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2015 Venezuelan parliamentary election
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Venezuela 2010 2020 III National Assembly of Venezuela IV National Assembly of Venezuela All 167 seats in the National Assemblyhttp://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150507/cne-dio-a-conocer-distribucion-de-diputados-a-elegir-en-todo-el-pais CNE dio a conocer distribución de diputados a elegir en todo el país El Universal 7 May 2015 9 May 2015 84 6 December 2015 74.04% ( 7.62pp) MUD Henry Ramos Allup 56.21 112 65 GPPSB Diosdado Cabello 40.92 55 98 Elecciones parlamentarias de Venezuela de 2015 - Resultados por circunscripción.svg Results by constituency and party-list vote by state. President of the NA President of the NA Diosdado Cabello PSUV-GPPSB Henry Ramos AllupHenry Ramos Allup será el nuevo presidente de la AN http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/160103/henry-ramos-allup-sera-el-nuevo-presidente-de-la-an El Universal 3 January 2016 3 January 2015 Caracas es AD-MUD
Parliamentary elections were held in Venezuela on 6 December 2015 to elect the 164 deputies and three indigenous representatives of the National Assembly. They were the fourth parliamentary elections to take place after the 1999 constitution, which abolished the bicameral system in favour of a unicameral parliament, and the first to take place after the death of President Hugo Chávez. Despite predictions from the opposition of a possible last-minute cancellation, the elections took place as scheduled, with the majority of polls showing the Democratic Unity Roundtable (MUD) holding a wide lead over the ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) and its wider alliance, the Great Patriotic Pole (GPP).
The political landscape leading up to the elections was heavily influenced by the severe economic crisis faced by the country, as well as a series of protests that took place in 2014, after which former Chacao mayor and leader of Popular Will, Leopoldo López, was detained and sentenced to 14 years in prison. The scarcity of basic goods and high inflation were the central topics of discussion, with each party blaming their opponent as the cause. Introducing economic policies to counter the crisis, as well as granting amnesty to political prisoners, was the main campaign pledge of the MUD. The ruling PSUV, on the other hand, ran a campaign focused on overcoming what they called an "economic war" led by the right-wing against the Venezuelan people, as well as defending the legacy of Chávez and the social policies introduced during his presidency.
The result was a decisive defeat for the Chavismo, which lost control of the Assembly for the first time since 1999. The MUD, composed of politicians opposed to the government of both Chávez and his successor, won 109 seats, and with the support of the three indigenous representatives, gained a supermajority of 112 seats against 55 won by the GPP. In terms of popular vote, the MUD received 7.7 million votes, an increase of 2.4 million from the 2010 elections, becoming the most voted party in Venezuelan electoral history. In comparison, the GPP only managed to gain an additional 200,000 votes, to total 5.6 million votes.
Background
Since the 1999 Constitutional Assembly elections, the National Assembly was dominated by alliances supportive of President Hugo Chávez. In the 2005 parliamentary elections, most opposition parties decided to withdraw, resulting in all seats being won by the Fifth Republic Movement and other parties supportive of Chávez. For the 2010 elections, an alliance of opposition parties was formed by the Democratic Unity Roundtable to contest the elections, and managed to win 64 seats. The PSUV, which was an alliance formed by Chávez from the Fifth Republic Movement and a number of smaller parties, won 96 seats, maintaining their majority, but lost their two-thirds and three-fifths supermajority. Fatherland for All, a small left-wing party, won two seats.Divulgación Elecciones Parlamentarias – 26 de Septiembre de 2010 http://www.cne.gob.ve/divulgacion_parlamentarias_2010/ 9 April 2015 es After Chávez's death in 2013, his hand-picked successor Maduro was narrowly elected president, continuing Chávez' ideological influence.Oner Imdat 2021-02-02 Nicolas Maduro: A populist without popularity - ECPS https://www.populismstudies.org/nicolas-maduro-a-populist-without-popularity/ 2024-08-19 en-UShttps://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-22220526 Nicolas Maduro sworn in as new Venezuelan president BBC News 19 April 2013 9 April 2015 In 2015, the Democratic Unity Roundtable alliance aimed to improve its result from last time and end the incumbent PSUV government,Cawthorne Andrew Pons Corina Venezuelan opposition head seeks 2015 vote gains, and 'Caribbean Norway' https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-opposition-idUSKCN0HV1Q020141006 9 April 2015 Reuters 6 October 2014 while Maduro said he had faith in the voters giving the government a large majority.Maduro rejects speculation he'll suspend Venezuela elections - Salon.com http://www.salon.com/2015/03/05/maduro_rejects_speculation_hell_suspend_venezuela_elections/ 9 April 2015 AP 5 March 2015 16 April 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150416125448/http://www.salon.com/2015/03/05/maduro_rejects_speculation_hell_suspend_venezuela_elections/ dead
Protests
2014–15 Venezuelan protests
In 2014, a series of protests and demonstrations began in Venezuela. The protests have been attributed to inflation, violence and shortages in Venezuela. The protests have been largely peaceful,Protestas aumentan 278% en primer semestre 2014 http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2014/07/17/protestas-aumentan-278-en-primer-semestre-2014/ 9 April 2015 La Patilla 17 July 2014 es though some have escalated and resulted in violence from both protesters and government forces. The government has accused the protests of being motivated by 'fascists' opposition leaders, capitalism and foreign influence,Milne Seumas Venezuela protests are sign that US wants our oil, says Nicolás Maduro https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/apr/08/venezuela-protests-sign-us-wants-oil-says-nicolas-maduro The Guardian 8 April 2014 9 April 2015 and has itself been accused of censorship, supporting groups called colectivos using violence against protesters and politically motivated arrests.Venezuela: UN rights chief calls for immediate release of opposition leader, politicians https://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=49120#.VEc4WZPF8Q5 United Nations 20 October 2014 9 April 2015
Electoral system
Starting from 2015, the 167 members of the National Assembly were elected by a mixed majoritarian system; 113 members were elected by plurality block voting in 87 constituencies. A total of 51 seats were elected by closed list proportional representation based on the 23 states and the Capital District. Seats were allocated using the d'Hondt method. The remaining three seats were reserved for indigenous peoples, and were elected by the community.January 2022
The opposition coalition held primaries on 17 May in 33 of the 87 electoral districts, choosing candidates for 42 seats; 125 additional candidates were expected to be hand-picked by 'consensus' among party leaders,Ulmer Alexandra Venezuela opposition holds primaries for high-stakes parliament vote https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-idUSKBN0O20IV20150518 26 May 2015 Reuters 17 May 2015 though the rules were later changed to require 40% of opposition candidates to be women and barred some popular opposition candidates from running, a move that experts called unconstitutional.María Delgado Antonio Chavismo pierde participación electoral y opta por inhabilitar a la oposición http://www.elnuevoherald.com/noticias/mundo/america-latina/venezuela-es/article28051480.html 31 July 2015 El Nuevo Herald 21 July 2015 The PSUV held primaries in all 87 electoral districts on 28 June with the Bolivarian government stating there was a participation of 3,162,400 voters,November 2020 though some observing the primaries noticed a large decrease of voters to less than 1 million participating, or about 10% of PSUV members.
