' Vermont Is Liberal, but 'Old' Vermont Is Still There https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/new-vermont-is-liberal-but-old-vermont-is-still-there/ https://web.archive.org/web/20150419131311/http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/new-vermont-is-liberal-but-old-vermont-is-still-there/ dead April 19, 2015 December 4, 2020 FiveThirtyEight en-US
Obama's best performance was in Windham County, where he received 73.05% of the vote, though he also racked up great margins in Chittenden, Rutland, and Washington Counties, the state's three largest counties and home to Burlington, Rutland, and the state capital of Montpelier, respectively. The only county where he won by a margin of less than 20% is in Essex County in the Northeast Kingdom, generally the most conservative region in the state, where he won by 13.40%.
The results of the 2012 election made Vermont the second most Democratic state in the nation, only surpassed by the 42.71% margin in Obama's birth state of Hawaii. As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time in which the Democratic nominee won Essex County, and by extension, every county in the state.
To date, this is the last time that the towns of Baltimore, Belvidere, Benson, Berkshire, Bloomfield, Brighton, Brownington, Brunswick, Canaan, Charleston, Clarendon, Concord, Coventry, Danby, Derby, Eden, Fair Haven, Franklin, Granby, Groton, Guildhall, Highgate, Holland, Ira, Irasburg, Lowell, Lunenburg, Newport, Norton, Orange, Readsboro, Richford, Searsburg, Sheldon, Stamford, Sutton, Topsham, Troy, Victory, Wells, West Rutland, and Williamstown voted Democratic.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The Democratic primary took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012. Incumbent President Barack Obama ran unopposed. According to the Secretary of State of Vermont's office, he received 40,247 votes (97.28%) and all of the 27 delegates attending the 2012 Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina pledged to support his re-nomination. The remaining 2.72% of the vote was made up of 675 write-ins (1.63%) and 450 blank votes (1.09%).March 6, 2012 2012 President Democratic Primary https://electionarchive.vermont.gov/elections/view/68422/ December 4, 2020 Vermont Elections Database Vermont Secretary of State en-US
Republican primary
2012 Vermont Republican primary Vermont presidential no 2008 Vermont Republican presidential primary 2008 2012 03 06 2016 Vermont Republican presidential primary 2016 x125px Mitt_Romney_by_Gage_Skidmore_6_cropped.jpg Mitt Romney ff6600 Massachusetts 9 24,008 39.45% Ron Paul by Gage Skidmore 3 (crop 2).jpg Ron Paul ffcc00 Texas 4 15,391 25.29% Rick Santorum by Gage Skidmore.jpg Rick Santorum 008000 Pennsylvania 4 14,368 23.61% Newt Gingrich by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg Newt Gingrich 800080 Georgia 0 4,949 8.13% x230px County results x230px Municipality results 210px
#ff6600 Mitt Romney #ffcc00 Ron Paul #008000 Rick Santorum
The Republican primary also took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012.Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar CNN https://www.cnn.com/election/2012/calendar.html January 12, 2012Presidential Primary Dates Federal Election Commission https://www.FEC.gov/pubrec/fe2012/2012pdates.pdf January 23, 2012
Vermont has 17 delegates to the 2012 Republican National Convention. Three superdelegates are bound by the primary results and awarded on a winner-take-all basis. The remaining 14 are awarded winner-take-all to the candidate who wins at least 50% of the vote statewide, or allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 20% of the vote statewide if no one gets a majority.Nate Silver Nate Silver March 4, 2012 Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/04/romney-could-win-majority-of-super-tuesday-delegates/ March 5, 2012 FiveThirtyEight
Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney won the primary with a plurality, receiving 24,008 votes (39.45%) and 9 delegates. He won every single county. Representative from Texas's 14th district Ron Paul placed in second with 15,391 votes, or 25.29%, while former Senator from Pennsylvania Rick Santorum received 14,368 votes, or 23.61%. Both were awarded 4 delegates. The only other candidate to receive over 5% of the vote was former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, with 8.13% of the vote.March 6, 2012 2012 President Republican Primary https://electionarchive.vermont.gov/elections/view/68423/ December 4, 2020 Vermont Elections Database Vermont Secretary of State en-US
Vermont Republican presidential primary, March 6, 2012Official Report of the Canvassing Committee https://web.archive.org/web/20120822185037/http://vermont-elections.org/elections1/2012%20ElecionResults/2012VTOfficialCanvassofVotesPE.pdf 2012-08-22, Retrieved March 22, 2012The Green Papers, January 14, 2012 Candidate Votes Percentage Delegates14px Mitt Romney 24,008 39.45% 9 Ron Paul 15,391 25.29% 4 Rick Santorum 14,368 23.61% 4 Newt Gingrich 4,949 8.13% 0 Jon Huntsman 1,198 1.97% 0 Rick Perry 544 0.89% 0 Write-in 392 0.64% 0 Unprojected delegates: 0 Total: 60,850 100.00% 17
General election
Predictions
