2010 United States Senate election in Hawaii

none March 2026 December 2017 2010 United States Senate election in Hawaii Hawaii presidential Yes 2004 United States Senate election in Hawaii 2004 2014 United States Senate special election in Hawaii 2014(special) November 2, 2010 150x150px Daniel Inouye official portrait.jpg Daniel Inouye Democratic Party (United States) 277,228 74.81% Cam Cavasso (cropped).jpg Campbell Cavasso Republican Party (United States) 79,939 21.57% 2000 United States Senate election in Hawaii results map by county.svg 310px County resultsInouye: #584cde 70–80% U.S. Senator Daniel Inouye Democratic Party (United States) Daniel Inouye Democratic Party (United States) The 2010 United States Senate election in Hawaii took place on November 2, 2010, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on September 18, 2010.https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/2010senate.pdf Official Election Results for United States Senate Federal Election Commission 2010 PDF https://web.archive.org/web/20220323131345/https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/2010senate.pdf March 23, 2022 live Incumbent Senator Daniel Inouye, also the President pro tempore, secured the Democratic nomination with over 88 percent of the vote over his sole challenger, businessman Andy Woerner, while former state legislator (and Inouye's 2004 opponent) Campbell Cavasso won the Republican nomination with two-thirds of the primary vote. Focuses of the campaign included Inouye's seniority and ability to direct federal resources to the state, as well as Cavasso's emphases on change and fiscal responsibility. Polling found Inouye with a large lead, although one poll gave the Democrat a lead of only thirteen points, greatly underestimating his share of the vote. Inouye won re-election to his ninth and final term, with nearly 75 percent of the vote to Cavasso's 21.6 percent. The Senator would not serve out his ninth term, as he died in December 2012 and was replaced by appointed then-Lieutenant governor Brian Schatz. Background Hawaii last elected a Republican Senator in 1970, and its current delegation to the United States Congress currently consists entirely of Democrats. Democrats have also won Hawaii's electoral votes in every presidential election since Ronald Reagan's landslide election in 1984. The exceptions at the time were then-Governor Linda Lingle (who was serving her second and final term) and then-U.S. Representative Charles Djou, both of whom are Republicans. Democratic primary Candidates Daniel Inouye, incumbent U.S. Senator Andy Woerner, businessman Results Democratic primary resultshttps://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/HI Hawaii Senate Primary Results Politico September 18, 2010 September 19, 2010 August 23, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20100823031212/http://www.politico.com/2010/maps/#/Senate/2010/HI dead Daniel Inouye (incumbent) Democratic Party (United States) 188,400 88.3% Andy Woerner Democratic Party (United States) 25,016 11.7% 213,416 100.0% Republican primary Candidates Campbell Cavasso, former State Representative, candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2002, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2004 Eddie Pirkowski, businessman and U.S. Senate candidate in the 2006 primary John Roco Declined Linda Lingle, Governor of Hawaii from 2003 to 2011July 2026 Results thumb|310px|Results by county: #d40000 Cavasso—70–80% #cc2f4a Cavasso—60–70% #e27f90 Cavasso—50–60% Republican primary results Campbell Cavasso Republican Party (United States) 21,865 66.7% John Roco Republican Party (United States) 7,190 21.9% Eddie Pirkowski Republican Party (United States) 3,744 11.4% 32,790 100.0% General election Candidates Democratic: Daniel Inouye Republican: Campbell Cavasso Green: Jim Brewer Libertarian: Lloyd Mallan Independent: Jeff Jarrett Predictions Source Ranking As of Cook Political Reporthttp://cookpolitical.com/senate Senate Cook Political Report October 26, 2010 Solid D October 26, 2010 Rothenberghttp://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/senate Senate Ratings Rothenberg Political Report October 26, 2010 Safe D October 22, 2010 RealClearPoliticshttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html Battle for the Senate RealClearPolitics October 26, 2010 Safe D October 26, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ballhttp://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate 2010 Senate Ratings Sabato's Crystal Ball October 26, 2010 October 28, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101028092918/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/ dead Safe D October 21, 2010 CQ Politicshttp://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate Race Ratings Chart: Senate CQ Politics October 26, 2010 dead https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234525/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate October 28, 2010 Safe D October 26, 2010 Campaign The death of longtime U.S. Senator Robert Byrd allowed Inouye to become the President pro tempore and Chairman of the United States Senate Committee on Appropriations. He made no apologies for bringing home as much federal money as he could, despite Republican insistence that the U.S. government taxed and spent too much, a stance he called a "nice gimmick". The Maui News endorsed his reelection.http://www.daninouyehawaii.com/news/clippings/inouye-is-invaluable News Clippings October 30, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101023143303/http://www.daninouyehawaii.com/news/clippings/inouye-is-invaluable/ October 23, 2010 dead mdy-all Cavasso, the 2004 nominee, won the Republican primary again, and ran on a platform of change, emphasizing the need for a balanced budget.http://camcavasso.com/cavasso-files-for-us-senate-run Cavasso Files For US Senate Run Cam Cavasso Hawaii Senate Race 2010 October 30, 2010 https://web.archive.org/web/20101008022334/http://camcavasso.com/cavasso-files-for-us-senate-run/ October 8, 2010 dead Inouye, who defeated Cavasso in 2004 by 52 percentage points, released TV ads that referred to himself simply as "Dan". The senator was said to be "working" for Hawaii's transportation, high-tech economy, education and other needs.Cavasso undeterred by odds in campaign against Inouye - Hawaii News - Staradvertiser.com Polling A Rasmussen Reports poll of 500 likely voters conducted on October 13 gave Inouye only a thirteen-point lead over Cavasso, and found the Republican with a modest lead among independent voters.Questions - Hawaii Senate - October 13, 2010 https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/hawaii/questions/questions_hawaii_senate_october_13_2010 Rasmussen Reports June 12, 2021Rasmussen Scott Election 2010: Hawaii Senate https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/hawaii/election_2010_hawaii_senate Rasmussen Reports June 12, 2021 https://web.archive.org/web/20101105023351/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/hawaii/election_2010_hawaii_senate November 5, 2010 October 17, 2010 However, the poll would ultimately miss the final margin by forty percentage points. FiveThirtyEights Nate Silver awarded the Rasmussen poll his "worst poll award", citing it as evidence of the pollster's bias against Democratic candidates and observing that it was, as of November 2010, the largest error of any electoral poll in the Fivethirtyeight databases going back to 1998.Silver Nate Live Blogging the Election Returns https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/live-blogging-the-election-returns/ https://web.archive.org/web/20160305112737/http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/live-blogging-the-election-returns dead March 5, 2016 Fivethirtyeight June 12, 2021 November 2, 2010Silver Nate Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/ https://web.archive.org/web/20140323223941/http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/ dead March 23, 2014 FiveThirtyEight June 12, 2021 November 4, 2010 text-align: center; #aaa 1px solid Hypothetical polling numbers with John Roco (R) Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DanielInouye (D) JohnRoco (R) Other UndecidedRasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports June 24, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 68% 20% 3% 8% Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DanielInouye (D) CamCavasso (R) Other UndecidedRasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports October 13, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 53% 40% 3% 4%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 2–3, 2010 1326 ± 2.7% 65% 29% — 6% Fundraising Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Daniel Inouye (D) $3,503,323 $3,814,829 $1,506,305 $0 Campbell Cavasso (R) $252,711 $238,794 $14,385 $126,179 Source: Federal Election Commissionhttp://www.fec.gov:80/DisclosureSearch/HSRefreshCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=HI&election_yr=2010 2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Hawaii fec.gov July 27, 2010 April 2019 InternetArchiveBot yes Results United States Senate election in Hawaii, 20102010 GENERAL ELECTION - State of Hawaii – Statewide https://files.hawaii.gov/elections/files/results/2010/general/histatewide.pdf Hawaii Office of Elections Democratic Party (United States) Daniel Inouye (incumbent) 277,228 74.81% -0.70% Republican Party (United States) Campbell Cavasso 79,939 21.57% +0.58% Green Party (United States) Jim Brewer 7,762 2.09% N/A Libertarian Party (United States) Lloyd Jeffrey Mallen 2,957 0.80% -0.47% Independent Jeff Jarrett 2,697 0.73% N/A 370,583 100.00% Democratic Party (United States) By county By county yes #B0CEFF;line-height:135%; none CountyDaniel InouyeDemocraticCampbell CavassoRepublicanAll Others#%#%#%Hawaii39,00174.67%10,68420.45%2,5474.87%Honolulu189,67374.23%57,50222.5%8,3553.31%Kauaʻi17,19278.72%3,73217.09%9154.19%Maui31,30176.52%8,00619.57%1,5983.9% Totals277,22874.81%79,93921.57%13,4163.62% References External links Hawaii Office of Elections U.S. Congress candidates for Hawaii https://web.archive.org/web/20100930121425/http://www.votesmart.org/election_congress_state.php?state_id=HI September 30, 2010 at Project Vote Smart Hawaii U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com Campaign contributions from Open Secrets 2010 Hawaii Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com Election 2010: Hawaii Senate from Rasmussen Reports Hawaii Senate from Real Clear Politics https://archive.today/20130119235908/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=senate-2010-HI 2010 Hawaii Senate Race el from CQ Politics Race profile from The New York Times Official campaign websites Campbell Cavasso for U.S. Senate Daniel Inouye U.S. Senator Jeff Jarrett for Hawaii, US Senate Lloyd Mallan for U.S. Senate https://web.archive.org/web/20200128105446/http://www.freedominourtime.org/ January 28, 2020 Eddie Pirkowski for U.S. SenateJune 2022 InternetArchiveBot yes John Roco for U.S. Senator Andy Woerner for U.S. Senate United States Senate Hawaii 2010 Category:Daniel Inouye