Opinion polls
Graphical summary
600px|thumbnail|center|The blue line represents percentage that favor MUD. The red line represents percentage that favor PSUV. Unfilled dots represent individual results of the polls seen below.
Poll results are listed in the tables below in chronological order and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour.
Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize PSUV/GPP MUD Others Don't knowLead IVADGestión de Gobierno y Coyuntura Política Estudio Nacional http://cdn.eluniversal.com//2014/10/13/IVAD-131014.pdf IVAD 14 May 2015 es 29 September 2014 17 February 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150217214749/http://cdn.eluniversal.com//2014/10/13/IVAD-131014.pdf deadMartínez Eugenio G. Legislativas 2015: ¿por qué puede ganar la unidad y perder la oposición?; por Eugenio Martínez « Prodavinci http://prodavinci.com/2014/10/28/actualidad/la-unidad-gana-las-legislativas-de-2015-o-puede-la-oposicion-perderlas-por-eugenio-g-martinez/#_ftn2 14 May 2015 Prodavinci 28 October 2014 es 29 September 2014 800 27.6% 45.2% – 27.2%17.6% Consultores 21 21 September – 2 October 2014 1000 33% 48% –15% DatanálisisDatanálisis: Omnibus Julio Agosto 2015 https://www.scribd.com/doc/276559236/Datanalisis-Omnibus-Julio-Agosto-2015 Datanalisis 16 September 2015 October 2014 1293 21.0% 38.9% 12.9% 17.5%17.9% Datanálisis November 2014 1300 18.8% 39.8% 15.5% 17.5%21% VARIANZASvarianzas: Presentación Encuesta Nacional Diciembre 2014 http://varianzasvenezuela.blogspot.no/2015/01/presentacion-encuesta-nacional.html 14 May 2015 es 11 January 2015VARIANZAS: POPULARIDAD DE MADURO SE UBICA EN 13,5% Barómetro Político http://barometropolitico.com/2015/04/15/varianzas-popularidad-de-maduro-se-ubica-en-135/ https://archive.today/20150416144222/http://barometropolitico.com/2015/04/15/varianzas-popularidad-de-maduro-se-ubica-en-135/ dead 16 April 2015 14 May 2015 Barómetro Político 15 April 2015 es 8–23 December 2014 1200 30.3% 43.9% 4.9% Neither 20.9% 11.2% Don't know, 7.4% It depends, 2.3 % Won't vote13.6% Datanálisis January 2015 1000 17.3% 45.9% 13.8% 17.4%28.6% Keller y AsociadosVásquez Alex Crisis económica pone a prueba liderazgos de la MUD y del PSUV http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Crisis-economica-liderazgos-MUD-PSUV_0_553744768.html 14 May 2015 El Nacional 11 January 2015 es January 2015 1200 44% 56% – –12% MeganalisisEntrevista en el Canal Internacional de Noticias NTN24. http://www.meganalisis.com/entrevistas.html Meganalisis 1 December 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150923004639/http://www.meganalisis.com/entrevistas.html 23 September 2015 dead 25 January 2015 – 21.0% 29.0% – 26.8%8% Datanálisishttp://www.elperiodico.com/es/noticias/internacional/oposicion-venezolana-enfrenta-reto-contencion-3959837 29 August 2015 es La oposición venezolana, ante el reto de la contención 23 February 2015 February 2015 ? 22.5% 59.6% 17.9% –37.1% ICSEnquesta – ICS Febrero 2015 http://www.icslatam.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Encuesta-ICS-febrero-2015.pdf 14 May 2015 es https://web.archive.org/web/20150402140144/http://www.icslatam.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Encuesta-ICS-febrero-2015.pdf 2 April 2015 dead 10–20 February 2015 1300 43.6% 31.6% – 24.8% 12% DatinCorpRODRÍGUEZ T. CARMEN M. DatinCorp: 70% califica entre mala y pésima la situación del país – Nacional y Política http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150316/datincorp-70-califica-entre-mala-y-pesima-la-situacion-del-pais El Universal 14 May 2015 16 March 2015 es 8 February 2015 1200 23.83% 47.83% – 17%No vote (no votaría)24% DatanálisisDatanálisis: Oposición mantiene ventaja de 20% de cara a las parlamentarias – Nacional y Política http://www.eluniversal.com/nacional-y-politica/150421/datanalisis-oposicion-mantiene-ventaja-de-20-de-cara-a-las-parlamentar 14 May 2015 El Universal 21 April 2015 es March 2015 1000 19.0% 42.6% 8.8% 21.3%23.6% Keller y AsociadosKELLER1er Trimestre 2015 https://www.scribd.com/doc/259403142/KELLER1er-Trimestre-2015 Scribd La Patilla 14 May 2015 es 26 February – 13 March 2015 1200 31% 42% 11% 16%11% Datanálisis April 2015 1000 25.0% 45.8% 6.5% 16.5%20.8% VARIANZASvarianzas: Encuesta Nacional Marzo-Abril 2015 http://varianzasvenezuela.blogspot.no/2015/04/encuesta-nacional-marzo-abril-2015.html 14 May 2015 es 14 April 2015 19 March – 2 April 2015 1200 33.7% 46.1% 7.8% 12.5%12.4% UCAB/DelphosPercepciones ciudadanas del Sistema Electoral Venezolano http://puzkas.