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2014 United States Senate election in Oregon
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2014 United States Senate election in Oregon Oregon presidential no 2008 United States Senate election in Oregon 2008 2020 United States Senate election in Oregon 2020 November 4, 2014 150x150px File:Merkley official photo (cropped).jpg Jeff Merkley Democratic Party (United States) 814,537 55.73% File: Dr. Monica Wehby (cropped).jpg Monica Wehby Republican Party (United States) 538,847 36.87% 2014 United States Senate election in Oregon results map by county.svg 260px County resultsMerkley: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% Wehby: #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% U.S. Senator Jeff Merkley Democratic Party (United States) Jeff Merkley Democratic Party (United States)
The 2014 United States Senate election in Oregon took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oregon, concurrently with the election of the Governor of Oregon, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeff Merkley successfully ran for reelection to a second term. Despite the national midterm climate being a strong one for Republicans, this was actually a stronger Senate election for him in terms of margin of victory, winning by almost 20% and carrying nine additional counties he had lost in 2008.http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/04/oregons_jeff_merkley_raises_mo.html Oregon's Jeff Merkley raises money early to fight Senate opponents in 2014 April 16, 2012 Pope Charles The Oregonian December 12, 2012 Primary elections were held on May 20, 2014. Merkley easily won the Democratic nomination, while the Republicans nominated pediatric neurosurgeon Monica Wehby. Initially, the race was considered potentially competitive, but Wehby's campaign began to collapse after she faced multiple allegations of stalking and harassment from former partners, and was found to have plagiarized portions of her campaign website.https://www.statesmanjournal.com/story/news/politics/elections/2014/11/04/sen-jeff-merkley-decisively-defeats-monica-wehby/18509023/ Sen. Jeff Merkley decisively defeats Monica Wehby Statesman Journal Staver Anna November 4, 2014
Background
Democrat Jeff Merkley, the Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives, had narrowly defeated two-term Republican incumbent Gordon H. Smith with 49% of the vote in 2008.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidatehttp://www.wweek.com/portland/blog-31339-new_yorker_files_to_run_against_merkley_in_may_primary.html New Yorker Files to Run Against Merkley In May Primary Willamette Week Jaquiss Nigel March 6, 2014 March 12, 2014
Pavel Goberman, fitness instructor and perennial candidatehttp://lanetoday.com/2013/09/08/four-challenge-merkleys-u-s-senate-seat-for-2014-election/ Four Challenge Merkley's U.S. Senate Seat For 2014 Election September 13, 2013 Joanna Evoniuk and Scott Reynolds Lane Today October 11, 2013 October 12, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20131012112307/https://lanetoday.com/2013/09/08/four-challenge-merkleys-u-s-senate-seat-for-2014-election/ dead
Jeff Merkley, incumbent senator
Results
Democratic primary resultshttp://records.sos.state.or.us/ORSOSWebDrawer/RecordView/6873756 May 20, 2014 Primary Election Abstract of Votes: United States Senator June 26, 2014 Oregon Secretary of State October 18, 2020 https://web.archive.org/web/20201018004122/http://records.sos.state.or.us/ORSOSWebDrawer/RecordView/6873756 dead
Jeff Merkley (incumbent)
Democratic Party (United States)
277,120
92.04%
William Bryk
Democratic Party (United States)
11,330
3.76%
Pavel Goberman
Democratic Party (United States)
8,436
2.81%
write-ins
4,194
1.39%
301,080
100.00%
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Mark Callahan, information technology consultant and perennial candidate
