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2014 United States Senate special election in Hawaii
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2014 United States Senate special election in Hawaii Hawaii presidential no 2010 United States Senate election in Hawaii 2010 2016 United States Senate election in Hawaii 2016 November 4, 2014 150x150px File:Brian Schatz official portrait (cropped).jpg Brian Schatz Democratic Party (United States) 246,827 69.78% File:Cam Cavasso (cropped).jpg Campbell Cavasso Republican Party (United States) 98,006 27.70% 310px County results 310px Precinct results 1 310px Schatz: #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%Cavasso: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70%#808080 No votes U.S. Senator Brian SchatzIn December 2012, Schatz was appointed by Governor Neil Abercrombie to fill the vacancy caused by the death of Senator Daniel Inouye. Democratic Party (United States) Brian Schatz Democratic Party (United States)
The 2014 United States Senate special election in Hawaii took place on November 4, 2014, the general Election Day in the United States, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Brian Schatz was appointed to the office in December 2012, following the death of longtime senator Daniel Inouye. https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/12/who-is-brian-schatz-the-new-us-senator-from-hawaii/266652 Who Is Brian Schatz, the New U.S. Senator From Hawaii? - David A. Graham - The Atlantic The Atlantic December 27, 2012 July 30, 2014 The special election determined who would serve the remainder of Inouye's term, which ended on January 3, 2017.
The Hawaii primary elections took place on August 9, 2014,2014 Calendar of Elections http://hawaii.gov/elections/calendar/ Hawai'i Office of Elections March 9, 2014 but the Democratic primary remained unresolved until August 15 due to areas affected by damage from Tropical Storm Iselle. Schatz narrowly fended off a primary challenge from U.S. Representative Colleen Hanabusa and then went on to defeat the Republican nominee, former state representative Campbell Cavasso, in a landslide. This was the first election since 1959 in which a non-Asian was elected to represent Hawaii in the U.S. Senate.
Background
Daniel Inouye announced that he planned to run for a record tenth term in 2016, when he would have been 92 years old. Sen. Daniel Inouye goes silent on big Hawaiian race https://www.politico.com/news/stories/0411/53021_Page2.html Politico April 12, 2011 Manu Raju and John Bresnahan June 23, 2025 July 9, 2025 https://web.archive.org/web/20250709161149/https://www.politico.com/news/stories/0411/53021_Page2.html dead Hamilton Chris The Maui News — Inouye has more he wants to do for (Hawaii Senator emphasizes need for Democrats to remain in control) http://www.mauinews.com/page/content.detail/id/564088/Inouye-has-more-he-wants-to-do-for-Hawaii.html?nav=10 The Maui News September 2, 2012 He also said, "I have told my staff and I have told my family that when the time comes, when you question my sanity or question my ability to do things physically or mentally, I don't want you to hesitate, do everything to get me out of here, because I want to make certain the people of Hawaii get the best representation possible."http://www.khon2.com/news/local/story/Sen-Akaka-God-willing-I-Plan-to-Run-Again-in-2012/SawY7oCPAUWYz4rHaROnDw.cspx Sen. Akaka: "God willing, I Plan to Run Again in 2012" April 26, 2010 March 3, 2011 KHON2 Ron Mizutani https://web.archive.org/web/20110713145454/http://www.khon2.com/news/local/story/Sen-Akaka-God-willing-I-Plan-to-Run-Again-in-2012/SawY7oCPAUWYz4rHaROnDw.cspx July 13, 2011 dead mdy-all Inouye died on December 17, 2012.Hawaii Sen. Daniel Inouye dies at age 88 https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/12/17/hawaii-sen-daniel-inouye-dies-at-age-88/ Washington Post December 17, 2012 He left a letter encouraging Governor Neil Abercrombie to appoint Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa to succeed Inouye, should he become incapacitated.http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/12/18/inouye-gave-preference-for-successor-before-he-died https://web.archive.org/web/20121231112349/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/12/18/inouye-gave-preference-for-successor-before-he-died/ dead December 31, 2012 CNN: Inouye gave preference for successor before he died CNN.com December 18, 2012 December 18, 2012
