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2016 United States Senate election in Idaho
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2016 United States Senate election in Idaho Idaho presidential no 2010 United States Senate election in Idaho 2010 2022 United States Senate election in Idaho 2022 November 8, 2016 Mike Crapo Official Photo 110th Congress (cropped).jpg 150x150px Mike Crapo Republican Party (United States) 449,017 66.13% 3x4.svg Jerry Sturgill Democratic Party (United States) 188,249 27.73% 3x4.svg Ray Writz Constitution Party (United States) 41,677 6.14% 180px County results 180px Congressional district results 180px Precinct results 1 150px Crapo: #FFB2B2 40–50% #E27F7F 50–60% #d75d5d 60–70% #D72F30 70–80% #C21B18 80–90% #A80000 >90%Sturgill: #A5B0FF 40–50% #7996e2 50–60% #6674de 60–70% #584cde 70–80% #808080 No data U.S. Senator Mike Crapo Republican Party (United States) Mike Crapo Republican Party (United States)
The 2016 United States Senate election in Idaho was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Idaho, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held May 17.
Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo won re-election to a fourth term in office.http://www.spokesman.com/blogs/boise/2014/aug/18/crapo-says-hell-seek-another-term Crapo says he'll seek another term The Spokesman-Review Russell Betsy Z. August 18, 2014 August 29, 2014
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
Mike Crapo, incumbent U.S. Senatorhttp://www.spokesman.com/blogs/boise/2015/may/12/crapo-announces-hell-run-fourth-term-us-senate Crapo announces he'll run for a fourth term in the U.S. Senate The Spokesman-Review Russell Betsy Z. May 12, 2015 May 29, 2015
Declined
Russ Fulcher, former state senator and candidate for governor in 2014http://rrhelections.com/index.php/rrh-april-2015-senate-rankings RRHElections Senate Rankings – April 2015 RRH Elections April 18, 2015 October 3, 2015http://www.spokesman.com/blogs/boise/2015/jun/10/fulcher-endorses-crapo-re-election Fulcher endorses Crapo for re-election The Spokesman-Review Russell Betsy Z. June 10, 2015 October 3, 2015
Raúl Labrador, U.S. Representativehttps://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/232772-labrador-i-dont-intend-to-primary-crapo/ Labrador won't run for Senate The Hill Easley Jonathan February 13, 2015 February 16, 2015
Mike Simpson, U.S. Representative
Results
Republican primary resultshttp://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/results/2016/Primary/statewide_totals.html Official Primary Election Statewide Totals Idaho Secretary of State July 20, 2016
Mike Crapo (incumbent) Republican Party (United States) 119,633 100.00%
119,633 100.00%
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
Jerry Sturgill, businessmanhttp://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/candidat/2016/2016_May_Primary_Candidate_List.pdf Declaration for 2016 March 13, 2016
Declined
Richard H. Stallings, former U.S. Representative, former chairman of the Idaho Democratic Party and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1992http://idahopoliticsweekly.com/politics/427-democrats-have-issues-with-crapo-but-no-candidate Democrats Have Issues with Crapo, But No Candidate Idaho Politics Weekly Malloy Chuck July 5, 2015 October 3, 2015
Larry LaRocco, former U.S. Representative, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2006 and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2008
Walt Minnick, former U.S. Representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1996
Results
Democratic primary results
Jerry Sturgill Democratic Party (United States) 26,471 100.00%
26,471 100.00%
Third Party and Independent Candidates
Constitution Party
Declared
Pro-Life (formerly known as Marvin Richardson), organic strawberry farmer, anti-abortion activist and perennial candidatehttp://magicvalley.com/blogs/agenda/blog-crapo-announces-re-election-bid-campaign-team/article_69de277a-3d7b-519a-b40e-b528f6a3f0c3.html Crapo Announces Re-Election Bid, Campaign Team Twin Falls Times-News Brown Nathan May 13, 2015 October 7, 2015http://magicvalley.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/federal-lands-refugees-and-regulations-drive-crapo-town-hall-in/article_15cf766d-e0a3-5374-9f55-e4d122e2fe98.html Federal Lands, Refugees and Regulations Drive Crapo Town Hall in Castleford Twin Falls Times-News Brown Nathan August 12, 2015 October 7, 2015http://www.idahostatesman.com/news/politics-government/state-politics/article65603252.html Idaho Statesman March 11, 2016 March 24, 2016 Idaho primary: Who's running for county, state, federal office
