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2015 United States gubernatorial elections
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January 2025
related races 2015 United States elections
2015 United States gubernatorial elections United States legislative 3 governorshipsAlaska's governorship was held by an independent, so the number of seats held by Democrats and Republicans added up to only 49. November 3, 2015November 21 (Louisiana runoff) no 2014 United States gubernatorial elections 2014 2016 United States gubernatorial elections 2016 2011 United States gubernatorial elections 2011 2019 United States gubernatorial elections 2019 Seats up Seats won Republican Party (United States) 31 31 1,494,011 52.52% 2 2 Democratic Party (United States) 18 18 1,305,187 45.88% 1 1 320px Map of the results#0772B1 Democratic gain #CA001A Republican gain#F38883 Republican hold#D3D3D3 No election
United States gubernatorial elections were held in three states in 2015 as part of the 2015 United States elections. In Kentucky and Mississippi, the elections were held on November 3, and in Louisiana, as no candidate received a majority of votes at the primary election on October 24, 2015, a runoff election was held on November 21. The last regular gubernatorial elections for all three states were in 2011. Democrats picked up the open seat of term-limited Republican Bobby Jindal in Louisiana, while Republicans re-elected incumbent Phil Bryant in Mississippi and picked up the seat of term-limited Democrat Steve Beshear in Kentucky.
As of , this is the last time that Republicans won the governorship in Kentucky.
Election predictions
Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each state, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat.
Most election predictors use:
"tossup": no advantage
"tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
"lean": slight advantage
"likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
"safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
+StatePVI IncumbentParentheses around an incumbent's name indicates that the incumbent is retiring, possibly due to term limits.LastraceCookAug 25,20162015/2016 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS http://cookpolitical.com/governor/charts/race-ratings dead https://web.archive.org/web/20130305115607/http://cookpolitical.com/governor/charts/race-ratings March 5, 2013 December 12, 2014 Cook Political Report IEAug 21,20152016 Race Ratings http://media.cq.com/raceratings/ January 13, 2015 Roll Call Roll Call SabatoOct 29,20152016 Governor http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-governor/ January 24, 2015 Sabato's Crystal Ball UVA Center for Politics DKEOct 29,2015Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings http://www.dailykos.com/election-outlook/2016-race-ratings#gubernatorial October 21, 2015 Daily Kos Result Kentucky R+13 Steve Beshear (term-limited) 55.72% D
|Tossup
|Tilt D
|Lean D
| Tossup Bevin52.52% R (flip) Louisiana R+12 Bobby Jindal (term-limited) 65.80% R
|Lean D Flip
|Tossup
|Lean D Flip
| Tossup Edwards56.11% D (flip) Mississippi R+9 Phil Bryant 60.98% R
|Solid R
|Solid R
|Safe R
| Safe R Bryant66.24% R
Race summary
State Incumbent Results State Governor Party Firstelected Status Candidates Kentucky Steve Beshear 2007 Incumbent term-limited.New governor elected.Republican gain. Republican Party (US) Matt Bevin (Republican) 52.5%
Democratic Party (US)Jack Conway (Democratic) 43.8%
Independent (US)Drew Curtis (Independent) 3.7% Louisiana Bobby Jindal 2007 Incumbent term-limited.New governor elected.Democratic gain. Democratic Party (US) John Bel Edwards (Democratic) 56.1%
Republican Party (US)David Vitter (Republican) 43.9% Mississippi Phil Bryant 2011 Incumbent re-elected.AP Gov. Bryant outlines priorities in State of the State http://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/2015/01/20/gov-bryant-outlines-priorities-in-state-of-the-state/22072015/ January 24, 2015 The Clarion-Ledger January 20, 2015 Republican Party (US) Phil Bryant (Republican) 66.4%
Democratic Party (US)Robert Gray (Democratic) 32.4%
Reform Party (US)Shawn O'Hara (Reform) 1.4%
Closest races
States where the margin of victory was under 10%:
Kentucky, 8.70%
Red denotes states won by Republicans.