Jason Conger, state representativehttp://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/index.ssf/2013/10/jason_conger_sets_us_senate_an.html Jason Conger sets U.S. Senate announcement for Tuesday in Oregon City and Bend October 10, 2013 October 14, 2013 Oregon Live Mapes Jeff
Tim Crawley, attorneyhttp://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/index.ssf/2013/11/gop_hits_jeff_merkley_on_obama.html GOP hits Jeff Merkley on Obamacare as new Republican enters Senate race: Oregon politics today November 4, 2013 Mapes Jeff The Oregonian November 4, 2013
Jo Rae Perkins, former Chairwoman of the Linn County Republican Party and candidate for Mayor of Albany in 2010http://democratherald.com/news/local/jo-rae-perkins-of-albany-announces-bid-for-u-s/article_a0394bce-0694-11e3-a892-001a4bcf887a.html Jo Rae Perkins of Albany announces bid for U.S. Senate August 16, 2013 McInally Mike Albany Democrat-Herald August 19, 2013
Monica Wehby, pediatric neurosurgeonhttp://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/10/portland_doctor_monica_wehby_w.html Portland doctor Monica Wehby will seek to unseat Democrat Jeff Merkley October 29, 2013 Gaston Christian The Oregonian October 30, 2013
Withdrew
Sam Carpenter, businessmanhttp://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/index.ssf/2013/11/sam_carpenter_drops_out_of_gop.html Sam Carpenter drops out of GOP primary for U.S. Senate race in favor of Jason Conger November 4, 2013 Mapes Jeff The Oregonian November 4, 2013
Declined
Bruce Hanna, state representativehttp://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/index.ssf/2013/09/bruce_hanna_decides_not_to_run.html Oregon Live Bruce Hanna decides not to run for re-election -- or, for now, another seat: Oregon politics today September 20, 2013
Rick Miller, owner and founder of Avamerehttp://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/index.ssf/2012/11/are_senate_republicans_trying.html Is Senate GOP trying to recruit a challenger to Jeff Merkley through news media? November 29, 2012 Mapes Jeff The Oregonian December 12, 2012
Gordon H. Smith, former U.S. Senatorhttp://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/08/gordon_smith_finds_happiness_i.html Oregon Live Gordon Smith finds happiness in private sector, has no plans to seek office August 6, 2012
Greg Walden, U.S. Representative and Chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committeehttp://atr.rollcall.com/republicans-pick-greg-walden-as-new-nrcc-chairman Roll Call Republicans Pick Walden as New NRCC Chairman November 14, 2012 May 7, 2013 April 27, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20130507091246/http://atr.rollcall.com/republicans-pick-greg-walden-as-new-nrcc-chairman/ dead
Endorsements
Jason Conger
Individuals
Rick Santorum, former U.S. Representative and former U.S. Senator (R-PA) and candidate for president in 2012http://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/index.ssf/2014/05/rick_santorum_endorses_jason_c.html Rick Santorum endorses Jason Conger, praising his opposition to gay marriage and abortion Oregon Live May 14, 2014 May 15, 2014
Organizations
Oregon Right to Life
Newspapers
Statesman Journalhttp://www.statesmanjournal.com/story/opinion/editorials/2014/05/11/conger-best-republican-take-merkley/8949389/ Conger best Republican to take on Merkley Statesman Journal May 10, 2014 May 15, 2014
Willamette Weekhttp://www.wweek.com/portland/article-22478-don%E2%80%99t_piss_it_away.html?current_page=2 U.S. Senate Jason Conger Republican Primary Willamette Week April 30, 2014 May 2, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140502201920/http://www.wweek.com/portland/article-22478-don%E2%80%99t_piss_it_away.html?current_page=2 May 2, 2014 dead mdy-all
Monica Wehby
Individuals
Ben Carson, retired surgeon and conservative activistOctober 2019
Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the United States House of Representativeshttp://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/index.ssf/2014/04/newt_gingrich_provides_monica.html Newt Gingrich provides Monica Wehby with another out-of-state endorsement in Senate race OregonLive.com April 29, 2014 July 26, 2014
Mitt Romney, former governor of Massachusetts and nominee for President in 2012http://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/index.ssf/2014/05/mitt_romney_joins_national_gop.html Mitt Romney joins national GOP figures in endorsing Monica Wehby in Oregon Senate race OregonLive.com July 26, 2014
Newspapers
The Oregonianhttp://www.oregonlive.com/opinion/index.ssf/2014/04/oregons_republicans_should_vot.html Oregon's Republicans should vote for Monica Wehby: Editorial endorsement April 26, 2014 May 2, 2014
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MarkCallahan JasonConger TimCrawley Jo RaePerkins MonicaWehby UndecidedBenenson Strategy GroupBenenson Strategy Group April 14–17, 2014 410 ± ? — 24% — — 22% 55%Wenzel StrategiesWenzel Strategies May 1–4, 2014 607 ± ? 4% 22% 3% 3% 43% 26%Public Opinion StrategiesPublic Opinion Strategies May 12–13, 2014 500 ± 4.38% 2% 24% 2% 2% 41% 26%
Results
thumb|260px|Results by county:
#e27f7f Wehby #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70%
#ff9955 Conger #ffb380 40–50% #ff9955 50–60% #ff7f2a 60–70%
Republican primary results
Monica Wehby
Republican Party (United States)
134,627
49.96%
Jason Conger
Republican Party (United States)
101,401
37.63%
Mark Callahan
Republican Party (United States)
18,220
6.76%
Jo Rae Perkins
Republican Party (United States)
7,602
2.82%
Tim Crawley
Republican Party (United States)
6,566
2.44%
1,027
0.39%
266,438
100.00%
Independents
The filing deadline for independent candidates is August 26, 2014. In order to qualify, a candidate must submit 17,893 signatures of registered voters or obtain signatures from at least 1,000 electors at a valid assembly of electors.http://ballotpedia.org/Ballot_access_requirements_for_political_candidates_in_Oregon Ballot access requirements for political candidates in Oregon Ballotpedia March 12, 2014
Candidates
Declared
Karl King, massage therapisthttp://lanetoday.com/2014/01/31/u-s-senate-candidate-profile-karl-king-2/ U.S. Senate Candidate Profile: Karl King Lane Today Reynolds Scott January 31, 2014 March 12, 2014
General election
Debates
Complete video of debate, October 14, 2014
Predictions
Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139256 The Cook Political Report September 20, 2018 Likely D November 3, 2014 Sabato's Crystal BallThe Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-crystal-balls-final-2014-picks/ Sabato's Crystal Ball September 20, 2018 Likely D November 3, 2014 Rothenberg Political Report2014 Senate Ratings http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2014-senate-ratings-november-6-2014 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report September 20, 2018 Likely D November 3, 2014 Real Clear Politics2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014 https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map.html Real Clear Politics September 20, 2018 Likely D November 3, 2014
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffMerkley (D) MonicaWehby (R) Other UndecidedHarper Pollinghttp://www.harperpolling.com/polls/oregon-poll-too-close-for-comfort Harper Polling April 4, 2014 April 7, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140407063446/http://www.harperpolling.com/polls/oregon-poll-too-close-for-comfort dead April 1–2, 2014 670 ± 3.91% 46% 34% — 20%Benenson Strategy Group April 14–17, 2014 600 ± 4% 52% 32% — 16%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 21–22, 2014 750 ± 4% 47% 37% 5% 11%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling May 22–27, 2014 956 ± 3.2% 50% 36% — 15%The Tarrance Group*The Tarrance Group* June 1–3, 2014 615 ± 4.1% 41% 39% 9%Karl King (I) 5%, Mike Montchalin (L) 4% 11%SurveyUSASurveyUSA June 5–9, 2014 560 ± 4.2% 50% 32% 9% 9%CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 2,088 ± 2.6% 53% 39% 1% 7%SurveyUSASurveyUSA August 1–5, 2014 564 ± 4.2% 52% 33% 7% 9%Moore Information^Moore Information^ August 5–9, 2014 500 ± 4% 47% 38% — 16%CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,541 ± 4% 51% 39% 1% 9%Rasmussen Reports September 2–3, 2014 750 ± 4% 48% 35% 5% 12%Polling Company/WomanTrendPolling Company/WomanTrend September 9–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 42% 34% 7%Christina Lugo (G) 4%, Mike Montchalin (L) 3% 14%SurveyUSASurveyUSA September 22–24, 2014 568 ± 4.2% 52% 32% 8% 8%CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,508 ± 3% 52% 39% 1% 8%DHM Researchhttp://www.opb.org/news/article/poll-shows-both-statewide-races-swinging-toward-incumbents/ DHM Research October 15, 2014 October 17, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20141017021619/http://www.opb.org/news/article/poll-shows-both-statewide-races-swinging-toward-incumbents/ dead October 2014 ? ± 4.3% 47% 26% 6% 19%SurveyUSASurveyUSA October 16–19, 2014 561 ± 4.2% 53% 32% 7% 8%CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,421 ± 4% 51% 39% 1% 9%SurveyUSASurveyUSA October 23–27, 2014 552 ± 4.3% 53% 32% 8% 6%Elway ResearchElway Research October 26–27, 2014 403 ± 5% 49% 30% 3%Christina Lugo (G) 1%, Mike Montchalin (L) 2% 18%
^ Internal poll for Dennis Richardson campaign
* Internal poll for Monica Wehby campaign
background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);;
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffMerkley (D) AllenAlley (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012 686 ± 3.7% 43% 37% — 20%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling December 3–5, 2012 614 ± 4% 53% 36% — 12%
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffMerkley (D) JasonAtkinson (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012 686 ± 3.7% 43% 34% — 23%
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffMerkley (D) JasonConger (R) Other UndecidedHarper Polling April 1–2, 2014 670 ± 3.91% 47% 40% — 12%Benenson Strategy Group April 14–17, 2014 600 ± 4% 50% 34% — 16%
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffMerkley (D) BruceHanna (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012 686 ± 3.7% 43% 35% — 23%Public Policy Polling December 3–5, 2012 614 ± 4% 52% 34% — 14%
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffMerkley (D) GordonSmith (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling December 3–5, 2012 614 ± 4% 47% 43% — 10%
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffMerkley (D) BruceStarr (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling December 3–5, 2012 614 ± 4% 52% 32% — 16%
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffMerkley (D) GregWalden (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012 686 ± 3.7% 40% 42% — 18%Public Policy Polling December 3–5, 2012 614 ± 4% 47% 42% — 11%
Results
United States Senate election in Oregon, 2014http://records.sos.state.or.us/ORSOSWebDrawer/RecordView/6873735 November 4, 2014, General Election, Official Abstract of Votes: US Senator December 6, 2014 Oregon Secretary of State October 15, 2021 https://web.archive.org/web/20211015204210/http://records.sos.state.or.us/ORSOSWebDrawer/RecordView/6873735 dead
Jeff Merkley (incumbent)
Democratic Party (United States)
814,537
55.73%
+6.83%
Monica Wehby
Republican Party (United States)
538,847
36.87%
-8.68%
Mike Monchalin
Libertarian Party (United States)
44,916
3.07%
N/A
Christina Jean Lugo
Pacific Green Party
32,434
2.22%
N/A
James E. Leuenberger
Constitution Party of Oregon
24,212
1.66%
-3.58%
6,672
0.45%
N/A
1,461,618
100.00%
N/A
Democratic Party (United States)
By county