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/ucabencuesta.pdf 22 May 2015 es 20 May 2015 10–25 April 2015 1200 15.5% 39.2% – 45.7% 20.7% Don't know, 8.2% Won't vote, 16.4% Neither23.7% HercónMarcos Hernández López: Intención voto parlamentarias 2015 http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2015/05/20/marcos-hernandez-lopez-intencion-voto-parlamentarias-2015/ 20 May 2015 es 20 May 2015 1–15 May 2015 1200 28% 52% – 19.8% 11.2% Don't know, 14.2% Won't vote24% DatinCorphttp://barometropolitico.com/2015/06/08/sisepuede-la-oposicion-supera-al-chavismo-por-30-puntos-3/ 29 August 2015 es #SiSePuede: La Oposición supera al Chavismo por 30 Puntos 8 June 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150828112006/http://barometropolitico.com/2015/06/08/sisepuede-la-oposicion-supera-al-chavismo-por-30-puntos-3/ 28 August 2015 dead May 2015 1200 18% 48% 21% 14%30% DatanálisisAprobación de presidente venezolano Maduro cae a 25,8 pct en mayo: sondeo http://lta.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idLTAKBN0OX1UZ20150617 https://web.archive.org/web/20160304122341/http://lta.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idLTAKBN0OX1UZ20150617 dead 4 March 2016 17 June 2015 Reuters América Latina 17 June 2015 es 18–30 May 2015 1000 21.3% 40.1% 10.0% 28.6%18.8% Meganalisis 30 May 2015 –19.5% 17.6% – 28.7% 1.9% IVADChavismo ocupa el tercer lugar de preferencias http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Chavismo-ocupa-tercer-lugar-preferencias_0_672532978.html 28 July 2015 es 28 July 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150729024909/http://www.el-nacional.com/politica/Chavismo-ocupa-tercer-lugar-preferencias_0_672532978.html 29 July 2015 dead 28 May – 11 June 2015 1200 20.8% 32.6% 27.6 19% "The rest declares themselves undecided."11.8% Datanálisishttp://www.notitarde.com/Valencia/Crisis-socioeconomica-restara-curules-a-partidos-oficialistas-/2015/06/06/527766 29 August 2015 es Crisis socioeconómica restará curules a partidos oficialistas https://web.archive.org/web/20150722104516/http://www.notitarde.com/Valencia/Crisis-socioeconomica-restara-curules-a-partidos-oficialistas-/2015/06/06/527766 22 July 2015 dead June 2015 ? 27% 61% 12% –34% HercónSi las elecciones parlamentarias fueran hoy el 70,7% votaría por la oposición (encuesta Hercon) http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2015/06/28/si-las-elecciones-parlamentarias-fueran-hoy-el-707-votaria-por-la-oposicion-encuesta-hercon/ 28 June 2015 es 28 June 2015 20–27 June 2015 2000 28.1% 61.1% – 10.5%33% ICShttp://www.redpres.com/t18785-mayoria-de-venezolanos-confian-que-maduro-mejorara-economia-del-pais-segun-encuesta-ics?highlight=encuesta 29 August 2015 es Mayoría de venezolanos confían que Maduro mejorará economía del país, según encuesta ICS 6–27 July 2015 8000(500 per state)45.3% 37.6% – 17.1% 7.7% DatanálisisRechazo a gestión de Nicolás aumenta al 75,7%, según Datanálisis http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2015/08/13/rechazo-a-gestion-de-nicolas-aumenta-al-757-segun-datanalisis/ 13 August 2015 es 13 August 2015 10–23 July 2015 999 19.2% 42.2% 11.8% 17.5%23% DatinCorpTRACKING DE COYUNTURA http://static1.squarespace.com/static/54347365e4b05d21621151b7/t/55ec5e0fe4b097dd68b5d1d5/1441553935968/TRACKING+DE+COYUNTURA+VENEZUELA+JULIO+2015+WEB+PDF.pdf 7 September 2015 es 7 September 2015 8 December 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20151208161745/http://static1.squarespace.com/static/54347365e4b05d21621151b7/t/55ec5e0fe4b097dd68b5d1d5/1441553935968/TRACKING+DE+COYUNTURA+VENEZUELA+JULIO+2015+WEB+PDF.pdf dead July 2015 1197 20% 42% 14% 23% 13% "Wouldn't Vote, 10% "Undecided"22% MeganalisisRESULTADOS ENCUESTA NACIONAL MEGANALISIS CORRESPONDIENTE AL MES DE SEPTIEMBRE http://notasdemeganalisis.weebly.com Meganalisis 1 December 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20151208112900/http://notasdemeganalisis.weebly.com/ 8 December 2015 dead August 2015 – 16.3% 42.4% – 13.0%26.1% IVADEl 83,6% de los venezolanos no confía en el gobierno de Maduro (encuesta IVAD) http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2015/08/22/el-836-de-los-venezolanos-no-confia-en-el-gobierno-de-maduro-encuesta-ivad/ 23 August 2015 es 22 August 2015 8–16 August 2015 1200 19.3% 57.9% – 22.8%38.6% Keller y AsociadosMaduro ha llevado al oficialismo a ser una clara minoría (encuesta Keller) http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2015/09/16/maduro-ha-llevado-al-oficialismo-a-ser-una-clara-minoria-encuesta-keller/ La Patilla 16 September 2015 27 September 2015 19 August – 5 September 2015 1200 27% 53% 11% 9%26% DatanálisisDatanálisis: Chavismo y oposición necesitan a independientes para ganar el 6D http://globovision.com/luis-vicente-leon-en-vladimir-a-la-1/ https://web.archive.org/web/20150927094953/http://globovision.com/luis-vicente-leon-en-vladimir-a-la-1/ dead 27 September 2015 21 October 2015 Globovision 23 September 2015 September 2015 – 21% 44% 35% –23% DatinCorpMaduro provoca que el chavismo se hunda en los sondeos de Venezuela http://www.abc.es/internacional/20150908/abci-maduro-chavismo-derrumba-sondeos-201509080854.html 27 October 2015 ABC 9 September 2015 September 