Kentucky
2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election Kentucky presidential no 2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election 2011 2015 11 03 2019 Kentucky gubernatorial election 2019 x150px Matt Bevin by Gage Skidmore (cropped).jpg Matt Bevin Republican Party (US) Jenean Hampton 511,374 52.5% JackConway (cropped).jpg Jack Conway Democratic Party (US) Sannie Overly 426,620 43.8% 300px 2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election results map by county.svg County resultsBevin: #ffb2b2 40–50% #e27f7f 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #d72f30 70–80% #c21b18 80–90%Conway: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% Governor Steve Beshear Democratic Party (US) Matt Bevin Republican Party (US)
2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election
Two-term incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Beshear, was unable to run for a third term in 2015 due to term limits established under the Kentucky Constitution. To succeed Beshear, Democrats nominated Attorney General of Kentucky Jack Conway. Conway's running mate was State Representative Sannie Overly.http://mycn2.com/politics/jack-conway-set-to-announce-2015-ticket-for-governor-with-rep-sannie-overly Jack Conway set to announce 2015 ticket for governor with Rep. Sannie Overly Mycn2.com Ryan Alessi May 5, 2014 May 6, 2014 For the Republicans, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 Matt Bevin ran on a ticket with Tea Party activist and 2014 State House candidate Jenean Hampton.http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/matt-bevin-to-make-shock-run-for-kentucky-governor-20150127 Matt Bevin to Make Shock Run for Kentucky Governor National Journal Bruggeman Karyn January 27, 2015 January 27, 2015 Bevin narrowly defeated Agriculture Commissioner James Comer to win the Republican nomination. Drew Curtis, the founder of Fark, ran as an independent, polling well enough to appear in the Bluegrass Poll gubernatorial debate.Youngman Sam Drew Curtis will join debate on Kentucky Sports Radio, but other fall debates look iffy http://www.kentucky.com/2015/09/21/4049434_drew-curtis-will-join-debate-on.html?rh=1 September 29, 2015 Kentucky.com Bevin ultimately defeated Conway, winning 53% of the vote to Conway's 44%.
Kentucky Democratic primaryhttps://elect.ky.gov/SiteCollectionDocuments/Election%20Results/2010-2019/2015/2015%20primary%20results.pf.pdf Results 2015 elect.ky.gov 2019-11-05
Democratic Party (US)
Jack Conway
140,627
78.78 Democratic Party (US)
Geoff Young
37,887
21.22 178,514
100.00
Kentucky Republican primary
Republican Party (US)
Matt Bevin
70,480
32.91 Republican Party (US)
James Comer
70,397
32.89 Republican Party (US)
Hal Heiner
57,951
27.10 Republican Party (US)
Will T. Scott
15,365
7.20 214,187
100.00
Kentucky general electionAlan Blinder https://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/04/us/republican-wins-governors-race-in-kentucky.html Matt Bevin, Republican, Wins Governor's Race in Kentucky - The New York Times The New York Times 4 November 2015 2019-11-06
Republican Party (US)
Matt Bevin
511,374
52.52
17.23 Democratic Party (US)
Jack Conway
426,620
43.82
11.90 Independent (US)
Drew Curtis
35,597
3.66
5.33 973,692
100.00 Republican Party (US)
Democratic Party (US)
Louisiana
2015 Louisiana gubernatorial election Louisiana presidential no 2011 Louisiana gubernatorial election 2011 2015 11 21 2019 Louisiana gubernatorial election 2019 x150px John Bel Edwards (cropped).jpg John Bel Edwards Democratic Party (US) 646,924 56.1% DVitterOfficial.jpg David Vitter Republican Party (US) 505,940 43.9% 250px 2015 Louisiana gubernatorial runoff election results map by parish.svg Parish resultsEdwards: #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90%Vitter: #E27F7F 50–60% #D75D5D 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% Governor Bobby Jindal Republican Party (US) John Bel Edwards Democratic Party (US)
2015 Louisiana gubernatorial election
2015 Louisiana lieutenant gubernatorial election
Two-term incumbent Republican Governor Bobby Jindal was term-limited in 2015 and thus unable to seek reelection. Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, all candidates, regardless of party, appear on the same ballot. The primary was held on October 24, 2015, with Democrat John Bel Edwards at 40% of the vote and Republican David Vitter at 23%. As no candidate won a majority of the vote, a runoff election between Edwards and Vitter was held on November 21, 2015.Deslatte Melinda Republican David Vitter reaches Louisiana governor's runoff against Democrat John Bel Edwards https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2015/10/24/democrat-john-bel-edwards-heads-to-louisiana-governor-runoff 26 October 2015 AP U.S. News & World Report 25 October 2015 Edwards won the runoff election with 56.1% of the vote, becoming the first Democrat to win a statewide election in Louisiana since 2008.
