2004 United States presidential election in Florida

none related races 2004 United States presidential election June 2025 September 2023 2004 United States presidential election in Florida Florida presidential no 2000 United States presidential election in Florida 2000 2008 United States presidential election in Florida 2008 November 2, 2004 x200px George-W-Bush (cropped).jpeg George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) Texas Dick Cheney 27 3,964,522 52.10% John F. Kerry (wide crop).jpg John Kerry Democratic Party (United States) Massachusetts John Edwards 0 3,583,544 47.09% 350px County results 350px Congressional district results 400px Bush #f2b3be 40–50% #e27f90 50–60% #cc2f4a 60–70% #d40000 70–80% Kerry #b9d7ff 40–50% #86b6f2 50–60% #4389e3 60–70% President George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) George W. Bush Republican Party (United States) 74%2021 Voter Turnout https://dos.fl.gov/elections/data-statistics/elections-data/voter-turnout/ live Florida Division of Elections https://web.archive.org/web/20150602000936/http://dos.myflorida.com:80/elections/data-statistics/elections-data/voter-turnout/ 2015-06-02 The 2004 United States presidential election in Florida took place on November 2, 2004, as part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 27 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president. Florida was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 5.01% margin of victory. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered this a tossup, or swing state, but was eventually described as leaning towards Bush near the end of the campaign. Once again, Florida was under the national spotlight due to its high number of electoral votes and the fresh memory of the controversy surrounding the 2000 Florida vote. Turnout was much higher, going from an estimated 6 million voters in 2000 to over 7.5 million voters showing up to vote in 2004.http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections David Leip uselectionatlas.org Bush's more comfortable victory in Florida this time around was attributed to the popularity of his brother, Jeb, who was the state's governor and had approval ratings greater than 60%.O'Brien, Mark (December 14, 2004). There's a limit to the value of term limits on political offices. Pensacola News Journal. Retrieved January 18, 2025. Kerry became the first Democrat since Michael Dukakis in the 1988 election to not flip a single county in the state, although he did improve on Al Gore's margins in Gadsden County and Jefferson County. Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW Archived copy dcpoliticalreport.com 13 January 2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW 21 November 2010 usurped +SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportLean RAssociated PressTossupCNNLikely RCook Political ReportTossupNewsweekTossupNew York TimesTossupRasmussen ReportsTossupResearch 2000TossupWashington PostTossupWashington TimesTossupZogby InternationalTossupWashington DispatchLikely R Polling Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2004#Florida Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2004: Florida Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JohnKerry (D) George W.Bush (R) RalphNader (I) Other UndecidedQuinnipiacQuinnipiac October 27–31, 2004 1,098 ± 3.3 43% 51% 1% 0% 4%QuinnipiacQuinnipiac October 22–26, 2004 944 ± 3.2 46% 49% 1% 0% 4%QuinnipiacQuinnipiac October 15–19, 2004 808 ± 3.5 47% 48% 1% 0% 4%QuinnipiacQuinnipiac October 1–5, 2004 717 ± 3.7 44% 51% 0% 0% 5%QuinnipiacQuinnipiac September 18–21, 2004 819 ± 3.4 41% 49% 5% 0% 5%QuinnipiacQuinnipiac August 5–10, 2004 1,094 ± 3.0 47% 41% 4% 0% 7%QuinnipiacQuinnipiac June 23–27, 2004 1,209 ± 2.8 43% 43% 5% 1% 9% Throughout the general election, candidates exchanged narrow leads in the state. The final 3 poll averaged showed Bush leading with 49% to Kerry's 47%.2004 Presidential Election Polls. Florida Polls US Election Atlas Fundraising Bush raised $16,956,510.