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2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
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2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary New Hampshire presidential no 2016 02 09 2012 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary 2012 2020 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary 2020 x160px Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg Donald Trump 283681 New York 11 100,735 35.23% John Kasich (24618295175) (cropped).jpg John Kasich 00B487 Ohio 4 44,932 15.72% Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg Ted Cruz DAA520 Texas 3 33,244 11.63% Jeb_Bush_by_Gage_Skidmore_2_(cropped).jpg Jeb Bush 993399 Florida 3 31,341 10.96% Marco Rubio by Gage Skidmore 8 (cropped).jpg Marco Rubio C60E3B Florida 2 30,071 10.52% Laura Ingraham & Chris Christie (16461518577) (cropped).jpg Chris Christie 117733 New Jersey 0 21,089 7.38% x245px County results x245px Municipality results
#283681 Donald Trump
#c5cbed 20–30%#9ea8e1 30–40%#7786d5 40–50%#5063c9 50–60%
#00B487 John Kasich
#c1f0e3 20–30%#98e6d1 30–40%#6fdcbe 40–50%#2cb992 60–70%
#d4aa00 Ted Cruz
#ffd21a 50–60%
#808080 Tie
#d3d3d3 No votes 23 pledged delegates to the 2016 Republican National Convention IA SC
The 2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, which took place on February 9, was the second major vote of the cycle. Donald Trump was declared the winner with 35.2% of the popular vote and picked up 11 delegates, while John Kasich emerged from a pack of candidates between 10 and 20% to capture second place with 15.8% of the vote and picked up four delegates.
Donald Trump swept to victory due to overwhelming 42% support among voters without a college degree. John Kasich managed second place due to his relatively strong support among higher-income Republican voters.2016-02-09 New Hampshire Exit Polls https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/02/09/us/elections/new-hampshire-republican-poll.html,%20https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/02/09/us/elections/new-hampshire-republican-poll.html 2025-08-30 The New York Times en-US 0362-4331
It occurred on the same day as the Democratic primary.
Chris Christie,Burns Alexander Haberman Maggie 2016-02-10 Chris Christie Drops Out of Presidential Race After New Hampshire Flop en-US The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/11/us/politics/chris-christie.html 2022-06-18 0362-4331 Carly Fiorina,Parker Ashley 2016-02-10 Carly Fiorina Drops Out of Republican Presidential Race en-US The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/11/us/politics/carly-fiorina-quits.html 2022-06-18 0362-4331 and Jim Gilmore dropped out of the race after poor showings in the primary.
Campaign
Politico described the 2016 Republican primary in New Hampshire as a
"topsy-turvy" campaign that saw "an all-out assault" on "establishment" politics. Gass Nick Kasich wins the New Hampshire newspaper primary https://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/concord-monitor-endorses-john-kasich-218221 26 January 2016 Politico 26 January 2016
Donald Trump dominated the polling results, Rappeport Alan Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump Far Ahead in New Hampshire, Poll Finds https://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2016/01/25/bernie-sanders-and-donald-trump-far-ahead-in-new-hampshire-poll-finds/ 26 January 2016 The New York Times 26 January 2016 with Chris Christie, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Jeb Bush vying to place second and emerge as the leading mainstream alternative to Trump and to Ted Cruz. Stokols Eli The GOP's New Hampshire nightmare https://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/new-hampshire-2016-primary-217145 26 January 2016 Politico 27 December 2015 In November Chris Christie gained the endorsement of the New Hampshire Union Leader. http://www.unionleader.com/For-our-safety,-our-future:-Chris-Christie-for-President For our safety, our future: Chris Christie for President New Hampshire Union Leader November 28, 2015 January 26, 2016 January 26, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160126234214/http://www.unionleader.com/For-our-safety,-our-future:-Chris-Christie-for-President dead Candidates receiving the endorsement later received a boost of on average 8 points in the polls, but the endorsed candidate only won a Republican primary in half of the elections from 1980 to 2012. Enten Harry Will The New Hampshire Union Leader's Endorsement Help Chris Christie? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/will-the-new-hampshire-union-leaders-endorsement-help-chris-christie/ https://web.archive.org/web/20151201152115/http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/will-the-new-hampshire-union-leaders-endorsement-help-chris-christie/ dead December 1, 2015 11 February 2016 Fivethirtyeight 30 November 2015 But in late January The Boston Globe and the Concord Monitor endorsed Kasich, leading Politico to dub him the winner of the "newspaper primary."
Major debates and forums
Two major televised gatherings of major candidates took place during the 2015-16 campaign, both took place at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics of Saint Anselm College in Goffstown, New Hampshire.
August 3, 2015 – Voters First Presidential Forum
The 2016 Voters First Presidential Forum was moderated by Jack Heath of WGIR radio, who asked questions of each of the participating candidates based on a random draw. Candidates each had three opportunities to speak: two rounds of questions, and a closing statement.https://money.cnn.com/2015/08/03/media/new-hampshire-republican-debate/index.html https://web.archive.org/web/20150806015737/http://money.cnn.com/2015/08/03/media/new-hampshire-republican-debate/index.html dead August 6, 2015 Republican forum begins Monday without Donald Trump Brian Stelter August 3, 2015 CNNMoney Topics of discussion during the forum were partially selected based on the results of an online voter survey.http://UnionLeader.com/votersfirst Voters First Forum Topics On Monday, August 3, candidates ... will be broadcast live on C-SPAN at 7 p.m. Topics for the forum will be determined by you, the voters. Please choose the top five topics you would like to see discussed. ...from these [five] identical drop-down lists: Iran nuclear deal, Homeland Security (Terrorism), Defense, International Trade, Immigration, Russia, Climate change, Crime, Drugs/heroin, Death penalty, Euthanasia, U.S. debt/deficit, Taxes, Economy and jobs, Campaign spending Reform, Social Security, Medicare, Healthcare/Obamacare, Gay marriage, Religious freedom, Privacy/surveillance, Education/Common Core, Abortion, 1st Amendment, 2nd Amendment, Race. The facilities were provided by the New Hampshire Institute of Politics and Political Library of St. Anselm College. The forum was organized in responsehttp://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20150729/NEWS060501/150729077 July 29, 2015 New Hampshire Union Leader Trump tells Union Leader: No endorsement, no show December 21, 2015 October 20, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20181020034100/http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=%2F20150729%2FNEWS060501%2F150729077 dead to the top-ten invitation limitations placed by Fox News and CNN on their first televised debates (see descriptions below).