SourceRankingAs ofHuffington PostHuffington Post Election Dashboard HuffPost http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map https://archive.today/20130813173708/http://web.archive.org/web/20120502191502/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map 2013-08-13Safe DNovember 6, 2012CNNAmerica's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map CNN http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2012/ecalculator#?battleground dead https://archive.today/20130119130158/http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2012/ecalculator%23?battleground 2013-01-19Safe DNovember 6, 2012 New York TimesElection 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2012/electoral-map.html https://archive.today/20120708093751/http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/electoral-map July 8, 2012 Safe D November 6, 2012Washington Post2012 Presidential Election Results The Washington Post https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-map-2012/president/ limited live https://web.archive.org/web/20120726195644/https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/election-map-2012/president/ 2012-07-26Safe DNovember 6, 2012RealClearPolitics http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html dead https://web.archive.org/web/20110608112207/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html 2011-06-08 RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White HouseSolid DNovember 6, 2012Sabato's Crystal Ball https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/projection-obama-will-likely-win-second-term/ PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERMSolid DNovember 5, 2012FiveThirtyEight https://www.masslive.com/news/2012/11/nate_silvers_political_calcula.html Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcomeSolid DNovember 6, 2012
Candidate ballot access
Barack Obama / Joe Biden, Democratic
Mitt Romney / Paul Ryan, Republican
Gary Earl Johnson / James Polin Gray, Libertarian
Rocky Anderson / Luis J. Rodriguez, Justice
Peta Lindsay / Yari Osorio, Socialism and Liberation
The following candidates had write-in ballot access:
Ron Paul, Republican
Jill Stein / Cheri Honkala, Green
Virgil Goode / Jim Clymer, Constitution
Roseanne Barr / Cindy Sheehan, Peace and Freedom
Results
2012 United States presidential election in Vermonthttp://az357346.vo.msecnd.net/resultsSW.aspx?type=FED&map=MPRC Vermont Secretary of State 2012-11-24 https://web.archive.org/web/20140903123658/http://az357346.vo.msecnd.net/resultsSW.aspx?type=FED&map=MPRC 2014-09-03 dead PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Democratic Barack Obama (incumbent) Joe Biden (incumbent) 199,239 66.57% 3 Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 92,698 30.97% 0 Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 3,487 1.17% 0 Write-ins* Write-ins 2,043 0.68% 0 Justice Rocky Anderson Luis J. Rodriguez 1,128 0.38% 0 Socialism and Liberation Peta Lindsay Yari Osorio 695 0.23% 0 Totals 299,290 100.00% 3
Write-ins included Ron Paul, Republican; and Jill Stein, Green.https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=493197 Our Campaigns - VT US President Race - Nov 06, 2012 Jason n/a ourcampaigns.com 2013 2015-08-25
By county
County Barack ObamaDemocratic Mitt RomneyRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # % Addison 12,257 68.44% 5,203 29.05% 450 2.51% 7,054 39.39% 17,910 Bennington 11,514 65.45% 5,687 32.33% 392 2.22% 5,827 33.12% 17,593 Caledonia 8,192 59.97% 5,088 37.24% 381 2.79% 3,104 22.73% 13,661 Chittenden 53,626 69.57% 21,571 27.99% 1,883 2.44% 32,055 41.58% 77,080 Essex 1,539 55.00% 1,164 41.60% 95 3.40% 375 13.40% 2,798 Franklin 12,057 60.62% 7,405 37.23% 426 2.15% 4,652 23.39% 19,888 Grand Isle 2,531 62.11% 1,471 36.10% 73 1.79% 1,060 26.01% 4,075 Lamoille 8,371 69.83% 3,342 27.88% 275 2.29% 5,029 41.95% 11,988 Orange 9,076 64.58% 4,588 32.65% 389 2.77% 4,488 31.93% 14,053 Orleans 7,117 60.87% 4,306 36.83% 269 2.30% 2,811 24.04% 11,692 Rutland 17,088 59.73% 10,835 37.87% 686 2.40% 6,253 21.86% 28,609 Washington 20,351 69.44% 8,093 27.61% 863 2.95% 12,258 41.83% 29,307 Windham 16,026 73.05% 5,347 24.37% 564 2.58% 10,679 48.68% 21,937 Windsor 19,494 67.93% 8,598 29.96% 607 2.11% 10,896 37.97% 28,699Totals199,23966.57%92,69830.97%7,3532.46%106,54135.60%299,290
right 300px Shift by county 300px Trend relative to the state by county
Legend #ff5555 Republican — +7.5−10% #ff8080 Republican — +5−7.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5−5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0−2.5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0−2.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5−5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5−7.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10%
By congressional district
Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.
District Romney Obama RepresentativeAt-large 30.97% 66.57%Peter Welch
See also
2012 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
Results of the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
Vermont Republican Party
United States presidential elections in Vermont
References
External links
The Green Papers: for Vermont
The Green Papers: Major state elections in chronological order
Official Results for 2012 Election in Vermont
Primary Results from Vermont State government
2012
United States President
Vermont