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2010 Idaho gubernatorial election
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2010 Idaho gubernatorial election Idaho presidential Yes 2006 Idaho gubernatorial election 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 Idaho gubernatorial election 2014 File:Butchotter (cropped).jpg 150x150px Butch Otter Republican Party (United States) 267,483 59.11% 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election results map by county.svg 180px County resultsOtter: #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80%Allred: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% Governor Butch Otter Republican Party (United States) Butch Otter Republican Party (United States) 3x4.svg Keith G. Allred Democratic Party (United States) 148,680 32.85% 3x4.svg Jana Kemp Independent 26,655 5.89%
The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic opponent Keith G. Allred.
A former lieutenant governor and U.S. representative, Otter won an open seat race in 2006 against Democratic Party nominee Jerry Brady with 52.67% of the vote.
Republican primary
Candidates
Walt Bayes, perennial candidate
Fred Nichols
Butch Otter, governor of Idahohttp://www.kboi2.com/news/87522842.html Gov. Otter files candidacy papers for re-election March 12, 2010 March 15, 2010 KBOI-TV dead https://web.archive.org/web/20110718232056/http://www.kboi2.com/news/87522842.html July 18, 2011
Pete Peterson (endorsed independent candidate Jana Kemp, but still filed for the primaryhttp://www.spokesman.com/blogs/boise/2010/mar/08/three-one-out-guvs-race/ Three in, one out in Guv's race March 8, 2010 March 15, 2010 The Spokesman-Review)
Rex Rammell, veterinarian, conservative activist and independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008http://www.kpvi.com/Global/story.asp?S=10356321 https://web.archive.org/web/20110713171828/http://www.kpvi.com/Global/story.asp?S=10356321 dead July 13, 2011 Rex Rammell Announcement To Run For Governor May 13, 2009 March 15, 2010 KPVI-DT Aaron Kunz
Sharon Ullman, Ada County commissionerhttp://www.idahostatesman.com/2009/07/14/833951/ada-county-commissioner-sharon.html https://archive.today/20130208090817/http://www.idahostatesman.com/2009/07/14/833951/ada-county-commissioner-sharon.html dead February 8, 2013 Ada County Commissioner Sharon Ullman will run for governor in 2010 July 14, 2009 March 15, 2010 Idaho Statesman
Tamara Wells
Campaign
Both Rammell and Ullman sought support from followers of the Tea Party movement by criticizing Otter's 2009 attempt to raise Idaho's gas tax.
In August 2009, Rammell drew criticism for joking about buying a license to hunt President Barack Obama.http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2009/08/28/2009-08-28_idaho_republican_governor_hopeful_rex_rammell_makes_obama_tags_joke_about_huntin.html Idaho Republican, governor hopeful Rex Rammell makes 'Obama tags' joke about hunting President Obama August 28, 2009 March 15, 2010 Daily News
Polling
Pollsource Date(s) administered Samplesize Margin oferror WaltBayes ButchOtter Ron"Pete"Peterson RexRammell SharonUllman TamaraWells Un-decided Mason-Dixon (report) May 17–19, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 1% 60% 3% 6% 4% 1% 25%
Results
thumb|180px|Results by county:
#d40000 Otter—70–80%
#cc2f4a Otter—60–70%
#e27f90 Otter—50–60%
#f2b3be Otter—40–50%
#ffb380 Rammell—40–50%
#ff9955 Rammell—50–60%
Republican primary resultshttp://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2010/by_county/ID_Governor_0525.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS Idaho Governor Primary Results May 25, 2010 The Associated Press May 25, 2010
Butch Otter (incumbent) Republican Party (United States) 89,117 54.6
Rex Rammell Republican Party (United States) 42,436 26.0
Sharon Ullman Republican Party (United States) 13,749 8.4
Pete Peterson Republican Party (United States) 8,402 5.2
Walt Bayes Republican Party (United States) 4,825 3.0
Tamara Wells Republican Party (United States) 4,544 2.8
Fred Nichols Republican Party (United States) 38 0.0
163,111 100
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Keith G. Allred, activist and mediatorhttp://www.idahostatesman.com/2009/12/11/1005367/keith-allred-will-run-as-a-democrat.html Keith Allred will run as a Democrat in Idaho's race for governor December 11, 2009 March 15, 2010 Idaho Statesman Dan Popkey
Lee Chaney, laborerhttp://www.kpvi.com/Global/story.asp?S=10659562 https://web.archive.org/web/20110713171851/http://www.kpvi.com/Global/story.asp?S=10659562 dead July 13, 2011 Lee Chaney Runs for Governor as Democrat July 7, 2009 March 15, 2009 KPVI-DT Aaron Kunz
Declined
Jerry Brady, nominee for governor in 2002 and 2006 Brady done, but other Idaho Dems consider running again Accessed 16 August 2007 https://web.archive.org/web/20110718214521/http://www.idaho-democrats.org/ht/display/ArticleDetails/i/978071/pid/304476 July 18, 2011
Results
thumb|180px|Results by county:
#0645b4 Allred—80–90%
#1666cb Allred—70–80%
#4389e3 Allred—60–70%
#86b6f2 Allred—50–60%
Democratic primary results
Keith Allred Democratic Party (United States) 22,386 81.7
Lee Chaney Democratic Party (United States) 5,026 18.3
27,412 100
Third party candidates
Libertarian Party
Ted Dunlap
