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2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
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2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election New Hampshire presidential no 2008 New Hampshire gubernatorial election 2008 2012 New Hampshire gubernatorial election 2012 November 2, 2010 File:John Lynch (cropped).jpg 150x150px John Lynch Democratic Party (United States) 239,390 52.63% 3x4.svg John Stephen Republican Party (United States) 205,433 45.03% x245px County results x245px Municipality results Lynch: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996E2 50–60% #6674DE 60–70% #584CDE 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%Stephen: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #D75D5D 60–70% #D72F30 70–80%Tie: #cdafdcff 40–50% Governor John Lynch Democratic Party (United States) John Lynch Democratic Party (United States)
The 2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch was re-elected to his fourth and final term.http://www.fox44now.com/Global/story.asp?S=12327303&nav=menu660_2 NH Gov. John Lynch Running for 4th Term - FOX44NOW.COM - Burlington/Plattsburgh News, Weather and Sports FOX44NOW.COM August 21, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20120301045713/http://www.fox44now.com/Global/story.asp?S=12327303&nav=menu660_2 March 1, 2012 dead mdy-all
New Hampshire is one of only two states where the Governor serves for a two-year term, the other being neighboring Vermont. Lynch was re-elected by landslide margins in 2006 and 2008, and enjoyed historically high approval ratings. In early 2010, his approval rating showed a downward trend, with an April poll indicating that his approval had fallen below 50% (44% approve, 42% disapprove).Lynch Leads All Republicans for Re-election in N.H. https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/PPP_Release_NH_423.pdf Public Policy Polling April 23, 2010 After the primary elections in mid-September, Lynch's approval rating rebounded (51% approve, 38% disapprove).http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NH_916.pdf February 2022
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
John Lynch, incumbent Governorhttp://www.eagletribune.com/punewsnh/local_story_107195534.html?keyword=secondarystory https://archive.today/20130121211402/http://www.eagletribune.com/punewsnh/local_story_107195534.html?keyword=secondarystory dead January 21, 2013 Gov. Lynch could face difficult re-election bid » New Hampshire » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA Eagletribune.com April 18, 2010 August 21, 2010
Timothy Robertson, state representative
Frank Sullivan
Results
Democratic primary resultshttps://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Governor/2010/NH New Hampshire Gubernatorial Primary Results Politico September 14, 2010 September 14, 2010 August 23, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100823031212/http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Governor/2010/NH dead
John Lynch (incumbent) Democratic Party (United States) 49,832 87.5
Timothy Robertson Democratic Party (United States) 3,771 6.6
Frank Sullivan Democratic Party (United States) 3,377 5.9
56,980 97.3
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Frank Robert Emiro Sr., state representative
Jack Kimball, businessman http://www.theunionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Testerman+steps+into+the+ring+in+governor%27s+race&articleId=713cdc3a-58b4-4590-8739-b16947c67672 Testerman steps into the ring in governor's race The Union Leader December 9, 2009 January 1, 2010 John Distaso https://web.archive.org/web/20100220053458/http://www.theunionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Testerman+steps+into+the+ring+in+governor%27s+race&articleId=713cdc3a-58b4-4590-8739-b16947c67672 February 20, 2010 dead
John Stephen, former Health and Human Services Commissionerhttp://www.johnstephen.com John Stephen for Governor | New Leadership for New Hampshire Johnstephen.com August 21, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20080915212618/http://www.johnstephen.com/ September 15, 2008 mdy-all
Karen Testerman, conservative activist
Declined
Kelly Ayotte, New Hampshire Attorney Generalhttps://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0709/Republicans_land_top_recruit_in_New_Hampshire.html?showall Republicans land top recruit in New Hampshire - The Scorecard Politico.Com 2010-08-21
Frank Guinta, Mayor of Manchesterhttp://www.teamguinta.com/ Frank Guinta for Congress Teamguinta.com 2010-07-29 2010-08-21
Chuck Morse, former State Senatorhttp://www.eagletribune.com/latestnews/x1174311548/Downing-runs-for-sheriff-Morse-for-NH-Senate Downing runs for sheriff, Morse for NH Senate » Latest News » EagleTribune.com, North Andover, MA May 27, 2010 Eagletribune.com 2010-08-21
John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator
Polling
Poll source Dates administered JackKimball JohnStephen KarenTestermanPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 24% 45% 8%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 15% 26% 5%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 10% 29% 15%
Results
thumb|225px|Results by county:
#cc2f4a Stephen–60–70%
#e27f90 Stephen–50–60%
#f2b3be Stephen–40–50%
Republican primary results
John Stephen Republican Party (United States) 77,962 61.6
Jack Kimball Republican Party (United States) 31,581 24.9
Karen Testerman Republican Party (United States) 12,708 10.0
Frank Emiro Republican Party (United States) 4,394 3.5
126,645 96.7
General election
Candidates
John Babiarz, Libertarian
John Lynch, Democratic