2015 – 20% 53% –33% Delphos September 2015 – 20% 50% 20% 10%30% Meganalisis September 2015 – 26.7% 37.6% – 35.7%10.9% Venebarómetro/IVADEl 86,8% quiere un cambio en la conducción del país (encuesta Venebarómetro) http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2015/10/11/el-868-quiere-un-cambio-en-la-conduccion-del-pais-encuesta-venebarometro/ 11 October 2015 es 11 October 2015 5–15 September 2015 1200 17.1% 38.3% 28.0% 16.7%21.2% HerconSólo el 20,1% de los venezolanos cree que López es culpable (encuesta flash Hercon) http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2015/09/17/solo-el-201-de-los-venezolanos-cree-que-lopez-es-culpable-encuesta-flash-hercon/ 23 August 2015 es 22 August 2015 13–16 September 2015 1000 22.3% 60.1% 13.0% 4.6%37.8% Consultores 21G. Martínez Eugenio Venezuela: la encuesta de Consultores 21 y los datos sobre el 6D; por Eugenio Martínez http://prodavinci.com/blogs/venezuela-la-encuesta-de-consultores-21-y-los-datos-sobre-el-6d-por-eugenio-martinez/ 21 October 2015 Prodavinci 14 October 2015 4–20 September 2015 – 35.8% 57.8% 3.7% –22% HerconEn 82,7 % se ubica rechazo a gestión de Maduro: 51,2 % entre oficialistas (encuesta Hercon) http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2015/10/01/en-827-se-ubica-rechazo-a-gestion-de-maduro-512-entre-oficialistas-encuesta-hercon/ 1 October 2015 es 1 October 2015 5–20 September 2015 1200 30.3% 62.3% – 7.3%32% Consultores 21Primero Justicia dice que encuestas anuncian derrota de Maduro http://eltiempo.com.ve/venezuela/politica/primero-justicia-dice-que-encuestas-anuncian-derrota-de-maduro/200229 7 November 2015 El Tiempo 1 November 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20151208083018/http://eltiempo.com.ve/venezuela/politica/primero-justicia-dice-que-encuestas-anuncian-derrota-de-maduro/200229 8 December 2015 dead October 2015 – 34% 55% –21% DatanálisisCapriles: "No hay forma que el chavismo gane las legislativas" http://rpp.pe/mundo/venezuela/capriles-no-hay-manera-de-que-el-chavismo-gane-las-legislativas-noticia-913701 14 November 2015 Radio Programas del Perú 14 November 2015 October 2015 – 28.2% 63.2% –35% DatinCorpFRANCISCO M. PÉREZ – En Secreto http://www.el-carabobeno.com/portada/articulo/114562/FRANCISCO-M-PREZ-En-Secreto 7 November 2015 El Carabobeño 20 October 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20151021133533/http://el-carabobeno.com/portada/articulo/114562/FRANCISCO-M-PREZ-En-Secreto 21 October 2015 dead October 2015 – 20% 47% –27% DatinCorpVinogradoff Ludmila Maduro se derrumba con el 82% de rechazo de los venezolanos en las encuestas http://www.abc.es/internacional/abci-maduro-derrumba-82-por-ciento-rechazo-venezolanos-encuestas-201510292128_noticia.html 7 November 2015 ABC 29 October 2015 October 2015 – 39% 56% –17% IVADAzócar Gustavo ¿Están blindadas las elecciones parlamentarias del 6D? http://www.analitica.com/opinion/estan-blindadas-las-elecciones-parlamentarias-del-6d/ 7 November 2015 Analítica 21 October 2015 October 2015 – 22.1% 41.8% 19.7% VenebarómetroVenezuela: todas las encuestas indican la caída estrepitosa del gobierno de Maduro http://www.icndiario.com/2015/10/12/venezuela-todas-las-encuestas-indican-la-caida-estrepitosa-del-gobierno-de-maduro/ 1 December 2015 ICN Diario 12 October 2015 11 October 2015 – 19.9% 43.7% – 26.5%23.8% Keller y AsociadosKeller: Entre votantes seguros, Oposición 59% Oficialismo 25% (encuesta completa) http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2015/11/25/keller-entre-votantes-seguros-oposicion-59-oficialismo-25-encuesta-completa/ 25 November 2015 La Patilla 25 November 2015 5–15 November 2015 1200 25% 59% 11% 6%34% IVADEl voto hacia la AN: Oposición 43,0%, Oficialismo 27,8%, Independientes 11,3% (encuesta IVAD) http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2015/11/25/el-voto-hacia-la-an-oposicion-430-oficialismo-278-independientes-113-encuesta-ivad/ 1 December 2015 La Patilla 25 November 2015 10–20 November 2015 1200 27.8% 43.0% 11.3% 17.8%15.2% VenebarómetroEl 62,8% cree que si gana el oficialismo la situación del país se mantendrá igual o emperorará (Venebarómetro) http://www.lapatilla.com/site/2015/11/29/el-628-cree-que-si-gana-el-oficialismo-la-situacion-del-pais-se-mantendra-igual-o-emperorara-venebarometro/ 29 November 2015 La Patilla 29 November 2015 8–22 November 2015 1200 27.6% 42.7% 11.1% 18.7%15.1% HercónEncuesta Hercon: 65,1% cree que la oposición ganará las elecciones parlamentarias http://www.venezuelaaldia.com/2015/11/encuesta-hercon-651-cree-la-oposicion-ganara-las-elecciones-parlamentarias/ 1 December 2015 Venezuela al Día 28 November 2015 10–25 November 2015 1200 31.6% 60.1% – 8.2%28.5% MeganalisisMega: Entre votantes seguros, Oposición 63% Oficialismo 28% (encuesta completa) http://www.NTN24.com/site/2015/11/295/mega-entre-votantes-seguros-oposicion-63-oficialismo-28-encuesta-completa/ 25 November 2015 NTN24 29 November 2015July 2018 InternetArchiveBot yes 18–26 November 2015 1200 28% 63% 6% 3%35%