Three Republicans ran for the office: Public Service Commissioner and former Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana Scott Angelle,http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2014/10/scott_angelle_to_run_for_gover.html https://web.archive.org/web/20141005002434/http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2014/10/scott_angelle_to_run_for_gover.html dead October 5, 2014 Scott Angelle to run for governor in 2015 October 2, 2014 October 2, 2014 The Times-Picayune Cole Avery incumbent Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardennehttp://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/03/lt_gov_jay_dardenne_intends_to.html https://web.archive.org/web/20130325000652/http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/03/lt_gov_jay_dardenne_intends_to.html dead March 25, 2013 Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne 'intends' to run for governor in 2015 March 20, 2013 May 13, 2013 The Times-Picayune Jeff Adelson and U.S. Senator David Vitter.http://atr.rollcall.com/david-vitter-announces-run-for-governor/ David Vitter Announces Run for Governor January 21, 2014 January 21, 2014 Roll Call https://web.archive.org/web/20140122045915/http://atr.rollcall.com/david-vitter-announces-run-for-governor/ January 22, 2014 dead Potential Republican candidates included former Secretary of the Louisiana Department of Veterans Affairs and former U.S. Representative Rodney Alexander,http://www.thetowntalk.com/article/20130813/NEWS01/130813010/Alexander-says-he-may-run-governor-Louisiana-2015 Alexander says he may run for Louisiana governor in 2015 The Town Talk August 13, 2013 August 15, 2013 https://archive.today/20130815131656/http://www.thetowntalk.com/article/20130813/NEWS01/130813010/Alexander-says-he-may-run-governor-Louisiana-2015 August 15, 2013 dead mdy-all Louisiana State Treasurer John Neely Kennedy,http://www.bayoubuzz.com/buzz/item/12786-louisiana-poll-vitter-edges-georges-jindals-popularity-jobs-and-economy-tops Louisiana poll: Vitter edges Georges, Jindal's popularity, jobs and economy tops Bayoubuzz.com June 20, 2012 February 5, 2013 State Senator Gerald Longhttp://theadvocate.com/columnists/3485330-55/inside-politics-for-sunday-85 https://web.archive.org/web/20141028074229/http://theadvocate.com/columnists/3485330-55/inside-politics-for-sunday-85 dead October 28, 2014 Long weighs bid for governor in 2015 The Advocate August 11, 2012 January 30, 2013 and former governor, former U.S. Representative and candidate for president in 2012 Buddy Roemer.Greater New Orleans http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/12/louisiana_governor_growth_roem.html https://web.archive.org/web/20131216091007/http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/12/louisiana_governor_growth_roem.html dead December 16, 2013 Buddy Roemer to spearhead long-term policy initiative ahead of 2015 election NOLA.com December 12, 2013 December 18, 2013
Three Democrats ran: 2011 candidate Cary Deaton,WWLTV.com http://www.wwltv.com/news/politics/Edwards-running-to-correct-what-he-calls-Jindals-mistakes-217101781.html Edwards running to correct what he calls Jindal's mistakes | wwltv.com New Orleans Wwltv.com July 26, 2013 December 18, 2013 https://web.archive.org/web/20131019130654/http://www.wwltv.com/news/politics/Edwards-running-to-correct-what-he-calls-Jindals-mistakes-217101781.html October 19, 2013 dead Minority Leader of the Louisiana House of Representatives John Bel Edwardshttp://www.bestofneworleans.com/gambit/saved-by-the-bel/Content?oid=2193333 Saved by the Bel? May 6, 2013 May 13, 2013 Gambit Jeremy Alford February 3, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20140203133739/http://www.bestofneworleans.com/gambit/saved-by-the-bel/Content?oid=2193333 deadhttp://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/02/john_bel_edwards_announces_he.html https://archive.today/20130411115928/http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/02/john_bel_edwards_announces_he.html dead April 11, 2013 John Bel Edwards announces he is running for governor in 2015 Jeff Adelson The New Orleans Times-Picayune February 10, 2013 February 21, 2013 and minister Jeremy Odom.http://www.knoe.com/story/24875263/natchitoches-minister-makes-run-for-governor Natchitoches minister makes run for governor KNOE.com March 4, 2014 March 5, 2014 https://web.archive.org/web/20141028042737/http://www.knoe.com/story/24875263/natchitoches-minister-makes-run-for-governor October 28, 2014 dead mdy-all