Eleven of the candidates participated: Senators Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marco Rubio participated in the forum via satellite to avoid missing a vote.https://news.yahoo.com/senate-roll-vote-planned-parenthood-231725304.html Senate roll vote on Planned Parenthood August 3, 2015 Associated Press September 24, 2015 Three major Republican candidates who did not participate were Donald Trump (who chose not to attend), Jim Gilmore (who missed the cutoff deadline)http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20150802/NEWS060501/150809949/1037/70 Voters First Forum levels the playing field August 1, 2015 August 3, 2015 New Hampshire Union-Leader Paul Feely September 25, 2015 https://web.archive.org/web/20150925121234/http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=%2F20150802%2FNEWS060501%2F150809949%2F1037%2F70 dead and Mike Huckabee (who was invited, but did not respond). Mark Everson did not receive an invitation, albeit after a "serious look."https://www.yahoo.com/politics/new-hampshire-thumbs-its-nose-at-fox-news-over-125381639521.html New Hampshire thumbs its nose at Fox News over presidential debates Jon Ward July 29, 2015 The Union Leader considered allowing Mark Everson, the commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service from 2003 to 2007, to take part. Everson announced his candidacy in March. "We had discussions with Mark Everson about whether or not he would qualify. We didn't want to do what Fox did, which was cut the field arbitrarily," Spiner said. "We took a serious look to see if we were missing something here, and we decided we weren't." https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/aug/05/mark-everson-republican-presidential-candidate-polling-debates Who is Mark Everson? Why, he's the 18th Republican candidate, of course Ben Jacobs the Guardian
The Voters First forum was broadcast nationallyhttp://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20150715/NEWS060501/150719512 Outfoxed: Voters Forum to be first for GOP New Hampshire Union Leader July 14, 2015 August 3, 2015 March 4, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160304095338/http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=%2F20150715%2FNEWS060501%2F150719512 dead by C-SPANhttp://www.c-span.org/video/?111549-1/radio-2016-republican-candidates-voters-first-forum Radio 2016 Republican Candidates Voters First C-SPAN as the originating source media entity, beginning at 6:30 p.m. EDT and lastingAugust 2015 from 7 to 9 p.m. The event was also simulcast and/or co-sponsored by television stations KCRG-TV in Iowa, New England Cable News in the northeast, WBIN-TV in New Hampshire,http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20150723/NEWS060501/150729542 UPDATED: Bush, Walker, Paul in, Trump out of Voters First forum New Hampshire Union Leader July 24, 2015 January 5, 2022 October 20, 2018 https://web.archive.org/web/20181020034111/http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=%2F20150723%2FNEWS060501%2F150729542 dead WLTX-TV in South Carolina, radio stations New Hampshire Public Radio, WGIR in New Hampshire, iHeartRadio on the internet (C-SPAN is also offering an online version of the broadcast), and newspapers the Cedar Rapids Gazette in Iowa, the Union Leader in New Hampshire, and the Post and Courier in Charleston South Carolina. There was a live audience, with tickets to the event awarded via a lottery.
Lesser known candidates forum at Goffstown
One of the highlights of the campaign is when the nonrecognized candidates gather together to introduce themselves to the public at this event, which first was held in 1972.https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/01/25/the-existential-pleasures-of-the-lesser-known-candidates-presidential-debate/ The existential pleasures of the Lesser Known Candidates presidential debate The Washington Post 25 October 2016 Five candidates participated. They were Stephen Comley, Tim Cook, Walter Iwachiw, Andy Martin, and Joe Robinson.
February 6, 2016 – Goffstown, New Hampshire
Candidate AirtimeOn The Clock: Rubio Gets The Most Talking Time In Tonight's Debate https://www.npr.org/2016/02/06/465858684/on-the-clock-whos-getting-the-most-talking-time-in-tonights-debate NPR.org 2016-02-07 Barbara Sprunt Pollshttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html 2016 Republican Presidential Nomination realclearpolitics.com 25 October 2016 Trump 15:32 33.2% Cruz 17:34 20.7% Rubio 18:14 13.3% Carson 8:46 7.8% Bush 12:30 4.5% Christie 12:53 3.0% Kasich 10:33 2.8%
The eighth debate was held in New Hampshire, the first state to hold primaries, was organized by ABC News and the Independent Journal Review. It was scheduled to be held in the St Anselm's College Institute of Politics. Scheduled Presidential Candidate Visits & Other Forums - LWV of New Hampshire http://lwvnh.org/Forums-debates.html lwvnh.org 2015-12-16 2015-12-31 https://web.archive.org/web/20151231161423/http://lwvnh.org/Forums-debates.html dead The eighth debate did not feature an undercard event.Kamisar Ben Rand Paul makes main debate stage https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/267106-rand-paul-makes-main-debate-stage/ 2 February 2016 26 January 2016 The Hill David Muir and Martha Raddatz were moderaters, along with WMUR political director Josh McElveen and Mary Katherine Ham.Anthony Bennett When Is the Next GOP Debate? http://heavy.com/news/2016/02/gop-debate-time-channel-live-stream-trump-cruz-rubio-bush-carson/ Heavy.com February 4, 2016 February 3, 2016
To participate in the debate, a candidate must either have placed among the top 3 candidates in the popular vote of the Iowa caucus, or placed among the top 6 candidates in an average of New Hampshire or national polls recognized by ABC News. Only polls conducted no earlier than January 1 and released by February 4 were included in the averages.ABC News ABC News Announces Criteria For New Hampshire Republican Debate https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/abc-news-announces-criteria-hampshire-republican-debate/story?id=36550263 ABC News 2016-02-02 2016-01-27
On February 4, 2016, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump were invited to the debate.https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/abc-news-announces-hampshire-republican-debate-candidate-lineup/story?id=36721505 ABC News Announces New Hampshire Republican Debate Candidate Lineup ABC News February 4, 2016 February 4, 2016 Carly Fiorina and Jim Gilmore were not invited as they did not meet the criteria.Kamisar Ben https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/268317-carly-fiorina-abc-republican-debate/ Carly Fiorina misses debate stage The Hill February 4, 2016 February 4, 2016
The debate was notable for Rubio's poor performance, where he repeated the same phrase four times, including once while Christie was criticizing him for making "canned" remarks.http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/07/politics/chris-christie-republican-debate-race-changed-jake-tapper/index.html Chris Christie: 'Whole race changed' after GOP debate Tom LoBianco CNN 25 October 2016https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/02/07/how-chris-christie-just-owned-marco-rubio-in-saturdays-gop-debate/ How Chris Christie owned Marco Rubio in Saturday's GOP debate The Washington Post 25 October 2016
Debate 9
Candidates
Twenty-six total candidates were on the ballot in the New Hampshire primary.http://sos.nh.gov/ NHSOS nh.gov 25 October 2016 The following notable candidates were listed in five major polls and participated in authorized debates. U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina and former Governors Bobby Jindal of Louisiana and George Pataki of New York withdrew from the race, but remained on the ballot.
