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2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina
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2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina South Carolina presidential no 2014 United States Senate special election in South Carolina 2014(special) 2022 United States Senate election in South Carolina 2022 November 8, 2016 150x150px File:Tim_Scott_official_portrait.jpg Tim Scott Republican Party (United States) 1,241,609 60.57% File:Sc pastor thomas dixon.jpg Thomas Dixon Democratic Party (United States) 757,022 36.93% 230px County results 230px Congressional district results 230px Precinct results 1 230px Scott: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% #C21B18 80–90% #A80000 >90%Dixon: #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #3933e5 80–90% #0D0596 >90%Tie: #d2b1d9 40–50% #808080 No votes U.S. Senator Tim Scott Republican Party (United States) Tim Scott Republican Party (United States)
The 2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Both major parties held their primaries on June 14.
Incumbent Republican Senator Tim Scott won re-election to a first full term in office.http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2016-retirement-guide Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016 Roll Call January 28, 2015 January 29, 2015 Emily Cahn Alexis Levinson https://web.archive.org/web/20150129222855/http://atr.rollcall.com/senate-races-2016-retirement-guide/ January 29, 2015 dead
This was the second U.S. Senate election in South Carolina (and the second of three consecutive elections for this seat) where both major party nominees were black, and the third overall since the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment."Senate elections" After Illinois in 2004 and South Carolina in 2014.
Background
Two-term Republican senator Jim DeMint was re-elected with 61.48% of the vote in 2010. He resigned at the start of 2013 to become president of the Heritage Foundation. U.S. Representative Tim Scott of South Carolina's 1st congressional district was appointed to replace him by Governor Nikki Haley.https://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/18/us/politics/congressman-picked-for-south-carolina-senate-seat.html The New York Times Jeff Zeleny Rep. Tim Scott Chosen to Replace Jim DeMint as South Carolina Senator December 17, 2012 Scott subsequently won the special election in 2014 for the remaining two years of the term.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Tim Scott, incumbent U.S. senator
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Thomas Dixon, pastor and community activist (also running with Green Party nomination)http://www.postandcourier.com/article/20160222/PC16/160229815 Thomas Dixon to challenge U.S. Sen. Tim Scott The Post and Courier Rindge Brenda February 22, 2016 February 23, 2016 October 13, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20161013070908/http://www.postandcourier.com/article/20160222/PC16/160229815 dead
Declined
Joyce Dickerson, Richland County councilwoman and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for reelection)https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/661189000846254080 SOUTH CAROLINA: Richland Co Councilwoman & '14 nom Joyce Dickerson (D) back for a second run vs US Sen Tim Scott (R) Politics1 Twitter November 2, 2015 March 14, 2016https://info.scvotes.sc.gov/Eng/Candidate/CandidateSearch.aspx?ElectionId=20026&QSHelperHash=8665765C53B5B7B5B0C52FEEDD145CD792A4A273 Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election South Carolina Election Commission March 18, 2016 October 24, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20161024143833/https://info.scvotes.sc.gov/Eng/Candidate/CandidateSearch.aspx?ElectionId=20026&QSHelperHash=8665765C53B5B7B5B0C52FEEDD145CD792A4A273 dead
General election
Candidates
Bill Bledsoe (Libertarian, Constitution)
Thomas Dixon (Democratic, Green), pastor and community activist
Michael Scarborough (American), attorneyhttp://www.wrhi.com/2016/05/american-party-of-sc-nominates-candidates-for-a-handful-of-offices-125200 WRHI American Party of SC nominates candidates for a handful of offices May 15, 2016 August 9, 2016 Mike Crowder
Tim Scott (Republican), incumbent U.S. senatorhttps://info.scvotes.sc.gov/Eng/Candidate/CandidateSearch.aspx?ElectionId=20026&QSHelperHash=8665765C53B5B7B5B0C52FEEDD145CD792A4A273 Candidate Listing for the 11/8/2016 Statewide General Election South Carolina Election Commission August 14, 2016 October 24, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20161024143833/https://info.scvotes.sc.gov/Eng/Candidate/CandidateSearch.aspx?ElectionId=20026&QSHelperHash=8665765C53B5B7B5B0C52FEEDD145CD792A4A273 dead
Debates
Dates Location Scott Dixon LinkOctober 24, 2016Greenville, South CarolinaParticipantParticipantFull debate - C-SPAN
Predictions
Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139360 The Cook Political Report March 26, 2021 Safe R November 2, 2016 Sabato's Crystal Ball2016 Senate http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-senate Sabato's Crystal Ball September 19, 2016 Safe R November 7, 2016 Rothenberg Political Report2016 Senate Ratings https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2016-senate-ratings-november-3-2016 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report November 3, 2016 Safe R November 3, 2016 Daily KosDaily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2016/11/8/1593119/-Daily-Kos-Election-2016-forecast-The-final-version Daily Kos March 27, 2021 Safe R November 8, 2016 Real Clear PoliticsBattle for the Senate 2016 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/2016_elections_senate_map.html Real Clear Politics October 28, 2016 Safe R November 7, 2016
Polling
Opinion polling for the 2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina.chart Opinion polling for the 2016 United States Senate election in South Carolina.tab 700px
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror TimScott (R) ThomasDixon (D) Other UndecidedSurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,698 ± 4.6% 59% 38% – 3%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 1,642 ± 4.6% 58% 39% – 3%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 1,583 ± 4.6% 58% 39% – 3%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 1,501 ± 4.6% 58% 39% – 3%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 1,588 ± 4.6% 57% 40% – 3%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 1,762 ± 4.6% 56% 39% – 5%Starboard Communications (R)Starboard Communications (R) https://web.archive.org/web/20160914164515/http://www.postandcourier.com/20160913/160919767/trump-leads-in-new-sc-gop-poll-out-today September 14, 2016 September 7–9, 2016 600 ± 4.8% 58% 22% – 16%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 9–10, 2016 1,290 ± 2.7% 45% 30%Fusion voting total- 28% as D, 2% as G 6%Bill Bledsoe (L) with 4% and Michael Scarborough (A) with 2% 20%
background:#cff Hypothetical polling border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:var(--background-color-base); color:var(--color-base);
with Joyce Dickerson
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror TimScott (R) JoyceDickerson (D) UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 7–8, 2015 1,290 ± 2.7% 53% 25% 23%
with Bakari Sellers
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror TimScott (R) BakariSellers (D) UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling February 12–15, 2015 868 ± 3.3% 56% 28% 16%
with Leon Lott
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror TimScott (R) LeonLott (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 12–15, 2015 868 ± 3.3% 54% 27% 19%
with Jim Hodges
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror TimScott (R) JimHodges (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling February 12–15, 2015 868 ± 3.3% 54% 32% 15%
Results
United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2016http://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/64658/183653/en/summary.html 2016 Statewide General Election official results South Carolina State Election Commission December 20, 20162016 South Carolina Senatorial Election Turnout Data https://www.scvotes.org/cgi-bin/scsec/96vr?countykey=ALL&D1=ALL December 10, 2016 December 20, 2016 https://web.archive.org/web/20161220102612/https://www.scvotes.org/cgi-bin/scsec/96vr?countykey=ALL&D1=ALL dead
Tim Scott (incumbent)
Republican Party (United States)
1,241,609
60.57%
-0.55%
Thomas DixonAggregated total includes 37,610 votes Dixon received under the Working Families Party, and 14,872 votes received under the Green Party.
Democratic Party (United States)
757,022
36.93%
-0.16%
Bill BledsoeAggregated total includes 12,652 votes received under the Constitution Party.
Libertarian Party (United States)
37,482
1.83%
N/A
Michael Scarborough
American Party of South Carolina
11,923
0.58%
-1.17%
n/a
Write-ins
1,857
0.09%
+0.05%
2,049,893
100.0%
N/A
Republican Party (United States)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Calhoun (largest town: St. Matthews)
Clarendon (largest city: Manning)
By congressional district
Scott won six of seven congressional districts.DRA 2020 https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::ac3c139e-73a1-4391-87f4-1aaaf7ead166 2024-08-19 Daves Redistricting
District Scott Dixon RepresentativeSouth Carolina 1 1st 65% 33%Mark SanfordSouth Carolina 2 2nd 63% 34%Joe WilsonSouth Carolina 3 3rd 71% 27%Jeff DuncanSouth Carolina 4 4th 67% 30%Trey GowdySouth Carolina 5 5th 59% 38%Mick MulvaneySouth Carolina 6 6th 35% 63% Jim ClyburnSouth Carolina 7 7th 61% 37%Tom Rice
References
Notes
lower-alpha
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note
External links
Tim Scott (R) for Senate
Thomas Dixon (D) for Senate
Bill Bledsoe (L/C) for Senate
Mike Scarborough (A) for Senate
2016
South Carolina
United States Senate