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04 George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President www.campaignmoney.com Kerry raised $7,285,151.http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04 John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President www.campaignmoney.com Advertising and visits This state was heavily targeted as a swing state. Over the course of the election, Bush visited the state 15 times to Kerry's 18 times. Also, both candidates spent heavily on television advertisements, spending an estimated $3 million each week.http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/showdown/FL/ CNN.com Specials www.cnn.com Analysis 2004 United States election voting controversies During the 2004 U.S. presidential election, numerous allegations of irregularities were made concerning the voting process in Florida. These allegations included missing and uncounted votes, machine malfunction, and a lack of correlation between the vote count and exit polling. In the prior election, Ralph Nader obtained over 2% of the vote, thus Bush won with less than 50% of the vote, making his approval rating and his brother's approval ratings the deciding factor of the state. Polls throughout the campaign indicated that Florida was too close to call, prompting concerns about a repeat of the 2000 fiasco. However, the high popularity of George W. Bush's brother, Republican Governor Jeb Bush, contributed to a relatively comfortable victory for Bush, by a margin of 5% over his Democratic rival, John Kerry. Despite this, Florida remained the most Democratic of the 11 states of the former Confederacy, and Kerry's 5% loss in Florida was the closest he came to carrying any Confederate state. While the South Florida metropolitan area mostly voted for Kerry, the other parts of the state mainly supported Bush, being culturally closer to the rest of the southern United States than to Miami, home to large Hispanic and Jewish populations, as well as retirees and transplants from the largely liberal Northeastern United States. Key to Bush's victory was increased turnout in Republican areas. Bush's margin of victory in several counties topped 70%, particularly in the Florida Panhandle. Bush also won a significant number of heavily populated and fast-growing areas including Jacksonville, the entire Tampa Bay area, Southwest Florida, Orlando, the Space Coast, and Ocala. Osceola and Hillsborough counties would not vote Republican again until 2024. 2020 11 As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the last time that the city of Orlando has voted Republican in a presidential election. This is also the last time Miami-Dade County, the state's most populous county, voted for the candidate who lost the national popular vote, and the only time it has done so since 1968. Results United States presidential election in Florida, 2004PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Republican George W. Bush (Inc.) Dick Cheney (incumbent) 3,964,522 52.10% 25 Democratic John Kerry John Edwards 3,583,544 47.09% 0Reform Ralph Nader Peter Camejo 32,971 0.43% 0Libertarian Michael Badnarik Richard Campagna 11,996 0.16% 0Constitution Michael Peroutka Chuck Baldwin 6,626 0.09% 0Green David Cobb Patricia LaMarche 3,917 0.05% 0Socialist Walter Brown Mary Alice Herbert 3,502 0.05% 0Socialist Workers James Harris Margaret Trowe 2,732 0.04% 0 Totals 7,609,810 100.00% 27 Voter turnout (Voting Age) 74.0% By county County George W. BushRepublican John KerryDemocratic Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # % Alachua 