The following were listed in national polls and participated in at least one nationally televised debate.
Candidate Résumé Portrait popular vote percentage Delegates wonDonald TrumpCEO of The Trump Organization (campaign)50px100,406 35.3% 11John KasichGovernor of Ohio since 2011; U.S. Representative from Ohio 1983–2001; presidential candidate in 2000 (campaign)https://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/22/us/politics/john-kasich-election-2016-presidential-race.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=photo-spot-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0 John Kasich Enters Crowded 2016 Race Facing Job of Catch-Up The New York Times July 21, 2015 July 21, 2015 Stolberg, Sheryl Gayhttp://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/022/201507230300013022/201507230300013022.pdf John Kasich FEC Filing FEC.gov July 23, 2015 July 28, 201550px44,909 15.8% 4Ted CruzU.S. Senator from Texas since 2013; Solicitor General of Texas 2003–2008 (campaign)http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/891/15031403891/15031403891.pdf Ted Cruz FEC filing March 23, 2015 FEC.gov April 1, 201550px33,189 11.7% 3Jeb BushGovernor of Florida 1999–2007; Florida Secretary of Commerce 1987–1988 (campaign)http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/jeb-bush-set-make-2016-run-official-n375621 Jeb Bush Makes 2016 Run Official NBC News June 15, 2015 June 15, 2015 Rafferty, Andrewhttp://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/747/15031431747/15031431747.pdf Jeb Bush FEC Filing FEC.gov June 15, 2015 June 16, 201550px31,310http://graphics.latimes.com/election-2016-new-hampshire-results/ Results from the 2016 New Hampshire primary Los Angeles Times 25 October 2016 11% 3Marco RubioU.S. Senator from Florida since 2011; Florida Speaker of the House 2007–2008 (campaign)https://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/14/us/politics/marco-rubio-2016-presidential-campaign.html?smid=tw-bna Marco Rubio Announces 2016 Presidential Bid The New York Times April 13, 2015 April 13, 2015 Parker, AshleyNelson, Rebecca (April 13, 2015) "Marco Rubio Makes His Pitch as the Fresh Face of the GOP in 2016", National Journal. Retrieved April 14, 2015.http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/229/15031412229/15031412229.pdf Marco Rubio FEC Filing FEC.gov April 13, 2015 May 7, 201550px30,032 10.6% 2Chris ChristieGovernor of New Jersey since 2010, U.S. Attorney from the district of New Jersey (campaign)https://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/01/us/politics/chris-christie-presidential-campaign.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=photo-spot-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news Chris Christie Announces Run, Pledging 'Truth' About Nation's Woes The New York Times June 30, 2015 June 30, 2015 Barbaro, Michaelhttp://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/058/201507010300005058/201507010300005058.pdf Christopher J. Christie FEC Filing FEC.gov July 1, 2015 July 6, 201550px21,069 7.4% noneCarly FiorinaFormer Hewlett-Packard CEO 1999–2005; nominee for Senate in California in 2010 (campaign)https://www.politico.com/story/2015/05/carly-fiorina-2016-presidential-bid-117593.html Carly Fiorina: 'Yes, I am running for president' Politico May 4, 2015 4 May 2015 Gass, Nickhttp://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/870/15031422870/15031422870.pdf Carly Fiorina FEC Filing FEC.gov May 4, 2015 May 7, 201550px11,706 4.1% noneBen Carson Author and former Director of Pediatric Neurosurgery at the Johns Hopkins Hospital 1984–2013 (campaign)Terris Ben Ben Carson announces presidential campaign https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2015/05/03/ben-carson-to-announce-presidential-campaign-monday/ The Washington Post May 3, 2015 May 4, 2015http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/ben-carson-announces-2016-run-n353241 Ben Carson Announces 2016 Run NBCNews.com May 4, 2015 4 May 2015 Rafferty, Andrewhttp://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/874/15031422874/15031422874.pdf Ben Carson FEC Filing FEC.gov May 4, 2015 May 7, 201550px6,509 2.3% noneJim GilmorePresidential candidate in 2008, Governor of Virginia 1998–2002 (campaign)https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2015/07/30/jim-gilmore-presidential-announcement/30830661/ Jim Gilmore formally joins GOP presidential race USA Today July 30, 2015 July 30, 2015 Allen, Cooperhttp://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/759/201507299000439759/201507299000439759.pdf Jim Gilmore FEC Filing FEC.gov July 29, 2015 July 29, 201550px133New Hampshire presidential primary, WMUR-TV, Last Updated February 10, 2016. Accessed February 10, 2016 0.05% none
The following were listed in national polls and participated in at least one nationally televised debate, but withdrew their candidacies before the New Hampshire primary.