Conduct
February 2024
Leading up to the elections, serious issues have been raised about its fairness and credibility.Venezuela's regime is in a scared and ugly mood https://www.economist.com/news/americas/21678241-venezuelas-regime-scared-and-ugly-mood-hook-or-crook 14 November 2015 The Economist 14 November 2015 On 10 October 2015, Brazil pulled out of a UNASUR electoral mission to observe the Venezuelan election over what it said a lack of guarantees by the socialist government and its veto of the choice to head the delegation.https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/brazil-pulls-electoral-mission-venezuela-34609912 Brazil Pulls out of Electoral Mission to Venezuela ABC News 20 October 2015 In a statement on 10 November 2015, Secretary General of the Organization of American States Luis Almagro condemned Venezuela's electoral process, explaining that the ruling party, PSUV, has an unfair advantage with its ability to use public assets, media access, creating dubious voting sheets and by disqualifying opposition politicians, stating that "It's worrying that ... the difficulties only impact the opposition parties".Chinea Eyanir Ellsworth Brian Gupta Girish Craft Diane OAS chief slams Venezuela over election observation https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-election-idUSKCN0SZ33U20151110#XPggHtHpqHDbYWkS.99 14 November 2015 Reuters 10 November 2015
After the election, the opposition MUD coalition was accused of vote-buying in the state of Amazonas.November 2020 The Supreme Court suspended all four Amazonas delegates (one socialist and three opposition).https://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-idUSKBN0UE01C20151231 Venezuela top court blocks four lawmakers-elect from taking office Reuters 31 December 2015 As of May 2018, these claims have not been proven.Claudio Fermín: Los puntos rojos se instalan con dinero público y violan la ley electoral http://www.diariolaregion.net/2018/05/17/claudio-fermin-los-puntos-rojos-se-instalan-con-dinero-publico-y-violan-la-ley-electoral/ 23 May 2018 La Región 17 May 2018 es
United States involvement
thumb|Venezuela: Improved Training and Communications Skills for Political Activists grant document of the National Endowment for Democracy to assist the Venezuelan oppositionThe United States has sought to influence Venezuelan political direction since the 1950s. For the 2015 elections this included mobilising through digital means.Natalia Tsvetkova Viktor Kheifets Anna Sytnik Ivan Tsvetkov 2019 Venezuela in U.S. public diplomacy, 1950s–2000s: The Cold War, democratization, and the digitalization of politics Cogent Social Sciences 5 1 10.1080/23311886.2019.1693109 free Prior to the elections, the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) provided a grant to National Democratic Institute (NDI) for a project called "Venezuela: Improved Training and Communications Skills for Political Activists".Documents Show How the US Government Used Social Media to Intervene in Venezuela https://jacobin.com/2021/10/us-venezuela-election-campaign-intervention-influence-maduro-mud-social-media-facebook 2024-01-25 Jacobin en-US After a Freedom of Information Act request from Jacobin, NED provided documents detailing that about $300,000 were granted to the NDI to assist the Venezuelan opposition with workshops to coach politicians and activists on political messaging, especially on social media. The program focused on using Facebook as a means of building support for the opposition; a database of voters was collected and targeted advertising on social media was utilized to swing government supporters vote for the opposition. The NED said that the program was necessary to combat the Venezuelan government's control of the media in Venezuela and that social media was less susceptible to censorship.
The project was first implemented in the 2013 Venezuelan municipal elections and determined to successfully interact with more voters, with the program subsequently being used for the 2015 parliamentary elections. The NDI claimed credit for the opposition's victory in the elections.
Results
The MUD won 109 of the 164 general seats and all three indigenous seats, which gave them a supermajority in the National Assembly, while the GPP won the remaining 55 seats. Voter turnout was just over 74 percent. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-06/venezuelans-to-vote-in-polls-seen-handing-congress-to-opposition Venezuela Opposition Won Majority of National Assembly Seats 7 December 2015 Bloomberg 7 December 2015
The Great Patriotic Pole coalition led by the PSUV received 5,625,248 votes (40.92%) in the party-list vote. A total of 29 parties were members of the coalition, although six of them ran separately in some states.
