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2007 Castilian-Manchegan regional election
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Election in the Spanish region of Castilla–La Mancha
2007 Castilian-Manchegan regional election Castilla–La Mancha parliamentary no 2003 Castilian-Manchegan regional election 2003 2011 Castilian-Manchegan regional election 2011 All 47 seats in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha 24 #Opinion polls 1,506,504 10px 4.0% 1,110,885 (73.7%)10px 2.5 pp 27 May 2007 170x170px José María Barreda Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 29 April 2004 Toledo 29 seats, 57.8% 26 10px 3 572,849 52.0% 10px 5.8 pp 170x170px María Dolores de Cospedal People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 14 June 2006 Toledo 18 seats, 36.7% 21 10px 3 467,319 42.4% 10px 5.7 pp CastillaLaManchaProvinceMapCortes2007.svg 300px Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha President José María Barreda Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha José María Barreda Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha
A regional election was held in Castilla–La Mancha on 27 May 2007 to elect the 7th es Cortes no of the autonomous community. All 47 seats in the es Cortes no were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.
Overview
Electoral system
The Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Manchegan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Junta of Communities.Statute of Autonomy of Castilla–La Mancha of 1982 Organic Law 9 Official State Gazette es 10 August 1982 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-20820&tn=1&p=20020702 15 September 2017 Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castilla–La Mancha and in full enjoyment of their political rights.
The 47 members of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent, depending on the district magnitude.Gallagher Michael 30 July 2012 http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php dead 30 July 2017 Effective threshold in electoral systems Trinity College, Dublin 22 July 2017 Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Albacete, Ciudad Real, Cuenca, Guadalajara and Toledo. Each constituency was allocated a fixed number of seats: 10 for Albacete, 11 for Ciudad Real, 8 for Cuenca, 7 for Guadalajara and 11 for Toledo.Castilla–La Mancha Electoral Law of 1986 Law 5 Official Journal of Castilla–La Mancha es 23 December 1986 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1987-2164&tn=1&p=20061009 15 September 2017
The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985 Organic Law 5 Official State Gazette es 19 June 1985 https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20070323 28 December 2016http://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/LOREG_ENG Representation of the people Institutional Act www.juntaelectoralcentral.es Central Electoral Commission 16 June 2017
Election date
The term of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Cortes on 27 May 2007.
The President of the Junta of Communities had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected lawmakers serving the remainder of its original four-year term. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected.
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 24 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha.
Color key:
#EAFFEA Exit poll 1px solid #AAAAAA
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout 25px|link=Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PSOE 33px|link=People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha|PP 27px|link=United Left (Spain)|IU–ICAM Lead 2007 regional election 27 May 2007 73.7 52.075% Verdana 26 42.475% Verdana 21 3.475% Verdana 0 9.6 Ipsos/RTVE–FORTASólo Navarra y Baleares podrían cambiar de gobierno, según el sondeo de RTVE y FORTA http://www.europapress.es/nacional/noticia-solo-navarra-baleares-podrian-cambiar-gobierno-sondeo-rtve-forta-20070527213337.html es Europa Press 27 May 2007Las "israelitas" no aclaran el futuro político de Guadalajara https://www.lacronica.net/las-israelitas-no-aclaran-el-futuro-politico-de-guadalajara-19714.htm es La Crónica de Guadalajara 27 May 2007 1 July 2018 2 July 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20180702011323/https://www.lacronica.net/las-israelitas-no-aclaran-el-futuro-politico-de-guadalajara-19714.htm dead 27 May 2007???75% Verdana 25/28?75% Verdana 19/22?75% Verdana 0? Opina/Cadena SEREl PSOE mantiene su mayoría absoluta en Castilla-La Mancha http://cadenaser.com/ser/2007/05/21/espana/1179705013_850215.html es Cadena SER 21 May 2007Informe Comunidad Castilla-La Mancha. Mayo 2007 http://www.cadenaser.com:80/static/pulsometro/anteriores/encuesta_070521.htm https://web.archive.org/web/20070523235312/http://www.cadenaser.com/static/pulsometro/anteriores/encuesta_070521.htm dead 23 May 2007 es Cadena SER 21 May 2007 20 May 2020 18 May 2007 1,000? 53.075% Verdana 26/27 41.075% Verdana 20?75% Verdana 0/1 12.0 TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3Barreda (PSOE) se impondría a De Cospedal (PP) en las autonómicas por 17,1 puntos, según el diario La Tribuna http://www.europapress.es/nacional/noticia-27-barreda-psoe-impondria-cospedal-pp-autonomicas-171-puntos-diario-tribuna-20070515100639.html es Europa Press 15 May 2007El PSOE ganaría en Castilla-La Mancha tras 23 años en la Junta https://cuencanews.blogspot.com/2007/05/el-psoe-ganara-en-castilla-la-mancha.html es CuencaNews 19 May 2007 15 May 2007?? 