Candidate Résumé Portrait popular vote percentage Delegates wonLindsey GrahamU.S. Senator from South Carolina since 2003; U.S. Representative from South Carolina 1995–2003 (campaign)Jaffe, Alexandra (June 1, 2015) "Graham bets on foreign experience in White House bid announcement", CNN. Retrieved June 1, 2015.http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/870/15031430870/15031430870.pdf Lindsey Graham FEC Filing FEC.gov June 1, 2015 June 2, 201550px70 0% none (withdrew from the race earlier)Mike HuckabeeGovernor of Arkansas 1996–2007; presidential candidate in 2008 (campaign)https://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/06/us/politics/mike-huckabee-running-in-republican-presidential-primary.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=photo-spot-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0 Mike Huckabee Joins Republican Presidential Race The New York Times May 5, 2015 May 5, 2015 Trip, GabrielMike Huckabee FEC Filing http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/301/15031423301/15031423301.pdf FEC.gov 10 May 201550px215 0% none (withdrew from race after Iowa caucuses)Bobby JindalGovernor of Louisiana since 2008; U.S. Representative from Louisiana 2005–2008 (campaign)https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2015/06/24/bobby-jindal-to-announce-presidential-plans-wednesday/ Bobby Jindal announces entry into 2016 presidential race The Washington Post June 24, 2015 June 24, 2015 Fahrenthold, David A. Hohmann, James http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/728/15031432728/15031432728.pdf Bobby Jindal FEC Filing FEC.gov June 29, 2015 June 30, 201550px64 0% none (withdrew from race earlier)George PatakiGovernor of New York 1995–2006 (campaign)https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2015/05/28/george-pataki-to-launch-presidential-campaign/?wpisrc=al_alert-politics George Pataki announces presidential campaign The Washington Post May 28, 2015 May 28, 2015 Fahrenthold, David A.http://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/946/15031430946/15031430946.pdf George Pataki FEC filing June 2, 2015 FEC.gov June 4, 201550px80 0% none (withdrew from race earlier)Rand PaulU.S. Senator from Kentucky since 2011 and Ophthalmologist (campaign)https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-paul-announcement-idUSKBN0MY17L20150407 Republican Rand Paul announces 2016 presidential run on website Reuters April 7, 2015 7 April 2015 Lambert, Lisahttp://www.cnn.com/2015/04/07/politics/rand-paul-president-2016/ Rand Paul: 'I am running for president' CNN April 7, 2015 7 April 2015 Killough, Ashleyhttp://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/721/15970332721/15970332721.pdf Rand Paul FEC filing April 8, 2015 FEC.gov April 9, 201550px1,900 0.67% none (withdrew from race after Iowa caucuses)https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/goodbye-rand-paul-goodbye-gop-dovishness/ https://web.archive.org/web/20160204091113/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/goodbye-rand-paul-goodbye-gop-dovishness/ dead February 4, 2016 Goodbye, Rand Paul; Goodbye, GOP Dovishness fivethirtyeight Malone, Clare 3 Feb 2015Rick SantorumU.S. Senator from Pennsylvania 1995–2007; U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania 1991–1995; presidential candidate in 2012 (campaign)https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/2015/05/27/rick-santorum-2016-presidential-race/28011791/ Santorum officially begins 2016 presidential campaign USA Today May 27, 2015 28 May 2015 Jackson, Davidhttp://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/613/15031430613/15031430613.pdf Rick Santorum FEC filing FEC.gov May 27, 2015 June 1, 201550px155 0% none (withdrew from race after Iowa caucuses)
The following candidates have not been listed in major independent polls nor participated in Republican party sanctioned debates:
Stephen B. Comley Sr., Massachusetts (31 votes)
Tim Cook, North Carolina (77 votes)
Brooks A. Cullison, Illinois (54 votes)
Matt Drozd, Pennsylvania (5 votes)
J. Daniel Dyas Sr., Alabama (14 votes)
Kevin Glenn Huey, Colorado (7 votes)
Walter N. Iwachiw, New York (9 votes)
Frank Lynch, Florida (47 votes)
Robert L. Mann, Indiana (5 votes)
Andy Martin, New Hampshire (169 votes)
Peter Messina (5 votes)
Stephen John McCarthy, Ohio (12 votes)
Chomi Prag, Wisconsin (14 votes)
Joe Robinson, Massachusetts (44 votes)
Richard P.H. Witz, Massachusetts (105 votes)
Endorsements
Jeb Bush U.S. Senators
Judd Gregg, Senator of New Hampshire (1993–2011)https://www.wmur.com/article/updated-former-sen-judd-gregg-endorses-jeb-bush-for-president/5205330 Updated: Former Sen. Judd Gregg endorses Jeb Bush for president WMUR9abc October 29, 2015 en 2015-10-29
State Senators
John Barnes Jr., State Senator of NH-17 (1992-1998) (2000-2012)https://www.p2016.org/bush/bushorg.html#nh Updated: Jeb 2016, Inc. P2016 June 15, 2015 en 2015-06-15
Chuck Morse, State Senator of NH-22 (2002-2006) (2010-Present)https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/bush-receives-major-endorsement-new-hampshire-n444341 Updated: Bush Receives Major Endorsement In New Hampshire NBC October 14, 2015 en 2015-10-14
Russell Prescott, State Senator of NH-23 (2000-2004) (2010-Present)https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/oct/29/jeb-bush-backers-still-supporting-ex-governor/ Jeb Bush backers still supporting ex-governor Washington Times October 29, 2015 en 2015-10-29
Newspapers
The Conway Daily SunBush: Extremely electable http://www.conwaydailysun.com/opinion/editorials/124475-bush-extremely-electable Conway Daily Sun 2016-02-03 2016-02-03
Chris Christie U.S. Representatives
Bill Zeliff, Representative of NH-01 (1991-1997)https://www.wmur.com/article/former-us-rep-bill-zeliff-latest-to-endorse-christie/5206394 Former US Rep. Bill Zeliff latest to endorse Christie WMUR9 December 2, 2015 en 2015-12-02
Jeb Bradley, Representative of NH-01 (2003-2007)https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/chris-christie-lands-jeb-bradley-endorsement-msna741931 Chris Christie lands Jeb Bradley endorsement MSNBC December 7, 2015 en 2015-12-07
State Senators
Robert Letourneau, State Senator of NH-19 (2004-2010)https://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/ted-cruz-new-hampshire-primary-218921 Will Ted Cruz surprise in New Hampshire? Politico February 8, 2016 en 2016-02-08
Individuals
Walt Havenstein, Republican Nominee for Governor of New Hampshire in 2014https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/christie-campaign-press-release-former-republican-nominee-for-governor-walt-havenstein Christie Campaign Press Release - Former Republican Nominee For Governor Walt Havenstein Endorses Chris Christie For President The American Presidency Project November 5, 2015 en 2015-11-05
Ted Cruz U.S. Senators
Bob Smith, Senator of New Hampshire (1990–2003)https://blog.4president.us/2016/2015/11/former-new-hampshire-state-senator-bob-letourneau-of-derry-rndorses-chris-christie-for-president-.html Former New Hampshire State Senator Bob Letourneau of Derry Endorses Chris Christie for President Blog4President November 21, 2015 en 2015-11-21
Executive Council