File:Asamblea Nacional Venezuela 2015.svg Party-list Constituency Democratic Unity Roundtable 7728025 28 11407456 81 109 United Socialist Party of Venezuela 5203487 23 7911444 32 55 Communist Party of Venezuela 114343 0 161846 0 0 New Vision for My Country 104468 0 146878 0 0 Tupamaro 82188 0 119443 0 0 Red Flag Party 61700 0 61402 0 0 Fatherland for All 56199 0 77687 0 0 National Integration Movement–Unity 50434 0 74719 0 0 Movement for Socialism 37405 0 56720 0 0 Networks Party 33663 0 46090 0 0 For Social Democracy 29647 0 42650 0 0 Independent Solidarity 23075 0 26743 0 0 Independent Party of Zulia 22771 0 22362 0 0 Unidad Democracia Renovadora 21857 0 28777 0 0 People's Electoral Movement 18678 0 24884 0 0 Venezuelan Popular Unity 16286 0 23397 0 0 Revolutionary New Path 12209 0 18403 0 0 Ecological Movement of Venezuela 11847 0 10159 0 0 Independents for National Community 10220 0 14779 0 0 Authentic Renewal Organization 7489 0 12960 0 0 Venezuelan Revolutionary Currents 7383 0 10494 0 0 Republican Bicentennial Vanguard 7362 0 10478 0 0 Alliance for Change 7106 0 10384 0 0 Revolutionary Party of Work 6303 0 8800 0 0 Democratic Unity 5924 0 7454 0 0 Organised Youth of Venezuela 5849 0 9022 0 0 Organized Socialist Party in Venezuela 5049 0 6739 0 0 Organizados para Gobernar Gente Nueva 4349 0 6355 0 0 Labour Movement 3965 0 5271 0 0 Free Voters 3857 0 4959 0 0 Democratic Republican Union 3471 0 4027 0 0 Sovereign Unity 3304 0 1659 0 0 National Opinion 3274 0 2849 0 0 United Youth in National Action with Bimba 2737 0 3224 0 0 Movimiento Conciencia de País 2582 0 3657 0 0 Think Democracy 2536 0 3948 0 0 United Democratic Party for Peace and Liberty 2196 0 3545 0 0 Allied Democrats of Free Expression 2190 0 3288 0 0 Independent People 1994 0 2169 0 0 New Social Order 1796 0 2020 0 0 We Continue to Carabobo 1755 0 2855 0 0 Labour Power 1562 0 1422 0 0 Workers' Party 1295 0 1922 0 0 Socialism and Liberty Party 1229 0 1140 0 0 Intercultural Pluriethnic Movement of Venezuela 1125 0 970 0 0 Venezuelan Independent Will Voters 1001 0 977 0 0 Good Land 882 0 1165 0 0 Renovación en Democracia Nacimiento Alternativo 848 0 1604 0 0 New Majority 727 0 1116 0 0 Independent Movement for the Love of Monagas 712 0 1971 0 0 Revolutionary Socialist Orientation Party 683 0 604 0 0 Movement 100 635 0 1104 0 0 Alpha Project 582 0 1268 0 0 Independent Merideños Progressives 531 0 515 0 0 People on the Street 525 0 516 0 0 United Multi-Ethnic Peoples of Amazonas 516 0 531 0 0 New Socialist Generation 495 0 469 0 0 People of Vargas 488 0 1069 0 0 Sixth Republic 482 0 609 0 0 Socialist Revolutionary Unity 467 0 640 0 0 Sucre Awakens Liberation Movement 426 0 730 0 0 Socialist Renewal Movement 275 0 253 0 0 New Pact 253 0 149 0 0 Labor Party Towards Socialism 155 0 57 0 0 Organised Independent Party 86 0 64 0 0 Revolucionario Independiente Organizado Social 59 0 59 0 0 Everyone United for Amazonas 59 0 36 0 0 Vanguardia Popular 353 0 0 Others 379 0 1088 0 0 Indigenous seats 3 13130975 688138 1396519 19496365 19496365 CNE
List vote by state
States/districts won by the MUDStates/districts won by the GPP
StateMUDGPPOthersMarginState totalVotes%Votes%Votes%Votes% Capital District 662,926 57.23% 460,871 39.79% 34,443 2.97% 202,055 17.45% 1,158,240 Amazonas 33,069 49.81% 30,868 46.49% 2,447 3.69% 2,201 3.32% 66,384 Anzoátegui 451,973 59.34% 288,789 37.91% 20,890 2.74% 163,184 21.43% 761,652 Apure 93,666 44.79% 110,834 53.00% 4,611 2.21% −17,168 −8.21% 209,111 Aragua 468,964 54.07% 375,304 43.27% 22,975 2.75% 94,660 10.80% 867,243 Barinas 217,630 55.68% 166,471 42.59% 6,694 1.71% 51,159 13.09% 390,795 Bolívar 387,771 59.57% 242,849 37.30% 20,309 3.12% 144,922 22.26% 650,929 Carabobo 644,642 58.57% 439,195 39.91% 16,619 1.51% 205,447 18.67% 1,100,456 Cojedes 77,395 46.39% 87,585 52.50% 1,826 1.09% −10,190 −6.11% 166,806 Delta Amacuro 27,087 36.20% 43,813 58.55% 3,922 5.24% −16,726 −22.35% 74,822 Falcón 252,620 54.14% 196,425 42.10% 17,484 3.75% 56,195 12.05% 466,529 Guárico 168,934 48.35% 175,857 50.33% 4,588 1.31% −6,923 −1.98% 349,379 Lara 504,122 54.67% 388,685 42.15% 29,184 3.17% 115,437 12.52% 921,991 Mérida 280,251 63.33% 145,585 32.89% 16,676 3.77% 134,666 30.43% 442,512 Miranda 838,292 58.96% 546,718 38.45% 