2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary

none June 2025 May 2023 2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary Ohio presidential no 2012 Ohio Republican presidential primary 2012 2016 03 15 2020 Ohio Republican presidential primary 2020 File:John Kasich (24618295175) (cropped).jpg 160x160px John Kasich Ohio 66 933,886 46.95% 2016 OH GOP presidential primary.svg 250px Ohio results by county. #29ab87 John Kasich #98e6d1 30-40% #6fdcbe 40–50%#46d3ac 50–60% #2cb992 60–70% #283681 Donald Trump #9ea8e1 30–40%#7786d5 40–50%#5063c9 50–60% 00B487 File:Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg Donald Trump 283681 New York 713,404 35.87% 0 File:Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg Ted Cruz DAA520 Texas 264,640 13.31% 0 NC AS The 2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary took place March 15 in the U.S. state of Ohio, as a part of the Republican Party's series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The Ohio primary was held alongside Republican primary elections in Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina, along with the Democratic contest in Ohio. The primary was won by the state's then governor, John Kasich. Background In the 2012 Republican primary elections, the Ohio primary was a winner-take-most primary scheduled for March 6.http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/OH-R Ohio Republican Delegation 2012 www.thegreenpapers.com June 23, 2016 However, the state's winner, Mitt Romney, reached only 37% of the vote and thus won only 58% of the state's delegates. House Bill 153, signed by Governor Kasich, moved the primary to March 15 for the 2016 contest, in what would be dubbed a second Super Tuesday by several news networks.https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/florida-ohio-primaries-march-15-voting-campaign/2016/03/14/5c14965e-ea41-11e5-b0fd-073d5930a7b7_story.html Super Tuesday II: Clinton sweeps Florida, Illinois, Ohio and North Carolina; Rubio quits after Trump wins Florida Washington Post June 23, 2016 In addition, in mid-September, Ohio's Republican Party decided to make the state's 66 delegates completely winner-take-all, in order to maximize the state's power on the nominating convention and to avoid a similar problem to what happened in 2012. This was also expected to help John Kasich, as the state's governor.http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2015/09/ohio_gop_sets_presidential_pri.html Ohio GOP sets presidential primary as a winner-take-all event, a move that could boost John Kasich cleveland.com June 23, 2016 The state of the campaign Previous contests Despite an early victory by Ted Cruz in the Iowa caucuses, Donald Trump was seen as making steady progress towards the Republican nomination at the time. Trump was victorious in 7 of the contests on March 1, with Cruz seen as the only viable threat to Trump after victories in his home state of Texas and 3 other March 1 contests. Marco Rubio performed worse than anticipated on March 1, taking only Minnesota. On March 8, two primaries and a caucus were held in Hawaii, Michigan and Mississippi. Despite a poll from American Research Group that showed Kasich leading Trump in Michigan, Trump won all three contests.http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/mirep.html Michigan Republican Presidential Primary americanresearchgroup.com June 23, 2016https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-wins-mississippi-michigan-primaries/2016/03/08/ecb576d6-e539-11e5-b0fd-073d5930a7b7_story.html Trump wins in Hawaii, Mississippi and Michigan Washington Post June 23, 2016 Run-up to the election Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries#Ohio Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rdOtherPrimary resultsPrimary resultsMarch 15, 2016 John Kasich46.95% Donald Trump35.87% Ted Cruz13.31% Marco Rubio 2.34%, Ben Carson 0.72%, Jeb Bush 0.27%, Mike Huckabee 0.25%, Chris Christie 0.12%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, Rick Santorum 0.07%ARGhttp://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/arg-24082 2016 Ohio Republican Presidential Primary American Research Group March 15, 2016 March 15, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160315033406/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/arg-24082 dead Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400March 12–13, 2016John Kasich44% Donald Trump38% Ted Cruz12% Marco Rubio 2%, Undecided 4%Monmouth Universityhttp://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/e2e94533-5376-4498-8e62-b21454f3e8ba.pdf OHIO: KASICH, TRUMP IN GOP SQUEAKER; CLINTON LEADS IN DEM RACE Monmouth University Polling Institute March 15, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160314235826/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/e2e94533-5376-4498-8e62-b21454f3e8ba.pdf