Dave Wheeler, Executive Council (2001-2005) (2011-2013) (2015-Present)https://www.p2016.org/cruz/cruz051315pr.html Will Ted Cruz surprise in New Hampshire? P2016 May 13, 2015 en 2015-05-13
State Senators
Kevin Avard, State Senator of NH-12 (2014-Present)
Carly Fiorina State Senators
Jeanie Forrester, State Senator of NH-02 (2010-Present)https://www.p2016.org/chrnnewh/nhendorse16r.html New Hampshire Endorsements—Republicans P2016 January 8, 2016 en
Sharon Carson, State Senator of NH-14 (2008-Present)
John Reagan, State Senator of NH-17 (2012-Present)https://www.p2016.org/chrnnewh/nhendorse16r.html New Hampshire Endorsements—Republicans P2016 January 8, 2016 en 2016-01-05
Individuals
Ovide Lamontagne, Republican Nominee for Governor of New Hampshire in 1996 and 2012https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/carly-fiorina-wins-key-endorsement-new-hampshire-n489236 Carly Fiorina Wins Key Endorsement in New Hampshire NBC January 2, 2016 en 2016-01-02
John Kasich U.S. Senators
Gordon J. Humphrey, Senator of New Hampshire (1979–1990)https://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/john-kasich-endorsed-by-gordon-humphrey-214372 Kasich picks up endorsement of former N.H. senator Humphrey Politico October 2, 2015 en 2015-10-02
John E. Sununu, Senator of New Hampshire (2003–2009)https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2015/07/21/fmr_nh_sen_sununu_why_im_thrilled_john_kasich_decided_to_run_for_president.html Fmr. NH Sen. Sununu: Why I'm Thrilled John Kasich Decided To Run For President Real Clear Politics July 21, 2015 en 2015-06-21
U.S. Representatives
Charles Bass, Representative of NH-02 (1995–2007) (2011-2013)https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/kasich-campaign-press-release-endorsement-former-congressman-charlie-bass-supports-john Kasich Campaign Press Release - Endorsement: Former Congressman Charlie Bass Supports John Kasich for President The American Presidency Project February 2, 2016 en 2016-02-02
Chuck Douglas, Representative of NH-02 (1989–1991)https://patch.com/new-hampshire/concord-nh/former-judge-rep-douglas-backs-kasich Former Judge, Rep. Douglas Backs Kasich Patch January 20, 2016 en 2016-01-20
State Senators
David Boutin, State Senator of NH-16 (2010-Present)https://www.unionleader.com/news/politics/voters/john-kasich-names-boutin-a-nh-co-chairman/article_2bcef8f7-aad3-5ebc-b32d-f467b07dd2ff.html John Kasich names David Boutin a NH co-chair New Hampshire Union Leader September 3, 2015 en 2015-09-03
Newspapers
The Portsmouth HeraldPortsmouth Herald, Foster's endorse Kasich in NH GOP primary http://www.seacoastonline.com/article/20160115/NEWS/160119396/101050/OPINION seacoastonline.com January 15, 2016 June 19, 2022 September 20, 2021 https://web.archive.org/web/20210920202908/https://www.seacoastonline.com/article/20160115/NEWS/160119396/101050/OPINION dead
Nashua Telegraphhttp://www.nashuatelegraph.com/opinion/editorials/1075968-465/our-choice-for-the-gop-nomination.html Our choice for the GOP nomination Nashua Telegraph January 17, 2016
Valley NewsEditorial: John Kasich http://www.vnews.com/opinion/editorials/20637011-95/editorial-john-kasich 2016-01-24 Valley News 2016-01-24 West Lebanon, N.H. January 31, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160131051414/http://www.vnews.com/opinion/editorials/20637011-95/editorial-john-kasich dead
Concord Monitorhttp://www.concordmonitor.com/opinion/editorials/20721839-95/editorial-john-kasich-for-the-republican-nomination Editorial: John Kasich for the Republican nomination January 26, 2016 Concord MonitorSeptember 2026 InternetArchiveBot
The Keene Sentinelhttp://www.sentinelsource.com/opinion/editorial/we-endorse-john-kasich-for-the-republican-presidential-nomination/article_3cc968e9-6ebe-5b35-85a5-8525ff4c85da.html We endorse John Kasich for the Republican presidential nomination January 27, 2016 The Keene Sentinel
Marco Rubio Governor
Craig Benson, Governor of New Hampshire (2003–2005)https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2016/02/06/three-endorsements-that-would-matter/MzEuoUJEsba9mF00ujtskI/story.html Three endorsements that would matter in N.H. The Boston Globe February 6, 2016 en 2016-02-06
State Senators
Regina Birdsell, State Senator of NH-19 (2014-Present)https://www.unionleader.com/news/politics/voters/marco-rubio-names-nh-co-chairs/article_f0d34e30-31b3-554e-85dc-f11b088e154e.html Birdsell, MacDonald co-chairs for Rubio New Hampshire Union leader May 19, 2015 en 2015-05-19
Withdrawn candidates
Jim Gilmore (Withdrawn) State Senators
Sam Cataldo, State Senator of NH-06 (2012-Present)https://www.p2016.org/chrnnewh/nhendorse16r.html New Hampshire Endorsements—Republicans P2016 January 8, 2016 en 2016-01-08
George Pataki (Withdrawn) State Senators
Nancy Stiles, State Senator of NH-24 (2010-Present)https://www.seacoastonline.com/story/news/local/exeter-news-letter/2015/05/28/sen-stiles-endorses-pataki/34461603007/ Sen. Stiles endorses Pataki SeaCoasyOnline May 28, 2015 en 2015-05-28
Rand Paul (Withdrawn) State Senators
Andy Sanborn, State Senator of NH-09 (2012-Present)https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/rand-paul-campaign-press-release-100-new-hampshire-leaders-stand-with-rand Rand Paul Campaign Press Release - 100 New Hampshire Leaders Stand With Rand The American Presidency Project June 25, 2015 en 2015-06-25
Polling
Opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primary in New Hampshire
Aggregate polls
+Source of poll
aggregationDates
administeredDates
updatedMarco RubioRepublicanDonald TrumpRepublicanTed CruzRepublicanJohn KasichRepublicanMarginRealClearPoliticsRealClearPoliticsuntil February 9, 2016February 9, 201614.0%31.2%11.8%13.5%20.0Trump +17.2FiveThirtyEightFiveThirtyEightuntil February 9, 2016February 9, 201615.7%26.8%12.0%15.2%23.0Trump +11.0
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOtherPrimary resultsPrimary resultsFebruary 9, 2016Donald Trump35.23%John Kasich15.72%Ted Cruz11.63%Jeb Bush 10.96%, Marco Rubio 10.52%, Chris Christie 7.38%, Carly Fiorina 4.12%, Ben Carson 2.28%, Rand Paul 0.68%, Mike Huckabee 0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.06%, Jim Gilmore 0.05%ARGARG Poll http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html American Research Group 9 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 418February 7–8, 2016Donald Trump33%John Kasich
17%Marco Rubio
14%Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 6%CNN/UNH/WMURTrump, Sanders lead ahead of New Hampshire's vote https://edition.cnn.com/2016/02/08/politics/donald-trump-bernie-sanders-new-hampshire-poll/index.html University of New Hampshire Survey Center 9 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 362February 4–8, 2016Donald Trump31%Marco Rubio
17%Ted Cruz
14%John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 7%Gravis Marketing/
One America NewsGravis NH Poll Shows Trump Leading in New Hampshire Post ABC Debate http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/gravis-ivr-survey-shows-trump-leading-in-new-hampshire Gravis Marketing 9 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 705February 7, 2016Donald Trump28%John Kasich
17%Marco Rubio