Hawaii law allows the governor to appoint an interim senator "who serves until the next regularly-scheduled general election, chosen from a list of three prospective appointees that the prior incumbent's political party submits". Abercrombie appointed the lieutenant governor of Hawaii Brian Schatz as U.S. senator, citing Hanabusa's seniority on the United States House Committee on Armed Services as a chief reason not to appoint her to the position.Lt. Gov. Brian Schatz to Replace Inouye in U.S. Senate | Hawaii Reporter
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Brian Evans, singer and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2004http://www.metro.us/boston/news/local/2014/03/13/fenway-crooner-brian-evans-announces-u-s-senate-run https://web.archive.org/web/20140315125828/http://www.metro.us/boston/news/local/2014/03/13/fenway-crooner-brian-evans-announces-u-s-senate-run/ dead March 15, 2014 'At Fenway' crooner Brian Evans running for Hawaii's U.S. Senate Metro Morgan Rousseau March 13, 2014 March 15, 2014
Colleen Hanabusa, U.S. representativeRep. Colleen Hanabusa to challenge Sen. Brian Schatz in 2014 primary http://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/story/22048463/colleen-hanabusa-to-challenge-sen-brian-schatz-in-2014-primary April 23, 2013 Hawaii News Now April 23, 2013
Brian Schatz, incumbent U.S. senatorFormer Congressman Ed Case Joins Growing List of Democrats Applying for Inouye’s U.S. Senate Seat | Hawaii Reporter
Declined
Gil Kahele, state senator
Esther Kia'aina, deputy director of the Hawai'i Department of Land and Natural Resources
Endorsements
Brian Schatz
Politicians
Michael Bloomberg, former mayor of New York CityBloomberg to Headline Schatz Reception in Honolulu http://www.civilbeat.com/articles/2013/12/03/20560-bloomberg-to-headline-schatz-reception-in-honolulu/ July 22, 2013 Civil Beat Chad Blair December 3, 2013
Al Gore, former vice president of the United StatesAl Gore Endorses Brian Schatz In Hawaii Democratic Senate Primary http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/07/21/al-gore-brian-schatz_n_3631147.html July 22, 2013 Huffington Post Amanda Terkel July 21, 2013
Tom Harkin, U.S. senator (D-IA)KPUA: Harkin backing Schatz in Hawai`i Senate race https://web.archive.org/web/20150211210857/http://www.kpua.net/news.php?id=27919 February 11, 2015 . July 17, 2013. Accessed February 11, 2015.
Barack Obama, president of the United StatesObama Endorses Brian Schatz In Hawaii's Heated Senate Democratic Primary http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/31/obama-brian-schatz-endorsement_n_5059433.html March 31, 2014 The Huffington Post Jennifer Bendery March 31, 2014
Harry Reid, Senate Majority Leader (D-NV)
John D. Waihee III, former governor of Hawaiihttp://www.kitv.com/news/abercrombie-schatz-receive-endorsement-for-upcoming-election/26775706#!baemWL Abercrombie, Schatz receive endorsement for upcoming election | More Local News - KITV Home Kitv.com July 2, 2014 July 25, 2014 August 2026 InternetArchiveBot
Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator (D-MA)Elizabeth Warren Sends Fundraising Letter For Brian Schatz http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/05/29/elizabeth-warren-brian-schatz_n_5412470.html May 29, 2014 The Huffington Post June 3, 2014
Organizations
Council for a Livable Worldhttp://action.brianschatz.com/endorsements Brian Schatz has been endorsed by... February 4, 2016 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20131015175822/http://action.brianschatz.com/endorsements October 15, 2013
Hawaii Regional Council of Carpenters
League of Conservation Voters https://web.archive.org/web/20131015175822/http://action.brianschatz.com/endorsements October 15, 2013
National Weather Service Employees Organization
Ocean Champions