Louisiana jungle primaryhttps://voterportal.sos.la.gov/static/2015-10-24/resultsRace/Statewide Louisiana Secretary of State - Election Results
Democratic Party (US)
John Bel Edwards
444,517
39.89 Republican Party (US)
David Vitter
256,300
23.00 Republican Party (US)
Scott Angelle
214,982
19.29 Republican Party (US)
Jay Dardenne
166,656
14.96 Democratic Party (US)
Cary Deaton
11,763
1.06 Democratic Party (US)
S. L. Simpson
7,420
0.67 Independent (US)
Beryl Billiot
5,694
0.51 Independent (US)
Jeremy Odom
4,756
0.43 Independent (US)
Eric Orgeron
2,248
0.20 1,114,336
100.00
Louisiana general electionhttps://voterportal.sos.la.gov/static/2015-11-21/resultsRace/Statewide Louisiana Secretary of State - Election Results
Democratic Party (US)
John Bel Edwards
646,924
56.11
27.95 Republican Party (US)
David Vitter
505,940
43.89
21.91 1,152,864
100.00
Democratic Party (US)
Republican Party (US)
Mississippi
2015 Mississippi gubernatorial election Mississippi 2001 presidential no 2011 Mississippi gubernatorial election 2011 2015 11 03 2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election 2019 x150px Secretary Perry with Govt Phil Bryant KSS2455 (32743097363) (cropped 2).jpg Phil Bryant Republican Party (US) 480,399 66.2% 3x4.svg Robert Gray Democratic Party (US) 234,858 32.4% 125px 2015 Mississippi gubernatorial election results map by county.svg County resultsBryant: #ffb2b2 40-50% #e27f7f 50-60% #d75d5d 60-70% #d72f30 70-80% #c21b18 80-90%Gray: #a5b0ff 40–50% #7996e2 50-60% #6674de 60-70% #584cde 70-80% Governor Phil Bryant Republican Party (US) Phil Bryant Republican Party (US)
2015 Mississippi gubernatorial election
One-term incumbent Republican Governor Phil Bryant nominated for a second and final term.Pettus Emily Wagster August 5, 2015 Truck Driver Wins Dem Nomination for Mississippi Governor https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/truck-driver-wins-dem-nomination-mississippi-governor-32891452 ABC News AP He had won a resounding victory over his Democratic opponent four years earlier, carrying 61% of the vote. Truck driver Robert Gray was nominated by the Democrats to oppose Bryant in the general election. Bryant won the election in a landslide, winning 67% of the vote to Gray's 32%.
Mississippi Republican primaryhttps://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2015-Republican-Primary.aspx 2015 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY Mississippi Secretary of State August 18, 2019 February 25, 2021 https://web.archive.org/web/20210225033941/https://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2015-Republican-Primary.aspx dead
Republican Party (US)
Phil Bryant (incumbent)
256,689
91.86 Republican Party (US)
Mitch Young
22,738
8.14 279,427
100.00
Mississippi Democratic primary http://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2015-Democratic-Primary.aspx 2015 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY Mississippi Secretary of State August 18, 2019
Democratic Party (US)
Robert Gray
152,087
50.80 Democratic Party (US)
Vicki Slater
91,104
30.43 Democratic Party (US)
Valerie Short
56,177
18.77 299,368
100.00
Mississippi general electionhttp://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2015-General-Election.aspx 2015 General Election 2021-01-29 2021-02-25 https://web.archive.org/web/20210225024946/https://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2015-General-Election.aspx dead
Republican Party (US)
Phil Bryant (incumbent)
480,399
66.24
Democratic Party (US) Robert Gray 234,858 32.38Reform Party (US) Shawn O'Hara 9,950 1.37 n/a 725,207
100.00
Republican Party (US)
Notes
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References