15%Jeb Bush 14%, Ted Cruz 11%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 0.5%ARGARG Poll http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html American Research Group 8 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 427February 6–7, 2016Donald Trump30%John Kasich
16%Marco Rubio
16%Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 9%UMass Lowell/7 NewsTracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-8%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230870.pdf University of Massachusetts Lowell 8 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 5.13% Sample size: 464February 5–7, 2016Donald Trump34%Marco Rubio
13%Ted Cruz
13%Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 9%Emerson CollegeDONALD TRUMPS NEW HAMPSHIRE; BATTLE FOR SECOND BETWEEN BUSH AND KASICH AS DEBATE FALLOUT CONTINUES. SANDERS WELL AHEAD OF CLINTON http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_40ad3c95ef7d40e5bc8470098cbc702f.pdf Emerson College Polling Society 9 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 686February 4–7, 2016Donald Trump31%Jeb Bush
16%John Kasich
13%Marco Rubio 12%, Ted Cruz 11%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 3%,ARG
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 422February 5–6, 2016Donald Trump31%John Kasich
17%Marco Rubio
17%Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 8%Monmouth UniversityTRUMP, SANDERS HOLD LEADS http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/2114e68d-b5a1-46c5-a375-2d112a71d050.pdf Monmouth University 8 February 2016 14 March 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160314134148/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/2114e68d-b5a1-46c5-a375-2d112a71d050.pdf dead
Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 508February 4–6, 2016Donald Trump30%John Kasich
14%Marco Rubio
13%Jeb Bush 13%, Ted Cruz 12%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 3%UMass Lowell/7 NewsTracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-7%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230859.pdf University of Massachusetts Lowell 8 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.82% Sample size: 516February 4–6, 2016Donald Trump36%Marco Rubio
14%Ted Cruz
13%Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 7%CNN/UNH/WMURFull CNN/WMUR tracking poll results https://edition.cnn.com/2016/02/07/politics/new-hampshire-poll-full-results/index.html 8 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 362February 3–6, 2016Donald Trump33%Marco Rubio
16%Ted Cruz
14%John Kasich 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Someone Else 1%, Not Sure 6%Franklin Pierce University/
RKM/Boston Herald6 February 2016 Donald Trump's Lead in New Hampshire appears to be Shrinking as Cruz, Rubio, Kasich and Bush Show Modest Signs of Improvement. http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2016/02/07/FPU-BH-Feb02-06-Rep_1.pdf RKM Research and Communications 8 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 433February 2–6, 2016Donald Trump31%Ted Cruz
16%Marco Rubio
15%John Kasich 11%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 2%, Unsure 3%ARGARG Poll http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html American Research Group 7 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 415February 4–5, 2016Donald Trump34%John Kasich
17%Marco Rubio
16%Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 6%UMass Lowell/7 NewsTracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-6%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230852.pdf University of Massachusetts Lowell 7 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.86% Sample size: 501February 3–5, 2016Donald Trump35%Marco Rubio
14%Ted Cruz
13%John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Undecided 9%Suffolk University/
Boston GlobeNew Globe poll shows Rubio closing in on Trump in N.H. https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2016/02/05/read-summary-results-boston-globe-poll/icpp8sHS8wLASDGmzjXcLN/story.html?p1=Article_Related_Box_Article_More Boston Globe 6 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500February 3–4, 2016Donald Trump28.8%Marco Rubio
19.4%John Kasich
13%Jeb Bush 9.8%, Ted Cruz 6.6%, Chris Christie 5.2%, Ben Carson 4.4%, Carly Fiorina 3.8%, Other 1%, Undecided 8%ARGARG Poll http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html American Research Group 6 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 420February 3–4, 2016Donald Trump36%Marco Rubio
15%John Kasich
14%Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 6%MassINC/WBURIn N.H., Democratic Race Tightens Slightly, Trump Stays Ahead On GOP Side http://www.wbur.org/2016/02/05/final-wbur-poll-new-hampshire WBUR 6 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 410February 2–4, 2016Donald Trump29%Marco Rubio
12%Ted Cruz
12%Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 9%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Jim Gilmore <1% Other <1%, Won't Vote 1%, Don't Know 5%UMass Lowell/7 NewsTracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-5%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230845.pdf University of Massachusetts Lowell 5 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 500February 2–4, 2016Donald Trump34%Marco Rubio
15%Ted Cruz
14%Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 2%, Undecided 6%CNN/UNH/WMURCNN/WMUR New Hampshire Republican poll: Full results https://edition.cnn.com/2016/02/04/politics/gop-new-hampshire-cnn-wmur-poll-full-results/index.html 5 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 6.8% Sample size: 209February 2–4, 2016Donald Trump29%Marco Rubio
18%Ted Cruz
13%John Kasich 12%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Someone Else 2%, Not Sure 8%NBC News/WSJ/MaristNBC News/WSJ/Marsit New Hampshire Poll http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/poll-trump-holds-lead-new-hampshire-rubio-gains-ground-n511646 Marist 5 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 653February 2–3, 2016Donald Trump30%Marco Rubio
17%Ted Cruz
15%John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Other 1%, Undecided 7%ARGARG Poll http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html ARG 5 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 600February 2–3, 2016Donald Trump34%Marco Rubio
14%John Kasich
13%Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 8%UMass Lowell/7 NewsTracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-4%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230668.pdf University of Massachusetts Lowell 4 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.87% Sample size: 487February 1–3, 2016Donald Trump36%Marco Rubio
15%Ted Cruz
14%Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 8%Harper PollingNew Hampshire Republican Primary Poll Results http://harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/16-02-nh-gop-primary-toplines.pdf?sfvrsn=0 Harper Polling 4 February 2016 7 February 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160207102554/http://www.harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/16-02-nh-gop-primary-toplines.pdf?sfvrsn=0 dead
Margin of error: ± 4.75% Sample size: 425February 1–2, 2016Donald Trump31%Jeb Bush
14%John Kasich