36,762 2.59% 291,574 20.51% 1,421,772 Monagas 227,635 51.55% 201,182 45.56% 12,705 2.88% 26,453 5.99% 441,522 Nueva Esparta 151,122 60.89% 93,365 37.62% 3,692 1.49% 57,757 23.27% 248,179 Portuguesa 186,905 43.96% 228,409 53.72% 9,833 2.31% −41,504 −9.76% 424,774 Sucre 201,753 49.04% 196,080 47.66% 13,548 3.29% 5,673 1.38% 411,381 Táchira 392,709 65.55% 175,103 29.23% 31,229 5.21% 217,606 36.33% 599,041 Trujillo 180,300 49.48% 168,503 46.25% 15,525 4.26% 11,797 3.24% 364,328 Vargas 99,734 52.27% 85,453 44.78% 5,609 2.94% 14,281 7.48% 190,796 Yaracuy 148,481 48.09% 156,601 50.71% 3,674 1.19% −8,120 −2.63% 308,756 Zulia 1,030,044 60.24% 620,703 36.30% 58,932 3.45% 409,341 23.94% 1,709,679 Total 7,728,025 56.21% 5,625,248 40.92% 394,177 2.87% 2,102,777 15.30% 13,747,450Source: CNE
Elected representatives
N.ºRepresentativeStateParty1Nirma GuarullaAmazonasMUD2Julio Haron YgarzaAmazonasMUD3Luis Carlos PadillaAnzoáteguiMUD4Antonio Barreto SiraAnzoáteguiMUD5José BritoAnzoáteguiMUD6Chaim BucaranAnzoáteguiMUD7Carlos MichelangeliAnzoáteguiMUD8Richard ArteagaAnzoáteguiMUD9Armando ArmasAnzoáteguiMUD10Luis LippaApureMUD11Dinorah FigueraAraguaMUD12Ismael GarcíaAraguaMUD13José TrujilloAraguaMUD14Amelia BelisarioAraguaMUD15Melva ParedesAraguaMUD16Karin SalanovaAraguaMUD17Simón CalzadillaAraguaMUD18Mariela MagallanesAraguaMUD19Julio César ReyesBarinasMUD20Freddy SuperlanoBarinasMUD21Adolfo SuperlanoBarinasMUD22Maribel GuedezBarinasMUD23Andres Eloy CamejoBarinasMUD24Ángel MedinaBolívarMUD25Luis SilvaBolívarMUD26Olivia LozanoBolívarMUD27Francisco SucreBolívarMUD28José PratBolívarMUD29Freddy ValeraBolívarMUD30Américo de GraziaBolívarMUD31Carlos BerrizbeitiaCaraboboMUD32Juan Miguel MatheusCaraboboMUD33Ylidio de AbreuCaraboboMUD34Williams GilCaraboboMUD35Ángel ÁlvarezCaraboboMUD36Marco BozoCaraboboMUD37Romny FloresCaraboboMUD38Carlos LozanoCaraboboMUD39Dennis FernándezCojedesMUD40José Antonio EspañaDelta AmacuroMUD41Gregorio GraterolFalcónMUD42Luis StefanelliFalcónMUD43Eliezer SiritFalcónMUD44Juan ManaureFalcónMUD45Carlos ProsperiGuáricoMUD46Edgar ZambranoLaraMUD47María PerezLaraMUD48Bolivia SuarezLaraMUD49Luis FloridoLaraMUD50Alfonso MarquinaLaraMUD51Teodoro CamposLaraMUD52Milagro ValeroMéridaMUD53Alexis PaparoniMéridaMUD54Addy ValeroMéridaMUD55Williams DavilaMéridaMUD56Carlos PaparoniMéridaMUD57Julio BorgesMirandaMUD58Luis MorenoMirandaMUD59Delsa SolórzanoMirandaMUD60Freddy GuevaraMirandaMUD61Miguel PizarroMirandaMUD62Adriana D'EliaMirandaMUD63Rafael GuzmánMirandaMUD64José AparicioMonagasMUD65Pierre MarounMonagasMUD66María HernandezMonagasMUD67Juan Pablo GarcíaMonagasMUD68Tobias BolívarNueva EspartaMUD69Luis Emilio RondónNueva EspartaMUD70Orlando AvilaNueva EspartaMUD71Jony RahalNueva EspartaMUD72María MartínezPortuguesaMUD73Robert AlcaláSucreMUD74José NoriegaSucreMUD75Milagros PazSucreMUD76Ezequiel PérezTáchiraMUD77Sonia MedinaTáchiraMUD78Laidy GómezTáchiraMUD79Gaby ArellanoTáchiraMUD80Juan RequesensTáchiraMUD81Sergio VergaraTáchiraMUD82Carlos GonzalezTrujilloMUD83Conrado PérezTrujilloMUD84José OlivaresVargasMUD85Milagros EulateVargasMUD86Juan GuaidóVargasMUD87Biagio PilieriYaracuyMUD88Luis ParraYaracuyMUD89Enrique MárquezZuliaMUD90Timoteo ZambranoZuliaMUD91Omar BarbozaZuliaMUD92Avilio TroconizZuliaMUD93Elimar DíazZuliaMUD94Nora BrachoZuliaMUD95Elías MattaZuliaMUD96Juan Pablo GuanipaZuliaMUD97William BarrientosZuliaMUD98José Luis PirelaZuliaMUD99Hernán AlemánZuliaMUD100Juan Carlos VelazcoZuliaMUD101Freddy PazZuliaMUD102Tomás GuanipaDistrito CapitalMUD103Jesús AbreuDistrito CapitalMUD104Marialbert BarriosDistrito CapitalMUD105Jorge MillanDistrito CapitalMUD106Henry Ramos AllupDistrito CapitalMUD107José GuerraDistrito CapitalMUD108Richard BlancoDistrito CapitalMUD109Stalin GonzálezDistrito CapitalMUD110Virgilio FerrerIndigenous Representative West RegionMUD111Gladys GuaipoIndigenous Representative East RegionMUD112Romel GuzamanaIndigenous Representative South RegionMUD1Miguel TadeoAmazonasPSUV2Earle HerreraAnzoáteguiPSUV3Cristobal JiménezApurePSUV4Domingo SantanaApurePSUV5Gerson VizcainoApurePSUV6Héctor ZambranoApurePSUV7Ricardo MolinaAraguaPSUV8Asdrúbal ChávezBarinasPSUV9Héctor RodríguezBolívarPSUV10Saúl OrtegaCaraboboPSUV11Hector AgüeroCaraboboPSUV12Cilia FloresCojedesPSUV13Jorge PérezCojedesPSUV14Nosliw