Sierra ClubNo Surprise: Hawaii's Sierra Club Backs Schatz http://hawaii.news.blogs.civilbeat.com/post/60003965327/no-surprise-hawaiis-sierra-club-backs-schatz September 4, 2013 Honolulu Civil Beat Chad Blair September 1, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20131205020106/http://hawaii.news.blogs.civilbeat.com/post/60003965327/no-surprise-hawaiis-sierra-club-backs-schatz December 5, 2013 dead
Newspapers
Honolulu Star-Advertiser http://www.staradvertiser.com/s?action=login Hawaii News, Honolulu, Honolulu News, Sports, Editorial, Features, Travel and Business - Honolulu Star-Advertiser - Hawaii Newspaper November 30, 2011 July 30, 2014
Colleen Hanabusa
Politicians
Daniel Akaka, former U.S. senator (D-HI)Former Senator Daniel Akaka endorses Colleen Hanabusa for 2014
Irene Hirano, widow of Senator InouyeScheuring Ian Wife of late Sen. Inouye backs Hanabusa for Senate http://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/story/22153359/wife-of-late-sen-inouye-backs-hanabusa-for-senate Hawaii News Now May 3, 2013 May 3, 2013
Individuals
George Takeihttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/12/09/george-takei-colleen-hanabusa_n_4414779.html December 10, 2013 George Takei Endorses Hawaii Rep. Colleen Hanabusa The Huffington Post December 9, 2013 Chloe Fox
Organizations
EMILY's ListBurns Alexander Colleen Hanabusa rallies EMILY's List support https://www.politico.com/story/2013/04/colleen-hanabusa-endorsed-by-womens-group-90496.html Politico April 23, 2013 April 23, 2013
Debates
Complete video of debate, July 14, 2014
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror BrianSchatz ColleenHanabusa Other UndecidedQMark Research^QMark Research^ February 2013 500 ± 4.38% 32% 54% — 13%Clarity Campaigns^Clarity Campaigns^ June 10–11, 2013 771 ± 3.53% 35% 46% — 19%Civil BeatCivil Beat June 18–20 & 24, 2013 869 ± 3.3% 36% 33% 9% 23%Mellman Group*Mellman Group* June 26–30, 2013 600 ± ?% 38% 37% — 25%Civil BeatCivil Beat October 9–10, 2013 549 ± 4.2% 38% 36% — 26%Mellman Group*Mellman Group* January 7–13, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 41% 37% — 22%Hawaii Pollhttp://ftpcontent4.worldnow.com/khnl/specials/hipoll2014_tb1-22.pdf Hawaii Poll February 18, 2014 February 24, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140224025853/http://ftpcontent4.worldnow.com/khnl/specials/hipoll2014_tb1-22.pdf dead January 29 – February 3, 2014 528 ± 4.3% 40% 48% — 11%Civil BeatCivil Beat February 12–15, 2014 643 ± 3.9% 40% 40% — 20%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling May 9–11, 2014 606 ± 4% 49% 34% — 17%Civil BeatCivil Beat May 18–19, 2014 520 ± 4.3% 44% 39% — 16%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling July 23–24, 2014 410 ± ? 49% 39% — 11%Civil BeatCivil Beat July 24–28, 2014 895 ± 3.3% 49% 41% — 10%Hawaii PollHawaii Poll July 21–29, 2014 458 ± 4.6% 42% 50% — 8%
* Internal poll for Brian Schatz campaign
^ Internal poll for Colleen Hanabusa campaign
Delay in election result
Primary elections in Hawaii were held on August 9, 2014. However, two precincts in Puna on Hawaiʻi Island did not open due to damage from Hurricane Iselle, and the approximately 8,255 voters in those precincts instead voted on August 15.Blair Chad Hawaii Elections Office Announces Plan for Puna Voting on Friday August 11, 2014 Honolulu Civil Beat Peer News http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/08/hawaii-elections-office-announces-plan-for-puna-voting-on-friday August 12, 2014 The two leading Democratic candidates, Colleen Hanabusa and Brian Schatz, were initially separated by only 1,635 votes, meaning that the outcome was officially uncertain until voting in Puna was finished.Nakaso Dan All eyes on Puna August 11, 2014 Honolulu Star-Advertiser Oahu Publications http://www.staradvertiser.com/newspremium/20140811_ALL_EYESON_PUNA.html August 11, 2014 subscriptionGrube Nick Will Hanabusa's Push in Puna Be Enough? August 10, 2014 Honolulu Civil Beat Peer News http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/08/will-hanabusas-push-in-puna-be-enough August 11, 2014 However, an analysis by Hawaii News Now showed that Hanabusa would need to win