John Stephen, Republican
Predictions
Source Ranking As of Cook Political Reporthttp://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php dead October 28, 2010 2010 Governors Race Ratings Cook Political Report October 28, 2010 Tossup October 14, 2010 Rothenberghttp://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2010-gubernatorial-ratings-october-28-2010 Governor Ratings Rothenberg Political Report October 28, 2010 Lean D October 28, 2010 RealClearPoliticshttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/2010_elections_governor_map.html 2010 Governor Races RealClearPolitics October 28, 2010 Lean D November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ballhttp://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2010102801/ THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS October 28, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 28, 2010 Lean D October 28, 2010 CQ Politicshttp://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor Race Ratings Chart: Governor CQ Politics October 28, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor October 5, 2010 Likely D October 28, 2010
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered JohnLynch (D) JohnStephen (R)Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports October 27, 2010 51% 45%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH October 7–12, 2010 51% 38%American Research GroupAmerican Research Group October 3–5, 2010 51% 41%Granite State PollGranite State Poll October 1, 2010 51% 34%American Research Group September 22–26, 2010 42% 40%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 15, 2010 48% 46%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 11–12, 2010 51% 39%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports August 5, 2010 50% 39%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 51% 34%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 26, 2010 47% 35%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 47% 36%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 47% 37%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports March 8, 2010 50% 35%Granite State PollGranite State Poll January 27-February 3, 2010 50% 30%
background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);
With Kimball
Poll Source Dates Administered JohnLynch (D) JackKimball (R)Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 52% 29%Rasmussen Reports May 26, 2010 50% 31%Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 47% 35%Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 50% 34%Rasmussen Reports March 8, 2010 51% 32%Research 2000Research 2000 February 1–3, 2010 59% 13%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports January 12, 2010 51% 32%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 14, 2009 52% 31%
With Morse
Poll Source Dates Administered JohnLynch (D) ChuckMorse (R)Rasmussen Reports September 14, 2009 51% 29%
With Sununu
Poll Source Dates Administered JohnLynch (D) JohnSununu (R)Granite State PollGranite State Poll September 25-October 2, 2009 50% 37%Rasmussen Reports September 14, 2009 48% 43%
With Testerman
Poll Source Dates Administered JohnLynch (D) KarenTesterman (R)Public Policy Polling July 23–25, 2010 52% 28%Rasmussen Reports May 26, 2010 51% 32%Public Policy Polling April 17–18, 2010 47% 29%Rasmussen Reports April 7, 2010 50% 33%Rasmussen Reports March 8, 2010 54% 28%Rasmussen Reports January 12, 2010 53% 30%
Results
right 300px Swing by county 300px Trend by county Legend #77e3ff Democratic—+10−15% #aaeeff Democratic—+5−10% #D5F6FF Democratic—+<5% #FFD5D5 Republican—+<5% #FFAAAA Republican—+5−10% #FF8080 Republican—+10−15% #FF5555 Republican—+15−20% #FF2A2A Republican—+20−25% #FF0000 Republican—+25−30% #D40000 Republican—+30–40% 300px County flips Legend
Democratic
#92c5de Hold
Republican
#ca0120 Flip
2010 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
Democratic Party (United States)
John Lynch (incumbent)
240,346
52.63%
-17.57%
Republican Party (United States)
John Stephen
205,616
45.03%
+17.43%
Libertarian Party (US)
John Babiarz
10,089
2.21%
+0.02%
537
<0.01%
N/A
456,588
100.00%
N/A
Democratic Party (United States)
By county
2014 Senate election results in New Hampshire (by county) County John LynchDemocratic John StephenRepublican Other votes # % # % # %Belknap 11,02148.7%11,00848.7%5802.6%Carroll 10,00349.2%9,89548.7%4132.1%Cheshire 15,42959.0%10,08238.6%6242.4%Coös 5,69953.8%4,59043.3%3062.9%Grafton 18,61859.3%11,89837.9%8942.8%Hillsborough 65,18349.9%62,70448.0%2,7042.1%Merrimack 31,92958.0%21,54839.2%1,5502.8%Rockingham 51,71448.4%53,04949.6%2,1932.0%Strafford 22,80759.4%14,63938.1%9792.5%Sullivan 7,94354.7%6,20342.7%3832.7%
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Rockingham (largest municipality: Derry)
References
External links
Election Division at New Hampshire Secretary of State
New Hampshire Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
Campaign contributions for 2010 New Hampshire Governor from Follow the Money
New Hampshire Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
https://archive.today/20130131141857/http://www.pollster.com/polls/nh/10-nh-gov-ge.php 2010 New Hampshire Gubernatorial General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups el graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: New Hampshire Governor from Rasmussen Reports
2010 New Hampshire Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
2010 New Hampshire Governor's Race from CQ Politics
Race Profile in The New York Times
Official campaign sites (Archived)
John Lynch for Governor
John Stephen for Governor
Gubernatorial
2010
New Hampshire