12%Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 0%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 8%UMass Lowell/7 NewsTracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-3%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230574.pdf University of Massachusetts Lowell 3 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 502January 31–
February 2, 2016Donald Trump38%Ted Cruz
14%Marco Rubio
12%Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 4%UMass Amherst/
WBZ-TV/YouGovTracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters http://www.umass.edu/poll/pdfs/20160205_Toplines.pdf YouGov 6 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 7.1% Sample size: 390January 29–
February 2, 2016Donald Trump35%Marco Rubio
15%John Kasich
11%Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 8%, Unsure 3%ARGARG Poll http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html ARG 2 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600January 29–31, 2016Donald Trump34%John Kasich
16%Marco Rubio
11%Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Undecided 6%UMass Lowell/7 NewsTracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters http://www.uml.edu/docs/TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY%202-1-16_tcm18-230419.pdf University of Massachusetts Lowell 1 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 461January 29–31, 2016Donald Trump38%Ted Cruz
12%John Kasich
9%Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Rand Paul 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Other 2%, Not Sure 5%CNN/UNH/WMURCNN Poll http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/01/31/topnh2.pdf University of New Hampshire Survey Center 1 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 409January 27–30, 2016Donald Trump30%Ted Cruz
12%Marco Rubio
11%John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 3%, Not Sure 10%Franklin Pierce/RKM/
Boston HeraldDonald Trump builds on his lead in New Hampshire, as more than one half of Republican voters in the state now believe he will be the eventual Republican nominee http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2016/01/31/FPU-BH-Jan26-30-Rep.pdf RKM Research 1 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 439January 26–30, 2016Donald Trump38%Ted Cruz
13%Jeb Bush
10%Marco Rubio 10%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 2%Suffolk UniversityTrump Maintains Lead in Suffolk University Poll of N.H. GOP Primary Voters http://www.suffolk.edu/news/63870.php#.VqqVAdDlYdI Suffolk University 29 January 2016 2 February 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160202192321/http://www.suffolk.edu/news/63870.php#.VqqVAdDlYdI dead
Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500January 25–27, 2016Donald Trump26.6%John Kasich
12%Ted Cruz
11.8%Jeb Bush 11.2%, Marco Rubio 9.6%, Chris Christie 5.6%, Ben Carson 4.8%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 1.6%, Mike Huckabee 0.4%, Jim Gilmore 0.2%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 0.4%, Undecided 11.8%Adrian Gray
ConsultingSurvey of New Hampshire Primary Voters http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/2016_PRES_NH_GOP_4.pdf Adrian Gray Consulting LLC 3 February 2016
Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 583January 25–27, 2016Donald Trump27%Marco Rubio
15%Ted Cruz
13%John Kasich 12%, Jeb Bush 11%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Don't know 5%Emerson CollegeNEW HAMPSHIRE-TRUMP COMFORTABLY AHEAD; BUSH SURGES TO SECOND, KASICH IN THIRD; SANDERS CRUISING AHEAD OF CLINTON http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_fdba60d808d0424aabe75c667d268972.pdf Emerson College Polling Society 28 January 2016
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 373January 25–26, 2016Donald Trump35%Jeb Bush
18%John Kasich
14%Marco Rubio 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 1%ARGARG Poll http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html ARG 20 January 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600January 23–25, 2016Donald Trump31%John Kasich
17%Ted Cruz
12%Marco Rubio 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 6%Franklin Pierce/RKM/Boston HeraldDonald Trump builds on his lead in New Hampshire, as more than one-half of Republican voters in the state now believe he will be the eventual Republican nominee http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2016/01/25/FPU-BH-Jan20-24-Rep.pdf RKM Research and Communications 26 January 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 444January 20–24, 2016Donald Trump33%Ted Cruz
14%John Kasich
12%Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 1%, Unsure 3%NBC/WSJ/MaristTrump Leads in IA, NH, and SC… Clinton and Sanders Competitive in IA, Sanders up in NH, Clinton Leads in SC http://maristpoll.marist.edu/128-trump-leads-in-ia-nh-and-sc-clinton-and-sanders-competitive-in-ia-sanders-up-in-nh-clinton-leads-in-sc/ Marist Poll January 28, 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 612January 17–23, 2016Donald Trump31%Ted Cruz
12%Marco Rubio/
John Kasich
11%Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%Fox NewsNew Hampshire Presidential Primary http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/01/22/fox-news-poll-new-hampshire-presidential-primary/ Fox News 25 January 2016
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 401January 19–21, 2016Donald Trump31%Ted Cruz
14%Marco Rubio
13%John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, None of the above 1%, Don't know 5%CBS/YouGovCBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Hampshire https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/g7qekbbvsx/NH_ForRelease_20160124.pdf YouGov 25 January 2016
Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample size: 476January 19–21, 2016Donald Trump34%Ted Cruz
16%Marco Rubio
14%John Kasich 10%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No Preference 0%ARG
Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600January 15–18, 2016Donald Trump27%John Kasich
20%Marco Rubio
10%Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 7%CNN/UNH/WMURTrump Still on Top in NH, Big Battle for Second, Most Voters Still Undecided http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/primary2016_gopprimary012016.pdf University of New Hampshire 21 January 2016 23 January 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160123014356/http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/primary2016_gopprimary012016.pdf dead
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 414January 13–18, 2016Donald Trump34%Ted Cruz
14%Marco Rubio
10%Jeb Bush 10%, Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 6%, John Kasich 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Don't know 6%Mason-Dixon/AARPLikely New Hampshire Primary Voters’ Attitudes Toward Social Security http://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/econ/2016/likely-nh-primary-voters-rc-econ.pdf AARP 28 January 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 503January 12–16, 2016Donald Trump32%Marco Rubio
14%John Kasich
13%Chris Christie 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Ben Carson 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 4%ARGARG Poll http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html ARG 12 January 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600January 7–10, 2016Donald Trump25%Marco Rubio/