47,762 42.90% 62,504 56.14% 1,062 0.95% -14,742 -13.24% 111,328 Baker 7,738 77.73% 2,180 21.90% 37 0.37% 5,558 55.83% 9,955 Bay 53,404 71.18% 21,068 28.08% 552 0.74% 32,336 43.10% 75,024 Bradford 7,557 69.62% 3,244 29.88% 54 0.50% 4,313 39.74% 10,855 Brevard 153,068 57.66% 110,309 41.55% 2,085 0.79% 42,759 16.11% 265,462 Broward 244,674 34.61% 453,873 64.21% 8,325 1.18% -209,199 -29.60% 706,872 Calhoun 3,782 63.42% 2,116 35.49% 65 1.09% 1,666 27.93% 5,963 Charlotte 44,428 55.68% 34,256 42.93% 1,102 1.38% 10,172 12.75% 79,786 Citrus 39,500 56.86% 29,277 42.15% 690 0.99% 10,223 14.71% 69,467 Clay 62,078 76.17% 18,971 23.28% 446 0.55% 43,107 52.89% 81,495 Collier 83,631 64.99% 43,892 34.11% 1,160 0.90% 39,739 30.88% 128,683 Columbia 16,758 67.06% 8,031 32.14% 202 0.81% 8,727 34.92% 24,991 DeSoto 5,524 58.09% 3,913 41.15% 73 0.77% 1,611 16.94% 9,510 Dixie 4,434 68.83% 1,960 30.43% 48 0.75% 2,474 38.40% 6,442 Duval 220,190 57.78% 158,610 41.62% 2,261 0.59% 61,580 16.16% 381,061 Escambia 93,566 65.30% 48,329 33.73% 1,383 0.97% 45,237 31.57% 143,278 Flagler 19,633 51.02% 18,578 48.28% 269 0.70% 1,055 2.74% 38,480 Franklin 3,472 58.54% 2,401 40.48% 58 0.98% 1,071 18.06% 5,931 Gadsden 6,253 29.80% 14,629 69.72% 102 0.49% -8,376 -39.92% 20,984 Gilchrist 4,936 70.36% 2,017 28.75% 62 0.88% 2,919 41.61% 7,015 Glades 2,443 58.33% 1,718 41.02% 27 0.64% 725 17.31% 4,188 Gulf 4,805 66.03% 2,407 33.08% 65 0.89% 2,398 32.95% 7,277 Hamilton 2,792 54.97% 2,260 44.50% 27 0.53% 532 10.47% 5,079 Hardee 5,049 69.65% 2,149 29.65% 51 0.70% 2,900 40.00% 7,249 Hendry 5,757 58.90% 3,960 40.51% 58 0.59% 1,797 18.39% 9,775 Hernando 42,635 52.93% 37,187 46.17% 725 0.90% 5,448 6.76% 80,547 Highlands 25,878 62.36% 15,347 36.98% 271 0.65% 10,531 25.38% 41,496 Hillsborough 245,576 53.01% 214,132 46.23% 3,514 0.76% 31,444 6.78% 463,222 Holmes 6,412 77.25% 1,810 21.81% 78 0.94% 4,602 55.44% 8,300 Indian River 36,938 60.15% 23,956 39.01% 520 0.85% 12,982 21.14% 61,414 Jackson 12,122 61.20% 7,555 38.14% 130 0.66% 4,567 23.06% 19,807 Jefferson 3,298 44.10% 4,135 55.30% 45 0.60% -837 -11.20% 7,478 Lafayette 2,460 73.98% 845 25.41% 20 0.60% 1,615 48.57% 3,325 Lake 74,389 60.02% 48,221 38.90% 1,340 1.08% 26,168 21.12% 123,950 Lee 144,176 59.91% 93,860 39.00% 2,631 1.09% 50,316 20.91% 240,667 Leon 51,615 37.85% 83,873 61.50% 891 0.65% -32,258 -23.65% 136,379 Levy 10,410 62.52% 6,074 36.48% 168 1.01% 4,336 26.04% 16,652 Liberty 1,927 63.79% 1,070 35.42% 24 0.79% 857 28.37% 3,021 Madison 4,191 50.47% 4,050 48.77% 63 0.76% 141 1.70% 8,304 Manatee 81,318 56.62% 61,262 42.66% 1,041 0.72% 20,056 13.96% 143,621 Marion 81,283 58.19% 57,271 41.00% 1,123 0.80% 24,012 17.19% 139,677 Martin 41,362 57.09% 30,208 41.69% 883 1.22% 11,154 15.40% 72,453 Miami-Dade 361,095 46.61% 409,732 52.89% 3,899 0.50% -48,637 -6.28% 774,726 Monroe 19,467 49.24% 19,654 49.71% 414 1.05% -187 -0.47% 39,535 Nassau 23,783 72.64% 8,573 26.18% 387 1.18% 15,210 46.46% 32,743 Okaloosa 69,693 77.65% 19,368 21.58% 695 0.77% 50,325 56.07% 89,756 Okeechobee 6,978 57.24% 5,153 42.27% 59 0.48% 1,825 14.97% 12,190 Orange 192,539 49.62% 193,354 49.83% 2,151 0.55% -815 -0.21% 388,044 Osceola 43,117 52.45% 38,633 47.00% 454 0.55% 4,484 5.45% 82,204 Palm Beach 212,688 39.05% 328,687 60.35% 3,247 0.60% -115,999 -21.30% 544,622 Pasco 103,230 54.07% 84,749 44.39% 2,937 1.54% 18,481 9.68% 190,916 Pinellas 225,686 49.56% 225,460 49.51% 4,211 0.92% 226 0.05% 455,357 Polk 123,559 58.61% 86,009 40.80% 1,262 0.60% 37,550 17.81% 210,830 Putnam 18,311 59.12% 12,412 40.07% 250 0.81% 5,899 19.05% 30,973 St. Johns 59,196 68.60% 26,399 30.59% 695 0.81% 32,797 38.01% 86,290 St. Lucie 47,592 47.56% 51,835 51.80% 636 0.64% -4,243 -4.24% 100,063 Santa Rosa 52,059 77.35% 14,659 21.78% 589 0.88% 37,400 55.57% 67,307 Sarasota 104,692 53.51% 88,442 