Independents
Jana Kemp, former Republican state representative
Pro-Life (formerly known as Marvin Richardson), organic strawberry farmer, Constitution Party nominee for governor in 2006 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008http://prolifeidaho.com/2010/01/31/pro-life-for-governor-2010/ Pro-Life For Governor, 2010 ProLifeIdaho.com March 15, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100914043922/http://prolifeidaho.com/2010/01/31/pro-life-for-governor-2010/ September 14, 2010 dead
General election
Campaign
Between January 1 and May 9, 2010, Allred led Otter in fundraising, having raised $241,000 to Otter's $193,000. Allred said, "We are picking up momentum and are right where we want to be." However, Otter limited his fundraising activity while the Idaho Legislature was in session.http://www.idahoreporter.com/2010/allred-outearns-otter-from-january-to-early-may/ Allred leading Otter in fundraising so far in 2010 May 18, 2010 June 6, 2010 Idaho Reporter Brad Iverson-Long
Allred criticized Otter for backing cuts to public education spending, which led the Idaho Association of Commerce and Industry to launch a website attacking Allred.http://www.journalnet.com/news/state/article_628177fa-681a-11df-be35-001cc4c002e0.html https://archive.today/20130126204016/http://www.journalnet.com/news/state/article_628177fa-681a-11df-be35-001cc4c002e0.html dead January 26, 2013 Otter, Allred win their Idaho primaries May 25, 2010 June 6, 2010 Idaho State Journal John Miller
Predictions
Source Ranking As of Cook Political Reporthttp://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php dead October 28, 2010 2010 Governors Race Ratings Cook Political Report October 28, 2010 Safe R October 14, 2010 Rothenberghttp://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2010-gubernatorial-ratings-october-28-2010 Governor Ratings Rothenberg Political Report October 28, 2010 Safe R October 28, 2010 RealClearPoliticshttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/2010_elections_governor_map.html 2010 Governor Races RealClearPolitics October 28, 2010 Safe R November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal BallOctober 28, 2010 THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2010102801/ October 28, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely R October 28, 2010 CQ Politicshttp://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor Race Ratings Chart: Governor CQ Politics October 28, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor October 5, 2010 Likely R October 28, 2010
Polling
Poll source Dates administered Butch Otter (R) Keith Allred (D)Rasmussen Reportshttp://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/idaho/toplines/toplines_idaho_governor_august_31_2010 Toplines - Idaho Governor - August 31, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports www.rasmussenreports.com August 31, 2010 52% 36%Rasmussen Reportshttp://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/idaho/toplines/toplines_2010_idaho_governor_election_july_15_2010 Toplines - 2010 Idaho Governor Election - July 15, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports www.rasmussenreports.com July 15, 2010 53% 36%Rasmussen Reportshttp://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/idaho/election_2010_idaho_governor Election 2010: Idaho Governor www.rasmussenreports.com May 11, 2010 54% 32%Rasmussen Reports March 23, 2010 60% 28%
Results
2010 Idaho gubernatorial electionhttp://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/RESULTS/2010/General/tot_stwd.htm 2010 General Results statewide 2012-10-06 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20120922074307/http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/RESULTS/2010/General/tot_stwd.htm 2012-09-22
Republican Party (United States)
Butch Otter (incumbent)
267,483
59.11%
+6.44%
Democratic Party (United States)
Keith G. Allred
148,680
32.85%
-11.25%
Independent
Jana M. Kemp
26,655
5.89%
Libertarian Party (United States)
Ted Dunlap
5,867
1.30%
-0.31%
Independent
Pro-Life
3,850
0.85%
-0.77%
118,803
26.25%
+17.69%
452,535
Republican Party (United States)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Ada (largest municipality: Boise)
Bannock (largest municipality: Pocatello)
Nez Perce (largest city: Lewiston)
Shoshone (largest city: Kellogg)
Valley (largest city: McCall)
References
External links
Idaho Office of ElectionsNovember 2017 InternetArchiveBot yes
Idaho Governor Candidates https://web.archive.org/web/20100929160444/http://www.votesmart.org/election_state.php?state_id=ID September 29, 2010 at Project Vote Smart
Campaign contributions for 2010 Idaho Governor from Follow the Money
Idaho Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
2010 Idaho Gubernatorial General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Idaho Governor from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Idaho Governor Race: Otter vs. Allred from Real Clear Politics
2010 Idaho Governor's Race from CQ Politics
Race Profile in The New York Times
Official campaign websites (archived)
Butch Otter for Re-election
Rex Rammell for Governor
Keith Allred for Governor
2010
Governor
Category:2010 United States gubernatorial elections
Category:November 2010 in the United States