approximately 65% of the vote in the outstanding precincts to overtake Schatz, something she had not managed in any other precinct in the state.http://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/story/26245049/puna-voters-give-edge-to-schatz-in-close-race-with-hanabusa Puna voters give edge to Schatz in close race with Hanabusa August 11, 2014 September 8, 2014 Hawaii News Now Thus, Schatz was seen as the likely winner.August 11, 2014 Does Schatz have edge with remaining Hawaii voters? Roll Call https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/214869-schatz-has-edge-in-remaining-hawaii-precincts/ September 8, 2014 After voting in Puna was completed, Schatz was declared the winner by a slightly increased margin of 1,769 votes.DePledge Derrick Reyes B.J. August 16, 2014 It's Schatz Honolulu Star-Advertiser Oahu Publications http://www.staradvertiser.com/newspremium/20140816_ITS_SCHATZ.html August 16, 2014 subscription Hanabusa conceded on August 19.August 19, 2014 Hanabusa Won't Challenge US Senate Election Results Peer News http://www.civilbeat.com/2014/08/hanabusa-wont-challenge-us-senate-election-results Honolulu Civil Beat August 21, 2014
Results
thumb|310px|Results by county:
Map legend #87aade Schatz—40–50% #87de87 Hanabusa—40–50% #5fd35f Hanabusa—50–60%
Democratic primary resultshttp://hawaii.gov/elections/results/2014/primary/files/histatewide.pdf Primary Election 2014 -State of Hawaii – Statewide October 24, 2014 Hawaii Office of Elections
Brian Schatz (incumbent)
Democratic Party (United States)
115,445
48.52%
Colleen Hanabusa
Democratic Party (United States)
113,663
47.77%
Brian Evans
Democratic Party (United States)
4,842
2.03%
Blank vote
Democratic Party (United States)
3,842
1.61%
Over vote
Democratic Party (United States)
150
0.06%
237,942
100.00%
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Campbell Cavasso, former state representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004 and 2010http://www.civilbeat.com/articles/2013/10/22/20203-civil-beat-poll-schatz-has-narrow-lead-over-hanabusa/ Civil Beat Poll — Schatz Has Narrow Lead Over Hanabusa Honolulu Civil Beat Chad Blair October 22, 2013 October 23, 2013
Harry Friel, businessman
Eddie Pirkowski, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2006, 2010 and 2012http://hawaii.gov/elections/candidates/reports/2014/candidate-report_2014-06-10%20certified.pdf Hawaii State Certified Filing Report State of Hawaii, Office of Elections Scott Nago June 10, 2014 June 13, 2014
John Roco, founder of Saint Damien Advocates and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012http://www.chinahawaiitoday.com/#!hawaii. John Roco announces candidacy for U.S. Senate Hawaii 2014 China Hawaii Today April 12, 2014 April 13, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140413143958/http://www.chinahawaiitoday.com/#!hawaii. dead
Declined
Charles Djou, former U.S. representative (running for HI-01) State GOP chair confirms Djou congressional run http://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/story/25039404/state-gop-chair-confirms-djou-congressional-run Hawaii News Now March 21, 2014 Ian Scheuring
Linda Lingle, former governor of Hawaii and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012Colleen Hanabusa favorite for Daniel Inouye seat - Alex Isenstadt - POLITICO.comhttp://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=DB4BA472-D670-4F18-A5A3-5762C11A3231 GOP's third shot at Senate: Charm or bust? Politico James Hohmann November 17, 2013 November 20, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20131124001520/http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=DB4BA472-D670-4F18-A5A3-5762C11A3231 November 24, 2013 dead http://csunshinetoday.csun.edu/education/former-hawaii-gov-linda-lingle-returns-to-csun-to-teach/ Former Hawaii Gov. Linda Lingle Returns to CSUN to Teach CSUN Today January 15, 2014 June 3, 2014
Results
Vote totals listed do not include two precincts that voted on August 15.
Republican primary results
Campbell Cavasso
Republican Party (United States)
25,874
58.61%
John P. Roco
Republican Party (United States)
4,425
10.02%
Harry J. Friel, Jr.