45.20% 2,518 1.29% 16,250 8.31% 195,652 Seminole 108,172 58.10% 76,971 41.34% 1,052 0.56% 31,201 16.76% 186,195 Sumter 19,800 62.18% 11,584 36.38% 458 1.44% 8,216 25.80% 31,842 Suwannee 11,153 70.58% 4,522 28.62% 127 0.80% 6,631 41.96% 15,802 Taylor 5,467 63.71% 3,049 35.53% 65 0.76% 2,418 28.18% 8,581 Union 3,396 72.64% 1,251 26.76% 28 0.60% 2,145 45.88% 4,675 Volusia 111,924 48.89% 115,519 50.46% 1,496 0.65% -3,595 -1.57% 228,939 Wakulla 6,777 57.61% 4,896 41.62% 90 0.77% 1,881 15.99% 11,763 Walton 17,555 73.22% 6,213 25.91% 208 0.87% 11,342 47.31% 23,976 Washington 7,369 71.09% 2,912 28.09% 85 0.82% 4,457 43.00% 10,366Totals3,964,52252.10%3,583,54447.09%61,7440.81%380,9785.01%7,609,810 right 300px Swing by county Legend #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 300px Trend by county Legend #09ceff Democratic — +10-12.5% #77e3ff Democratic — +5-7.5% #aaeeff Democratic — +2.5-5% #d5f6ff Democratic — +0-2.5% #ffd5d5 Republican — +0-2.5% #ffaaaa Republican — +2.5-5% #ff8080 Republican — +5-7.5% #ff5555 Republican — +7.5-10% #ff2a2a Republican — +10-12.5% #ff0000 Republican — +12.5-15% #d40000 Republican — +>15% 300px County flips Legend Democratic #92c5de Hold Republican #f48882 Hold #ca0120 Flip Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Flagler (largest municipality: Palm Coast) Hernando (largest municipality: Spring Hill) Osceola (largest municipality: Kissimmee) Pasco (largest municipality: Wesley Chapel) Pinellas (largest municipality: St. Petersburg) By congressional district Bush won 18 of 25 congressional districts. Both candidates won a district held by the other party.DavidNYC http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/ Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project Swingstateproject.com 2008-12-15 2018-11-14 District Bush Kerry RepresentativeFlorida 1 1st72% 28%Jeff MillerFlorida 2 2nd54% 46%Allen BoydFlorida 3 3rd35% 65%Corrine BrownFlorida 4 4th69% 31%Ander CrenshawFlorida 5 5th58% 41%Ginny Brown-WaiteFlorida 6 6th61% 39%Cliff StearnsFlorida 7 7th57% 43%John MicaFlorida 8 8th55% 44%Ric KellerFlorida 9 9th57% 43%Michael BilirakisFlorida 10 10th51% 49%Bill YoungFlorida 11 11th41% 58%Jim DavisFlorida 12 12th58% 42%Adam PutnamFlorida 13 13th56% 44%Katherine HarrisFlorida 14 14th62% 38%Connie Mack IV Florida 15 15th57% 43%Dave WeldonFlorida 16 16th54% 46%Mark FoleyFlorida 17 17th17% 83%Kendrick MeekFlorida 18 18th54% 46%Ileana Ros-LehtinenFlorida 19 19th34% 66%Peter Deutsch Florida 20 20th 36% 64%Debbie Wasserman Schultz Florida 21 21st57% 43%Lincoln Diaz-BalartFlorida 22 22nd48% 52%Clay ShawFlorida 23 23rd24% 76%Alcee HastingsFlorida 24 24th55% 45%Tom FeeneyFlorida 25 25th56% 44%Mario Diaz-Balart Electors List of 2004 United States presidential electors Technically the voters of Florida cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Florida is allocated 27 electors because it has 25 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 27 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 27 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector. The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols. The following were the members of the Electoral College from Florida. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2004_certificates/ U. S. Electoral College 2008 Election - Certificates www.archives.gov 20 May 2019 Al Austin Allan Bense Sally Bradshaw Al Cardenas Jennifer Carroll Armando Codina Sharon Day Maria de la Milera Jim Dozier David Griffin Fran Hancock Cynthia Handley William Harrison Al Hoffman Bill Jordan Tom Lee Randall McElheney Jeanne McIntosh Nancy Mihm Gary Morse Marilyn Paul Tom Petway Sergio Pino John Thrasher Janet Westling Robert Woody Zach Zachariah References External links Official election results Florida 2004 Category:2004 Florida elections