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2016 Saxony-Anhalt state election
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German state election
March 2016
2016 Saxony-Anhalt state election Saxony-Anhalt Parliamentary no 2011 Saxony-Anhalt state election 2011 2021 Saxony-Anhalt state election 2021 All 87 seats in the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt 44 13 March 2016 1,122,877 (61.1%) 9.9% 150x150px Reiner Haseloff Christian Democratic Union of Germany 41 seats, 32.5% 30 11 334,139 29.8% 2.7% 150x150px André Poggenburg Alternative for Germany Did not exist 25 25 272,496 24.3% New party 150x150px Wulf Gallert The Left (Germany) 29 seats, 23.7% 16 13 183,290 16.3% 7.4% 150x150px Katrin Budde Social Democratic Party of Germany 26 seats, 21.5% 11 15 119,368 10.6% 10.9% 150x150px Claudia Dalbert Alliance 90/The Greens 9 seats, 7.1% 5 4 58,209 5.2% 1.9% 2016 Saxony-Anhalt state election.svg 300px Results for the single-member constituencies Minister-President Reiner Haseloff Christian Democratic Union of Germany Reiner Haseloff Christian Democratic Union of Germany
The 2016 Saxony-Anhalt state election to elect the members of the seventh Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt was held on 13 March 2016, the same day as the Baden-Württemberg state election and Rhineland-Palatinate state election. The incumbent grand coalition of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Social Democratic Party (SPD) led by Minister-President Reiner Haseloff lost its majority.
Following the 2015 European migrant crisis, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) debuted at 24.3%, with every other parliamentary party recording losses, particularly the SPD and The Left.
The CDU subsequently formed a coalition with the SPD and The Greens, which was dubbed the "Kenya coalition".Sealed first "Kenya" coalition in Saxony-Anhalt: Government http://archyworldys.com/sealed-first-kenya-coalition-in-saxony-anhalt-government/ Archy World News 2016-04-19 https://web.archive.org/web/20160811042931/http://archyworldys.com/sealed-first-kenya-coalition-in-saxony-anhalt-government/ 11 August 2016 dead Haseloff was re-elected as Minister-President on 25 April.
Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the 6th Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt.
Name Ideology Leader(s) 2011 result Votes (%) Seats CDU Christian Democratic Union of GermanyChristlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands Christian democracy Reiner Haseloff 32.5% 41 105 Christian Democratic Union of Germany Linke The LeftDie Linke Democratic socialism Wulf Gallert 23.7% 29 105 The Left (Germany) SPD Social Democratic Party of GermanySozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands Social democracy Katrin Budde 21.5% 26 105 Social Democratic Party of GermanyGrüne Alliance 90/The GreensBündnis 90/Die Grünen Green politics Claudia Dalbert 7.1% 9 105 Alliance 90/The Greens
Opinion polling
Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize CDU Linke SPD Grüne FDP AfD Others Lead Christian Democratic Union of Germany The Left (Germany) Social Democratic Party of Germany Alliance 90/The Greens Free Democratic Party (Germany) Alternative for Germany 2016 state election 13 Mar 2016 – 29.8 16.3 10.6 5.2 4.9 24.3 9.0 5.5 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 7–10 Mar 2016 1,096 32 21 14 5 4.5 18 5.5 11 Forsa 2–8 Mar 2016 1,001 30 20 17 5 5 18 5 10 INSA 1–5 Mar 2016 1,000 29 20 15.5 6 4 19 6.5 9 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 29 Feb–3 Mar 2016 1,027 32 20 15 5 4 17 7 12 Infratest dimap 29 Feb–2 Mar 2016 1,001 31.0 21.0 15.0 5.5 4.5 19.0 4.0 10.0 uniQma 19–29 Feb 2016 1,008 30 19 18 5 4 17 7 11 INSA 25–27 Feb 2016 1,001 29.5 20 17 5 5 17 6.5 9.5 INSA 19–20 Feb 2016 1,000 30 21 16 5 4 17 7 9 Infratest dimap 10–13 Feb 2016 1,001 32 20 18 5 4 17 4 12 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 11–13 Jan 2016 1,003 33 19 19 5 3 15 5 14 INSA 25 Nov–3 Dec 2015 1,004 35 23 15.5 6 3 13.5 4 12 Infratest dimap 8–12 Sep 2015 1,001 34 26 21 7 – 5 7 8 GMS 19–26 Jun 2015 1,008 35 21 21 6 4 6 7 14 Infratest dimap 9–14 Aug 2013 1,000 39 22 21 7 2 – 9 17 2011 state election 20 Mar 2011 – 32.5 23.7 21.5 7.1 3.8 – 11.3 8.8