RodríguezCojedesPSUV15Pedro CarreñoDelta AmacuroPSUV16Carlos GómezDelta AmacuroPSUV17Amado HerediaDelta AmacuroPSUV18Victor ClarkFalcónPSUV19Jesús MontillaFalcónPSUV20Óscar FigueraGuáricoPSUV21Christopher ConstantGuáricoPSUV22Eustoquio ContrerasGuáricoPSUV23Juan MarínGuáricoPSUV24Roger Cordero LaraGuáricoPSUV25Carmen MeléndezLaraPSUV26Julio ChávezLaraPSUV27Germán Ferrer esLaraPSUV28Ramón LoboMéridaPSUV29Haiman El TroudiMirandaPSUV30Nora DelgadoMirandaPSUV31Elías JauaMirandaPSUV32Genkerve TovarMirandaPSUV33Elio SerranoMirandaPSUV34Diosdado CabelloMonagasPSUV35Hugo CarvajalMonagasPSUV36Dinorah VillasmilNueva EspartaPSUV37Rafael CallesPortuguesaPSUV38Mariana LerinPortuguesaPSUV39Luis SoteldoPortuguesaPSUV40Willian PérezPortuguesaPSUV41Francisco TorrealbaPortuguesaPSUV42Gilberto PintoSucrePSUV43Edwin RojasSucrePSUV44Rafael RodríguezSucrePSUV45José SanguinoTáchiraPSUV46Hugbel RoaTrujilloPSUV47Yolmar GudiñoTrujilloPSUV48Loengri MatheusTrujilloPSUV49Darío VivasVargasPSUV50Yul JabourYaracuyPSUV51Carlos GamarraYaracuyPSUV52Haydee HuerfanoYaracuyPSUV53Omar PrietoZuliaPSUV54Sergio FuenmayorZuliaPSUV55Tania DíazDistrito CapitalPSUV
Reactions
Domestic
According to the Associated Press, celebrations and fireworks could be heard in the streets of Caracas following the MUD victory.Dreier Hannah Venezuela's Opposition Wins Control of National Assembly https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/venezuelas-opposition-wins-control-national-assembly-35616983 7 December 2015 ABC News 7 December 2015 In a speech following the results, President Maduro acknowledged his party's defeat, saying that, despite these "adverse results", Venezuela's democracy and constitution had triumphed; while calling for peace, re-evaluation, he attributed the opposition's victory to an intensification of the "economic war". https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-35019111 Venezuela opposition wins parliamentary majority 7 December 2015 BBC News 7 December 2015 A defiant Maduro said he would give no quarter to the Venezuelan opposition in spite of his own party's crushing defeat in last weekend's mid-term parliamentary elections. Maduro vowed to block "the counter-revolutionary right" from taking over the country. "We won't let it," he said. Venezuela turmoil as president remains defiant after defeat https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/venezuela-turmoil-as-nicolas-maduro-remains-defiant-after-electoral-defeat-a6766981.html The Independent 10 December 2015 en-GB The leader of the MUD, Jesús Torrealba, told supporters after their party's victory that "The country wants change and that change is beginning today". Henrique Capriles Radonski, a leading opposition politician, stated "The results are as we hoped. Venezuela has won. It's irreversible".
International
Venezuelan bonds grew across the board about one to three cents after the announcement of MUD's victory in the elections, with one researcher at Exotix brokerage stating, "It's better than we expected. Polls suggested a victory but whether that translated into seats was another question. Also, (the government) seem to have accepted the result".Weaker oil hits rouble, Venezuela bonds up on election http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/weaker-oil-hits-rouble-venezuela-bonds-up-on-election/articleshow/50076081.cms 7 December 2015 The Economic Times 7 December 2015
Mauricio Macri, president-elect of Argentina, had announced that he would request to remove Venezuela from Mercosur, as the government was not respecting democratic doctrines. He declined this plan when Maduro acknowledged the defeat of his party. http://www.postwesternworld.com/2015/12/07/acceptance-election-foreign/ Maduro's acceptance of election results is early foreign policy win for Macri Oliver Stuenkel 7 December 2015 Post-Western World 16 December 2015 However, a year after the election, on 1 December 2016, Venezuela was suspended from Mercosur.Mercosur suspends Venezuela for failure to follow rules https://apnews.com/d6c987ac4ca84a1ebe5497d4169c6d0e 2 December 2016 Associated Press 2 December 2016
Notes
note
References
Venezuela
Parliamentary elections
Category:Crisis in Venezuela
Category:Parliamentary elections in Venezuela
Venezuela