Ray Writz
Results
thumb|180px|Results by county:
Writz #220b28 Writz—100% #672178 Writz—80–90% #892ca0 Writz—70–80% #ab37c8 Writz—60–70% #bc5fd3 Writz—50–60%
Writz/Pro-Life tie #999999 Writz & Pro-Life tie—50%
Pro-Life #27c837 Pro-Life—50–60% #2ca02c Pro-Life—60–70% #0b280b Pro-Life—100%
No votes #000000 No votes
Constitution primary results
Ray J. Writz Constitution Party (United States) 131 59.5%
Pro-Life Constitution Party (United States) 89 40.5%
220 100.0%
Independents
Candidates
Withdrawn
Timothy Raty, paralegal and 2004 Libertarian State House candidatehttp://docquery.fec.gov/pdf/969/201507100200179969/201507100200179969.pdf July Quarterly and Termination Report Federal Election Commission July 6, 2015 October 7, 2015
General election
Debates
Dates Location Crapo Sturgill LinkOctober 23, 2016Boise, IdahoParticipantParticipantFull debate
Polling
Opinion polling for the 2016 United States Senate election in Idaho.chart Opinion polling for the 2016 United States Senate election in Idaho.tab 700px
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MikeCrapo (R) JerrySturgill (D) RayWritz (C) Other UndecidedSurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 612 ± 4.6% 58% 39% — — 3%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 557 ± 4.6% 58% 36% — — 4%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 498 ± 4.6% 61% 35% — — 4%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 442 ± 4.6% 60% 34% — — 6%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 394 ± 4.6% 61% 32% — — 7%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 447 ± 4.6% 61% 34% — — 5%Emerson CollegeEmerson College October 21–23, 2016 1,023 ± 3.0% 57% 24% — 12% 7%Dan Jones & AssociatesDan Jones & Associates August 18–31, 2016 602 ± 4.0% 57% 20% 4% 4% 15%Dan Jones & AssociatesDan Jones & Associates July 5–16, 2016 601 ± 4.0% 57% 20% 4% 4% 15%Lake Research PartnersLake Research Partners July 5–10, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 37% 35% 2% — 25%Dan Jones & AssociatesDan Jones & Associates May 18–June 4, 2016 603 ± 4.0% 48% 25% 7% 9% 10%Dan Jones & AssociatesDan Jones & Associates April 8–19, 2016 603 ± 4.0% 53% 17% 5% 5% 20%
Predictions
Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016 https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings/139360 The Cook Political Report March 26, 2021 Safe R November 2, 2016 Sabato's Crystal Ball2016 Senate http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-senate Sabato's Crystal Ball September 19, 2016 Safe R November 7, 2016 Rothenberg Political Report2016 Senate Ratings https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2016-senate-ratings-november-3-2016 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report November 3, 2016 Safe R November 3, 2016 Daily KosDaily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2016/11/8/1593119/-Daily-Kos-Election-2016-forecast-The-final-version Daily Kos March 27, 2021 Safe R November 8, 2016 Real Clear PoliticsBattle for the Senate 2016 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/2016_elections_senate_map.html Real Clear Politics October 28, 2016 Safe R November 7, 2016
Results
United States Senate election in Idaho, 2016 http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/RESULTS/2016/General/statewide_totals.html Nov 08, 2016 General Election Results Idaho Secretary of State December 19, 2016
Mike Crapo (incumbent) Republican Party (United States) 449,017 66.13% -5.06%
Jerry Sturgill Democratic Party (United States) 188,249 27.73% +2.80%
Ray J. Writz Constitution Party (United States) 41,677 6.14% +2.26%
260,768
38.41%
-7.84%
678,943 100.0% N/A
Republican Party (United States)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Blaine (largest municipality: Hailey)
By congressional district
Crapo won both congressional districts.DRA 2020 https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::14e046b2-98a2-4b59-bfe3-6c8afee85f43 2024-08-20 Daves Redistricting
District Crapo Sturgill RepresentativeIdaho 1 1st 69% 25%Raúl LabradorIdaho 2 2nd 63% 30%Mike Simpson
References
External links
Official campaign websites
Mike Crapo (R) for Senate
Jerry Sturgill (D) for Senate
Ray Writz (C) for Senate
Senate
Idaho
2016