Opinion polling for the 2016 Saxony-Anhalt state election.chart Opinion polling for the 2016 Saxony-Anhalt state election.tab 520px
Election result
The actual result was significantly different from what prior opinion polling indicated. In comparison to the late-campaign polls, the AfD scored approximately 6% higher, while The Left and SPD each scored around 5% lower. The Left were expected to suffer only small losses, but instead achieved their worst result since 1990. This made AfD the clear second-place finisher, in contrast to polling which predicted The Left would remain the second largest party. The SPD, who were already projected to achieve their worst ever result in the state, suffered a catastrophic result, losing over half their voteshare and barely reaching 10%. The Greens narrowly returned to the Landtag, while the FDP fell barely 1,600 votes short of the 5% threshold. Minor parties performed better than expected, with 9% of votes going to them, compared to the 5–6% predicted.
Summary of the 13 March 2016 election results for the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt
|-
| colspan=8| center|350px
|-
! colspan="2" | Party
! Votes
! %
! +/-
! Seats
! +/-
! Seats %
|-
| bgcolor=Christian Democratic Union of Germany|
| align=left | Christian Democratic Union (CDU)
| align=right| 334,139
| align=right| 29.8
| align=right| 2.7
| align=right| 30
| align=right| 11
| align=right| 34.5
|-
| bgcolor=Alternative for Germany|
| align=left | Alternative for Germany (AfD)
| align=right| 272,496
| align=right| 24.3
| align=right| New
| align=right| 25
| align=right| New
| align=right| 28.7
|-
| bgcolor=The Left (Germany)|
| align=left | The Left (Linke)
| align=right| 183,290
| align=right| 16.3
| align=right| 7.4
| align=right| 16
| align=right| 13
| align=right| 18.4
|-
| bgcolor=Social Democratic Party of Germany|
| align=left | Social Democratic Party (SPD)
| align=right| 119,368
| align=right| 10.6
| align=right| 10.9
| align=right| 11
| align=right| 15
| align=right| 12.6
|-
| bgcolor=Alliance 90/The Greens|
| align=left | Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne)
| align=right| 58,209
| align=right| 5.2
| align=right| 1.9
| align=right| 5
| align=right| 4
| align=right| 5.7
|-
! colspan=8|
|-
| bgcolor=Free Democratic Party (Germany)|
| align=left | Free Democratic Party (FDP)
| align=right| 54,565
| align=right| 4.9
| align=right| 1.1
| align=right| 0
| align=right| ±0
| align=right| 0
|-
| bgcolor=Free Voters|
| align=left | Free Voters (FW)
| align=right| 24,269
| align=right| 2.2
| align=right| 0.6
| align=right| 0
| align=right| ±0
| align=right| 0
|-
| bgcolor=National Democratic Party of Germany|
| align=left | National Democratic Party (NPD)
| align=right| 21,230
| align=right| 1.9
| align=right| 2.7
| align=right| 0
| align=right| ±0
| align=right| 0
|-
| bgcolor=Human Environment Animal Protection Party|
| align=left | Human Environment Animal Protection Party (Tierschutz)
| align=right| 16,611
| align=right| 1.5
| align=right| 0.1
| align=right| 0
| align=right| ±0
| align=right| 0
|-
|
| align=left | Animal Protection Alliance
| align=right| 11,653
| align=right| 1.0
| align=right| New
| align=right| 0
| align=right| New
| align=right| 0
|-
| bgcolor=Other|
| align=left | Others