March 14, 2016 dead Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 503March 11–13, 2016John Kasich40% Donald Trump35% Ted Cruz15% Marco Rubio 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 4%Quinnipiac Universityhttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps03142016_O33umkp.pdf TRUMP TOPS RUBIO IN FLORIDA, TIES KASICH IN OHIO, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; CLINTON LEADS SANDERS IN TWO CRITICAL PRIMARIES Quinnipiac University March 14, 2016 March 14, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160314230943/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps03142016_O33umkp.pdf dead Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 721March 8–13, 2016Donald Trump38% John Kasich38% Ted Cruz16% Marco Rubio 3%, Undecided 4%CBS News/YouGovhttp://www.cbsnews.com/news/election-2016-trump-and-kasich-neck-and-neck-ohio-trump-leads-florida/ Poll: Trump and Kasich neck-and-neck in Ohio; Trump leads in Florida YouGov March 13, 2016 Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 798March 9–11, 2016 John Kasich33% Donald Trump33% Ted Cruz27% Marco Rubio 5%, No Preference 2%NBC News/WSJ/Maristhttp://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/polls-trump-ahead-florida-illinois-kasich-leads-ohio-n537356 Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio NBC News March 13, 2016 Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 564March 4–10, 2016 John Kasich39% Donald Trump33% Ted Cruz19% Marco Rubio 6%Fox Newshttp://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/03/09/fox-news-poll-kasich-ahead-in-ohio/ Fox News Poll: Kasich ahead in Ohio Fox News March 10, 2016 Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 806March 5–8, 2016 John Kasich34% Donald Trump29% Ted Cruz19% Marco Rubio 7%, Undecided 5%, Other 3%, None of the above 2%Quinnipiac Universityhttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps03092016_Fhs28mb.pdf TRUMP BURIES RUBIO 2-1 IN FLORIDA GOP PRIMARY, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; KASICH TRYING TO CATCH TRUMP IN OHIO Quinnipiac University March 10, 2016 March 10, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160310021529/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps03092016_Fhs28mb.pdf dead Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 685March 2–7, 2016Donald Trump38% John Kasich32% Ted Cruz16% Marco Rubio 9%, Undecided 5%Public Policy Pollinghttp://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_OH_30716.pdf Trump, Kasich in Tight Ohio Race Public Policy Polling March 8, 2016 Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample size: 638 March 4–6, 2016Donald Trump38%John Kasich35% Ted Cruz15% Marco Rubio 5%, Undecided 5%CNN/ORCBradner Eric CNN/ORC Poll: Trump, Clinton leading in Florida, Ohio http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/09/politics/trump-clinton-lead-florida-ohio/index.html March 9, 2016 CNN March 9, 2016 Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 359March 2–6, 2016Donald Trump41%John Kasich35% Ted Cruz15% Marco Rubio 7%Quinnipiac Universityhttp://www.bw.edu/Assets/stories/2016/ToplineReport_Ohio%20Election%20Poll_Feb24-FINALx.pdf Quinnipiac University Poll February 26, 2016 Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 759 February 16–20, 2016Donald Trump31% John Kasich26% Ted Cruz21% Marco Rubio 13%, Ben Carson 5%, Someone else 0%, DK/NA 5%Baldwin Wallace Universityhttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/oh/oh02232016_Osm46vb.pdf Topline Report: Ohio Election Poll February 26, 2016 February 28, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160228175046/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/oh/oh02232016_Osm46vb.pdf dead Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 440 February 11–20, 2016Donald Trump31%John Kasich29% Ted Cruz11% Marco Rubio 10%, Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 3%, Don't Know 8%Quinnipiac Universityhttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps10072015_S73fgbv.pdf Quinnipiac University Poll January 7, 2016 December 13, 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20151213192340/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps10072015_S73fgbv.pdf dead Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 433 September 25 – October 5, 2015Donald Trump23% Ben Carson18% John Kasich13% Ted Cruz 11%, Carly Fiorina 10%, Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 0%, Would not vote 2%, DK/NA 6%Quinnipiac Universityhttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps08202015_Sdeg82k.pdf Quinnipiac University Poll January 7, 2015 August 20, 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150820182606/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps08202015_Sdeg82k.pdf