John Kasich
14%Chris Christie
10%Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 8%Monmouth UniversityTrump Lead Grows http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/290da493-3987-4ce9-8421-ab5b42f97a41.pdf Monmouth University 12 January 2016 18 January 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160118175642/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/290da493-3987-4ce9-8421-ab5b42f97a41.pdf dead
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 414January 7–10, 2016Donald Trump32%John Kasich/
Ted Cruz
14%Marco Rubio
12%Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 3%NBC/WSJ/MaristCruz and Trump Vie in IA, Trump NH Favorite… Clinton and Sanders Competitive http://maristpoll.marist.edu/110-cruz-and-trump-vie-in-ia-trump-nh-favorite-clinton-and-sanders-competitive/ Marist Poll 11 January 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 569January 2–7, 2016Donald Trump30%Marco Rubio
14%Chris Christie
12%Ted Cruz 10%, John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee <1%, Other <1%, Undecided 5%NH1/ReachRepublican Presidential Poll http://www.nh1.com/files/2016_fitn_reach_poll_1.7.16_gopund.pdf 9 January 2016 May 4, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20160504221828/http://www.nh1.com/files/2016_fitn_reach_poll_1.7.16_gopund.pdf dead
Margin of error: ± 3.1% Sample size: 1000January 7, 2016Donald Trump31.7%Jeb Bush
11.9%John Kasich 11.8%Chris Christie 11.0%, Ted Cruz 9.7%, Marco Rubio 8.9%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Ben Carson 3.8%, Rand Paul 3.0%, Rick Santorum 2.6%, Mike Huckabee 1.0%Fox NewsNew Hampshire Presidential Primary Race http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/01/08/fox-news-poll-new-hampshire-gop-presidential-primary-race/ Fox News 9 January 2016
Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 414January 4–7, 2016Donald Trump33%Marco Rubio
15%Ted Cruz 12%Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 4%Public Policy PollingEstablishment Split Leaves Trump Well Ahead in NH http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_10616.pdf PPP 7 January 2016
Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 515January 4–6, 2016Donald Trump29%Marco Rubio
15%Chris Christie/
John Kasich
11%Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 2%
Results
+ New Hampshire Republican primary, February 9, 2016 Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count Bound Unbound Total Donald Trump100,73535.23%11011 John Kasich44,93215.72%404 Ted Cruz33,24411.63%303 Jeb Bush31,34110.96%303 Marco Rubio30,07110.52%202 Chris Christie21,0897.38%000 Carly Fiorina11,7744.12%000 Ben Carson6,5272.28%000 Rand Paul (withdrawn)1,9300.68%000 Write-ins2,9121.02%000 Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)2160.08%000 Andy Martin2020.07%000 Rick Santorum (withdrawn)1600.06%000 Jim Gilmore1340.05%000 Richard Witz1040.04%000 George Pataki (withdrawn)790.03%000 Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)730.03%000 Brooks Andrews Cullison560.02%000 Timothy Cook550.02%000 Bobby Jindal (withdrawn)530.02%000 Frank Lynch470.02%000 Joe Robinson440.02%000 Stephen Bradley Comley320.01%000 Chomi Prag160.01%000 Jacob Daniel Dyas150.01%000 Stephen John McCarthy120%000 Walter Iwachiw90%000 Kevin Glenn Huey80%000 Matt Drozd60%000 Robert Lawrence Mann50%000 Peter Messina50%000 Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0Total:285,916100.00%23023 Source: The Green Papers
Note: Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 10% or more of the vote proportionally. Of the 25 candidate/hopefuls, five candidates garnered delegates.
By county
+2016 New Hampshire Republican primaries (by county)Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html 2025-02-18 uselectionatlas.orgCountyDonald TrumpJohn KasichTed CruzJeb BushMarco RubioChris ChristieAll Other CandidatesIncludes the vote totals of Carly Fiorina, Ben Carson, Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, and any other write-in candidates or votes.Total# %# %# %# %# %# %# %Belknap5,50835.16%2,46415.73%2,01912.89%1,74111.11%1,5119.64%1,0026.40%1,4229.07%15,667Carroll4,17033.95%2,27918.55%1,35711.05%1,24010.09%1,43011.64%8837.19%9257.54%12,284Cheshire4,53333.42%2,17716.05%1,88813.92%1,50011.06%1,2379.12%7545.56%1,47310.87%13,562Coos2,18436.99%94315.97%60110.18%5629.52%61410.40%3556.01%64510.93%5,904Grafton4,89729.36%3,47520.83%1,72610.35%1,86411.17%1,92611.55%1,0686.40%1,72510.35%16,681Hillsborough29,32834.89%12,51714.89%9,60611.43%9,58411.40%8,82410.50%7,1558.51%7,0498.40%84,063Merrimack10,95933.02%6,17818.61%3,78111.39%3,81411.49%3,0629.23%2,3767.16%3,0229.11%33,192Rockingham28,71838.73%10,37013.98%7,99110.78%7,74810.45%8,07410.89%5,7837.80%5,4747.37%74,158Strafford7,35833.40%3,19514.50%3,32415.09%2,44411.10%2,50511.37%1,2255.56%1,9768.97%22,027Sullivan3,08036.73%1,33415.91%95111.34%84410.07%88810.59%4885.82%8009.54%8,385Totals100,73535.23%44,93215.71%33,24411.63%31,34110.96%30,07110.52%21,0897.38%24,5118.58%285,923
Exit polls
2016 New Hampshire Republican Primary by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)2016-02-09 New Hampshire Exit Polls en-US The New York Times https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/02/09/us/elections/new-hampshire-republican-poll.html 2022-06-18 0362-4331Demographic subgroupCruzTrumpRubioKasichBush% of
total voteTotal vote11.6 35.210.515.711.090%GenderMen 1238916852%Women 113312161448%Age17–29 years old 173812111015%30–44 years old 12361812717%45–64 years old 11368181149%65+ years old 93111191519%IncomeUnder $30,000 1439971610%$30,000 - $49,999 1240913916%$50,000 - $99,999 123710161133%$100,000 - $199,999 103213191131%Over $200,000 93212201310%EducationCollege Graduate113012191253%Non-college 13421012947%Issue regarded as most importantImmigration214485615%Economy63012241233%Terrorism122813151424%Government spending13288151026%Area typeUrban12379131210%Suburban113711141154%Rural 123311191137%ReligionEvangelical 242813111123%Non-Evangelical83810181177%Gun householdYes12408131057%No92815211343%
Analysis
According to exit polls by Edison Research, Trump's landslide in New Hampshire could be attributed to strong support from non-college whites and voters holding a moderate political ideology. Trump amassed the largest margin of victory in a New Hampshire Republican primary since 2000, when John McCain upset George W. Bush. In his victory speech, Trump promised, "I am going to be the greatest jobs president that God ever created," and that he will "knock the hell out of ISIS."https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/10/us/politics/new-hampshire-primary.html Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders Win in New Hampshire Primary Healy Patrick 2016-02-09 Martin Jonathan The New York Times 0362-4331 2016-10-02 Trump's tough-on-terror message resonated in the state, where 65% of Republican voters supported his proposed Muslim ban.
See also
2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
2016 United States presidential election
Notes
References
Republican presidential primary
New Hampshire
2016
Category:February 2016 in the United States