56.175% Verdana 27/29 39.075% Verdana 18/20 3.675% Verdana 0 17.1 Celeste-Tel/TerraVuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid http://actualidad.terra.es:80/especiales/elecciones-2007/articulo/vuelco_navarra_baleares_canarias_pp_1579088.htm https://web.archive.org/web/20070520115817/http://actualidad.terra.es/especiales/elecciones-2007/articulo/vuelco_navarra_baleares_canarias_pp_1579088.htm dead 20 May 2007 es Terra 17 May 2007 20 May 2020 Encuestas autonómicas http://www.celeste-tel.es:80/es/encuestas-autonomicas.html https://web.archive.org/web/20090511132157/http://www.celeste-tel.es/es/encuestas-autonomicas.html dead 11 May 2009 es Celeste-Tel 17 May 2007 20 May 2020 9–15 May 2007?? 53.775% Verdana 26/27 41.875% Verdana 20/21 3.575% Verdana 0 11.9 Sigma Dos/El MundoSondeo de Sigma Dos: El PSOE mantendría sus comunidades si revalida las coaliciones http://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2007/05/13/espana/1179021904.html es El Mundo 13 May 2007Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos http://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2007/graficos/may/s1/encuesta.html es El Mundo 12 May 2007 27 Apr–8 May 2007 1,000? 52.075% Verdana 25/27 42.375% Verdana 20/22 2.975% Verdana 0 9.7 CISPreelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. CA de Castilla–La Mancha (Estudio nº 2692. Abril-Mayo 2007) http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/2680_2699/2692/Es2692mar_A.pdf es CIS 11 May 2007La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/2007/05/12/pagina-15/58465229/pdf.html es La Vanguardia 12 May 2007 9 Apr–6 May 2007 1,992? 54.475% Verdana 26/28 40.775% Verdana 19/21 3.775% Verdana 0 13.7 Sigma Dos/El MundoEl PP y el PSOE mantendrán sus gobiernos autonómicos, aunque los socialistas bajan http://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2006/11/27/espana/1164592596.html es El Mundo 27 November 2006El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007 http://estaticos.elmundo.es/documentos/2006/11/27/encuesta_autonomicas.pdf es El Mundo 27 November 2006 16–24 Nov 2006???75% Verdana 24/27?75% Verdana 20/23?75% Verdana 0? 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 51.5 45.875% Verdana (22) 49.775% Verdana (25) 2.775% Verdana (0) 3.9 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 79.9 46.575% Verdana (23) 47.475% Verdana (24) 3.475% Verdana (0) 0.9 2003 regional election 25 May 2003 76.3 57.875% Verdana 29 36.775% Verdana 18 3.075% Verdana 0 21.1
Results
Overall
+ ← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results → center|325px Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 572,849 51.96 −5.87 26 −3 People's Party (PP) 467,319 42.38 +5.72 21 +3 United Left–Left of Castilla–La Mancha (IU–ICAM) 37,753 3.42 +0.37 0 ±0 The Greens of Europe (LVE) 3,542 0.32 New 0 ±0 Commoners' Land (TC) 2,525 0.23 +0.03 0 ±0 Castilian Unity (UdCa) 1,213 0.11 −0.01 0 ±0 The Phalanx (FE) 1,071 0.10 +0.06 0 ±0 Regionalist Party of Guadalajara (PRGU) 619 0.06 +0.01 0 ±0 Independent Regional Unity (URI) 610 0.06 +0.01 0 ±0 Humanist Party (PH) 572 0.05 +0.01 0 ±0 Republican Left (IR) 410 0.04 ±0.00 0 ±0 Blank ballots 14,080 1.28 −0.05 Total 1,102,563 47 ±0 Valid votes 1,102,563 99.25 −0.07 Invalid votes 8,322 0.75 +0.07 Votes cast / turnout 1,110,885 73.74 −2.50 Abstentions 395,619 26.26 +2.50 Registered voters 1,506,504 Sourceshttp://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/CASTILLA_LA_MANCHA_2007_ResultadosyElectos.pdf Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results, 27 May 2007 14 June 2007 es www.juntaelectoralcentral.es Electoral Commission of Castilla–La Mancha 29 September 2017https://www.cortesclm.es/web2/paginas/elecciones/eleccionVII.php VII Legislature. Regional election, 27 May 2007 es www.cortesclm.es Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha 29 September 2017http://www.historiaelectoral.com/acmancha.html Elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla - La Mancha (1983 - 2019) es Historia Electoral.com 29 September 2017
Popular vote #ddd 550px 500px PSOE Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 51.96
PP People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 42.38
IU–ICAM United Left (Spain) 3.42
Others #777777 0.96
Blank ballots #DDDDDD 1.28
Seats #ddd 550px 500px PSOE Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha 55.32
PP People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha 44.68
Distribution by constituency
Constituency PSOE PP % S % S Albacete 52.6 6 40.7 4 Ciudad Real 55.7 7 39.2 4 Cuenca 50.9 4 44.7 4 Guadalajara 45.8 3 46.6 4 Toledo 51.0 6 43.7 5 Total 52.0 26 42.4 21 Sources
Aftermath
InvestitureJosé María Barreda (PSOE) Ballot → 26 June 2007 Required majority → 24 out of 47 15 Yes • PSOE (26) 26 47 green 125px No • PP (21) 21 47 red 125px Abstentions 0 47 gray 125px Absentees 0 47 black 125px Sources
References
Opinion poll sources
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Other
Category:2007 in Castilla–La Mancha
Castilla-La Mancha
Category:Regional elections in Castilla–La Mancha
Category:May 2007 in Europe