dead Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 371 August 7–18, 2015John Kasich27% Donald Trump21% Ted Cruz7% Marco Rubio 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Perry 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Don't know 11%Quinnipiac Universityhttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps06182015_Sk32gth.pdf Quinnipiac University Poll January 7, 2015 June 19, 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150619220957/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps06182015_Sk32gth.pdf dead Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 413 June 4–15, 2015John Kasich19% Jeb Bush9% Scott Walker8% Marco Rubio 7%, Rand Paul 7%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Rick Perry 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Donald Trump 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Don't know 17%Public Policy Pollinghttp://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_OH_61015.pdf Public Policy Polling January 7, 2015 Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 411 June 4–7, 2015John Kasich19% Ben Carson13% Scott Walker13% Jeb Bush 12%, Marco Rubio 12%, Rand Paul 9%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Someone Else/Not Sure 8%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac University https://web.archive.org/web/20150404045637/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2182 April 4, 2015 Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 404 March 17–28, 2015John Kasich20% Ted Cruz9% Mike Huckbee9% Scott Walker 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 15%John Kasich22% Scott Walker10% Ted Cruz9% Mike Huckabee 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rick Perry 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 17%John Kasich22% Ted Cruz11% Jeb Bush9% Ben Carson 9%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 15%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac University https://web.archive.org/web/20160405213723/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2131 April 5, 2016 Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 337 January 22 – February 1, 2015Mitt Romney15%John Kasich11%Scott Walker10% Jeb Bush 9%, Rand Paul 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 18%John Kasich14%Scott Walker11%Jeb Bush10% Rand Paul 10%, Ben Carson 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 20%Magellan StrategiesMagellan Strategies Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 300 April 14–15, 2014Mike Huckabee17%Rand Paul15%Jeb Bush13% Chris Christie 13%, Ted Cruz 12%, John Kasich 10%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 4%, Undecided 11%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 357 Aug. 16–19, 2013Chris Christie17%Rand Paul17% Jeb Bush10% Marco Rubio 9%, John Kasich 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Someone Else/Undecided 17% The opinion polls during early March showed a narrow lead for Trump over Governor Kasich. These polls found approximately 10% support for Marco Rubio, in a distant fourth place. Seeing that many Rubio voters also preferred Governor Kasich as "establishment" voters, Rubio's communications director encouraged Rubio voters to vote for Kasich on March 11.http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/11/politics/best-chance-to-stop-trump-in-ohio-is-kasich-rubio-adviser-says/index.html Best chance to stop Trump in Ohio is Kasich, Rubio adviser says Tal Kopan, Julia Manchester and MJ Lee CNN June 23, 2016 The strategy seemed to work, as Kasich drew narrowly ahead in the polls immediately before the election.http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/arg-24082 ARG (3/12-3/13 2016) The Huffington Post June 23, 2016 March 15, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160315033406/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/arg-24082 dead Kasich was seen as a slight favorite to take the state immediately before the primary.https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/florida-ohio-republican-primary-preview/ https://web.archive.org/web/20160314215646/http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/florida-ohio-republican-primary-preview/ dead March 14, 2016 What’s At Stake For Republicans In The March 15 Primaries March 14, 2016 FiveThirtyEight en-US June 23, 2016 Results Marco Rubio suspended his campaign after March 15's contests, although this was more based on a poor Florida primary as opposed to the Ohio contest.https://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/rubio-suspends-presidential-campaign-220827 Rubio suspends presidential campaign POLITICO June 23, 2016 References 30em Ohio Category:2016 elections in Ohio Category:March 2016 in the United States Category:Ohio Republican primaries