| align=right| 27,047
| align=right| 2.4
| align=right|
| align=right| 0
| align=right| ±0
| align=right| 0
|-
! align=right colspan=2| Total
! align=right| 1,122,877
! align=right| 100.0
! align=right|
! align=right| 87
! align=right| 18
! align=right|
|-
! align=right colspan=2| Voter turnout
! align=right|
! align=right| 61.1
! align=right| 9.9
! align=right|
! align=right|
! align=right|
|}
Popular Vote #ddd 600px 410px CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany 29.76
AfD Alternative for Germany 24.27
DIE LINKE The Left (Germany) 16.32
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany 10.63
GRÜNE Alliance 90/The Greens 5.18
FDP Free Democratic Party (Germany) 4.86
Other #777777 8.98
Landtag seats #ddd 600px 410px CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany 34.48
AfD Alternative for Germany 28.74
DIE LINKE The Left (Germany) 18.39
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany 12.64
GRÜNE Alliance 90/The Greens 5.75
Results maps by party for the second vote, broken down by district: 205 262 center File:Saxony-Anhalt 2016 CDU.svg Christian Democratic Union File:Saxony-Anhalt 2016 AfD.svg Alternative for Germany File:Saxony-Anhalt 2016 Linke.svg The Left File:Saxony-Anhalt 2016 SPD.svg Social Democratic Party
Results by District
Salzwedel Constituency Regional
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Carsten Borchert 6,882 33.6 2.8 6,379 31.0 2.3 yes yes
Alternative for Germany (AfD) Stephan Botkus 4,471 21.9 new 4,488 21.8 new no no
The Left (Linke) Andreas Höppner 3,591 17.6 11.9 3,592 17.5 9.1 no no
Social Democratic Party (SPD) Jana Schweizer 3,156 15.4 5.5 2,674 13.0 9.1 no
Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) Christian Franke 1,165 5.7 1.6 1,320 6.4 2.2 no no
Independent (politician) Sabine Danicke 1,189 5.8 new
Free Democratic Party (FDP) 748 3.6 1.8
National Democratic Party (NPD) 284 2.4 1.4
Human Environment Animal Protection Party (Tierschutz) 259 0.1 1.3
Free Voters (FW) 193 1.0 0.9
no
Gardelegen-Klötze Constituency Regional
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Uwe Harms 6,353 30.5 3.4 6,837 32.6 0.3 yes yes
Alternative for Germany (AfD) Thomas Korell 5,014 24.0 new 4,591 21.9 new no no
Social Democratic Party (SPD) Jürgen Barth 3,772 18.1 4.7 2,752 13.1 9.9 no
The Left (Linke) Kay Grahmann 3,354 18.1 4.7 3,302 15.7 8.6 no no
Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) Mirko Wolff 1,219 5.8 0.1 977 4.7 1.5 no no
Free Democratic Party (FDP) Norbert Ungar 1,144 5.5 1.1 974 4.6 0
National Democratic Party (NPD) 332 3.3 1.6
Human Environment Animal Protection Party (Tierschutz) 286 0.2 1.4
Free Voters (FW) 260 0.3 1.2
no
Havelberg-Osterburg Constituency Regional
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Christ Schulenburg 8,656 40.1 1.7 7,562 33.2 1.7 yes yes
The Left (Linke) Jenny Schulz 5,892 27.3 1.6 4,123 18.1 9.4 no no
Alternative for Germany (AfD) 5,524 24.2 new no no
Social Democratic Party (SPD) Ralf Bergmann 3,535 16.4 1.5 2,468 10.8 9.9 no
Free Democratic Party (FDP) Klaus-Dieter Liebsch 2,184 10.1 7.6 886 3.9 1.2
Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) David Elsholz 1,335 6.2 1.0 869 3.8 1.8 no no
Free Voters (FW) 302 0.3 1.3
National Democratic Party (NPD) 244 3.1 1.1
Human Environment Animal Protection Party (Tierschutz) 196 0.4 0.9
no
Stendal Constituency Regional
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Hardy Peter Güssau 6,640 32.4 4.5 6,723 30.8 3.1 yes yes
Alternative for Germany (AfD) 5,459 25.0 new no no
The Left (Linke) Mario Blasche 5,446 26.6 0.8 4,123 18.1 9.4 no no
Social Democratic Party (SPD) Juliane Kleemann 4,174 20.4 5.0 2,580 11.8 10.3 no
Free Democratic Party (FDP) Ralf Berlin 2,981 14.5 10.7 886 3.9 1.2
Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) Dorothea Frederking 1268 6.2 0.3 941 4.3 1.8 no no
Human Environment Animal Protection Party (Tierschutz) 255 0.6 1.2
National Democratic Party (NPD) 229 4.1 1.0
Free Voters (FW) 225 0.1 1.0
no
Outcome
The CDU won 30% of the votes and remained the largest party, but faced a strong challenge from the AfD.Janosch Delcker (March 13, 2016), Angela Merkel’s conservatives lose two major regional elections Politico Europe.Philip Oltermann (March 14, 2016), Germany 'won't change policy' after gains for anti-refugee AfD party The Guardian. After the election, Haseloff stated: "The rise which AfD saw in the polls has the name of a city: it's Cologne," referring to the New Year's Eve sexual assaults in Germany.http://presse.phoenix.de/news/pressemitteilungen/2016/03/20160313_Haseloff/20160313_Haselhoff.phtml Haseloff (CDU): "als christlich-demokratische Union hier in Sachsen-Anhalt nichts falsch gemacht" Haseloff (CDU): "As a Christian Democratic Union here in Saxony-Anhalt done nothing wrong" Phoenix German 14 March 2016 He claimed that "as the Christian Democratic Union here in Saxony-Anhalt, we have done nothing wrong."
According to observers, the only realistic possibility for a coalition government with a majority was one consisting of the CDU, SPD and the Greens, which held a two-seat majority.http://www.mz-web.de/mitteldeutschland/landtagswahl2016/regierungsbildung-sachsen-anhalt-haseloff---wir-wissen--worauf-es-ankommt--23739044 Regierungsbildung Sachsen-Anhalt: Haseloff: "Wir wissen, worauf es ankommt" Other potential majority coalitions were considered unlikely or politically impossible, such as CDU–Left or CDU–AfD. For a broad-based majority, the coalition would have needed to include both the CDU and The Left, which was infeasible.
Another possible option was a minority government "tolerated" by another party or parties which were themselves not part of the government. In this situation, these parties would abstain from the vote for Minister-President, allowing the minority government to be formed with a simple plurality, rather than the typical absolute majority. Such a situation had existed in Saxony-Anhalt between 1994 and 2002, with an SPD minority government supported by The Left. The most likely arrangement in 2016 would have been a minority government of the CDU and SPD with the tolerance of the Greens and/or The Left. Similarly, a CDU–Green coalition could have been tolerated by the SPD and/or The Left. An SPD–Left–Green coalition could be tolerated by the CDU, although this possibility was highly unlikely.German state elections: Success for right-wing AfD, losses for Merkel's CDU http://www.dw.com/en/german-state-elections-success-for-right-wing-afd-losses-for-merkels-cdu/a-19113604.html https://archive.today/20160318011745/http://www.dw.com/en/german-state-elections-success-for-right-wing-afd-losses-for-merkels-cdu/a-19113604.html dead 18 March 2016 2016-03-14
Ultimately, the CDU, SPD, and Greens agreed to form a coalition government together, to the exclusion of The Left. This was dubbed the "Kenya coalition", a reference to the colours of the parties and those of the flag of Kenya. This was the first such coalition formed in Germany. On 25 April 2016, Haseloff was re-elected as Minister-President by the Landtag on the second ballot, in which he won one vote more than the necessary majority.Haseloff erst im zweiten Anlauf wiedergewählt, Frankfurter Allgemeine, in German
References
External links
Saxony-Anhalt Electoral Office https://web.archive.org/web/20160314160623/http://www.wahlen.sachsen-anhalt.de/aktuelles/die-landeswahlleiterin-informiert/landtagswahl/ 14 March 2016
Category:2016 elections in Germany
2016
Category:March 2016 in Germany
Category:21st century in Saxony-Anhalt