County Jeff MerkleyDemocratic Monica WehbyRepublican All others Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # % Baker 2,334 33.0% 4,238 60.0% 491 6.9% -1,904 -27.0% 7,063 Benton 23,073 62.4% 11,452 31.0% 2,468 6.7% 11,621 31.4% 36,993 Clackamas 79,219 51.4% 64,447 41.8% 7,267 9.8% 14,772 9.6% 154,205 Clatsop 8,148 56.8% 5,143 35.9% 1,047 7.3% 3,005 20.9% 14,338 Columbia 9,957 50.3% 7,879 39.8% 1,953 9.9% 2,078 10.5% 19,789 Coos 11,521 48.5% 10,294 43.4% 1,920 8.1% 1,227 5.1% 23,735 Crook 3,233 36.6% 4,874 55.2% 716 8.1% -1,641 -18.6% 8,823 Curry 4,371 45.6% 4,470 46.6% 742 7.7% -99 -1.0% 9,583 Deschutes 34,680 50.6% 29,114 42.5% 4,779 6.9% 5,566 8.1% 68,573 Douglas 16,401 40.1% 21,112 51.7% 3,343 8.2% -4,711 -11.6% 40,856 Gilliam 366 42.0% 440 50.5% 66 7.6% -74 -8.5% 872 Grant 1,051 32.8% 1,943 60.6% 213 6.7% -892 -27.8% 3,207 Harney 911 31.1% 1,784 61.0% 230 7.9% -873 -29.9% 2,925 Hood River 5,139 62.8% 2,540 31.0% 510 6.3% 2,599 31.8% 8,189 Jackson 40,740 50.0% 34,619 42.5% 6,040 7.5% 6,121 7.5% 81,399 Jefferson 2,809 41.5% 3,440 50.8% 518 7.7% -631 -9.3% 6,767 Josephine 14,218 42.6% 15,722 47.1% 3,452 10.3% -1,504 -4.5% 33,392 Klamath 8,150 36.1% 12,522 55.5% 1,898 8.4% -4,372 -19.4% 22,570 Lake 966 30.7% 1,930 61.4% 246 9.8% -964 -30.7% 3,142 Lane 89,269 62.2% 44,815 31.2% 9,511 6.6% 44,454 31.0% 143,595 Lincoln 11,484 59.3% 6,360 32.8% 1,523 7.9% 5,124 26.5% 19,367 Linn 18,050 42.3% 20,664 48.5% 3,923 9.2% -2,614 -6.2% 42,637 Malheur 2,051 27.6% 4,755 64.1% 614 8.3% -2,704 -36.5% 7,420 Marion 48,581 48.6% 43,917 43.9% 7,543 7.6% 4,664 4.7% 100,041 Morrow 1,119 35.9% 1,722 55.3% 273 8.7% -603 -19.4% 3,114 Multnomah 216,613 74.6% 53,035 18.3% 20,696 7.2% 162,578 56.3% 290,344 Polk 14,356 48.5% 13,118 44.4% 2,102 7.1% 1,238 4.1% 29,576 Sherman 283 33.1% 523 61.2% 49 5.8% -240 -28.1% 855 Tillamook 5,463 52.1% 4,187 39.9% 831 7.9% 1,276 12.2% 10,481 Umatilla 6,655 35.6% 10,676 57.1% 1,367 7.3% -4,021 -21.5% 18,698 Union 3,816 38.0% 5,498 54.7% 732 7.3% -1,682 -16.7% 10,046 Wallowa 1,215 34.2% 2,140 60.3% 193 5.4% -925 -26.1% 3,548 Wasco 4,563 50.2% 3,787 41.7% 741 8.1% 776 8.5% 9,091 Washington 106,769 56.2% 69,406 36.5% 13,796 7.3% 37,363 19.7% 189,971 Wheeler 275 40.5% 344 50.7% 60 8.8% -69 -10.2% 679 Yamhill 16,688 46.7% 15,937 44.6% 3,109 8.7% 751 2.1% 35,734Totals814,53755.7%538,84736.9%108,2347.4%275,69018.8%1,461,618
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Clackamas (largest city: Lake Oswego)
Coos (largest city: Coos Bay)
Deschutes (largest city: Bend)
Jackson (largest city: Medford)
Marion (largest city: Salem)
Tillamook (largest city: Tillamook)
Polk (largest city: Salem)
Wasco (largest municipality: The Dalles)
Yamhill (largest city: McMinnville)
right 260px Swing by county 260px Trend relative to the state by county
Legend #d40000 Republican — >15% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5−15% #ff2a2a Republican — +10−12.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5−10% #ff8080 Republican — +5−7.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5−5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0−2.5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0−2.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5−5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5−7.5% #4bdbff Democratic — +7.5-10% #09ceff Democratic — +10−12.5% #00bdec Democratic — +12.5−15% #00a1c8 Democratic — >15% 260px County flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
#0671b0 Flip
Republican
#f48882 Hold
See also
2014 United States Senate elections
2014 United States elections
2014 Oregon gubernatorial election
References
External links
U.S. Senate elections in Oregon, 2014 at Ballotpedia
Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites (Archived)
Jeff Merkley for U.S. Senate incumbent
Mark Callahan for U.S. Senate
Jason Conger for U.S. Senate
Tim Crawley for U.S. Senate
Pavel Goberman for U.S. Senate
Karl King for U.S. Senate
Jo Rae Perkins for U.S. Senate
Monica Wehby for U.S. Senate
2014
Oregon
Senate