Republican Party (United States)
3,477
7.88%
Eddie Pirkowski
Republican Party (United States)
2,033
4.60%
Blank vote
Republican Party (United States)
8,306
18.81%
Over vote
Republican Party (United States)
34
0.08%
44,149
100.00%
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Michael Kokoski
Results
Libertarian primary results
Michael Kokoski
Libertarian Party (United States)
568
79.89%
Blank vote
Libertarian Party (United States)
143
20.11%
711
100.00%
Independent primary
Candidates
Joy Allison
Arturo Pacheco Reyes
Results
Independent primary results
Joy Allison
Independent politician
388
34.80%
Arturo Pacheco Reyes
Independent politician
184
16.50%
Blank vote
Independent politician
540
48.43%
Over vote
Independent politician
3
0.27%
1,115
100.00%
Neither of the candidates polled enough votes to meet Hawaii's strict criteria for independents to participate in the general election.http://www.ballot-access.org/2014/08/no-independent-candidate-polls-enough-votes-in-hawaii-primary-to-advance-to-general-election-ballot No Independent Candidate Polls Enough Votes in Hawaii Primary to Advance to General Election Ballot Ballot Access News August 10, 2014 October 27, 2014
General election
Predictions
Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139256 The Cook Political Report September 20, 2018 Solid D November 3, 2014 Sabato's Crystal BallThe Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-crystal-balls-final-2014-picks/ Sabato's Crystal Ball November 3, 2014 September 20, 2018 Safe D November 3, 2014 Rothenberg Political Report2014 Senate Ratings http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2014-senate-ratings-november-6-2014 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report September 20, 2018 Safe D November 3, 2014 Real Clear Politics2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014 https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map.html Real Clear Politics September 20, 2018 Safe D November 3, 2014
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror BrianSchatz (D) CampbellCavasso (R) Other UndecidedCBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,087 ± 3% 58% 22% 15% 5%CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 655 ± 6% 62% 27% 0% 10%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 9–10, 2014 750 ± 4% 60% 28% 6% 7%Civil BeatCivil Beat September 11–14, 2014 1,055 ± 3% 62% 25% — 13%CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,319 ± 4% 78% 22% 0% 0%Ward Researchhttp://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/honolulu-star-advertiser-hawaii-news-now-ward-research-21272 Ward Research November 2, 2014 November 2, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20141102205712/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/honolulu-star-advertiser-hawaii-news-now-ward-research-21272 dead October 11–18, 2014 605 ± 4% 71% 20% — 10%Civil BeatCivil Beat October 16–19, 2014 1,221 ± 2.8% 55% 29% — 16%CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,002 ± 6% 70% 18% 1% 11%
Results
United States Senate special election in Hawaii, 2014http://files.hawaii.gov/elections/files/results/2014/general/histatewide.pdf Hawaii General Election 2014 Hawaii Office of Elections November 4, 2014 December 18, 2014
Democratic Party (United States)
Brian Schatz (incumbent)
246,827
69.78%
-5.03%
Republican Party (United States)
Campbell Cavasso
98,006
27.70%
+6.13%
Libertarian Party (United States)
Michael Kokoski
8,941
2.52%
+1.72%
353,774
100.00%
N/A
Democratic Party (United States)
By county
By county yes #B0CEFF;line-height:135%; none
CountyBrian SchatzDemocraticCampbell CavassoRepublicanAll Others#%#%#%Hawaii35,50973.24%11,09322.88%1,8813.88%Honolulu163,41168.15%71,48729.81%4,8892.04%Kauaʻi16,18973.67%5,25023.89%5372.44%Maui31,66872.86%10,16523.39%1,6343.76% Totals246,82769.77%98,00627.7%8,9412.53%
Notes
References
External links
U.S. Senate elections in Hawaii, 2014 at Ballotpedia
Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets
Brian Schatz for U.S. Senate
Eddie Pirkowski for U.S. Senate
Campbell Cavasso for U.S. Senate
Colleen Hanabusa for U.S. Senate
John Roco for U.S. Senate
2014
Hawaii
United States Senate
Hawaii
Hawaii 2014
United States Senate 2014