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2004 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
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2004 Democratic Party presidential primaries
2004 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary New Hampshire presidential no 2000 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary 2000 2008 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary 2008 2004 01 27 File:John F. Kerry (closein cropped 3x4).jpg 150x150px John Kerry 00539f Massachusetts 13 84,377 38.4% File:Howard Dean (44658398) (cropped).jpg Howard Dean e7cf1e Vermont 9 57,761 26.3% File:General Wesley Clark official photograph (cropped).jpg Wesley Clark 039042 Arkansas 0 27,314 12.4% File: John Edwards, official Senate photo portrait (cropped 3x4 v2).jpg John Edwards e50100 North Carolina 0 26,487 12.0% File:Joe Lieberman official portrait 2 (cropped) (cropped).jpg Joe Lieberman 8E2791 Connecticut 0 18,911 8.6% File:Dennis Kucinich (cropped).jpg Dennis Kucinich ff69b4 Ohio 0 3,114 1.42% IA AZ 27 Democratic National Convention delegates (22 pledged, 5 unpledged)The number of pledged delegates received is determined by the popular vote x240px County results x240px Municipality results Caucus results by county Kerry: #deedfb 30–40%#8db8e2 50–60%Dean: #f0e6be 30–40% #d7c477 40–50%Clark: #039042Tie: #666666N/A: #d0d0d0
The 2004 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary was held on January 27, 2004. Taking place eight days after the Iowa caucuses, it marked the second contest to take place during the Democratic party's 2004 primary season, as well as the first actual primary to take place.
Polling
Primary polling taken by American Research Group during the last few days of campaigning (January 23 to January 27, 2004) showed that former New Hampshire poll leader as well as national leader Howard Dean was steadily gaining ground to catch up to now front-runner John Kerry.
Candidate January 23 to 25 poll tracking January 24 to 26 poll tracking John Kerry 38% 35% Howard Dean 20% 25% John Edwards 16% 15% Wesley Clark 15% 13% Joe Lieberman 5% 6%
Gathered from ARG's 2004 NH Democratic Tracking Poll http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/demtrack/demtrack04-30s.html 2004 NH Democratic Tracking
Margin of Error +/- 4
Tracking polling showed that Dean had been catching up to Kerry in the days before the primary, cutting Kerry's 18 point lead to 10 points in a matter of days. With Dean dropping and Kerry rising, it became apparent that the battle for 1st place in New Hampshire would be close. Also, for third place, Wesley Clark, John Edwards and Joe Lieberman were the only ones fighting for third. With Clark and Edwards both taking hits going into the primary, and Lieberman on the rise, the fight for 1st place and third place, according to polls would be intense.
Results
As results began to come in during Primary night, it became apparent Kerry had won the primary and was promptly projected the winner by several media outlets. Dean finished in second place. Clark and Edwards were in a dead-lock for third place, with both candidates at 12% during the night. Earlier returns showed Lieberman in a stronger position to tie with Clark and Edwards, allowing him to declare to his supporters that it was "a three-way split decision for third place.""Lieberman vows to keep running." CNN. 2004-01-28. Retrieved 2017-05-18.
As final results were being tallied, Kerry won the primary with 84,277 votes and 38%, Dean finished second, with 57,761 and 26%, and Clark narrowly defeated Edwards for third place, with 27,314 votes and 12%. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/primaries/pages/states/NH/ 2004 Primaries CNN Lieberman had fallen back in the count and didn't even reach 10%.
2004 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary CandidateVotes% Delegates John Kerry84,37738.35%13 Howard Dean57,76126.28%9 Wesley Clark27,31412.43% rowspan="5" John Edwards26,48712.05% Joe Lieberman18,9118.60% Dennis Kucinich3,1141.42% Other write-ins1,8230.83%Total219,787100%27
Exit Polling
Category All Clark Dean Edwards Kerry Lieberman Male 46% 13% 25% 14% 36% 10% Female 54% 12% 26% 11% 41% 8% 18-64 Years 89% 12% 25% 13% 39% 8% 65+ Years 11% 10% 28% 10% 38% 13% Democrat 48% 11% 29% 12% 41% 5% Republican 4% 10% 8% 9% 29% 26% Independent 48% 13% 23% 13% 37% 12%
Source: CNN.com 2004 Primaries http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/primaries/pages/epolls/NH/index.html 2004 Primaries CNN
Kerry won huge margins of support amongst almost all constituencies, with his only weak point amongst Republicans, who made up 4% of the voting bloc and was Lieberman's strongest point. Dean repeatedly came distant second or third for almost all categories of voters. Edwards defeated Clark amongst male voters as well as voters under 65, but only by a very tiny margin. Lieberman finished in a distant third in almost all categories except for Republicans, in which he nearly defeated John Kerry.
References
Democratic
New Hampshire
2004