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2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
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2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana Montana presidential 2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana 2014 2017 Montana's at-large congressional district special election 2017 (special) 2016 11 08 Ryan Zinke File:Ryan Zinke official congressional photo (crop).jpg 150x150px Republican Party (United States) 285,358 56.19% Denise Juneau File:Denise Juneau, Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction 5.3.2010.jpg Democratic Party (United States) 205,919 40.55% 300px County results 300px Precinct results 1 Zinke: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% #C21B18 80–90% #A80000 >90%Juneau: #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%Tie: #d2b1d9 40–50% #808080 No votes U.S. Representative Ryan Zinke Republican Party (United States) Ryan Zinke Republican Party (United States)
The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
At the time, Montana's congressional district had a PVI of R+7. Republican Ryan Zinke, who was first elected in 2014, is the incumbent. Zinke was re-elected in 2016.Election 2016 Results: Bullock Re-elected Governor, Zinke Cruises http://flatheadbeacon.com/2016/11/08/election-2016-results-voters-cast-ballots-general-election/ 15 November 2016 Flathead Beacon November 8, 2016Zinke Announces Re-election Bid; Says He Will Defend Values http://flatheadbeacon.com/2016/03/06/zinke-announces-re-election-bid-says-will-defend-values/ 2 May 2016 Associated Press Flathead Beacon March 6, 2016 He faced no primary opposition. Denise Juneau, who at the time of the election was the Montana State Superintendent of Public Instruction, was the lone Democrat to file for election.Denise Juneau launches campaign for Montana's U.S. House seat http://billingsgazette.com/news/local/government-and-politics/denise-juneau-launches-campaign-for-montana-s-u-s-house/article_559f8ac1-b5de-5959-bdb9-34f58dd3d5fe.html 2 May 2016 Associated Press Billings Gazette November 4, 2015Dennison Mike Zinke and Juneau raising big bucks for U.S. House battle http://www.kxlf.com/story/31728721/zinke-and-juneau-raising-big-bucks-for-us-house-battle 2 May 2016 KXLF The primaries were held on June 7.
Republican primary
Candidates
Ryan Zinke, incumbent
Results
Republican primary resultshttp://sos.mt.gov/Elections/2016/2016PrimaryStateCanvass.pdf 2016 Statewide Montana Primary Election Montana Secretary of State June 22, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20161010131348/http://sos.mt.gov/elections/2016/2016PrimaryStateCanvass.pdf October 10, 2016 dead mdy-all
Ryan Zinke (incumbent) Republican Party (United States) 144,660 100.0
144,660 100.0
Democratic primary
Candidates
Denise Juneau, State Superintendent of Public Instruction
Results
Democratic primary results
Denise Juneau Democratic Party (United States) 112,821 100.0
112,821 100.0
General election
Predictions
SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report2016 House Race Ratings for November 7, 2016 http://cookpolitical.com/house/charts/race-ratings House: Race Ratings Cook Political Report November 12, 2016Likely RNovember 7, 2016Daily Kos ElectionsDaily Kos Elections House race ratings: Initial ratings for 2016 http://www.dailykos.com/election-outlook/2016-race-ratings#house Daily Kos Elections November 7, 2016Likely RNovember 7, 2016 Rothenberg2016 House Ratings (November 3, 2016) http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/house House Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report November 3, 2016Likely RNovember 3, 2016 Sabato's Crystal Ball2016 House http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-house Sabato's Crystal Ball November 7, 2016 November 7, 2016Likely RNovember 7, 2016RCPBattle for the House 2016 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/house/2016_elections_house_map.html Real Clear Politics October 31, 2016Likely ROctober 31, 2016
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror RyanZinke (R) DeniseJuneau (D) Other UndecidedMason-DixonMason-Dixon October 10–12, 2016 1,003 ± 3.2% 53% 40% 1%Rick Breckenridge with 1% 6%Montana State University BillingsMontana State University Billings October 3–10, 2016 590 ± 4.0% 50% 31% — 19%
Results
Montana's at-large congressional district, 2016https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/attachments/2016GeneralStatewideCanvass.pdf?dt=1494348815885&dt=1494348873534&dt=1497553987845&dt=1497555053569&dt=1497555121034&dt=1497555299184&dt=1497892315130&dt=1519325848767 2016 General Election Montana Secretary of State December 9, 2016
Ryan Zinke (incumbent) Republican Party (United States) 285,358 56.19% +0.78%
Denise Juneau Democratic Party (United States) 205,919 40.55% +0.14%
Rick Breckenridge Libertarian Party (United States) 16,554 3.26% -0.92%
507,831 100.0% N/A
Republican Party (United States)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Gallatin (largest city: Bozeman)
References
30em
External links
U.S. House election in Montana, 2016 at Ballotpedia
Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets
House
Montana
2016